Are Gold Miners Going Higher?Gold miners are one of the top-performing industries this year, and some traders may see further upside in a key ETF tracking the group.
The first pattern on today’s chart of the VanEck Gold Miners ETF is the falling trendline along the highs of October and February. GDX cleared that resistance on Thursday, which may suggest a breakout is underway.
Second, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) rose above the 200-day SMA in February and above the 100-day SMA in March. That alignment, with faster SMAs above slower SMAs, may be consistent with a longer-term uptrend.
Third, the ETF peaked around $39 in December and bounced at the same level on February 28. Did old resistance become new support?
Next, MACD just turned positive. The 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) is also above the 21-day EMA. Those are potentially bullish short-term signals.
Fifth, GDX remains below its 2020 high of $45.78 –- despite physical gold setting new records. The ETF is also still under peaks from early last decade. Investors may wonder whether the producing companies are undervalued on a relative basis.
Finally, TradeStation data shows GDX averaging roughly 128,000 options per day in the last month. That may help traders position for moves with calls and puts.
Standardized Performances for the ETF mentioned above:
VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX)
1-year: +52.63%
5-years: +34.98%
10-year: +83.14%
(As of February 28, 2025)
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Trend Lines
DJI | Price action and what could be coming next.As you can see on the chart, the DJI has broken down from a key support zone as mark. This breakdown is significant because it signals a possible shift in momentum from bullish to bearish.
Now, what’s next? Based on technical analysis, I’m expecting a short-term pullback — possibly a retest of the broken support, which could now act as resistance. If that happens, we could see the DJI climbing back toward the support zone before continuing its downward journey.
The next leg down could take the index toward target zone around 39,000, with a possible dip even lower to 38,827. This would represent a total decline of approximately 7.31% from the recent breakdown. Also have a longer-term trendline providing some support, but if that breaks, things could get even more bearish, with potential lows near 37,611.
So, what should we watch for? Keep an eye on the retest of the support-turned-resistance zone and the price action around the trendline support. If the price gets rejected at resistance and breaks below the trendline, that would confirm further downside.
See you in the next one!
NZDCHF - Weekly Forecast - Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast:
While the price is above the support 0.49439, beginning of uptrend is expected.
We make sure when the resistance at 0.52680 breaks.
If the support at 0.49439 is broken, the short-term forecast -beginning of uptrend- will be invalid.
OANDA:NZDCHF
Technical analysis:
A peak is formed in daily chart at 0.51845 on 02/20/2025, so more losses to support(s) 0.49950 and minimum to Major Support (0.49439) is expected.
Take Profits:
0.51043
0.51780
0.52680
0.53798
0.55094
0.56221
0.56728
0.57630
0.58900
0.60187
0.65051
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Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast.
Have a successful week,
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NZDCAD: Strong Bullish Signals 🇳🇿🇨🇦
I see 2 strong price action confirmations on NZDCAD:
the price broke a resistance line of a bullish flag
and then formed a confirmed change of character CHoCH on a 4H.
I think that the market will continue a bullish rally.
Next resistance - 0.83
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Gold is about to fall, maybe even plummet!In the morning, gold rose above 2990 as expected and then fell back, but it stopped falling again at 2980 in the European session and rose again. The current market is rising again to test above 3000. From the current hourly chart, the pressure of 3005 is obvious. Today is the last trading day of this week. It is still optimistic about the decline in the evening, and even more optimistic about the plunge!!!
You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, share real-time strategies, and no longer blindly follow the trend.
Gold (XAU/USD) Trade Plan**Gold (XAU/USD) Trade Plan** 🏆
📌 **Key Levels:**
- **Support:** $2978
- **Resistance:** $2991
📈 **Bullish Scenario (Breakout Above $2991)**
- **Buy Entry:** After a strong breakout with confirmation.
- **Take Profits:**
- **TP1:** $2996
- **TP2:** $3001
- **TP3:** $3005
- **Indicator Confirmation:** EMA 20 for trend strength.
📉 **Bearish Scenario (Support Break at $2978)**
- **Potential Retracement or Reversal:** If price breaks below $2978, it may trigger a downtrend.
- **Risk Management:** Use stop-loss and position sizing to manage risk.
🔍 **Watch for Volume & Candle Patterns for Confirmation!** 🚀
XAU/USD Long Position Setup📌 XAU/USD Long Position Setup
🔹 Entry: 2997
🔹 Stop Loss (SL): ❌ 2990
🔹 Take Profit Targets:
🎯 TP1: 3002 (+50 pips)
🎯 TP2: 3007 (+100 pips)
🎯 TP3: 3012 (+150 pips)
💡 Risk Management Tips:
✅ 📊 Risk-Reward Ratio: Aim for at least 1:2 to maximize gains.
✅ 📏 Position Sizing: Keep risk 1-2% of your capital.
✅ 🔄 Trailing Stop: Move SL to breakeven after TP1 to secure profits.
