Trend Lines
GBPJPY: Bearish Continuation Ahead 🇬🇧🇯🇵
GBPJPY will most likely continue trading in a bearish trend
after a confirmed bearish breakout of a key horizontal support.
The broken structure and a falling trend line compose
the contracting supply zone now.
Chances are high that a bearish movement will follow from that.
Next goal - 186.0
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USNAS100: Bearish Pressure Below 21,635 Amid Market VolatilityFutures Climb as Markets Dismiss Trump's Tariff Threat; Steelmakers Rally
USNAS100 Technical Analysis
The price declined following the latest tariff announcement and has stabilized below the pivot level at 21,635, indicating a potential move toward 21,535. Given the market's high volatility, a 1-hour candle closing above 21,635 could lead to a temporary rise toward 21,760, followed by another decline.
Key Levels
Pivot Point: 21635
Resistance Levels: 21730, 21870, 22050
Support Levels: 21535, 21390, 21215
SPX/Escalating Trade Tensions: New Tariffs on Steel and AluminumEscalating Trade Tensions: New Tariffs on Steel and Aluminum
The week began with yet another significant announcement, as President Trump, during a media briefing aboard Air Force One, declared a 25% tariff on steel and aluminum imports into the United States. He further indicated that additional reciprocal tariffs could be expected on Tuesday or Wednesday.
S&P 500 Technical Analysis
The price maintains bearish momentum, having already stabilized within a bearish zone. As long as it trades below 6,051, the market will continue its downward movement toward 6,020. A 4-hour candle closing below 6,020 would confirm a further decline toward 5,970.
However, if the price stabilizes above 6,059, it may advance toward 6,085. To establish a confirmed uptrend, the price must hold above 6,103.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 6051
Resistance Levels: 6079, 6103, 6143
Support Levels: 6020, 5969, 5937
Trend Outlook:
Bearish scenario: While below 6051, targeting 6020 – 5,970
Bullish scenario: Confirmation above 6059, targeting 6085 – 6103
GOLD 4H TECHNICAL ANALYSIS GOLD ATH / READ CAPTION CAREFULLY Dear Traders,
Please find our updated analysis of the 4H Chart (5th February):
Key Observations:
Orange Circles: Highlight previously achieved targets, showcasing the precision and effectiveness of our analysis.
Previous Chart Review:
TP1 (2788): Successfully hit.
TP2 (2815): Successfully hit.
TP3 (2841): Successfully hit.
Market Overview:
* TP1 (2850) Successfully Achieved
* GOLD is trading at an ATH of 2851, oscillating between the weighted level with a gap above 2850 and a gap below the 2823 Entry Level.
* EMA5 and FVG are offering strong support in this range.
* Price action will test these levels side-by-side until a decisive break and lock above/below the weighted levels confirm the next directional move.
Resistance Levels:
2850, 2876, 2903
Key Support: 2776
Support Levels (GOLDTURN Levels):
2828 (Critical Weighted Level)
2803 (Critical Weighted Level)
2776 (Major Support Level)
2747 (Lower Major Demand Zone)
EMA5 (Red Line):
* Currently below TP1 (2850), indicating sustained bullish momentum.
* EMA5’s behavior will be pivotal in determining the next price action trajectory.
Recommendations
* Focus on EMA5 Behavior:
Bearish Case:
* If EMA5 holds below TP1 (2850) and resistance levels remain intact, bearish momentum may drive prices to retest GOLDTURN weighted levels.
* Scenario 1: If EMA5 crosses and locks below Entry 2823, expect further bearish movement toward GOLDTURN 2803.
* Scenario 2: If EMA5 crosses and locks below GOLDTURN 2803, anticipate another decline toward the major support at GOLDTURN 2776.
Bullish Case:
Scenario 1: If EMA5 crosses and locks above TP1 (2850), the next bullish target is 2876.
Scenario 2: If EMA5 crosses and locks above TP2 (2876), the subsequent bullish target will be 2903.
Scenario 3: A crossover and lock above TP3 (2903) will set the stage for the next target at 2925.
