Trend Lines
Brent - What will Trump's oil policies be?!Brent oil is in the 4-hour timeframe, between EMA200 and EMA50 and is moving in its medium-term ascending channel. We will look for oil selling opportunities on the supply zone. If the $75 level is broken, we can see the continuation of the downtrend. On the other hand, we can buy in the demand zone with a risk-reward approach.
When Donald Trump launched his election campaign, he threatened to impose 25% tariffs on America’s largest trading partners unless they addressed their trade surpluses with the U.S. Analysts described this idea as risky. However, Bloomberg has reported that, while this strategy is far from subtle, it has proven effective.
This threat turned importers into U.S. customers. Energy importers from Asian countries began purchasing more crude oil and liquefied natural gas (LNG) from the United States, aiming to appease Trump before he took any action on tariffs.
Saul Kavonic, an energy analyst at MST Marquee, told Bloomberg that U.S. trading partners view LNG purchases as a tool for negotiating tariffs with the Trump administration. He added that since last November’s election, orders for U.S. energy shipments have risen.
Shortly after the election, Trump specifically suggested that the European Union should buy more LNG from the U.S. to offset its significant trade surplus. At the time, Ursula von der Leyen, President of the European Commission, stated there was no reason why the EU couldn’t replace Russian LNG with American liquefied gas. However, her statement was perhaps not the most well-considered.
The EU’s preference for Russian LNG and its hesitation toward American LNG primarily stems from pricing issues. Even this year, the region’s purchases of Russian LNG have reached record levels. As reported by the Financial Times earlier this week, the EU is highly sensitive to price considerations. According to an EU official, price remains a critical and determining factor.
Bernd Lange, head of the European Parliament’s trade committee, previously remarked that Europe’s demand for LNG could align with America’s eagerness to sell more.He added that discussions on this issue are feasible. Trump has consistently emphasized his interest in deals that benefit the United States above all.
On his first day in office, Trump revoked Biden’s executive order that halted permits for new LNG export capacity. This decision will expand U.S. export capacity over the next four years, potentially lowering prices depending on demand levels.
The World Trade Organization’s chief warned that reciprocal tariff retaliation could result in a double-digit reduction in global GDP, a scenario that would have catastrophic consequences.
US30 BEARISH SIGNAL FORMINGWhats up chat Degen Jake here with yet again another master piece i mean truly i have no clue how i come up with these things.... Lol (sarcasm).
So here we see a beautiful Dow Jones in all her glory already from the GET we know that everything that comes up so quickly like this will go back down quickly as well. We have a white trendline set into place because it does seem like its gonna continue on its bullish pathway. Perhaps after taking weekly liquidity (Highlighted by the blue horizontal ray), it will then want to go ahead and shake toward the downside. Either this or itll go ahead and catch some resistance at this level create a quick higher low and continue on its way up. FOMC on JAN 29 is expected to reduce bps leading in a bullish rally continuation. So, once more we sit patiently and wait to sell this market well be updating yall shortly on what we decide, but for now we speculate.
Sell In May and Go Away?The best that I can see at this point in time. I think trading under Trump will be volatile and the volatility will continue to be realized through the tape until midyear. I see 6308 to 6371 as top targets at this time, the path is very uncertain but against most thoughts of a parabolic move, I think EW prevails and timing sets up for midyear reversal and possibly the end of this large large bull run. Time will tell. Im often wrong. Not financial advice.
TradeWithMky PEPE LIVE TRADEHello there
there is an opportinity for long Postions in support zones
as you see I saw candle stick formation as confirmaton for long postions
reversal pin bar in support zone
Consider this is not financial advise its my analysis about this chart
also consider Money managements and risk managements
#tradeWithMky
@TradeWithmky
DXY at Crossroads? Break in Trend Points to Dollar WeaknessUnless we see a significant rally into Friday’s close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) weekly chart suggests the cycle high may already be in. The current three-candle pattern resembles a textbook evening star, often seen at turning points. An opposite morning star signal in early December proved accurate, as did the evening star in late June last year.
This latest signal is notable, especially as it coincides with a break in the uptrend that followed Trump’s election win. Adding to the bearish case, the RSI (14) uptrend from September has been broken, and while not yet confirmed by MACD, it too appears to be in the early stage of rolling over.
Traders should watch for a potential break of support at 107.75, a level DXY has bounced off in three of the past four weeks. If that level gives way, downside targets include 106.736 and 105.44.
Although not technical, it’s worth noting the market has trimmed expectations for Fed easing this year, dropping from six cuts to fewer than two since September. This shift leaves the dollar vulnerable given how much bullish sentiment towards the US economy is already priced in.
Trading Signals for (XAU.USD) sell below $2,755Gold is trading around 2,752, below 2,700, below 7/8 of Murray, and above the 21 SMA. Gold is showing signs of exhaustion. Therefore, the technical correction will go ahead in the next few hours and the price could reach 6/8 Murray location at 2,734.
A break below 6/8 Murray could mean a strong bearish acceleration and gold could fall towards the psychological level of 2,700 and could even find good support around 5/8 Murray located at 2,695.
