XAUUSD at Critical Support – Bullish Continuation or Pullback 🔍 Market Overview
The chart shows a technical setup with clear support and resistance zones, alongside key Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) to guide directional bias.
📊 Key Technical Levels
Resistance Zone: ~$3,445–$3,460
This is a historically reactive area where price has reversed sharply in the past. A breakout above this zone would suggest strong bullish continuation.
Strong Supporting Zone: ~$3,375–$3,390
Currently being tested. If the price holds here, it could act as a launchpad for a bullish move toward resistance.
Support Zone: ~$3,320–$3,340
If the strong support breaks, the next downside target would be this zone, which aligns with the 200 EMA (blue line) — a dynamic support level.
📈 Moving Averages
50 EMA (Red): Currently at $3,345.60, serving as a short-term dynamic support.
200 EMA (Blue): Currently at $3,304.13, marking a critical longer-term support. Price staying above this EMA reflects a bullish bias.
🔀 Probable Scenarios
Bullish Case (Preferred Scenario)
If price holds the strong supporting zone and breaks above current highs (~$3,395), it could rally toward the resistance zone at $3,445–$3,460.
Break and close above resistance may open the door for further upside continuation.
Bearish Case
A rejection from current levels or a break below $3,375 would likely lead to a retracement toward the support zone ($3,320–$3,340).
A break below the support zone and the 200 EMA would shift the structure into bearish territory.
✅ Bias & Recommendation
Current Bias: Cautiously Bullish
As long as the price remains above the strong supporting zone and 50 EMA, bulls have the upper hand.
Look for confirmation with a higher low or bullish engulfing candle before entering long.
Trade Idea:
Long Entry: On bullish confirmation above $3,395
Target: $3,445–$3,460
Stop Loss: Below $3,375 (support break)
Trend Lines
Gold is trading sideways, can the bearish trend continue?🗞News side:
1. China-US trade relations eased, suspending some tariffs and countermeasures
2. Russia and Ukraine suspended firing for 30 days, and the India-Pakistan conflict was temporarily mediated
📈Technical aspects:
The trading strategy given today, if brothers have reference and follow the trading strategy to participate in long orders, I think you should all have good gains on hand. At present, gold is in consolidation, the 4H moving average is in a short position, and the MACD dead cross continues to increase, so the short-term short momentum still exists. From a technical point of view, in the downward trend from last week's high of 3347 to the current low of 3207, 3260 is at a key position. Therefore, we pay attention to the possibility of gold rebounding to 3260 in the evening.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
XAUUSD May 12 New York real-time trading strategy analysis.The normal plan is to trade in a unilateral falling market. However, Russia's negotiation agreement with Ukraine has not stopped. While the cashing sentiment has risen, the tax issues between the United States and China have declined. This is why the New York market continued to rebound to 3247 and then fell back to 3220.
If the price of the New York market cannot continue to break through the position of 3233 and stabilize. Then the price will continue to fall. The target is below 3190. There may be support at 3200, but it will not be too strong. But if the position of 3233 stabilizes and breaks through above 3348 again. Then we need to pay attention to the position of 3360-3375 again.
Most awaited BREAKOUT is here! As we can see despite the breakout NIFTY broke out of the structure exactly as analysed in our previously analysis following the deescalation of war and the cease fire agreement and hence the rally is likely to continue till Pakistan doesn’t breaches the ceasefire agreement while would result in catastrophic war so and so would bleed the market so plan the trades accordingly and keep watching global scenarios keenly.
$IWM, small caps, not YET giving the "all clear"AMEX:IWM is the lone index still not in the clear 🚩 — backtesting its 200dma today and tagging the weekly mid-BB , just like in '22. Will it matter by week's end? If not, the bull is likely back across the board 🐂
This week's #CPI (Consumer Price Index) and #PPI (Producer Price Index) prints could significantly influence market direction across major indices — AMEX:SPY , NASDAQ:QQQ and AMEX:IWM — especially with rate cut expectations in flux. 🧵Here's how:
1. Hot CPI or PPI (above expectations):
AMEX:SPY : Likely to pull back as sticky inflation pressures broader S&P names, especially rate-sensitive sectors like real estate and utilities.
NASDAQ:QQQ : Could see sharper downside—tech stocks (many of which are high duration assets) are highly sensitive to interest rate expectations.