Short-Term:
Utilize 1H and 4H timeframes to capture pullbacks at GOLDTURN levels.
Target 30–40 pips per trade, focusing on shorter positions in this range-bound market.
Each Level allows 30 -40 pips bounce, buy at dip level for proper risk management
Long-Term Outlook:
* Maintain a bullish bias, viewing pullbacks as buying opportunities.
* Buying dips from key levels ensures better risk management, avoiding the pitfalls of chasing tops.
Final Thoughts:
Trade with confidence and discipline. Our detailed and accurate analysis equips you to navigate market movements effectively. Stay tuned for daily updates and multi-timeframe insights to stay ahead in the game.
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Best regards,
📉💰 The Quantum Trading Mastery
GOLD → The northbound train continues to make its way to 3KFX:XAUUSD continues its aggressive rally. The reasons for growth are the same as before - high economic risks. The price is getting closer and closer to the cherished goal of $3000.
Gold exceeded $2,850 at the beginning of the week in the U.S., but its growth is limited by the strengthening of the dollar due to increased trade risks.Trump announced new 25% tariffs on imports of steel and aluminum.
Gold is further supported by rising PBOC reserves and expectations of stimulus from China. However, the dollar may continue to strengthen ahead of US inflation data, limiting gold gains. Expectations of a dovish Fed and trade risks will help contain gold's decline.
Technically, the next two levels are important for us: the psychological level of 2900 and the key support of 2882.
Resistance levels: 2900 (not confirmed)
Support levels: 2882, 2870, 2855
The bulls can consolidate above 2900 without a pullback and continue the rally, but the most likely scenario is a false break of 2900, correction to 2882 to accumulate liquidity before continuing the rally northward
Regards R. Linda!
High Risk Sell Gold OutlookGold started the week by reaching a new all-time high near the 2,900 mark.
However, as I explained in my weekend analysis, while the overall trend remains strongly bullish, I anticipate a pullback to correct the 3,000-pip rally since the beginning of the year.
I am looking to enter a sell position with a tight stop-loss, aiming for a 1:3 risk-reward ratio to justify this high-risk trade.
can USDJPY reverse its trendwith two consecutive bullish divergences and last LL was not violated it seems that from here trend can be bullish. Trendline acting as resistance touching LHs has been drawn to look for a decent entry. Trade plan should follow the trend as when it will break the last LH place the buy stop or wait till the price make fresh HL and HH. Apart from that buy position has also been drawn on the chart
Gold’s Next Big Move: Rally to $3K or a Sharp Pullback?The big question on everyone’s mind is whether FOREXCOM:XAUUSD will reach $3,000 in 2025. In my opinion, it probably will.
Looking at the weekly chart, gold has been trading in a well-defined ascending channel for exactly a year. Each time the price dips near the trendline support, buyers step in, keeping the uptrend intact. The last time this happened was at the start of the year, and since then, gold has climbed more than 2800 pips from its low to its Friday's ATH.
With this in mind, we can reasonably expect Gold to maintain its bullish trajectory— an assumption supported not only by technical analysis but also by fundamental factors.
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📊 Shorter Time Frame: Signs of Exhaustion?
Although the long-term trend remains bullish, trends are not linear—they consist of ups and downs. If we refine our analysis to a shorter time frame, the situation looks a bit different.
• The 4-hour chart still reflects a strong uptrend that began earlier this year.
• However, last week, signs of exhaustion emerged:
- Tuesday’s all-time high of $2,880 was followed by a normal pullback to the $2,840 zone (which I highlighted in last week’s analysis).
- On Friday, a new ATH near $2,890 was reached, but the market saw a sharp reversal after the initial NFP-driven rally, with further weakness into the closing hours.
________________________________________
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• Support Levels:
- $2,840–$2,835 (previous support zone)
- $2,800 (psychological level)
- $2,775–$2,760 (deeper retracement area)
• Resistance Levels:
- $2,890 (recent ATH)
- $2,900 (psychological barrier)
- $2,980–$3,000 (major upside target)
________________________________________
🎯 Potential Trade Setups:
✅ Bullish Scenario:
• If Gold holds above $2,840 and rebounds, a breakout above $2,880–$2,890 could drive prices towards $2,900+, with the final target at $3,000.
