US30 Bearish Correction with Key Resistance at 43890Technical Analysis
The price has risen approximately 210 pips, as mentioned yesterday.
Today, as long as trades remain below 5989, a drop toward 5931 is expected, followed by consolidation between 5931 and 5989 until a breakout.
Alternatively, if a 4-hour candle closes above 5989, it would signal bullish momentum with a potential move towards 6021.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 5989
Resistance Levels: 6002, 6021
Support Levels: 5950, 5931, 5891
Trend Outlook: Bearish Correction
previous idea:
Trend Lines
Biconomy could be huge.Hello, fellow traders!
This is my analysis on Biconomy (BICOUSDT).
I've covered Biconomy a lot in my account - it actually has second highest coverage after BTC.
1️⃣ Analysis
The price has recently crossed the resistance line (red line) of the monthly downtrend with notable volume spike. The line used to be the support line of the previous downtrend until the lower breakout in July when it became the resistance of a newer downtrend. The line was constantly being respected, and with the price nearing the ATL (All time low), we see a wedge pattern. The price recorded new ATL before making a breakout. This could be interpreted as a falling wedge pattern where the price reverse the downtrend with explosive increase in volume - starting a strong uptrend.
2️⃣ Expectations
I think the breakout and the volume spike is something to pay attention to. The resistance line has been showing very strong price actions for over half of Biconomy's entire history - crossing such line could potentially signal a strong reversal of the trend. The unusual, explosive volume spike also backs this up. Take a look at the similar attempt in July where the breakout eventually failed without the volume. The price is also very close to the strong support level of 0.1987. With all these information together, we might see a strong uptrend in near future.
3️⃣ Key approach
4️⃣ Other approach
- I'm going to skip all the approaches for this analysis because I am not going to trade but just watch. But if I were, I would set my initial target price to 0.3667 which is key resistance level and exit all when the price reaches the green line which is a support line of early uptrend. Reason I am not going to trade is because it will be based on a raw assumption (prediction) that the breakout is true - this personally does not align with my trading rules. I know I am not strong enough to endure that kind of stress.
5️⃣ Considerations
1. If you are willing to trade, keep in mind that this is not going to be a short time trade. It might take months or even years for us to reach our targets. Or it might not reach at all.
2. 0.2530 - 0.3047 zone (where the price is currently in) is very difficult to cross. This is because the zone represents the gap between Biconomy's high and close on its first trading day. It might take a long period of consolidation for the price to finally break through.
3. The selling pressure is very high right now. This is not a surprise though considering the historical background of the current price range. Also the reversal of trend always bring high opposite pressure in order to maintain the current trend - older the trend is, higher the pressure.
4. This is an adventure. Nobody knows what's going to happen. Once a breakout happens, you really can't see what's next. You cannot comfortably rely on the historical data. Yes, the price may respect historical levels and zones but even that contains some uncertainty - if a line gets broken, what makes you think others won't? The breakout also has possibility of failing or being false. New trend means no historical data, no background information, and no idea what to expect or where to expect next pivot points. This could give you a lot of stress which is why I am not going to trade this one.
5. Biconomy has no news in TradingView. It doesn't even have a section for it, which I thought was odd. However, I've done some research on the internet and I felt pretty positive about their active engagements on Social media and their innovative ambition of the project.
💡 Breakout might allow you great fortune but contains a lot of risks and contingencies. And this is why I prefer trading inside the trend - granted, trend does not last forever and past does not always represent the future, but we can definitely take profit with proper understanding of how the market moves and confirmation of trend continuing. Just like surfing. But if you insist on trading Biconomy, make sure to set multiple layers such as price rebound or break of structure to confirm the uptrend.
💡 Analysis on Biconomy I've done so far were mostly based on the hourly chart. But analyzing the daily chart gave me a broader idea and perspective of how price might move in the future. Lesson I learned here is that larger timeframe gives us wider view of the movements. Watching the hourly chart or lower timeframe could also be pretty stressful. Funny thing is even if I enter at the same price, doing so based on the hourly chart analysis gives me anxiety whereas daily chart gives me more confidence. If you zoom out and set your holding period longer, it's a lot less stressful and also safer. So don't be anxious, don't be emotional, do your best and the rest is up to God. Thank you for reading my long analysis and I hope you got something out of it!
React, don't predict! Stay disciplined and patient. Don't get greedy and be thankful.
Nehemiah 13:7-9
Selling opportunity for XAUUSDHey guys,
Based on the chart we can consider a bearish movement for XAUUSD because we consider a bearish trend line and also a bullish swing has been broken in 15 min timeframe which we consider this as a resistance level for this movement.
The risk reward ratio for this position is 1:3.
Good luck.
