BTC Dominance – Critical Breakdown ConfirmedBitcoin Dominance has officially broken below the long-standing rising wedge structure, signaling a significant shift in market momentum. This pattern, which had held strong since December 2024, has now failed — and that’s a big deal.
After the breakdown, BTC.D temporarily bounced but was rejected on the retest of the wedge’s lower boundary, confirming the breakdown as valid. This retest-then-drop scenario is a textbook bearish continuation signal.
Not only did BTC.D lose the rising trendline, but it also failed to hold the horizontal support zone near 63%–62%, which acted as a key floor for months. Now, with price heading lower, Bitcoin's dominance is clearly weakening, and that’s bullish for altcoins.
What this means:
Bitcoin is losing control of market share.
Altcoins may start gaining serious traction, especially mid and low caps.
If BTC.D drops below 60%, we could see an acceleration of capital rotation into altcoins — a classic start to an altseason.
Trend Lines
Gold ended this week successfully!In terms of news, first, the easing of the trade situation weakened the safe-haven property of gold. Secondly, a series of data released this week and the Fed's emphasis on not rushing to cut interest rates also suppressed the gold price. In addition, the parties involved in geopolitical conflicts also began talks. Although there are differences in negotiating positions, they still have to solve the problem when they can sit down and talk. Because of the repeated news, the closing price at the end of the week was also above 3200, so some people still believe that the gold price will go to 3500, and even think that it will exceed this position. I have mentioned this in my previous analysis. The gold price was first stimulated by multiple news and buying rushed up. Now that the risk aversion has receded, I think it is reasonable to see the gold price fall.
Let's analyze it from the technical side: the rhythm of gold has changed rapidly recently, and next Monday is actually the key. The 1-hour moving average of gold has begun to show signs of turning around, so whether it can form a golden cross upwards is the key next time, or it will oscillate a few times and continue to diverge downward. The strength of gold on Monday is very critical. Gold closed with a big positive line on Thursday, which was a very fast trend. However, it fell directly on Tuesday and broke through more than half, so it cannot be said that the bulls are strong. Although it rebounded slightly in the late trading, it still closed with a big negative line. There will be two key positions on Monday next week. Pay attention to 3180 on the bottom of gold. If it falls below 3180 soon after the opening on Monday, then gold will still be weak as a whole. Pay attention to 3215 on the top. If gold breaks through 3215, then gold will be strong as a whole. If gold opens flat on Monday and the upward momentum is not strong, and it is under pressure at 3215, then you can continue to go short in the short term.
TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
TRUMP – Prepping for a Strong Move - $25 incoming!TRUMP is setting up nicely for a potential breakout.
After reclaiming the 10.8–11.5 zone, it's been accumulating well within this new range—signs are pointing toward continuation.
Another week of consolidation at these levels could lead to a strong impulse move by month’s end.
Targeting first exit at $24, followed by $45 if momentum turns euphoric.
$TRUMP BINANCE:TRUMPUSDT
Caught her playin’ both sides but trust me, she’s loyal in sellPrice be flirtin’ with that support — but yo, don’t get cozy, it’s fakin’ love before the real drop hits!”
Breakdown:
Bearish wedge structure
Liquidity grab incoming
Two clean selling zones
Targeting that juicy demand block below
Smart money’s movin’ silent. You ready or you sleepin’ on it?
POWRUSDT: The Power Surge You Can’t Ignore!
📊 Chart Breakdown:
- Current Price: $0.195
- Volume: 199M (Mega whale activity! 🐋)
- Key Levels:
- Support: $0.1400 (Strong floor!)
- Resistance: $0.4000 (Break = Hyperdrive!)
🔥 Creative Analysis:
POWRUSDT just exploded with a 40% pump—but this isn’t just a fluke. The 199M volume screams institutional interest. The chart shows a V-shaped recovery from $0.12, proving dips get bought HARD.
🎯 Big Idea:
"The Energy Rocket" 🚀
- Entry: $0.16 (Aggressive) or $0.145 (Safe retest)
- Targets: $0.22 → $0.28 → $0.34 (FOMO zone!)
- Stop Loss: Below $0.124 (Only for diamond hands!)
💡 Why This Works:
- Volume Confirmation: 199M = REAL demand.
- Symmetrical Bull Flag: Consolidation before next leg up!
- Narrative Power: Energy tokens are HOT in 2025 (Green crypto wave!).
🚨 Meme-Worthy Twist:
"POWR isn’t just a token—it’s a LIGHTNING BOLT waiting to strike! ⚡ Buy now or watch from the sidelines."
📌 Final Thought:
This could be the start of a parabolic run. If it clears $0.38, then $1.00 is in play. Don’t miss the energy revolution!