🚨 Bearish Scenario:
• If gold fails to hold $2,840, a deeper pullback to $2,800–$2,775 is likely.
• A weekly close below $2,800 could trigger an extended correction toward $2,760.
________________________________________
📉 My Strategy for Next Week:
While the long-term uptrend remains intact, I anticipate a short-term correction.
• I will be looking to sell rallies, targeting a pullback toward $2,800 or slightly below.
• If Gold tests key support and shows strength, I’ll switch to a buy-the-dip approach for the next leg higher.
⚠️ Note: This is a high-risk strategy, as we are still in a strong bull market. Proper risk management is essential.
Regards!
Mihai Iacob
Ethereum Struggles Below $3K – Another Failed Rally Ahead? Over the past few months, Ethereum has been a disappointment for bulls, struggling to maintain momentum.
Despite Bitcoin testing its all-time highs, COINBASE:ETHUSD has consistently rolled back from the 4K resistance, forming lower highs along the way.
Bitcoin’s recent drop to $90K triggered a sharp decline in ETH, pushing it down to the critical $2.1K support zone.
While the price is currently rebounding, I believe this recovery will likely turn into another failed rally.
My bias remains bearish on ETH/USD as long as the price stays below $3K. I’m looking to sell rallies into that zone.
Only a sustained breakout above $3,200 with strong buying pressure would invalidate this bearish outlook.
Is Tata Motors Ready for a Bullish Reversal?Timeframe: Daily
Tata Motors (NSE) has been in an expanded flat correction pattern for the past 11 months. In this pattern, the highest high (HH) was 1179, and the lowest low (LL) was 683.2. Currently, the price is trading below the 200, 100, and 50 EMA levels, indicating a bearish trend.
In this expanded flat correction:
Wave (A) completed at 855.4,
Wave (B) peaked at 1179,
Sub-wave 4 of Wave (C) touched 786.65,
Sub-wave 5 is now unfolding.
Once Wave 5 is completed, traders can look for buying opportunities with target levels at 799 – 951 – 1050+. First, it’s crucial to identify the end of Wave (C) to confirm the correction’s completion and a bullish reversal.
Projecting ending point of wave (C):
Wave (C) may end at 2.618% of Wave (A) around 628.7.
Wave 5 has multiple potential targets/support levels:
0.618 extension of Wave 1 at 526,
0.382 extension of Wave 1 at 628,
1.618 reverse Fibonacci of Wave 4 at 657,
2.618 reverse Fibonacci of Wave 4 at 562.
We will update further information soon.
Silver Struggles at Resistance – Bearish Setup in Play?Since reaching the 32.30 resistance zone last Wednesday, OANDA:XAGUSD has been trading in a range-bound consolidation phase.
On Friday’s NFP release, the price spiked back into this resistance area but quickly reversed, closing the day near the 31.70 support level.
Currently, Silver is rebounding once again from this support, which could present a good shorting opportunity for sellers.
My bias is bearish as long as 32.50 resistance holds, and I expect a potential decline toward 31.00 in the near term.
Silver | iHnS Pattern $36Buyers aren't doing too bad as we approach the mean but it looks like it's time for sellers to show what they got for a nice pullback
With a similar inverted head and shoulders pattern to what we saw in August of last year I would expect a SMA/liquidity pullback to the $30.50 break, and then a continuation towards trendline resistance for a target of $36.
EURUSD InsightHello, subscribers!
I’m glad to have you all here. Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe!
Key Points
- The Bank of England cut its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points, with some policymakers advocating for a bigger cut.
- U.S. nonfarm payrolls for January increased by 143,000, falling short of the market expectation of 170,000. The January unemployment rate came in at 4.0%, lower than the market estimate of 4.1%. The market still views the labor market as strong.
