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Trend Lines

BTCUSDT Upside potentialThe BTC/USDT market is currently consolidating above the 80,000 level after breaking below February's low. Recently, a large weekly doji candle has emerged, signaling ongoing sideways movement. At present, the price remains within this week's trading range. From a broader perspective, price action appears to be narrowing, forming a falling wedge pattern. With the market consolidating just below the downward trendline, a potential breakout above this level could signal further upside momentum. If the price manages to close above last week's high, it could lead to the formation of a solid inverse head and shoulders pattern, reinforcing the possibility of an upward extension. The next key target lies at the resistance zone around 88,000
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by RTED_Investing
How to Draw Trendlines Like a Pro – Rulers Out, Rules In!Hi everyone! If you don’t have any rules for drawing a trendline, then this is by far the most subjective technical analysis criterion of all. So, grab your ruler, and let’s dive in! ;) Without clear guidelines, you can draw it however you want, shaping the narrative to fit your bias. This makes it the perfect tool to talk yourself into a trade or justify staying in a bad one—there’s always a new “support” coming… If you don't have rules, you can always find some dots to connect, making it look "perfect" for you. In this post, I'll discuss buying opportunities using trendlines, share key rules for drawing them correctly, and highlight common mistakes to avoid - all with a focus on mid- and long-term investment opportunities. ------------------------- The Basics: How to Draw a Trendline The trendline is a highly effective tool for mid- and long-term investors to find an optimal buying zone for their chosen asset. I always take a full view of the chart, analyzing its entire history to find the longest trendline available. The longer the trendline, the stronger it is! To draw a trendline, we simply connect two points and wait for the third touch to confirm it. Easy, right? The strongest trendline comes from points that are easily recognizable—you should spot them in a split second. Maximum view, if possible Monthly chart, connect the dots and wait for a third one. For me, the third and fourth touches are the most reliable. If you have to look deeply to find where to draw a trendline, then it's already a first sign that it’s not strong! The best ones appear instantly. --------------------------- Two Myths About Trendlines Myth #1: "You cannot draw a trendline without three touching points." Don’t even remember from where I heard that kind of bs but as you see in the images above, yeah I can. If I have a correct lineup, the third touch is the strongest. Myth #2: "The more touches, the stronger the trendline." Yes, a trend appears stronger with more touches, but each additional touch increases the odds of a break or trend change. To buy from, let’s say, the sixth touch, there must be strong confluence factors, and fundamentals should support the investment. “The trend is your friend, until the end when it bends.” — Ed Seykota Sure, I’ve had great trades from the fifth or seventh touch, but as said, the area has to be strong, combining multiple criteria. Think of a trendline like 3-5 cm thick ice on a lake. You can’t break it with one hit, or the second, or the third. But after the fourth or fifth, it starts to crack, and by the sixth—boom! From my psychological perspective, the more touches, the weaker the trendline becomes. ----------------------- Rule #1: Wick to Wick or Body to Body If there aren't any anomalies, the trendline should always be drawn from wick to wick (image below) or body to body. Here was the trendline draw from wick to wick I mostly use body-to-body when there is a lot of noise on the chart and many large wicks that don’t show the real price behavior—whether from a panic sell-off or other unexpected market moves. Candlestick chart, the trendline drawn from body-to-body Tip! Body-to-body means drawing trendlines from closing prices to remove unnecessary noise from the chart. To make the chart even clearer, I often use a line chart (it tracks closing prices), which filters out the noise and gives a cleaner view of the price action. The same chart as above using line chart. Mistake to avoid: If you start from the wick but the second point is from the body, it's wrong. This can lead to misleading breakout trades or confusing rejection trades. If there are no significant large wicks, go from wicks. If a chart offers a lot of huge panic-sell wicks, use bodies instead to get a cleaner setup. Quite often, I use a hybrid version as well. We are investors, not traders. We need a price zone, not an exact price! In these cases, I combine wicks and closing prices to find the optimal trendline, which stays somewhere