Bitcoin Soon again above 100K$(major supports are 90K & 87K)The market is now bullish as it was expected after breakout of red trendline and now we may have short-term correction to test new supports like 90K$ and 87K$ or without any correction:
more pump soon will pump price to extremely bullish zone above 100K$.
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Trend Lines
XAUUSD's next trading trendPowell's meeting is over. Powell's response was very decisive. It is difficult to do it in the short term about interest rate cuts. Therefore, through the content of the meeting, we pay attention to the fact that there is still some pressure on the rise of xauusd. In terms of economic data, the foundation of the US dollar is still strong. The market is still under pressure in terms of operations. At present, we need to pay attention to whether geopolitics will give some upward momentum in the XAUUSD market. Although I don't want to see a turbulent pattern, you need to pay attention to these influencing factors when you trade.
About today's idea of selling xauusd. It has been announced in advance in the London market. If you don't pay attention to the core content of the band trading center. Then you will definitely miss some good transactions. This is for sure. So in order to avoid missing some good trading plans next time. You can follow me.
Continue the selling trading strategy. 3382-3387 can be paid attention to as a short-term selling position. Those with larger funds can rely on the current price of 3374. Sell
Remember to control risks when trading.
MarketBreakdown | EURUSD, USDCAD, NZDUSD, USDCHF
Here are the updates & outlook for multiple instruments in my watch list.
1️⃣ #EURUSD daily time frame 🇪🇺🇺🇸
EURUSD formed a huge head and shoulders pattern.
The price is currently testing its horizontal neckline.
Bearish breakout of that and a daily candle close below
will confirm a bearish reversal and push the prices lower.
2️⃣ #USDCAD daily time frame 🇺🇸🇨🇦
The price is breaking a solid falling trend line.
Its violation is an important bullish signal that
indicates a strength of the buyers.
We can expect even more growth.
3️⃣ #NZDUSD daily time frame 🇺🇸🇳🇿
The pair is consolidating within a horizontal range.
The price is going to reach its support soon.
I suggest looking for a pullback trade from that then.
4️⃣ #USDCHF daily time frame 🇺🇸🇨🇭
The price is stuck within a horizontal parallel channel.
I expect a bullish continuation within that and a test
of its upper boundary.
Then, look for a confirmation to see and try to catch a retracement from that.
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With the Federal Reserve on hold, gold is ushering in a new engi
At 2 pm yesterday, the Federal Reserve announced that it would keep the benchmark interest rate unchanged at 4.25%-4.50%, in line with market expectations, and remained unchanged for the third consecutive meeting. After the announcement of the Fed's interest rate decision, the market continued to believe that the Fed would cut interest rates before July, and still expected three rate cuts this year.
Then Fed Chairman Powell downplayed any impression that the central bank would use interest rate cuts to ease the economic weakness caused by Trump's tariff policy at a press conference in the early morning.
Powell used the word "wait" 22 times to emphasize that the Fed is not in a hurry. He said: "We think the cost of waiting is quite low, so we are doing it."
Powell said: "In this case, we can't take the initiative because we don't actually know what the correct response to the data is until we see more data."
Powell hinted that the Fed will only cut interest rates after seeing evidence of a significant slowdown in the economy, and it may cut interest rates soon.
Returning to the market, first of all, from the gold daily chart, it can be seen that the current trend of gold is basically similar to that of the first half of the month.
There was a sharp retracement last week, and then the bottom daily line closed with a cross star, followed by a sharp rebound.
The current market is basically copying the previous market. If nothing unexpected happens, if it goes up in this trend, 3500 is very likely not the high point, and it is only a matter of time before a new high is reached.
In addition, from the 4-hour chart, yesterday, the bottom 3360 was tested many times, but it failed to break down. Today, the opening was stretched from 3360 to above 3400.
3360 is a intensive trading area suppression position in the early stage. After breaking through 3360 on Tuesday, it has not fallen below this position so far.
So, we can currently regard 3360 as an important support position.
So we can regard 3360 as the 618 support position, so as to infer the high point position.
As you can see in the picture, I have also marked the point, which is about 3450-60.
Finally, let's look at the hourly chart. You can see that from 3360 to the morning high of 3415, the Fibonacci position 50% position and 382 position are about 3390-85.
It is also about the lowest position of the callback.
In terms of future operations, you can basically rely on 3390-85 to enter the market and do more.
The upper target can basically see the 3440-60 range.
