$BTC Inverted Head and Shoulders - Max Pain is OverAlmost positive we’ve seen the bottom for Bitcoin at this stage in the game.
Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern on the daily.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC waiting for the Golden Cross and daily close above the major resistance trendline ~$68k
Everything we see from here on out is purely market manipulation, nothing more.
Trend Lines
58000 important support area of BitcoinWe should wait for Bitcoin's reaction after reaching the support range of 57000 to 58000.
The importance of this support has a great impact on the short-term trend, and if the trend curve is broken, there is a possibility of seeing the range of 39,000 to 41,000.
Share your opinion with me.
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GOLD → Consolidation in correction phase ahead of news...FX:XAUUSD is in correction phase, but before important news a consolidation is formed due to fear and unpredictability factor. Analysts are expecting a decline in inflation, but what will happen in fact? A bull run or a dump?
Markets are pricing in an 81% chance of a 0.25% interest rate cut in November. But yesterday's minutes showed that most officials supported an excessive 0.5% rate cut to balance inflation confidence and labor market concerns.
Ahead of CPI, Initial Jobless Claims ...
If CPI shows stronger data, the question among regulators will be in a different vein of “should we cut 0.25?” which will only reinforce the dollar's rally and markets will continue a solid correction.
A larger decline in CPI could revive hopes of an excessive Fed rate cut in November, triggering a correction in the US dollar. Gold could experience a fresh influx of funds.....
Resistance levels: 2623, 2627, 2637
Support levels: 2605, 2600, 2585
Technically gold is in correction and the pressure from bears continues. In the mid (short) term, I expect a retest of resistance at 2623 (a false breakdown is possible) followed by a decline to 2600-2585. It is not excluded that the news may have an opposite effect...
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
USDCAD → Breakout. One step away from distribution...FX:USDCAD makes an attempt to break through the resistance of the “wedge” consolidation on the background of a growing dollar, the reasons for which are economic data from the USA. NonFarm Payrolls are ahead!
On the weekly timeframe, the currency pair is bouncing off the support trendline and heading towards resistance, the pattern as a whole resembles an ascending triangle. But still it is a global sideways range. The movements in it are quite difficult and the price is dragging between the local levels. Ahead is the NFP report, which may become an engine for the price, and based on the assumptions from Wednesday and ADP NonFarm we can assume that on this background the growth of the dollar and the currency pair may continue.
Technically, the bulls are trying to hold the defense above the previously broken resistance. The impulse is beginning to form...
Resistance levels: 1.358, 1.364
Support levels: 1.353, 1.347
If the bulls keep the price in the new plane (buying zone), the price may reach the nearest targets quite quickly. If the news will be favorable, then in this case a rally to the distant targets may be formed. Unpredictable data will bring the currency pair back to the range and may bring the price down to 1.347
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:USDCAD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
MSFT - Time for long tradeMSFT is ready for a long trade here. This chart is parked right in between a bullish and bearish, a little confusing one. But I'm inclining towards long side unless rest of the market goes down.
Long - 408-415
Stop loss - 395
Target 1 - 450 - If this level breaks and holds, we've high chances of going up
Target 2 - 468
Target 3 - 492
PSG/USD Secondary trend and reversal zone. 22 11 2023Logarithm. Secondary trend. Trend break zone. Time frame 3 days.
Linear for clarity of the reversal zone in the altseason.
The main trend and description of the cycles of behavior of the “samsara of stupid money”.
PSG/USDT Main trend. Wedge. 21 11 2023
AUDCHF shorts How's it going fellow traders!
Just entered a short on AUDCHF . Rationale for entering - Daily momentum was shifted bearish back and only recently was price action revealing weak bullish structure indicating further continuation. I have entered on the 1H break and retest of the last higher low.
Lets see!
Will betaking profits along the way down.
Trendline resistance continues to halt Nifty. Closing BellThe trend line resistance continues to halt Nifty. Again today after making a high of 25134 Nifty saw selling pressure mostly again from FIIs. This time Nifty closed the day at 24998 below the psychological level of 25,000. This can enable bears to make Nifty test the support zone between 24932 and 24677. The resistance of Nifty are now at 25057, 25134 and 25204 Mother line resistance of 50 hours EMA and 25294 father line resistance of 200 hours EMA. Nifty continues to squeeze between support and resistance trend line and tomorrow can be the day when we can see either a proper upwing or downward move. Above 25294 Bulls will be very aggressive and drive Nifty upwards. Below 24677 Bears will be very aggressive and thrash Nifty downwards.
Strictly do not trade/invest without keeping Stop losses and Trailing stop losses. Stop losses protect your capital and trailing stop losses protect your profits. To know more about stop losses, trailing stop losses, Profit booking and investment in Equity in general or Mother, Father and small child theory read my book The Happy Candles Way to wealth creation. Which is available in Amazon in Kindle and Paperback version.
