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BTC - NEW ATH Approaches and ALTSEASONThe first time I started talking about my outlook for BTC in 2024, was in MAY. This is the original post where I first propose the Elliot Wave theory, with a 30% multi-month correction: It's been a painful journey that required a lot of patience - but today, I am pleased to see that the idea has payed out by 95% so far. The play has always been a "multi-month" approach, and now it is the last push towards the new ATH which I believe to be anywhere from 82K upwards. _________________________ OKX:BTCUSDT
Long
by CryptoCheck-
1
Yields Revisit a Key LevelThe recent rise in Treasury yields has caused some worry among stock investors. However there could be reason to think the move is ending. Today’s chart of the 10-year Treasury note yield uses two-week candles to provide a longer-term view. It highlights the 4.324 percent level, which was a peak back in June 2008 that became important again in October 2022. TNX paused at the same spot in August 2023 before surging toward 5 percent. There was further churning at 4.324 percent between February and June. Also notice how yields accelerated lower in July after breaking the level. All those points may confirm its importance -- and make traders more attentive to it being tested this week. Will a reversal here confirm lower yields are coming? Next, March 2024 saw a lower high than October 2023. If yields decline from here that would represent another lower high. Finally, you have the March 2023 low of 3.25 percent. At that time, the Federal Reserve was still raising interest rates. Now, with an easing cycle underway, some investors may see a possibility of yields filling at least some of that space. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
TVC:TNX
by TradeStation
3
Binance Coin Long Setup Setting / Next Alt-Season BasketBINANCE:BNBUSDT OKX:BNBUSDT 📈Which side you pick? Bull or Bear SL1 ---> Low-risk status: 3x-4x Leverage SL2 ---> Mid-risk status: 5x-8x Leverage (If there is just one SL on the chart, I suggest, low risk status) Considering the price trend in its previous channel, by repeating the stabilization of the price at the bottom of the second parallel channel, it can be expected that the price will continue to move up to the top of the new channel. The price breaking above the specified level can increase the certainty of the realization of the price target. The price falling below the red level cancels the bullish scenario of Binance Coin. Potential price targets for the levels will be $950 and $1,447. 👾Note: The setup is active but expect the uncertain phase as well. also movement lines drawn to predict future price reactions are relative and approximate. ➡️Entry Area: Yellow zone ⚡️TP: 950 1447 2340 3515 🔴SL: 252 🧐The Alternate scenario: If the price stabilize against the direction of the position, below or above the trigger zone, the setup will be canceled.
Long
by CrazyS
Strong gold will continue to challenge the 2800 mark Gold prices continued to rise today, and have hit a record high of $2,790 per ounce so far, with the technical upward trend remaining intact. The technical signal is clear, that is, bulls are dominant and the trend is long. We had already intervened and followed up before the price broke through the previous high yesterday. After profit-taking, we continued to follow up and look bullish today. The US election is getting closer, and the uncertainty before and after it is bound to increase the market's risk aversion sentiment. At this stage, the time has not yet arrived for the shorts to fully release their momentum, and even if there is a retracement, the trend cannot be reversed. Moreover, we can also see from recent economic data that the Fed's expectations for interest rate cuts have not decreased, and the probability of subsequent interest rate cuts and large interest rate cuts is still there, that is, there are factors supporting the further rise in gold prices. During the rise in gold prices, the world's largest gold ETF saw a reduction in holdings yesterday (-1.72 tons), and the silver ETF saw a reduction in holdings on the 28th (-19.85 tons). This data is only for reference and is not the only basis for judging the trend of gold and silver. Today, Wednesday, the U.S. October ADP employment (small non-farm) and third quarter GDP data will be released in the evening. If the data is higher than expected, it will theoretically have a negative impact on the price of gold, otherwise it will push it up. According to the "Multi-cycle Super Trend Indicator", the upper pressure in the short term is around $2,785, which has been broken through, and further extension can be seen at $2,800 and $2,805. The first support below is $2,772, and then $2,764. Especially in the current month-end period, there is always a time when the power of gold prices is exhausted in the slow rise, so it is necessary to pay attention to the sharp decline after the price approaches or breaks through the $2,800 mark. Last Wednesday, the price of gold hit a new high, and then it was under pressure to consolidate. The sharp dive in the evening swallowed up all the gains during the day, and the single-day decline was as high as $50. Today is also Wednesday, and the past trend may not be completely repeated, but we have to be vigilant.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Yuliya1l11