👍 Like & Follow for more explosive setups! #POWR #GreenCrypto #100xPotential
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Let me know if you'd like any further refinements! 🚀.
DYOR – this isn’t financial advice, it’s high-voltage hype! 🔋
MANA End of Cycle Correction Major Wave Structure UnfoldingMANA has completed a downward 5-wave impulsive decline, terminating at a strong dynamic support that also aligns with the Base Demand Zone. Following the low, price entered a prolonged complex corrective phase (ABCDE structure) establishing a broad Consolidation Zone.
A clean breakout from the wedge confirms the completion of impulsive upside Wave 1, setting the stage for a projected upside impulsive rally targeting higher fib extensions. The prior swing high at 0.7832 serves as a critical pivot, and price is expected to retrace into the 0.389 before continuation for the projected wave 3.
The current price action is likely the start of Wave 2 pullback within the larger impulsive wave 1 structure, with the Buy-Back Zone highlighted between the Re-Accumulation and Base Demand Zones, offering a potential re-entry opportunity for the next impulsive expansion.
The ultimate targets lie within the Major Supply Zone (Sell-Off Area), where final distribution and cycle completion may occur. Do share your view on this project with us.
Trendline Breakout and Cup & handle breakout Confirmation - NBCCTechnical Analysis:
Current Price: ₹111.08 (Note: As of the market close on Friday, May 16, 2025, NBCC closed around ₹110.85 on the NSE).
Target: Your target of ₹140 suggests a significant potential upside.
Trendline Breakout: Breaking above a significant downtrend line indicates a potential shift in momentum to the upside.
Cup & Handle Pattern Breakout Confirmation: The confirmation of a breakout from a Cup & Handle pattern is a strong bullish signal, suggesting a likely continuation of an upward trend.
Time Frame: A 1 to 3-month timeframe is reasonable for these patterns to play out, assuming the breakouts are sustained.
Confirming the Breakouts:
Volume: It's crucial to have seen a noticeable increase in trading volume during both the trendline and the Cup & Handle breakouts. Strong volume adds significant validity to these signals.
Sustainability: The price should hold above the breakout levels in the coming trading sessions.
Potential Upside:
Target (₹140): Represents a potential upside of approximately 26% from the ₹111.08 level (or around 26.3% from the ₹110.85 closing price).
Quarterly and Yearly Results & EPS Comparison:
Based on the information available up to the latest reported quarter (December 2024) and the previous fiscal year (FY24):
Latest Quarter Result (December 2024): NBCC reported a consolidated net profit of ₹113.45 Crore, a significant increase of 60.81% compared to the same quarter last year (December 2023). Total income also increased by 17.25% to ₹2456.54 Crore.
Yearly Result (FY2024): For the full fiscal year ending March 2024, NBCC's total revenue stood at ₹7835.59 Crore, a growth of 10.75% compared to FY23. The profit after tax for FY24 was ₹277.66 Crore, a growth of 10.54% YoY.
EPS Comparison:
Quarterly EPS (December 2024): ₹0.63, compared to ₹0.39 in December 2023.
Yearly EPS (FY2024): ₹1.54, compared to ₹1.39 in FY23.
We will need the results for the quarter ending March 2025 (Q4FY25) and the full fiscal year ending March 2025 (FY25) for the most up-to-date comparison. These are expected in the coming weeks.
P/E Comparison:
Based on the closing price of ₹110.85 and the FY24 EPS of ₹1.54, the current P/E ratio is approximately 71.98.
According to some sources, as of May 17, 2025, the P/E ratio is around 59.8. The construction and infrastructure sector can have a wide range of P/E ratios depending on growth prospects and company specifics. While seemingly high, it could be justified if the market anticipates strong future earnings growth, as suggested by the recent quarterly results. We'll get a clearer picture with the FY25 EPS.
Corporate Action:
Dividend: For FY24, NBCC declared a final dividend of ₹0.14 per share. Investors will be looking for any dividend announcement that typically accompanies the full-year results for FY25.
Order Book: NBCC has been consistently securing new orders, which is a positive sign for future revenue and profitability. Keep an eye on any new order wins announcements.
Latest News (as of May 17, 2025):
Recent news around NBCC has been generally positive, focusing on:
Strong Q3FY25 Results (Dec 2024): The significant jump in profit was a key highlight, boosting investor confidence.
Order Wins: NBCC continues to secure new projects across various sectors, including infrastructure and real estate. These new orders provide revenue visibility for the coming quarters.
Focus on Execution: The market is often looking at NBCC's ability to efficiently execute its large order book. Any positive updates on project progress are usually well-received.