GOLD → Distribution phase. One step away from $3000. Up!FX:XAUUSD breaks upward and reaches the intermediate target. After strong growth there is no pullback at all. A consolidation is forming which shows us strong levels.
Gold updates ATH to +2990, preparing to overcome $3,000. Growth is being fueled by Trump's trade war and expectations of a Fed rate cut. Investors are cautious ahead of the Fed meeting. A stronger dollar and hopes for a US-Canada trade truce may temporarily cause a correction, but it is not the strongest factor. However, recession risks and escalation of trade and geopolitical conflicts may increase demand for protective assets, supporting the growth of gold prices
Technically, the price is in consolidation, relative to which there may be a breakthrough of resistance and further growth. Or a local false breakout, correction to support at 2980 and continuation of growth after support retest
Resistance levels: 2993, 3000, 3008
Support levels: 2981, 2956
Thus, if the bulls are able to consolidate above 2993, the price may continue its aggressive growth.
BUT! There is a possibility of correction to the risk (liquidity) zone 2981 - 2977 before gold resumes its growth.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Testing ATH. High chance of a breakout 2954FX:XAUUSD in the distribution phase of the previously formed consolidation. The price is testing ATH and the market has all chances for a breakout and further update of the high. We are close to 3K
Gold price continues to rise, approaching a record high of $2,956, amid fears of a global trade war. Lower US inflation has weakened the dollar and bond yields, boosting demand for gold. Markets now await PPI data, but escalating trade conflict remains key.
Technically, gold is testing global range resistance a month after last touching it. I don't like to trade primary breakouts in such a case and the ideal scenario would be to wait for a small consolidation near the level or a correction to 2945 - 2935 before the metal starts to tetse 2954.5 for a breakout
Resistance levels: 2954.5
Support levels: 2945, 2935, 2930
As a first move I expect a pullback after resistance test. A retest of 2954.5 (retest) will mean that buyers are ready to break the resistance and go higher.
BUT, we have important news today. Gold could break the level without a pullback. A close above 2954.5 will trigger a rally.
Regards R. Linda!
Trading Signals for EUR/USD sell below 1.0881 (+1/8 Murray-21SMAEarly in the American session, the euro is trading around 1.0865, below the 21-month SMA, and below the 1/8 Murray level,
showing signs of exhaustion. A technical correction is expected in the coming hours.
Hence, the instrument could reach the 200 EMA at 1.0570 in the short term.
If the euro falls and consolidates below 1.0881, it will be seen as an opportunity to sell with targets at 1.0807, at the 8.8 Murray level at 1.0742, and finally, at the 200 EMA at 1.0570.
On the other hand, if the euro consolidates or breaks above the downtrend channel formed after reaching its high at 1.0950, it will be seen as an opportunity to resume buying. We could buy the euro only if it consolidates above 1.0900.
The Eagle indicator has reached overbought levels and is showing a negative signal, so we will look for opportunities to sell below 1.08 in the coming days.
Gold (XAU/USD) - M15 Analysis📉 Gold (XAU/USD) - M15 Analysis
📊 Current Price: $2,984
📍 Market Structure: Bullish (BOS Confirmed)
📉 Key Support Zones (Potential Buy Areas):
✅ $2,977 - $2,973 (Demand Zone)
✅ $2,970 - $2,965 (Stronger Demand Zone)
📊 Key Technical Levels:
🔹 Fibonacci Retracement Levels: 50% - $2,987 | 61.8% - $2,985 | 78.6% - $2,975
🔹 Fair Value Gaps (FVG): Notable imbalance at $2,980 - $2,985
📈 Bullish Scenario: A strong bounce from support ($2,977 - $2,973) could push gold towards $2,990 - $3,000.
📉 Bearish Scenario: A break below $2,973 could trigger further downside towards $2,965 - $2,960.
📊 Trade Ideas:
✅ Buy: Watch for bullish confirmation at $2,977 - $2,973, targeting $2,990+
✅ Sell Setup: Break below $2,973 could open the door for more downside
📅 Timeframe: 15-Minute Chart (M15)
📢 Risk Management: Use tight stop-loss and follow risk management rules.
#Fxforever #XAUUSD #Gold #GoldAnalysis #Trading #PriceAction #FVG #BOS #Fibonacci #Support #Resistance #XAUUSD
SMPH Possible Trend ReversalAfter months of downtrend, SMPH seems to be somehow recovering from its bearish sentiment. From downtrend to sideways
Confluence
Macro: Shift from downtrend to sideways
Daily chart: higher lows
RSI: higher lows
Short term outlook: Looking like a 1 month short term uptrend.
Other Notes
Possibly looking to make a DB MB BO and hopefully a DB BT BO
Coming from a macro downtrend, sentiment shifting to defensive stocks. Property sector may not be the first mover post bearish sentiment since its not a defensive sector but perhaps the speculated rate cuts may help.
Earnings also released and looking good.
