GOLD Outlook: Bullish Above 3379, Correction Likely BelowGOLD – Technical Overview
Gold maintains bullish momentum, driven by heightened geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, which are increasing safe-haven demand.
The price is approaching the pivot level at 3379. A confirmed 1-hour close above this level would likely extend the bullish trend toward 3393 and 3404.
However, if the price remains below 3379, we may see a short-term bearish correction toward 3364, potentially dipping as low as 3339 before resuming the upward trend.
Key Levels
• Pivot: 3379
• Resistance: 3393, 3404
• Support: 3364, 3339
Trend Lines
GOLD (XAUUSD): Intraday Bullish Confirmation
Gold is retesting a recently broken trend line of a bullish flag
pattern that I shared with you earlier.
A double bottom pattern on that and a violation of its neckline
provide a strong intraday confirmation.
I think that the price may rise to 3392 level.
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SPX500: Bearish Momentum Below 5966, Bullish Recovery Above 6010SPX500 – Technical Overview
SPX500 is currently exhibiting bearish momentum, largely driven by escalating tensions in the Middle East, which are contributing to heightened market volatility.
At present, the price is approaching the pivot level at 5966. A confirmed 1-hour candle close below this level would likely reinforce the bearish bias, targeting 5938, and potentially extending the decline toward 5902 and 5858.
However, if the price stabilizes above 5990, we may see a retest of the 6010 resistance. A breakout above this level would shift the momentum toward the upside, with further targets at 6041 and 6098.
Key Levels
• Pivot: 5966
• Support: 5938, 5902, 5858
• Resistance: 6010, 6041, 6098
Is World War III not far away?
The market has always been a zero-sum game between longs and shorts. No matter how successful you are in other aspects, in the market, winning and losing are the only criteria. Recently, many traders have been asking what to do if gold and crude oil lose money? How to recover the losses? In fact, it is normal to have such concerns. After all, as long as it is an investment, there will be risks. And facing this risk of loss, most traders will be panicked, so here I am your beacon in the endless darkness!
The ultimate question of the conflict: Is war inevitable?
The key variable of the current situation lies in Iran’s way of retaliation: will it choose a small-scale attack on the US military base to shock the tiger, or will it go all out to block the Strait of Hormuz? The US military deployment also reveals subtle signals: the "Ford" aircraft carrier battle group has entered the Arabian Sea, and the B-52 bomber has entered the Al Udeid base in Qatar. This "force deterrence + limited strike" strategy seems to avoid a full-scale war with Iran while trying to curb its nuclear program.
However, history has repeatedly proved that the "powder keg" in the Middle East is never short of sparks - a gunshot in Sarajevo in 1914 triggered World War I, and a bottle of laundry detergent became an excuse for the Iraq War in 2003. Today, when news of US fighter jets bombing Iranian nuclear facilities comes out, and when Iran lists US citizens as targets, the direction of this conflict has gone beyond the "controllable range".
For ordinary investors, whether war breaks out or not, the value of gold as crisis insurance has been redefined, and every alarm in the Middle East may become a charge for gold prices to rebound.
Interpretation of gold trend in European session
Gold trend surged at the opening, but failed to break through the watershed line of 3405 expected at the weekend. At present, the support of risk aversion conflict failed to break through the key resistance level. The short-term trend is still the same as last week's analysis. It is still weak and bearish. The stimulus of news can only have a certain impact on short-term operations, and will not change the trend. At present, we have been insisting on seeing a break and fall last week, but it has not come yet. The first test position this week is still the small double bottom of 3340!
Gold continues to retreat on the hourly line. Under the current situation where the short-selling momentum continues to exert force, first see whether the double bottom support of 3340 is effective. If the early retreat is in place and fails to break through, it can be seen that the support is short-term rebound upward. The second decline point of 3372-75 is seen above. Unless the United States makes trouble again, it is still possible to arrange short orders!
Gold: Retracement to 3338-40, defense at 30, target at 3365-70! Short at 3372-75 when it pulls back, defend at 3380, target at 3345-40!
