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Crude oil awaits upward breakthrough 💡Message Strategy Inventory data provides short-term support, but it is difficult to change the trend Although oil prices are under pressure overall, inventory data released by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) show that as of last week, U.S. gasoline and distillate inventories have dropped significantly, while gasoline consumption has increased by 6% month-on-month to 9.2 million barrels per day, indicating that the summer driving peak has brought short-term positive factors. In addition, global aviation demand has also become an important variable to boost market sentiment. JPMorgan Chase pointed out in a client report: "In the first eight days of July, the global daily number of flights reached an average of 107,600, a record high, among which aviation activities in Asian countries have recovered to the peak in nearly five months." The bank also expects that the average daily global crude oil demand growth this year will be 970,000 barrels, which is basically consistent with its forecast of 1 million barrels at the beginning of the year, indicating that although the consumption end is under pressure, it has not yet experienced a cliff-like decline. 📊Technical aspects The short-term (4H) trend of crude oil breaks through the upper resistance of the range and runs in an upward trend. The moving average system is arranged in a bullish pattern, and the short-term objective trend direction is upward. The MACD indicator opens upward above the zero axis, and the bullish momentum is sufficient. The oil price fluctuates in a narrow range, and it is expected that the crude oil will continue to rise. In terms of operation, crude oil is mainly long at a low level. If it rises to the target point, the direction will be selected according to the pattern and continued attention will be paid. 💰Strategy Package Long Position:65.50-66.50，SL：64.00，Target:69.00-70.00
TVC:USOILLong
by TheodoreSilas
USDJPY: Bearish Divergence – Eyeing Shorts to 143 CAPITALCOM:USDJPY We’re seeing strong bearish divergence in USDJPY near the 148 resistance zone, shifting our focus to short opportunities with a medium-term target at 142. 📈 Trading Plan: 🔻 SELL Stop: 147.040 ❌ Stop Loss: 149.220 ✅ Take Profit: 143.000 (Click 👉 Trade Now 👈 on your mobile to copy SL & TP easily) 🔍 Why am I short here? ✅ Technical: Clear bearish divergence on the H4 (RSI & MACD), indicating potential reversal signals. ✅ Resistance Zone: Price is testing the key 148 resistance, providing an ideal risk-reward location for shorts. ✅ Macro Event: Ahead of tomorrow’s US CPI release, a conservative trade structure is maintained to manage volatility risks. 📰 Fundamental Snapshot: Japan’s economy shows signs of stabilization: Core machinery orders fell only 0.6% MoM in May to ¥913.5B, much better than April’s -9.1% and forecasts of -1.5%. Despite the headline decline, it indicates resilience in Japan’s capital spending, supporting the JPY’s medium-term outlook amid global trade and growth risks. Trade cautiously!
Short
by ProfessorSingapore
1
Bitcoin Fractal, increase to $116k Hi Everyone☕👋 BINANCE:BTCUSDT Been such a long time since I posted. Today I'm looking at BTCUSDT, and I'm looking at the previous all time high cycle and what we were seeing (the pattern aka fractal). Here's why we're likely going a little higher. First correction of -32% Followed by first peak, ATH Correction, then the second peak and the REAL ath. Which is where we likely are: Interesting to note that the previous time, the second ath was NOT THAT MUCH HIGHER. This should be considered to manage expectations in terms of how high we can go. Anything above +6% is a bonus.
