AUDUSD InsightHello to all our subscribers.
Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe!
Key Points
- U.S. President Trump is strongly pushing for the passage of a “mega bill” that includes massive tax cuts, despite opposition within the Republican Party. This is heightening concerns over the U.S. fiscal deficit.
- Amid these concerns, the yield on the 20-year U.S. Treasury bond was set at 5.047% in a $16 billion auction, triggering a “Sell USA” phenomenon.
- During the G7 finance ministers meeting, which runs through May 22, the U.S. and Japan are reportedly planning to hold currency discussions. There is speculation that the U.S. may pressure Japan to strengthen the yen.
Major Economic Events This Week
+ May 22: U.S. May Manufacturing PMI, U.S. May Services PMI
+ May 23: Germany Q1 GDP
AUDUSD Chart Analysis
Despite increased U.S. dollar volatility and the Reserve Bank of Australia's rate cuts, AUDUSD volatility remains largely unchanged compared to last week. However, after breaking through resistance recently, the long-term outlook suggests potential for a rise toward the 0.69000 level. As long as the support level at 0.63000 holds, we maintain a bullish view.
Trend Lines
AUDJPY Retest Watch for 95AUDJPY has successfully broken out of a long-standing descending trendline on the daily timeframe, signaling a potential trend reversal after a prolonged bearish phase. This breakout was followed by a classic retest, where price pulled back to validate the previous resistance line now acting as new support.
Key Technical Observations:
The trendline, connecting multiple swing highs since late 2023, has been clearly violated to the upside.
A minor consolidation followed the breakout, which now appears to be testing the broken trendline.
The pair is forming higher lows, suggesting bullish intent and buyer interest on the retest.
Bullish Scenario:
Entry Zone: Around 92.00–92.50, during or after the retest confirmation.
Target 1: 95.00 (previous swing high)
Target 2: 96.68 (Fibonacci extension and prior horizontal resistance)
Target 3: 101.37 (major resistance from late 2023)
Stop Loss: Below 91.20 or under the retest low (safe zone: around 90.80).
Alternative (Bearish) Scenario:
If the price fails to hold above the broken trendline and closes below 91.00, the breakout could be a false move.
In that case, downside pressure may push the price back toward 88.14 support.
Technical Context:
This setup is based on trendline breakout and retest, where a break and successful retest of a long-term descending trendline often leads to a bullish continuation. In essence, the structure of the chart reflects a potential trend reversal.
Bomeusdt Buy opporutnityBOMEUSDT continues to trade within a clear descending structure, recently bouncing from a major low and now approaching a critical decision zone.
The price reclaimed the $0.001874 buy zone after a sharp recovery and is currently forming a minor bullish channel. If this structure holds, the next bullish objective lies around the $0.005838 supply zone a key resistance where strong rejection is likely, given previous sell-offs.
Any pullback into the $0.001874 zone could offer a strong re-entry opportunity before the next leg up. Stay alert for price reaction around this confluence area.
GBPUSD Bearish Setup📌 Current Market Structure
Liquidity Sweep + Rejection in Premium Zone:
Price tapped into the major supply zone (red box) sitting above the last high.
Liquidity above previous highs was swept, and now price is rejecting → a classic buy-side liquidity grab setup.
Bearish Rising Wedge Structure Broken:
Price broke the inner rising wedge (red trendlines) to the downside and is now retesting the supply zone.
Breakdown aligns with a potential reversal entry or at least a bearish pullback.
Higher Timeframe Supply Zone:
The red zone coincides with the 1.34782 resistance, which price failed to break cleanly above.
This zone holds institutional footprints → possible smart money distribution.
🧠 Trade Idea (Bearish Bias Confirmed)
✅ Entry: Already activated inside the red supply zone.
📍 Stop Loss: Just above the red box (around 1.3480).
🎯 Target Zones:
TP1: 1.33281 → minor demand zone and previous consolidation.
TP2: 1.32870 → previous BOS retest zone.
TP3: 1.32543 → deep demand zone and trendline intersection.
TP4: 1.31759–1.31554 → external liquidity resting below structure (long-term target).
🔻 Risk-to-Reward: Excellent potential up to 1:5+ RR if TP4 hits.
🔄 Reversal Signals Confirmation
Watch for:
Bearish engulfing candles with rising volume inside the red zone (VSA style).
Displacement candle or M5–M15 BOS confirming internal structure shift.
⚠️ Invalidation Zone
If price closes a 1H candle above 1.3480, setup is invalidated.
Watch out for possible manipulation during the vertical blue lines (likely high-impact news).
🔮 Forecast:
Expecting a mid- to long-term retracement or reversal back to the 1.31700s – 1.32800s region, based on the current rejection from premium supply and completion of a liquidity sweep.
