NASDAQ 100 Holds Above 22,100 – Ready for 22,292 Breakout? NASDAQ 100 (USNAS100) Technical Analysis – February 20, 2025
NASDAQ continues its bullish momentum, holding above the Pivot line and confirming strength in the uptrend. The price is now retesting key levels before its next move.
Technical Outlook
Bullish Scenario: As long as 22100 and 21970 hold support, the price will continue to increase toward 22,292 and 22,412. A breakout above 22,412 could extend the rally further.
Bearish Scenario: If the price breaks below 22100, it could trigger a short-term correction toward 21970 and 21900 before attempting another push higher.
Key Levels to Watch
🔹 Pivot Zone: 22100
🔹 Resistance Levels: 22200, 22292, 22412
🔹 Support Levels: 21970, 21900, 21807
📈 Directional Bias: The market is expected to test 22292, and as long as 22100 holds, the bullish momentum remains intact. A break below 22100 could lead to a short-term retracement.
💬 Will NAS100 hold above 22100 for a breakout, or is a correction coming? Drop your thoughts! 👇🔥
Trend Lines
WTI - Will oil return to the upward trajectory?!WTI oil is located between EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its medium-term descending channel. In case of a downward correction towards the support area, the next opportunity to buy oil with a reward at a reasonable risk will be provided to us. A valid break of the drawn downtrend line will pave the way for oil to reach the drawn areas.
Goldman Sachs has stated that even if hostilities in Ukraine cease and sanctions are eased, Russia’s oil exports are unlikely to see a significant increase. The bank believes that Russia’s crude oil production will remain capped at 9 million barrels per day, not primarily due to sanctions, but rather because of the country’s commitments under the OPEC+ agreement.
OPEC+, which is responsible for nearly half of the world’s oil production, has decided to delay its planned production increase, which was originally scheduled between April and July. Meanwhile, Trump has announced that additional negotiations with Russia are set to take place in an effort to bring an end to the war in Ukraine—an event that could impact the outlook of global energy markets.
Russia remains one of the key oil suppliers worldwide and plays a significant role in price fluctuations. Goldman Sachs predicts that the price of Brent crude will rise to $79 per barrel by the end of this month, while it is currently trading at around $76 per barrel.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky stated that the United States has, in some ways, helped Vladimir Putin break out of his isolation. He emphasized that Trump’s team must gain a better understanding of Ukraine’s actual situation and made it clear that he has no intention of “selling” his country. Zelensky also highlighted the strength and resilience of the Ukrainian military and added that Trump’s envoy should ask ordinary Ukrainians how they perceive him following his recent statements.
Meanwhile, Vladimir Putin announced that the rapid reconstruction of the Caspian Pipeline is not feasible. He explained that Western-made equipment used in the Caspian Pipeline Consortium has sustained severe damage due to recent attacks.
Putin emphasized that the restoration of this pipeline would not be completed swiftly, as critical components rely on Western technology and have been significantly impaired.
The pipeline, which transports Kazakh oil to global markets, has experienced a 30-40% reduction in oil flow following a drone attack on one of its pumping stations in southern Russia. This reduction equates to approximately 380,000 barrels per day (bpd). This development was not entirely unexpected, as Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak had previously stated that repairs to the pipeline could take several months.
GOLD → ATH Retest. High chance of breakout and growth to $3KFX:XAUUSD has again approached ATH 2938 - 2942. This yours increases the chance of resistance breakout and further growth. We are getting closer and closer to $3000
The market maintains recent gains as it awaits the release of minutes from the January Fed meeting and news of Trump's tariff plans. The US President threatened to impose duties on pharmaceuticals and chips, and confirmed the imposition of tariffs on automobiles from April 2, which strengthened demand for defensive assets.
The lack of progress in peace talks between the US and Russia has also supported gold prices. However, traders are cautious ahead of the release of Fed minutes, which could cool expectations of rate cuts this year.
Technically, all eyes are on the conglomerate resistance at 2938 - 2942. A breakdown and consolidation of the price above this area will provoke further growth
Resistance levels: 2938, 2942
Support levels: 2924, 2915
Gold is in local pre-breakdown consolidation 2938 - 2924. Emphasis on these boundaries. Breakout and consolidation of the price above the resistance can provoke continuation of growth. But, before the growth the price may test the nearest support.
Regards R. Linda!
EURJPY → Consolidation before further declineEURJPY is forming a downtrend. The price is bouncing off the channel resistance and has approached strong support, the breakout of which may trigger further decline
Global EURJPY is in a neutral trend, but locally, due to economic nuances, the euro is weakening against the Japanese yen
There are two key zones on the chart - resistance at 159.112 against which a false breakdown can be formed before the price continues its decline. And support at 158.45 - support of the pre-breakdown consolidation and at the same time a strong level, the break of which will open the way to 156.29.