Long
by BlockTechEv
19
NASDAQ at Risk – Tariffs Pressure Tech IndexUSNAS100 – Market Outlook The index is currently in a sensitive zone, heavily influenced by ongoing tariff tensions. If the current geopolitical pressure continues, it may fuel bearish momentum across the tech-heavy index. To regain a bullish outlook, we need to see signs of negotiation or de-escalation, which could stabilize the price and lead it toward 23010 and 23170. However, as of today, the market appears to be setting up for a correction, potentially dipping to 22815, followed by a deeper bearish move targeting 22420. Support Levels: 22615 – 22420 Resistance Levels: 22905 – 23010
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by SroshMayi
1
NAS100 - Stock market awaits inflation!The index is located between EMA200 and EMA50 on the one-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. Maintaining the ascending channel and confirming it after breaking the downtrend line will lead to the continuation of the Nasdaq's upward path to higher targets (23000), but in case of no increase and channel failure, one can look for selling positions up to the target of 22500. Last week, the U.S.dollar demonstrated strong performance against major global currencies, despite having experienced some weakness since April 2, when President Donald Trump announced retaliatory tariffs against key U.S. trading partners. However, these tariffs were ultimately postponed, and only a baseline 10% tariff was maintained. The 90-day deadline for implementing these tariffs, originally set to expire on Wednesday, has now been extended to August 1. Nevertheless, Trump surprised the markets this week by announcing a 25% tariff on imports from Japan and South Korea, threatening a 50% tariff on Brazilian goods, and implementing lower tariffs for other partners. These developments triggered a shift of capital toward the U.S. dollar as a safe-haven asset, boosting its strength. This marks a notable shift in how the dollar is reacting to tariff tensions. In April, fears of an economic slowdown weighed on the greenback, but now it is gaining traction as a refuge in times of uncertainty, particularly as inflation risks mount—contributing to choppy moves in U.S. equity markets. As is customary, the earnings season will kick off with reports from major banks and financial institutions. On Tuesday, JPMorgan is set to release its financial results, opening the floodgates for a wave of earnings reports. The image referenced lists several other companies, many of which are market heavyweights. Following a relatively quiet week due to Independence Day holidays and a lack of major economic data, markets are now gearing up for a steady stream of reports in the coming days. Tuesday will bring the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for June along with the Empire State manufacturing survey. On Wednesday, the spotlight will shift to the Producer Price Index (PPI) for the same month. Then, on Thursday, traders will focus on June’s retail sales report, the Philadelphia Fed’s manufacturing survey, and the weekly jobless claims figures. The week will conclude with two additional reports on Friday: the June housing starts data and the preliminary reading of the University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index. June’s CPI report is expected to reflect an uptick in inflation, potentially driven by Trump’s tariff policies. Some analysts believe the tariffs will have an “undeniable” impact on prices, though others remain uncertain. Despite concerns from both experts and consumers that businesses might pass tariff costs on to buyers, inflation has so far remained relatively moderate this year. The effects of Trump’s aggressive tariff campaign on hard economic data have not yet been clearly reflected—but that may be about to change. According to Bloomberg’s consensus forecasts, as cited by Wells Fargo Securities, the CPI is expected to show a 2.7% year-over-year increase in June—up from 2.4% the previous month. Meanwhile, core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is projected to have risen 3% over the same period, compared to a prior gain of 2.8%. If these numbers come in as expected, it could support the forecasts of analysts who have warned that the costs of Trump’s heavy import tariffs would eventually show up on price tags, as manufacturers, importers, and retailers pass along the burden through the supply chain. Since taking office, Trump has imposed a wide array of tariffs, including a 10% levy on most imports, a 25% duty on foreign automobiles, and tariffs exceeding 50% on Chinese products.
CAPITALCOM:US100
by Ali_PSND
Gold Bullish Above 3342 – Watching 3365 BreakoutGold Futures Rise on Trade & Geopolitical Tensions Gold continues to gain as renewed tariff threats from the U.S. and rising geopolitical risks weigh on market sentiment. While markets have become somewhat desensitized to Trump’s recurring trade rhetoric, concerns remain that resolutions may be delayed. Technical Outlook: As long as the price holds above 3342, the bullish trend is likely to continue toward 3355 and 3365. A stable close above 3365 would open the way to 3395. However, a 1H close below 3342 may trigger a pullback to 3329. Pivot: 3342 Resistance: 3355, 3365, 3395 Support: 3329, 3319, 3309
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SroshMayi
8