Government Initiatives: Being a government-owned entity, NBCC's performance is also linked to government spending on infrastructure and housing. Positive policy announcements in these areas can be beneficial.
Key Factors to Monitor:
Breakout Sustainability: Ensure the price holds above the breakout levels with sustained volume.
Upcoming Q4 & FY25 Results: These will be crucial in determining if the recent profit growth trend continues and will impact the P/E valuation. Look for the announcement dates.
New Order Wins: Any further significant order wins will act as positive catalysts.
Execution Progress: Updates on the progress of major projects in their order book will be important.
Market Sentiment: Overall market sentiment and the performance of the infrastructure and construction sectors will play a role.
Cup & Handle and the Trendline Breakouts - HUDCOTechnical Analysis:
Current Price: ₹233.86 (Note: As of the market close on Friday, May 16, 2025, HUDCO closed around ₹234.50 on the NSE).
Stop Loss: A closing basis stop loss at ₹214 provides a good level of risk management.
Targets: Your targets of ₹265 and ₹335 indicate significant potential upside.
Cup & Handle Pattern Breakout: This bullish continuation pattern suggests a likely move higher after a period of consolidation.
Trendline Breakout: Breaking above a significant downtrend line adds further confirmation of a potential shift in momentum to the upside.
Time Frame: A 1 to 3-month timeframe is reasonable for these patterns to play out, assuming the breakouts are sustained.
Confirming the Breakouts:
Volume: Ideally, both the Cup & Handle and the trendline breakouts should be accompanied by a noticeable increase in trading volume. This indicates strong buying interest and adds validity to the signals.
Sustainability: The price should hold above the breakout levels in the coming trading sessions. Any significant retracement below these levels could weaken the bullish case.
Potential Upside:
Target 1 (₹265): Represents an approximate 13.3% upside from the ₹233.86 level (or around 13.0% from the ₹234.50 closing price).
Target 2 (₹335): Represents a more significant potential upside of approximately 43.2% from the ₹233.86 level (or around 42.8% from the ₹234.50 closing price).
Quarterly and Yearly Results & EPS Comparison:
Based on the information available up to the latest reported quarter (December 2024) and the previous fiscal year (FY24):
Latest Quarter Result (December 2024): HUDCO reported a strong 18.84% increase in net profit YoY and a 13.38% increase in total income YoY.
Yearly Result (FY2024): HUDCO showed solid growth in both revenue (11.53%) and profit after tax (19.53%) compared to FY23.
EPS Comparison:
Quarterly EPS (December 2024): ₹3.51 (vs. ₹2.95 in Dec 2023).
Yearly EPS (FY2024): While various sources might have slightly different calculations based on adjustments, the yearly EPS for FY24 was around ₹13.22 (based on previous reports). Some sources also indicate a FY24 EPS of ₹10.57. We'll need the official FY25 full-year results for a precise year-on-year comparison. These are expected in the coming weeks.
P/E Comparison:
Based on the closing price of ₹234.50 and an estimated FY24 EPS of ₹13.22, the current P/E ratio is approximately 17.74.
Comparing this to the industry P/E for Housing Finance (which can fluctuate but is generally in the range of 15-30), HUDCO's P/E seems reasonable and not excessively high. We'll have a clearer picture of the valuation once the FY25 EPS is released.
Corporate Action:
Dividend: HUDCO has a history of paying dividends. For FY24, they declared a total dividend of ₹1.50 per share. Investors will be watching for any dividend announcement that typically accompanies the full-year results for FY25.
Key Factors to Monitor:
Breakout Confirmation: Strong volume on the breakouts is crucial.
Upcoming Q4 & FY25 Results: The financial performance in the latest quarter and the full fiscal year will be a significant driver for the stock price. Look for the announcement dates.
Government Policies: As a government-backed entity involved in housing and urban development, HUDCO's prospects are linked to government policies and spending in these sectors.
Market Sentiment: Overall market sentiment and the performance of the financial services and housing finance sectors will play a role.
Fartcoin Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring Fartcoin for a buying opportunity around 1.0480 zone, Fartcoin is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.0480 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
GOLD (XAU/USD) – Bearish Setup Within Falling Parallel Channel📉 Technical Analysis: GOLD (XAU/USD) – Bearish Setup Within Falling Parallel Channel
Chart Observations:
GOLD is trading inside a well-defined falling parallel channel.
Price initially respected the lower boundary of the channel before rebounding.
It made a significant break above the median (middle) line and reached the upper channel resistance, then retraced and took support at the median line again.
Currently, price is once again testing the upper channel resistance.
🔍 Current Setup & Possibilities:
1. Bearish Scenario (More Likely)
GOLD is facing resistance near the upper trendline of the falling channel.
