Below 3360, short sellers still have profit potential!Although gold has steadily rebounded to around 3345, compared with yesterday's gold falling below 3330 again, the rebound in the short term is not strong; overall, gold is still in a weak and volatile pattern, with pressure from the upper side at 3350-3360; and there is technical buying support in the lower 3300-3290 area. It is under the influence of the resistance area and the support area that gold lacks continuity.
So before gold breaks through effectively, I think both the long and short sides of gold have profit potential, so for the current short-term trading, we can temporarily maintain the high-sell-low-dregs trading within the range.
1. Consider shorting gold in batches with 3345-3365 as resistance, TP: 3330-3320-3310;
2. Consider going long gold in batches with 3325-3305 as support, TP: 3345-3355-3365
Trend Lines
🇪🇺 EURUSD – July 8 | Ranging After FakeoutAfter breaking Thursday’s low, EURUSD gave us 30 pips then started ranging right at that level. Today’s price action is mildly bullish, but likely just a retest of the 4hr bearish structure that’s formed.
📌 Key Levels:
🔼 Safe Buys:
Above 1.18075 (strong resistance)
→ Breakout = ~70 pip opportunity
🔽 Sells / Deeper Pullback:
Below 1.16869
→ Potential 60 pip drop into next liquidity zone
⚠️ Current range is tight and indecisive — not worth trading until we get a break.
Bias still bullish longer-term, but patience needed here.
EURGBP: Bullish Move After False Breakout 🇪🇺🇬🇧
EURGBP will likely go up from a key daily/intraday support,
following a bullish breakout of a resistance line
of a bullish triangle on an hourly time frame.
The price may go up to 0.86218 level then.
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USDJPY InsightHello to all our subscribers!
Please feel free to share your personal opinions in the comments.
Don't forget to like and subscribe!
Key Points
- U.S. President Trump has officially announced that he will sign an executive order extending the reciprocal tariff suspension deadline to August 1st.
- Through a post on Truth Social, President Trump revealed that he had first sent tariff letters to allies South Korea and Japan, addressed directly to their heads of state, stating that a 25% tariff would be imposed on both countries starting August 1st.
- Hajime Takata, a member of Japan’s Monetary Policy Board, hinted at the possibility of additional rate hikes, stating: “If solid capital investment, wage increases, and the sustainability of price pass-through can be confirmed, we will need to shift gears one step at a time.”
This Week's Major Economic Events
+ July 8: Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Interest Rate Decision
+ July 9: Release of FOMC Meeting Minutes
+ July 10: Germany’s June Consumer Price Index (CPI)
+ July 11: UK May GDP Report
USDJPY Chart Analysis
The pair rebounded near the 142 level, showing upward momentum. This appears to reflect the impact of Trump’s announcement of high tariffs on Japan.
If negotiations proceed, the upward trend may stall. In such a scenario, a potential high around 148 is likely.
However, if the 148 level is breached, there could be an additional rally toward the 151 level.
NVIDIA (NVDA)-Trade PlanNVDA, After an explosive run powered by GenAI infrastructure and bullish earnings, the chart is setting up for either a bullish continuation or a healthy pullback.
With volatility tightening and volume compressing, this is a great moment to prepare for either breakout or breakdown scenarios.
🎯 Trade Plan – Tiered Long Setup
📌 Entry Zones (Tiered Buying):
🔹 $150
🔸 $140
🔻 $120
📈 Profit Targets:
TP1: $160
TP2: $175
TP3: $200+ – Long-term continuation play if AI macro momentum persists
📌 DISCLAIMER: This idea is for educational purposes only. Always use proper risk management and assess your own strategy
Shorts trapped? No, the head and shoulders top is still downOver the weekend, I gave a trading strategy for going long at 3315-3305. Today, I updated and optimized the long order trading, maintained the high-short-low-long trading strategy, and began to rebound near the 3300 line, and successfully touched the long TP 3333. At present, I am executing short trades again according to the trading strategy and holding short orders.
Although gold has only retreated to around 3330, I am not worried about losses and failures in short trades. As I wrote in today's post, the daily K-line chart has a head and shoulders top pattern. As long as the bulls fail to recover 3360, it is still a short trend. Therefore, in the short term, I still think that the rebound is a good opportunity for us to go short.
