Trend Lines
CADJPY: Bearish Continuation Confirmed 🇨🇦🇯🇵
It looks like CADJPY is returning to a bearish trend.
The price completed a consolidation within a bearish flag
and violated its support with a high momentum bearish candle yesterday.
With a high probability, the pair will continue falling soon.
Next support - 107.15
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AMC Entertainment Holdings | AMC | Long at $3.66First, I'm not an " NYSE:AMC APE" and have zero interest in becoming one. Second, don't trade NYSE:AMC unless you are fully aware the investment could go to zero or the company may devalue your trade via share dilution or other means (i.e., don't simply do as I do or blindly follow anyone else's moves, for the matter).
With that aside, I started a position/gambling play today in NYSE:AMC at $3.66. The reason is 80% technical analysis and 20% fundamentals.
Technical Analysis:
The blue line on the chart represents an average true range (ATR) from a historical simple moving average (SMA) that I use for trading. For simplicity, the historical SMA is not show on the chart - just the ATR. This blue ATR line has historically been a major line of resistance and support. When it breaks through and holds, the stock goes bull - but history may not repeat. The price recently broke the blue ATR line, fell below, and the broke out again today. This may be a sign that the downward trend (overall) is changing - perhaps furthering the accumulation phase in the $3s or a gradual rise from here. And with today's breakout, I grabbed shares at $3.66.
Fundamentals
Since 2020, NYSE:AMC has shown major gains in revenue and net income (loss reduction, that is). Revenu: $1.24 billion (2020); $2.53 billion (2021); $3.91 billion (2022); 4.81 billion (2023); $4.4 billion (2024, Q1-3 only). Net Income: -$4.5 billion (2020); -$1.27 billion (2021); -$973 million (2022); -$396 million (2023); -$399 million (2024, Q1-3 only). The company is not expected to become profitable until Q4 of 2026 , but the improvements are what one would like to see.
Counter-arguments and statements the stock is junk are totally valid. But the chart is quite interesting as the company moves toward profitability (maybe...).
Targets:
$4.30
$6.00
Squeeze/mass hysteria: $18.00, $40.00, and ridiculousness: $85.00
Iron Ore: Momentum Builds, 200DMA in SightIron ore futures have seen a decent rally over the past fortnight, rebounding from below $100 a tonne on strong volumes to take out downtrend resistance dating back to early December before going on with the move.
The price is now testing a zone that includes minor horizontal resistance at $102.25 and downtrend established in October when Chinese markets were rollicking along in peak stimulus mode. With momentum indicators firmly with the bulls, traders should be alert for a potential extension of the rally.
If we see the price push above this zone, longs could be established with a stop beneath for protection. The 200-day moving average looms as a potential target with $107.30 the next after that.
Take note of how poorly the price has traded above the 200-day moving average over recent months. As such, if the price action falters around this level again, those seeking the higher target may want to reconsider the merits of the trade.
Good luck!
DS
USD/IDR Flirts with Key Weekly Resistance Amid VolatilityThe Indonesian Rupiah (IDR) is currently at a critical juncture, with technical indicators suggesting potential upside for the USD/IDR exchange rate, while fundamental factors introduce significant uncertainties. A recent technical breakout points to a bullish trend; however, economic policies, global trade dynamics, and geopolitical developments present potential headwinds.
Technical Analysis: Ascending Triangle Breakout
On the weekly timeframe, the USD/IDR chart has exhibited a significant technical development. After a period of consolidation, the pair formed an ascending triangle pattern, characterized by a horizontal resistance line around the 16,263 level and an ascending trendline connecting successive lows.
It's important to note that breakouts often experience volatility, and it may be prudent to set a stop-loss order to protect against false breakouts.
The Ascending Triangle Formation
Over the course of several years, the USD/IDR chart has formed an ascending triangle pattern. This pattern is characterized by:
Horizontal Resistance: A flat resistance line, around the 16,263 IDR level. This line marks the upper bound of the price consolidation, indicating that the price has had trouble moving above this level on previous attempts.
Ascending Trendline: A rising trendline connecting successive lows. This line indicates an underlying upward pressure on the price, with each subsequent low being higher than the previous one.
These two components together create the ascending triangle shape, with the resistance line forming a flat top, and the trendline forming the rising base. This is a bullish continuation pattern, which typically resolves itself by breaking upwards.
Waiting for Breakout Confirmation
The USD/IDR pair is currently in a holding pattern, awaiting confirmation of a breakout above the horizontal resistance level. If the current candle closes decisively above the resistance, which is approximately at 16,850 IDR, it would signal a confirmed breakout. This development could pave the way for bullish momentum to overpower the resistance, potentially triggering a strong upward trend.
Implications of the Breakout
Bullish Momentum: The breakout signals a potential shift in momentum towards the bulls. The previously stagnant trading range has been broken, and the market is now expecting the pair to move higher.
Pattern Projection: Ascending triangle breakouts often project a potential price target. A common way to estimate this target is to measure the vertical height of the base of the triangle (the widest part of the triangle) and project that distance upward from the point of breakout. In this case, this method would give a long-term price projection.
Increased Volatility: Breakouts are generally accompanied by increased volatility as the market adapts to the new trend. The recent trading range which has been seen is now broken and the price is expected to trend upwards in a less volatile manner.
Fundamental Analysis
Bank Indonesia's Monetary Policy
On January 15, 2025, BI unexpectedly reduced its benchmark 7-day reverse repurchase rate by 25 basis points to 5.75%, marking the first cut since September 2024. This decision aims to stimulate economic growth amid global uncertainties and a low inflation outlook. However, the rate cut led to the Rupiah depreciating to a six-month low, reflecting market concerns about potential capital outflows and currency stability.
