Trend Lines
USDJPY Outlook: Weekly Bearish Bias Despite Temporary RebalanceGreetings Traders,
It's the start of a new trading week, and our focus is on the Gopher — CAPITALCOM:USDJPY .
Weekly Overview: Temporary Rebalance, Bearish Tone Intact
On the weekly chart, USDJPY pushed higher to rebalance a Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 149.30 and 148.26. Following this, price was swiftly rejected, forming a shooting star candlestick — a classic sign of potential bearish continuation.
However, for this bearish outlook to remain valid, 146.250 must hold as resistance. A sustained break above this level could invalidate the current bias and signal the possibility of further upside.
Daily Chart: Downside Pressure Builds
Looking at the daily timeframe, we see a sequence of down-close candles, indicating consistent selling pressure. I expect price to continue pushing lower, targeting the FVG below, with a potential sweep of sell-side liquidity resting under recent lows.
Trading Plan: Bearish Setup
Unless disrupted by high-impact fundamentals, I’ll be favouring short positions this week. My planned setup is as follows:
Entry: On confirmation within the 145.63 zone
Stop Loss: Above 145.97
Target Zones: Around 144.430
I’ll monitor price reaction closely at key levels to manage the trade accordingly.
Gold’s Multi-Decade Supercycle: $13,000 Is Not a Meme, It’s MathThis is not just a chart — it’s a map of the global financial psyche, spanning over 50 years of inflation, war, debt, and monetary decay.
What you're seeing is the multi-decade logarithmic structure of gold, starting from under $40 in the early 1970s to projections reaching above $12,000 and even $13,000 in the coming decades.
Each impulse, each correction, and each consolidation phase corresponds not only to technical patterns but to shocks in the global system:
📈 Key Historical Milestones:
1970s – Oil Crisis / End of Gold Standard → First explosion to $873
2001–2011 – War & Debt → From $254 to $1,900
2011–2018 – Lull Before the Storm
2020+ – Pandemic, ETF Adoption, Rate Chaos → New breakout in progress
Now, price is respecting a decades-long logarithmic growth line, with clear projected fractals suggesting:
🎯 Projected Price Milestones (Based on Structure):
Phase Target
Current Range Completion ~$3,800–$4,300
Mid-Term Expansion ~$5,800–$7,700
Final Supercycle Top ~$12,600–$13,000
This chart doesn’t claim time precision — it outlines magnitude. And magnitude matters when trust in fiat is collapsing faster than central banks can lie.
🔥 The Real Message:
Every dip in this chart was political calm.
Every pump was systemic collapse.
If you're waiting for gold to “correct,” maybe the world needs to break first.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell.
It’s a macro-technical exploration of long-term capital flow and systemic risk.
Stay sharp. Stay solvent. Stay golden. 🪙
Trade safe and stay profitable.
BTC - bearish div. much??4H timeframe
All the short liquidity has been absorbed from the last 6 months at the current price range. Next zone up would be 113K - 118K range.
In the interim the chart is indicating that a correction could be the next move for Bitcoin. Signs:
- Overbought on daily TF
- Liquidity absorbed
- significant divergence on the 4H
- starting to break the uptrend
98K would be the next price level down as previous resistance could flip into support.
0.5 fib @ 89K which would achieve a liquidity grab and fill a fair-value-gap.
BTC - bearish div. much??4H timeframe
All the short liquidity has been absorbed from the last 6 months at the current price range. Next zone up would be 113K - 118K range.
In the interim the chart is indicating that a correction could be the next move for Bitcoin. Signs:
- Overbought on daily TF
- Liquidity absorbed
- significant divergence on the 4H
- starting the break the uptrend
98K would be the next price level down as previous resistance could flip into support.
0.5 fib @ 89K which would achieve a liquidity grab and fill a fair-value-gap.
Gold price fluctuates, 3200 becomes a key watershed🗞News side:
1. Yesterday, Russia and Ukraine had a positive development on the issue of war and peace
2. The situation in Israel has become more serious
3. The United States and the European Union have further negotiations on tariffs
📈Technical aspects:
At present, gold is in a volatile situation in the short term. From a technical point of view, the monthly chart of gold shows an upward trend, and the long-term trend is neutral to bullish; the weekly chart is in a high-level stagflation situation, and the medium-term trend is expected to be a stagflation correction; the daily MACD top divergence, there may be a rebound demand in the short term, and the 4H forms a double top suppression near 3250. We need to pay attention to the range breakthrough trend during the day. At the same time, on the news front, the situation in Israel is becoming increasingly serious. Before any major news comes out, we will focus on the support effect of the 3200 line in the short term, and focus on the 3240-3250 resistance range on the upside.
