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After the Fed’s Rate Cut: Gold’s Price Action and What’s NextYesterday was another wildly volatile day for OANDA:XAUUSD , with prices dropping approximately 600 pips following the Fed's rate cut. After breaking below the 2645-2650 confluence support on Tuesday, the market entered a day of consolidation with a tight trading range. However, the calm didn’t last long... Yesterday's sharp decline took prices below the 2610-2615 technical support zone and even breached the critical 2600 level. Overnight, Gold rebounded back above 2600, but in my opinion, this recovery is likely a normal retracement and does not signal a bottom for the yellow metal. For bears, the sell zone begins at 2620 and extends slightly past 2630, accounting for the heightened volatility. This area presents an opportunity to look for short entries. The initial target for this move would be yesterday's low, but I wouldn’t be surprised to see Gold drop further toward the 2525 key support level in the near future. As long as prices remain below the 2650-2660 resistance range, the outlook for XauUsd stays firmly bearish .
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
2
CADCHF Elliott Wave AnalysisHello friends In the CADCHF currency pair, we expect the price to grow, but why? In this currency pair, we are witnessing the formation of 2 5-wave patterns and 2 zigzag patterns, which can be called 1 or A and 2 or B and 3 or C. In my opinion, considering the price drop and the formation of these patterns, it is evidence of a price reversal. Therefore, I expect the formation of wave 5. I also consider the stop loss at 0.62100. If our theory is correct, we expect the price to grow to the level of 100% and then 161.8% Fibonacci. To support me, I recommend installing the Trading View application on your phone and see my analyses and support me with your comments and Boost. Be successful and profitable.
Long
by M_Gheysvandi
Gold Drops $65 as Bearish Momentum Dominates Post-Fed DecisionGold Technical Analysis Gold prices dropped approximately $65 yesterday following the Federal Reserve's rate decision. The market continues to exhibit bearish momentum as long as it trades below 2623 and 2612, targeting 2585. A break below 2585, confirmed by a 1-hour or 4-hour candle close, could push the price further down to 2558. The gold market is expected to remain volatile, with the upcoming GDP report playing a crucial role: If GDP comes in below the expected 2.8%, this could support a bullish move. If GDP exceeds 2.8%, this could reinforce the bearish trend. Key Levels Pivot Point: 2612 Resistance Levels: 2623, 2638, 2653 Support Levels: 2585, 2572, 2558 Trend Outlook Bearish below 2623 and 2612 Bullish above 2623
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SroshMayi
$2800- $3000: how does gold hold steady amid global uncertainty?Gold has once again emerged as a focal point in global financial markets, gaining significant attention from investors amidst economic instability and geopolitical tensions. In 2024, the price of gold increased by over 28%, reaffirming its role as a reliable asset for capital preservation during uncertain times. Below, we explore the primary factors influencing gold prices, investment strategies, and future prospects for this precious metal. What Drives Gold Prices? 1. Geopolitical Tensions as a Catalyst: Political and military conflicts , such as those in the Middle East, amplify the appeal of gold as a "safe haven." During periods of uncertainty, gold becomes a hedge against shocks in the global economy, prompting higher demand from both individual investors and institutions. 2. Impact of U.S. Federal Reserve Policy: The Federal Reserve's monetary decisions significantly influence gold prices. The current economic environment, shaped by pressure for lower interest rates, benefits gold as an asset class. Under the influence of a potentially “dovish” U.S. administration, expectations of sustained inflation and reduced rates create a favorable backdrop for gold. 3. Increased Central Bank Purchases: Central banks worldwide have been actively boosting their gold reserves. Gold serves as a hedge against inflation and currency fluctuations, particularly for economies in regions like India and the Middle East, where the metal holds cultural and financial significance. Investment Opportunities in Gold Investing in gold offers diverse options, each catering to different risk appetites and levels of expertise: • Gold ETFs: Exchange-traded funds are an accessible entry point for novice investors due to their simplicity and low barriers to entry. These funds allow investors to gain exposure to gold without the complexities of physical ownership. • Shares of Gold Mining Companies: Stocks in companies like Newmont (USA), Barrick Gold (Canada), and Freeport-McMoRan (USA) offer potential for higher returns compared to direct gold investments. However, they come with added risks due to market volatility and company-specific factors. • Gold Futures: Futures contracts enable investors to lock in prices and mitigate volatility. This strategy is best suited for experienced investors who understand market dynamics and risk management. Outlook for 2025 The combination of geopolitical instability, high inflation, and low interest rates sets the stage for continued growth in gold prices. Over the next six months, gold prices are projected to reach $2800 per ounce. While crossing the $3000 mark may seem overly optimistic, it remains a possibility under certain geopolitical scenarios. As global economic uncertainties persist, gold's role as a stable and reliable investment is likely to strengthen, ensuring its continued relevance in diversified portfolios. NYSE:NEM TSX:ABX NYSE:FCX