If this resistance holds, it is likely to retrace sharply, potentially forming an impulsive move downward.
Immediate downside target aligns with the lower channel support, around $2980.
2. Bullish Scenario (Less Likely)
A breakout above the upper trendline of the channel could trigger a trend reversal.
This breakout could lead to a move toward 3240+ levels in the short term, possibly higher if momentum sustains.
🔽 Conclusion:
GOLD is currently in a bearish structure unless it decisively breaks out of the falling channel.
As per current price action and repeated rejection from upper channel, probability favors a downside continuation toward $2980.
Traders should watch closely for price action confirmation around the upper boundary for potential short setups.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risk, and you should consult your financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
SMCI going to breakout soon, targeting $200NASDAQ:SMCI hasfound support at $28, it is currently trading around the $46 level. It is attempting to test the $50-$61 range for the third time and will likely turn this level into support with a breakout.
$200 could be a good psychological target. The relative strength against the SP:SPX is about to turn positive in favor of the stock, and I expect volume to increase in the coming days.
$LINK Long Overdue Move on the Horizon
BIST:LINK has shockingly been a very poor performer as well considering their revolutionary tech connecting web2 -> web3
Dump >67% and rebounded 50% since then.
PA has been trapped between the 200 and 50DA, which suggest voilent breakout coming up.
RSI Is still healthy.
$JUP is Struggling but shows signs for HOPEwtf happened to LSE:JUP
It was once heralded at the leading DEX in web3 on the premier blockchain, but dumped ~75% from ATH with only a 57% rally.
Couldn't even make a run at the 200DMA, but retesting the 50 soon.
needs to have a big dally soon above the .236 fib to test the 200DMA. A breakthrough is a strong reversal confirmation.
market cap is about 60% cheaper than BME:UNI so im liking the value here.
GOLD → The fight for 3,200 continuesFX:XAUUSD has recovered after a bearish distribution. The price has returned to the range but continues to test the fundamental threshold of 3200.
The fundamental background has been gradually improving recently, which is putting pressure on the gold market, increasing the profit-taking ratio and the level of sales. After the resolution of the tariff war, all attention has shifted to the negotiations between Russia and Ukraine, and de-escalation could also reduce economic risks. As well as the escalation of the conflict in the Middle East...
Technically, the price is returning to the range after a deep false breakout but is facing strong resistance and pressure from sellers. Further developments depend on the 3200 level, which is of fundamental importance.
Resistance levels: 3225, 3236, 3257
Support levels: 3204 - 3200, 3194
The battle for the 3200 area continues, with bulls likely to try to keep the price above 3200, in which case the market may test the 0.5-0.7 Fibonacci zone. However, given the recent improvement in fundamentals, the price may return from these zones of interest to 3200 with the aim of continuing the assault to break through and continue the downtrend.
Best regards, R. Linda!
INJ Primed for Bounce in $10-$11 Demand ZoneI expect the BYBIT:INJUSDT.P price to reach the previous mitigation level, coinciding with the latest demand block, and show a reaction. In other words, a move from the $10-$11 range is critical. If the strength from this level continues, it could push the price up to the $17-$21 range.
$SOL and Most Major Alts Get Hard Rejection from 200DMAMost of your favorite Alts such as CRYPTOCAP:SOL had hard rejections from the 200DMA.
If this trend breaks into the red box we should see a retest around the .236 Fib and 50DMA ~$140
RSI also looks McDonald's toppy
Not a good time to FOMO.
PS. Normally i dont post TA this late in the night from the US but I'm gonna consider doing more if i get some decent engagement.
Lmk if you think i should post more at these midnight hours 🎃
EURCAD: Bearish Outlook For Next Week Explained🇪🇺🇨🇦
Earlier, I shared a very bearish outlook for EURCAD on a daily time frame.
During the NY session on Friday, the price retested a broken support
of the flag and formed a head and shoulders pattern on that.
Its neckline violation provides a strong bearish confirmation.
I expect a bearish continuation on Monday.
Goal - 1.5505
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TIA Double Bottomed, $4.5 PossibleBYBIT:TIAUSDT.P bottomed out at the $2.3 level. From there, its initial rally took it to the $3.4 level. If a bottom formation occurs again at its current level, another rally could push it first to the $3.8 level, and if the rally is strong, potentially up to $4.5. Strength into higher levels are critical.
$1.0 Breakout Could Send ONDO to $1.5I expect BYBIT:ONDOUSDT.P to continue its upward movement from the low it reached in the first week of April. The price has been consolidating between $0.8 and $1.0 since the end of April. Following this consolidation, I anticipate the price moving towards the $1.3-$1.5 range.