Is the Trend Intact? Key Signal Emerging on GER40 4H ChartHey Guys,
We could see a pullback on the GER40 index from the 24,060 level. If that happens, the 23,824 – 23,675 zone could present a potential buying opportunity. The primary trend still points upward, and bullish momentum remains intact.
Also worth noting—the rise in volume is quite striking, which supports my target level of 24,500.
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Trend Lines
Trading Signal for (XAU/USD) sell below $3,359 (21 SMA-7/8 MurraEarly in the European session, gold is trading around 3,341, below the 7/8 Murray and above the 21 SMA and the 200 EMA, with a bullish bias.
We can see that gold reached the 7/8 Murray level on the H4 chart. This has become strong resistance, so we believe a technical correction could occur below this level in the coming hours.
On Monday, we observed gold reaching a low of 3,238, where it found a technical rebound,, as this coincided with the bottom of the downtrend channel.
Gold has a bullish bias, having reached oversold levels since June 26. It is likely that after a technical correction, it could resume its bullish cycle and reach the 8/8 Murray level at 3,437.
If gold falls below 3,359 in the coming hours, we could expect it to reach the 200 EMA around 3,321. This area will be seen as an opportunity to resume buying, as a bullish trend is emerging.
The RSI indicator is showing a positive signal, so we could take advantage of a technical rebound around 3,320 or 3,305. Both levels could provide gold with good support and a buying opportunity.
VICUSDT 15-Minute Technical Analysis With 2:1 RewardThis chart shows a clear range-bound market, with price oscillating between a strong support and a well-defined resistance zone. Overall, momentum has been choppy, and frequent reversals are visible.
Support and Resistance
At the top of the chart, you have the Resistance Zone marked at 0.3498 USDT. This level has been tested multiple times and rejected. Each attempt to close above this area resulted in sharp selling pressure, confirming it as a significant ceiling for price action.
A slightly lower level, labeled Safe Take Profit, is set at 0.3392 USDT. This is a strategic target that allows traders to secure gains before price collides with the stronger resistance.
The lower part of the range is defined by Strong Support around 0.2845 USDT. This support level has been respected after previous sell-offs, showing that buyers have consistently defended this zone.
Trend and Structure
Market structure is consolidative. Price has printed lower highs over several sessions, but at the same time, it has held onto higher lows closer to the support. This compression indicates an upcoming breakout, either toward the resistance or through the support.
Short-term momentum is indecisive. The colored moving average ribbon you applied (likely a Supertrend or fast EMA) flips repeatedly between red and blue, showing the market has no persistent trend.
A notable volatility spike occurred during one of the recent candles, sweeping the lows and immediately rebounding—classic behavior near strong support. This long wick suggests that some stop-loss liquidity was taken, and buyers reacted swiftly to reclaim the level.
Volume Considerations
Although the chart doesn’t show volume, it is reasonable to assume there was a volume surge during those sharp wicks, which typically precedes either a reversal or acceleration. Before entering a trade, confirming volume is critical for validation.
Current Price Behavior
The current price (~0.3028 USDT) is stuck below the mid-range, facing hesitation. The moving averages have flattened. This is a textbook sign that the market is accumulating orders in preparation for the next decisive move.
Trade Idea
Below is a simple, clear trade idea you can consider, with bullets for clarity:
• Entry: Near 0.3028 USDT, ideally after a bullish confirmation candle that closes above recent small consolidation.
• Take Profit: The Safe TP level at 0.3392 USDT, positioned just under resistance.
• Stop Loss: Just below the Strong Support at 0.2845 USDT.
• Risk/Reward Ratio: Approximately 2:1. This offers reasonable upside relative to the risk.
This setup is effective only if price holds above the support and begins to trend higher. If price fails to sustain above 0.30, it could signal a deeper retest of support.
Scenarios to Watch
If you are trading this setup, it’s important to watch for three potential outcomes.
In the bullish scenario, price holds above ~0.300 and forms a higher low. A strong bullish candle closing near 0.31 or higher would add confirmation. If this happens, the path to 0.3392 becomes more likely, and possibly even to the full resistance zone at 0.3498.
In the bearish scenario, price loses the support at 0.2845 decisively. A clean close below this level opens up downside risk, possibly accelerating liquidations from trapped long positions.
In a consolidation scenario, price remains compressed between ~0.295 and ~0.315. If this happens, patience is necessary until a breakout confirms direction.