GOLD → The rally has given way to a correction. News aheadFX:XAUUSD is rising amid a challenging geopolitical environment. During the Asian session, a correction to the zone of interest (0.5 Fibonacci) is forming. The situation is quite complex and tense.
On Tuesday, the metal strengthened to 3433 due to tensions in the Middle East, but during the Asian session, gold fell sharply due to optimism surrounding the upcoming US-China trade talks, the strengthening of the dollar, and profit-taking ahead of the Fed's decision.
Investors are waiting for Powell's speech, which will determine the future of interest rate policy.
Despite the decline, gold is supported by ongoing geopolitical risks in the Middle East, Eastern Europe, and South Asia.
Theoretically, if the bulls keep the price above 0.5 Fibonacci, the growth may continue to 3439, as the price has not yet reached the liquidity zone.
Resistance levels: 3439
Support levels: 3369, 3352
However, unpredictable data could trigger a return of the price to the range and a correction to 3323-3300. Risk is posed by upcoming news: FOMC, Powell's speech, and the rate meeting. The Fed's hawkish stance could put pressure on gold...
Best regards, R. Linda!
NZDCAD → Intra-range trading. Retest of resistanceFX:NZDCAD is strengthening within a neutral trading range. The currency pair is supported by the dollar's correction, but how long will this last? Ahead of us are the FOMC meeting and Powell's speech...
The focus is on the trading range within which the currency pair continues its local trend. Liquidity around the 0.8317 level is attracting the price. The correction of the dollar is having a positive effect on the NZD. However, news is ahead, and traders are expecting a hawkish stance from the Fed. Against this backdrop, a reversal may occur...
Since the currency pair is in a neutral range, there is a high probability of a false breakout and correction.
Resistance levels: 0.83175
Support levels: 0.82644, 0.8235, 0.8225
The liquidity zone is likely to stop the price (temporarily or reverse it). Further movement depends on fundamental sentiment, but based on rumors about the Fed's position, it is worth carefully analyzing what data the market will receive this evening. A tougher Fed policy or hints of one could strengthen the dollar and weaken currencies...
Best regards, R. Linda!
DOLLAR INDEX (#DXY): Classic Trend-Following PatternI spotted a nice bearish pattern on Dollar Index chart on a daily timeframe.
The price formed a bearish flag pattern.
Trading in a bearish trend, the violation of a support of the flag is a strong
trend-following signal.
We can expect a movement down to 98.95
The range is broken and the bulls are ready to go!📌Fundamentals:
1. In the Fed's decision, Powell maintained the 4.25%-4.5% interest rate expectation, which was exactly the same as the expectation I mentioned, and predicted the result of the entire decision.
2. The India-Pakistan conflict intensified, and global geopolitical risks continued to heat up. From Gaza to Russia and Ukraine, and then to India and Pakistan, risk aversion will continue to provide long-term support for gold prices.
📊Technical aspects:
Affected by the interest rate decision, gold bottomed out and rebounded, but did not fall below the low of 3360. The daily line closed in the negative. The data had little impact. Of course, there are also concerns about the increase in inflation and unemployment caused by the increase in taxes. It is expected that there will be another interest rate cut in July, which provides support for gold. After the Asian session opened under short-term pressure at 3397, it broke through and increased in volume, and walked out of the shock range of the first half of the week. The previous article mentioned that squats and long jumps were realized. Today, we maintain a bullish mindset and pay attention to the top and bottom conversion support of 3400. If it can stabilize in the US market, we can continue to go long. The upper side will gradually look to 3423 and 3435, and it is not ruled out that it will go near the previous high.
🎯Practical strategy:
Gold is long near 3387-3380, and look at 3423 and 3435! If it is strong, it is long based on the support of 3402-3398!
USDJPY InsightWelcome to All Subscribers!
Please feel free to share your personal thoughts in the comments. Don’t forget to hit the boost and subscribe buttons!
Key Points
At the May FOMC meeting, the Federal Reserve kept the benchmark interest rate steady at 4.25%–4.50%, in line with market expectations. The Fed reiterated its stance of responding based on lagging economic data.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated during the press conference that the goals of price stability and full employment may come into conflict, and that he cannot confidently say what the appropriate policy path will be moving forward. His remarks implied increased uncertainty due to tariffs.
A high-level U.S.–China meeting is scheduled to take place over two days starting May 10. U.S. Treasury official Scott Bessent commented that this meeting is just the beginning and it’s unclear how things will unfold from here.
