Trend Lines
How the U.S. Election Could Impact USD and EUR/USD Trading"As the U.S. presidential election approaches, it’s time to consider how it might impact our trading strategies, particularly with the U.S. dollar and EUR/USD. Political shifts bring market volatility, so let’s break down how each outcome could influence the dollar and the EUR/USD pair.
Election Outcomes and Market Impact
1. If Democrats Win: A Democratic victory could weaken the dollar, as policies may lead to lower inflation and reduced real interest rates. This scenario might push the EUR/USD pair higher, with potential targets around 1.1300–1.1850. For traders, this could mean a favorable environment to consider EUR/USD gains.
2. If Republicans Win: On the other hand, a Republican win might initially strengthen the dollar, thanks to expected trade policies and rising interest rates. However, this strength could be short-lived. Long-term factors may introduce volatility, potentially giving the euro a chance to regain ground against the dollar.
Key Levels to Watch in EUR/USD
From a technical standpoint, keep an eye on resistance levels from 1.1275 to 1.1750 for potential bullish moves, while support around 1.1000 and a critical level at 1.0900 could indicate a downturn. Combining these levels with election news can help you make informed trade adjustments.
How to Trade Before, During, and After the Election
Leading up to the election, watch for narrowing polls, as this could introduce uncertainty and increased volatility. During the election itself, expect the market to react strongly—prepare for a Trump win to potentially strengthen the dollar and a Harris victory to have the opposite effe
XAUUSD is waiting for the FOMCWhere should XAUUSD goes?
XAUUSD is currently in fibonacci 1.618 area and have the ABC movement.
After Donald Trump wins the election, DXY becomes quite strong which push the gold move downward after reaching all time high before
I am seeing XAUUSD will move up because we expect Fed will cut the rate
Waiting for confirmation in M15 to create new high and put the stop loss in 2630-2640 area and XAUUSD shuold not break the downward trendline.
Good luck!
Alikze »» LDO | Descending channel - 1W🔍 Technical analysis: Completion of corrective leg of bullish angle pattern
- In the weekly time frame, after the formation of a bullish corner pattern in the supply area, it has faced selling pressure.
- It is currently moving in a downward channel, which has encountered demand by touching the second area of the green box.
💎According to the upward momentum, in the first step, it can touch the target of 1.56, which is also the ceiling of the downward channel.
💎 Therefore, after the failure of the descending channel, in the case of Polk to the green box area, it can touch the next targets of 2.34 and the supply area (the previous major ceiling).
⚠️ In addition, if the green box area and Fibo 0.23 of the previous wave break, the bullish scenario will be invalidated.⚠️
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BINANCE:LDOUSDT
Alikze »» SKL | Wave 3 or rising C scenario - 1W🔍 Technical analysis: Wave 3 or rising C scenario
News:
SKALE to Participate in Sawadee Web3 Gaming in Bangkok on November 12th
- It is moving in an upward channel in the weekly time frame.
- It is currently in the Support Zone with the formation of a higher floor.
-The previous corrective wave has completed a full cycle in the Support Zone.
💎 Considering that the previous correction wave corrected the previous wave by 0.23 fibo and a higher floor was formed, if the candlestick is confirmed in the weekly time frame, it can enter the broken structure first by breaking the trigger line and then pullback. Ascending phase.
💎Therefore, if there is no stabilization below the area, the scenario of wave 3 or rising C with the specified targets will be accessible.
⚠️ In addition, if the Support Zone or Fibo 0.23 of the previous wave is broken, the bullish scenario will be invalidated. ⚠️
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BINANCE:SKLUSDT
GOLD Analysis Post-Election: Bearish Continuation with Key LevelTechnical Analysis
As we mentioned yesterday, GOLD was expected to be bearish due to the high likelihood of Trump’s success in the election.
Now that Trump has won, GOLD has dropped by about $49 as anticipated, reaching 2712 and 2700.
Currently, we remain in a bearish trend, with the price still aiming for 2712 and potentially 2695 and 2677. A retest of up to 2739 is possible.
As long as the price trades below 2731, further declines toward 2712 and 2695 are expected.
Bearish Scenario: The price may retest 2731 before resuming its downward trend toward 2706, 2695, and 2677. Stability below 2706 reinforces the bearish outlook.
Bullish Scenario: A 4-hour candle close above 2739 would indicate a potential bullish shift, with subsequent targets at 2749 and 2758.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 2731
Resistance Levels: 2739, 2749, 2758
Support Levels: 2706, 2695, 2677
Trend Outlook:
Under 2739: Downtrend
previous idea
SWEAT/USDT THE GOLDEN RETURNSWEATUSDT is exhibiting an intriguing volume trend that suggests potential for a break in the upcoming time frames. This coin is showing a distinctive increase in volume, signaling possible heightened market interest.
Given the current trend, there's a strong possibility that SWEATUSDT could target a return to $0.025, with potential upward momentum toward $0,0094 - $0.012 followed by $0,017. Keep an eye on this one—its volume movement could pave the way for notable price action in the near term.
As always this is crypto market with no guarantees.
If the trend is able to get new confirmations will be able to follow it with updates.
- Trade only when there is confirmations and depending on your plan only.
( if this coin shows the effect we expect then it can take days follow)
follow this update for daily adds.