Execution Tips
When you plan to enter this trade, consider the following:
If you enter near 0.303, monitor the next 2–3 candles carefully. You want to see buyers stepping in with higher lows and a steady move toward 0.32. If price instead hovers sideways or moves lower, be prepared to exit quickly to protect capital.
Avoid moving your stop loss further down if the trade moves against you. This is a common mistake that often leads to larger losses.
Scaling out partial profit before the final target is a smart tactic. For example, consider closing 50% of your position near 0.325 if the price shows signs of hesitation.
Summary
Your VICUSDT 15m chart reveals a clean trading range between 0.2845 and 0.3498. The market has no clear trend, but the setup you highlighted can work if buyers confirm strength above 0.30. The plan combines a relatively tight stop, a realistic target under resistance, and a favorable risk/reward profile.
NASDAQ Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NAS100 for a selling opportunity around 22,750 zone, NASDAQ is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 22,750 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
GOLD → Readiness to test the local bottomFX:XAUUSD is under pressure from the rising dollar and uncertainty, breaking through support levels, which opens up a corridor for the market to fall to 3255 - 3246
The price of gold is consolidating around $3300 after falling more than 1% amid expectations of the Fed minutes and news about tariffs.
Investors remain cautious: the dollar is supported by hopes for US trade deals, while the threat of new tariffs from August 1 is holding back gold's growth.
Weak inflation data in China did not support the metal, while expectations that the Fed will not rush to cut rates due to inflationary pressure from tariffs are also limiting interest in gold. Traders are waiting for the Fed minutes and new statements from Trump to determine the further direction.
Technically, the market looks weak (on D1, the price closed below the key level of 3300 on Tuesday) and there is a chance of a further decline.
Resistance levels: 3300, 3311
Support levels: 3295, 3255, 3246
Consolidation below 3295-3300 could trigger a further decline to 3255, from which the market could react with a correction.
Buying can be considered if gold reverses the short scenario, manages to strengthen to 3311, and consolidates above this level. At the moment, the price is in the selling zone...
Best regards, R. Linda!
EURUSD → Bullish daily structure. Correction before growthFX:EURUSD , after significant growth and a break of structure, has entered a local correction, the target of which may be a phase of accumulation of potential for updating intermediate highs (1.183).
The daily market model is bullish. A break of the structure has formed on D1, and the market is entering a correction phase, during which it may be interested in testing 0.5 or the 0.7 Fibonacci area before continuing its growth. I would also like to draw attention to the previously broken resistance level of 1.164 - 1.163, which, within the current correction, may act as a support level for buyers...
In addition, the market has not yet reached the liquidity level it was heading for during the correction for a possible continuation of growth. Zone of interest: 1.168, 1.164, 1.159
Resistance levels: 1.1728, 1.1766
Support levels: 1.168, 1.164, 1.159
A false breakdown of the specified support zone could change the market imbalance and attract buyer interest, which could generally support the bullish trend.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Buy Gold! The short-term bottom may have appeared!Gold continued to retreat yesterday and hit a recent low, reaching around 3287. Then gold gradually rebounded to above 3300. Relatively speaking, the rebound momentum was weak. It is expected that the long and short sides will fight fiercely around 3300. However, from the recent characteristics of gold operation, it can be seen that although the short position of gold is strong, it is difficult to continue in the short term, and I think the short-term decline of gold is basically in place, so at this stage, in terms of short-term trading, I do not advocate shorting gold directly;
As gold did not continue to fall after reaching around 3287, on the contrary, it gradually rebounded to above 3300, which may strengthen the market's consensus on the short-term bottom, thereby attracting the favor of off-site funds; from the current gold structure, if gold can maintain above 3300-3295, it may be combined with the 3287 low to build a "W" double bottom structure, which is conducive to supporting the rebound of gold.
However, as gold fell below 3300 again, the bearish trend is relatively strong, so we need to moderately lower our expectations for a gold rebound. In the short term, gold is under pressure in the 3315-3325 area, so we can temporarily look to this area for the rebound target. Therefore, in short-term trading, I do not advocate shorting gold directly, and you can first consider going long on gold in the 3300-3295 area, TP: 3310-3320-3330.
🇺🇸 XAUUSD – July 9 | Structure Testing Key Levels AgainYesterday’s clean rejection from 3328.76 gave us a profitable 300+ pip move down to 3298. Today, we’re seeing a potential double bottom near 3284.61 — the same level price held during yesterday’s drop.