Key Economic Events This Week
May 8: Bank of England (BOE) Interest Rate Decision
USD/JPY Chart Analysis
The USD/JPY pair is gradually showing increased volatility, with signs of a broader trend forming. In the short term, downward pressure appears dominant, with expectations that the pair may decline toward the 140 level. However, a rebound is likely to follow, potentially pushing the pair back up toward the 144–146 range.
Thinking and practical skills for winning in the 3360-3400 rangeAffected by the news, gold fell sharply at the opening. Successfully won. According to the trading strategy, we gave gold a wide range of fluctuations in the 3360-3400 range, which will not change much. It can be operated within the range during the day. The trading strategy analysis is accurate, and the key points are accurately grasped to enter the market, which brought us good returns during the day. The short-term rhythm is accurately grasped! Brothers who followed the trading plan should have also made very good profits. 🍻🍻🍻
CDW Corp Stock Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# CDW Corp Stock Quote
- Double Formation
* (A+ Set Up)) At 245.00 USD | Completed Survey
* (Anchored VWAP)) - Feature & Lower Band | Subdivision 1
- Retracement Area At 10.00 USD
- Triple Formation
* (Continuation Argument)) At 190.00 USD | Subdivision 2
* (TP1) | Subdivision 3
* Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition
- (Hypothesis On Entry Bias)) | Regular Settings
- Position On A 1.5RR
* Stop Loss At 160.00 USD
* Entry At 173.00 USD
* Take Profit At 193.00 USD
* (Neutral Argument)) & No Pattern Confirmation
* Ongoing Entry & (Neutral Area))
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Neutral
Real-time analysis of the XAUUSD market.The current volatile trend is to give room for adjustment for the interest rate decision and the Fed's speech later.
If the interest rate is expected to remain unchanged or increase, it will boost the US dollar index. This will suppress the xauusd market. It will be bearish and fall. If the interest rate is cut, it will boost XAUUSD. But I think the market will not raise interest rates at this stage. The probability of a rate cut is also very low. So maintaining the same interest rate is the first choice.
In terms of trading, traders with large amounts of capital can sell at 3385 at the current price, while traders with small amounts of capital can wait until the market returns above 3400 before selling.
The Swing Trading Center continuously updates new real-time trading opportunities. If you don't understand trading, or don't want to miss the next real-time trading opportunity, remember to follow me.
The downside risk of gold increases!📌Fundamentals:
1. The conflict between India and Pakistan shows signs of escalation
2. US-Houthi ceasefire agreement
3. The Fed’s interest rate decision dominates this week’s market
4. International trade situation disturbs market sentiment
5. Market sentiment and capital flow
📊Technical aspects:
At present, on the hourly basis, gold is still under pressure at the small range resistance of 3400, and the current tariff crisis has cooled down. The data of the Fed's interest rate decision will cause a series of fluctuations in gold in the short term. At the same time, the market is betting that there will be further trend corrections, which may cause capital outflows in the market, which will further hit gold bulls!
There is actually a new round of operation opportunities in the short term. The short-term resistance should be around 3400, but since the game between major powers has not stopped, there will be no big negative factors. However, if the data layout does not fluctuate much, the market may not have a big dive. At present, we will temporarily play at the 3360-3400 level. If it breaks, we will make new adjustments!
🎯Practical strategy:
Gold: Short around 3390-3400 on the rebound, and the target is 3370-3360!
EUR/USD Poised for Breakout Ahead of FedEUR/USD has extended more than 2.6% off the yearly highs with tight monthly & weekly opening-ranges preserved heading into today’s FOMC rate decision. The focus is on a breakout of the 1.1275-1.1420 range.
EUR/USD continues to trade within the confines of a descending pitchfork extending off the monthly highs. Initial support rests with the 2023 swing high at 1.1275 backed by the 2024 high at 1.1214 . Ultimately, a break / close below the 100% extension at 1.1160 would be needed to suggest a more significant high was registered last month / a larger trend reversal is underway towards 1.1040 .
Initial resistance is eyed with the upper parallel / 50% retracement at 1.1420 with critical resistance unchanged at the 100% extension / yearly high-day close (HDC) at 1.1510/14 - a break / close above this threshold is needed to mark uptrend resumption with subsequent objectives eyed at the 1.16-handle and the 78.6% retracement of the 2021 decline at 1.1747 - look for a larger reaction there IF reached.
Bottom line: A reversal off uptrend resistance is now coiled just above trend support and the immediate focus is on a breakout into the close of the week. From at trading standpoint, any losses would need to be limited to 1.1160 for the February rally to remain viable with a close above 1.1514 needed to mark resumption.
-MB