XAUUSD and USOILHesitation Geopolitical factors have led to the escalation of relations between several countries. The Middle East is in chaos. Although this is a trading market, the relationship between the two is too close. This is why the Asian market XAUUSD reached a high of 3400.
But it is not stable. Because after the news that stimulated the rise in gold prices over the weekend, there were some negative news. For example, peace talks, time differences, negotiations and other factors have eased the tense atmosphere. Then the gold price fell with the trend, reaching a low of 3347.
From the overall situation, the market still has the momentum to rise in the short term. But this depends on Iran's response. Including the impact of the Strait of Hormuz. This is the key factor in the rise or fall of oil prices. Investors with larger funds can arrange long orders in advance.
The view on XAUUSD is to buy at low levels. The impact of geopolitics is too huge. On the basis of interest rate cuts, buying is the key to profit. But everyone's financial situation is different, so when trading, remember to control the position ratio. Prevent trading errors from leading to account liquidation.
EUR/USD analysis and pending orderTwo days ago, there was a FED meeting, where it was stated that the benchmark interest rate will be kept at 4.25-4.50% level.
What is important is what they told - the expectations - economicp rojections are lower, and inflation is higher.
Maybe they’ll decrease rates in future?
Right now, it’s not so important. It’s summer already, and by the old “Sell in May, and go aways” mentality, I don’t expect some huge impact on the market.
I know… Iran, Israel, Trump, maybe even Putin? Anybody can do some stupit stuff and everything can go to Hell.
And it’s Friday, not very smart time to open trades, so I’m putting pending order.
I decided for EUR/USD.
Timeframe is 4h.
On my chart I can see clear uptrend in the last couple of weeks, especially in the last 3 months.
Also, I see lower highs.
Upward trend is breached… Where it could stop?
Overall, I don’t expect the pair will come near parity, even though ECB lowered rates before FED did.
But some “selloff”, probably.
I used good old Fibonacci, draw it, and the price could potentialy drop to 50% level or even ideal 61…8%-78.6% zone.
Pending entry: 1.15577
TP: 1.12645
SL: 1.1671
If it activates today, I’ll leave it over the weekend.
Let’s talk about gold’s movement
This week, the fundamentals are relatively relaxed. The two sides of the Middle East war continue to fight each other. The market is relatively tired, resulting in the relative weakness of gold, silver and oil. From the technical perspective, the gold price continues to fluctuate and fall. After falling to the bottom, it rebounds rapidly. The overall bulls are strong again. Let's briefly sort it out:
1: Fundamentals: Market aesthetic fatigue leads to continuous adjustment of gold, silver and oil;
2: Technical aspect, the fundamentals are relatively weak, resulting in the technical adjustment of "up and down puncture" to wash the plate!
To sum up: This week's trend is very difficult to operate; long, the fundamentals are weak; short, the overall risk aversion has not disappeared; therefore, there is a trend of constantly piercing the lows, and then constantly pulling up; the overall trend is a decline of three and a rise of two!
The current overall environment:
1: Fundamentals:
The first stage: The Middle East war is still going on, the two sides continue to fight each other, and their attitudes are strong; the opposing forces of the camps are obvious; the impact is far-reaching! The first stage is a continuous confrontation; risk aversion is born, assisting the strong rise of gold, silver and oil; we are still in the first stage!
The second stage: the opposing camp forces gradually exit; for example, the United States decides whether to exit within 2 weeks, which is actually waiting for the intensity of Iran and Israel's next move. The United States exits and the war expands; the United States and the West exit indirectly, and the Middle East war becomes protracted. Refer to the Russian-Ukrainian war. The United States and the West continue to wait and see, then the Middle East war will form a multi-to-one situation, which is relatively unlikely. Israel is a "nail household" placed in the Middle East by the United States and the West. The United States and the West will not sit idly by and watch Israel being completely defeated.
The third stage: the end of the war; this stage is far away; refer to the current Russian-Ukrainian war; once the war starts, it will not end easily, whether it is an agent, the forces behind the camp, or the forces of a third party, without the final benefits in hand , will not end the war, such as the chaebols that support it, the military and industrial enterprises that support it, the political ladder strategic goals that support it, etc.
