Confluence Profile 500K (Order Flow Footprint + PA) 2.5RNYMEX:CL1!
"If you can't fly then run, if you can't run then walk. If you can't walk, then crawl. But whatever you do you have to keep moving forward." -Dr. Martin Luther King Jr.
Family I hope everyone is in good spirits as we kick off this new year of 2025!!!! Here in this video I have went into gr8 detail on this trade that I took SHORT todays during NY Session on Crude OIL and I broke down the Order Flow Footprint along with PA on why I decided to enter the trade and capitalize on 2.5R. My original target was 5R however volume died out and I decided to close and walk with profit. This year I'm going to consistently Over N over N over N over N over again study the 10pt Stop entry here on Crude Oil. On overage Crude Oil will run for +120pts during NY Session. All we need is half of that to eat. (60pts) this is my sweet spot. I'm determined to master it. Added along with better tape reading of the Order Flow Footprint. Let's stay active!
Remember; "Our Profession is to Manage the downside costs of printing HIGHSIDE returns of $$$ consistently. Done correctly, well Abundance awaits us." -500KTrey
Trend Lines
MSTR Fib Pitch FanNASDAQ:MSTR
This Fib Pitch Fan really shows the high touch points and low consolidation points. You can see that candle with a high of $543 in November 2024 and then consolidation follows in the blue zone to the green zone we are currently in. Looking back to March 2024, that candle with a high of $200 touches that green line and bounces into consolidation, similarly to what just happen in November of 2024. Volatility is increasing and bullish momentum is here.
Looking at this green zone we are currently in you can we can have a candle with a low of $285.01 and it did not want to break the line below the candle, bounced right from that line.
We can see this stock getting back to the blue zone above the green zone we are in, making the way back to the highs. Going to that new green zone and moving above the blue zone, can make new highs for the stock.
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NASDAQ:MSTR COINBASE:BTCUSD
Can Litecoin to Bitcoin ratio reverse?The LTC/BTC chart currently looks weak, but there’s still a glimmer of hope. The channel may act as support, potentially enabling a trend reversal. For this to happen, we’d need to see swift, decisive moves with large candles—a pattern Litecoin has historically demonstrated it can achieve.
If the trend reverses, the Fibonacci levels at 0.0128 and 0.0268 could be key targets. At Bitcoin’s current market cap, these levels would correspond to Litecoin market caps of approximately $100 billion and $200 billion, respectively.
Meanwhile, the LTC/USDT chart looks quite bullish, which further supports the potential for a significant move in the near term.
Wishing you a Happy New Year! Remember to always do your own research. This analysis is intended for educational purposes only and is not financial advice.
Fibonacci Zones in Play: Price Action at the CrossroadsPrice Action Overview 📉
📊 We’re looking at key Fibonacci retracement levels applied to the latest down leg. Price action is testing these zones, making this a critical area to watch for potential reversals or continuation.
Key Insights:
🔹 Fibonacci Levels: Price is currently interacting with major Fibonacci support and resistance levels. These zones often indicate potential reversal points or continuation patterns. A strong rejection or breakout could set up a profitable trade.
🔹 Price Action: The market is showing signs of indecision around these key levels. It’s crucial to monitor how price behaves—whether it bounces or breaks through these levels will provide the next big move.
Trade Setup:
🔹 Critical Levels: We're watching price around these Fibonacci levels to see if it holds or breaks. A confirmed move past these zones could signal a trend reversal or continuation.
Next Steps:
💬 Keep an eye on how price reacts here. If we see strong confirmation at these levels, it could present a solid trading opportunity. Watch for clean breaks or rejections as potential signals to enter.
Alikze »» Near | Ascending channel - 1W🔍 Technical analysis: Ascending channel - 1W
📣 BINANCE:NEARUSDT currency is moving in an ascending channel on the weekly time frame.
🟢 After hitting the channel ceiling and the supply zone, it encountered selling pressure, which extended the correction to the middle of the channel. After that, it encountered demand again in the middle of the channel.
🟢 It is currently facing demand in the green box, which can grow to the channel ceiling in the first step and continue its growth again to the supply zone.
