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USDCAD - Trump gave a new trend to the dollar!The USDCAD currency pair is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its medium-term bullish channel. If the upward movement continues, we can see the supply zone and sell within that range with the appropriate risk reward. The correction of this currency pair towards the demand zones will provide us with the next buying positions. Following the announcement of Donald Trump’s election victory, the U.S. dollar has risen against almost every currency globally. Markets are not only preparing for Trump’s presidential win but also foresee a Republican-controlled Congress, which is crucial for the incoming president’s ability to implement policy changes through the U.S. government. Ahead of the October 23 monetary policy meeting, officials at the Bank of Canada believed that inflationary pressures were on a downward trend and further tightening of monetary policy was unnecessary. They considered a 0.25% rate cut, though strong consensus emerged for holding off based on economic data observed since July. Officials noted that a rate cut would require time to sufficiently impact per capita consumer spending and counterbalance the overall consumption decline driven by slower population growth. They agreed to continue normalizing their balance sheet through maturing bonds. According to informed sources, OPEC+ has reached a preliminary agreement to postpone an increase in oil production for December. This agreement includes countries such as Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, the UAE, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria, and Oman, which have decided to extend their voluntary oil production adjustments until the end of December 2024. One key factor weakening the Canadian dollar is the country’s economic challenges. The Canadian housing market is facing serious difficulties due to rising interest rates, and the decline in demand for new home purchases has dimmed future prospects for the market. Additionally, slower population growth, largely dependent on government immigration policies, is negatively impacting the economy. Nonetheless, some hope that China’s economic stimulus efforts and rising natural commodity prices might support the Canadian dollar, though these factors carry their own risks. BlackRock has stated that expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut are overly optimistic. The bank cited the following reasons: U.S. third-quarter GDP data show that consumers remain the main driver of economic growth. The average monthly job creation over the past three months has been 104,000 jobs, a healthy rate, which is likely to rise considering hiring pauses due to storm disruptions.
Long
by Ali_PSND
Gold’s Next Big Move: Election Night’s Hidden Chart Signals!This is an image of the original Video tutorial i made walking through XAU/USD Chart Analysis Summary In both charts, we see a prominent ascending channel on a higher time frame (HTF), suggesting an overall bullish structure initially. However, there are signs of potential reversals, especially around critical levels where price fails to break higher and instead forms correctional structures. The ascending channel shown aligns with The Rule of Three, as it often precedes reversals after the third touch due to exhaustion in the trend​​. Reversal Signal: Double Top with Bearish Flag The first chart illustrates a double top pattern within the broader ascending channel, a common reversal signal. This pattern suggests a weakening bullish momentum, aligning with a probable corrective phase. Following the double top, we observe a bearish flag or descending channel, indicating that the price may continue downward after a break. This aligns with Patterns within Patterns, where a smaller bearish flag within a larger corrective structure increases the probability of a downside move​. Bull Flag Structure and Liquidity Zone Testing The second chart labels a large bull flag on the higher time frame (4H) near a liquidity zone. The corrective phase within this flag aligns with the market psychology of retracement after an impulsive move. Multi-Touch Confirmation indicates that these structures gain credibility with multiple touches on key support/resistance lines, making the upcoming third touch a critical point for deciding the direction​. Potential Entry and Exit Scenarios Based on Entry Types from your strategy: High-Probability Entry: Enter on a break of the corrective structure (such as the bear flag or descending channel) following multiple touches. Place a stop loss above the recent high if you’re anticipating a downside continuation, using a reduced-risk entry if you see low-momentum candles and ascending channels close to the top​. Wait for Confirmation: Given the corrective nature, it might be safer to wait for a confirmed breakout rather than entering at the top without solid confirmation. Back-tested data often shows better results when entries are taken after the third touch or initial pullback post-breakout​​. Confluence of Multi-Touch and Patterns The multi-touch confirmation method supports the