between them. Light-blue is the zone ----------------------- Rule #2: Higher Highs Strengthen the Trendline A trendline is more reliable if the price makes a new higher high (HH) after the previous rejection, and before it approaches a trendline. The third and fourth touch came from higher high (HH) levels This confirms that the recent trend is strong. If it all lines up, we can step in! ----------------------- Rule #3: Even Timing Between Touches A trendline rejection works best when the timing between touches is symmetrical. They don’t have to be perfectly equal but they also shouldn’t be wildly different - one touch being very small and another very large can weaken the trendline’s reliability. A good combinations is when the price comes from higher high levels, the next touch has an equal or fairly similar distance between previous ones. Yeah, there are quite a lot of touches, but you get the point; market symmetry plays an important role in making decisions. Warning: If the next touch comes too soon, especially from a lower high (LH) levels, which signals that momentum may be fading, and the touch happens at an uneven distance, it weakens the trendline’s reliability. So, watch out for that. Two alerts: uneven length between touches & comes from lower highs. Next red alert: When there are huge uneven gaps between touches, as shown in the picture below. The first and second touch compared to the second and third touch are out of balance, weakening the trendline's reliability. ------------------------ Trendline Summary: Key Criteria for Mid- to Long-Term Analysis Open the maximum chart view – analyze all available data for the asset. The higher the timeframe, the stronger the trendline. A trendline needs two clean and clear points to be drawn. The highest probability rejection happens at the third and fourth touch. If there are large wicks or panic sell-offs, use closing prices (body-to-body). Remove noise and wicks by using a line chart for a clearer view. A trendline touch is strongest when the price approaches from a higher high (HH). A trendline touch is strongest when the distance between touches is symmetrical. A slight flex in the trendline is ideal; it should be between 20 to 35 degrees, not too steep in its climb. ;) These are the main criteria for a trendline that I use when analyzing stocks or any asset from a mid-to long-term perspective. ---------------------- Trendlines Alone Are Not Enough Now, here’s the interesting part. Even if a trendline looks perfect and meets all criteria, I still won’t rush to share an analysis. Why? Because a trendline alone isn’t enough. A trendline is just one piece of the puzzle. We need multiple confluence factors in a single price zone to make the setup truly strong and reliable. Usually, I need at least 3-7 criteria to align before making a move or recommendation. So, that's it! A brief overview and hopefully, you found this informative. Feel free to leave a comment with your thoughts! Before you leave - Like & Boost if you find this useful! 🚀 Trade smart, Vaido
NASDAQ:TSLAEducation
by VaidoVeek
44
GBP/USD Long Setup🚀 **GBP/USD Long Setup** 📈💰 ✅ **Entry:** **1.29400** 🎯 **Target:** **1.30000** 🛡 **Stop Loss:** **1.29100** 📊 **Support:** **50 EMA (1.28823)** 📌 **Risk Management:** Always adjust position size based on your equity & risk tolerance! 🛡️📉 🔥 **Break & Hold Above 1.29400 = Strong Bullish Move!** 🚀📊 ⚠️ **Below 1.29100 = Invalidation, Watch 50 EMA for Support!** 💡 **Secure profits along the way & trail SL once in profit!** 📈✨
Long
by TradingStar090
The gold high top signal appears, deep correction!It can be found that 3004 is just the top position of the 4-hour chart. After failing to break through the range last Friday, a retracement signal has also appeared. The current lower range support of the 4-hour chart is 2955-50. And 2955-50 happens to be the previous high point. Therefore, this position may be the dividing point between long and short positions of gold this week. Secondly, from the hourly chart: It can be seen that the current hourly chart of gold shows signs of a head and shoulders top. Once gold falls below 2980 today, it is very likely to develop towards the lower 2955-2940. 2955-50 happens to be the 618 position of this trend. The lower 50% is around 2940, which may also be the extreme retracement position of gold. Therefore, I do not recommend that you continue to chase more, but consider entering the market to short near 2990. If it falls below 2980, you can directly look at the position of 2955-2940. You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, share real-time strategies, and no longer blindly follow the trend.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel
XAU/USD Buy Setup 📈 XAU/USD Buy Setup & Risk Management 🔹 **Trade Setup:** ✅ **Entry**: **$2,995** ✨ ✅ **Take Profit (TP)**: **$3,010** 🎯 ✅ **Stop-Loss (SL)**: **$2,987** ❌ ✅ **Risk-Reward Ratio**: **1:1.88** ⚖️ 🔹 **Risk Management Plan:** 📊 **Risk Per Trade**: Keep risk at **1-2% of your capital** 💰 📏 **Pips Risked**: **80 pips** (SL @ 2987) 📉 📏 **Pips Gained**: **150 pips** (TP @ 3010) 📈 📌 **Lot Size**: Use a **position size calculator** to adjust your lot based on risk tolerance ( (www.babypips.com)) 🔹 **Trade Execution:** ✅ **Confirm bullish signals** (RSI above 50, MA crossover, strong support at $2,987) 📊 ✅ **Avoid over-leveraging** – stick to your trading plan ⚖️ ✅ **Monitor market conditions** for news & volatility 📢 🚀 **Gold is volatile—trade smart & secure profits!** 🏅
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TradingStar090
Bitcoin - Med-Term OutlookThe current BINANCE:BTCUSDT chart is forming an EXP model (turquoise), indicating a potential correction before the next phase of active growth. Main Scenario The most likely development suggests a price retracement to the $80,845 – $77,890 range (purple zone), corresponding to unclosed gaps on CME. This range is positioned above the 100% level of the model ($75,949), making it an optimal area for the completion of the correction before the continuation of the upward movement. Two possible correction paths: 1️⃣ Decline from current levels – BTC gradually breaks local support, tests the 4th point of the model (~$91,341), and then moves towards the CME Gap area. 2️⃣ ATH breakout ($109,354) before a decline – A short-term rally is possible before a deep correction into the $80,000 – $77,000 range. After testing this zone, a reversal movement may form, with targets at the 1st point of the model ($109,354) and beyond. Final confirmation of the uptrend will depend on further market dynamics. Once this cycle is completed, a transition to the altcoin growth phase can be expected. Secondary Scenario Under favorable conditions, BTC may avoid a correction into the CME Gap zone and continue its upward movement without retesting support levels. However, in the current market structure, this scenario remains less probable. Alternative Scenario In the event of an extended correction, BTC could break the 100% model level ($75,949) and test the 200% level ($63,226). Such a development may occur due to external market shocks, leading to mass liquidations of margin positions. However, even in this case, a rapid price recovery is expected.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by TSFC
2
The Crossroads of Decision of BRENT Alex had been sitting in front of his computer for several days, the glow of the screen illuminating his anxious face. He was a novice trader, and the world of forex felt both exhilarating and overwhelming. Today, his focus was on Brent crude oil, a commodity that had captured his attention and his curiosity. As he stared at the chart, he noticed that resistance was firmly set at 70.60. The price had flirted with that level multiple times but had failed to break through. To make matters more complicated, the chart also displayed a bearish wedge pattern, a formation that suggested potential downside movement. Alex felt his stomach tighten as he tried to decipher the conflicting signals. "What to do next?" he thought, biting his nails nervously. He had read countless articles and watched numerous tutorials, but the information seemed to swirl in his mind without offering any clarity. Each time he thought he had a grasp on the market, new doubts crept in. He glanced back at the chart, heart racing. Should he take a position now, betting that the price would drop, or wait for confirmation? He felt the weight of uncertainty pressing down on him. Trading was supposed to be about making informed decisions, but all he felt was confusion. In a moment of frustration, Alex pushed back from his desk and took a deep breath. He remembered the advice he had read: "Stay calm and stick to your strategy." He had promised himself that he would not rush into trades based on fear or anxiety. Instead, he needed to focus on what the data was telling him. Returning to the screen, he pulled up a few indicators—momentum oscillators and moving averages. He wanted to see if they aligned with the bearish wedge pattern and the resistance level at 70.60. As he analyzed the data, a clearer picture began to form. The indicators suggested a weakening momentum, reinforcing his sense that a pullback might be imminent. Feeling a bit more confident, Alex decided that patience would be his ally. He would watch for the price to approach the resistance level again, looking for signs of weakness before making any move. He would set alerts to notify him if Brent approached 70.60, keeping his emotions in check while waiting for the right moment. With a newfound sense of determination, Alex refocused on his screen. Trading was a journey, and he was learning that sometimes the best action was no action at all. The market would always be there, and he was committed to becoming a smarter, more strategic trader, one decision at a time.
