USD/CAD Battlelines Drawn at Former SupportUSD/CAD briefly registered in intraday low at 1.3540 last week before mounting a massive outside-weekly reversal off the yearly lows. The subsequent rally extended more than 1.9% off the low with the advance exhausting into resistance this week at 1.3795-1.3836- a region defined by the 61.8% retracement of the late-2023 advance, the April low-close, and the 23.6% retracement of the yearly range. Looking for inflection off this mark to offer guidance with the immediate recovery vulnerable while below.
Initial weekly support rests with the 61.8% retracement of the June range at 1.3639 with key support steady at the 1.618% extension of the February decline / 78.6% retracement at 1.3504/23- look for a larger reaction there If reached with a close below needed to mark resumption of the yearly downtrend. Subsequent support objectives rest with the 2024 low-week clow (LWC) at 1.3360 and the 2023 LWC at 1.3218.
A topside breach / close above the 2022 trendline (red) is needed to suggest a more significant low is in place / a larger recovery is underway with the next major technical consideration eyed at 1.3963-1.4018- a region defined by the 52-week moving average, the 2022 swing high and the 38.2% retracement. A weekly close above this key pivot zone is ultimately needed to invalidate the yearly downtrend in USD/CAD.
Bottom line: A rebound off the yearly channel is now approaching initial resistance at former support- looking for possible price inflection off the 1.3795-1.3835 zone into the monthly cross. From a trading standpoint, rallies would need to be limited to the 2022 trendline IF price is heading lower on this stretch / to validate a break of the multi-year uptrend with a close below 1.3504 still needed to mark resumption.
-MB
Trend Lines
Suppression remains unchanged, the latest layout of gold📰 Impact of news:
1. Powell's testimony
2. Geopolitical impact
📈 Market analysis:
The short-term rebound of gold is the release of energy for the accumulated bulls. From the current market trend, 3340 above is the key point of the short-term watershed between bulls and bears. The short-term resistance above is around 3342-3348, and the short-term support below is around 33220-3315. If it falls below this, it will continue to look towards yesterday's low of 3290-3280. The daily level is under pressure and continues to see a decline and adjustment. If it touches 3340-3350 above, you can try to short. After it retreats to 3320-3315 and obtains effective support, you can consider going long.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3340-3350
TP 3330-3320-3315
BUY 3320-3315
TP 3330-3340-3350
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
The current price of gold is 3330-3335, go short directly!Gold rebounded after hitting the bottom of 3295. At present, gold is just a rebound, not enough to reverse directly. Gold rebounds and continues to be short. After all, the daily line has fallen continuously, so the short momentum of gold is still there. In the short term, the rebound of gold is just a repair after oversold. Gold is currently priced at 3330-3335 and is directly short.
The 1-hour moving average of gold continues to be arranged in a short position downward. After gold fell below the previous low of 3340 yesterday, gold has not been able to rebound again. In the short term, 3340 has become the key to long and short positions. In the short term, gold rebounds below 3340 and continues to be shorted. If gold breaks through and stabilizes at 3340 again, then gold may start to fluctuate again. Before breaking through 3340, gold is still weak and continues to maintain a short trend.
Short gold after reboundGold rebounded after touching 3312, and has now rebounded to 3330, but the rebound strength is far less than the decline strength, so the overall performance of gold is still weak. Because gold fell sharply yesterday, the market bullish confidence suffered a heavy blow, and there are many resistances above after gold fell and broke, and it is under pressure at 3340-3350 in the short term, and there is a technical gap above that suppresses the 3360-3370 area.
Therefore, before gold stabilizes in the 3360-3370 area, the short-selling force still has the upper hand, so we still focus on shorting gold in trading. We can consider shorting gold with the 3340-3350 area as resistance, and look at the target area of 3320-3310.
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EURAUD → Breakout and consolidation above key supportOANDA:EURAUD is trying to consolidate above the key support zone of 1.76 - 1.77. Within the uptrend, bulls have a fairly good chance.
The market continues to break of structure, confirming the bullish sentiment on the chart. A correction is forming from 1.7882. Before rising, the price may test support. The currency pair is supported by its own bullish trend and the falling dollar (especially against the backdrop of economic problems with the USD (DXY)).