🟢 Considering that the supply zone and the channel ceiling have already been consumed, in case of high momentum, it will be able to break the supply zone
🟢 After that, it can grow to the next supply zone.
💎In the first step, then after breaking the ceiling of the first ascending channel, it can continue its growth to the middle of the second channel with a pullback to it and finally to the width of the first channel to a larger supply zone.
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Arb Analysis BINANCE:ARBUSDT BINANCE:ARBUSDT.P MEXC:ARBUSDT
Here’s a detailed analysis of the ARB/USDT (Arbitrum/USD Tether) weekly chart, including Fibonacci retracement levels, support and resistance zones, and possible price movements.
---
### **1. Key Levels**
- **0% (low)**: **0.4224**.
- **0.618 Levels**: **1.1879** and **1.1238—Fibonacci's golden pocket area, representing a strong resistance zone.
- **0.5 Level**: **1.4244—the midpoint of Fibonacci retracement, acting as a secondary resistance level.
100% (High)**: **2.4263**.
---
### **2. Price Action and Current Situation**
Current Price**: **0.8310**, sitting near a support zone.
Support Zone**: **0.812**, where price has found stability so far.
Key Resistance**: Fibonacci levels between **1.1238–1.1879**.
---
### **3. Support and Resistance Zones**
- **Support**:
-0.812: Current support level holding the price.
- **0.4224**: Strong historical support, acting as the last defense if the price drops significantly.
- **Resistance**:
1.1238–1.1879: The golden pocket zone (strong resistance where a pullback or slowdown may occur).
1.4244: Secondary resistance at the 0.5 Fibonacci level.
---
### **4. Fibonacci-Based Trading Strategy**
Buying Opportunity (Buy)**:
Consider entering near the **0.812** level if support holds.
Stop-loss: Place below **0.812**, such as at **0.750**, to limit losses.
- **Take-Profit Targets**:
First target: **1.1238–1.1879** zone.
Second target: **1.4244** level.
---
### **5. Technical Analysis and Possible Scenarios**
Bullish Scenario (Upward Movement)**:
If the price holds above **0.812**, the next move could be toward the **1.1238–1.1879** resistance zone.
A break above this zone could push the price to $**1.4244** or higher.
Bearish Scenario (Downward Movement)**:
If the price breaks below **0.812**, it might revisit the **0.4224** support level.
---
### **6. Trading Recommendations**
Current Buying Opportunity**:
Buying near **0.812** can be a good entry, considering clear stop-loss and take-profit levels.
- **Confirmations**:
RSI: Check if the price is oversold or overbought to validate the entry.
MACD: Use to confirm trend strength or weakness.
Stick to buying gold on dipsBros, during the second pullback, gold touched the 2639 level but failed to decisively break below it. Clearly, the bullish structure of gold remains intact. In fact, as long as gold holds above 2635, it indicates that the bulls have not entirely lost control.
I believe this pullback is merely a healthy correction within the broader uptrend, serving as a consolidation phase. Once gold stabilizes, it is likely to resume its upward trajectory. If gold can rebound above 2645 in the short term, bullish momentum will undoubtedly gain further strength, reinforcing the bullish signal.
Therefore, I see this short-term pullback as an excellent opportunity to accumulate gold at discounted levels. Let’s use this retracement to build positions at favorable prices, and once gold rebounds, it may deliver surprising and exceptional returns!
Bros, are you optimistic about the rebound of gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Gold Roadmap==>Short-term!!!Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) is moving in the Resistance zone($2,670-$2,653) and near 50_SMA(Daily) and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
According to the theory of Elliot waves , it seems that Gold has finished the main wave 3 , and we should wait for the main wave 4 and correction .
I expect Gold to rise again after touching the Uptrend lines or after approaching the Support zone($2,639-$2,631) .
⚠️Note: First, Short position, then Long position.
⚠️Note: If Gold breaks the Support zone($2,639-$2,631), we should expect Gold to fall further.⚠️
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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PANACEABIO long consolidation about to BOIt looks like the stock is gearing up for a breakout after a period of consolidation.