🎁BUY 3210-3200
🎁TP 3230-3250
🎁SELL 3242-3250
🎁TP 3230-3210
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
EURCHF: Bullish Wave Ahead?! 🇪🇺🇨🇭
I think that EURCHF is going to resume a bullish rally soon.
A strong bullish reaction to a rising trend line on a daily,
triggered a formation of a buying imbalance on a 4H time frame
and a Change of Character.
I expect a growth at least to 0.941 level.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
HelenP. I Bitcoin can drop to $99500, breaking support levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. Price is currently testing a crucial area where multiple technical factors converge. After an extended period of consolidation between 101500 and 105100 points, the price failed to break the upper boundary and instead reversed, showing increased bearish momentum. The recent move has brought BTC right to the lower edge of the consolidation range, which aligns with the ascending trend line, a level that has held multiple times before. This time, however, the setup looks weaker. Price pierced through the trend line slightly, and while there was an initial reaction from buyers, the overall structure suggests a loss of bullish strength. The market has been forming lower highs, and this recent failure to hold above the trend line could be a signal that sellers are beginning to dominate. Given this context, I expect that BTCUSDT will soon break decisively below the ascending trend line and move through the 101500 - 100800 support zone. If this zone is lost, the next logical target lies at the 99500 level, which aligns with the broader structure and the base of a previous impulse. My outlook remains bearish for now, with 99500 as the next key objective. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Is the gold trend caught in a vicious circle of ups and downs?
In the short term, the trend of gold prices has been separated from the influence of fundamentals, and is more dominated by emotional games. In particular, the price of gold once rose by 30% in 2025, which seriously stimulated the speculative sentiment in the market and made it easy for gold prices to fall into a vicious circle of "big ups and downs".
Next, the price of gold will become more sensitive to a series of factors, especially trade wars and tariff policies, geopolitical turmoil, the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and US macro data, as well as global central banks' gold purchases and physical demand, etc., will cause violent fluctuations in the short term. These are the points we need to pay close attention to!
Views on the trend of gold in the European session!
Looking back at the gold trend of the daily line in the past few days, the high resistance is generally maintained at around 3165-3150. This is also the fundamental reason why gold has been jumping up and down during this period, but it is still weak and under pressure overall. In addition, the current trading price is at the upper end of Friday's range, and the bullish momentum is not large, basically maintaining near a neutral point!
Since the market continued to be under pressure at 3250 yesterday, the market's bullish considerations need to be lowered first. At the same time, since it has been under pressure below 3265, the current short-term adjustment is obvious on the technical side, and short orders still need to be followed up! At present, we can only wait and see whether the market breaks upward or downward, and follow the trend.
Gold: Retreat to low longs near 3200 once, defense at 92, target at 3235! Retracement to near 3240-45 to gamble on short orders!
GOLD → Short squeeze before a drop to 3150?FX:XAUUSD is consolidating. The market needs a driver, but due to the unstable fundamental background, traders have switched to a wait-and-see mode. Consolidation could turn into strong movement at any moment. But in which direction?
Gold under pressure: the market is waiting for signals from the Fed and negotiations. The dollar is putting pressure on the market amid expectations of trade negotiations with India, South Korea, and Japan, as well as statements from the Fed.Earlier, the metal was supported by the weak dollar after Moody's downgraded the US credit rating, but growing interest in risky assets and hopes for peace between Russia and Ukraine reduced demand for gold. Key factors — negotiations and comments from the Fed — will continue to influence the dynamics of the dollar and gold.
Technically, the price is in a downtrend and within consolidation. A breakout from consolidation could be accompanied by strong momentum, but I believe that there will be no countertrend movement and that a retest of resistance could end in a decline...
Resistance levels: 3265.5, channel resistance
Support levels: 3206, 3153
The most likely scenario within the bearish trend is a short squeeze and a downward breakdown from the triangle (the fundamental background and economic risks are slowly but surely declining, and gold may lose value). A false breakout of 3250-3265 could trigger a continuation of the trend towards 3150-3120.
Best regards, R. Linda!
BTC/USD Bearish Setup – Trendline Retest Before the Fall?🔍 Technical Breakdown – BTC/USD 3H Timeframe
Bitcoin is displaying a textbook Double Top pattern formation on the 3-hour chart, signaling a potential bearish reversal after a strong bullish run. This classic pattern suggests buyer exhaustion and sets the stage for a downward move. Let's break down the analysis:
🧠 Pattern Insight: Double Top Reversal
A Double Top is one of the most reliable trend reversal patterns, especially when it forms after a sustained uptrend — just like we're seeing here.