Technically, the currency pair looks quite positive. After the formation of another ‘bos’, we are seeing a correction to the Fibonacci zone of 0.7 and support at 1.7696. If, during the retest, the bulls manage to hold their ground above the key support level, growth may continue in the medium term.
Support levels: 1.7696, 1.7629, 1.7463
Resistance levels: 1.7882, 1.7988
Locally, a reversal pattern is forming relative to the specified zone (as part of a correction). We need to wait for confirmation (price consolidation above the level). The potential within the bullish trend is quite large, and in the medium and long term, the price may test 1.85.
Best regards, R. Linda!
XAUUSD 1H Analysis – Golden Point in SightPrice is currently making its way toward the Golden Point zone at 3365.120, aligning with the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement from the recent bearish leg. This area also coincides with a descending trendline, adding confluence for a potential reversal setup.
📍 Key Levels:
🔹 Resistance: 3365.120 (Golden Point / 0.786 Fib)
🔹 Support: 3302.571 (Target zone)
🔹 Swing High: 3393.776
🔹 Swing Low: 3295.200
🎯 Trade Idea:
Watching for a potential rejection from the 3365 zone to catch a short down to the 3302.571 area. Bearish confirmation required around the Golden Point before entry.
📌 This setup follows the HurricaneFx Signature Strategy.
Bearish direction remains unchanged, wait patiently
Since the sharp drop in gold last Monday (June 16), except for the correction of closing the cross positive line last Tuesday, the daily level has closed five consecutive negative lines since last Wednesday until now, fully demonstrating the weak characteristics of gold prices in recent trading.
From the technical indicators, the 5-day moving average and the 10-day moving average have formed a dead cross, which is an important signal of the weakening of the short-term market trend. The current gold price continues to run below these two moving averages, further verifying the current market situation where the shorts dominate. There is still no big fluctuation in the intraday, short positions are patiently waiting, and the operation still maintains our target of 3310-3305 unchanged.
USoilLatest news. If the Strait of Hormuz is closed, the restrictions on the import and export of oil and natural gas will increase greatly. Because 20% of the world's oil and natural gas exports come from the Strait of Hormuz. So the trend of geopolitics will affect the closing and opening of this important checkpoint. If the increase in geopolitics really reaches this point, the price of oil may rise to 90$-100$. This is an excellent trading opportunity for investors who like to trade oil. But at present, this is an option for Iran to negotiate. Rather than a real closure, after all, the incident has not developed to this situation. If you like to trade oil. You can also follow me. Get brand new trading opportunities and make profits. Do not trade independently to avoid losses.
SOONUSDT → The coin that gets killed...BINANCE:SOONUSDT.P is under pressure. The coin looks extremely weak against the backdrop of a bullish market, with key support ahead, separating traders from the panic zone and a sharp decline
This coin is being killed. The price is gradually consolidating and compressing before support - the trigger is 0.2332. Against the backdrop of the overall decline that the market has experienced after a slight impulse from 0.2332, shocks are forming with the aim of capturing liquidity (red check marks). This generally indicates that large players are gathering a bearish position. A breakout of the risk zone will trigger panic and distribution.
Against the backdrop of growth in Bitcoin and the top 10 cryptocurrencies (bull market), the SOON coin is gradually declining and contracting towards key support, which could be broken accompanied by strong sell-offs.
Resistance levels: 0.2478, 0.25777
Support levels: 0.2332
If the coin continues to contract towards the 0.2332 support and form a pre-breakdown consolidation, there will be little chance of survival. In the short and medium term, I expect prices to fall.
Best regards, R. Linda!
AUDUSD InsightHello to all our subscribers.
Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe.
Key Points
- Fed Chair Jerome Powell, during his testimony before the House, responded to a question regarding Governor Christopher Waller’s suggestion of a possible July rate cut by stating, “There are a range of possible paths. It’s a possible scenario.” However, the overall tone of the testimony emphasized a wait-and-see stance.