There's a significant supply zone around the 500 psychological level.
For a successful breakout, we should ideally see a strong 1Month candle on our chart—it’s crucial to use that timeframe.
Following the breakout, the ideal entry point would be after a consecutive candle that breaks above the breakout candle
As always, remember to do your own research before making any investment decisions!
Long Story short for BTCHistory hasn't failed yet, so the four-year cycle is still intact until it isn't. I have stretched this chart out for the next couple of years so that you can get a good idea of where the potential bottom will be during the next bear market. I plan to accumulate as much as possible the closer it gets to 66k. If we do reach a 150-250k top this cycle then I will expect a bear market bottom between 66-76k. Watch my levels and use them as a guideline. Historically Bitcoin has NEVER returned to the price its low during the US election week:
2012 Election Week Low - $10
2016 Election Week Low - $700
2020 Election Week Low - $13,200
2024 Election Week Low - $66,800
that brings us to now... if this doesn't indicate the current market sentiment then I don't know what will. There's a reason why many genius economists are speculating a 1 million dollar bitcoin in the next 8 years.
BTCUSD ShortOn the higher timeframe we've broken a down trendline and price has stalled out, not completing the Fibonacci sequence. We had a shallow retracement.
I see the potential for retracement to $77K to $79K with the potential for deeper retracement to $68K should we break the key level of support to the downside.
The Golden Journey: Historic Milestones and a Glimpse into 2025Gold Price Analysis: A Historical Overview and Future Outlook
Gold has always played a crucial role as a safe-haven asset during periods of economic uncertainty. Over the years, its price movements have been shaped by various global events. Let’s take a step-by-step look at the key historical moments and their implications for the future.
[ b]Historical Highlights:-
March 2008: Financial Crisis Escalation
Gold prices surpassed $1,000 per ounce for the first time, driven by the Global Financial Crisis.
Key Factors:
- The collapse of Bear Stearns fueled fears of systemic financial instability.
- Aggressive Federal Reserve rate cuts weakened the U.S. dollar, increasing gold’s appeal.
Impact: Gold surged as a safe-haven asset during one of the most critical financial crises of the modern era.
October 2008: Global Financial Crisis Peak
Gold prices dropped to $681 per ounce initially due to forced liquidation but rebounded later, stabilizing around $730-$800 per ounce.
Key Factors:
- Forced selling to meet margin calls during the crisis.
- Central banks introduced aggressive interventions, including interest rate cuts, to stabilize the economy.
Impact: Despite short-term declines, gold regained its safe-haven status as market uncertainty persisted.
Profits and Losses of New York Stock Exchange Broker-Dealers 2000 to 2008:
Cost of the 2008 Financial Crisis :
August 2011: All-Time High Amid Global Economic Uncertainty
Gold reached a record high of $1,917 per ounce amid the U.S and Eurozone debt crisis and concerns about the U.S. economy.
Key Factors:
- Investors were concerned about the U.S. economy after the S&P downgrade of U.S. credit from AAA to AA+ earlier in August.
- The 2011 U.S. Debt Ceiling Crisis was one of a series of recurrent debates over increasing the total size of the U.S. national debt.
- Safe-haven demand surged as central banks maintained low interest rates.
Impact: This period underscored gold's reliability during global economic turmoil.
November 2015: Multi-Year Low
Gold prices dropped to $1,050 per ounce, the lowest since 2010.
Key Factors:
- Expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike reduced gold’s appeal.
- Low inflation diminished its role as a hedge.
Impact: The decline highlighted gold’s sensitivity to monetary policy and inflation expectations.
August 2020: Record High During COVID-19
Gold hit an all-time high of $2,075 per ounce, driven by the global economic fallout from the COVID-19 pandemic.
Key Factors:
- Massive monetary and fiscal stimulus from central banks and governments.
- Weak U.S. dollar and negative bond yields boosted demand.
Impact: Gold cemented its status as a hedge against both inflation and economic uncertainty.
