EUR/USD Bulls Eye 1.0600 – Uptrend Intact Above 1.0460 EUR/USD Analysis – February 17, 2025
Euro Gains 2% in a Winning Week as Dollar Struggles Amid Trade Policy Uncertainty
The US dollar remains volatile as markets react to uncertainty surrounding Trump's potential tariff plans. Traders are closely watching for new policy announcements that could introduce reciprocal tariffs, potentially affecting international trade balances.
Over the past six weeks, EUR/USD has been fluctuating within a range of 1.02 to 1.05, showing indecisiveness in the broader trend. However, recent price action suggests that the pair is gaining bullish momentum as long as key support levels hold.
Technical Outlook
EUR/USD remains in an uptrend, with bullish momentum expected to continue as long as the price stays above the 1.0460 - 1.0520 range. A sustained move above this zone would likely drive the pair toward 1.0600, and a breakout above this resistance level could accelerate gains toward 1.0677 and 1.0740.
However, if the pair fails to hold above 1.0440 and closes an H4 candle below this level, the bullish momentum could weaken, leading to a potential pullback toward 1.0367. A deeper decline below 1.0367 may expose further downside levels at 1.0288 and 1.0226, but at this stage, buying on dips remains the favored approach in alignment with the prevailing uptrend.
Key Levels
Pivot Line: 1.0470 - 1.0440
Resistance Levels: 1.0600, 1.0677, 1.0740
Support Levels: 1.0367, 1.0288, 1.0220
Market Sentiment
While EUR/USD shows short-term bullish strength, much depends on the upcoming trade policy decisions. If tariffs are imposed, the US dollar could regain strength, potentially limiting the euro’s upside. However, if risk sentiment improves, the euro may continue its upward trajectory.
Trend Lines
Trading Signals for EUR/USD sell below 1.0500 (200 EMA -6/8 Early in the American session, EUR/USD is trading 1.04727 inside the uptrend channel forming since the beginning of February and reaching overbought levels around 6/8 Murray.
On the H4 chart, we can see that the EUR/USD continued its rise during the European session until it reached the top of the bullish trend channel around 1.05118. Since then, we have seen a technical correction which is likely to set the stage for a bullish cycle in the next few hours.
If the euro tries to break 6/8 Murry located around the psychological level of 1.0500, we should expect a consolidation above this area. On the contrary, if this scenario does not occur, we could see a strong technical correction and EUR/USD could fall towards 5/8 Murray located at 1 .0376.
The outlook remains bullish for the euro but it is showing signs of exhaustion. If EUR/USD finds a strong rejection at 1.0498, it could be seen as an opportunity to sell.
The indicator is reaching overbought levels and is showing a negative signal. So, our trading plan could be sell positions as long as EUR/USD consolidates below 1.0500.
USOIL:Go long on oil prices, or hold a buy orderusoil:
Technically, there is no demand for a rebound. The ultra-short-term technical pattern shows a triangular consolidation range. At the same time, reducing the oil price in some areas will also increase the demand for oil to a certain extent. At the same time, the factor of geopolitical war will cause oil as an energy reserve to bottom out again. Overall, the profit of short-term long oil prices is conservatively estimated to be more than 7p.
Buying target: around 71.5
Loss setting: 70.2 FX:USOIL
USDCHF → Struggle for the 0.900 zone. Trend change?FX:USDCHF earlier broke the uptrend when the fundamental background changed and the dollar went into correction. A set-up appears on the chart, which can strengthen the maneuver
Fundamentally, the situation is complicated because of the tariff war, which was organized by Trump, and European countries are reciprocating. Economic risks are on the rise. In addition, after Trump and Powell's hints about possible rate cuts, the dollar went into correction, which has a favorable impact on forex.
Technically, the 0.9000 level plays an important role as it is quite a strong zone. If the bears are able to keep the price below this mark, in the selling zone, it will be a confirmation of the trend change and the price will be able to head down.
Resistance levels: 0.9000, 0.9045, 0.9065
Support levels: 0.89157
I do not exclude the fact that the price may return to the range and test 0.5 Fibo, but the technical and fundamental background hints at a possible decline. Emphasis on 0.900.
Regards R. Linda!