Resistance levels: 159.11, 160.16, 160.9
Support levels: 156.29
Technically, the situation is weak and hints that in the short term the bears could overcome the key support, which could trigger a bearish momentum
Regards R. Linda!
Gold Analysis GOLD Analysis and Trade Setup
Gold is currently testing a historically significant resistance level that has repeatedly acted as a barrier to price advancement. Given the strength of this resistance zone, it is reasonable to anticipate a potential rejection or pullback. Historically, such levels often prompt a reversal, particularly after a retest of the structure, which could further confirm the resistance's validity. The likelihood of a rejection at this level is supported by the principles of technical analysis, as repeated tests of a resistance level tend to reinforce its significance. In summary, while the current setup suggests a potential pullback from the resistance level, traders should remain cautious and monitor key technical and fundamental factors.
AUDJPY Still bearishThough previous high was broken, a fundamental look still shows aussie losing momentum. This way, we are looking at a at a test of the new high for validatiiin of my entry. A break of the new high invalidates this trade.
Overall, the JPY seems to be gaining momentum across board leading to a selloff
AUDUSD InsightHello, dear subscribers!
Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don't forget to like and subscribe!
Key Points
- The U.S. is engaged in one-on-one negotiations with Russia regarding an end to the war in Ukraine, while tensions with Ukraine and the European Union continue to rise. U.S. President Donald Trump criticized Ukrainian President Zelensky on Truth Social, calling him a “moderately successful comedian” and a “dictator who never held an election.”
- ECB Executive Board Member Isabel Schnabel stated that the time is approaching for the ECB to either pause or completely halt rate cuts. She explained that inflation in the Eurozone remains high due to new shocks in energy prices and persistent wage growth.
- The FOMC meeting minutes indicated that, given the debt ceiling dynamics, there could be significant fluctuations in reserves over the coming months. Several participants mentioned that it might be appropriate to pause or slow down the balance sheet reduction until the debt ceiling issue is resolved.
Key Economic Events This Week
+ February 21: U.S. February Manufacturing PMI, February Services PMI
AUDUSD Chart Analysis
AUDUSD has successfully broken through the 0.63000 resistance level and continues its upward trend. However, there is overlapping resistance at the 0.64000 level, making further upward movement challenging. A significant pullback is likely, with 0.60000 being the most probable support level. Given this setup, the bias remains bearish.
If AUDUSD breaks above 0.64000, the next target would be 0.66000. In that case, we will adjust our strategy accordingly.
DCA Play $SOXL | Good R:Rhere are my key observations based 4-hour chart on AMEX:SOXL
Price is in a tight consolidation. must break $28.54 with an abs close to see upside potential.
If rejected, a revisit of $26.35 or lower could happen.
However, this sets us up for a great averaging play
$26.35 is a strong support, meaning price may bounce before reaching $25.57, a logical place to accumulate.
SL @ $23.77 (or close =< .79) a break below 23.80 will mean further downside. (best to confirm with close)
T1 @ $30.00 first aligns with 50% Fib. standard reversal area.
T2 @ $32.70 to gap fill if momentum is persists
Why this works:
no need to predict the exact bottom, nature of cost avg'ing
earlier rebound to $25.57 allows you to maintain exposure
scaling out at $30 and $32.70 locks in profits while allowing more upside
Good risk-reward ratio (~1:2.5 or better)
Risks to consider:
breaks <$23.79, will go lower (possibly retesting $22-$21 range)
If volume remains weak, recovery to $30 may take longer than expected
semiconductors remain somewhat bearish, meaning AMEX:SOXL could lag even if it stabilizes a bit
Watch for volume confirmation on the bounce
Play for T2: In the event that price reclaims $28.54 quickly, consider adding to the position for momentum play to $30.00
Other supporting indicators:
a descending wedge has formed, this occurs after a downtrend where price is making lower highs and lower lows, but the slope of the downward move is narrowing; a bullish signal because it shows sellers losing strength, and a breakout to the upside is likely.
Last Vol was at 43.88M, lots of involvement
Implied Volatility was at 91.45%
β 4.32 : market expects large swings
Put to Call ratio (0.67) indicate to me that there are more calls than puts out, a bullish sentiment for those who aren't familiar with options.
DCA Play $SOXL | TARGET 1 REACHEDPrice action moved with good momentum and maintained volume for the trading day.
The original call is good to go:
T2 @ $32.70 to gap fill if momentum is persists (poor spelling when analyzing at 3am - but you get the gist)
I expect a minor pull back before gap fill; depending on price action, may or may not add to position.