September 2022: Aggressive Rate Hikes
Gold dropped to around $1,615 per ounce as the U.S. Federal Reserve aggressively raised interest rates to combat inflation.
Key Factors:
- Rising bond yields and a strong U.S. dollar reduced gold’s appeal.
- Geopolitical Uncertainty.
mpact: This period reflected the inverse relationship between gold and rising interest rates.
October 2024: Record Peak
Gold surged to a new all-time high of $2,790 per ounce due to heightened geopolitical tensions and monetary policy shifts.
Key Factors:
- Ongoing conflicts in the Middle East and Eastern Europe.
- Central banks’ easing policies and inflation fears supported the rally.
Impact: This continued gold’s bullish momentum, driven by its safe-haven demand.
Future Outlook for Gold in 2025
Key Expectations:
1. Bullish Momentum to Continue:
- Gold is likely to remain on an upward trajectory, potentially breaking the $3,000 per ounce barrier.
- Geopolitical uncertainty and inflation concerns will continue to drive demand.
2. Consolidation and Corrections:
- Gold may face short-term corrections, with support levels at $2,600-$2,500, before resuming its bullish trend.
3. Critical Drivers:
- Geopolitical Tensions: Persistent global conflicts will boost gold’s safe-haven appeal.
- Monetary Policy: Central bank decisions, especially from the Federal Reserve, will influence gold prices. A pause or reversal in rate hikes will support bullish momentum.
- Inflation Hedge: Rising inflation expectations will sustain demand for gold as a store of value.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Resistance Levels: $2,800, $3,000, and beyond.
- Support Levels: $2,600, $2,500, and $2,300.
Summary:
Gold has consistently demonstrated its value as a safe-haven asset during periods of economic and geopolitical uncertainty. With its recent surge in October 2024 and the ongoing macroeconomic conditions, the outlook for 2025 suggests further bullish potential. However, investors should be prepared for short-term corrections before the continuation of its long-term upward trend.
Gold's remarkable performance over various timeframes highlights its strength:
- In 2024 alone, gold rose by 27.25%, marking a stellar annual performance.
- Over the past 5 years, gold has gained an impressive 79.25%, showcasing sustained upward momentum.
- Over the past 10 years, gold has soared by 121.00%, reflecting its resilience and importance as a long-term asset.
Disclaimer:
The insights and expectations shared in this analysis are based on my personal experience and deep understanding of the market. While these projections are grounded in my expertise, it is important to exercise caution and perform your own research before making any investment decisions. Remember, the market carries inherent risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
S&P500 INDEX / bearish or still bullish confirmation...S&P 500 Technical Analysis
The price has stabilized below the support level at 5,935, indicating a continuation of the bearish trend toward 5,863. If it breaks below this level, the next target would be 5,808.
On the other hand, a 4-hour candle closing above 5,935 is required to confirm a bullish trend, with a target of 5,969.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 5935
Resistance Levels: 5969, 6022, 6053
Support Levels: 5863, 5790, 5820
Trend Outlook:
Bearish: Stability below 5,935
Bullish: If 5,935 is broken
USNAS100 / Market Update: Price Action and Trend AnalysisUSNAS100 Technical Analysis
The price has dropped and stabilized in the bearish zone after breaking the support level at 21,215. As long as it trades below 21,215 and 21,150, the bearish trend will continue toward 20,990. If it falls below this level, it may reach 20,860.
On the other hand, a 4-hour candle closing above 21,220 would indicate a bullish trend, targeting 21,395.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 21150
Resistance Levels: 21220, 21395, 21530
Support Levels: 20990, 20860, 20670
Trend Outlook:
Bullish: Above 21,220
Bearish: Below 21,150 and 21,220
Scalp in 4hKey Points:
Price Trend: SOL is currently in a downward trend but nearing a support zone, hinting at possible reversal or further decline based on breakout direction.
Strategy : Patience is key; traders should wait for clear breakout signals before entering trades, with attention to Fibonacci levels for setting targets or stops.
Risk Management : Important in volatile markets like crypto; setting stop-losses near key Fibonacci levels or recent lows/highs is advised.