HelenP. I Gold will make small correction and then continue riseHi folks today I'm prepared for you XAUUSD analytics. If we look at the chart we can see how the price some days ago rebounded from the trend line and rose to support 2, which coincided with the support zone. Then the price broke this level and then continued to move up, until it reached 2680 points, after which it turned around and made a correction movement to the trend line. When Gold reached this line, the price broke it and dropped to support 2, but soon turned around and in a short time rose to the trend line and even made a gap. Then price some time traded near the trend line and later broke it. After which Gold reached support 1, which coincided with one more support zone, broke it, and rose even higher in this area. But sometimes, the price fell to the support zone, and now it rising. For this case, I expect that XAUUSD will make small correction and then continue to move up, therefore I set my goal at 2775 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FirstNameHelen
15
Mastering Fibonacci ChannelsFibonacci Channel: A Tool for Identifying Potential Trend Levels The Fibonacci Channel is a powerful technical analysis tool that advanced traders use to identify potential support and resistance levels within a trend. This tool is particularly useful in trending markets, such as Forex and equities, to gauge price movement and pinpoint strategic entry and exit points. The Fibonacci Channel consists of a series of parallel lines plotted using Fibonacci ratios (such as 0.382, 0.5, 0.618, etc.). These lines help traders mark key areas within a price trend that could indicate a potential reversal or continuation. How to Use the Fibonacci Channel 1. Identify Start and End Points: Begin by identifying the start and end points of a trend that you want to analyze. 2. Draw the Channel Lines: Next, draw a trendline between the two points. The Fibonacci levels are then plotted as parallel lines above and below this trendline, helping traders visualize potential levels for price to reach or retrace. 3. Interpret the Lines: The plotted Fibonacci levels act as potential areas of support and resistance, providing traders with strategic points for entry or exit. For example, price movement reaching the 0.618 level often suggests a high probability of either reversal or trend continuation. Using the Fibonacci Channel allows you to take advantage of market psychology embedded in these ratios, helping you make more informed decisions in a trend-driven market.
Education
by habib75rajabi
Gold Trading- How to Avoid false breaks- 3 simple tipsIf you’ve been trading long enough, you know the rush of seeing a big bullish breakout. Those massive green candles make it tempting to jump in immediately, fearing you might miss the move. But if you’ve experienced a few of these moves reversing sharply, you also know the sting of buying at the top. False breakouts—when price appears to break out but quickly reverses—can be frustrating. You can’t avoid them entirely, but using a few smart strategies can help reduce the risk of getting caught on the wrong side of a trade. Let’s dive into key strategies for breakout trading, including buying dips in an uptrend and selling rallies in a downtrend. 1. Don’t “Chase” the Markets When the market suddenly surges higher with multiple big bullish candles, the temptation to enter is strong. This move can make it feel like you’ll miss out if you don’t buy immediately. But in most cases, strong moves like this mean the market is likely due for a pullback. In an uptrend, these fast, high candles can often reverse or slow down, leaving those who bought at the high with losses. Pro Tip: If you spot three or more large bullish candles in a row, it’s usually too late to enter. Waiting for a pullback (which we’ll discuss soon) is often the safer approach. 2. Trade with the Trend: Buy Dips in an Uptrend and Sell Rallies in a Downtrend One of the most effective strategies for avoiding false breakouts is trading with the trend. Here’s the basic principle: In an Uptrend: Buy dips. When the market is trending upward, buying during short-term pullbacks is often a better strategy than buying during strong rallies. This approach allows you to get in at a lower price, reducing the risk of buying at the high. Example: Suppose the market is moving steadily upward but experiences brief pullbacks to a support level. This is an ideal opportunity to buy, as it aligns with the trend's direction without chasing after a breakout that could reverse. In a Downtrend: Sell rallies. During a downtrend, the market will often move lower, but with periodic upswings. These rallies are temporary and typically followed by further downward moves. Selling during these rallies can help you align with the downtrend while avoiding the risk of a sudden reversal. This buy-dip, sell-rally strategy aligns your trades with the overall market direction, minimizing the chances of getting caught in short-lived breakouts. 