- While there was some noise around the Israel-Iran conflict, it has been confirmed that a ceasefire was agreed upon. The Israeli side stated, “The focus will shift back to Gaza. We will bring the hostages home and dismantle the Hamas regime.”
- Due to the effects of de-dollarization, Australia’s bond market is gaining attention, and Australian government bond yields are on a downward trend.
Major Economic Events This Week
+ June 25: Testimony by Fed Chair Jerome Powell
+ June 26: U.S. Q1 GDP
+ June 27: U.S. May PCE Price Index
AUDUSD Chart Analysis
After a brief pullback, the AUD/USD pair fell to the 0.64000 level but rebounded from that support zone and is now showing an upward trend. A gradual climb is expected to continue, with the anticipated high near the 0.69000 level. However, there is minor resistance around the 0.67000 level, which could lead to a short-term decline, so caution is advised.
There are opportunities for both bulls and bears in gold!Gold fell back and closed lower yesterday. The daily line closed with a negative cross overnight. The overall market has not changed much. The short-term repeated tug-of-war is temporarily consolidating. Today is the closing of the weekly line, and we will continue to maintain the volatile thinking. In the 4H cycle, the Bollinger Bands closed, temporarily exerting pressure on the middle track. After rebounding to 3350 yesterday, it failed to continue and remained in a weak shock pattern. Therefore, today's operation is mainly short and supplemented by long. The upper pressure is at 3328 and 3336. Short according to the rebound strength, pay attention to the rise and fall of 3310 below. A breakthrough may see the previous low of 3295. If the support is not broken, you can consider going long.🔔For more specific operation details and strategy updates, please pay attention to the notification 🌐 at the bottom.
Gold operation suggestion: short gold around 3328-3338, target 3315-3310.
Gold shorting opportunity not to be missedGold hit the key resistance of 3350 and then fell under pressure, reaching a low of 3309, and was temporarily supported by the low point on Wednesday. The intraday showed a pattern of rapid decline after a volatile rise, highlighting the long-short tug-of-war pattern. The hourly line fell again after a pullback to 3328, indicating that there is still room for short-term retracement. The current operation needs to focus on key points: short orders can be entered again near the pullback of 3328-3335. If the market continues to decline, focus on the support range of 3300-3290, and long orders can be arranged if it stabilizes. The overall idea of oscillation is maintained. Before effectively breaking through 3350 or losing 3290, high-altitude and low-long are still the main strategy.
Gold recommendation: short near 3328-3335, target 3315-3305
Analysis and layout of the latest gold trends during the day📰 Impact of news:
1. PCE and Consumer Index
📈 Market analysis:
Judging from the 4H chart, the Bollinger Bands are closing and the MACD is showing a trend of forming a death cross, indicating that the short-selling momentum is still relatively strong in the short term. However, as the overall upward structure has not been destroyed, there is still a possibility of a rebound and repair in the future. During the day, we need to pay special attention to the support strength of the MA5 and MA10 moving averages. It is recommended to adopt the idea of shorting at high levels and going long at low levels. The key support below is the 3305-3295 area, and the upper resistance is the 3340-3350 range. However, judging from the chart, in the short term, there may be a rebound near 3313. At present, it has indeed rebounded to around 3319 as expected. If it falls weakly to this week's low of 3295, you can buy if it does not break. On the whole, if it rebounds to 3335-3345, you can consider shorting, and if the support below 3305-3295 is not broken, go long. Today is Friday, and as it is near the end of the month, market liquidity is strong. Please be cautious in your operations today and be sure to set stop losses strictly.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3335-3345-3350
TP 3320-3315-3300
BUY 3305-3295
TP 3310-3320-3330
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
The idea of oscillating crude oil
💡Message Strategy
Asia's crude oil imports hit a record high in recent years
In the first half of 2025, Asia's crude oil imports showed a significant increase. The average daily import volume in Asia reached 27.36 million barrels, an increase of 620,000 barrels from 26.74 million barrels in the same period last year, an increase of about 2.3%. The highlight of this growth was concentrated in June, when Asia's crude oil arrivals soared to 28.65 million barrels/day, setting a record high since January 2023, far exceeding 27.3 million barrels/day in May and 26.42 million barrels/day in June last year.