At present, the short-term bullish momentum of gold has been consumed and the downward trend continues. Therefore, I still insist on holding short orders in the short term.
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and being strict with yourself. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Seize the correction: It’s the right time to short goldThe current rebound is only a technical adjustment rather than a trend reversal. The rebound in the falling market is a good opportunity to arrange short orders. The hourly chart shows that the moving average pressure continues to move down to around 3340-3345. This position also serves as the long-short watershed in the previous intensive trading area, forming a key resistance barrier. If the gold price rebounds and approaches the area below 3345 and a stagflation signal appears or a top structure is formed, it can be regarded as a clear short signal. It is recommended to enter the market to seize the downward space. The current market direction is clear, and the exhaustion of the rebound is the best time to enter the market. Relying on the technical pressure level, the short position can be accurately arranged.
Gold fluctuates repeatedly, how to seize the opportunityIf the direction is right, you are not afraid of the long journey. Use time to witness your strength, use your strength to win the future, let trust become profit, and use profit to resolve doubts. The market is changing rapidly, and going with the trend is the kingly way. When the trend comes, just do it, don't go against the trend to buy at the bottom, so as not to suffer. Remember not to act on impulse when trading. The market is good for all kinds of dissatisfaction, so you must not hold orders. I believe many people have experienced this. The more you resist, the more panic you will feel, and the floating losses will continue to magnify, making you eat and sleep poorly, and you will miss many opportunities in vain. If you also have these troubles, then you might as well follow my pace and try to see if it can make you suddenly enlightened.
Gold is concerned about the short-term pressure of the 3316 line above, and focuses on the pressure of the 3325 line. If the pressure above the 3325 line is not broken, then the possibility of gold further breaking through the lower space to 3295-3300 in the short term will also increase significantly. Therefore, the main line of gold operation is still based on holding shorts and rebounding shorts. Gold can rebound to the 3316 line and 3325 line before considering participating in short shorts. In terms of operation, we first pay attention to the support of the 3295-3300 line. If the lower support is broken today, the market will reverse to the short side. Otherwise, we will continue to rebound from the bottom and look for opportunities to go long.
From the current trend of gold, pay attention to the support of the 3300-3295 line below, the short-term resistance above pays attention to the vicinity of 3316, and focus on the suppression of the line near 3325. The overall main tone of high-altitude low-multiple cycle participation remains unchanged. In the mid-line position, keep watching and do less, follow orders cautiously, keep the main tone of participating in the trend, and patiently wait for key points to participate.
Gold operation strategy:
1. Go long on gold around 3330-3295, target 3315-3320.
2. Go short on gold around 3315-3325, target 3305-3300.
Hard to find a "butter" trade than TOST - long at 42.49This is my first actual trade of TOST. No particular bias against it, just haven't traded it before. But looking at its paper results, I wish I had been.
Since the first of the year, it has outperformed QQQ more than 2:1 on a B/H basis, which I always like to see, but don't always get in a trade. But its 16.71% return pales compared to what I'd have gotten had I been trading it. It generated 16 signals since Jan 1.
The summed (non-compounded) return on those trades, collectively, would have been +49.2% and that includes an open signal that is down almost 5% right now. The average trade lasted 9 days (increased by one trade that lasted 56 days). The average gain in those 9 days was 3.08% (.33%/day or almost 8x the avg market return and 5x that of the QQQ so far this year). The median results were even better: +2.64% in 4.5 days (+0.59% per day held).
As a bonus here, the stock is well above its 200d MA and is at the upper edge of the GC overlay bullish ribbon (also a good sign of strength). Like Monday's idea, none of this guarantees success, but it ups the odds.
While I don't do price targets, the 1 open buy signal was triggered 4.77% above where the stock is now, so I expect that to be eventually taken out. But, it's been 6+ weeks since that signal already, so how soon is anyone's guess. I will likely take my profits when my profit taking signal clicks, be that in one day or in weeks. Maybe I'll get lucky and it will take out that 4.77% level in a hurry. 5 of the 16 trades so far this year have eclipsed that level, so it's not out of the question. We shall see.
The win is all I seek. What the market gods deign to give me in terms of magnitude and time required is up to them. I will accept it.
As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
VIC Faces Crucial Resistance Test After Explosive RallyVIC just popped over 100% and is now testing a key resistance trendline.
