Strong acceleration to the top? Gold trading analysis strategyGold early layout plan: Long and short strategies in the real market all the way to stop profit, lucrative profits, witnessed by the whole network!
News: On the fundamentals, last week's re-strengthening, in addition to the escalation of tensions in the global economy and trade, there is also support from the Middle East tensions and the optimistic impact of the Ukraine negotiations that are not as expected; and this week will usher in Trump's tariff week, and countries are currently relatively tough and oppose the unilateral imposition of tariffs by the United States. And a comprehensive response is about to be made. This will increase economic concerns and the safe-haven demand for gold. Therefore, although there are some profit-taking and resistance suppression in the gold price at present, under the mutual game of global trade tariffs and the intensification of geopolitical tensions, a temporary retracement is still creating entry opportunities for bulls, and in the short term, it is still expected to refresh the historical high to around US$3,150. In the day, we will pay attention to data such as the Chicago PMI in March and the Dallas Fed Business Activity Index in March in the United States. It is expected that the impact will be limited. According to the trend of last week, there is also momentum for strengthening again. Therefore, the day will still be bullish and rebound-oriented. This week, the focus will be on the implementation of global trade tariffs on Wednesday and the non-farm payrolls report on Friday, which may strengthen gold's safe-haven appeal. Other important data include Tuesday's ISM manufacturing PMI and JOLTS job openings, Wednesday's ADP employment, and Thursday's ISM non-manufacturing PMI and initial jobless claims.
Gold technical analysis: Gold technical analysis: Gold is really simple, you can make money with your eyes closed, and now it has reached the point where everyone can make money. On the contrary, I began to become cautious and timid. Gold jumped high in the early trading, quickly sold off and washed the market, and successfully got many people off the bus with a trick of fishing for the moon in the bottom of the sea, and then pulled up all the way, which was really strong. I emphasized before that gold would not peak if it did not soar by hundreds of dollars, and now this rhythm is getting closer and closer. Today, it rose by 50 US dollars a day. I dare to guarantee that there will be another day of 100 US dollars this week, which means that the top is just around the corner. Go long with the trend, but don't be a long-term investor. Today, we will focus on the breakout of 3127-30. If it fails to break higher, then this point may become a short-term high point. It is best to go long when it falls back to around 3100-3105. Finally, I would like to advise the majority of retail investors that when the market fluctuates violently, if you cannot control yourself and go with the trend, overall, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is to go long on pullbacks and go short on rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper resistance of 3128-3130 and the short-term focus on the lower support of 3100-3097. Friends must keep up with the rhythm. Maintain the main pullback and go long. In the middle position, watch more and do less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market. I will remind you of the specific operation strategy during the session, and pay attention to it in time. If your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope that your investment can avoid detours. Welcome to communicate with us!
Gold operation strategy: Go long on the 3100-3105 line of gold.
Trading discipline: 1. Don’t blindly follow the trend: Don’t be swayed by market sentiment and other people’s opinions. Follow your own operation plan. Market information is complicated and blindly following the trend can easily lead to the dilemma of chasing ups and downs.
2. In gold trading, we will continue to pay attention to news and technical changes, inform us in time if there are any changes, strictly implement trading strategies and trading disciplines, move forward steadily in the volatile market, and achieve stable asset appreciation.
(Note: The above strategy is based on the current trend, and will be adjusted according to real-time fluctuations during trading. It is for reference only)
Trend Lines
Technical Analysis of AUDUSD: Weakness Ahead of Central Bank MeeIn the previous analysis, we noted the decline in this currency pair, though a temporary rebound led to a retest of the supply zone before another drop. Investor caution regarding potential retaliatory tariffs announced by U.S. President Donald Trump, scheduled for Wednesday as "Freedom Day," has added further pressure on the Australian dollar. As a result, the likelihood of a deeper decline toward the 0.60 demand zone remains intact.
USDCAD -Weekly Forecast,Technical Analysis & Trading Ideas
Technical analysis is on the chart!
No description needed!
OANDA:USDCAD
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BTCUSD Trading StrategyBTCUSD has experienced a significant decline. While the indicators have yet to show signs of stabilization or a trend reversal, the price action on the candlestick chart indicates that there is support in the range of 82,000-80,000. Therefore, I believe it is an opportune moment to position for a long trade within this range, exercising patience as we await a price rebound to achieve the TP1/TP2 targets.