TVC:GOLDLong
by juliakhandoshko
Dow Plummets 1,100 Points Amid Fed’s Hawkish GuidanceMarket Reacts to Limited Rate Cut Projections and Elevated Economic Uncertainty Dow Drops 1,100 Points in Turbulent Session After Fed Announcement Investors rushed to reduce exposure to risk assets on Wednesday after Federal Reserve Chair Jay Powell signaled a shift in the central bank's outlook for 2025. The Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged over 1,100 points following the Fed’s anticipated 25-basis-point interest rate cut and its updated forward guidance. While the rate cut was expected, the announcement that only two cuts are projected for 2024 rattled investors. Powell’s message marked the end of an extended period of monetary easing, further weighing on market sentiment. This marked the Dow’s tenth consecutive losing session, a streak not seen since 1974, when the index endured eleven straight losses. Technical Analysis The Dow's price dropped more than 4.5% ahead of Powell's speech, maintaining a bearish momentum. Stability below the pivot point of 42,590 suggests further downside potential, while a close above this level could indicate a reversal. Today, the U.S. GDP release will be a key driver of market movement: If the GDP comes in below 2.8%, it may support a bullish move toward 42,770 and possibly 42,900. If the GDP exceeds 2.8%, bearish momentum could drive the index toward 42,380 or even as low as 41,120. Key Levels Pivot Point: 42,590 Resistance Levels: 42,770, 42,900, 43,190 Support Levels: 42,380, 42,150, 41,970 Trend Outlook Bullish Momentum: If the price stabilizes above 42,590. Bearish Momentum: Likely to persist with stability below 42,590.
OANDA:US30USDShort
by SroshMayi
GBP/USD Analysis:Hello Dear Traders, Take a look at the weekly chart; a clear bullish channel is evident here. We tend to long the pair in this situation, given that we are around the bottom of the bullish channel. However, I don't trade based on the weekly channel. On the daily chart, we see a bearish trend line and a gap towards the bottom of the channel. Breaking above the trend line on the daily chart would indicate more bullish movements in the future. However, examining the 2-hour chart, it appears that there might be a reversal following a strong bearish candle. This candle was formed due to the FOMC voting, and I believe there may be some sell orders left from that. Therefore, I predict more bearish movements on the 2-hour chart during the reversal.
Short
by AliSignals
Ethereum Fibonacci Retracement SetupThis ethereum setup I use is on the 15 minute chart. The signals are SMA crossovers of the 13/55. And the moving average plots are using Golden Ratio numbers to forecast near term price movements. Lastly I use a sessions indicator to show the New York & Tokyo sessions. As well as a tick value indicator to show me how much the tick value of the futures contract for Ethereum. Crossover Signals: Long - SMA 13 > SMA 55 Short - SMA 13 < SMA 55 Golden Ratio Plots (SMA): 111 - White 233 - Red 610 - Green Timeframe : 15 minute
CME:ETH1!
by sapphire_edge
1
Futures Steady After Wall Street Slump on Fed Rate Cut OutlookFutures Steady After Wall Street Declines on Fed's View of Fewer Rate Cuts U.S. stock index futures edged higher on Thursday as investors assessed the Federal Reserve's revised projections, which include fewer-than-expected interest rate cuts and elevated inflation expectations for next year. These updates caused a significant sell-off on Wall Street the day before. On Wednesday, the Fed announced its forecast of only two 25 basis point (bps) rate cuts in 2024, halving its previous projection from September. The central bank also raised inflation expectations for the early months of the incoming administration. These adjustments triggered the steepest daily declines in the three major U.S. stock indices since August. S&P 500 Technical Analysis The S&P 500 experienced a sharp decline of more than 3.5% due to the Federal Reserve's decision to reduce interest rates by only 25 bps. This decision created uncertainty and weighed heavily on investor sentiment. Today, the U.S. GDP report is a key event that could significantly impact the market. The GDP growth rate is projected to decline by 2.8% compared to the previous period. If the GDP data comes in below 2.8%, the market may turn bullish, potentially reaching 5971. If the GDP data exceeds 2.8%, the bearish trend could continue, with the S&P 500 targeting levels of 5885 and 5863. Key Levels Pivot Point: 5932 Resistance Levels: 5971, 5988, 6020 Support Levels: 5885, 5863, 5837 Trend Outlook Downward Trend: Likely to persist if the price remains below 5932. Upward Trend: Potential recovery if the price breaks above 5932.