After weeks of sideways chop and downside pressure, VIC has made a strong bounce off the demand zone and is now pushing right into the falling resistance trendline.
This is a crucial level, if it breaks and holds above this trendline, we could see a shift in structure and more upside toward the next supply zone.
But if it gets rejected again, price might cool off and retest lower supports.
DYOR, NFA
90-day tariffs expire, how to position gold next week📰 News information:
1. 90-day tariffs are about to expire
📈 Technical Analysis:
With the Trump administration's massive tax cut and spending bill officially implemented, the U.S. Treasury may start a "supply flood" of short-term Treasury bonds to make up for the trillions of dollars in fiscal deficits in the future. Concerns about the oversupply of short-term Treasury bonds have been directly reflected in prices. The yield of 1-month short-term Treasury bonds has risen significantly since Monday this week. Slowing wage growth, falling total work hours, stagnant wage income growth and concerns about consumer spending are all signs that support gold.
From a technical perspective, Friday's closing long shadow small candle body, the price closed at a high of 3345 and a low of 3224. The overall idea for next week is to follow the trend and rely on the first short-term support of 3323 below to participate in long positions. Secondly, 3315-3305 is given below. If the support point is lost, then 3300 below is also in danger, and there is no need to overly insist on continuing to do more at low levels in the short-term rhythm. The key pressure above is 3340-3350, and the limit is the pressure of 3360 above.
🎯 Trading Points:
BUY 3325-3323
TP 3333-3340-3350
BUY 3315-3305
TP 3325-3333-3340
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
GOLD → Buyers are hesitant due to new tariffsFX:XAUUSD continues its correction phase after updating local highs and breaking through trend resistance. The dollar is making traders nervous...
After rising 2% last week, gold started Monday with a decline to $3,300 amid a stronger dollar due to the risk of new tariffs from Trump, who sent letters to 12 countries threatening to impose duties of up to 70% if no agreements are reached by July 9. This boosted demand for the dollar as a safe-haven asset.
Gold is also under pressure from strong US employment data, which has dampened expectations of a rate cut. The market is focused on news on tariffs and the publication of the Fed minutes on Wednesday, which may clarify the outlook for monetary policy.
Technically, the correction may end in the 0.7 Fibonacci zone, in the range of 3295-3300. After the formation of a reversal pattern, the market may strengthen to 3350-3360.
Resistance levels: 3315, 3344, 3358
Support levels: 3300, 3295
Locally, the price is trying to consolidate below the range, which could lead to a decline to 3300-3295. If, during the correction from support, the market manages to consolidate above 3315, we can expect growth. Otherwise, a weak reaction at 3295 could lead to a retest of 3275 and consolidation in the selling zone, which could lead to a further decline to 3245 .
BUT! We are closely monitoring the position of the US and Trump on tariffs, as he is once again issuing ultimatums to countries, to which the markets are reacting...
Best regards, R. Linda!
GBPUSD → Correction before the bullish trend continuesFX:GBPUSD is forming a trading range for consolidation of potential ahead of a possible continuation of growth as part of a countertrend correction.
The dollar is trying to recover from its decline due to a local change in the fundamental background, but the global trend for the DXY is bearish. This could provide support for the GBP to continue growing, provided that the bulls hold their defense above the 0.5 Fibonacci zone of the main impulse movement.
The market is holding GBPUSD within the trading range of 1.359 - 1.3675. The trend is bullish, and within the correction, liquidity may be captured from 1.359 before further growth.
Resistance levels: 1.3675, 1.3764
Support levels: 1.359, 1.3511
If the reaction to the subsequent retest of support at 1.359 is weak, we can consider a continuation of the correction to the 0.7-0.79 Fibonacci zone, which would be the most favorable entry point for us (focus on 1.3511 — a false breakout will increase interest in buying). In the current situation, the focus is on 1.359.
Best regards, R. Linda!
US Equities Index – Retesting Breakout Zone After Strong RallyUS Equities Index recently broke through the 4,760.00 resistance zone with strength, but price is now pulling back slightly, possibly retesting this level as new support. The projected upside targets the 4,876.76 zone, which remains the next key resistance.