Short gold, pullback to 3110-3095 zoneToday gold rebounded sharply after falling back to around 3076. The current highest rebound is around 3128. The current highest rebound is around 3128. Although part of the reason is due to the support of the market's risk aversion, I think it is more of a catharsis of the market's bullish sentiment.
So at this time, we should not chase long gold; because with the sharp rebound of gold, the risk of going long is gradually accumulating; secondly, we can refer to the trend of silver. After reaching the high point, it has begun to fall. I think gold may refer to the trend of silver and choose to fall in the short term.
Therefore, in terms of short-term trading, you may wish to consider shorting gold in the 3125-3135 zone, and the 3105-3095 zone is the first focus of our attention to long gold levels after a short-term correction.
You must keep your trading mind active, only in this way can you avoid too many stupid trading signals.The trading strategy verification accuracy rate is more than 90%; one step ahead, exclusive access to trading strategies and real-time trading settings
Bitcoin's Rocky Quarter: Tariffs, Whales, and Volatility Loom
Bitcoin's first quarter of 2025 has concluded with a whimper, marking its worst Q1 performance since the tumultuous bear market of 2018.1 While gold has surged to record highs, fueled by geopolitical tensions and US trade tariffs, Bitcoin has struggled to maintain momentum, leaving traders bracing for potential further volatility. This week’s preview reveals a confluence of factors that could significantly impact Bitcoin's price trajectory.
A Disappointing First Quarter
The initial months of 2025 were anticipated to be a period of growth for Bitcoin, particularly with the anticipation surrounding the halving event. However, the cryptocurrency failed to deliver on these expectations. Instead, it experienced a period of stagnation and even decline, contrasting sharply with the robust performance of traditional safe-haven assets like gold.
Several factors contributed to this underwhelming performance. The escalating trade tensions, particularly the US tariffs, have injected uncertainty into global markets, diverting capital towards established safe-haven assets.
Tariffs and Trade Tensions: A Persistent Headwind
The US imposition of trade tariffs has emerged as a significant headwind for Bitcoin. These tariffs, designed to protect domestic industries, have disrupted global trade flows and created a climate of economic uncertainty.2 Investors, wary of potential market disruptions, have sought refuge in traditional safe-haven assets like gold, which has historically outperformed during periods of economic instability.
The impact of these tariffs extends beyond immediate market reactions. They signal a potential shift towards protectionist policies, which could have long-term implications for global trade and investment flows. Bitcoin, often touted as a decentralized and borderless asset, is particularly vulnerable to disruptions in global trade and capital flows.
Whale Activity and Market Manipulation
Adding to the complexity of the market is the activity of large Bitcoin holders, often referred to as "whales."3 These entities, possessing significant amounts of Bitcoin, can exert considerable influence on market prices through large buy or sell orders. Recent observations suggest increased whale activity, potentially contributing to the volatility and price fluctuations.
Concerns about market manipulation have also resurfaced. The decentralized nature of Bitcoin, while a core strength, also presents challenges in terms of regulation and oversight. This lack of centralized control can create opportunities for manipulation, leading to price swings that are not necessarily reflective of fundamental market dynamics.
Bitcoin Bears Tighten Grip: Where’s the Next Support?
The recent price action indicates that Bitcoin bears are tightening their grip. The failure to sustain upward momentum has emboldened sellers, leading to a downward trend. Traders are now closely monitoring key support levels, anticipating potential further declines.
Identifying these support levels is crucial for understanding the potential trajectory of Bitcoin's price. Technical analysis, using tools like Fibonacci retracement levels and moving averages, can help traders identify potential areas of support where buying pressure may emerge. However, the volatile nature of Bitcoin makes it challenging to predict these levels with certainty.
Gold vs. Bitcoin: A Comparative Analysis
The stark contrast between gold's recent performance and Bitcoin's struggles has reignited the debate about their respective roles as safe-haven assets. Gold, with its long history and established reputation, has benefited from the current climate of uncertainty.