To sum up: we are currently in the first stage of the war, and the subsequent second stage is the core stage of the market, so we have to be careful about risk aversion repeatedly, and be careful about risk aversion rekindling, so that the bulls can "stir up a thousand waves again, but at this stage, the market continues to pierce and wash the market, which makes us very uncomfortable! We can only choose to follow the trend, and then choose different support levels, and deal with it mainly in line with the trend
This week's trading ideas: First, they are all trend-following ideas, and second: they are all support points, but they are not very smooth, and the uninterrupted piercing, stopping the decline, and pulling sharply are all uncomfortable
Next week's market outlook:
1. Weekly K, it is still a time-for-space mode, the price is resistant to falling, the indicator is corrected, here 3500 is definitely not a high point in the future; but it still takes time to promote the continuous upward attack of weekly K! Therefore, from a long-term perspective, I still suggest that gold is mainly bullish;
2. Daily K, the stochastic indicator continues to be near the central axis, forming a bottoming out and rebounding; the indicator is in a dead cross, the price is resistant to falling, and the market is washed here, washing "the sky is hanging and the earth is dizzy"; at the same time, in terms of form, it continues to fluctuate and rise. After multiple rises, the probability of subsequent breakouts is relatively high;
3. 4 hours, the stochastic indicator is golden cross, the form is bottoming out and rebounding, and it is also an uninterrupted decline and piercing, and then a sharp rise; the high-level one-word interval of 4 hours is integrated It is a relay sideways signal; the follow-up means the continuation of the trend;
To sum up: technically, the daily K-line is sideways and resistant to falling, and the weekly K-line is sideways and resistant to falling. The subsequent multiple upward tests on the technical side will gradually form a break; fundamentally, the subsequent second stage has not yet arrived completely, and the attitude of the United States in the next two weeks will also determine the direction of the second stage of the war
I suggest that the idea is to maintain the trend of low-multiple ideas. In terms of position, refer to the support and choose the uninterrupted layout of the support position; wash-out response: do a good job of risk control, wash-out is also helpless; short-term: try to avoid it as much as possible. Without a fundamental change, don't over-lay out short-term. Trend: combining fundamentals and technical aspects, the subsequent breakout of 3500 and the probability of setting a new high are relatively high
Follow the trend and go short, and buy when the price falls backAffected by the situation in the Middle East, gold opened higher and lower again on Monday, and the trend was exactly the same as last Monday. After the opening, gold fell back to the 3352-3355 line and fluctuated. We planned to arrange long orders near 3350, but gold went up directly and did not give an entry opportunity. During the rebound, gold was blocked and under pressure at the 3366 line, and at the same time, there were signs of stagflation at high levels. Combined with the short-term adjustment needs, the strategy was to arrange short orders near 3364 and successfully stop profit at the target of 3350. Then we went long at the 3348-3350 line, which is also the preset long entry area. The current target continues to focus on the 3370-3380 area. So far, although gold opened high and went low, the overall bullish trend channel has not been broken, and the retracement to long is still the current mainstream direction.The specific points are subject to the bottom 🌐 notification.
From the current trend, the support below focuses on the 3340-3345 area. Combined with the stimulus of the Middle East situation over the weekend, the short-term upper resistance focuses on the 3380-3385 area. The expectation of breakthrough is still there, and the focus is on the suppression performance of the 3400-3415 line. The overall strategy continues to rely on the idea of buying on pullbacks. Watch more and do less in the middle position, chase orders cautiously, and wait patiently for clear signals at key points before intervening.
Gold operation strategy: Gold retracement near the 3340-3350 line to do more, the target is 3370-3380.
Bitcoin - Will Bitcoin Lose $100K Support?!On the four-hour timeframe, Bitcoin is below the EMA50 and EMA200 and is in its short-term descending channel. One can look for buying opportunities for Bitcoin from the channel bottom. If the resistance level is broken, the path to the rise and its reach to the level of $107,000 will be prepared for Bitcoin.
It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market, and capital management will be more important in the cryptocurrency market. If the downward trend continues, we can buy within the demand range.