Top 1 and Top 2 both formed inside a strong Resistance Zone between $106,500 and $107,000, showing repeated rejection from buyers to push price higher.
The formation of lower highs and long wicks near Top 2 further reinforce the weakening bullish momentum.
💥 Neckline Breakdown & Bearish Trigger
The Neckline, aligned with a horizontal Support Zone (~$103,300–$103,800), was decisively broken, confirming the pattern.
This breakdown acts as the trigger for bearish entries, and we are now in the "Retest Phase", where price often pulls back to the neckline or a nearby trendline before continuing lower.
📐 Trendline Confluence – Retest Opportunity
A short-term descending trendline drawn from Top 2 intersects near the neckline zone.
Price is now approaching this confluence area, offering a potential high-probability short entry if bearish price action confirms (e.g., a rejection candle like a bearish engulfing or pin bar).
🎯 Price Targets & Trade Setup
Parameter Value
📍 Entry On bearish confirmation near neckline/trendline retest (~$105,300)
❌ Stop Loss (SL) Above recent swing high / Top 2 (~$107,100)
🎯 Target ~$97,126 (based on measured move from top to neckline projection)
⚖️ Risk:Reward Approx. 1:3 or better (depending on entry timing)
Measured Target Calculation:
Height from neckline to peak (~$107,000 - $103,500 = $3,500)
Target = Neckline break - height = ~$103,500 - $3,500 = $97,000–$97,100
🔥 Market Context & Psychological Edge
This chart structure reflects a shift in market sentiment. What was once strong bullish momentum is now hesitating — with buyers failing to make higher highs and sellers stepping in aggressively. The double top is not just a pattern, it's a narrative of exhaustion and reversal.
“Let price confirm your bias. Don't just predict; react to structure and behavior.”
Being patient and letting the retest play out is crucial. Don’t rush in early — let the market give you a clean signal. This is where technical discipline pays off.
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
Crypto markets are highly volatile — avoid oversized positions.
A failed double top can lead to a bullish continuation, so SL discipline is key.
Wait for confirmation — candlestick patterns, momentum shifts, or bearish volume spikes can add confidence.
📌 Summary
✅ Pattern: Double Top
✅ Confirmation: Neckline Break
🔄 Current Phase: Retesting Neckline/Trendline
📉 Bias: Bearish
🎯 Target: ~$97,100
❗ SL: Above Top 2
💬 What do you think? Are we headed to GETTEX:97K or is this just a fakeout? Drop your thoughts below and don’t forget to like and follow for more trade setups!
Dow in relief until MayYesterday's historic bounce reacted a little to perfectly to the monthly trend-line pictured. Whether coincidence or not, this break in momentum will likely provide an interim bottom to the downtrend and give us a few weeks of reprieve before continuing with the bear market. $37,000 the level to watch.
My outlook is generally still flat although it is useful to remember that the biggest pumps happen during a bear cycle. We also have a full blown trade war on our hands so keep risk tight and trade with caution.
Rebound firmly short-sellingThe US dollar index continued to fall yesterday, breaking through the 100 integer mark, but the gold price did not break through the key resistance level. In the short term, we need to be alert to the risk of gold price correction. In addition, the three major US stock indexes have continued to rise recently, but the market risk appetite has decreased. We need to be alert to the market panic and liquidity tightening that may be caused by the stagnation of the US stock market's rise, which will put pressure on the gold market. Technically, the gold price was blocked at the important pressure level of 3250 yesterday, and the support below was at the 3200 mark. In the short term, it is still mainly range-bound. At present, the upper resistance is 3226-3233, and the lower support is 3189-3184. In terms of operation, it is recommended to rebound short and supplemented by callback long.
Operation strategy 1: It is recommended to rebound short at 3228-3235, and the target is 3210-3193.
Operation strategy 2: It is recommended to pull back to 3189-3185 and go long, and the target is 3215-3235.
Gold Trends and Trading StrategiesThe gold market continued to fluctuate yesterday, and the price was repeatedly under pressure at the key position of 3250. At the weekly level, gold prices tried to rebound after bottoming out on Friday, but the upper short-term moving average formed technical suppression, and the daily line closed with a cross star with long upper and lower shadows, and the long-short game was fierce. From a technical perspective, the 4-hour chart shows a descending channel pattern. The price rebounded after testing the lower track of the channel many times, but it has never effectively broken through the 3250 central axis suppression. The hourly chart shows that the market maintains a rhythm of shock correction. The current daily line has two Yins and one Yang, but it has not effectively broken the previous low. It is expected that the bottoming and rebounding mode may continue today. In terms of operation, it is recommended to pay attention to the 3260-3200 range, and rely on the upper and lower edges of the channel to implement a high-altitude low-multiple strategy.