Bitcoin to touch the 236 next?4H timeframe
Bitcoin near-touched the ATH and currently we are yet to break above this level. Candle closes above the ATH could send BTC into price discovery however for now we should assume that it could be resistance.
Liquidity Zone @ 100,500
We could see a reaction to the 236 which is sat directly below the liquidity.
Microphone pattern formed during recent p.a.
I do think that if BTC is unable to succeed the previous ATH then we could see bearish price movement.
Technical Levels Respected – BTC Reaches $108K Target what next?📍 BTC Target Hit with Precision!
✅ As predicted in the previous analysis, Bitcoin has successfully tapped the $108K resistance zone — clean and technical execution!
📊 My chart spoke in advance... and the market listened.
🎯 Why miss out on these accurate forecasts?
📉 My strategies are not just random lines — they’re built on solid market structure, EMAs, and key price action zones.
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TradeCityPro | BCHUSDT Bitcoin Fork Ready to Hit New Highs?👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Let’s dive in and analyze the Bitcoin fork, BCH, to understand why this altcoin is performing much better than the broader market and is being supported at higher levels.
🌐 Overview Bitcoin
Before starting the analysis, I want to remind you again that we moved the Bitcoin analysis section from the analysis section to a separate analysis at your request, so that we can discuss the status of Bitcoin in more detail every day and analyze its charts and dominances together.
This is the general analysis of Bitcoin dominance, which we promised you in the analysis to analyze separately and analyze it for you in longer time frames.
📊 Weekly Time Frame
In the weekly time frame, we see that BCH is in a much better position compared to other altcoins and continues to form higher highs and higher lows!
After hitting the 707 resistance and getting rejected, we’ve been ranging in a large box. However, it’s fair to say that buyers have the upper hand in this box because, after touching the critical 268 support, we engulfed the previous three weekly candles and experienced a sharp move up to 424.
Currently, we’re at a critical point: we could either form a lower high relative to the previous resistance or undergo a mid-term correction and re-enter after breaking 424!
📉 Daily Time Frame
In the daily time frame, the situation is similarly favorable, and BCH is continuing its trend with good momentum. The formation of higher highs and higher lows provides a sense of calm to the uptrend.
After the heavy decline in February, it was natural for us to enter a ranging period before forming a new structure. This happened, and after retesting the 268 support, we started forming higher highs and lows, with our first entry at the 345 level.
Currently, after a rejection from 435, we’ve corrected to 386, which was a low-volume move, technically considered a pullback. If we see a supportive candle at this level, it’s a trigger for a buy, and breaking 435 will be the next trigger!
✍️ Final Thoughts
Stay level headed, trade with precision, and let’s capitalize on the market’s top opportunities!
This is our analysis, not financial advice always do your own research.
What do you think? Share your ideas below and pass this along to friends! ❤️
How to arrange after gold falls into consolidation🗞News side:
1. US officials said Trump's statement was related to the Golden Dome Project, which may affect the flow of funds
2. The tension in the Middle East has intensified, and the risk aversion sentiment has increased, which is good for gold
3. Although the withdrawal of Indian and Pakistani troops has eased the regional situation, geopolitical risks still exist
4. Trump mentioned the tax bill, which affected economic expectations and affected gold investment sentiment to a certain extent.
📈Technical aspects:
At present, gold is in consolidation, and the upward trend is slightly stagnant. From the hourly chart, there are signs of downward correction after the upward test of 3320. In the short term, the upper 3320 line has a certain suppression, so gold may test the support again and then rise after stabilizing. Then the first support below is the 3292 line, followed by the 3285 line. If it falls below, it may test the two key support points of 3273 and 3265. The current trend is not clear. In the future trading, we will wait patiently for the gold price to stabilize before entering the market.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
Gold - This is still clearly not over!Gold - TVC:GOLD - just needs a moment to breathe:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
It is just incredible how Gold has been rallying lately. Just over the past 1.5 years, Gold is up another +80% and is creating new all time highs every month. Since these strong rallies continue a lot longer than most people think, Gold still has significant upside potential.
Levels to watch: $3.500, $4.000
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
Bitcoin Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring BTC/USDT for a buying opportunity around 102,000 zone, Bitcoin is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 102,000 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
SHIB/USDT Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring SHIB/USDT for a buying opportunity around 0.00001420 zone, SHIB/USDT is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.00001420 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
XAUUSD | Liquidity Grab to BreakoutHello traders!
We’re currently observing a clean breakout setup on Gold (XAUUSD).
After a strong bullish structure with higher lows, price formed a rising wedge pattern, followed by a sharp fake-out and liquidity grab below trendline support.