BLACKBULL:BRENT
by Rix1113
The game plan is clear: DCA,accumulate, and let the market work!HKEX:2800 Breakthrough downtrend channel on last Sept2024 and W-Chart formed MACD Goldencross for bullish mode. If enter now at 24.50 Target Profit 1 Level at : 30.70 (~25.3%) Target Profit 2 @33.50; another ~9% (cumulative + ~36%) Target Profit 3 : ATH Continue to DCA and accumulate; you may wait for slight retracement to add position. 24.26 Time frame : 9-24months It created higher hi recently for W chart. 🔎 DYODD and don't listen to anyone. Invest in yourself, do some study and learn along the way while you trying to verify or finding the answer if to start invest in CHN/HKG markets. Follow your trade plan then zen with 📙 and 🍵 while waiting for profits to be reazlied. ** Please Boost 🚀/LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Share your trading journey to encourage the trading buddies.
HKEX:2800Long
by ChenQianYu
EUR/USD - 1H Technical Analysis📉 EUR/USD - 1H Technical Analysis 📊 Current Price: 1.08789 📍 Market Structure: Sideways Consolidation with Key Liquidity Zones 📈 Bullish Scenario: 🔹 Target: 1.09164 (Key Resistance Zone) 🔹 Price could push higher towards the 1.09164 supply zone, where sellers might step in. 📉 Bearish Scenario: 🔹 Target: 1.08117 (Key Support Zone) 🔹 If price fails to break above resistance, expect a drop towards the 1.08117 demand zone, offering a potential buy opportunity. 📊 Key Levels: ✅ Resistance: 1.09164 📍 (Sell Zone) ✅ Support: 1.08117 📍 (Buy Zone) 📢 Trade Idea: ⚡ Buy above 1.08117 with confirmation ⚡ Sell near 1.09164 if rejection occurs 🎯 Risk Management: Always use stop-loss and trade wisely! #EURUSD #Forex #PriceAction #SupportResistance #LiquidityZones #Trading #SmartMoney #FXFOREVER
by FXFOREVER_87
2
EURUSD InsightHello, subscribers! Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don't forget to like and subscribe! Key Points - The Christian Democratic Union-Christian Social Union alliance and the Social Democratic Party announced that they had reached a constitutional amendment agreement with the Green Party, which had previously opposed, to establish a €500 billion infrastructure and defense special fund. - U.S. Secretary of Commerce Howard Lutnick stated on April 2 that tariffs should be imposed on all cars imported into the U.S. when asked whether the reciprocal tariffs would apply to cars from countries like South Korea, Japan, and Germany. - China's Ministry of Finance, Ministry of Commerce, and the People's Bank of China are scheduled to hold a joint press conference to announce measures to boost domestic demand. If China unveils a stimulus package larger than market expectations, it could trigger a weakening of the U.S. dollar. - The Bank of Japan is expected to keep interest rates unchanged in its rate decision on the 19th, while the Bank of England is also expected to hold rates steady at its monetary policy meeting on the 20th. Key Economic Events This Week March 17: U.S. February Retail Sales March 19: Bank of Japan Interest Rate Decision, Eurozone February Consumer Price Index, FOMC Meeting Outcome March 20: Bank of England Interest Rate Decision EURUSD Chart Analysis The pair is attempting to break through the lower trendline of the previous upward trend. If this level is breached, further gains up to the 1.11000 level are expected. However, if it fails to break through the resistance, a retreat to the 1.06000 level is anticipated, though this scenario appears less likely.
