USDCHF → Hunting for liquidity before the fallFX:USDCHF , against the backdrop of the falling dollar and the exit from consolidation, is forming another ‘bos’, which only confirms the market sentiment.
The fall of the dollar only increases pressure on the currency pair. The price has broken out of consolidation and is trading below the key level. USDCHF has broken through a fairly strong support level, which only confirms the bearish market structure. A correction is forming ahead of a possible decline (liquidity capture).
Resistance levels: 0.803, 0.8042
Support levels: 0.798, 0.79
Fundamentally and technically, the currency pair looks weak. The decline may continue after the liquidity capture phase and a retest of resistance. A false breakout of resistance will be a strong signal.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Trend Lines
Gold Holds Above $3340 as Dollar Drops and Fed Uncertainty Rises GOLD OVERVIEW
Gold Holds Gains as Dollar Weakens and Fed Uncertainty Grows
Gold climbed above $3,340 per ounce on Thursday, supported by a sharp decline in the U.S. dollar amid growing dovish expectations from the Federal Reserve.
Adding to market speculation, U.S. President Donald Trump hinted he may announce a new Fed Chair as early as September or October, potentially reducing Jerome Powell’s influence before his term ends in June and boosting expectations for a more accommodative policy stance.
TECHNICAL OUTLOOK – XAU/USD
Gold shows bearish potential if the price can stabilize below the pivot level at 3,341.
However, while trading above 3,341, a short-term correction toward 3,364–3,365 is likely before any renewed selling pressure.
Today’s U.S. GDP release may add further volatility and direction to the market.
Key Levels
Pivot Line: 3,341
Resistance: 3,364 → 3,373
Support: 3,320 → 3,302
previous idea:
Gold fluctuates, operate at the right time!
💡Message Strategy
Trump called Powell "terrible" and said he was considering three or four candidates to replace Powell. Meanwhile, the Wall Street Journal reported that Trump was even considering announcing a potential successor as early as September or October.
The current mainstream narrative in the market is that once Trump nominates a new Fed chairman, market expectations will tend to favor a more "dovish" Fed. This in turn could lead to a weaker dollar, higher U.S. long-term Treasury yields, and higher stock prices.
Powell testified before the U.S. Senate on Wednesday that while Trump's tariffs could trigger a one-off price increase, the risk of sustained inflation is significant enough for the Fed to be cautious about further rate cuts.
Markets are now focused on U.S. GDP data due out that day and will closely watch personal consumption expenditures (PCE) data on Friday for further clues on whether the Fed will cut rates.
On the geopolitical front, a ceasefire between Israel and Iran appeared to hold on Wednesday. Trump hailed the swift end to the 12-day conflict at a NATO summit and said he would seek a commitment from Iran to abandon its nuclear ambitions in talks next week.
📊Technical aspects
From the 1-hour analysis, the upper resistance is around 3350. The intraday rebound relies on this position to continue the main short-term decline. The lower short-term support focuses on the 3300-3310 integer mark, and the upper pressure focuses on the 3350 mark.
The overall support relies on this range to maintain the main tone of high-altitude low-multiple cycle participation. The short-term long-short strength and weakness watershed is 3370. It is difficult to say that it is strong before the daily level breaks through and stands on this position. Pay attention to the specific operation strategy in time.
💰Strategy Package
Short Position:3340-3350,SL:3320,Target: 3310-3300
Long Position:3310-3320,SL:3290,Target: 3350-3360
Waiting for data release to rebound and short📰 Impact of news:
1. PCE and Consumer Index
📈 Market analysis:
The current price of 3280 has a higher profit and loss ratio advantage. Technical indicators show that the hourly chart is severely oversold. Combined with the top and bottom conversion of 3300 above, there is a 20-point rebound space in the short term. If the PCE data is in line with the trend, gold prices are expected to quickly regain the 3,300 mark. Note that negative data beyond expectations may cause a brief decline.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3295-3280-3275
TP 3298-3300-3310
SELL 3300-3310
TP 3290-3280-3260-3250
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
XRP Bears Ready to Feast? Short Setup Targets $1.93 With 1.6:1RROn the XRPUSDT 4-hour chart, price action shows a clear rejection of higher levels and a transition to a bearish tone. After rallying up toward the 2.19–2.18 USDT resistance zone, XRP failed to sustain momentum and rolled over sharply. The Supertrend indicator flipped to red, signaling renewed selling pressure.
Currently, the market is retesting the 2.09–2.10 USDT zone, which previously acted as strong support but is now functioning as resistance. This is a classic bearish retest structure, often confirming further downside if price fails to reclaim the level decisively. Beneath the current price, the most significant support area rests near 1.93 USDT, where buyers previously defended with strong volume.