3. Look for a Buildup Before Entering a Breakout Trade One key strategy to avoid false breakouts is waiting for a buildup near a key resistance or support level. A buildup is a tight consolidation (or a “squeeze”) pattern that suggests the market is coiling up energy to make a sustained move in one direction. Here’s how it helps: Buildup at Resistance: If an uptrend is approaching a resistance level, a buildup (narrow price range) near that level often indicates strong buying pressure. It suggests that sellers are struggling to push prices lower, increasing the likelihood of a successful breakout above resistance. Stop Loss Placement: If the price breaks out from a buildup, you can use the low of the buildup as a stop-loss point. This gives you a more favorable risk-to-reward ratio because if the breakout is genuine, it’s unlikely to fall below the buildup low. Pro Tip: Patience is key. Wait for the buildup pattern to appear near resistance in an uptrend or support in a downtrend before taking a breakout trade. This approach is particularly useful when combined with buying dips in an uptrend or selling rallies in a downtrend. Very recent example (yesterday): Summary: Strategies for Breakout Trading and Trend Alignment To avoid getting caught in false breakouts, follow these steps: - Don’t chase big moves after three or more bullish or bearish candles. - Align with the trend by buying dips in uptrends and selling rallies in downtrends. - Use buildup patterns to time your entries, placing stop losses below the buildup for better risk management. By focusing on trend alignment, buildup patterns, and avoiding the urge to chase, you’ll find yourself in stronger positions and with greater control over your risk in the market. These strategies can help you catch trend-following breakouts without falling prey to the frequent traps that catch traders off guard.
FX:XAUUSDEducation
by Mihai_Iacob
U.S. Futures Rise on Strong Tech Earnings; Key Technical Levels U.S. stock index futures rose on Wednesday, as Alphabet's strong quarterly results buoyed sentiment around technology megacaps, while investors also awaited crucial data to gauge the strength of the economy and the labor market. Technical Outlook: The price is expected to consolidate between 20,550 and 20,700 until a breakout occurs. Bullish Scenario: A 1-hour or 4-hour candle close above the ATH at 20,790 would signal potential for further upside, with the price likely to reach 20,950. Bearish Scenario: A 4-hour candle close below 20,550 would suggest downside pressure, targeting 20,420 initially. A break below 20,330 would further confirm the bearish trend, with potential declines towards 20,240 and 20,130. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 20770 Resistance Levels: 20790, 20950 Support Levels: 20550, 20420, 20240 Trend: - Bullish above 20790 - Bearish below 20550
OANDA:NAS100USD
by SroshMayi
WTI - How will oil react to the elections?!In the 4H timeframe, oil is below the EMA200 and EMA50 and is moving in its descending channel. In case of rising due to increasing tensions, we can see the ceiling of the channel and sell in that range with appropriate risk reward. If the downward trend continues and the support range is broken, you can buy oil at the bottom of the downward channel. Under President Joe Biden, U.S. oil and gas production has reached new records, and the outcome of the U.S. election is unlikely to significantly impact commodities like energy in the short term. Analysts at Capital Economics believe that the election result will have minimal influence on most commodity prices over the next few months. However, differences in candidates’ views on vehicle greenhouse gas emissions, liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports, and foreign policy toward Iran could notably impact oil and gas prices over the next five years. The CEO of Goldman Sachs stated that the U.S. economy is very resilient, expressing concerns over global inflation, spending, and the U.S. budget deficit. He advised focusing on the long-term interest rates in the U.S. Solomon emphasized the importance of U.S. long-term interest rates and mentioned that the Federal Reserve will base its 2025 decisions on economic data. He also noted that geopolitical impacts on Goldman Sachs’ business are minimal but voiced concerns about geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Yesterday, Saudi Arabia’s energy minister announced that the country remains committed to maintaining a production capacity of 12.3 million barrels of crude oil per day. In Q3, British Petroleum (BP) reported a net profit of $2.3 billion, exceeding analysts’ expectations. This compares to $2.8 billion in Q2 and $3.3 billion in Q3 2023. BP shares have declined by over 14% since the start of the year. BP is also targeting new investments in the Middle East and the Gulf of Mexico to boost oil and gas production. A BP spokesperson stated that the company will continue as a simpler, more focused, and higher-value entity. Other oil companies like Shell and Total are also preparing to release their quarterly reports shortly.
