XAUUSD focuses on buying opportunities in demand zonesOn the 4-hour chart, XAUUSD maintains an upward trend. Currently, we can focus on the demand zone of 2896-2911. If it falls back and stabilizes, we can consider buying more. If the price continues to rise, the upward target will be the 2960-3000 area.
Trend Lines
Altcoin Season - 2017 vs 2021 vs 2025OTHERS/BTC is a good barometer for "Altcoin Season"
OTHERS charts the total market cap of every crypto excluding the Top 10 by market cap tokens
BTC is charting BTC by market cap
It's obvious we are in 4 year cycles, and obvious this season starts after BTC breaks all-time high.
The idea is simple - BTC breaking all-time high increases awareness from the public. People then enter into BTC. After they enter into BTC, they look further down the risk curve (altcoins). 2017, then 2021, now 2025. The "Altcoin Season" typically lasts for ~1 year.
Everyone in the crypto world is freaking out right now, calling for the cycle to be over with and that "altcoins are dead" --- this happens at this point every cycle. If you have been here for 8+ years, you will notice the same pattern repeating in people's emotions/psychology.
Steady Lads, "Altcoin Season" is coming soon.
- CURB (@CryptoCurb)
USDJPY InsightHello, dear subscribers!
Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe!
Key Points
- ECB President Christine Lagarde stated in the European Parliament that growing global trade frictions will further increase uncertainty in the Eurozone’s inflation outlook.
- Bank of Japan (BOJ) Policy Board member Naoki Tamura argued that the BOJ should raise interest rates to around 1%, a level considered nominally neutral.
- U.S. President Donald Trump signed a proclamation at the White House imposing a 25% tariff on steel and aluminum imports into the U.S. He also mentioned that tariffs on automobiles, semiconductors, and pharmaceuticals are under review.
- On February 11-12, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell will deliver his semi-annual monetary policy testimony. Attention will be on how Powell responds to questions regarding the impact of Trump’s second-term policies.
This Week’s Key Economic Events
+ February 11: Fed Chair Powell's speech
+ February 12: U.S. January Consumer Price Index (CPI), Fed Chair Powell’s speech
+ February 13: U.K. Q4 GDP, Germany January CPI, U.S. January Producer Price Index (PPI)
+ February 14: U.S. January Retail Sales
USDJPY Chart Analysis
The 154 level, which had provided support in recent days, has been broken, and the price has dropped to the 151 level. Although there is a slight upward trend in this range, it appears to be a short-term rebound. Further declines to the 149.500 level are expected.
However, if the price surpasses the 154 level during this rebound, there is a possibility of reaching the previous high, in which case we will quickly adjust our strategy.
Under Armour | UA | Long at $6.74Under Armour $NYSE:UA. Price may break my historical simple moving average area/lines and dip into the low $6s, but the convergence of price with these lines often means a future price increase. Fundamentally, the stock continues to surprise with earnings beat after earnings beat. While economic headwinds are likely ahead in the retail market, global exposure may ease the likely troubles. Starter position entered at $6.74.
Targets
$7.50
$8.00
Figs Inc | FIGS | Long at $5.24Figs Inc $NYSE:FIGS. Technical analysis play first, fundamentals second.
My selected historical simple moving average lines have converged with the stock price, which often leads to sideways trading and a reversal in the downward trend (i.e. future price increase). The downward trend is flattening, but that doesn't mean post-earnings drop to $1.50-$2.00 isn't out of the question...
The FIGS brand is growing within the healthcare world with significant opportunities overseas. While economic headwinds may impede near/medium-term growth, revenue is anticipated to grow into 2027. EPS is expected to rise from 0.01 in 2024 to 0.20 by 2027. While this is not a "value" play and there is high risk for rug pulls, something may be brewing within the chart for a move up. Tread lightly, however...
Targets
$6.00
$6.40
$7.00
$8.00
Estee Lauder | EL | Long at $67.33Reentering Estee Lauder at $67.33 due to the persistence of the Director, Paul Fribourg, buying around $33,000,000 worth of shares between $63-$66 (even after the earnings debacle). While the company had a horrendous outlook for FY2025, the bad news may be already priced in (i.e. cutting 7,000 jobs, weak sales, etc.). A "profit recovery and growth plan" is underway, so buckle up for the high risk of further declines in stock price in the near-term. Personally, a buy and hold at $67.33 with the primary thesis being global expansion (recovering Chinese market) or potential buyout into 2027.
Targets
$80.00
$86.00
FTSE 100 index Wave Analysis – 10 February 2025
- FTSE 100 index broke resistance level 8700.00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 8900.00
FTSE 100 index recently broke the resistance area between the key resistance level 8700.00 (which stopped the price at the end of January) and the resistance trendline of the daily up channel from December.
The breakout of this resistance area accelerated the active short-term impulse wave 3 of the higher-order impulse sequence C from last August.
Given the clear daily uptrend, FTSE 100 index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 8900.00, target price for the completion of the active impulse wave (C).
Bullish behaviour on ADBE stockIt looks like, after half a year of retracement, Adobe Inc. stock (Ticker NASDAQ: ADBE) is now setting up for longs again.
On the gap-down daily bar following the December 11th 2024 earnings report, professionals bought. Then, over December and January 2025, more buying can be seen. It has to be noted that recent professional activity took place around the previous level of support ($433.97) which adds to the strength. By January 10th supply has been absorbed, in February the price pushed above the support level and has been tested with relatively low volume creating conditions for the move up.