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi
AVAX Short entryhello to everyone. in this analysis the AVAX after changing character and becoming bearish completed its pullback phase and came and swept all the liquidity marked with the dollar sign. this a very good confluence and after waiting for confirmation on lower time frame we finally got it and price became bearish in LTF as well. so I set a limit order at a 30-minute order block and wait for the price to tag me in the trade if that happens the price could potentially go lower. remember to manage your risk. thank you and have a good night.
Short
by IEatGreenPaper
Reliance Swing TradeHello, Trend-Based Analysis. Buy the Dips, Sell The Rallies, Also Following the Trend. Let's see where the Price Action takes us, Riding the wave. Potential trade setups based on trend momentum. Technical analysis based on trend identification and momentum, Looking for high-probability setups within the prevailing trend. Analyzing the current market trend and potential future price movement. Focusing on risk management and reward-to-risk ratios. Details is Mentioned in Chart, Read carefully.. .
NSE:RELIANCELong
by OptionCallPro
GOLD (XAUUSD): Important Zone to WatchThe Federal Reserve's rate decision and FOMC meeting negatively impacted gold prices yesterday, leading to a bearish trend. Observing the 4-hour time frame, we can see how the pair responded to a downward trend line during the day. The market had been consolidating within a broad range for nearly a month. However, following the Fed's announcement yesterday, there was a significant downward movement that confirmed a break below the support level of this range. With the broken structure and a prominent downward trend line now defining the supply zone, we can expect further bearish movement, potentially reaching down to 2580.
TVC:GOLDShort
by linofx1
4
Jio Fin Services Ltd Swing/Long TradeHello, Trend-Based Analysis. Buy the Dips, Sell The Rallies, Also Following the Trend. Let's see where the Price Action takes us, Riding the wave. Potential trade setups based on trend momentum. Technical analysis based on trend identification and momentum, Looking for high-probability setups within the prevailing trend. Analyzing the current market trend and potential future price movement. Focusing on risk management and reward-to-risk ratios. Details is Mentioned in Chart, Read carefully.. .
NSE:JIOFINLong
by OptionCallPro
2
ETHEREUM → Consolidation after a bearish trend breakBINANCE:ETHUSD is consolidating within the flat boundaries of 4085 3530. In general, there is a bullish trend, the fundamental background is also favorable except for yesterday's news, which creates a small risk... The price is at a strong resistance between 4090 and 4100 and it will take a lot of energy to break this area. Yesterday's news was generally controversial but with a negative bias. Despite the decline in interest rates, there were strong hints of stopping the decline and taking a hawkish course. Bitcoin is giving a small correction against this backdrop, which is negative for altcoins. Ethereum technically did not break the bullish structure, a very strong support area of 3530 - 3440 is formed on the chart and with high probability a retest is possible, a liquidity grab with the aim of further growth. There are risks for further fall, they can be taken into account, but we can consider an attempt of growth as a priority. Resistance levels: 4086, 4100, 4372 Support levels: 3530, 3440, 3261 Since the price is inside the consolidation, our strategy is simple - trading from the channel boundaries. Accordingly, based on the current situation, we should consider a retest of support before further growth. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
5
NZDUSD → The price could fall another 2.5%FX:NZDUSD is forming a return to a strong support zone after testing it after a year. Against the backdrop of a rising dollar, the chances of a support breakout are growing. The downtrend, rising dollar, weak fundamental background for NZD play a key role in forming a bear market. The price is testing the key resistance and trying to enter the selling zone. At the moment the price is restrained by the descending channel support and if the price manages to break this line and consolidate below, strong selling may be formed further, as there are no obstacles below it until 0.562. Resistance levels: 0.577, 0.5817 Support levels: 0.575, 0.562 I do not exclude the possibility of correction if the buyers hold the support. But there is no chance of a trend change. Another retest of the support may lead to a breakdown and further fall to 0.562 Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
2
Metro Brands Ltd Swing tradeHello, Trend-Based Analysis. Buy the Dips, Sell The Rallies, Also Following the Trend. Let's see where the Price Action takes us, Riding the wave. Potential trade setups based on trend momentum. Technical analysis based on trend identification and momentum, Looking for high-probability setups within the prevailing trend. Analyzing the current market trend and potential future price movement. Focusing on risk management and reward-to-risk ratios. Details is Mentioned in Chart, Read carefully.. .
NSE:METROBRANDLong
by OptionCallPro
From Decline to Opportunity: Total3 Poised for RecoveryAfter breaking below the critical $1.04T support level yesterday, Total3 experienced a sharp decline, finding its footing at a key horizontal support level. This drop coincided with many altcoins also reaching their respective support zones. For traders, this presented an attractive opportunity to enter the market at more favorable prices, effectively halting the downward momentum. Currently, the chart shows a promising reversal forming. As long as this horizontal support level holds, there is a strong likelihood of continued upward movement, potentially paving the way for a new all-time high.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3Long
by Mihai_Iacob