📌 What I’m Watching:
🔼 Buy Setup:
Break above today’s high → bullish continuation to 3345.66
➤ Estimated 300+ pips upside
🔽 Sell Setup:
Break of today’s low = move to 3274.00
➤ If 3274 breaks, extension to 3246.00 opens up another 180 pips
Overall bias remains bullish (daily & weekly trendlines still respected), but I’ll trade what price confirms — not what I expect
EURUSD TRADES BEARISH
Last week, due to a fail of holding above the 1.18000 level, we saw a huge 1-hour decline of 0.39% on big selling volumes, which is not typical for such instruments as EURUSD. Since that time, the price has been moving within a descending channel and has formed a possible pennant yesterday. All of the factors "vote" for going bearish in this asset.
So, what will be the possible scenario? We may go market sell right immediately, or wait till the breakout of the pennant pattern. In this case we may set
🔽 a sell stop order at 1.17400 with
❌a stop loss at 1.17670 and
🤑a take profit at 1.16915
Additionally, EURUSD may go even further downstairs, next to a 1.16000 support level. For this case we may preserve some minor part of our position with a take profit set nearby this level.
ETHUSD SHAPING THE BEARISH WEDGE, READY TO DECLINE
Ethereum has been forming the bearish wedge since the June 23th. The asset goes precisely according to Elliot 5-waves formation and is currently starting the wave E, rebounding from the lower border of the chart pattern.
What a trader may do?
We may go aggressive and trade long right immedia CAPITALCOM:ETHUSD tely with a take profit slightly below the 2,700.00 resistance level
🔼 a market buy order at 2544.19 with
❌a stop loss at 2489.90 and
🤑a take profit at 2691.35,
risk-reward ratio is 1:2.71 (nice one!)
However, I prefer to stay conservative and wait till the price tests the 2,700.00 level and enter the position there with
🔽 a pending sell stop order at 2691.35 with
❌a stop loss at 2759.92 and
🤑a take profit at 2409.89
risk-reward ratio here will be 1:4.1 (even better!)
In mid-term, I still expect ETHUSD to trade within a 2,400.00-2,700.00 range. So after assets reaches the 2,400.00, could be reasonable to look for new long opportunities! But will see.
Hold more than 3320 gold orders and wait patiently for the riseWe arranged a long order at 3320. Obviously, the market has given us an opportunity. After entering the long order, we should set a stop loss and wait patiently for the profit to be released. This is what we have to do, so there is no other idea and we are still bullish.
The current market has a clear rhythm, and the support is effective. In the short term, it is still a bullish structure. The structure is not broken and the direction remains unchanged. We will continue to advance the trading rhythm as planned.
🔸 Hold long orders near 3320, and the stop profit is 3335-3345 unchanged.
🔸 Strictly implement the trading plan, keep a stable rhythm, and wait for the market to realize the space.
Trade within the plan, rhythm first, keep an eye on the key points, and leave the rest to the market.
AUDUSD InsightHello to all our subscribers, and welcome!
Please share your personal thoughts in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe.
Key Points
- U.S. President Donald Trump stated ahead of a cabinet meeting at the White House that he will announce tariffs on semiconductors, pharmaceuticals, and several other items, adding that pharmaceuticals could face tariffs of up to 200%.
- The European Union has not yet received a formal tariff notice from Trump. However, it is reportedly considering a possible agreement to maintain a base tariff rate of 10%.
- Michele Bullock, Governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia, remarked, “I don’t think inflation is sustainably low—I actually believe it is still higher.”
Key Economic Events This Week
+ July 9: FOMC Meeting Minutes Release
+ July 10: Germany June CPI
+ July 11: U.K. May GDP
AUDUSD Chart Analysis
The recent uptrend has temporarily paused around the 0.66000 level. However, the pair is expected to resume its upward momentum in the 0.64700–0.65000 zone. Once the bullish trend resumes, it is likely to rise smoothly toward the 0.67000 level, although minor resistance is expected at 0.67000, which could trigger a short-term pullback. In the longer term, the pair is still projected to rise toward the 0.69000 level.
Crude oil shock trend direction
💡Message Strategy
During the European trading session on Monday, the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures on the New York Mercantile Exchange recovered the previous losses and rebounded to around $67.50 per barrel. Although OPEC+ confirmed that the increase in oil production in August will be higher than expected, oil prices still rebounded.