AMEX:IWM : Likely the hardest hit. Small caps suffer from tighter financial conditions and depend more on domestic borrowing costs.
🟥 Result: Bearish across the board, with small caps underperforming.
2. Cool CPI or PPI (below expectations):
AMEX:SPY : Broad lift, particularly in consumer discretionary and financials.
NASDAQ:QQQ : Strong rally—mega cap tech loves the prospect of lower yields.
AMEX:IWM : Outperforms if cooling inflation suggests easing ahead, since it's more leveraged to rate cycles and domestic growth.
🟩 Result: Bullish, with small caps possibly leading a relief rally.
3. In-line CPI/PPI :
Markets may stay choppy or consolidate, with AMEX:SPY and NASDAQ:QQQ more stable.
AMEX:IWM remains at risk of drifting lower unless there’s a strong dovish narrative from the Fed or other macro catalysts.
With small caps already lagging, this week’s inflation data could either validate its bearish divergence or spark a rotation rally if inflation
AMEX:SPY NASDAQ:QQQ TVC:VIX $ES_F $NQ_F $RTY_F TVC:TNX NASDAQ:TLT TVC:DXY #Tariffs #Stocks
Gold Sliding – Will Bulls Defend 3,200 or Let It Sink Further?Gold is under strong bearish pressure after failing to hold above the 3,361 🔼 resistance. Price is now approaching the key 3,200 🔽 support zone, which previously sparked bullish reversals. The momentum suggests bears are in control, but buyers may attempt to defend the 3,200 level to avoid a deeper drop toward 3,125.
Support at: 3,200 🔽, 3,125 🔽, 2,975 🔽
Resistance at: 3,280 🔼, 3,361 🔼, 3,499 🔼
Bias:
🔼 Bullish: A strong bounce from 3,200 followed by a break above 3,280 could trigger a short-term rally back toward 3,361.
🔽 Bearish: A clean break below 3,200 would confirm bearish continuation toward 3,125 and possibly 2,975.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
TopGolf | MODG | Long at $7.85 TopGolf NYSE:MODG finally closed the last price gap on the daily chart from the 2020 pandemic crash. All price gaps (as of this analysis) are now above the current price. While I am not stating this is bottom (high $6's or even low $5's are not fully off the table given the downward momentum), there is a lot of growth still on the table for this company. The current fair value is probably near $18-$19 and this stock has a cyclical nature to it. So, while it may be a bumpy near-term investment, the earnings growth, cashflow, and low debt of this company is appealing. Thus, at $7.85, NYSE:MODG is in a personal buy zone (starter position) with more investment is if dips into the $6- or $5-range.
Target #1 = $10
Target #2 = $12
Target #3 = $14
Target #4 = $15
400 pips drop on NZDUSD in the coming weeks ??As the Dollar Index TVC:DXY strengthens, most of the major FX pairs are gearing up for massive drop or have started dropping already. One of these pairs is OANDA:NZDUSD which is about to drop 400 pips in the coming days.
OANDA:NZDUSD having formed a Double Top chart pattern, the bullish momentum of the TVC:DXY has caused a break of the neckline of the above mentioned chart pattern.
Below are the expected targets for this setup
TP1: 0.57
TP2: 0.55
SL: 0.60
Kindly support this analysis to enable it reach to other people, and do comment your thoughts.
Decisively start the short-selling layoutThe results of the China-US talks were significant and exceeded market expectations. China and the US issued a joint statement, the core of which was to end the tariff war and reduce the tariffs of both sides to 34%, of which 24% will be temporarily exempted within 90 days.
At present, there is still a demand for a rebound. For the US market, we should first look at the area around 3245-55. If the rebound is in place, continue to play short orders to look at the target position of 3200. If it breaks upward, find a new point layout. This week's data and news will have a further impact on gold.
Operation suggestion: Short gold when it rebounds to around 3245-3255, pay attention to 3220 and 3200
Toya LongLower low after double bottom with high volume, finally ready to fly on this one.
We did reach 0.5 Fibo with strong resistance in August and now 0.382 is resisting sellers for prolonged time.
We will go to higher band of the channel, while actually finalising a flag pattern.
We will enter 10.0 and then get a trailing stop, any pullback after reaching 10.0 is our take profit.