XAUUSD to break through $3,000On the weekly chart, XAUUSD formed an insidebar and broke upward, and the current bullish trend is obvious. The current effective support below is around 2930. If it does not break through the retracement, it is expected to continue to rise. Pay attention to the 3000 US dollar mark during the day, and after breaking through, it will go to the 3020-3050 area.
Silver (XAG/USD) Analysis: Ready for the Next Move?Welcome back, guys! 👋I'm Skeptic , and today we're diving into an analysis of Silver (XAG/USD) on the 1-hour time frame to spot potential long and short triggers.
🔮 Daily Time Frame Insight
XAG/USD remains bullish on the daily chart as we’re consistently printing higher lows, maintaining the overall uptrend. Given the current economic and geopolitical tensions, caution is essential, but the bullish structure remains intact, so we can still anticipate further upward movement.
📈1-Hour Time Frame & Long Trigger
In the 1-hour time frame, the bullish momentum is clearly visible. Pullbacks are lengthy with large candles, while uptrends are sharp with smaller, more concentrated candles. This pattern indicates strong buying interest when momentum picks up.
Our primary long trigger will be a break above the 4-hour resistance at 33.00237 . Additionally, if the RSI re-enters the overbought zone during the breakout, it will add more confirmation and confidence to the long position, allowing us to increase our risk slightly.
📉 Short Trigger
For short setups, I’ll wait for a clear break of the support at 31.92637 , which also coincides with the previous low. If the downward move is sharp and decisive, this could signal a potential short entry. Until then, I’ll stay on the sidelines for shorts, as the overall trend remains bullish.
Let me know your thoughts and ideas on XAG/USD! 💬 Drop any questions in the comments, and I’ll be happy to discuss them. Let’s grow together, not alone! 🔥
Gold is about to plummet, double short gold!Brothers, gold accelerated to around 2985, but it could not cross 2990. The closer it is to the 3000 mark, the greater the resistance it faces. After the news is digested by the market to a certain extent, it is difficult for gold to have enough momentum to continue to break through the 2990-3000 market psychological mark in the short term, so a retracement will inevitably follow!
The accelerated squeeze of gold has been separated from the technical side. After the news returns to normal, gold will inevitably have a technical retracement demand, so we can boldly short gold again in the 2985-2990 area! Tomorrow, Friday, will definitely be a turning point. Gold will at least retrace to the 2950-2940 zone tomorrow, and may even extend to the area around 2935.
So in short-term trading, I still insist on using double trading lots to short gold at 2985-2990! Looking forward to making a profit of 400-500 pips in the short term!Trading means that everything has results and everything has feedback. I have been committed to market trading and trading strategy sharing, striving to improve the winning rate of trading and maximize profits. If you want to copy trading signals to make a profit, or master independent trading skills and thinking, you can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to copy trading strategies and signals
USDJPYWeekly
1. Historically extreme COT in trade positioning; the trend usually turns in favor of the dollar on trade position changes.
2. MACD has bullish convergence.
3. The 2021 trend line has been touched at the 61.8% Fibo.
4. Possible formation of an ABC wave 4 triangle. The possible next wave will be a 5 and the target level is 175, the extreme target is 206
Daily and hour timeframe
5. The last movement is a higher high and higher low, this could be a new channel
6. The invalidation level for my arguments is 147.350
What do you think?
ABB - much needed consolidationABB - after years of steady rise it is time to correct the wave 3 (red count)
This will give investors who believe in the company a good opportunity to get more shares at a discount price.
I predict that at around 440 - 500 SEK the stock will continue to rise in valuation with a potential of about 50% increase before starting the next correction (wave 4) as part of the green wave degree.
VW - stock may have turned around (?)VW - has had its fair share of bad news lately, however, panic and fear often times is at its peak when price is close to find the bottom.
Looking at price action and price targets it seems the wave C of II could be over which is also indicated that price bounced from the 161.8 fib expansion of wave 4 of C. Ever since then the stock has seen a steady rise that was also supported by good volume.
Now it has reached the 61.8 retracement of wave 5 and usually around that fib level price will stall and consolidate. I can even see a 5 wave motive wave up.
Now, we need to see how the price action looks like in the coming days and weeks. Hopefully it will make a higher low at around 50-61.8 % fib retracement and from there I would be looking to long the stock. The upside is quite impressive as the price may rise with over 300%.
For now, we remain neutral and are watching what happens next.
Gentherm Inc Stock Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# Gentherm Inc Stock Quote
- Double Formation
* A+ Set Up)) | Completed Survey
* (Diagonal) | Short Bias Entry | Subdivision 1
- Triple Formation
* 0.786 Retracement Area | Downtrend Argument | Subdivision 2
* ABC Flat Structure & Leading Channel Constant | Subdivision 3
* Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition
- (Hypothesis On Entry Bias)) | Indexed To 100
- Position On A 1.5RR
* Stop Loss At 48.00 USD
* Entry At 38.00 USD
* Take Profit At 25.00 USD
* (Downtrend Argument)) & No Pattern Confirmation
* Ongoing Entry & (Neutral Area))
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Sell