Bitcoin has been in the spotlight again in recent days, especially as its price fluctuates within the psychologically important range of $101,000-$102,000 and its fundamental indicators are sending mixed signals.
The first and perhaps most important element in Bitcoin’s fundamental analysis is the accumulation trend by large financial institutions and corporations. According to data published by websites such as CoinShares and the Financial Times, more than $87 billion worth of Bitcoin is currently held by companies such as MicroStrategy, Tesla, Block, and ETFs, which is approximately 3.2% of the total BTC supply in circulation. This clearly shows that Bitcoin has established itself as a store of value in the portfolios of professional investors, although there is still no consensus on its function as a “digital gold”.
In this regard, analysts such as Román González of A&G have predicted that Bitcoin could reach the $200,000 range by the end of the year; on the other hand, some more conservative analysts such as Jacqui Clarke believe that Bitcoin still lacks measurable intrinsic value and should not be viewed solely as an alternative asset. This conflict of views shows the depth of complexity in analyzing Bitcoin.
From the perspective of onchain, or intra-network data, the picture looks a little more cautious. The volume of active addresses last week was in the 1.0-1.1 million range, which is lower than in previous bullish periods (such as late 2021). Also, the MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) index, which measures the potential profit potential of investors, fell slightly from 2.29 to 2.20, indicating that the market is somewhat cooling off from the short-term heat. Also, on June 22, more than 5,200 Bitcoins were removed from exchanges, which is usually a sign of long-term accumulation and a decrease in short-term selling pressure. On the other hand, Bitcoin’s behavior in the face of geopolitical crises shows signs of a change in the dominant market narrative. During the recent tension between Iran and Israel, Bitcoin fell by nearly 4%, unlike gold, which experienced significant growth. This challenges the assumption that Bitcoin is a “hedging” or “safe haven” asset and shows that BTC is still registered more as a risk-on asset in the minds of market participants. This is considered very important as investors look for tools to hedge inflation or protect against economic shocks. In terms of correlation with traditional markets, Bitcoin is also on a path to further integration with classic assets. The 30-day correlation index between Bitcoin and the S&P500 is now around 0.78, and academic studies predict that the correlation will grow to 0.87 at some point in 2024. This means that Bitcoin’s movements are more aligned than ever with the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy, interest rates, stock market conditions, and global liquidity flows. Therefore, in the current situation, the impact of US macro data or central bank decisions plays a decisive role in Bitcoin’s volatility.
Finally, Bitcoin price prediction models in recent days also reflect this complexity. Websites such as Bitfinex, Changelly, and analysts from institutions such as Brave New Coin have estimated that Bitcoin could reach the $125,000-$135,000 range this summer if macroeconomic conditions remain stable, and even if institutional capital continues to flow and there are no macro crises, reaching $150,000 by the end of the year is not out of the question. However, such scenarios require maintaining the current level of liquidity in the market, the absence of drastic tightening measures by the Federal Reserve, and the control of geopolitical risks.
In short, Bitcoin is in a situation where, on the one hand, its supporting fundamentals are stronger than ever; With institutional inflows, accumulation of long-term addresses, and reduction of inventory on exchanges. On the other hand, the market remains highly vulnerable to macroeconomic and political risks and continues to show volatile reactions.
This situation has led to Bitcoin becoming not only a speculative tool or growth investment, but also gradually becoming a part of professional portfolios with a carefully composed risk management mix. Its medium-term outlook is positive, but with one important condition: stability in global inflation and continued institutional capital flows.
NAS100 - Will the stock market continue to rise?!The index is trading in its short-term descending channel on the four-hour timeframe between EMA200 and EMA50. If there is no re-up and the channel is broken, I expect a correction to form, the target of which can be the bottom of the descending channel.
If the channel top is broken, we can expect a new ATH to be recorded in the Nasdaq index. It is better to wait for confirmation in case of a breakdown in order to control the risk further.
Over the past week, the Nasdaq has managed to stay within a stable range, especially despite geopolitical pressures, mixed signals from the Federal Reserve, and some concerns in the semiconductor sector. This stability is largely due to the strong fundamentals of large technology companies, the reduction in distribution days (selling pressure) in the market, and renewed expectations of interest rate cuts later in the year.