Gold operation suggestions:
1. Short near the rebound of 3247-3252, target 3230-3220.
2. Go long near the retracement of 3206-3215, target 3230-3245.
EURUSD InsightWelcome to all our subscribers.
Please feel free to share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe!
Key Points
- U.S. President Donald Trump announced on Truth Social that he had a two-hour phone call with Russian President Vladimir Putin, during which both agreed that Russia and Ukraine should immediately begin negotiations for a ceasefire and, more importantly, an end to the war. President Putin echoed the same message to reporters and described the call as overall very productive.
- Following Moody’s downgrade of the U.S. sovereign credit rating from Aaa to Aa1 on the 16th, the “Sell USA” sentiment continues in the market.
- U.S. long-term Treasury yields have returned to levels seen before the Moody’s downgrade, indicating that the market has not reacted strongly to the news.
This Week’s Key Economic Events
+ May 20: Reserve Bank of Australia interest rate decision
+ May 21: U.K. April Consumer Price Index (CPI)
+ May 22: U.S. May Manufacturing PMI, U.S. May Services PMI
+ May 23: Germany Q1 GDP
EURUSD Chart Analysis
As expected, the pair found support around the 1.11000 level and is now forming a price pattern within the upper trend channel. It is expected to break through this area without much resistance, with a potential to reach a high around the 1.14000 level in this rally. However, if this zone is broken, there is also the possibility of further upside toward the previous high near the 1.16000 level. We’ll keep a close eye on price movements around this resistance zone.
8752 Break Could Open Path to Retest Record HighsA clean break above the March 20 high of 8752 would generate a bullish setup, allowing for longs to be established with a stop beneath for protection, targeting a retest of the record high at 8898.
Price action has been bullish in recent days, with a break of minor downtrend resistance on Thursday triggering another wave of buying, backed by solid volumes. Combined with momentum signals that reinforce the trend, the bias remains to buy dips and breakouts.
If the price fails to sustain a break above 8752, the setup is invalidated.
Good luck!
DS
Perfect grasp of key points Insight into market trendsWith the downgrade of the U.S. credit rating and the recent weak U.S. economic data, market expectations for a U.S. interest rate cut have increased. The U.S. dollar index has plummeted and is once again facing the 100 mark. Risk aversion sentiment has rebounded again, and gold has once again been sought after. It opened higher in the Asian session. However, we have mentioned the repetitiveness of sentiment many times recently, so we remind you not to chase the rise too much. We remind you to short near 3245, long at 3209, and short again near 3245. Both long and short positions are very accurate, giving perfect entry opportunities and successfully taking profits.
Judging from the current trend, gold is under pressure again in the European session near 3248, and the US session has fallen back. The short-term strength has turned into a wide sweep again. Focus on the gains and losses of 3230. If it falls below or looks at the gap area of 3206-3203, go long if it falls back and does not break. The upper pressure is still focused on the area near 3253-60. Short-term fluctuations are increasing. If there is any adjustment, we will notify you in time.
Operation suggestion: Go long in gold near 3206-03, look at 3230 and 3252!
AVAX/USDT Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AVAX/USDT for a buying opportunity around 21.00 zone, AVAX/USDT is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 21.00 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Ripple is Nearing The Daily TrendHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring XRPUSDT for a buying opportunity around 2.28 zone, Ripple is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 2.28 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
GOLD → Retest of trend resistance before declineFX:XAUUSD is recovering amid uncertainty, but there is a fairly strong resistance zone ahead that could hold back growth and trigger a decline...
Since the opening of the session, the price has recovered slightly after a week-long decline. Growth is being held back by two-sided risks: on the one hand, pressure on the dollar and Moody's downgrade of the US credit rating are supporting the metal, while on the other hand, high bond yields and possible US trade agreements are limiting growth.
Investors are awaiting new statements from the Fed and are monitoring US negotiations with key partners. Amid concerns about fiscal stability and weak economic data, gold may remain in positive territory, but positive trade news could turn it down again.
Resistance levels: 3257, 3265
Support levels: 3206, 3153
A false breakout of the specified resistance will confirm the inability to continue growth. Consolidation after a false breakout of 3257 - 3265 below 3257 could trigger a reversal and a fall to areas of interest...
Best regards, R. Linda!