The market quickly reclaimed the zone and is now breaking above the wedge’s descending resistance line with strength.
I’m anticipating a continuation to the upside, potentially toward the $3340–$3350 area, marked by the green target zone.
This setup offers a solid risk-to-reward opportunity, especially as price respected the lower liquidity sweep and confirmed with a bullish engulfing on the retest.
⚠️ Still, this is a reactive play — if the price closes below the grey zone, I will exit and reassess.
This is a short-to-medium term idea based on market structure, volume reaction, and breakout dynamics.
Good Luck!
DISCIPLINE
Strive for patience, perseverance, determination, & rational action.
Protect your capital. Use stop losses.
Never move or remove your stop just because price moves against you.
This is just my perspective — feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
If you find this analysis helpful, your support is appreciated! 🙌
Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
Always plan your trade, and trade your plan.
Hain Celestial Group | HAIN | Long at $1.39Hain Celestial Group $NASDAQ:HAIN. I've had this organic food company on my watchlist for some time as it has dropped massively since 2021. Today, it dropped over 50% post-earnings call after the announcement of weaker sales/earnings and the exit of its CEO (much needed). The company is going to do a "strategic review" of its business moving forward and this is the turn/recognition I've been waiting for entry. Currently, at $1.39, it is highly undervalued - despite the company's challenges (which had a $1.74 billion revenue in 2024). It has moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.91x and a moderate growth outlook. It's a perfect acquisition target and divestitures could be beneficial to the upside in the long-term. I do think, however, there is a chance this goes below $1.00 in the near-term. But given the CEO's departure and awareness that the company needs to reinstate investor confidence, there is a good chance this stock may return to fair value again (over $3).
Thus, at $1.39, NASDAQ:HAIN is in a personal buy zone, with a word of caution about price mentioned above. Outlook and targets are into 2027.
Targets:
$1.75
$2.00
$2.50
CHANNAL PATTERN - KAJARIACERTechnical Analysis:
Current Price: ₹1,003.9
Target: ₹4,000. This is a very ambitious long-term target, implying a substantial increase.
"History Repeat Based": Identified a historical pattern that, if repeated, could lead to such a significant price move.
Time Frame: 1 Year to 3 Year (indicates a long-term investment horizon for the target).
Trendline Support and Parallel Channel Pattern: These are bullish technical indicators. Trendline support suggests that the stock is finding buyers at a certain level, preventing further declines. A parallel channel typically indicates a sustained trend within defined upper and lower boundaries; a breakout from such a channel can signify an acceleration of the trend.
Fundamental Analysis :
Market Cap: ₹15,984 Cr.
Current Price: ₹1,004
Stock P/E: 46.8 (Higher than the Industry P/E, indicating a premium valuation)
Key Fundamental Observations:
Valuation Premium: Kajaria Ceramics trades at a P/E of 46.8, which is higher than the industry P/E of 40.2. It is also significantly above its intrinsic value and Graham Number. This suggests the market is pricing in substantial future growth or recognizing its brand strength/market position.
Declining Profitability: The negative profit growth of -17.9% and the decline in EPS from the preceding year (₹26.5 down to ₹18.5) and also from the previous quarter (₹4.88 down to ₹2.67) are significant concerns. This indicates a recent slowdown or reversal in earnings.
Strong Financial Health: Very low Debt to Equity (0.10) is a positive sign of strong balance sheet management. ROCE (16.8%) and ROE (12.8%) are decent, but could be better given the high valuation.
Shareholding Pattern:
Promoters: Stable around 47.49% as of Mar 2025.
FIIs: Have decreased their stake from 23.38% (Mar 2017) to 15.79% (Mar 2025), with some fluctuations.
DIIs: Have consistently increased their stake from 5.76% (Mar 2017) to 27.68% (Mar 2025). This strong DII buying is a positive sign.
Public: Decreased from 23.47% (Mar 2017) to 9.06% (Mar 2025).
No. of Shareholders: Increased from 37,855 (Mar 2017) to 89,567 (Mar 2025), indicating increasing retail participation.
Balance Sheet:
Consistent Growth: Total Assets have steadily increased from ₹1,176 Cr (Mar 2014) to ₹3,756 Cr (Mar 2025). Total Liabilities have also grown but seem managed.
Reserves: Growing steadily from ₹514 Cr (Mar 2014) to ₹2,728 Cr (Mar 2025), indicating reinvested profits.
Borrowings: Have fluctuated but remained relatively low compared to overall size, reaching ₹274 Cr in Mar 2025.
Corporate Action & Latest News:
Recent news would primarily focus on the company's latest quarterly results (which, as per your data, show a decline in EPS and profit growth).