At a structural level, the number of distribution days, which indicate selling pressure from large institutions, has reached a relatively low number of 3 days in the Nasdaq over the past month. This is a sign of the weakness of heavy selling at price peaks and the market's willingness to maintain long positions. Unlike trends seen in previous years, this time the market has shown no signs of widespread divergence or fundamental weakness, even despite strong inflation data or concerns about new trade restrictions with China.
This trend is largely supported by the stellar performance of companies such as Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple and other major players in the artificial intelligence and technology sectors. Revenue growth, increased investment in AI infrastructure, as well as the return of institutional investors’ confidence in technology stocks, have led the Nasdaq to record significant returns since the beginning of 2025. Analysts from major financial institutions such as Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, while warning of potential selling pressure on the index, remain positive about continued growth, of course, assuming that economic data does not deviate from the expected path.
However, some risks are clearly visible in the trading week ahead. The most important of them is the possibility of geopolitical tensions again affecting the market. In recent days, oil prices have risen and financial markets have experienced moments of fear after tensions in the Middle East escalated and the US political response to Iran and Israel's moves. Although the Nasdaq was able to withstand these fluctuations, the market remains very sensitive to energy price spikes and their impact on inflation.
Important data in the coming week could also determine the market's direction. The release of the Core PCE index, the Fed's preferred inflation measure, as well as data on unemployment insurance claims, both play a key role in the interest rate outlook. If inflation data is lower than expected, the likelihood that the Fed will start cutting rates in September or November increases, which would be a bullish stimulus for the stock market and especially the Nasdaq.
On the other hand, potential pressure on the semiconductor group - especially if new restrictions on technology exports to China are imposed - could disrupt the market trend. Last Friday, just one news report on the possibility of restricting exports of advanced chipsets caused the Nasdaq to fall by more than 0.6%. If this trend becomes official US government policy, it could cause a correction in stocks of companies such as Nvidia, AMD and ASML, which are heavy weights in the Nasdaq index.
In addition to these factors, next week will also see the release of quarterly reports from major companies such as Micron, FedEx and Nike. The results of these reports, especially in the area of sales and cost forecasts, could affect economic growth expectations. If the figures are better than expected, the Nasdaq could move towards new highs. However, if the data is released, the market could enter a short-term correction phase.
In terms of correlation with monetary policy, the Nasdaq index has become more sensitive than ever to interest rates and cash flows. The dollar price, real interest rates, and the direction of Treasury bonds all now have a direct impact on the valuation of technology companies. As a result, any change in the path of monetary tightening or easing is immediately reflected in the Nasdaq’s performance. However, analysts believe that the market will remain in a “wait and see” phase until the official data is released in July. In summary, the Nasdaq index is currently in a situation where its fundamentals are supported by the profitability of large technology companies, the easing of institutional selling pressure, and the possibility of a rate cut. At the same time, the market remains highly sensitive to major geopolitical news, trade policy, and economic data. As a result, the week ahead can be considered a “two-sided” period, where opportunities and threats are in a delicate balance, and only economic data and quarterly results can tip the balance in the direction of an increase or a correction.
SOL Long Term Long PositionJSE:SOL credit rating has been stamped with a Ba1 by Moody's which is very unfavourable to the company, wholistically. This is as a result of its weakening operating performance mainly attributed to low demand in the chemicals market and weak oil prices.
With expectations of higher FX:USOIL prices and JSE:SOL being pretty much undervalued, trading near its supporting level of 8600 ZAC, a positive outlook is still evident. Long positions have been executed at 9574 ZAC with a possibility to further capitalize when necessary.
Cite: Sasol outlook downgraded to negative by Moody's Ratings, Ba1 rating affirmed - Luke Juricic
BTC is expected to continue its decline to 100,000BTC has encountered resistance and fallen back several times near 110,000, forming an absolute suppression in the short term. It is difficult for BTC to overcome this resistance area in the short term. As BTC has been unable to break through for a long time, some profit-taking and panic selling will cause BTC to gradually collapse. At present, BTC has fallen back to around 104,000. During the retracement, it has built a short-term resistance area of 105,500-106,000, which limits the rebound space in the short term and will further strengthen the bearish sentiment in the market. BTC will completely open up the downward space.
