GOLD → ATH Retest. Next $2800 or reversal? FX:XAUUSD is going to 2800 or??? The price is testing the ATH and does not show signs of reversal. A pre-breakdown consolidation is forming around 2758. Will there be another update of the highs?
Traders remain cautious ahead of Thursday's PCE release followed by jobless claims and NFP.
Profit-taking risks are increasing in both DXY and gold. It all depends on pre-news sentiment (background) as well as actual data.
The overall environment is complicated due to the US presidential race.
Gold is supported by the Middle East conflict, as well as hopes for more stimulus in the Chinese markets and economy.
Technically, gold is returning to the ATH, forming a pre-breakdown consolidation, hinting that there may be breakout attempts for further gains. Accordingly, as we are testing the ATH, we need to be ready for all eventualities!
Resistance levels: 2758, 2775
Support levels: 2745, 2728, 2724
Price has been in consolidation near resistance 2758 for the last 8 hours. It is gaining potential. Consequently:
1) If there will be an attempt to break through 2758 with the subsequent holding of the defense by the bulls above this area, then in the short term we should count on the continuation of growth to 2775-2800
2) IF a false breakout is formed and the price comes back down, forms consolidation below 2745, then further gold may go down to support before further growth.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
Trend Lines
AUDUSD InsightPlease feel free to share your personal opinions in the comments, and don’t forget to like and subscribe.
Key Points
- Weakening yen as Japan’s ruling LDP suffers a defeat in the general election.
- Betting markets currently place former President Trump’s chances of winning the upcoming election at 60%.
- According to The Hill and election site DDHQ, Trump has a 54% chance of victory.
- Continued “Trump Trade” effect strengthens the Dollar Index.
- CB Consumer Confidence Index shows the current conditions index at 138, with the expectations index at 89.1, both up from the previous month.
- Ceasefire discussions between Israel and Lebanon are ongoing.
- Australia’s September unemployment rate is 4.1%, with labor force participation at 67.2%. The likelihood of a rate cut by year-end has been adjusted down from 46% to 20%.
Key Economic Indicators Schedule
- October 30: Australia’s Q3 CPI, U.S. Q3 GDP, Germany’s October CPI
- October 31: Bank of Japan rate decision, Eurozone October CPI, U.S. September PCE price index
- November 1: U.S. October nonfarm payrolls, unemployment rate
AUD/USD Chart Analysis
Despite the lower likelihood of a rate cut by the Reserve Bank of Australia, the AUD/USD is trending downward due to the steep rise of the U.S. dollar. The support level at 0.66000, where a rebound was anticipated, has been broken, and further decline towards 0.64000 is expected. However, as this may not yet be a bottom, a rebound around 0.64000 remains possible.
We’ll adjust our strategy quickly if there are unexpected movements.
$RUNEUSDT: Ready to Break Out! BINANCE:RUNEUSDT has recently broken out of its downtrend and is now forming a symmetrical triangle, signaling a potential breakout that could lead to a significant upward movement. The fundamentals behind CRYPTOCAP:RUNE are strong, supported by a dedicated community, which adds to its long-term potential. Traders should keep an eye on the breakout from the triangle, as this could ignite a major price surge. As always, remember to set a stop loss to manage risk effectively while taking advantage of this exciting opportunity.
BINANCE:RUNEUSDT Currently trading at $5.2
Buy level: Above $5.25
Stop loss: Below $4.38
TP1: $5.7
TP2: $7
TP3: $9
TP4: $11
Max Leverage 3x
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$BA - Elon Musk is saying nice things about the new Boeing CEONYSE:BA Weekly chart. Elon Musk is saying nice things about the new Boeing CEO: "The new Boeing CEO spends time in the factory and understands engineering, which are big improvements. Hopefully, he turns around a once great company". I believe it's time to buy a call option for a swing-long trade. NFA
Bearish CRWD on 2 scenariosNASDAQ:CRWD
I'm anticipating CrowdStrike to keep falling (especially that the lawsuits hasn't bee settled yet), and that the pattern is back in the channel it's been in for the last 4 years.
Scenario 1: Fast drop
The yellow line represents a fast drop as per current economics readings, where it's anticipated to reach the $140 range around end of 1st quarter of 2025.
Scenario 2: following the Nov21>Dec22 fall pattern
The green line repeats the pattern of the fall between the period of November 2021 till December 2022, anticipating a fall to $150 around end of 3rd quarter of 2025.
Up to your considerations..
DJT - Social truth, or financial truth?This is a difficult case to analyze, as it depends so much on one individual. The hard facts can easily be overthrown by single events, and so NASDAQ:DJT might be highly volatile. If one should try to look at the hard facts, such as financials and technical, it is a hard sell. Barchart.com rates it as a Strong Sell, Tradingview has it as a Sell with only 3 of 22 indicators saying buy. Zacks doesn’t even rate it.
Looking at the chart, it is definitely a short. Price has been dropping since May, and the trend is clearly down. Price has gone up the last week or so, and some indicators (MACD, RSI) have turned up. Price has reached the top of the down channel, and a push down could be expected as I believe the rise lately is not sustainable. Because this is a stock that is solely dependent on one person, there could be irregular and unexpected moves in the stock. Said person might also win an election next month, and this might affect the stock. So be aware of non-stock related events.
Judging on financials and price behavior, this stock is a sell. I will not set a target, as the price is at a low and the level it was at for a very long time up until January this year. It remains to be seen if this level holds, if price keeps following the channel we are looking at a price around $8. I believe this is not at all outrageous, given the financial state of the company, but it is uncharted territory so I will not set it as a target.