TVC:USOILShort
by Ali_PSND
GBPUSD Buy Opportunity from SupportGBPUSD recently broke below its previous support level, yet it has formed an inverse head and shoulders pattern near the psychological level of 1.3000. This level has shown resilience as the market decelerated while approaching it, forming a bullish divergence that strengthens the case for a rebound. The price has also bounced off the channel boundary and has now closed above the 1.3000 mark, showing higher lows, indicating building bullish momentum. Additionally, with the DXY forming a triple top at its resistance zone, there’s potential for a downward correction in the dollar, which could further support a GBPUSD rally. The target is the resistance zone around 1.3110
Long
by RTED_Investing
1
AMD (AMD): Trendline test coming - crucial for bullish case!Following the completion of wave 3, NASDAQ:AMD has also completed wave 4 with a near-perfect correction at the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level. The rapid V-shaped recovery after the drop validates our count and points to continued bullish momentum as long as key support levels hold. AMD’s earnings report on Tuesday aligned with forecasts but projected slightly weaker revenue than expected for the upcoming quarter. This led to a 6% decline in after-hours trading, raising concerns about potential deceleration in AMD’s overall business, even as the company remains a key player in the AI chip sector alongside its competitor, Nvidia. From a technical perspective, NASDAQ:AMD now faces a crucial test. The stock must break through the resistance zone between $162 and $174 to confirm further upside potential. Failing to do so could result in a pullback to the trendline, a level that has been respected several times since early 2023. As long as the stock remains above the $120 level, we maintain our bullish outlook. However, losing this level would confirm a bearish trend shift. We expect continued volatility, particularly post-earnings, and will monitor for a potential move higher or consolidation around these resistance levels. We are optimistic about AMD’s prospects but await further developments at this critical juncture.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
PEPEUSDT consolidation before potential JumpPEPEUSDT has recently established a fake breakout at the previous support level, forming a double bottom pattern. Since the beginning of the month, the pair has been consolidating following an impulse move, which suggests potential accumulation. On the daily timeframe, an inverse head and shoulders pattern is visible, signaling a possible reversal. If the price retests the support level and holds, it may gain the momentum needed to break through the downward channel. The target for this potential bullish move is the resistance zone around 0.0000108
Long
by RTED_Investing
1
GBPUSD: Confirmed Bullish ReversalThe GBPUSD appears to be showing a bullish trend on both daily and intraday charts. The daily chart shows a breakout of a resistance line in a wide horizontal channel, as well as a reversal in the trend. On the 4-hour chart, there is a retest of a previously broken resistance line in the channel, followed by a strong bullish movement and a change in character.(CHoCH) I anticipate the market will continue to rise, with the next resistance level at 1.3048.
Long
by linofx1
2
Topside wicks, sagging momentum suggests AUD/JPY break may stickAUD/JPY looks primed for downside. The price has broken the uptrend it's been sitting in since late September. RSI (14) is trending lower with the bearish signal confirmed by MACD. And one look at the topside wicks above 101.00 suggests sellers are lurking and unwilling to budge. If the price manages to close beneath the uptrend, you could sell with a stop above for protection. To make the trade stack up from a risk-reward perspective, the 50-day moving average or 98.04 are potential targets. Good luck! DS
Short
by FOREXcom