RBA Poised to Reduce Cash Rate by 25 Basis PointsThe Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will meet this Tuesday and is widely anticipated to deliver its first rate cut in four years amid easing inflationary pressures. I am ‘reasonably’ convinced that the central bank will reduce the Cash Rate this week, a belief based on inflation and growth data that delivered prints south of the RBA’s recent projections (released on 5 November 2024).
Following nine consecutive meetings on hold, markets are pricing in a 90% probability that the RBA will reduce the Cash Rate by 25 basis points (bps) to 4.10% from 4.35% (per the ASX 30-Day Interbank Cash Rate futures). Markets are also pricing for an additional 50 bps of cuts by the year-end, lowering the Cash Rate to 3.6%.
I am not holding my breath for anything illuminating to come out of the RBA’s accompanying rate statement and press conference. I believe we will see the Board underscore a cautious tone, echoing the ‘data dependent’ approach. The central bank will likely shine the spotlight on the disinflation progress but stop short of providing anything concrete to signal further cuts.
The RBA will also release their detailed quarterly updated forecasts on growth (GDP ), unemployment, inflation, and the Cash Rate. Traders will look at these metrics closely for any revisions. I expect slightly lower revisions to GDP and inflation, but I do not see much change in forecasts for the Cash Rate.
Inflation and GDP: Main Drivers Behind a Rate Cut
In Q2 24, headline Australian inflation came in lower than expected, decelerating to 2.4% (from 2.8% in Q3 24) and marking the lowest quarterly reading since early 2021. This not only places headline inflation within the lower boundary of the RBA’s inflation target band of 2-3%, but the trimmed mean inflation rate – the RBA’s preferred measure of underlying inflation – also exhibited signs of softness, cooling to within touching distance of the RBA’s upper target band (3.0%) at 3.2% in Q4 24 (year-on-year ) from 3.5% in Q3 24.
GDP cooled to 0.8% in Q3 24 (YY), down from 1.0% in Q2 24 and marked the slowest pace of economic growth since late 2020. Quarterly (Q3 24), GDP grew by 0.3%, following a slight increase of 0.2% in the previous quarter (Q2 24).
However, while inflation is trending in the right direction and growth remains subdued – providing some legroom for the RBA to cut the Cash Rate this week – the central bank’s easing cycle will likely be slow and steady this year. Coupled with underlying inflation trending just north of the RBA’s inflation target, the central bank still faces a reasonably solid jobs market. Employment increased by 56,300, comfortably surpassing the market’s median estimate of 15,000 and was above November’s revised reading of 28,200, and wage growth remains steady.
AUD/USD Shaking Hands with Resistance
The AUD/USD currency pair (Australian dollar versus the US dollar) finished last week locking horns with daily resistance between US$0.6417 and US$0.6364 (this area comprises several ratios , a horizontal resistance level, and an ascending resistance extended from US$0.6170).
What is also interesting is the approach to the above-noted resistance could prompt sellers to enter the fray this week. Following a lower low of US$0.6088 in early February, this likely encouraged breakout selling. With these orders now flushed out of the market (bear trap) and the recent higher high (US$0.6368) potentially exciting buyers, this, coupled with price testing resistance last week, could be a bull trap in the making to push things lower.
Update on #FLOKIUSDT 30M✅ **Update on #FLOKIUSDT 30M**
🔹 **Support & Demand Zone:** 0.000094 USDT
🔹 **Resistance & Supply Zone:** 0.00011 USDT
📊 **Key Analysis & Observations:**
FLOKI is currently at the lower boundary of its ascending channel on the 30-minute timeframe. In the short term (1 to 3 days), it has the potential for a **16% increase**. Great opportunities don’t wait! 🚀🔥
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📥 For more analysis:
🆔 @MohsenHasanlu
📅 1403/11/29
EURUSD InsightWelcome, Subscribers!
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Key Points
- U.S. Vice President Vance and Ukrainian President Zelensky discussed a possible ceasefire in Munich, Germany. Some major news outlets report that a trilateral meeting between the U.S., Russia, and Ukraine may take place in Saudi Arabia within a few days to discuss ending the war.
- U.S. January retail sales declined by 0.9%, while core retail sales fell by 0.4%. The market is now reassessing the likelihood of a 50bp rate cut by the Federal Reserve this year.
- US President Trump announced plans for various tariffs but stated that they would be implemented with a preparation period rather than immediately, leaving room for negotiations. This provided some relief to the market.
This Week’s Key Economic Events
+ February 18: Reserve Bank of Australia interest rate decision, Canada January CPI
+ February 19: U.K. January CPI
+ February 20: FOMC meeting minutes
EURUSD Chart Analysis
Last week, EURUSD showed a strong upward trend, reaching the 1.05000 resistance level. There is a possibility of a pullback from this level, but if the resistance is broken, further gains toward 1.06000 can be expected. The next movement will depend on whether EURUSD can break through the 1.06000 level. Given the current trend, an upward move toward 1.06000 is anticipated this week.
On the downside, if EURUSD faces resistance at 1.05000 and pulls back, it could retreat to 1.03500. If the downward trend continues, a further decline to 1.00500 is possible. However, given the current market conditions, there is insufficient bearish momentum, making this scenario less likely.
GBPUSD 1D Trendline Broken - Reverse H&S - Bullish BiasTrendline clearly broken. Price has retraced and currently at support area. Also, there is reverse head and shoulders pattern.
Target 1.2800.
Be cautious with the plan / cut loss (your call) if daily candle close below 20 day Moving Average (MA).
#HBARUSDT remains under seller pressure—expecting further declin📉 SHORT BYBIT:HBARUSDT.P from $0.21913
🛡 Stop Loss: $0.22070
⏱ 1H Timeframe
✅ Overview:
➡️ BYBIT:HBARUSDT.P continues trading in a downtrend, staying below the key level of $0.21913, which could act as a short entry point.
➡️ POC (Point of Control) is positioned above the current price, indicating strong liquidity and selling pressure.
➡️ The price failed to hold above $0.22070, reinforcing the bearish scenario.
➡️ If local lows are broken, further downside movement is expected.
⚡ Plan:
➡️ Enter short below $0.21913, confirming the bearish momentum.
➡️ Risk management via Stop-Loss at $0.22070, placed above the nearest resistance.
🎯 TP Targets:
💎 TP1: $0.21792
🔥 TP2: $0.21594
🚀 BYBIT:HBARUSDT.P remains under seller pressure—expecting further decline!
📢 BYBIT:HBARUSDT.P is showing weakness in the market. If the price breaks below $0.21913, increased selling momentum may lead to $0.21792 – $0.21594. However, if the price rebounds above $0.22070, a short-term recovery could occur.
SOL (Solana) my notes for long-termThe price is having difficulty making new highs, and the RSI confirms this. $170 is the most important support; if this is lost, the $130-155 range can be tested. Below, $110 and $80 are important supports.
Positive scenario; if the price gets continuous support from $170, new ATH attempts may come. (260 - 415 - 510 - 670 dollars)
Negative scenario: If $170 is lost, the price will search for the supports I mentioned below for a long time and consolidate between these supports. It could be a sideways market or a downtrend.
These are the situations I am currently watching and expecting.
This is not investment advice.
LINK (Chainlink) my notes for long-termIf the flag formation works, its target is the $46-53 range, but $34 level is very important. If the flag formation does not pass here while rising, we think the formation did not work. In the best case scenario, we expect it to return to the $46-53 range and correct to $34. My next targets are $53 - $65 and $82.
These are optimistic scenarios and it needs to be persistent above the $34 level for it to work. Otherwise, the support points marked below will be re-examined.
This is not investment advice.
Overall Market Structure XAUUSD1. Overall Market Structure
The market is currently in a strong bullish trend, forming higher highs and higher lows.
A retracement is occurring around the $2900 - $2927 zone, which could be a Liquidity Grab before the next move.
2. Key Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Zones:
$2927 - $2942 (Key Fibonacci 0.236 - 0.0 level), which has already triggered a reaction from sellers.
Support Zones:
$2870 - $2890 (Fibonacci 0.786) – A critical area where buyers may step in.
$2779 (Support from the previous week) – If a deeper correction occurs, this could act as a liquidity area for long positions.
3. Liquidity & Key RTM Zones
Liquidity was grabbed above $2942, indicating potential sell-side orders.