This backdrop supports a short-biased trade setup. The ideal entry would be around 2.09–2.10 USDT, where the market is testing the broken support as resistance. The stop loss should be positioned just above the prior swing high and the top of Resistance Level 2, at 2.19 USDT. If the rejection holds, the take profit target aligns with the clear structural support around 1.93 USDT. This setup offers a risk of roughly 0.10 per XRP and a potential reward of about 0.16, maintaining a sound risk-reward profile near 1.6:1.
While a bullish reversal is possible if XRP can reclaim 2.19 USDT on a strong daily close, current price action and trend signals favor sellers in the near term.
Dow Jones Retesting 43,020 | Bullish Bias Intact Above 42,810US30 OVERVIEW
Dow Jones Holds Bullish Momentum | Eyes on Retest and Continuation
US30 (Dow Jones) remains under bullish pressure, supported by recent macro developments and improving sentiment.
The price appears to be forming a retest toward 43,020, which could act as a springboard for further upside.
As long as the index trades above 42,810, the bullish trend remains intact, targeting 43,350, and potentially 43,765.
However, a confirmed break below 42,810 would shift the outlook to bearish in the short term.
Resistance Levels: 43,350 → 43,765
Support Levels: 43,020 → 42,810
Previous idea:
USNAS100 Hits New ATH | Watch 22,520 for Possible Correction USNAS100 TECHNICAL OVERVIEW
Nasdaq 100 Prints New ATH | Eyeing 22,640, But Correction Risk Builds
USNAS100 recorded a new all-time high, supported by broad bullish sentiment across U.S. indices after upbeat S&P and inflation data boosted risk appetite.
Technically, the index remains bullish, but signs of short-term exhaustion are appearing.
If the price closes below 22,520 on the 1H timeframe, a correction toward the 22,280 zone is likely.
However, a clean break above 22,640 would confirm continuation toward the next upside target at 22,790.
Key Levels
Pivot Line: 22,520
Resistance: 22,640 → 22,790
Support: 22,410 → 22,280 → 22,200
Take a look at the previous idea to see more reality...
Where will gold go?In 4 hours, it has fallen below the previous low of 3295, and will continue to fall. There are two supports below, namely 3280 and 3265. Don't expect a big rebound before going short in a negative market. If the rebound is large, it will not fall. This kind of negative decline is generally judged by the 15- and 30-minute patterns. When resistance appears in the big cycle, the market has actually fallen a lot.
Today, I think the pressure is mainly in the 3300 and 3310 areas. 3310 can be considered as the pressure of the top and bottom conversion. Pay attention to 3280 and 3265 below. If you consider going long, these two positions are the main positions. For the time being, the general direction is mainly short.
$NVO Trade Idea – Potential Bullish Reversal Setup📊 Market Structure Insight
After a clear downtrend marked by consecutive Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL), NYSE:NVO is beginning to show early signs of a trend reversal.
🔹 Recent price action has shifted into a Higher High (HH) and Higher Low (HL) formation – a classic sign of bullish momentum building.
🔹 Price is consolidating above a major demand zone (~$60–68), which previously acted as strong support. Buyers are showing interest here again.
🔹 The RSI is rebounding from oversold territory, indicating growing bullish pressure and a potential momentum shift.
📈 Upside Scenario (Projection)
If the current HL around $67 holds, we could see a continuation of the uptrend targeting key levels:
TP1: $90 – Initial resistance / possible gap fill
TP2: $120 – Mid-supply zone and structure resistance
TP3: $147 – Macro supply zone and previous all-time high
🎯 Trade Setup
Entry Zone: $67–70
Stop Loss: Below $60 (beneath key support)
Targets: $90 / $120 / $147
⚠️ Invalidation
Breakdown below $60 would invalidate this bullish setup and signal possible continuation of the previous downtrend.
💡 Watch for confirmation on the next HL / HH combo. A clean breakout above recent highs would further validate the bullish case.
PENGU | Waiting for Trendline BreakPENGU/USDT is forming a classic descending triangle pattern with price consolidating near the lower support zone around 0.0060-0.0080. The key resistance level is the descending trendline (blue line) that has been capping recent rallies. RSI shows recovery from oversold conditions, suggesting selling pressure may be exhausting.
A decisive break above the trendline would signal a shift in momentum and potentially trigger the bullish scenario outlined by the red arrow projection. This breakout could target the upper resistance zone around 0.0220, representing significant upside potential.
The current consolidation near support provides a favorable risk-to-reward setup for patient traders. However, failure to break the trendline could see price retest the lower support levels. Volume confirmation on any breakout attempt will be crucial for validating the bullish thesis. Risk should be managed with stops below the recent lows around 0.0050.
CHFJPY: Strong Bullish PatternI observe a bullish accumulation pattern, specifically an ascending triangle, on CHFJPY chart.
In a strong uptrend, this pattern typically suggests a high likelihood of bullish continuation.