From the daily chart level, the medium-term trend of crude oil fluctuated upward and tested around 78. The K-line closed with a large real negative line, which has not yet destroyed the moving average system and is still supported. The medium-term objective upward trend remains unchanged. However, from the perspective of momentum, the MACD indicator crosses downward above the zero axis, indicating that the bullish momentum is weakening. It is expected that the medium-term trend of crude oil will fall into a high-level oscillating upward pattern.
📊Technical aspects
The short-term (1H) trend of crude oil failed to continue to hit a new low and showed a rebound rhythm. The oil price crossed the moving average system, and the short-term objective trend entered a transition period. From the perspective of momentum, the MACD indicator crossed the zero axis, and the red column indicated that the bullish momentum was sufficient. At present, the price is running in a wide range, with a range of 65.50-67.80. It is expected that the trend of crude oil will repeatedly test the upper edge of the range within the range.
💰Strategy Package
Long Position:67.00-67.50,SL:65.50,Target:70.00
Gold shocks and alternating long and short ideas
💡Message Strategy
As we mentioned before, the upper 3345-50 is the suppression position after the non-agricultural data last week. We can short at the 45-50 line when it rebounds. Yesterday, we also gave the idea of going long at the 3295-3301 line. At midnight, gold rebounded perfectly above the 3330 line and closed at the 3336 line.
Today we continue to pay attention to the short-term suppression of the 3345-50 line. If the rebound does not break, we will intervene in the short order. After all, the technical side needs to be adjusted and repaired during the day. We try to grasp the good entry position for operation. If your current gold operation is not ideal, welcome to communicate!
📊Technical aspects
From the 1-hour analysis, the short-term support of 3290-3295 is concerned below, the short-term resistance above is concerned about the 3345-50 line, and the suppression of 3365-70 is focused on. The overall main tone of high-altitude low-multiple cycle participation remains unchanged. In the middle position, watch more and do less, and follow orders cautiously, and maintain the main tone of participation in the trend. Wait patiently for key points to participate. Pay attention to the specific operation strategy in time.
💰Strategy Package
Long Position:3290-3300,SL:3275,Target: 3320-3340
The intraday low has already appeared, so go long on gold boldlyGold unexpectedly fell sharply to around 3287. To be honest, the short position is relatively strong. However, since gold fell below 3000, we can clearly see that gold has shown strong resistance to falling during the decline, and the volatility tends to converge around 3287, proving that the buying support below is strong; and as gold continues to retreat, the off-market wait-and-see funds will be more willing to go long on gold; and some short positions will be more willing to go long on gold after profit taking;
In addition, although the short position is strong, it is difficult to continue in the short term. The intraday decline is basically in place. It is estimated that 3287 is the intraday low, so at this stage, it is inconvenient for us to continue to chase short gold. On the contrary, we can boldly go long on gold in the 3305-3295 area and look at the target area: 3320-3330.
Short-term gold bulls and bears are anxious,3330 becomes the keyAt present, the market has been fluctuating narrowly in the range of 3330-3320, and both bulls and bears are in a stalemate. However, gold has formed a double-layer head and shoulders bottom pattern, so the short-term bullish trend is definitely unchanged. In the previous post, I also mentioned that if the rebound in the European session is weak and gold continues to be below 3345, then the short-term NY session may usher in a retracement and a second bottom. Therefore, I still hold a long order of 3325-3315, and temporarily modify the TP to the 3335 line. I expect that there may be a retracement here, but there may also be a direct retracement. No matter what the situation is, we need to stabilize before entering the market.
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
How to solve the problem of order being trapped in a loop📊 Gold Day Trading Strategy (Recommendation index ⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️)
📰 News information:
1. The lasting impact of new tariffs
2. The impact of geopolitical conflicts
3. The Fed’s interest rate cut
📈 Technical Analysis:
The recent market conditions have been volatile. Many brothers have reported that they have been trapped recently. They have just been released from short positions, but have fallen into the situation of being trapped by long orders again. I have also encountered such a situation recently. Brothers who follow me must know that I have been trapped, but in the process of being trapped, I still share my trading ideas for the brothers who are trapped to check, so that we can all get out of the trap.