idea of a third touch before a potential breakout or breakdown. Additionally, patterns within patterns enhance reliability, as seen with ascending or descending channels within larger structures, suggesting the market’s next probable moves more accurately. Strategy Application: Assess the Momentum: Enter on the first pullback (flag formation) after a significant breakout if momentum is strong. For a conservative approach, watch for a third touch on the boundary of the corrective channel. Risk Management: As part of your trading plan, place stops conservatively to avoid getting caught in corrective waves, as tight stops near liquidity zones may result in unnecessary stop-outs. Psychological Preparation: Avoid the perfectionist trap; if the confluence signals are strong but not perfect, following the 80/20 rule may be more beneficial than waiting for ideal entries, as markets rarely align perfectly with expectations​​.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Adlercon333
GBPJPY - Yen will continue its weakness?!The GBPJPY currency pair is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its medium-term bullish channel. If the upward movement continues, we can see the supply zone and sell within that zone with the appropriate risk reward. The BRC retail report in the UK indicated that retail sales in October 2024 only grew by 0.3%, a significant drop compared to the 1.7% growth in September. This decline is attributed to consumers’ caution ahead of Black Friday promotions and school half-term holidays, which were delayed compared to usual. Helen Dickinson, CEO of the British Retail Consortium (BRC), stated, “After a strong start in autumn, October sales growth was disappointing. Part of this decline was due to the later timing of school half-term holidays, which reduced sales, but it is expected that November will show better performance.” She also noted that consumer sentiment has been affected by uncertainties surrounding future budgets and rising energy costs. According to the latest Citi/YouGov survey, British households’ inflation expectations for the coming year have reached 3.3%, and long-term household inflation expectations remain at 3.8%. Analysts at Citi Investment Bank suggest that these figures indicate that despite efforts by the Bank of England to curb inflation, public inflation expectations remain high. In Japan, the government has designed a support plan for the country’s semiconductor industry that involves leveraging assets such as its shares in NTT, with the program spanning several years. Instead of direct subsidies, the plan includes a multi-stage approach. Semiconductor equipment manufacturers receive subsidies while moving towards mass production, and once they reach this stage, the government shifts to other forms of support such as private sector investments and financial guarantees, extending this process until around 2030. Sakurai, a former board member of the Bank of Japan (BoJ), announced that the central bank is likely to raise interest rates again in the coming months, with January being a potential timing for this action. The aim is to increase short-term interest rates to 1.5% or 2% by the end of Ueda’s term in early 2028.
Short
by Ali_PSND
GBPUSD → Negative fundamental background. Going to 1.2500FX:GBPUSD is reversing after a retest of strong resistance with no opportunity to enter the liquidity zone. The negative fundamental background is confirmed. The dollar is flying upwards. News channels and not only already declare about the victory of Trump, whose policy is directed towards the strengthening of the dollar. Markets are starting to react accordingly. As for GBPUSD, in the last article I focused your attention on 1.2813 and 1.305: If after a pullback to the resistance the price starts to retest the support, the chances of a breakdown and further decline will increase. The fundamental background, formed at the moment, is favorable for the fall of the currency pair. Resistance levels: 1.294, 1.30, 1.3044 Support levels: 1.2813, 1.2672, 1.25 The technical and fundamental background are going in the same direction. Emphasis on the key support. A slight pullback is possible before further breakout. Also continue to follow the news! Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:GBPUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
10
APEUSDT → Is the dump still in progress? Emphasis on resistanceBINANCE:APEUSDT in the dump phase updates lows. Consolidation and a slight pullback is forming before important news from the US. There is a storm ahead! The coin pump is most likely a manipulation of fundamental facts related to the launch of Level 3 blockchain. But based on the overall situation, traders do not believe in further growth ... Technically, the coin is in the channel 0.963 (deeper 1.032) -0.900, accordingly, at the time of writing, prices are diving after bitcoin as markets are betting on Trump's victory, which puts a favorable wind on this market. But the outcome could be 50/50 as the politicians in the race go toe-to-toe... I emphasize the range boundaries to form a short and medium term strategy for APE. Resistance levels: 0.963, 1.032 Support levels: 0.900, 0.875 Technically, the primary target is resistance. Further we should consider a false breakdown with a possible decline to support, which may lead to a breakout and further decline to the zone of interest 0.733 - 0.695 Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:APEUSDT ;) Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