However, Bitcoin proponents argue that its decentralized nature and limited supply make it a superior store of value in the long term. The comparison between the two assets highlights the evolving nature of safe-haven assets and the growing acceptance of digital currencies. The quote "Gold has taken 26 years to 10X. Bitcoin has taken 4 years to 10X" shows the potential for rapid growth, but also its volatility.
Looking Ahead: Volatility and Uncertainty
The coming week promises to be a period of significant volatility for Bitcoin. Traders should brace for potential price swings, driven by a combination of factors, including:
• Continued Trade Tensions: The ongoing trade disputes and potential for further tariffs are likely to continue to impact market sentiment.
• Whale Activity: Large buy or sell orders from whales could trigger significant price fluctuations.
• Regulatory Developments: Any regulatory announcements or policy changes could have a substantial impact on Bitcoin's price.
• Macroeconomic Factors: Inflation data, interest rate decisions, and other macroeconomic indicators will continue to influence investor behavior.
•
In conclusion, Bitcoin's disappointing first quarter has set the stage for a period of heightened volatility. The confluence of trade tensions, whale activity, and market manipulation creates a challenging environment for traders. While the long-term potential of Bitcoin remains a subject of debate, the immediate future is marked by uncertainty and the need for caution.
USDCAD Wave Analysis – 31 March 2025
- USDCAD reversed from the support zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 1.4500
USDCAD currency pair recently reversed from the support zone located between the support level 1.4255 (which has been reversing the pair from the start of March), lower daily Bollinger Band and the support trendline from November.
The upward reversal from this support zone started the active intermediate impulse wave (3).
Given the strong daily uptrend and the bullish US dollar sentiment, USDCAD currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 1.4500 (which has been reversing the price from January).
DIS is already at $96.… Don’t miss the train!🚨 🎢✨Disney (DIS) is pushing up and showing strength — are you watching this move? 👀 We’ve been eyeing entry levels between $91 and $81, but with the price at $96.30, this setup is heating up faster than expected! 🔥
Sometimes the perfect dip doesn’t come — and waiting too long can mean watching the rocket 🚀 from the sidelines. If you’re still tracking DIS, this might be your sign to stay alert and have your strategy ready. 🎯
Potential targets? Still aiming for that juicy $100–$120 range if momentum continues! 📈💰
Let’s see how it plays out — keep your plan tight and emotions out. Are you in, or still waiting? 😎👇
📌 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and consider speaking with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
SPY - Macro-Market Overview and what the algorithms are sayingCurrently we are being guided by a strong selling teal on the LTF but we must keep in mind the HTF algorithms of red and white (which are bullish liquidity builders). Right now, we need to see who wins out in this fight between teal and red - if we break red and prove teal guidance, we are definitively in strong selling and can easily make our way toward the HTF white at the low $500's.
As always, let the algorithms guide you!
Happy Trading :)
HelenP. I Gold is still rising and can reach 3115 pointsHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. Some time ago, the price tested Support 2 at the 2985 level, which coincided with the support zone between 2985 and 2976 points. This area provided strong support, resulting in a bullish reaction that pushed Gold significantly higher. After bouncing from this key support zone, the price began a steady upward movement, eventually breaking above Support 1 at the 3055 level. This breakout was an important signal, as buyers continued to dominate, driving Gold further up. Following this breakout, the price continued its bullish momentum, clearly holding above the trend line, which has repeatedly acted as reliable support during this rise. Recently, Gold reached the support zone at 3055-3065 points again, retested it, and confirmed the strength of the buyers with a quick upward reaction. Currently, the price is trading comfortably above this support zone and remains firmly bullish in structure. Given the recent bullish impulse, the successful retest of the support zone, and the continuing hold above the trend line, I expect the price to move upward toward my current goal at 3115 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Grasp the trend and analyze the full range of BTC longsTechnical analysis: Based on in-depth technical analysis, the current BTCUSD decline has slowed down, and there are signs of building double bottom support. The 50-day moving average and the 200-day moving average form a golden cross, the MACD indicator continues to strengthen and the bar chart continues to expand. As BTCUSD stops falling, market sentiment is gradually warming up, institutional funds continue to flow in, fundamental support is solid, and the upward momentum may gradually strengthen. It is the right time to go long.