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GBPAUD: Detailed Technical OutlookThe GBPAUD is currently testing a trend line and horizontal structure that was recently breached.
On the 4-hour chart, the market is consolidating within a horizontal range. I will wait for a break above the resistance to confirm a strong bullish move.
A close above 1.9490 will validate this breakout, and if it occurs, I anticipate the price could rise to at least 1.9580.
Conversely, a break below the support of the range may lead to lower prices.
ETHEREUM → Support breakdown? Zone of interest 1550 ↓BINANCE:ETHUSD continues to give up positions. Buyers do not believe in growth in the near future. Bears are increasing their pressure, which may lead to the breakout of the strong support zone...
As seen on W1, the next potential target, in terms of liquidity, could be the 1550 support. Any attempt to buy back the asset on a retest of the support does not result in anything radically bullish. The market will not allow the price to approach the intermediate highs, which indicates the buyer's weakness.
On H4 the price is squeezed by local ascending support (bottom of the triangle) and descending conglomerate of moving averages, which clearly dictate the location of strong resistance. In the mid-term, there may be a rebound to the local highs or SMAs before a further decline.
Resistance levels: 2471, 2520, SMA
Support levels: 2310, 2250, 2111
So far there are no technical or fundamental reasons in favor of the buyer. Seller's pressure may be intensified. The breakout trigger is 2325. The trigger for a pullback is 2475 - 2500.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:ETHUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
GBPAUD: Detailed Technical OutlookThe GBPAUD is currently testing a trend line and horizontal structure that was recently broken.
On the 4-hour chart, the market is consolidating within a horizontal range. I will wait for a break above the resistance in order to confirm a strong bullish move.
A close above 1.9490 will confirm this break. If this happens, I expect the price to move up to at least 1.9580.
On the other hand, a break below the support of the range could lead to lower prices.
Copper Pulls Back as China Optimism FadesCopper extended the August rebound into autumn and reached three-month highs, helped by the Fed’s jumbo rate cut and massive stimulus from Chinese authorities aiming to prop the economy and the property sector. However the measures do little to address the structural problems and the real estate market is unlikely to return to its former glory, while the lack of follow through on the fiscal front this week caused prior optimism to subside. Furthermore, the Fed has struck a more cautious approach towards further easing and Friday’s strong jobs report supported the reserved commentary. Markets have now priced out previous aggressive bets for 75 bps of cuts this year, aligning with the Fed’s 50 bps projections.
Copper pulls back as a result, threatening the EMA200 (black line) and the 50% Fibonacci of the recent recovery. A breach would pause the upside bias, send the non-ferrous metal into the daily Ichimoku Cloud and expose it to the ascending trend line from the August lows. Deeper correction however does not look easy under the current technical and fundamental backdrop.
There are still hopes for additional Chinese stimulus (potentially within the weekend), while prospects of US soft-landing and easier monetary policies in major economies can support higher prices. So do the AI boom and the green energy transition. Copper tries to defend the EMA200 that maintains its recovery momentum. This will allow it to push again towards 4.791, but we are cautious around further strength at this stage.
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Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
Why Bajaj Housing Finance is a Compelling Investment OpportunityIntroduction
In the dynamic world of Indian finance, a new star has emerged: Bajaj Housing Finance Ltd. Since its blockbuster debut on the NSE and BSE in mid-September 2024, the stock has been making headlines with its impressive performance. Here’s why you should be paying close attention to this housing finance giant.
Stellar Listing and Current Trends
Bajaj Housing Finance made a historic entry into the stock market, listing at a staggering 136% above its IPO price on its debut day. Despite a recent correction, the stock has still rallied 93.79% from its IPO price of Rs 70, indicating strong investor confidence.
x.com
Financial Performance
The quarterly and annual financials paint a robust picture:
Revenue Growth: The company has shown consistent revenue growth, with revenues increasing from Rs 5,665 crore in March 2023 to Rs 7,617 crore in March 2024. The quarterly revenues have also been on the rise, from Rs 1,585 crore in March 2023 to Rs 2,209 crore in June 2024.
Profitability: Net profits have surged from Rs 1,258 crore in March 2023 to Rs 1,731 crore in March 2024. The EPS has also seen a significant increase, from Rs 1.87 to Rs 2.58 during the same period.
Financing Margin: The financing margin has remained strong, hovering around 25-30%, indicating efficient cost management and healthy profitability.
Key Financial Ratios
Return on Equity (ROE): The ROE has consistently improved, reaching 15% in March 2024, a testament to the company's ability to generate profits from shareholders' equity.