6
GBPUSD → The bearish nature of the market is confirmed. News?FX:GBPUSD behavior on H4-H1 confirms the fact of a characteristic bear market. The price is updating the local minimum and testing a strong liquidity zone before strong news NFP, Unemployment Rate, ISM PMI are published today. The range of expected data is quite wide. Analysts are expecting an aggressive decline in NFP to 106K from the previous 254K. Do you feel the manipulation before the Fed rate meeting, as well as before the U.S. presidential election? It is difficult to prematurely assess the fundamental environment due to the challenging economic environment. Theoretically, the dollar may continue to feel the support in the market, while GBPUSD is sliding downwards on the background of the UK policy. Technically, the price is testing a strong support zone and a counter-trend correction is forming after capturing some liquidity. Emphasis on 1.300 - 1.305 Resistance levels: 1.298, 1.300, 1.305, 1.310 Support levels: 1.284, 1.281 The news can have quite a wide impact on the market and it all depends on the actual data. I expect to see a continuation of the fall from 1.298-1.30-1.305 as a priority. But! Unpredictable data can turn the situation around. If the currency breaks 1.305 and consolidates above this area, the trend may stagger... Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:GBPUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
7
NZDUSD → Speculators waiting for news.... FX:NZDUSD is moving into consolidation after a strong and progressive fall amid a halt in the dollar index. Markets are waiting for news related to the US presidential election.... The currency pair amid strong bullish DXY is not practicing attempts to update local highs with the aim of changing the trend to a bullish one. Buyers are not ready yet, and are waiting for November 5... If Trump is elected, the dollar, supported by a pro-inflationary president, may continue to recover, which, accordingly, will manifest itself in the form of negative dynamics in the currency pair. But, most likely, with the election of a politician from the Democratic Party, the regulators are likely to continue to hold the dovish rate, in which case the NZDUSD will have a chance to change the trend. Resistance levels: 0.6031, 0.6066 Support levels: 0.5953, 0.5915 Technically, bears continue to hold the dominant position. The area 0.5915, 0.585 is a zone of interest in terms of liquidity formation, thus, there is a high probability of reaching these areas... Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
1
Technical Analysis of MODEFENCE ETFOverview of the Stock and Recent Price Action The MODEFENCE ETF, listed on the NSE, has shown notable price movements over the past few months. The 4-hour chart reveals a descending triangle pattern, indicating a potential bearish continuation or a bullish reversal if the price breaks above the upper trendline2. Step-by-Step Analysis 1. Trendlines and Channels Descending Triangle: The upper trendline connects the lower highs, while the lower trendline connects the recent lows. This pattern typically signals a bearish continuation but can also indicate a bullish reversal if the price breaks above the upper trendline2. Harmonic Pattern: A Gartley pattern is drawn on the chart, with points A, B, C, and D marked. The ratios between these points are: AB = 0.976 BC = 1.726 CD = 2.4 AD = 0.549 2. Volume Analysis Volume Spikes: There is a noticeable spike in volume towards the right side of the chart, suggesting increased interest and potential momentum. 3. Price Information Current Price: 70.72 INR, with a change of +1.52 (+2.20%). 4. Indicators and Events Earnings Announcements: Key earnings dates can significantly impact price movements. Dividend Payments: Dividend events can also influence stock prices, especially around announcement dates. Potential Price Movement Bullish Scenario Entry Point: A break above the upper trendline (around 72 INR) with strong volume could signal a bullish reversal. Stop Loss: Below the lower trendline (around 68 INR) to manage risk. Profit Target: The next resistance levels at 74 INR and 78 INR. Bearish Scenario Entry Point: A break below the lower trendline (around 68 INR) with strong volume could indicate further declines. Stop Loss: Above recent highs to avoid false breakdowns. Profit Target: The next support levels at 64 INR and 60 INR. Conclusion The MODEFENCE ETF shows a descending triangle pattern and a bullish Gartley harmonic pattern. The recent spike in volume suggests a significant move is likely2. Traders should watch for a breakout above the upper trendline for a bullish signal or a breakdown below the lower trendline for a bearish signal. Proper risk management with stop-loss orders is essential to protect against adverse price movements.