Support at: 4,760.00 🔽 | 4,650.00 🔽
Resistance at: 4,876.76 🔼
🔎 Bias:
🔼 Bullish: Holding above 4,760.00 confirms breakout structure with potential continuation toward 4,876.76.
🔽 Bearish: A breakdown back below 4,760.00 could shift bias short-term toward 4,650.00 and 4,555.95.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
US30: Market in Rally Mode – Prepare for the Next OpportunityWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** US30 Analysis !
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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Thanks for your continued support! Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
USDCAD Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring USDCAD for a buying opportunity around 1.35750 zone, USDCAD is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.35750 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Dow Jones Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring US30 for a buying opportunity around 44,400 zone, Dow Jones is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend 44,400 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
15-minute candlestick chart for Gold Spot (XAU/USD)15-minute candlestick chart for Gold Spot (XAU/USD)
📉 **1. Trend Overview:**
* The overall direction is **bearish (downtrend)** — this is confirmed by:
* **Price below the 50 EMA** (black line)
* **Lower highs and lower lows**
* Continuous rejection from resistance
---
### 🟩 **2. Resistance Zone (\~3,312 to 3,320):**
* This is the area where price has **previously failed to break above** multiple times.
* Sellers dominate this level — price tends to drop when approaching here.
* A **bullish breakout above 3,320** may signal trend reversal.
---
### 🟥 **3. Support Zone (\~3,296 to 3,303):**
* This area has seen **strong buying** (look at the lower wicks and reversal candles).
* Price has bounced multiple times from this zone — it's acting as a **floor**.
* If price breaks **below this support**, further downside is likely.
---
### 📊 **4. Indicators:**
* **EMA 50 (black line)**: Shows the medium-term trend — it's sloping down, confirming bearish bias.
* **Shorter EMAs (red and blue)** are also above price, indicating pressure from sellers.
---
### 💡 **5. Price Action & Volume Insight:**
* A recent **rejection wick** at support suggests buyers are still active here.
* However, volume is increasing during the latest drop — **bearish momentum** is building.
* Watch how price behaves around 3,302–3,303 — consolidation here could lead to a breakout or breakdown soon.
---
### 🧠 **Trade Setups:**
#### **A. Bearish Scenario (Breakdown Trade):**
* 🔻 *Sell below 3,296 (support break)*
* 🎯 Target: 3,288 or lower
* 🛑 Stop Loss: Above 3,304
#### **B. Bullish Scenario (Bounce Trade):**
* 🔼 *Buy near 3,296–3,303 (support bounce)*
* 🎯 Target: 3,312–3,320 (resistance)
* 🛑 Stop Loss: Below 3,295
---
### ✅ **Summary:**
* Market is **bearish**, but currently **testing strong support**.
* Watch closely for a breakout below support or a pullback to resistance.
* Best strategy: **Sell the breakdown or sell the pullback to resistance.**
Gold fluctuates, beware of rebound caused by new tariffs📊 Gold Day Trading Strategy (Recommendation index ⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️)
📰 News information:
1. 90-day tariffs are about to expire
2. New unilateral tariffs
3. Geopolitical situation
📈 Technical Analysis:
As I said this morning, shorting gold is divided into two times, the first time is near 3324, and the second time is at 3340 or 3345. If there is a short-term retracement after breaking through 24, you can follow up with a long order to look at 3335-3340. If gold is in a very weak state, you can consider shorting near 3315 and look at 3300. Because during the European session, 3300 has strong support, and the European session repeatedly tests this support. If it falls below 3300, we will go to 3295-3285, or even 3250. But at the same time, we need to pay attention to the rebound of gold that may be caused by tariff policies and geopolitical situations.
🎯 Trading Points:
SELL 3315-3325-3335
TP 3305-3295-3285
BUY 3290-3285
TP 3300-3310-3320
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and being strict with yourself. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
BAH Gaining Momentum With New DOD ContractsBAH recently fell after missing earning expectations, though the results were quite decent. It is currently sitting at 57% of 52 Weeks high. Seems oversold. Its AI products are going to contribute significantly to future revenues. Recently on June 16th, it won a DoD contract worth $96.07 million. Plus, the SMA (10) is finally crossing above SMA (50).
First target (A) seems to be $115 ish. If it breaks that resistance, 2nd target (B) seems to be about $122+.
NFA, just sharing my learning. :)