A gap up would be signal to close all profits, with a +10% PnL.
gg
Weakness on HOOD stockRobinhood Markets, Inc. (NASDAQ: HOOD) shares appear to have sold off after publishing its February 12th earnings report. Following the report's good news, the market gapped up on opening and triggered a buying surge, allowing professionals to sell. The next day, the price recovered on a significantly lower volume, indicating absence of the professional interest on the upside (weakness). Then, on February 18th, another selling took place, which absorbed the remaining demand and pushed the price below the low of the gapped-up bar. This is bearish behaviour.
It has to be noted that there were a few more selling activities in December 2024/January 2025 (red rectangles), making the overall situation on the stock even weaker.
Despite the serious weakness, we may still see a retracement up into the $62.09 - $65.21 area for either more selling or retesting of demand, after which a move down to the $41.04-$42.66 zone could be expected. In this case, the support might reappear around the $52.96 level and at the $49.56 - $50.19 area.
Flowserve Corporation Stock Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# Flowserve Corporation Stock Quote
- Double Formation
* (Continuation Argument)) | Completed Survey
* 012345 Wave Feature & Uptrend Bias | Subdivision 1
- Triple Formation
* HH's & HL's & Channel Mark Up | Subdivision 2
* 0.786 Area Retracement Configuration | Subdivision 3
* Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Buy
Archer-Daniels Stock Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# Archer-Daniels-Midland Company Stock Quote
- Double Formation
* ((No Trade)) At 67.00 USD | Completed Survey
* (Downtrend Argument)) & Short Feature Entry ABC | Subdivision 1
- Triple Formation
* ABC Wave Feature | Subdivision 2
* 1 Area Retracement Configuration & Channel Opposite | Subdivision 3
* Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Neutral
XAUUSD BUYTechnical Analysis
Retreats Provide Opportunities Amidst Dip-Buying_1
On the 4-hour timeframe, the XAU/USD pair has been in a steady uptrend since the beginning of the year, trading within a narrow ascending channel. Recently, it has turned into a new steeper channel, which is in sharp contrast to the previous broad-based volatility pattern. This turn confirms the strength of the gold bull run, which is characterized by minor pullbacks that attract significant bottom-hunting activity, leading to rapid new highs. Although the short-term gains appear somewhat overdone, bullish sentiment remains strong, clearly dominating the market. The short squeeze has prompted significant short-covering, creating a “fear of missing out” atmosphere in the gold market, with new buyers constantly entering to capitalize on the upward momentum. Analyzing the trend, gold prices are approaching the psychological level of 3000, and given the alignment of market sentiment and capital, a quick achievement of this target cannot be ruled out in the near term. It is recommended to buy around 2900 during price pullbacks, with a target near 3000 and a stop loss below 2865.
Trading Recommendations
Trading Direction: Buy
Gold - This Breakout Will Lead To $5.000!Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) is preparing a major breakout:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
For more than one and a half decades, Gold has been respecting the structure of a rising channel pattern with one exception. Back in 2010 we saw a bullish breakout followed by a parabolic rally and as we are speaking, Gold is starting to break out of the channel once again.
Levels to watch: $2.900, $5.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Kainos Group PLC Stock Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# Kainos Group PLC Stock Quote
- Double Formation
* A+ Set Up Short Entry Bias | Completed Survey
* (Area Of Value)) | Pattern Set Up Invalid| Subdivision 1
- Triple Formation
* (Consolidation Argument)) On Retracement Area | Subdivision 2
* Trendline 1&2 | Neutral Bias & Triangle Feature | Subdivision 3
* Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Neutral
THG Holdings Stock Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# THG Holdings Stock Quote
- Double Formation
* ((No Trade)) & A+ Set Up Short Entry Bias
* (Continuation Argument)) | Retracement Area | Subdivision 1
- Triple Formation
* 1.618 Short Support & Retracement Mark Up | Subdivision 2
* Inverted Pattern | No Set Up | Subdivision 3
* Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Neutral
HI SCHLUMBERGER I love this company so much that I love it to go up...however the chart are looking pretty wacky
It's a bear market for this asset
Pull out or diversify your portfolio cause the next target is the $34 and $20 mark respectively
Hopefully the investors and economy turns it around swiftly
Silver on the path of growth and developmentAs I mentioned in the previous article, silver is moving towards the desired target, which is around $40 per ounce of silver. As you can see, this three-month chart and the uptrend drawn and reproduced shows the desired price target near the top of the channel.
If there is a change and an update is needed, I will definitely check and publish it again.
Good luck.
MJ .REZAEI