National Debt Obligations
In 2025, Indonesia faces substantial debt servicing responsibilities, with approximately Rp 800 trillion of central government debt maturing. This includes Rp 705 trillion in Government Securities (SBN) and Rp 95 trillion in loans from bilateral, multilateral, and commercial sources. The significant debt repayment obligations may limit fiscal flexibility, necessitating prudent financial management to maintain economic stability.
Domestic Economic Growth
The Indonesian government has set an economic growth target of 5.2% for 2025, consistent with its 2024 goal. International organizations offer similar projections, with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) estimating growth at 5.1%. Despite these optimistic forecasts, BI's recent rate cut indicates concerns over weaker-than-expected economic performance in late 2024, highlighting the need for policies that bolster domestic consumption and investment.
These factors collectively impact the Rupiah's performance, underscoring the importance of vigilant economic monitoring and responsive policy measures to navigate the challenges ahead.
Disclaimer: This is not a financial advisor. This analysis is purely for informational purposes and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading involves risk, and you should consult with a financial professional before making any decisions.
$ONDOUSDT Poised for a $HBAR-Style Surge! 5x Incoming!Time to get back into $ONDOUSDT.
Simple reaction at mid-level. It needs to reclaim the yearly open to set up a safer trade by the end of the month.
In case things decide to flush a little (but not looking that way for now), I’ve placed a bid below $1.
I expect this to stay above the dollar zone, aiming for $2.6 and $10 by May.
So, who's with me on this one? Are we not excited to see a CRYPTOCAP:HBAR -type move? Hopefully! 😊
Bitcoin - Weekly Forecast - Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast:
73777.00 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
Technical analysis:
A trough is formed in daily chart at 88963.75 on 01/13/2025, so more gains to resistance(s) 102643.85, 108293.92, 110000.00 and more heights is expected.
Take Profits:
99607.07
102643.85
108293.92
110000.00
115000.00
118110.67
120000.00
125000.00
130000.00
134142.91
Total Profit: 5567500 point (55%)
Closed trade(s): 506200 point Profit
Open trade(s): 5061300 point Profit
Trade Setup:
We opened 11 BUY trades @ 94545.07 based on 'Hammer' entry method at 2025-01-13.
Closed Profit:
TP1 @ 99607.07 touched at 2025-01-15 with 506200 point Profit. (5%)
Open Profit:
Profit for one BUY trade is 99606.37(current price) - 94545.07(open price) = 506130 point (5%)
10 trade(s) still open, therefore total profit for open trade(s) is 506130 (5%) x 10 = 5061300 point (50%)
BTC/USD long - technicalMy idea stems from the support and resistance level and we can see from the data that is presented to us from a technical view...
My view is that we drop out of the 97k zone and move towards the 104 resistance level which was bypassed due to the news and uncertainty... I have also noticed that the greed level was completely high and this result of most major crypto assets to drop... We are now in the weekend but the 100k level is still to be reached within the coming days.
I am waiting on the break and retest of this level seen on the 4H marked in red trend down...
my entry will be based on the retest of 100k to take the long.
I will be waiting on a head shoulder patter or double/triple bottom to take the position...their might be a falling wedge pattern as well as shown on this 4h
Trump Media Target $100 Possible. Days Away from being in OfficeSomething is up with Tiktok, Donald Trump Jr., Elon Musk, Twitter and Facebook meetings with Trump, Trump WILL reward his shareholders, I know this FOR SURE. One of the best buying opportunities I have seen in a long while. I am buying the March $100 call options on any dips. Right now, as we speak, this is pushing the trend resistance at $42.63. Support at $40.00 - Volume is building over the past few weeks. Trump going into office will propel this big.
GOLD → Realization of consolidation and retest of resistanceFX:XAUUSD is testing a rather important resistance, a break and consolidation above which will open the way to 2721 - 2726. Technically, gold has entered the buying zone, and the fundamental background supports it
Gold was supported by weak US inflation data, dollar correction and adjusted expectations of Fed rate cuts, as well as hopes for stimulus in China.
Traders' attention shifts to December retail sales and jobless claims in the US. These data will help clarify the Fed's monetary policy outlook. Weakened dollar and lower bond yields support the current growth of gold.
Technically, all eyes are currently on the uptrend and resistance at 2697.8
Resistance levels: 2697.8, 2700
Support levels: 2690, 2678
If gold can consolidate above 2697-2700 and the bulls hold the defense above this zone, we should expect growth in the short and medium term. But do not forget about the news that will be published later.
Regards R. Linda!
GBPUSD is in the Selling Direction after breaking SupportHello Traders
In This Chart GBPUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
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SEI’s Comeback: Time to Ride the Wave to ATHs!Giving SEI a second chance—why?
It’s made a higher high and taken out the previous swing highs before the massive drop to 20c. That’s enough for me to start scaling back in.
I was a bit early before, buying at the same price in October, but now it’s looking much healthier.
I think this time it breaks ATHs. So, start jumping in to enjoy some nice gains!
BINANCE:SEIUSDT
CHFJPY is in a Bearish Structure after Breaking the SupportHello Traders
In This Chart CHFJPY HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
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EURAUD selling Trading IdeaHello Traders
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Gold is in the bullish direction after correcting the supportHello Traders
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GBPCAD is ready For a BuyHello Traders
In This Chart nzdcad HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
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