NSE:MODEFENCE
by stocktechbot
XAU/USD Remains Range-Bound Amid USD Strength and Geo TensionsGold (XAU/USD) continues its consolidative movement below the $2,750 mark as it struggles to break out of its current trading range during the European session on Wednesday. This sideways trend is supported by profit-taking in the US Dollar, which has slightly softened after reaching its highest levels since July. The slight pullback in US Treasury yields, alongside ongoing Middle Eastern geopolitical tensions, provides some demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. However, the upside for XAU/USD remains limited due to strong bullish momentum behind the USD, which is underpinned by increased odds of a potential Donald Trump victory in the upcoming US presidential election. Additionally, concerns about the US deficit and expectations that the Federal Reserve may not adopt aggressive easing measures continue to bolster US Treasury yields, strengthening the dollar further. Given this backdrop, any positive intraday movement in gold is likely to be viewed as a selling opportunity , keeping the precious metal confined within its current range. Thanks for your time <3 Trade with Cation !!
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by magic_forex_trades
Hidden Bullish Divergence: History in the MakingWe’re looking at a hidden divergence here, but what does it mean-bearish or bullish? Let’s analyze. In this case, we see the candlestick pattern showing a low followed by a higher low, while the RSI shows a low followed by an even lower low. This setup indicates strength beneath the surface, pointing to a hidden bullish divergence. Essentially, while price action suggests a slight downtrend, the RSI reveals underlying buying pressure, hinting at a potential bullish move ahead. “There are two volatility contractions, each nearly aligned with two dark pool signals, forming a similar pattern.”
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by The_ForexX_Mindset
37
BICO with the election hypeHello, fellow traders! I never thought I'd post about BICO again but here it is. For the last 5 days, BICO attempted the breakout three times. Last two times failed, price being unable to sustain above the resistance line. Two consecutive failures mean that the seller pressure is still strong, but I decided to keep watching since the third breakout might happen with the election today. And there you finally have it! BICO on its THIRD attempt. BICO is now above 0.25 and with this exceptional volume spike and the promising outcome of the election, it might start rallying very soon. However, don't get too excited- we still have some steps left to confirm the uptrend. We want one of these two scenarios to happen: 1. Rebound near the resistance line (red line) 2. Rebound at the demand zone (red box) If we see both, that's even better. Then we will feel confident enough to enter.
Long
by QJEEE
FETUSDT with possible uptrendHello, traders! With election leaning heavily towards Trump, BTC on its new ATH, and possible rate cut this Thursday, we see crypto market on a bull run. In FETUSDT chart, we also FET breaking through the resistance line of the 7 months downtrend. FET(Fetch.AI now known as Artificial Superintelligence Alliance) has been in a constant downtrend since March with ATH being 3.4917USDT on 28th. We see the price respecting this months old resistance line except it decided not to today. This is due to a big excitement around the estimated election results. I was waiting for the breakout but it came earlier than I expected. If we confirm the breakout, we might see a new trend for FET, just like DOGE last month:
Long
by QJEEE
Can we see XAU at USD2760 today? XAUUSD starting it's bullish moment, crossing the halfway mark of the uptrend channel, currently at USD2749.25. While the USD Presidential Election is ongoing, Gold is building up the bullish momentum. If the current candle can close above the previous high (USD2750.09), and maintaining above the upper region of the parallel channel. There may be a good chance we'll be able to see XAUUSD somewhere between USD2760.00 to USD2765.00. I may be wrong, but still hopeful that will be the case in the next few hours before the election concluded.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by shackks
1