Any announcements regarding capacity expansion, new product launches, or market share gains would be relevant.
Given its position in the building materials sector, news on real estate demand, construction activity, and government infrastructure spending would impact its outlook.
Overall Assessment:
Technical analysis of Trendline Support and Parallel Channel Pattern suggests a bullish outlook for Kajaria Ceramics. However, the fundamental picture shows some conflicting signals:
Positive: Strong balance sheet with low debt, increasing DII participation, growing shareholder base, and a history of growth in assets/reserves.
Negative: High valuation (P/E above industry, above intrinsic value), and importantly, a significant negative trend in profit growth and EPS (both year-on-year and sequentially in the latest quarter).
Target of ₹4000 (1-3 years): This is an extremely ambitious target, requiring a nearly 4x increase from the current price. While "history repeat" can be a valid technical argument, it would require a significant turnaround in the company's profitability to fundamentally support such a valuation in the long term, especially given the current negative profit growth.
Conclusion:
While the technical patterns you've identified could indicate short to medium-term upward movement, the long-term target of ₹4000 seems very aggressive given the recent fundamental trends of declining profit and EPS. For such a target to be plausible, Kajaria Ceramics would need to demonstrate a strong and sustained turnaround in its earnings performance in the coming quarters/years.
Considerations:
Confirm Technical's: Ensure the trendline support and parallel channel patterns are clearly established and holding on the chart.
Monitor Fundamentals Closely: Pay very close attention to upcoming quarterly results. A reversal of the negative profit growth trend is essential to support higher valuations.
Risk vs. Reward: Evaluate the risk involved, especially with a stock trading at a premium valuation while showing declining profitability.
USD/CAD Rejected at Key Resistance The Canadian Dollar is attempting to mount a counter-offensive this week with USD/CAD trying to snap a two-week rally. A reversal off technical resistance is now approaching initial support and the first test for the US Dollar bulls.
Initial weekly support rests with the 61.8% retracement of the recent advance at 1.3852 and is backed by key support at 1.3729/94- a region defined by the 38.2% retracement of the 2021 advance and the 61.8% retracement of the late-2023 advance. Look for a larger reaction there IF reached with a break / weekly close below needed to invalidate the 2021 uptrend / suggest a larger reversal is underway. Subsequent support objectives seen at 1.618% extension of the February decline / 78.6% retracement near 1.3504/23.
Weekly resistance stands at 1.3965/97- a region defined by the 52-week moving average, the 2022 swing high, and the 23.6% retracement of the yearly range. A break above this key pivot zone exposes confluent resistance at the 38.2% retracement / February lows at 1.4149/51- note that basic channel resistance converges on this zone over the next few days and a topside breach / close above would be needed to suggest a more significant low is in place / a larger recovery is underway. Subsequent resistance objectives eyed at the high-week reversal close at 1.4292 and the 2025 yearly open at 1.4383.
Bottom line : The USD/CAD recovery has responded to initial resistance around the yearly moving average. The immediate focus is on this pullback with initial support now in view. From at trading standpoint, losses would need to be limited to the 2022 trendline (red) IF price is heading higher on this stretch with a close above 1.3997 needed to fuel the next leg of the advance. Watch the weekly closes for guidance here.
-MB
PLTR – Flag Breakout Above All-Time HighsPalantir is printing a bullish flag pattern right above its all-time highs — this is a textbook continuation setup that often leads to explosive upside.
🔹 After a strong breakout to ATHs, NASDAQ:PLTR has been consolidating in a tight range — a healthy pause.
🔹 Flags that form above prior resistance often act as launchpads when volume comes in.
🔹 Break over the flag highs could open the door to a new leg higher.
Setup Notes:
Watching for a breakout over the flag with volume confirmation.
Tight stop under the flag base keeps risk defined.
Price action remains bullish as long as it holds above previous ATHs.
🧠 This is one of my favorite setups — strong stock, strong base, strong trend.
this is the first pull after this initial thrust. The pullback has been boring and orderly too which i think is bullish for the stock
Grasp the core strategy of trend tradingGold continues to be bullish and will go to the area near the gap of 3325. At that time, the short-term may be blocked and fall back. If it breaks, look at the area near 3340-3345. In the 4H cycle, relying on the moving average to support the rising stage, and the Bollinger is in an open state, there is still room to see above. The support for the fall back is to pay attention to the top and bottom of the small cycle of 3285, followed by the low point of 3274, but there will not be too much retracement in the strong position. In terms of operation, the main fall back is long, and gradually look at 3325 and 3345. Shorting can only be entered at key points, and fast in and out without fighting.
Operation suggestion: Go long on gold near 3285-74, look at 3315 and 3325! If it is extremely strong, go long on the support of 3298-3295!