A retracement towards $2890 - $2902 (important FLIP zone) could determine the next direction.
Smart Money might manipulate price around these levels to trap retail traders before a strong move.
4. Possible Scenarios for Next Week
Bullish Scenario:
If price holds above $2890 - $2902, we could see a push towards $2942 - $2960.
A breakout above $2942 could extend the bullish rally to $3000 and beyond.
Bearish (Deeper Retracement) Scenario:
If $2890 support fails, the price could drop to $2779 - $2760, where buyers might step in.
5. Conclusion & Trading Strategy
📌 If $2890 - $2902 holds as support, expect further upside momentum.
📌 If this support breaks, a deeper retracement to $2779 - $2760 is possible.
📌 Watch for liquidity grabs and confirmation signals before entering a trade.
❗ Recommendation: Monitor price reaction at $2890 before making trading decisions. If buyers defend this level, long positions could be favorable.
$IPSC LongNASDAQ:IPSC Century Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ: IPSC) is a biotechnology company based in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, specializing in the development of genetically engineered allogeneic cell therapies for treating solid tumors and hematological malignancies. Their lead product candidate, CNTY-101, is an induced pluripotent stem cell (iPSC)-derived chimeric antigen receptor (CAR)-iNK cell therapy currently in Phase 1 trials targeting CD19 for relapsed or refractory B-cell lymphoma. The company also collaborates with Bristol-Myers Squibb to develop additional iNK or iT programs.
As of February 15, 2025, Century Therapeutics' stock price is $0.7745, with an intraday high of $0.8104 and a low of $0.758. The company has a market capitalization of approximately $62.62 million. Over the past year, the stock has decreased by 83.21%. Despite this decline, four analysts have given the stock a "Strong Buy" rating, with an average 12-month price target of $11, suggesting a potential increase of over 1,400%.
Investors should consider the company's financial performance, including a 57.01% decrease in revenue in 2023 compared to the previous year, and a net loss of $136.67 million.
Given the company's focus on innovative therapies and its strategic partnerships, potential investors should weigh the high-risk nature of biotechnology investments against the potential for significant returns.
Silver (XAG/USD) Gaining Momentum – Next Target $32-$33?Silver is showing strong bullish momentum, currently trading around $31.53, with a +1.25% gain. The price has broken above key resistance levels and is now trading above the 200 EMA (currently at $30.48), which signals a potential continuation of the uptrend.
There's a fair volume range above, along with an internal liquidity level (Int. LQ), which could act as the next target. The market has already filled a previous market block (MB), suggesting that the structure is clean for further upside.
If this bullish momentum holds, the price could push toward $32 - $33 in the short term. A retest of support near $30.50 (200 EMA) would still keep the uptrend intact.
XAU/USD 30-Min Analysis – Bullish Reversal & Breakout SetupGold (XAU/USD) - 30-Minute Chart Analysis 🏆📊
Key Observations:
Market Structure Shift (CHOCH - Change of Character) 🔄
The chart marks a CHOCH, signaling a potential shift from bearish to bullish momentum.
This suggests that the recent downtrend may have concluded, and buyers are stepping in.
Liquidity Grab & Stop Hunt 🎯
The price dipped below the SELL STOP level, likely triggering stop-loss orders.
A sharp rejection followed, indicating strong buying interest at lower levels.
200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average) as Dynamic Support 📈
The price tested the 200 EMA (2,885.011) and bounced off, reinforcing the bullish case.
This suggests that institutional traders might be accumulating positions near this zone.
Bullish Breakout Potential 🚀
The highlighted grey box represents a potential order block or accumulation zone.
A breakout above this area could confirm the bullish continuation towards the target level (2,942.963).
Trade Setup:
Entry Zone: Retest of the grey accumulation zone (around 2,894 - 2,899).
Stop-Loss: Below the recent low (around 2,880).
Target: 2,942.963 (previous resistance & psychological level).
Risk-Reward Ratio: ~2.5:1 (optimal for a trade execution).
Final Thoughts:
🔸 If price holds above the breakout zone, we could see a strong rally towards 2,942.
🔸 If it fails to hold and falls below 2,880, expect further downside retracement.
🔸 Bullish sentiment is favored, but confirmation is key! ✅