Import boom driven by price
What drove the surge in Asian crude oil imports in June? The answer has a lot to do with price. China and India are known to be extremely sensitive to crude oil price fluctuations, usually increasing imports when prices are low and choosing to shrink when prices are high. Crude oil arriving in June is usually scheduled six to eight weeks in advance of delivery, which means that these cargoes were purchased when oil prices were low in April and May.
Geopolitics and market uncertainty
The sharp fluctuations in oil prices in June are inseparable from the fueling of geopolitics. Israel's military action against Iran and the subsequent intervention of the United States once pushed crude oil prices to a five-month high. After Trump announced the ceasefire agreement, the market risk premium quickly subsided, but geopolitical uncertainty is still an important variable affecting oil prices. In the future, any new geopolitical events may push up oil prices again, which will further pressure Asia's import demand.
📊Technical aspects
The short-term trend of crude oil (1H) continues to fluctuate in a narrow range, with a small fluctuation. The oil price repeatedly crosses the moving average system, and the short-term objective trend direction fluctuates. The momentum is stalemate between long and short positions, and it is expected that the trend of crude oil will maintain a fluctuating consolidation pattern during the day.
However, crude oil is never that simple. It is greatly affected by international trends. At present, crude oil is still waiting for direction. So how can we obtain greater future returns in a volatile market?
The answer is simple. At this time, what we need to do is to use a small stop loss to leverage large returns within the pressure and support range.
💰Strategy Package
Short Position:67.00-67.20,SL:67.80,Target: 64.50-63.50/60.00
Long Position:64.00-64.20,SL:63.50,Target: 65.50-66.50/70.00
USDCAD Wave Analysis – 26 June 2025
- USDCAD reversed from the resistance zone
- Likely to fall to support level 1.3545
USDCAD currency pair recently reversed down from the resistance zone between the resistance level 1.3770 (former support from the start of May), upper daily Bollinger Band and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from last October.
This resistance zone was further strengthened by the resistance trendline from the start of February.
USDCAD currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 1.3545, which reversed the price in the middle of June.
DELL: Bullish Channel Breakout Targeting Prior HighsOverview:
Dell Technologies ( NYSE:DELL ) has exhibited significant price action over the past year. After a strong uptrend culminating in a multi-month high around the Target 145 zone in late 2024, the stock underwent a substantial correction. However, since its April lows, NYSE:DELL has initiated a robust recovery within a well-defined ascending channel, demonstrating clear bullish momentum.
Key Price Action & Patterns:
Prior Uptrend & All-Time High Test (August - December 2024): The initial phase of the chart shows NYSE:DELL in a strong ascending channel, culminating in a peak within the Target 145 zone. This zone represents a significant historical resistance level, being the prior peak before the subsequent decline.
Corrective Phase & Bearish Channel (December 2024 - April): Following the rejection at the 145 zone, NYSE:DELL entered a steep downtrend, breaking below key support levels and declining into April.
Bullish Reversal & Ascending Channel (April - Present): From its April lows, NYSE:DELL has embarked on a powerful recovery, forming a clear ascending channel. This pattern is characterized by a series of higher highs and higher lows, indicating sustained buying pressure.
Critical Levels & Current Status:
105 (Lower Teal Zone): This level has acted as a crucial support point within the current ascending channel, marking a significant higher low in the ongoing recovery phase. It represents a strong demand zone.
115 (White Line): This horizontal line served as an intermediate resistance level in late May/early June before being decisively breached. It now technically functions as immediate support, offering a potential retest level on any pullback within the current uptrend.
125 (Current Teal Zone): This is a highly significant pivot zone. It previously acted as major support in late 2024 before the breakdown and later as resistance during the early stages of the recovery. The recent price action shows a decisive breakout above this 125-resistance zone, signifying strong bullish conviction.
Target 145 (Upper Teal Zone): As the prior multi-month high, this zone remains the primary overhead resistance and potential upside target following the breakout from the 125 level. The dotted line projection illustrates a common post-breakout scenario, where price might retest the breakout level (125, now as support) before potentially moving towards the 145 targets.