Gold gaps up and open higher,beware of going long at high levelsBros, the Asian session opened higher in the morning. Currently, gold is falling back to the SMA1O moving average. We will continue to be bullish after it falls back and stabilizes. At present, it has broken through the key resistance level of 3360. The daily line has shown a strong pattern of three consecutive positives. The gold price remains in the rising channel, and the bullish trend is obvious. As the gold price moves up, the short-term moving average moves up with it. At present, 3355-3345 constitutes an important support in the short term, and 3375-3385 above constitutes a short-term resistance area. Whether it can stand firmly above 3360 this week is the key. Severe overbought in the short term, there are trading risks for long positions at high levels. Short-term operation suggestions for the Asian and European sessions: consider shorting when it touches 3365-3375, and stop loss when it breaks 3375. The target focuses on 3355-3345, and the breakout looks at 3330-3320. On the contrary, if it stabilizes at 3355-3345, you can consider going long.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by HuntingWolves
3
Short position profit, focus on 3355-3345 support📰 News information： 1. Focus on tomorrow's CPI data 2. Bowman's speech at the Federal Reserve 3. Tariff information outflows and countries' responses to tariff issues 📈 Technical Analysis： The short-term bears have successfully hit the TP to realize profits, and the trading strategy is still valid. Continue to pay attention to the 3355-3345 support during the day. If effective support is obtained here, you can consider going long. For the rebound, the first TP can focus on the 3365 line. If the gold price breaks through 3380 in the future, it will not be far from 3400. If it falls below, pay attention to the support of 3330-3320 below. It is expected that this is the limit position of short-term bearishness. The impact of tariffs is still there, and the bullish trend remains optimistic in the short term, unless Europe, Japan and other countries have a new solution to tariffs. 🎯 Trading Points： BUY 3355-3345 TP 3365-3380-3400 In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you. OANDA:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Allenbrowser-3
The bulls have started, aiming at 3400!Gold rose as soon as the market opened, and the highest has now reached above 3374. The upward momentum of gold is strong. It can be seen that after breaking through the recent high of 3365, its morphological structure has obviously tended to a bullish structure, and the technical form shows a "W" double bottom structure and an inverted head and shoulder resonance. The resonance of this technical structure will continue to support the continued rise of gold. At present, gold is under pressure near the 3380 area in the short term, followed by the area near 3405. At present, gold has a technical retracement near 3380, but it is difficult to destroy the already formed rising structure based on the current retracement strength. Once gold rises again, 3380 will definitely be conquered! It will even continue to the 3400-3410 area; and the area with obvious short-term support is concentrated in the 3350-3340-3330 area, so gold may still rebound again with the support of this area after the decline, and continue to rise. So for short-term trading, I would consider buying gold in batches based on the support of the 3350-3330 area, with the first target looking at 3380, followed by the 3400-3410 area.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trading_Steffen
GBPUSD → Correction amid a global bullish trend...FX:GBPUSD is testing the 1.345 - 1.35 area as part of a correction. The price is closing the imbalance zone and testing support, which may trigger a reaction. Further developments will largely depend on the dollar, which is testing resistance. The daily market structure is quite strong. The correction against the backdrop of a strong trend is within acceptable limits, and bulls should fight to keep the price away from risk zones. GBPUSD, as part of the correction, closes the imbalance zone of 1.34 - 1.35 (0.7 - 0.79f) and forms a false breakdown of the intermediate support level of 1.3476. If buyers hold their ground in the 1.347-1.35 zone, the currency pair will be able to return to the global trend. Support levels: 1.3476, 1.345, 1.3382 Resistance levels: 1.3511, 1.359, 1.375 Price consolidation above 1.349 - 1.350 will confirm the market's intentions. In this case, we can expect growth to 1.36 - 1.374. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
14
XAUUSD BULLISH SMC BREAKOUT PLAY AFTER TRADE 📈 XAUUSD – Bullish SMC Breakout Play Price broke the descending trendline with a clear Break of Market Structure (BMS) and respected a Bullish Order Block (Bu-OB), forming a clean Higher Low (HL). The current Higher High (HH) confirms a bullish shift in structure with momentum targeting the 3450+ liquidity zone. 🟩 Bias: Bullish 📌 Structure: HH-HL (Market Structure Shift) 🎯 Target: 3451 🧠 SMC View: Order Flow + Structure = Confirmation
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by BasitTraders
EURAUD: Rebound to 1.798 is high probabilityI am watching for a reversal here EURAUD as marked on my chart, expecting a rejection with a upside target at around 1.798. This are is where it can become a decision point, either price finds support and bounces, or it breaks below, and that’s when we might see the move start to extend lower. If we get a decisive move upside, my next area of interest is marked as T2. From there we can expect either potential accumulation or another reaction, depending on broader market sentiment at the time. Just sharing my thoughts for the charts, this isn’t financial advice. Always confirm your setups and manage your risk properly. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by TrendDiva
29