On the other hand, if the 2,734 area where the 21 SMA and 6.8 Murray are located turns out to be good support, this area could be seen as a point to buy. Thus, gold could reach 7/8 Murray at 2,773.
Technically, gold is showing overbought signs. So, we expect a drop in gold at least to 2,734 in the next few hours. We must pay attention to this area, as below it, the metal could intensify its fall.
Gold Market Analysis and Trading RecommendationsGold faced some negative pressure at the start of the week, testing the support line of its ascending channel. Today, providing additional strength to prevent a deeper correction. It is worth noting that the fundamental analysis indicates positive momentum, suggesting that there is potential for further upside in the near term.
Given the current technical setup, it is reasonable to expect gold to continue its positive trend in the coming sessions. The next support is identified at $2,761 first area, so, with the broader bullish scenario continuing as long as prices remain above the $2,770 support level. There could be some dip below this level to a short-term bearish correction, but the overall market trend remains constructive for gold buyers.
For today, traders can expect gold to trade within a range between $2,749 (support) and $2,790 (resistance). If the metal can hold above the support level and maintain its bullish stance, it is likely to push towards the upper end of this range in the near future.
Trading Recommendations
Buy Gold
👑
Polkadot Accumulation ZoneThe concept of an "accumulation zone" in cryptocurrency, like with Polkadot (DOT), refers to a price range where a significant amount of buying is occurring, often by long-term investors or "whales" who believe the asset is undervalued or poised for an upward price movement. Here's how it relates to Polkadot based on available information:
Seems CRYPTOCAP:DOT is holding up in the accumulation zone with a bullish RSI getting ready for a move in the coming week. The Green Zon is the RSI Low using an RSI 7-period respecting the low zone Accumulation might be occurring here. Most Crypto assets have similar zones happening. Just looking at the bar patterns it's hard to see but with the RSI indicator, it looks positive to me.
AUDCAD Wave Analysis 23 January 2025
- AUDCAD broke round resistance level 0.9000
- Likely to rise to resistance level 0.9080
AUDCAD currency pair recently broke the round resistance level 0.9000 (which stopped the previous wave 4 at the start of January)
The breakout of the resistance level 0.9000 coincided with the breakout of the 50% Fibonacci correction of the previous downward impulse from December and the daily down channel from September – which accelerated the active impulse wave 1.
AUDCAD currency pair can be expected to rise toward the next resistance level 0.9080 (top of wave b from the middle of December).
UPCOMING SIL TREND BREAK
Downward trend since late October with 3 (almost 4) touch points. A break could have a close enough upward support to justify a low risk long entry. Lots of upward room before reaching a level of support and resistance. Would need an additional touch point or more time to justify a short entry on a downward break.
APD - a stalwart trending up -- LONG @ 321.97APD (not to be confused with ADP) is in the midst of a pullback in a strong uptrend. The white lines mark 6 month highs and lows, and the 6 month Trend Strength Indicator is at .88 (0-1 scale) and has been in that vicinity since August.
It's also a top 20 (top 3%) big cap composite score stock for me, reflecting a robust backtest history (almost 1900 trades going back to 1968), solid outperformance (.11%/day held), quick turnaround on trades (13 days avg - that's really solid for a stock with that many trades that cover whole market meltdown periods), and low trading system max drawdown (worst is < 9% since 1968).
It can get streaky and go down for a couple of weeks at a time and has done so twice in the last 6 months, so it's definitely an average in type of trade. Full disclosure, this is a hypothetical trade for me - my portfolio is full of petulant stocks that don't want to go up right now so I'm capped. But a daily return on almost 1900 trades going back over 50 years that's almost 3x the S&P's long term daily average is worth sharing.
In theory, per my usual strategy, l add at the close on any day it is still oversold and I will use FPC (first profitable close) to exit any lot on the day it closes at any profit.
As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
P.S. The chart should look better than that but for some reason, what it looks like when I hit publish and what shows up after I do haven't always been the same lately, for some reason.
Bouygues Stock Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# Bouygues Stock Quote
- Double Formation
* ((Pennant Structure)) | Short Set Up | Subdivision 1
* (Continuation Argument)) At 29.500 EUR
- Triple Formation
* (Reversal Argument)) At 27.000 EUR | Subdivision 2
* Numbered Retracement | Subdivision 3
* Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European Session(Upwards) - US-Session(Downwards) - Asian Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Buy
EURJPY - Intraday forecast, Technical Analysis & Trading Ideas💡 H4: ShortTerm Forecast:
Price rejected from Downtrend and Sell Zone.
Sell Zone: 163.18 ~ 164.84
Forecast:
1- Correction wave toward the Sell Zone
2- Another Downward Impulse wave toward Lower TPs
SL: Above 164.84
💡 H1: Intraday Forecast:
The Uptrend is broken, and the price could start an impulse wave.