The next buy signal will come from a bullish breakout above the neckline of the ascending triangle on the 4H timeframe.
A close of a 4H candle above 180.94 will confirm this breakout, with the next target set at 182.00.
Technical outlook for the EUR/GBP pair!The EUR/GBP pair had been trading in a general uptrend on the 4-hour chart, forming higher highs and higher lows, until the recent pullback on June 24, 2025. During this decline, the price broke below the last higher low located at the 0.85257 level and recorded a lower low.
This recent drop suggests the end of the uptrend on the 4-hour chart and a shift toward a downtrend.
What is the next possible move?
A rise in price toward the 0.85607 level would be considered a corrective move before another potential drop targeting the 0.85241 level.
A rise above the 0.85749 level followed by a 4-hour candle closing above it would indicate a return to the uptrend and invalidate the negative scenario mentioned above.
There are opportunities for both bulls and bears in gold!Gold fell back and closed lower yesterday. The daily line closed with a negative cross overnight. The overall market has not changed much. The short-term repeated tug-of-war is temporarily consolidating. Today is the closing of the weekly line, and we will continue to maintain the volatile thinking. In the 4H cycle, the Bollinger Bands closed, temporarily exerting pressure on the middle track. After rebounding to 3350 yesterday, it failed to continue and remained in a weak shock pattern. Therefore, today's operation is mainly short and supplemented by long. The upper pressure is at 3328 and 3336. Short according to the rebound strength, pay attention to the rise and fall of 3310 below. A breakthrough may see the previous low of 3295. If the support is not broken, you can consider going long.🔔For more specific operation details and strategy updates, please pay attention to the notification 🌐 at the bottom.
Gold operation suggestion: short gold around 3328-3338, target 3315-3310.
DOW JONES INDEX (US30): Consolidation is Over
Dow Jones Index completed a bullish accumulation on a daily.
The price violated a key horizontal resistance cluster and closed above that.
Next goal for bulls is 43790.
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Analysis and layout of the latest gold trends during the day📰 Impact of news:
1. PCE and Consumer Index
📈 Market analysis:
Judging from the 4H chart, the Bollinger Bands are closing and the MACD is showing a trend of forming a death cross, indicating that the short-selling momentum is still relatively strong in the short term. However, as the overall upward structure has not been destroyed, there is still a possibility of a rebound and repair in the future. During the day, we need to pay special attention to the support strength of the MA5 and MA10 moving averages. It is recommended to adopt the idea of shorting at high levels and going long at low levels. The key support below is the 3305-3295 area, and the upper resistance is the 3340-3350 range. However, judging from the chart, in the short term, there may be a rebound near 3313. At present, it has indeed rebounded to around 3319 as expected. If it falls weakly to this week's low of 3295, you can buy if it does not break. On the whole, if it rebounds to 3335-3345, you can consider shorting, and if the support below 3305-3295 is not broken, go long. Today is Friday, and as it is near the end of the month, market liquidity is strong. Please be cautious in your operations today and be sure to set stop losses strictly.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3335-3345-3350
TP 3320-3315-3300
BUY 3305-3295
TP 3310-3320-3330
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
Gold shorting opportunity not to be missedGold hit the key resistance of 3350 and then fell under pressure, reaching a low of 3309, and was temporarily supported by the low point on Wednesday. The intraday showed a pattern of rapid decline after a volatile rise, highlighting the long-short tug-of-war pattern. The hourly line fell again after a pullback to 3328, indicating that there is still room for short-term retracement. The current operation needs to focus on key points: short orders can be entered again near the pullback of 3328-3335. If the market continues to decline, focus on the support range of 3300-3290, and long orders can be arranged if it stabilizes. The overall idea of oscillation is maintained. Before effectively breaking through 3350 or losing 3290, high-altitude and low-long are still the main strategy.
Gold recommendation: short near 3328-3335, target 3315-3305
Bulls and bears are anxious? Rebound continues to empty📰 Impact of news:
1. Initial unemployment claims data
📈 Market analysis:
Gold is in a sideways consolidation near 3320 in the short term. The market has no clear direction for the time being, and the long and short positions are in a tug-of-war. The hourly line rebounded to 3328 and then fell back again, suggesting that there is still room for short-term retracement. The current operation needs to focus on key points: if it rebounds to the 3320-3330 resistance area, you can consider entering short positions again. If the market continues to decline, focus on the 3300-3290 support range. If it stabilizes, long orders can be arranged. The overall idea is to maintain a volatile market. Before effectively breaking through 3350 or falling below 3290, high-altitude and low-multiple is still the main strategy.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3320-3330
TP 3310-3300-3290
BUY 3310-3300
TP 3320-3330-3340
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
The idea of oscillating crude oil
💡Message Strategy
Asia's crude oil imports hit a record high in recent years
In the first half of 2025, Asia's crude oil imports showed a significant increase. The average daily import volume in Asia reached 27.36 million barrels, an increase of 620,000 barrels from 26.74 million barrels in the same period last year, an increase of about 2.3%. The highlight of this growth was concentrated in June, when Asia's crude oil arrivals soared to 28.65 million barrels/day, setting a record high since January 2023, far exceeding 27.3 million barrels/day in May and 26.42 million barrels/day in June last year.