Gross and Net NPA: The Gross NPA and Net NPA percentages are at 0.28% and 0.11%, respectively, as of June 2024, reflecting a well-managed asset quality.
PE and PB Ratios: Although the PE ratio is high at 132.42 and the PB ratio is at 10.25, these metrics are justified given the company's strong growth prospects and market position.
Technical Analysis
Support and Resistance: The stock has broken down from a key support level of Rs 150 but is expected to find strong support at Rs 134. A decisive close above Rs 145 could trigger a further upside towards Rs 155.
Breakout Potential: Analysts suggest waiting for a confirmed breakout above Rs 150 before considering a long position, as this level could act as a strong base for future upward movements.
Market and Economic Factors
Market Capitalization: With a market capitalization of over Rs 1,25,000 crore, Bajaj Housing Finance is one of the most valuable mortgage lenders in India.
Promoter Holding: The promoters hold a significant 88.75% stake, indicating their long-term commitment to the company.
Investment Advice
Given the current market conditions and the stock's recent correction, here are some key takeaways for investors:
Long-term View: Investors with a long-term perspective can hold onto the stock, as the company's fundamentals remain strong. Fresh buying is not advised at current levels; instead, wait for earnings reports to reassess.
Entry Points: Look for opportunities to buy on dips, especially if the stock reclaims and sustains above the Rs 150 level. This could be a strong entry point for those looking to capitalize on the stock's potential upside.
Conclusion
Bajaj Housing Finance Ltd. is not just another housing finance company; it is a powerhouse with robust financials, strong market positioning, and a promising future outlook. While the stock has experienced some volatility, the underlying fundamentals and technical indicators suggest that this could be an excellent addition to your investment portfolio.
Key Takeaways:
Strong Financials: Consistent revenue and profit growth.
Healthy Ratios: Impressive ROE, low NPA, and strong financing margins.
Technical Support: Wait for a breakout above Rs 150 for a potential long position.
Long-term Potential: Ideal for investors with a long-term view.
As the Indian housing finance sector continues to grow, Bajaj Housing Finance is well-positioned to capitalize on this trend. Keep a close eye on this stock, and you might just find yourself riding the wave of one of India's most promising financial stories. Share this post on TradingView and other social platforms to spread the word about this compelling investment opportunity
PARAGMILK BullishFLAG&POLE 3Y4M BObon DTF/WTF SWING/POSITIONALSTOCK Analysis
TRADE PLAN
ENTRY -211/220
SL -195
TARGET --01-263 , TGT02--354
Hold For a Year or TGT 2
Chart Pattern :
STOCK has recently broken out STRONG of a Flag Pattern on the DTF/WTF.
INDICATORS EMA :
The Price is Currently Trading above 20EMA, 50 EMA is lower than 200EMA in DTF. 20 EMA Has just crossed over the 50 and 200EMA indicating a Bullish Trend.
STOCK EMAs are currently in process of aligning in a ascending order, indicating a transition from a Bearish Short Tem trend to bullish Trend on DTF/WTF.
FIBO E :
Marking the FIBO Retracement on the Last Downtrend , The Prices has crossed 50% FIBO Retracement Level TODAY , with ChoCH at 192 on DTF and 211 on WTF..
Volumes: There is a uptrend in Volume on the Weekly Charts for 3 Weeks after the 32 weeks Retracement from the 11Months Bullish Streak.
Keep in your Priority Watch List
Disclaimer: For Education/Reference Purpose Only, Trade at your Own Risk with correct position sizing and SL based on your Risk apetite (Exit when price closes 7to8% below your Entry).
Trail Your SL progressively. Learn/Know and Review the Stock trading Technical Terminology. Check Verify the Financial fundamentals of the Stock and Seek Advice from a Certified Financial Advisor prior to Investing. Prefer Entry with 25% quantity, Add in Tranches of 25%-50% as prices moves upwards recommended.
MTFA- Multiple Time Frame Analysis
DTF -Daily Time Frame
WTF-Weekly Time Frame
MTF- Monthly Time Frame
ATH-All Time High
LTH -LifeTime High
RBC&H-Rounding Bottom Cup/Handle
BO- Breakout Close
EMA -Exponential Moving Average
FIBO R/E -Trend based Fibonacci Retracement/Extension
SL Stop Loss
TBD- To be Decided
CHoCH- Change of Character Bullish/Bearish
MSB/BOS -Break Out Structure
FVG Fair Value Gap
20VMA -20Volume Moving Average
SWING/POSITIONAL Trade
Great Entry into ADMADM has a great entry setup I give stop loss 10% which fits with the support level and a clear breakout target on the right shoulder in the $70 range which should potentially yield a quick trip back through the levels if a bullish movement is reached resulting in a great long term hold.