Getting below 7.0 invalidates the idea, because we have no lower low on resisting 0.382 then.
US Dollar Into Resistance on China Tariff Agreement- First TestNews of a preliminary trade agreement between the U.S. and China fueled a rally of more than 1.1% in the US Dollar with the index surging into confluent downtrend resistance today at 101.77/92 - a region defined by the objective September high and the high-day close (HDC). A topside breach / close above this threshold is needed to suggest a more significant low was registered last month / invalidate the February downtrend.
Near-term bullish invalidation now raised to 99.96 with a breach here exposing 102.95/99 and the 200-day moving average into 104.04/30 . Keep in mind we have U.S. CPI on tap tomorrow. Review my latest US Dollar Short-term Outlook for a closer look at the near-term DXY technical trade levels.
-MB
BTC - long squeezeI'll be truthful I don't think the expression "long squeeze" is a real thing - but it should be!
Daily TF
Next level down i think is 98K should the local support @ 102K break.
0.5 fib puts us at 89K / a touch on a macro uptrend / touching a key price point where BTC has oscillated for several months. This move would accomplish a liquidity grab and fill a fair-value-gap. If this happens it could be a fantastic long opportunity.
If prices sees continuation to the downside the 618 would be the next natural retracement level but would result in a break below said macro uptrend and thus could create a macro bearish move - 67K would be my guess.
Gold Will be Bullish from a Historic Support LevelHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Continue to short gold after the reboundFundamentals:
The positive signals from the China-US negotiations have eased the market's concerns about the US economic recession, and the weakening of risk aversion has stimulated a sharp pullback in gold. Market funds are no longer eager to seek safe-haven assets, so they withdraw their funds from gold and turn to risk markets.
Technical aspects:
The gold price plummeted by $110 during the day. Although it has rebounded slightly at present, the overall rebound momentum is relatively weak. The upper 3280-3290 area is currently the main short-term suppression level, followed by the 3240-3250 area. If the rebound in this area is not broken, you can continue to short gold, and the shorts may continue to reach new lows; focus on the support of the 3200 mark below. If 3200 is not broken, then the bulls may try to counterattack and fill the upper gap; if gold falls below 3200, gold will continue to fall to the area around 3170.
Trading strategy:
1. Consider shorting gold after it rebounds to the 3245-3255 area, TP: 3220
2. Consider going long on gold after it continues to fall to the 3180-3170 area, TP: 3220;
3. If gold stabilizes above 3200, we can consider going long on gold around 3200 in advance.
GBPUSD is in the Selling DirectionHello Traders
In This Chart GBPUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today GBPUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GBPUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GBPUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
$SPY still bearish unless $584 and trendline break as resistanceI'll be the first to admit that the rally has gone further than I expected. That said, everything on the chart still looks like this is a bearish rally and not a new bull trend.
Unless we can break the blue trend line and the strong overhead resistance between $581.63 and $583.57, I think the most likely scenario is we fall further and see one last leg down before we bottom.
I think the bottom will come between the lower supports at $409 and $538.
Again, invalidation of the bearish idea is a break and flip of the resistances above, the upside targets are on the chart as well.
Let's see what happens over the coming weeks.
Crypto Update - The Big 3 are respecting an interesting algoTraders! Apologies for my absence the past little while - I've been working on many projects outside of the trading world (and in the trading world - exciting news on the horizon!)
Just wanted to point out the very interesting "coincidence" here where we see the big 3 cryptos all respecting very tapered (bullish) selling channels - meaning, they are all building liquidity in very bullish algorithms and are poised for a longer term breakout once the demand proves itself over the supply.
Will continue to analyze and share as price develops but be careful with all the chaotic news coming in left and right.
Happy Trading :)
USDCAD 1 MIN Chart Sell TrendHello,
I’m like a ghost, I come every so and so. Ready for some free trades?
USDCAD 1 MIN chart is showing a sell trend.
Please use risk management as sometimes they trends keep going up or down until they go with the trade.
I will advise you at the comments below when to close the trades.
So please follow for any notifications.
Thanks,
P.S… Should I start a trading community within TradingView? What’s your thoughts?
Bitcoin Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring BTCUSDT for a buying opportunity around 103,000 zone, Bitcoin is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 103,000 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.