Today's bar is a positive reaction to the recent testing and might be the beginning of the rally towards $566.79 - $576.30 with minor resistances around $482.66 - $489.52 and $541.74 on the way.
At the same time, as we've seen a high volume around the support level (January 27th, 28th and 31st bars), there is still the possibility of its re-testing and the beginning of the rally from there.
EURUSD 10 February 2025 TRADE IDEAThe EUR/USD pair remains in a long-term downtrend, as indicated by the descending trendlines and the formation of lower highs and lower lows. Recent price action shows a rejection from the 1.0400 - 1.0514 supply zone, suggesting strong bearish momentum. Price is likely to target the next demand zone around 1.0000 - 0.9935, as order flow and smart money concepts (SMC) indicate further downside. A break of structure (BOS) confirms continued bearish intent, while liquidity grabs and fair value gaps (FVGs) suggest price may seek equilibrium near 0.9800 - 0.9400 in the longer term. Fundamentally, the U.S. dollar remains strong due to the Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance, resilient labor market data, and persistent inflation, while the Eurozone faces economic struggles, with the ECB being less aggressive on rate hikes due to slowing growth. Geopolitical tensions, such as the Russia-Ukraine war and Middle East conflicts, add to global risk-off sentiment, further strengthening USD as a safe-haven asset. If price breaks below 1.0000, further declines toward 0.9935 - 0.9800 are expected, while a sustained break above 1.0514 would challenge the bearish outlook.
New Vertical LiftoffClean breakout of this wedge (yellow) provides a technical bullish direction back to the teens, most optimistic targets puts this on track to $17.
Monthly CCI swinging back up as well which also provides confirmation of the breakout.
Look to see volume pickup to add more, earnings in a little over a month.
Resolute Mining Stock Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# Resolute Mining Stock Quote
- Double Formation
* A+ Set Up)) | 0.900 AUD
* 1st Retracement | 0.786 Area | Short Set Up | Subdivision 1
- Triple Formation
* Trendline 1&2 | Triangle Structure | Subdivision 2
* 2nd Retracement | 1 Area | Neutral Bias | Subdivision 3
* Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European Session(Upwards) - US-Session(Downwards) - Asian Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Neutral
Advocate continuing to short goldIf you have been following my trading strategy, you should be aware that I have already initiated short positions around the 2900 level. Currently, gold is trading near 2910.
After reaching the 2905 level, gold unexpectedly failed to produce a meaningful pullback and instead extended its rally beyond 2910. However, the bullish momentum is gradually losing steam, and gold is approaching short-term trendline resistance. I anticipate that once gold tests this resistance level, a retracement toward the 2880 region, or even as low as 2860, remains a strong possibility.
On the other hand, despite gold’s strong uptrend, we must remain cautious about macroeconomic factors. If the Trump administration continues to advocate for a strong U.S. dollar policy, potential intervention in the gold market cannot be ruled out, which could pressure gold prices.
From a short-term trading perspective, I do not recommend chasing longs at this level. I am still holding my short positions initiated around 2900 and have just added to my short exposure above 2910, anticipating a corrective pullback as projected.
Bros, have you followed me to short gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
NIFTY seems to be retesting its BREAKOUT structure !As we can see despite the favourable result of winning the centre by ruling party, NIFTY failed to show its strength and fell unidirectionally as analysed in our previous post that if manages to remain below the trendline, we should be cautious. Now NIFTY can be seen re-testing the breakout structure and hence possible bullishness can be witnessed which could be short term unless it break sways the structure for change of characteristic and structure of overall market so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching.
Teladoc Health | TDOC | Long at $9.91Teladoc Health NYSE:TDOC - Initial position started at $9.91 with the potential for the price gap in the $7's to be closed in the near future (likely another entry there unless fundamentals change)
Pros:
User base of over 90 million and growing
Revenue grew from $555 million in 2019 to $2.6 billion through Q3 of 2024
Positive free cash flow since 2021
Low debt (debt to equity ratio around 1x)
AI integration and partnership with Amazon and Brightline
Historical simply moving average is approaching price, which often leads to a jump or change in downward momentum in the longer-term
Cons:
Currently unprofitable and not forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years
Lots of insider selling and exercising of options
No dividend
Daily price gap in the $7 dollar range which may close prior to move up
Targets through 2027 :
$14.20
$20.00
$27.00
$35.00
$55.00 (long-term, positive outlook)
US Big Tech (FAANG) Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
US Big Tech (FAANG) Quote
- Double Formation
* (Open Trade)) | Completed Survey | Inverted Pattern Confirmation
* ABC Flat | Continuation Area | Subdivision 1
- Triple Formation
* Numbered Retracement | Uptrend Bias & Entry Settings | Subdivision 2
* Trendline 1, 2 & 3 | Support & Resistance | Subdivision 3
* Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European Session(Upwards) - US-Session(Downwards) - Asian Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Buy
LTCUSD - Weekly forecast, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast:
While the price is above the support 89.65, resumption of uptrend is expected.
We make sure when the resistance at 147.05 breaks.
If the support at 89.65 is broken, the short-term forecast -resumption of uptrend- will be invalid.
We will close our open trades, if the Midterm level 89.65 is broken.
Technical analysis:
A trough is formed in daily chart at 80.05 on 02/03/2025, so more gains to resistance(s) 117.47, 125.06, 133.99 and maximum to Major Resistance (147.05) is expected.
Take Profits:
117.47
125.06
133.99
147.05
167.24
189.79
232.63
281.63
334.75
388.93
413.50
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