- Former U.S. President Trump stated that reciprocal tariff discussions would take place on Monday or Tuesday following the U.S.-Japan summit. Speaking to reporters aboard his private jet en route to New Orleans for the Super Bowl on the 9th, he announced plans to impose a 25% tariff on all steel and aluminum imports into the U.S.
Key Economic Events This Week
+ Feb 10: New York Fed 1-year inflation expectations
+ Feb 11: Fed Chair Powell's speech
+ Feb 12: U.S. January CPI, Fed Chair Powell's speech
+ Feb 13: U.K. Q4 GDP, Germany January CPI, U.S. January PPI
+ Feb 14: U.S. January retail sales
EUR/USD Chart Analysis
The pair has been facing resistance around the 1.04500 level, leading to a continued downtrend. Repeated failures to break above resistance suggest further declines ahead. In the medium to long term, a drop toward the 1.00500 level, near parity, is expected.
However, if the price rises to 1.06000, the medium- to long-term trend would shift to an uptrend, prompting a quick adjustment in strategy.
DOLLAR INDEX (DXY): Bullish Reversal From Trend LineThe dollar index has reached a significant upward trend line.
Following a sharp decline, the market appears to be overbought, with the formation of a cup and handle pattern indicating weakness in seller's activity.
I anticipate a retracement to 108.79.
Resilient Silver: Charting a Bullish Path ForwardCurrently hovering just above the intersection of minor horizontal and uptrend support, with momentum indicators such as RSI (14) and MACD continuing to generate bullish signals, a potential long setup is emerging in silver.
Bulls could consider establishing longs above $31.75, with a tight stop beneath this level or the minor uptrend established on January 27. Potential targets include the February 7 high of $32.65 and $33.10.
Although the evening star pattern completed last week signalled downside risks, they failed to materialise on Friday despite tricky market conditions triggered by the US payrolls report and escalating trade tensions. Even with higher US bond yields and a stronger dollar, silver remained resilient, reinforcing the merits of the setup being considered.
Good luck!
DS
EURGBP: What Are You Anticipating With This Volatile Pair?I am a swing trader, as you can probably tell from the timeframes I use in my posts. However, I do believe that EURGBP lends itself better to day trades or position trades, if you can stomach the movement. Considering it has made, for me, surprising reverses just when you think it would push further, I offer a couple of scenarios for both a sell and buy possibility. I do see EURGBP selling further but this is a pair you want to be prepared for movement in the opposite direction as well. Game plan, ready! What would be your move?
HBARUSDT Approaching Key Weekly Zone with Potential Reversal SetBINANCE:HBARUSDT HBARUSDT is approaching a weak support zone, which shows a higher probability of breaking due to insufficient strength. Below this lies a weekly strong Fair Value Gap (FVG), which is a critical level for potential price reversal and continuation of the bullish trend.
If the price enters this weekly FVG zone, it could signal a high-probability buying opportunity for traders anticipating a rebound. On the other hand, failure to hold this zone could lead to further downside.
Keep an eye on price action near the key levels for confirmation of potential entries. Always ensure to have clear stop-loss levels and realistic profit targets in place.
Best regards,
Happy trading!
Bitcoin’s Fake Breakouts—Bears Taking Control!?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) failed to defeat Resistance zone($100,520-$97,200) , the 50_SMA(Daily) , and the Monthly Pivot Point for the umpteenth time and even created a Fake Break .
It also seems that Bitcoin has been unable to break the Resistance lines .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that Bitcoin has succeeded in completing the corrective wave so that the structure of the main wave C is the Expanding Ending Diagonal .
I expect Bitcoin to break the Support zone($96,520-$95,720) and touch $95,500 this time, I told you about the importance of this price in the previous post .
Note: If Bitcoin can break the Resistance zone($100,520-$97,200) , the 50_SMA(Daily) , and the Monthly Pivot Point , we should expect an increase to Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($103,210-$102,454) .
It doesn't seem reasonable for Bitcoin these days to provide a long-term or even mid-term analysis, and we need to stick to a series of resistance and support levels in order to determine the next targets. Do you agree with me?
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
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