XAUUSD 4H bullish setup📈 Gold (XAUUSD) 4H – Breakout Retest Toward 3439.25 Des: Price has finally broken out of the tight consolidation range and is now trading above key structure. I'm watching for a bullish continuation play with a possible retest into the 3360–3365 zone (demand/OB zone), followed by a push toward the 3439.25 target. ✅ Bullish structure confirmed 🔄 Waiting for pullback entry 🎯 Target: 3439.25 🛡️ Clean invalidation below 3350 Let’s see how this unfolds 🔥
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by HurricaneFx_
2
BITCOIN → Stopping after the rally? What next? 125K or 110K?BINANCE:BTCUSDT rose and updated its historical maximum to a new record of 118K with “kopecks” (different prices on different exchanges). Now the price has supposedly stopped and entered a consolidation phase, but it is too early to draw any conclusions based on this alone... Fundamentally, Bitcoin rose following the SP500 and NQ100 indices. The reasons are clearly geopolitical. The correlation level is not high, but the flagship is following the stock indices, which are also updating their historical highs. Technically, Bitcoin has emerged from a two-month consolidation and entered a realization phase. So what's next? Continuation of the phase or correction? Let's take a look. On the daily chart, I would highlight two zones. The risk and sell zone is below 117,500. If the price closes below this zone today/tomorrow, we will most likely be able to look for signals for a possible correction. As part of the correction, we can expect a decline to 115,500, 114,300, or even to the old ATH of 112K. The second zone is the buying zone. A closing price above 118,400–118,900 and consolidation with the gradual formation of a breakout of structure may hint at a possible continuation of growth toward psychological targets. Resistance levels: 118,400, 118900 Support levels: 117100, 116700, 115500 In the chart above, I have highlighted the situations, levels, and zones that interest me more precisely. Now I am waiting for Bitcoin to retest resistance or support and confirm certain levels, based on which decisions can be made. I think that in the near future, Bitcoin will show us where it is headed. Updates will be published as something interesting emerges... Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
52
It is the right time to go long after the shock and adjustmentGold opened higher at 3364 today, and after a brief surge to 3374, it entered a stage of shock and retracement. Our plan to arrange short orders near 3370 was successfully implemented, and we stopped profits in batches in the 3360-3355 range, making short-term profits. Overall, although it jumped higher due to the stimulus of news such as the increase in tariffs over the weekend, the momentum of the surge is limited, and the technical side still needs to retrace to digest the gains. At present, the market has returned to the technical rhythm. The key support refers to the breakthrough point of 3340-3345 last Friday. Further exploration will look at the strong support of 3330. The overall rhythm is still mainly to arrange long orders near the low support, and going with the trend is the key. As long as the 3330 support is not broken, the daily line structure will still maintain a strong bullish trend. Do not blindly chase the short position. The operation of short orders against the trend needs to be particularly cautious. I will promptly remind you of the specific operation strategy according to the changes in the market. You can pay attention to the bottom notification. It is recommended that you keep paying attention and respond to the market rhythm steadily. Reference for gold operation strategy: Go long on gold near the 3345-3355 area, target the 3365-3370 line. If it breaks above 3370, you can continue to hold and hope for further continuation.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trade-Daniel
NATURAL GAS - REBOUND FROM THE MAJOR TRENDLINE AND ANOTHER LONG CAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS Last week on Wednesday and Thursday we observed the false breakout of the major trendline. Eventually, Thursday ended up bullish, gaining 4.8% day-to-day. On Friday the asset has been trading majorly sideways, retesting the major trendline (pic 1). Technically, looks like the divergence on RSI, MACD and Momentum works out as well as the bullish wedge (pic 2). Fundamentally, we still have warm temperature weather forecasts in the U.S. and bullish Thursday's EIA report. Additionally, today the market opened with a bullish gap and continues to grow, which is a good signal for the buyers. Considering major levels here, I decided to open long positions: 🔼 a market buy order at 3.4556 with ❌a stop loss at 3.2995 and 🤑a take profit at 3.7927 At 3.6000 would be reasonable to reduce long position on a half. Thank you for the attention!
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASLong
by ProfessorSingapore
EURUSD - OPPORTUNITY TO PLAY BOTH SIDES OF DESCENDING CHANNEL CMCMARKETS:EURUSD TRADING IDEA - EURUSD MOVES WITHIN A DESCENDING CHANNEL - OPPORTUNITY TO PLAY BOTH SIDES EURUSD has been trading within a descending channel since the beginning of the month. Nearby the upper border of the channel there is SMA200 on a 30-m timeframe, pushing on the pair. Generally speaking, all major moving averages are pushing on the EURUSD, the short-term bearish trend continues, so I decided to open 🔽 a market sell order at 1.16688 with ❌a stop loss at 1.16985 and 🤑a take profit at 1.16324 Later I expect a rebound from the lower border with a potential uprise towards upper border of the descending channel.
Short
by ProfessorSingapore