A new idea nor a setup for the EURNZD!A new idea or a setup for the EURNZD could involve analyzing recent price action and identifying key support and resistance levels. Consider looking for potential entry points based on technical analysis. Watching economic news that could impact the Euro and New Zealand Dollar might also be useful. A clear risk management strategy is crucial to protect against adverse movements.
CADJPY at strong resistance in the Daily chartHistorical context: +60% up since 2020
The CAD/JPY pair has demonstrated a remarkable upward trajectory since March 2020, recording an impressive increase of over 60%. This surge can be partly attributed to Japan's prolonged monetary policy, which maintained negative interest rates while many other countries raised their rates to combat inflation following the pandemic.
Recently, the Bank of Japan signalled a significant shift in its monetary policy, indicating its intention to begin raising interest rates. This development has provided a boost to the Japanese Yen. The current pullback represents the sharpest decline observed since the onset of the uptrend in 2020, potentially signalling a change in market direction. This analysis will delve into the recent price action, loss of key support levels, and critical areas to monitor.
Technical Perspective: Key Indicators
Break Below the 200-Period Moving Average
The recent breach below the 200-period moving average signifies a weakening uptrend. This movement suggests a potential reversal in the prevailing direction, accompanied by increasing selling pressure. The 200-period moving average is often regarded as a critical threshold separating bull markets from bear markets, making a drop below this level particularly significant.
Accelerating Downward Movement
The decline observed between 10 July and 5 August marks the steepest drop in CAD/JPY since 2020. Most notably, this downturn has effectively engulfed all gains made by CAD/JPY over the previous 12 months. The acceleration of this downward movement underscores significant selling interest in the pair.
Fibonacci Analysis and Price Structure
Following the breakout of the SMA200 on the daily chart, the price has retraced to the 50% Fibonacci level of the recent downtrend. The 50% level is often viewed as a critical area of interest that can present opportunities aligned with the primary trend. The confluence of the 50% level with the 200-period moving average marks a pivotal point for sellers at this juncture.
Possible Sell Scenario
Given the breach of the 200-period moving average and the prevailing price structure indicating a potential reversal, a selling opportunity may arise if the pair continues to exhibit weakness.
A sell signal could be triggered if the price breaks below the uptrend line on the daily chart (highlighted in black). Initial targets for this sell-off could include the 23.6% Fibonacci level at 105.7, with an extended target around the 103.00 region.
A stop loss should be established if the price demonstrates a clear breakout above the range defined by the 50% Fibonacci level and the SMA200 on the daily chart, situated around 111.20.
The CAD/JPY pair is beginning to exhibit signs of exhaustion following a prolonged uptrend. The breach below the 200-period moving average and the testing of Fibonacci levels suggest a potential period of correction or reversal ahead. Close monitoring of price action around the 108.229 and 110.258 levels will be crucial in validating any potential short entries.
Disclaimer:
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Comprehensive analysis of FLR
Cycles
HWC = falling trend
MWC = downtrend with weakness
LWC= no trend
Because our MWC is weak, we can look for a long position
And since our HWC is bearish, we can also look for short positions
lWC has no effect either
Only our risk management and the way we set stop loss should be different
We are in the box in the one-hour time frame
So we can take our position with the failure of support and resistance
For long position:📈
Breaking the trend line = entering earlier and riskier
Resistance break = 0.1319 risky
Resistance break = 0.1347 = later but safer
You can choose according to your personality and strategy
For shorts position:📉
failure
0.01298 I don't see any more entries
If you want me to analyze a coin, tell me in the comment🫡
⚠️ Do capital management to survive ⚠️
Bitcoin, a slight pullBitcoin could go into some sideways consolidation before returning to the $73000 level. There, we would retest the zone of the previous break. For further, we will see. The bullish trend is still strong, and this is just an option to find a new support level from which we could initiate a new bullish consolidation.
SolanaHi guys
on the weekly time frame; If the red downtrend line breaks upwards, we may be ready to complete the flag pattern.
But the situation is not interesting here at the moment.
If the red support area ($104.5) is completely consumed, we expect a reaction from the area of $188.4 or $160.3, and the possibility of continuing the downward trend to the specified price area is strengthened.
If the support area of $104.5 is preserved and the downtrend line is broken upwards, our mentality for an uptrend will be strengthened.
What do you think?
EURAUD Wave Analysis 7 November 2024
- EURAUD under bearish pressure
- Likely to fall to support level 1.6125
EURAUD currency pair under bearish pressure after the earlier breakout of the support trendline of the daily up channel from the start of October.
The breakout of this up channel accelerated the active minor impulse wave 1 of the higher order impulse sequence (1) from the end of last month.
Given the strongly bullish Australian dollar sentiment seen across the FX markets today, EURAUD currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 1.6125 (which stopped the previous intermediate ABC correction (B) in the middle of October).
Key factors affecting stock performance in the near future.Rather than focusing on anything else, we at Zacks prioritize evaluating the change in a company's earnings projection. This is because we believe the fair value for its stock is determined by the present value of its future stream of earnings.
When earnings estimates for a company go up, the fair value for its stock goes up as well. And when a stock's fair value is higher than its current market price, investors tend to buy the stock, resulting in its price moving upward. Because of this, empirical studies indicate a strong correlation between trends in earnings estimate revisions and short-term stock price movements.