USDCHF - Dollar will continue to grow after FOMC?!The USDCHF currency pair is above EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its upward channel. In case of upward correction, we can see the supply zone and sell within that zone with appropriate risk reward. The bottom of the ascending channel will be the target of this move.
The Federal Reserve recently reduced its interest rate by 0.25%, bringing it to 4.75%. The Fed’s statement indicates that the “labor market has cooled,” whereas the previous statement had only mentioned a “slower job market growth.” Additionally, there appears to be a slight decline in confidence regarding inflation reduction.
Jerome Powell, the Federal Reserve Chair, emphasized that he will remain in his role until the end of his term. When asked about fiscal policies, Powell stated that such matters are outside the Fed’s authority. He added that if the economy remains strong and inflation does not reach the 2% target, monetary policy adjustments may occur at a slower pace. He also highlighted that the policies of any administration or Congress could have significant economic impacts, but these effects will be evaluated alongside other factors.
The recent report on Switzerland’s consumer inflation index indicates that the global landscape has not changed significantly from the pre-COVID era. After the inflation shock of the COVID period, some banking officials speculated that the world was entering a new phase where zero or negative interest rates were unlikely, and the neutral rate would be higher. However, there is no strong evidence to support this claim, especially with the major transformations anticipated from the growth of artificial intelligence. Furthermore, many analysts believe that the risks associated with de-globalization and demographic arguments are not as compelling.
In September, the Swiss National Bank revised its inflation forecast for 2025 from 1.1% to 0.6% and also adjusted the interest rate. The inflation forecast for this year was revised down from 1.3% to 1.2%. The next meeting of the Swiss National Bank is scheduled for December 12, and if current conditions persist (including energy prices and exchange rates), a 50-basis-point rate cut could become a strong option.
Deutsche Bank also sees an increasing likelihood of a return to negative interest rates, noting factors that could lead to higher risk and a stronger Swiss franc. These challenges are not exclusive to Switzerland; Europe as a whole is facing similar issues. Deutsche Bank has indicated that, currently, inflation in Europe does not pose a significant problem.
HelenP. I Euro will rebound down from resistance zone to $1.0650Hi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. If we look at the chart we can see how the price trades near the resistance zone (1.1120/1.1090) and then breaks the 2nd resistance level and starts to trades below. Some time later price declined a little more, but soon turned around and rose to the resistance zone, breaking resistance 1 one more time. Next, Euro continued to grow and reached the trend line, after which turned around and started to decline. In a shor time, the price broke resistance 1 again and continued to fall to another one resistance zone (1.0790/1.0760), which coincided with the current resistance level. When the price reached this zone, it at once rebounded and rose to the trend line, but soon fell back to the resistance area, after which made a strong upward movement, breaking the trend line. Euro rose to 1.0940 points, making a gap also, and then made a strong impulse down. Price broke resistance 1 and reached the trend line, but a not long time ago it rose to this level and now trades very close. In my opinion, EURUSD will enter to resistance zone and then rebound down. For this case, I set my goal at 1.0650 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
US30 Hits ATH: Bullish Continuation Amid Post-Election Momentum
US30 Technical Analysis
US30 futures soar to record high after Trump claims victory
The price will continue the bullish trend to get 43890 as long as trades above 43350, also there is a retest possibility to43450
Bearish Scenario: A daily candle close below 43220 would signal a bearish move, targeting 42910 and 42770.
Bullish Scenario: As long as the price trades above 43450, the bullish momentum is likely to continue toward 43890. Trading above 43350 confirms entry into a new bullish zone.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 43350
Resistance Levels: 43700, 43890, 44000
Support Levels: 43220, 42910, 42770
Trend Outlook:
- Bullish by stability above 43350
Best Price Action Pattern For GOLD Trend Following Trading
This bullish pattern is very powerful .
Being spotted on a daily/4h/1h, any time frame, it will help you to accurately predict a strong bullish movement on Gold .
In this article, I will teach you to identify a buying volumes accumulation on Gold chart and as a bonus, I will show you how I predicted a recent bullish rally with this price action pattern.
The initial point of this pattern will be a completion point of a strong bullish impulse.
At some moment, the price finds a strong horizontal resistance, stops growing and retraces.
The second point of the pattern will be a completion of a retracement.
It should strictly be a higher low - it should be higher than the low of an initial bullish impulse.
After a retracement, the price should return to a horizontal resistance and set an equal high , that will be the third point of the pattern.
Then, the price should retrace AT LEAST one more time from a horizontal resistance and set a new higher low.
After that, the price should set one more equal high.
3 equal highs and 2 higher lows will compose a bullish accumulation pattern.
Please, note, that the price may easily set more equal highs and more consequent new higher lows and keep the pattern valid.
Above is the example of a bullish accumulation pattern on Gold on an hourly time frame. The price set 3 equal highs and 3 consequent higher lows.
This pattern will signify the weakness of sellers and the accumulation of buying volumes.
The point is that each consequent bearish price movement from a resistance is weaker than a previous one. It means that fewer sellers are selling from the resistance and more buyers start buying, not letting sellers go lower.
In our example, we can clearly see the consequent weakening, bearish price movements.
This pattern indicates a highly probable breakout attempt of the resistance. A candle close above that provides a strong bullish signal.
The broken resistance will turn into support and will provide a safe point to buy the market from.
In our example, the market broke the underlined horizontal resistance and closed above that. It indicates the completion of a bullish accumulation and a highly probable bullish trend continuation.
You can see that Gold retested a broken structure and then a strong bullish wave initiated.
In a strong bullish market that we currently contemplation on Gold, this bullish pattern will provide a lot of profitable trading opportunities.
No matter whether you are scalping, day trading or swing trading Gold, this bullish accumulation pattern will help you to predict long-term, mid-term and short-term bullish movements.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
BTC dominance reveals how to navigate crypto cyclesHello everyone,
this one is for patient (long-term) traders/investors, not for those chasing daily gains or short term swings.
We are looking at BTC dominance chart. BTC dominance is currently at 60%, which is pretty high.
Everyone who follows cryptos for some time should know how crypto cycles work. BTC is king and always leads the way. BTC if the first one to start the bull run, altcoins follow. When BTC is near its peak, money transfers into ALTs --> start of ALTSEASON.
The first peak of altcoin season was January 2018. BTC dominance was at 35%. After Jan 2018 we went into a bear market. BTC dropped in value, ALTCOINS dropped even more. Consequently, BTC dominance went up.
BTC dominance reached top at 74% in Jan 2021. That is when ALTSEASON started.
THIS DOES NOT MEAN THAT BTC REACHED TOP in Jan 2021.
BTC rose from 40k to 70k between Jan 2021 and Nov 2021, but ALTs in this period made bigger gains.
BTC dominance in this period plummeted from 74% to 40%, creating a base for future.
From Jan 2023 BTC has been rising and increasing its dominance, currently sitting at 60%. I am positive it will not break high of Jan 2018. Next strong resistance is in the area of 64-67%, I expect dominance to reverse in this area.
BTC has already made a new ATH, but total crypto market space is not at an ATH yet. So ALTs are lagging in comparison to previous cycle.
I believe we are at the start of ALT season and I will be looking into ALTs for my last gains this cycle. Check my other posts to see which ALTS I am considering. I will also be posting some other ALTs in coming days/weeks, so subscribe to stay notified.
Good luck to everyone.
AVAXUSDT's Next Big Move? Key Levels You Can't Ignore! Yello, Paradisers! Have you noticed the recent surge in #AVAXUSDT? Let’s break down what this market shift could mean for both cautious traders and risk-takers.
💎#AVAXUSDT has finally shown signs of life. After days of bearish pressure with consistent lower lows and lower highs, The market witnessed a significant structure break, indicating that bearish momentum may be losing its grip. Not only did it push above its previous lows, but it also broke out from a descending trend-line resistance, sparking optimism for potential upside movement.
💎AVAXUSDT has probability to pull back to a 4-hour demand zone between $26.31 and $25.79. If this area holds, we could see buyers stepping in for another push upward.
💎Eyes should be on the $25.18 to $24.64 zone. This level, aligning with the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement, is crucial for forming a higher low. A strong defense here could propel prices back into a bullish trajectory.
💎The first hurdle for AVAXUSDT lies around $29.40. If momentum sustains, a climb towards the major resistance zone at $31.61 and the stronger cap between $33.68 and $34.42 is on the cards.
💎Stay alert for invalidation. A 4-hour candle closing below $23.21 would signal a breakdown of this bullish outlook and could lead to further declines.
💎AVAXUSDT is at a pivotal juncture. If it respects the support zones, the path to higher resistance levels could open up, giving traders opportunities to ride the momentum. Conversely, a failure to hold these supports could shift the narrative back to bearish.
Stay disciplined and monitor these levels closely. Remember, patience and strategic entries will always outperform rash decisions. Trade smart, Paradisers!
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
Next Stop $81,847 - $90,528 - $103,000This is a simple Fib Daily chart analysis showing you the next price BTC
127.20% = $81,847
141.40% = $90,528
161.80% = $103,000
Some of you maybe see this is not going to happen, but I am telling you since Trump won the election, The BTC market will hit the $138,000 some day in the future, don't lose hope, and trade with patience, patience is the key.
BTC | Price CELEBRATES Trump VictoryBitcoin has increased by 13% after Donald Trump has been declared the next President of the United States, beating rival candidate Kamala Harris.
Over the past few months, Trump has claimed to be very open to cryptocurrency and this victory has done nothing short of pushing the price to a new ATH... and climbing!
There are two ways in which we can calculate the net major stops; one I have been speaking about since MARCH. This target seems to be the likely next stop for BTC in the short to near term.
Time will tell if the new POTUS will be kind or cruel to crypto - remember that time we all rooted for Garry Gensler...? About that... Let's hope this time will be different.
If you want to know al little bit more about how ALTSEASON fits into this picture, check out the following idea:
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BINANCE:BTCUSDT
LINK | The flag to end all flags. 100% GAINThis idea is straightforward and builds on previous analyses. Chainlink (LINK) has been consolidating within a bull flag pattern for nearly nine months, recently confirming major support levels established during the bear market. As observed with several other altcoins, LINK is retesting the upper range of its bear market accumulation levels while maintaining a robust market structure.
It's been several weeks since LINK last touched the $8.15 mark, further demonstrating its resilience within the flag. Provided LINK holds its trendline support within this formation, I believe it presents a strong opportunity for portfolio inclusion at this time.
🔍 Bitcoin Halving 2024: Unraveling the Next Big Rally🔥CRYPTO:BTCUSD
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
COINBASE:BTCUSD
Hello dear traders.
With only 17 days left until the monumental #Halving2024 event ⏳, the anticipation within the crypto community is palpable. Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ), the trailblazer of cryptocurrencies, is already trading above its All-Time High (ATH), signaling a market that is ripe with optimism. But the real spectacle? It's just on the horizon.
65K is my ideal support for further corrections.
Follow me for more insights ... 🚀🌕
📈 What to Expect?
Historically, Bitcoin undergoes a halving event every four years, a process that cuts the mining reward in half. This deflationary mechanism reduces the new supply of Bitcoin, potentially leading to an uptick in price as demand continues to rise against a limited supply. The aftermath of past halvings has witnessed substantial rallies, and the question now is, not if, but how high will CRYPTOCAP:BTC soar post-Halving2024?
🔑 Key Insights:
Our analysis delves deep into the historical data, comparing pre and post-halving market behavior. The patterns observed suggest a 'wild mode' activation for Bitcoin, often kickstarting a major bull run. But what makes this halving event different? With CRYPTOCAP:BTC already above its ATH, the stage is set for unprecedented growth. 💹
🧐 The Break Point:
The Halving Event is often regarded as a Break Point for Bitcoin, a transformative phase that catapults it into a new valuation territory. Our projections, rooted in sophisticated economic models and historical trend analysis, point towards a bullish explosion that could redefine market expectations. 🌐
📊 Strategy for Investors:
The countdown to the halving is a critical period for investors. Being early in accumulating CRYPTOCAP:BTC and altcoins could position you advantageously for the impending rally. Our advice? Don't wait for the market to move post-halving. The opportunity is now. Accumulate, diversify, and prepare for the ride of a lifetime. 📈
💥Be Part of the Revolution:
#Bitcoin's halving is not just an event; it's a testament to the resilience and revolutionary nature of cryptocurrencies. Join us as we navigate through these exciting times, armed with data-driven insights and a community of passionate investors. Whether you're a seasoned trader or new to the crypto space, now is the time to be part of something extraordinary. Let's embrace the future, together. 🚀🌕
#Halving2024 | #BTC | #CryptoRally
Technical Nonsense TerritoryWe are slowly approaching a technical nonsense territory...
"Breaking from the downwards channel" "Swing trading the upwards channel" and similar degenerate strategies may soon become a thing.
After breaking an ATH, we are entering the uncharted territory. Legends will be guided by the ghosts of technical analysis.
The truth is, the best strategy will be to buy and hold.
BITCOIN TREND PIVOT With all the geo-political noise it's easy to get caught up in the low timeframe madness. Zooming out and looking at the High timeframe structure, things get a little simpler...
For me, BTC has been in two different smaller phases within a larger bullflag pattern. Phase one is the bearish part of the bullflag where price prints lower highs and lower lows , this lasted for 150 days with a pivot once price wicked into the bullish OB @ $50K.
From that pivot point the second phase started and it's where we are now. Once we got our first higher low the new bullish trend began, higher lows and higher highs followed and continues on until now.
Now the interesting part is how BTC has broken out of the bigger bullflag pattern and that's shown by the X's and ^'s on the chart. In recent days BTC has broken out of the bigger bullflag pattern as shown by the tick where price rejected off the '21 ATH and retested what was formerly trend resistance and now support after a successful bullish reaction off that level for the first time in 8 months.
Price is now at the highs with the US election around the corner and %16B FTX repayments on the way , can BTC go one step further and make a new ATH? Time will tell but for now the structure is the most important thing. Higher highs and higher lows, that's it.