Sell Zone: 162.71 ~ 163.18
Forecast:
1- Correction wave toward the Sell Zone
2- Another Downward Impulse wave toward Lower TPs
SL: Above 163.18
Gold Spot Price Action and SMC Analysis: Potential Buy SetupOANDA:XAUUSD Gold Spot Price Action and SMC Analysis: Potential Buy Setup
Chart Analysis:
The chart shows the Gold Spot price against the U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) on a 4-hour timeframe, published on TradingView. The chart is annotated with various technical analysis tools and indicators, including trend lines, Fibonacci retracement levels, volume profile, and moving averages.
Price Action Analysis:
The price is currently in an uptrend, as indicated by higher highs and higher lows.
A significant bullish breakout (BOS - Break of Structure) is observed above the previous resistance level around 2700.
The price is trading above the 50-period moving average, which is acting as dynamic support.
Smart Money Concepts (SMC):
The chart shows a clear accumulation phase followed by a markup phase, indicating strong buying interest.
The price has broken above the key resistance level (BOS) and is now retesting this level, which could act as support.
The volume profile shows a high volume node around 2647.986, suggesting strong support at this level.
ICT Elliott Wave Analysis:
The chart displays an Elliott Wave pattern with labeled waves 0-1-2-3.
The current price action suggests the completion of wave 3, with a potential retracement to wave 4.
Fibonacci retracement levels are drawn from the low of wave 2 to the high of wave 3, with key levels at 0.382 (2703.61456), 0.5 (2697.075), 0.618 (2690.53544), 0.705 (2685.7139), and 0.786 (2681.22488).
Buy Strategy:
Entry: Buy at the retest of the breakout level around 2700.
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 2721.420 (21.42 pips)
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 2726.295 (26.295 pips)
Stop Loss (SL): 2685.7139 (14.2861 pips)
VIP Signal:
Entry: 2700
TP1: 2721.420 (21.42 pips)
TP2: 2726.295 (26.295 pips)
SL: 2685.7139 (14.2861 pips)
This analysis integrates various strategies, including Price Action, Smart Money Concepts (SMC), and ICT Elliott Wave Theory, to provide detailed buy strategies. The key levels identified offer optimal entry and exit points, ensuring a balanced risk-reward ratio for traders.
Bitcoin $BTCBitcoin has been propped up for today 1.23.2025 in hopes of the POTUS Donald Trump to sign an Executive Order surrounding cryptocurrency.
If we do not get an EO signed today, we will push towards resting Liquidity around $100,000.
On the other hand, if we do get a crypto EO. We will blow the cap off, and create another all time high.
Be ready for a volatile market.
XAU/USD Elliott Wave Analysis: Eye on the Powerful Wave 3OANDA:XAUUSD XAU/USD: Elliott Wave Analysis: Eye on the Powerful Wave 3
Capitalizing on Wave 3
Elliott Wave Analysis
Upon inspecting the Gold Spot (XAU/USD) chart:
Wave Count: It appears that the market is currently in the middle of an impulse wave. We are likely in wave three (the most powerful and extended wave), which is typically the most lucrative wave for trading.
Current Structure: The market previously completed waves 1 and 2. Wave 3 is in progress, potentially subdividing into smaller impulsive waves.
Fibonacci Levels:
For wave 3, the Fibonacci extension levels 1.618 and 2.618 are critical for take-profit targets.
For wave 4, a retracement back to Fibonacci levels 0.382 or 0.5 is probable.
Wave 5 should also consider the 0.618 extension for future movement.
Buy Strategy
Entry: After the completion of wave 4 retracement (around Fibonacci levels 0.382 or 0.5).
Take Profit 1 (TP1): Fibonacci extension level 1.618.
Take Profit 2 (TP2): Fibonacci extension level 2.618.
Stop Loss (SL): Below the start of the current impulse wave (wave 4).
Sell Strategy
Entry: After the completion of wave 5, when a new corrective wave is expected to start.
Take Profit 1 (TP1): Fibonacci retracement level 0.382.
Take Profit 2 (TP2): Fibonacci retracement level 0.5.
Stop Loss (SL): Above the recent high.
VIP Signal
Buy Signal:
Entry: 2740
TP1: 2784 (440 pips)
TP2: 2835 (950 pips)
SL: 2720 (200 pips)
Sell Signal:
Entry: 2840
TP1: 2800 (400 pips)
TP2: 2750 (900 pips)
SL: 2860 (200 pips)
This analysis incorporates Elliott Wave principles, Fibonacci levels, and key indicators displayed on the chart to provide a comprehensive trading strategy. Happy trading!
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TripAdvisor | TRIP | Long at $14.83Travel Boom: Commence. TripAdvisor, Viator, and TheFork NASDAQ:TRIP
Pros:
Profitable company
Earnings are forecast to grow by an average of 30.9% per year for the next 3 years
Debt to equity is 0.94x (low)
My historical simply moving average is approaching the price (which may lead to price spike)
Cons:
P/E is 68.37x
No dividend
A lot of industry competition
Insiders recently exercising options
I anticipate a global travel boom, particularly in the US, as a wealth transfer occurs and baby boomers spend their money. Thus, at $14.83, NASDAQ:TRIP is in a personal buy zone.
Target:
$17.00
$19.00
$25.00
$34.00 (very long-term outlook)