Import boom driven by price
What drove the surge in Asian crude oil imports in June? The answer has a lot to do with price. China and India are known to be extremely sensitive to crude oil price fluctuations, usually increasing imports when prices are low and choosing to shrink when prices are high. Crude oil arriving in June is usually scheduled six to eight weeks in advance of delivery, which means that these cargoes were purchased when oil prices were low in April and May.
Geopolitics and market uncertainty
The sharp fluctuations in oil prices in June are inseparable from the fueling of geopolitics. Israel's military action against Iran and the subsequent intervention of the United States once pushed crude oil prices to a five-month high. After Trump announced the ceasefire agreement, the market risk premium quickly subsided, but geopolitical uncertainty is still an important variable affecting oil prices. In the future, any new geopolitical events may push up oil prices again, which will further pressure Asia's import demand.
📊Technical aspects
The short-term trend of crude oil (1H) continues to fluctuate in a narrow range, with a small fluctuation. The oil price repeatedly crosses the moving average system, and the short-term objective trend direction fluctuates. The momentum is stalemate between long and short positions, and it is expected that the trend of crude oil will maintain a fluctuating consolidation pattern during the day.
However, crude oil is never that simple. It is greatly affected by international trends. At present, crude oil is still waiting for direction. So how can we obtain greater future returns in a volatile market?
The answer is simple. At this time, what we need to do is to use a small stop loss to leverage large returns within the pressure and support range.
💰Strategy Package
Short Position:67.00-67.20,SL:67.80,Target: 64.50-63.50/60.00
Long Position:64.00-64.20,SL:63.50,Target: 65.50-66.50/70.00
USDCAD Wave Analysis – 26 June 2025
- USDCAD reversed from the resistance zone
- Likely to fall to support level 1.3545
USDCAD currency pair recently reversed down from the resistance zone between the resistance level 1.3770 (former support from the start of May), upper daily Bollinger Band and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from last October.
This resistance zone was further strengthened by the resistance trendline from the start of February.
USDCAD currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 1.3545, which reversed the price in the middle of June.
DELL: Bullish Channel Breakout Targeting Prior HighsOverview:
Dell Technologies ( NYSE:DELL ) has exhibited significant price action over the past year. After a strong uptrend culminating in a multi-month high around the Target 145 zone in late 2024, the stock underwent a substantial correction. However, since its April lows, NYSE:DELL has initiated a robust recovery within a well-defined ascending channel, demonstrating clear bullish momentum.
Key Price Action & Patterns:
Prior Uptrend & All-Time High Test (August - December 2024): The initial phase of the chart shows NYSE:DELL in a strong ascending channel, culminating in a peak within the Target 145 zone. This zone represents a significant historical resistance level, being the prior peak before the subsequent decline.
Corrective Phase & Bearish Channel (December 2024 - April): Following the rejection at the 145 zone, NYSE:DELL entered a steep downtrend, breaking below key support levels and declining into April.
Bullish Reversal & Ascending Channel (April - Present): From its April lows, NYSE:DELL has embarked on a powerful recovery, forming a clear ascending channel. This pattern is characterized by a series of higher highs and higher lows, indicating sustained buying pressure.
Critical Levels & Current Status:
105 (Lower Teal Zone): This level has acted as a crucial support point within the current ascending channel, marking a significant higher low in the ongoing recovery phase. It represents a strong demand zone.
115 (White Line): This horizontal line served as an intermediate resistance level in late May/early June before being decisively breached. It now technically functions as immediate support, offering a potential retest level on any pullback within the current uptrend.
125 (Current Teal Zone): This is a highly significant pivot zone. It previously acted as major support in late 2024 before the breakdown and later as resistance during the early stages of the recovery. The recent price action shows a decisive breakout above this 125-resistance zone, signifying strong bullish conviction.
Target 145 (Upper Teal Zone): As the prior multi-month high, this zone remains the primary overhead resistance and potential upside target following the breakout from the 125 level. The dotted line projection illustrates a common post-breakout scenario, where price might retest the breakout level (125, now as support) before potentially moving towards the 145 targets.
Technical Outlook:
The recent breakout above the 125 resistance is a strong technical development, confirming the strength of the current uptrend within the ascending channel. This move suggests that buyers are in control and are aiming for higher price levels. The immediate focus shifts to the validation of the 125 level as new support, followed by a potential advance towards the Target 145 zone. Continued price action within the ascending channel and above 115 would reinforce the bullish bias.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.