BTCUSD operation strategy: Go long in the 82500-81500 area. Target 83000-84000
Trading discipline: 1. Don't blindly follow the trend: Don't be swayed by market sentiment and other people's opinions, operate according to your own operation plan, market information is complicated, and blindly following the trend is easy to fall into the dilemma of chasing ups and downs.
2. During the transaction, we will continue to pay attention to news and technical changes, inform us in time if there are changes, strictly implement trading strategies and trading disciplines, move forward steadily in the volatile market, and achieve stable asset appreciation.
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical AnalysisGold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis
#### **Current Market Overview**
- **Price:** $3,092
- **Support Level:** $3,087 - $3,083
- **Resistance Level:** $3,095 - $3,100
- **Trend:** Uptrend continuation, with price holding above key EMAs
---
### **📈 Bullish Scenario**
- If the price **breaks above $3,095 - $3,100** resistance, expect further upside movement towards **$3,110 - $3,120**.
- The **rising trendline and EMA support** suggest buyers are in control.
- A strong close above resistance could trigger **momentum buying** and fuel a rally.
---
### **📉 Bearish Scenario**
- A **failure to break $3,100** may lead to a pullback towards **$3,087 - $3,083** support.
- If sellers push below this support zone, further downside towards **$3,076 and $3,065** is possible.
- Increased selling pressure may shift sentiment, leading to a correction.
---
### **Conclusion**
- **Above $3,095:** Bullish continuation toward higher levels.
- **Below $3,087:** Potential bearish correction before another leg up.
News did! (_)3Hello traders.According to my forecast about JPY movement we are seeing the CHFJPY broke a little support down easily now.So in my view a little correction is possible now that if it did we would sell in the zone if not and continued descending aright we would wait and watch for what is going to happen then.Don't worry and keep kalm and be friend with trend.
% - }
Trade the Yellow LevelThe Yellow Level of 21.37 acts as a key inflection point for GME since 2022.In May 2024, GME's stock experienced significant volatility (The Hiccup), closing the month at $23,14 - close to the Yellow Level. Similarly:
June 2024 closing price: 24,69;
July 2024 closing price: 22,67;
August 2024 closing price: 23,42;
September 2024: this is where things get interesting. On September 11th, the price was hammered below the critical support level of 21,37 - and spent 7 trading days below that level, then immediately reclaimed it on September 20th. This level was lost on 7th of October, an attempt to breakout was made in between 14th and 18th of October, and the price got hammered again. Another breakout was attempted on 25th of October and confirmed on 4th of November. It's been over that level until 27th of March, when a short ladder attack happened. The level held firm, briefly falling under 21,37.
The Yellow Level is crucial for GME:
1) The stock has tested The Yellow Level previously, making it a potential demand zone where buyers might step in. If it holds, a reversal upwards could be on the table.
2) If GME bounces off 21,37, it could trigger bullish momentum, pushing it toward 34,20 and higher;
3) If GME breaks below 21,37 and confirms it as resistance, it could go as low as 18,66
4) Trading volume always spikes around this level, it confirms that market participants view it as meaningful support. Check volume on March 27th.
The Yellow Level isn’t just a number—it’s been a decision point since at least 2022. How GME reacts here will determine the next wave of momentum, so watching for price action and volume is crucial now.
Gold surges and then falls, indicating an imminent fallGold early stage layout plan: Long and short strategy all the way to stop profit in the actual market, huge profits, witnessed by the whole network!
Technical analysis of gold: At present, Trump's tariff policy will be officially announced on Wednesday. Today, Asian stock markets fell across the board in the Asian session, because Asian stock markets opened the earliest. According to historical laws, the stock market's reaction is the fastest. European stocks may also fall across the board. The short-term decline in the stock market often brings a short-term rebound in the price of gold. Focus on the trend of the US stock market. Once the US stock market falls sharply and rapidly, it is often accompanied by a rapid decline in the price of gold. In the morning, the price of gold has rebounded by more than 50 points from the low of 3076 to 3127. After rebounding by more than 50 points, we can intervene in short selling at 3120-25, and close the position when it falls back to around 3105-15. Today, the European and American sessions focus on the breakout of 3127-30. If the European session fails to break higher, then this point may become a short-term high point. It is best to take long positions when it falls back to around 3105-3100. Finally, I would like to advise all retail investors that when the market fluctuates violently, if you cannot control yourself and go with the trend, then shorting may be the best choice. It is better not to do it than to make mistakes! Watching more and doing less is also a suitable strategy. I will remind you of the specific operation strategy during the trading session, and you should pay attention to it in time. If your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope that your investment can avoid detours. Welcome to communicate and exchange!