Disclaimer: I am not a US citizen. I have no political inclinations, my analysis is purely based on charts and financial statements.
$BTC.D Hits 60% - What's Next?CRYPTOCAP:BTC has pumped over 10% the last few days which sparked Bitcoin Dominance to reach the long awaited 60% milestone.
Depending on how strong the weekly close is, CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D could reach as much as 65% before Alts start to play catch up.
1 week away until the US Presidential Election, with the following day FOMC bringing another round of rate cuts.
Things could get wild real fast. Buckle up!
$BTCUSDT Bouncing from Demand Zone – Eyes on $75KBINANCE:BTCUSDT Bouncing from Demand Zone – Eyes on $75K with Strong ETF Inflows!!
After a significant uptrend, CRYPTOCAP:BTC experienced a healthy correction, finding support at a key demand zone. The current bounce from this level, marked by a bullish candle, signals a potential shift towards upward momentum. Volume is steadily increasing, which further strengthens the case for a continued move higher.
Additionally, there’s a notable rise in MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN ETF inflows, adding more fuel to the current rally. This confluence of bullish factors sets the stage for BTC to reach new highs, with $75,000 being the next major target on the horizon. Traders should watch for sustained volume and momentum as key indicators of this breakout.
short-term 4H extended, weekly resistance, ATH resistanceThe BTCUSD chart is on fire, but the moon is beyond the final boss.
This glass ceiling is very unlikely to crack the first time, perhaps take some off the table
Reload on pullbacks to former levels of supports
BTCUSD can defy all logic and run straight through, just don't see it since massive potential good news is priced in. Could be wrong.
not financial advice
BTCUSDT near 73K$ resistance zoneAs we said price broke our channel and hit our first target which was 73K$.
Now we can expect short-term fall and a little range here before breakout and new ATH and 83K$ or if the breakout happens now we will expect this gain to happen now and hitting our next targets as soon as possible.
We are yet bullish long-term so no worries.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
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GBP/NZD Ready For Some Bullish ActionGoing long on GBPNZD for 3 reasons
1. Breakout Confirmation
2. Inverted H/S neckline breakout confirmation
3. 1:2 Risk to Reward.
Price may continue to move higher if the data release doesn't mess stuff up for the pair this week.
Note: Trade with caution and manage your position volume wisely.
Bitcoin - Gearing Up for NEW ATHBitcoin is showing a sudden increase in momentum, and the pattern I was watching has played out successfully after the last update:
Ultimately, the playout I have been talking about for MONTHS were as follow:
And this is the recent chart data on that exact idea:
I'm happy to finally see everything come together - it took some patience though!
Finally - impulse wave 4-5 (Elliot wave Theory) is in play! From here, we can expect ETH to gradually creep along, and when BTC trades sideways ETH and other top10 market cap alts will make gains. Find more on that, here:
When ETH stalls (and BTC even retraces a little) that's when the smaller cap altcoins will shine.
Cheers to another ATH 🥂🍻
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OKX:BTCUSDT
USDJPY SHORT SIGNALThe foreign exchange market (forex, FX (pronounced "fix"), or currency market) is a global decentralized or over-the-counter (OTC) market for the trading of currencies. This market determines foreign exchange rates for every currency. It includes all aspects of buying, selling and exchanging currencies at current or determined prices. In terms of trading volume, it is by far the largest market in the world, followed by the credit market.
The $100K Question: When Will Bitcoin Arrive? Bitcoin has just broken a significant trendline that traders everywhere are buzzing about, setting its sights on all-time highs.
This crucial move has ignited conversations across the crypto community, with analysts and enthusiasts alike scrambling to make sense of the implications.
With predictions flying around and various opinions flooding the forums, we want to turn the spotlight on you!
When do you think Bitcoin will reach the monumental $100K?
Is it a matter of weeks, months, or perhaps even longer?
What indicators are you watching closely that might suggest a timeline for this milestone?
Share your unique insights, and let’s build a great little discussion that stands out from the crowd.
Are you bullish on Bitcoin due to recent market trends, or do you have concerns that could slow its ascent?
Every perspective adds value..
From my viewpoint, Bitcoin touched an impressive $71,200 overnight and is currently holding steady around $72,000. We’re on the brink of a significant surge, with a potential 6%-10% daily pump that could see us hitting the $80,000 mark in no time.
Once we reach that level, I believe we’ll witness a parabolic move similar to what we saw with Gold, especially as we head toward April 2025.
The momentum is building, and the market sentiment is electric.
If history is any guide, we could be in for a wild ride ahead! I’m eager to see how this unfolds—what are your thoughts on this trajectory?
DAX INDEX (DAX): Confirmed CHoCH & Bullish OutlookI spotted a clear change of character(CHOCH) on the 4-hour time frame of the 📈DAX chart.
The market is currently trading in a strong bullish trend and has broken through a minor bearish trend and a key horizontal resistance level.
It is expected that the market will continue to move upwards, with the next resistance level being at 39,555.
The Danger of Complacency in Gold’s Bullish TrendThe current sentiment around Gold is highly bullish, with traders showing a strong bias towards continued upward momentum.
This optimism, however, may be breeding a sense of complacency that often precedes a major market shift.
Technically, indeed, the recent break above local resistance around the $2,742-$2,745 zone gives bulls a target near $2,780, reflecting the recent momentum.
Yet from a swing trading perspective, entering long at this level may carry more risk than reward.
The market's potential for a significant downside reversal could present far more valuable entry points.
Waiting for clear signs of a trend change, rather than chasing highs, aligns better with my risk-conscious approach, positioning to capture more meaningful moves on the downside.