Gold fell as expected and hit the lowest point of 3287 before rebounding. The current 3300-3290 range given at the bottom has certain support. At present, I have answered it. As long as it does not fall below 3285, we can still go long and look for rebound correction. TP can temporarily look at 3305-3310. At present, the short-term upper watershed is near the 3321 line. As time goes by, the medium-term point can be seen at 3345. Only when the price stands above 3345 can the upward momentum continue to touch the 3380 line, or even 3400. In the short term, you can go long if you look at the support below. In the short term, pay attention to the resistance above 3315-3320. If it encounters resistance under pressure, it will fall back. On the contrary, after breaking through the first level of resistance, the upward trend will continue.
🎯 Trading Points:
BUY 3300-3290-3285
TP 3305-3315-3320-3345
SELL 3315-3321
TP 3300-3290
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
JD.cm | JD | Long at $33.16Like Amazon NASDAQ:AMZN and Alibaba NYSE:BABA , I suspect AI and robotics will enhance JD.com's NASDAQ:JD automation in warehousing, delivery, and retail. There is some risk here, like other Chinese stocks, that they could be delisted from the US market if trade/war tensions rise. But I just don't think that is likely (no matter the threats) due to the importance of worldwide trade and investment. I could be way wrong, though...
NASDAQ:JD has a current P/E of 8.1x and a forward P/E of 1.2x, which indicates strong earnings growth ahead. The company is healthy, with a debt-to-equity of 0.4x, Altmans Z Score of 2.6, and a Quick Ratio of .9 (could be better).
From a technical analysis perspective, the historical simple moving average (SMA) band is still in an overall downtrend but starting to level out (accumulation of share area). It is possible, however, that the price may drop into the $20s to close out the existing price gaps on the daily chart as tariff threats arise. But that area is another personal entry zone if fundamentals hold.
Thus, while it could be a bumpy ride and the risk is there for delisting, NASDAQ:JD is in a personal buy zone at $33.16 (with known risk of drop to the $20s in the near-term).
Targets into 2028:
$44.00 (+32.7%)
$52.00 (+56.8%)
Alibaba | BABA | Long at $108.84Like Amazon, I suspect AI and robotics will enhance Alibaba's NYSE:BABA e-commerce, logistics, and cloud computing operations. There is some risk here, like other Chinese stocks, that they could be delisted from the US market if trade/war tensions rise. But I just don't think that is likely (no matter the threats) due to the importance of worldwide trade and investment. I could be way wrong, though...
NYSE:BABA has a current P/E of 14.2x and a forward P/E of 2x, which indicates strong earnings growth ahead. The company is very healthy, with a debt-to-equity of 0.2x, Altmans Z Score of 3.3, and a Quick Ratio of 1.5. If this were a US stock, investors would have piled in long ago at the current price.
From a technical analysis perspective, the historical simple moving average (SMA) band has started to reverse trend (now upward), indicating a high potential for continued (overall) price movement up. It is possible, however, that the price may reenter the SMA band in the near-term - the $80s aren't out of the question - as tariff threats arise. But that area is another personal entry zone if fundamentals hold.
Thus, while it could be a bumpy ride and the risk is there for delisting, NYSE:BABA is in a personal buy zone at $108.84 (with known risk of drop to the $80s in the near-term).
Targets into 2028:
$125.00 (+14.8%)
$160.00 (+47.0%)
The shock continues, and the retracement continues to go long📊 Gold Day Trading Strategy (Recommendation index ⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️)
📰 News information:
1. The lasting impact of new tariffs
2. The impact of geopolitical conflicts
3. The Fed’s interest rate cut
📈 Technical Analysis:
From the hourly chart, gold has formed a head and shoulders bottom. At present, 3320 below has formed a certain support in the short term. For now, the daily line still cannot close below 3320. If the daily line closes below 3320, the decline may open further. On the contrary, the current upper suppression position of gold is near 3350. If the daily line stands above 3350 again, it will be a bull-dominated trend and may test 3380-3390 above. In the short term, pay attention to the support line of 3325-3315 below. If it retreats to the support level, you can consider going long. Look to the resistance range of 3340-3350 above, and pay special attention to the suppression line of 3365-3370. At the same time, if the European session is always suppressed below 3345 and sideways, there is no performance, so you should consider selling it, and there may be further retreat in the evening.
🎯 Trading Points:
BUY 3330-3325-3315
TP 3340-3350-3365
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD