GOLD → Within range. Retest resistance at 3347FX:XAUUSD continues to correct after a false breakdown of support at 3300. Due to uncertainty, the price may remain in the range of 3300-3340 for some time.
Gold is fluctuating amid a weak dollar and uncertainty over Fed rates. Gold is struggling to hold on after rebounding from weekly lows, despite the US dollar falling to multi-year lows. Pressure on the dollar has intensified due to Trump's criticism of the Fed and rumors of a possible replacement for Powell. However, gold is limited in its growth due to a pause in geopolitical tensions and hawkish signals from the Fed chair. Investors are awaiting key macro data from the US (e 12:30 GMT Durable goods orders, GDP, Initial Jobless Claims) and especially the PCE inflation report on Friday.
Technically, the focus is on key areas of interest: 3300, 3306, 3340, 3347. Until strong news emerges, an intraday trading strategy should be considered.
Resistance levels: 3347, 3357
Support levels: 3320, 3307, 3300
Technically, a false breakout of resistance at 3347 and a retest of the local liquidity zone at 3320-3307 are possible before growth continues for the reasons mentioned above. Targets could be 3347, 3364, 3372, and 3396.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Trend Lines
EUR/USD Overview - June 25: Why Did the Dollar Fall Again ?The EUR/USD currency pair continued its upward movement on Tuesday, which had stated on Monday. Let us recall that on Monday, everyone expected a "rollercoaster" right at the market open, i.e., during the night. However, the real action came closer to the evening. The first two trading days of the week were packed with events-of various kinds-capable of supporting both the dollar and the euro. So why did the U.S. currency fall out of favor with the market once again?
If we were to list all the reasons, one article certainly wouldn't be enough. so, let's start with the most local and obvious ones. As early as Monday, we mentioned that the dollar might benefit from another escalation in the Middle East, this time initiated by the U.S. But just think: can the dollar even hypothetically be considered a "safe haven" if one of the warring parties is the U.S.?
The second reason is that Trump launched a strike on Iran's nuclear facilities, and the next day, missiles were flying back-toward Qatar, Israel, and U.S. military bases. And. notably, Iran hit the American bases.
The third reason is that Trump thanked Iran for warning Washington in advance about the upcoming strike. Honestly, the only word that comes to mind here is "farce." Can this even be a war if the participants warn each other before launching attacks? Naturally, the market immediately concluded that this was not a war but a performance. That might be better in some ways-since human casualties were avoided, and that is most important. But at the same time, if the dollar had any hopes of strengthening due to a Middle East escalation, the market realized yesterday that this "escalation" was theatrical and staged.
And it gets even more bizarre. On Tuesday morning, Donald Trump announced a ceasefire. The U.S. President was so eager to establish peace somewhere-anywhere-that he declared the war over without waiting for any official statements from Iran or Israel. And just a few hours later, Iranian missiles took to the skies again. Once more, if this weren't about deadly weapons of mass destruction, the whole situation could be considered a comedy
For the res of Tuesday, Trump posted angry messages every half hour on his own social network, expressing his dissatisfaction not only with Iran but also with Israel. In the afternoon, Trump tried to persuade Israeli not to launch retaliatory strikes, and we're left wondering-does the U.S. President believe that Iranian and Israeli leaders check his Twitter feed before initiating missile attacks?
Frankly, we don' even know how to respond to this circus anymore. But the market certainly does. Why should it buy the dollar-even without the caveat "if Donald Trump remains president"? America has turned from a country with the strongest economy and military into a laughingstock. And these are just the reasons the dollar fell on Monday and Tuesday. Should we even bother listing why the U.S. currency has fallen for five months
The average volatility for the EUR/USD currency pair over the last five trading days as of June 25 is 74 pips, which is characterized as. " We expect the pair to move between the levels of 1.1551 and 1.1699 on Wednesday. The long-term regression channel is directed upward, indicating a continued bullish trend. The CCI indicator entered the overbought zone, which triggered only a minor downward correction
Nearest Support Levels:
S1 - 1.1597
S2 - 1.1475
S3 - 1.1353
Nearest Resistance Levels:
R1 - 1.1719
R2 - 1.1841
R3 - 1.1963
Trading Recommendations:
The EUR/USD pair continues its upward trend. Trump's foreign and domestic policies remain the strongest pressure factor on the U.S. dollar. Additionally, the market interprets or ignores much of the incoming data negatively for the dollar. We continue to observe a complete lack of interest in buying the dollar under any circumstances.
If the price is below the moving average, short positions remain relevant with targets at 1.1475 and 1.1353, though a significant decline in the pair is unlikely under current conditions. If the price is above the moving average, long positions can be considered with targets at 1.1699 and 1.1719 in continuation of the trend.
Explanation of Illustrations:
Linear Regression Channels help determine the current trend. If both channels are aligned, it indicates a strong trend.
Moving Average Line (settings: 20,0, smoothed) defines the short-term trend and guides the trading direction.
Murray Levels act as target levels for movements and corrections.
Volatility Levels (red lines) represent the likely price range for the pair over the next 24 hours based on current volatility readings.
CCI Indicator: If it enters the oversold region (below -250), or overbought region (above +250), it signals an impending trend reversal in the opposite direction.
GOLD → Attempt to buy back the fall. Uncertainty factorFX:XAUUSD is falling within our expectations. After breaking through the trigger-level of 3340, the price fell to the liquidity zone of 3306. There is uncertainty in the market...
Gold is rising after a false break of support at 3300-3306, interrupting a three-day decline amid a weakening dollar and ongoing tensions in the Middle East. Investors are cautious due to the unstable truce between Iran and Israel, while the decline in USD/JPY after the Bank of Japan's statements and the rise in PPI in Japan are further supporting demand for gold. Powell's comments on the need for caution in monetary policy only temporarily strengthened the dollar. Now the market is focused on US housing data and the second day of Powell's speech
Technically, the price may consolidate at 3306-3347 for some time and only then show us (against the backdrop of the fundamental sentiment that has formed) which direction it will then take
Resistance levels: 3347, 3364, 3372
Support levels: 3319, 3307
The market is trying to buy back the decline. Tuesday's daily session closed with a long shadow, indicating interest in this price range. A pullback to 3320-3310 is possible before growth to 3340-3347.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GBPUSD → Pre-breakout consolidation. One step away from a rallyFX:GBPUSD is trading in consolidation. Against the backdrop of the falling dollar index, the currency pair is testing resistance at 1.3632 but is not yet ready to bounce down.
Against the backdrop of the dollar's decline due to fundamental reasons, the GBPUSD currency pair is strengthening. Technically, this could lead to the price breaking out of consolidation upwards. A pre-breakout base is forming relative to the upper boundary of consolidation. The price is compressing towards the level, volatility is decreasing, which in general could lead to a breakout of resistance - trigger 1.3632. The exit from consolidation may be accompanied by distribution. The liquidity zone with W1 can be considered as a target.
Resistance levels: 1.3632, 1.3743
Support levels: 1.3593, 1.3508
The global and local trends are bullish. After growth, consolidation is forming. Against the backdrop of the falling dollar, GBPUSD is testing resistance. The reaction to the false breakout of resistance is weak. The chances of a breakout are quite high.
Best regards, R. Linda!
HelenP. I Bitcoin can drop from resistance levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. If we examine the chart, we can see that the price has approached a significant resistance zone between 108200 and 108800. This area previously acted as a ceiling for the price, and now coincides with the retest of the broken trend line from above. After a strong bullish push from the support zone near 103000, the price is currently consolidating just below resistance, which often signals hesitation and potential reversal pressure. Earlier, we observed a period of consolidation around the support zone, followed by a breakout that broke above the trend line. However, the current structure suggests that the breakout may have been temporary. With multiple signs of slowing momentum and price failing to break convincingly through the resistance, a bearish move from this level becomes increasingly likely. Given the context, I expect BTCUSD to reject this resistance and move downward toward the 103000 support level again. That is my current goal, as I anticipate the price to complete a corrective wave in line with the overall structure. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
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GOLD. Why is Gold Rising Again?The yellow metal is one again receiving support driven by two main factors. The first is the continued risk of failure in the negotiations between Tehran and Tel Aviv. The second is related to the chronic weakness of the U.S. dollar amid the American economy slipping into a recession, which may persist for a prolonged period, and the uncertainty surrounding the future global impact of Donald Trump's customs tariff policy.
From a technical perspective, gold prices continue to be in a long-term upward trend. The bullish momentum, driven by the aforementioned reasons, may continue after breaking and consolidating above the 3340 level.
Technical Outlook and Trading Idea:
The price is trading above the middle line of the Bollinger Bands, as well as above the 5-and 14-period SMAs , which have crossed and are giving a buy signal. The RSI is crossing the 50% mark, also indicating a buy. the Stochastic Oscillator is above 50% and continues to rise.
In this situation, I believe gold should be bought, with a potential rise toward 3384. A likely entry point for a buy position could be considered around 3347.
SOLANA → BINANCE:SOLUSDT.P is consolidating after breaking through trend resistance. The market trigger is 148.0, and Bitcoin is provoking the market to recover...
The market is buying back all the losses. SOL breaks the local downward resistance and forms consolidation with a trigger of 148.0. The market has come to life following the rallying Bitcoin. If the general trend continues, SOL may break out of the accumulation zone and form a distribution towards 154.0
The latest retest of resistance is provoking a correction. Before rising, the price may test the zone of interest at 144 or the lower boundary of consolidation at 142.2. The ideal scenario would be a false breakdown of support at 142.2 before rising.
Resistance levels: 148.0, 154.2
Support levels: 142.2, 137.5
Fundamentally, the situation for the crypto market is improving. Technically, the market is also showing positive dynamics. SOL is consolidating after growth, which is generally a positive sign. Now we need to wait for the price to break out of consolidation and continue its growth. One of the signs of this is a rebound from the 0.5 range and a quick retest of resistance with a gradual squeeze towards the trigger.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Bitcoin Roadmap: Key Levels to WatchBitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) managed to pump as I expected yesterday , of course, the main catalyst could have been the ceasefire announcement between Iran and Israel , which had a major impact on high and medium risk assets in the financial markets .
Bitcoin is once again moving near the Heavy Resistance zone($110,720-$105,820) and the Resistance zone($107,520-$106,100) after breaking the Resistance lines .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that given Bitcoin’s bullish momentum , Bitcoin has completed the main wave 3 and is currently completing the main wave 4 on the 1-hour time frame . The corrective wave structure of wave 4 could be a Double Three Correction(WXY) .
I expect Bitcoin to start rising again near the Support zone($104,380-$103,060) , 50_SMA(Daily) , Support lines , and Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($104,412-$103,812) to rise at least to the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Resistance lines .
Note: Stop Loss(SL)= $102,600 = We can expect more dumps.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
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Trading Recommendations and Analysis for USDJPYThe technical picture on Monday may shape future developments in the medium term. The week began a gap up, followed by the formation of a long upper shadow. The daily close occurred exactly at the support level of 146.11 thereby closing the gap.
Today's trading also opened exactly at the same level, and the candle is already black in the early hours of trading. This defines Monday's movement as false, thus creating a strong bearish signal, with a potential breakdown of the 143.45 support and a subsequent decline toward the MACD line, which coincides with the target level of 141.70. The Marlin oscillator has turned downward. its return to negative territory will add additional pressure on the price.
In the H4 timeframe, the price has consolidated below the 146.11 level, making it easier to settle below the MACD line eventually.
A break below 145.48 -the June 11 high-will serve as confirmation. The Marlin oscillator appears to be fixed in bearish territory and has joined the new downward movement.
GOLD → Declining interest. Retest of supportFX:XAUUSD experienced significant volatility toward the end of the US trading session. This was due to developments in the Middle East. The de-escalation of the situation is leading to a decline in interest in the metal.