Gold operation strategy: short gold at 3120-25, target 3105-3115, and go long at 3110-3100.
Trading discipline: 1. Don't blindly follow the trend: Don't be swayed by market sentiment and other people's opinions, and operate according to your own operation plan. Market information is complicated and blindly following the trend is easy to fall into the dilemma of chasing ups and downs.
2. In gold trading, we will continue to pay attention to news and technical changes, inform you in time if there are any changes, strictly implement trading strategies and trading disciplines, move forward steadily in the volatile market, and achieve stable asset appreciation.
(Note: The above strategy is based on the current trend, and will be adjusted according to real-time fluctuations during trading. It is for reference only)
How low will it go? The S&P Bear MarketI don't believe the market has bottomed yet. There is more to come.
Trump's tariffs will continue to cause uncertainty and as economic figures confirm a US slowdown, stock markets could fall further.
From a technical perspective, I will be looking to buy between 4700 and 5200. This is based on evident weekly horizontal levels, bullish channel support, and 100 and 200 SMA's.
VANTAGE:SP500 PEPPERSTONE:US500 ICMARKETS:US500 OANDA:SPX500USD
ASML - Nailed our short trade! How, Why, and What now?If you watched my video on why I was shorting ASML last week, you'd be quite pleased with the subsequent dump. This wasn't luck - this was understanding the algorithms, the basics of market dynamics and supply and demand, and doing what we do best - sniping a good entry to allow the HTF algorithms to be in control.
Let's keep this momentum up as the market and individual equities continue to offer us excellent trade opportunities!
If you haven't watched my SPY video that I just posted, please check it out as it's extremely important to keep an eye on the broader markets as a gauge as to when these liquidity builds might be happening and to understand if the market's movements are just that, liquidity building, or continuation.
Happy Trading :)
THAT WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW ABOUT BTC IN 2025Professional Technical Analysis & Trading Plan for BTC/USD (Hypothetical 2025 Data)
---
1. Technical Structure & Key Observations
A. Price Context:
- **Current Price:** ~84,197 (below SMA 81,998).
- **SMA (Simple Moving Average):** 81,998 (likely 200-day SMA, acting as dynamic resistance).
- **Volume:** 52K (low volume suggests consolidation; watch for spikes to confirm breaks).
C. Key Levels (From Data):
- **Resistance:**
- Immediate: 81,998 (SMA).
- Major: 90,000, 100,000, 130,000 (swing highs).
- **Support:**
- Near-term: 74,000 (psychological),
---
2. Advanced Indicator Analysis
A. Momentum (RSI & MACD):**
- **RSI (14):** Likely near 40–45 (neutral-bearish zone). A break below 30 signals oversold; above 55 confirms bullish momentum.
- **MACD:** Bearish crossover possible (signal line above MACD line). Watch for reversal above SMA.
B. Volume Profile:
- **Low Volume (52K):** Indicates weak participation. A surge above 100K on a breakout/breakdown would validate direction.
- **Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP):** If price trades above VWAP, bullish bias strengthens.
---
3. Trading Strategies
Scenario : Bullish Reversal (30% Probability)
- **Trigger:** Daily close above SMA (81,998) with volume >100K.
- **Entry:** Long at 74,500 (confirmation of strength).
- **Targets:**
- TP1: 90,000 (8.5% move).
- TP2: 100,000 (19% move).
- **Stop Loss:** 71,500
---
5. Sentiment & Catalyst Watch
- **Bullish Catalysts:** Institutional ETF inflows, Fed rate cuts, Bitcoin halving momentum.
- **Bearish Risks:** Regulatory crackdowns, exchange hacks, macro recession.
-Conclusion
BTC/USD is at a critical juncture. *Trade the SMA break/breakdown with volume confirmation*, and prioritize risk-reward ratios. Always cross-verify with real-time data and news.