Long
by shawntime_academy
ETH Price Prediction: Ready for a 94% Pump – A Key Breakout LoomThis chart highlights a critical moment for Ethereum (ETH). With a solid technical setup and clear indicators pointing towards a potential 94% pump, we're on the verge of a major breakout and then very strong retest point. Watch closely as ETH prepares to surge to new heights. Whether you're a long-term holder or a trader looking to capitalize on short-term gains, now is the time to pay attention. Stay sharp, the next move could be monumental.
Long
by growmoreumc
GBPJPY Trade Analysis**GBP/JPY 15-minute chart** **Trade Analysis & Idea:** 📉 **Previous Downtrend**: The pair experienced a strong drop before finding support around **191.400**. 📈 **Current Recovery**: Price is now rebounding and trading above short-term moving averages (blue & red EMA). 🔄 **Resistance Zone**: The **192.000 - 192.200** area may act as resistance for further upside. ### **Potential Trade Setups:** 1️⃣ **Bullish Continuation**: - If price **breaks & closes above 192.000**, we could see further upside towards **192.400 - 192.600**. - A strong candle close above resistance would confirm bullish momentum. 2️⃣ **Rejection & Pullback**: - If price struggles to hold above 192.000, a pullback toward **191.700 - 191.500** is possible. - Look for **bearish candlestick patterns** (e.g., rejection wicks, engulfing candles) to confirm a short opportunity. ### **Risk Management:** ✅ Secure partial profits at key levels. ✅ Use **tight stop-loss** below **191.700** for longs or above **192.200** for shorts.
by elitetrader9090
Credit Spreads - About to Blow?While credit spreads, which reached near-historic lows in 2024, remain tight, they have widened notably since the beginning of 2025. If this trend accelerates, it could put substantial pressure on the bond market, resulting in tighter financial conditions and corresponding headwinds for the domestic economy. The last 2-3 weeks have seen risk assets come under pressure, but the below chart suggests that the risk-off sentiment shift may still be early-stage... Whether viewed through a traditional technical lens or supply/demand, current levels could be considered supportive - risk is to the upside. A few impacted ETFs: NASDAQ:IEF , NASDAQ:TLT , AMEX:HYG , AMEX:JNK Jon JHartCharts
FRED:BAMLH0A0HYM2Long
by JHartCharts
Dead Cat Bounce BTCUSDT🚨 High-Risk Analysis 🚨 This setup isn’t for the faint-hearted. It’s like trying to catch falling knives while blindfolded. But for those who thrive on risk—here’s the analysis. 📉 We've reached the second bottom. (No one truly knows how deep the rabbit hole can go…) Despite the uncertainty, we take control of our trade, set a strict stop-loss, and see if our cat still has one more jump left. 🔥 Factors in Favor of a Bounce: ✅ Deviation from the sloping trendline ✅ Formation of a second bottom ✅ Reversion to the mean price ✅ Approach to a major level, allowing for a tight stop-loss and an optimal risk-reward setup ✅ Candle wicks signaling potential price movement ⚠️ Bearish Risks: Strong trend pressure could push lower Lack of volume may fail to drive momentum Final Thoughts: This remains a high-risk trade, but with a strong profit potential, as long as stop-loss discipline is maintained. 🎯 Good luck to those taking the risk. Victory will be ours! 🚀🔥
Long
by chernyshev.ilia
1
POSSIBLE SELL SET UP ON NZDJPYThe NZDJPY pair is currently experiencing a mix of trends. On the one hand, it's reached a significant support zone, which has previously acted as a key demand zone, increasing the likelihood of a bounce if buyers step in . This support zone is highlighted by previous price reactions and strong buying interest. On the other hand, the pair is also exhibiting signs of sustained bearish momentum, with a series of lower highs and lower lows on the 4-hour timeframe . This downtrend structure suggests that the pair may continue to decline.
by KRIZZ_FOREX