Technical Outlook:
The recent breakout above the 125 resistance is a strong technical development, confirming the strength of the current uptrend within the ascending channel. This move suggests that buyers are in control and are aiming for higher price levels. The immediate focus shifts to the validation of the 125 level as new support, followed by a potential advance towards the Target 145 zone. Continued price action within the ascending channel and above 115 would reinforce the bullish bias.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
Baytex Energy is breaking out from trendline resistanceBaytex Energy just broke out from trendline resistance (July 12, 2025) from resistance that started back in July of last year.
It was a huge volume spike. The price is trading just above my resistance line today.
Earnings forecast for the next quarter is down and that's probably why it has reached a low recently assuming investors are forward looking.
Earnings forecasts are higher after the next report. So, I think it may have bottomed out already.
AMZN: Bullish Momentum Meets Critical Resistance - What's NextOverview:
After a significant downtrend from its early February highs (a move initiated after breaking down from the "Flip Zone" around 232−238), Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) found a strong bottom in late April. Since then, the stock has been in a well-defined uptrend, characterized by a consistent series of higher lows and higher highs.
Current Market Structure:
The price action is clearly respecting an ascending "Trendline Support" (the shaded teal channel), indicating underlying bullish strength. Each pullback has found buyers around this trendline or the identified support levels.
Key Levels to Watch:
Key Resistance 220 (Red Zone):
This is the most immediate and critical hurdle for AMZN.
The price has tested this level multiple times in recent weeks (late May and mid-June) and faced strong rejections, indicating significant selling pressure or profit-taking at this psychological and technical barrier.
A decisive break and sustained close above $220 would be a highly bullish signal, suggesting a continuation of the uptrend.
Intermediate Support 205 (Lower Teal Zone):
This level has proven to be reliable support during recent pullbacks (early June and late June).
It acts as a key pivot point; as long as price holds above $205, the bullish structure remains intact.
Flip Zone (232-238 - Upper Teal Zone):
This zone is crucial from a historical perspective. It acted as strong support in early February before the major breakdown. After breaking, it effectively "flipped" to resistance (as seen with the red circle showing a rejection).
If AMZN successfully breaks above the "Key Resistance 220," this "Flip Zone" will likely be the next major target for buyers and a potential area for sellers to emerge.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
Seize the rebound opportunity and prepare to short goldGold continued to rebound as expected and has now extended to above 3340. In the short term, it tends to fluctuate and rise. In the previous trading idea overnight, I emphasized that everyone should not take the risk of shorting gold near 3330. Now it seems that this reminder is completely necessary. Although gold continues to rebound, the overall performance of the bulls is still not strong, and the upper side is still under pressure in the 3350-3360-3370 area. So I still advocate that you can consider shorting gold in the 3350-3360 area after the rebound.
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GBP/USD Surges to Three-Year Highs- PCE on tapSterling held slope resistance for more than three-weeks with a defense of support this week attempting to mark an outside-weekly reversal candle. The advance is testing resistance today at the 2022 swing high near 1.3749 and the focus is on the weekly close with respect to this pivot zone.
Initial weekly support now rests with the June opening-range highs near 1.3633 and is backed by the 78.6 % retracement of the 2021 decline at 1.3414. Broader bullish invalidation now raised to the April high-week close (HWC) at 1.3270- losses below this threshold would suggest a more significant high is in place / a larger reversal is underway towards the 2023 HWC at 1.3092.
A breach / weekly close above 1.3749 is needed to keep the immediate advance viable with subsequent resistance objectives eyed at the 61.8% extension of the 2022 advance at 1.4003 and the 2021 HWC at 1.4158- both levels of interest for possible topside exhaustion / price inflection IF reached.
Bottom line: A breakout of the monthly opening-range takes GBP/USD into initial resistance at the 2022 swing highs with weekly momentum pressing into overbought territory today. From at trading standpoint, a good zone to reduce portions of long-exposure / raise protective stops- losses would need to be limited to 1.3632 IF price is heading higher on this stretch with a close above 1.3749 needed to mark uptrend resumption.
-MB