Disclaimer: Hypothetical analysis for educational purposes. Not financial advice.* 🚀
NAS100 - Stock market still in a downtrend?!The index is trading below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. If the index moves down, it will be clear that it is heading for further moves. At the channel ceiling, I could be close to the next sell-off.
As the new US tariffs are set to take effect on April 2, new evidence suggests that they may be less than the markets had expected. According to a recent report in the Toronto Star, Canada is likely to face the lowest level of tariffs, while Mexico, another member of the US trade agreement, is likely to face a similar situation. In addition, Trump’s recent statements about significant progress in controlling fentanyl (an industrial drug), are seen as a positive sign for improving trade relations.
In this regard, CNBC reported that VAT and non-tariff barriers will not be taken into account in calculating the tariff rate, or at least not fully. The main concern is that by threatening to impose a 25% tariff, Trump is actually preparing Canada and Mexico to accept higher rates than the current conditions. It seems that his goal is to impose the highest possible tariff level. This decision could be an incentive to increase tariff revenue to reduce taxes. Of course, such an approach is associated with high risks, since any level of tariffs can lead to retaliatory measures from trading partners.
In the case of Europe, tariffs imposed on American goods are higher than in other countries, but a large part of them relate to the automotive industry. Europe has previously announced that it is ready to reduce these tariffs. The question now is whether the EU will take a different approach than Mexico and Canada? That is, first impose higher tariffs and then negotiate to reduce them.
This scenario could ultimately benefit the US economy, as the bulk of its trade is with Mexico and Canada. Meanwhile, China remains a complex challenge, as it is the main target of Trump’s tariff policies. In addition, the US president recently proposed imposing tariffs on Venezuela, which could be a pretext for intensifying trade pressure on China. Polls show that 50% of the market expects new tariffs on China, which indicates the level of investor concern.
The European Union has reacted to the Trump administration’s decision to impose new tariffs on imported cars and expressed regret over the move. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen has said the bloc will seek a negotiated solution to ease tensions, but she has also stressed that Europe’s economic interests will be protected against US trade policies.
The US credit rating has risen to a new low, according to a new report from Moody’s, which warns that tax cuts and trade tariffs could widen the country’s budget deficit.
Analysts at Goldman Sachs and Deutsche Bank say investors expect the effective tariff rate on all imports to be between 9% and 10%, although some analysts at Goldman Sachs have suggested a rate of 18%. However, inflation and exchange rate expectations point to lower figures.
If Trump’s promise of “reciprocal tariffs” is implemented, the effective tariff rate could be even lower than 5 percent, although this depends on whether the agricultural sector is also subject to tariffs. Some reports also suggest that non-tariff barriers may be completely ignored.
According to Deutsche Bank, it is very difficult to determine market expectations precisely. But if the tariff rate ultimately falls between 5 and 7.5 percent, markets are likely to react with more confidence. Otherwise, more volatility and turbulence in financial markets are expected.
At the beginning of the year, markets were in a positive and optimistic mood. The Republican victory in the election, the continuation of tax breaks and the possibility of new support packages were among the factors that reinforced this optimism.
However, factors such as the high US budget deficit, the deadlock in Congress and the high inflation rate have now challenged this optimism. Meanwhile, two important support tools that were effective in the past may no longer be as effective:
1. During Trump’s first term, the stock market was of particular importance to him. Even during the COVID-19 crisis, he constantly talked about the stock market and considered it part of his successes.
The term “Put Trump” meant that even if he made harsh statements, he ultimately acted in the market’s favor.
2. But now, in Trump’s second administration, he talks about “short-term pain” and “economic detoxification.” Tariff threats, reduced investment and policy uncertainty have caused the S&P 500 to fall 10% since February. Trump still considers the market important, but he is no longer as staunchly supportive of it as he used to be.
In addition, this week will include the release of a series of key economic data. Including:
• Tuesday: ISM Manufacturing PMI and JOLTS.
• Wednesday: ADP Private Employment Report
•Thursday: ISM services index and weekly jobless claims.
One of the big risks to the markets is that economic data remains weak while the ISM price sub-indices rise. Such a situation could signal a deflationary tailwind. In such a situation, even if the Federal Reserve moves to lower interest rates, it will still be difficult for the stock market to grow.