The announced ceasefire between Iran and Israel has reduced demand for gold as a safe-haven asset, while falling oil prices have reduced its appeal as a hedge against inflation. Gold is supported by expectations of a Fed rate cut in July. The focus is on Fed Chair Powell's testimony before Congress and further developments in the Middle East.
Technically, the price confirms the local bearish structure. A continued assault on the 3340 support level could trigger a further decline.
Support levels: 3343-3340, 3320
Resistance levels: 3360, 3366
Focus on the trading range (consolidation) 3340 - 3400. De-escalation of the conflict in the Middle East may lead to a decline in interest in gold as a hedge asset, which may cause the price to break down of consolidation. If the retest of 3340 continues, the price will begin to contract before the level, in which case the chances of a breakdown and decline will only increase. The target will be the liquidity zone of 3320 - 3306
Best regards, R. Linda!
Gold Holds Above $3340 as Dollar Drops and Fed Uncertainty Rises GOLD OVERVIEW
Gold Holds Gains as Dollar Weakens and Fed Uncertainty Grows
Gold climbed above $3,340 per ounce on Thursday, supported by a sharp decline in the U.S. dollar amid growing dovish expectations from the Federal Reserve.
Adding to market speculation, U.S. President Donald Trump hinted he may announce a new Fed Chair as early as September or October, potentially reducing Jerome Powell’s influence before his term ends in June and boosting expectations for a more accommodative policy stance.
TECHNICAL OUTLOOK – XAU/USD
Gold shows bearish potential if the price can stabilize below the pivot level at 3,341.
However, while trading above 3,341, a short-term correction toward 3,364–3,365 is likely before any renewed selling pressure.
Today’s U.S. GDP release may add further volatility and direction to the market.
Key Levels
Pivot Line: 3,341
Resistance: 3,364 → 3,373
Support: 3,320 → 3,302
previous idea:
EURUSD Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a buying opportunity around 1.15700 zone, EURUSD was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 1.15700 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
SILVER (XAGUSD): Intraday Bullish Confirmation?!📈SILVER appears to be on a bullish trend following a bounce off crucial daily/intraday horizontal support.
The price broke through a resistance line of a descending channel and created a local Change of Character (CHoCH).
There is a strong likelihood that the price will keep rising, with a target of 37.00.
Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the GBP/USDThe test of the 1.3614level occurred when the RSI indicator had already risen significantly above the zero line, which limited the pair's upside potential. For this reason, I did not buy the GBP/USD.
There has been progress in the trade negotiations between China and the United States: yesterday, both sides stated that consensus had been reached on the main issues. This breakthrough, the result of several months of intense discussions, gives hope for the stabilization of global financial markets. Though not disclosed in detail, the agreements likely included key issues such as the export of rare earth materials from China to the U.S. to China. Nevertheless, despite the optimistic statements, analysts advise against excessive enthusiasm. Previous negotiation rounds also ended with promises that were later unfulfilled. The key to success will be boss sides' ability to honor their commitments and show willingness for further concessions. The impact of this progress on the global economy is hard to overestimate. Reducing trade tensions could stimulate the growth of international trade, ease inflationary pressures, and bolster consumer confidence. However, risks remain, and the agreement's long-term outcome will depend on both countries' subsequent actions.
Today, we should pay attention to the speech by Philip Lane, a British Central Bank representative, as there are no macroeconomic releases from the the eurozone. Markets will closely monitor his rhetoric for hints regarding the central bank's plans on interest rates. Investors hope to hear more clarity from Lane about how the ECB intends to proceed with rates and whether the regulator plans further cuts this summer. Overall, Philip Lane's speech will be the key event of the day for financial markets. His comments may influence currency movements in the first half of the day. Investors are advised to watch his remarks closely and consider them in decision-making
GBPUSD InsightHello to all subscribers.
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Key Points
- NATO’s 32 member countries have agreed to increase defense spending to 5% of GDP by 2035, as requested by U.S. President Trump.
- Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, speaking before the Senate, stated that the Fed is "in a position to wait" and noted it is difficult to predict how tariffs will impact inflation.
- The Fed has decided to ease the Supplementary Leverage Ratio (SLR) regulation that applied to major banks. With the regulatory easing, large banks are expected to increase their purchases of U.S. Treasuries, which could lead to lower bond yields.
Key Economic Events This Week
+ June 26: U.S. Q1 GDP
+ June 27: U.S. May Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index
GBPUSD Chart Analysis
Although the pair pulled back after encountering resistance from the trendline, it successfully rebounded from the 1.34000 level and climbed to 1.37000. After breaking through the resistance this time, it is now likely to rise toward the upper trendline. The projected high is expected to be around the 1.40000 level.
EURCHF: Bearish Continuation After Breakout 🇪🇺🇨🇭
EURCHF violated a significant horizontal support.
Retesting that, a bearish flag pattern was formed.
Its support violation provides a strong intraday confirmation.
The pair may drop lower at least to 0.9328
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USNAS100 Eyes New ATH as Fed Rate Cut Bets &Ceasefire Fuel Rally USNAS100 OVERVIEW
Wall Street Gains as Rate Cut Hopes and Ceasefire Boost Sentiment
U.S. indices surged on Monday as growing expectations for a potential Federal Reserve rate cut in July helped offset market concerns over Middle East tensions.
The ceasefire agreement between Israel and Iran further eased geopolitical risk, supporting bullish momentum on Wall Street.
Forward Outlook:
A combination of dovish monetary policy expectations and geopolitical de-escalation continues to support upside potential in U.S. equities.
TECHNICAL OUTLOOK – (USNAS100)
The price has stabilized above 22,090, signaling strength and opening the path toward a new All-Time High (ATH) and beyond.
As long as the price holds above 22,090, the bullish trend remains in control.
A break and stabilization below 22,090 would suggest a bearish correction may be underway.
Resistance Levels: 22,210 → 22,280 → 22,460
Support Levels: 21,930 → 21,850
SMCI: When a chart says it’s time to reconnect with the AI hypeOn the daily chart, Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) is showing a clean bullish setup. Price broke out of a descending trendline (green dashed), confirmed it with a retest, and is now consolidating above the breakout zone. The golden cross — where the MA50 crossed above the MA200 — confirms a long-term trend reversal.
Volume profile indicates strong accumulation near $41–43. The 0.5 Fibonacci level at $41.84 acted as support. Above the current range, there’s low volume resistance up to $63.57 (0.786), followed by $66.44 and a final extension target at $79.82 (1.272).
Fundamentals: SMCI is a leading server hardware manufacturer. Demand for their systems has soared with the explosion of AI infrastructure. The company maintains solid financials, with rising quarterly revenue and growing presence in the cloud sector. Institutional investors have been actively increasing their positions since late 2023 — a sign of strong long-term conviction.
Tactical plan:
— Entry: market $42–43
— Target 1: $55.91
— Target 2: $63.57
When technicals scream textbook breakout and fundamentals bring AI momentum to the table — it might just be one of the best late entries in the AI wave this summer.
It’s the right time to short goldThe daily gold line presents a three-top gathering pattern. The historical trend shows that the 3290-3280 area has triggered technical pullbacks many times, all of which rebounded to around 3350. The current 4-hour chart trend line suppression level coincides with the Fibonacci 0.618 pullback resistance from the previous high of 3450 to 3300 in the 3350-3360 range. This area constitutes the core pressure zone. If the price fails to effectively break through and stand above 3360 when it probes this area again, it is highly likely to replicate the previous two resistance and fall patterns. At that time, short orders will be arranged based on the 3350 first-line resistance area, with the goal of breaking the key support of 3300 and further looking down at the 3280 and 3260 levels. The overall bearish tendency is maintained, and the resistance to rebound is a signal to enter the market and sell short.
Gold recommendation: Gold is short around 3345-3352, target 3330-3320