At present, the 103,000-102,500 area still has a certain support effect on BTC. As BTC shows a volatile downward trend, this support area will be broken again and continue to fall to the area near 100,000. Therefore, in short-term trading, we can consider shorting BTC in the 105,000-105,500 area.
BINANCE:BTCUSDT BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT COINBASE:BTCUSD
Gold bottomed out and rebounded, continue to go longAffected by the situation in the Middle East, gold opened high and fell again on Monday, just like last Monday. At present, it has fallen back to the 3352-3355 line and fluctuated. Although it is under short-term pressure, the bull channel has not been broken, and the retracement is still a long opportunity. The support below is 3340-3345, and the short-term resistance is 3380-3385. It is only a matter of time before it breaks through. The key suppression is still in the 3400-3415 area. In terms of strategy, continue to arrange long orders around the retracement, be cautious in chasing orders in the middle oscillation zone, and wait patiently for key position signals. The specific points are subject to the bottom 🌐 notification.
Gold suggestion: arrange long orders around 3340-3350, and the target is 3370-3380.
EURUSD InsightWelcome, everyone!
Please feel free to share your personal thoughts in the comments. Don’t forget to hit the booster and subscribe!
Key Highlights
- Christopher Waller, a Federal Reserve Governor, stated in a CNBC interview that a rate cut in July should be considered.
- The United States has attacked three Iranian nuclear facilities located in Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan. In response, Iran has hinted at potentially blocking the Strait of Hormuz and has warned of retaliatory action. The U.S. Department of Defense responded by warning that any retaliation would result in a much stronger counterattack.
- According to The Wall Street Journal, the Trump administration has notified that it plans to restrict the supply of U.S.-made semiconductor equipment to Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix’s factories in China.
This Week’s Key Economic Events
+ June 24: Fed Chair Jerome Powell testimony
+ June 25: Fed Chair Jerome Powell testimony
+ June 26: U.S. Q1 GDP release
+ June 27: U.S. May PCE Price Index release
EURUSD Chart Analysis
The EURUSD pair has shown a downward move after facing resistance at a recent trend high. Although it is currently experiencing a slight rebound around the 1.14500 level, the overall trend remains bearish. The next likely support level is around 1.13000, and a recovery may follow once this area is tested.
If, contrary to expectations, the price breaks above the current trend high, a new strategy will be established accordingly.
The situation escalates? Crude oil gains remain stable
💡Message Strategy
The daily chart of WTI crude oil shows a 30% increase from late May to mid-June, with prices stagnating below resistance near $76. The Commodity Channel Index (CCI) has been overbought since late May and is now approaching a potential buy signal below 100.
Volatility peaked on June 14 and has since fallen back, suggesting that oil prices could see a correction if tensions in the Middle East do not escalate further. But now that the United States is out of the game and the situation could escalate at any time, crude oil is still in a bullish market.
📊Technical aspects
From the daily chart level, crude oil prices have broken through the upper resistance of the range in the medium term and tested a new high of 75.00. The moving average system is in a bullish arrangement, and the medium-term objective trend is upward. The current trend is in the upward rhythm of the main trend. The MACD indicator fast and slow lines overlap with the bullish column above the zero axis, indicating that the bullish momentum is currently full, and it is expected that the medium-term trend is expected to usher in a wave of rising rhythm.
The short-term (1H) trend of crude oil fluctuated and then broke through upward, and the oil price tested a new high near 78.40. The moving average system gradually opened upward, and the short-term objective trend direction was upward.
In terms of momentum, the MACD indicator fast and slow lines opened upward near the zero axis, and the bullish momentum was dominant. It is expected that the trend of crude oil will maintain a high level of fluctuation upward.
💰Strategy Package
Long Position:74.50-75.50,SL:73.50
Short-term target is around 77.00-78.00
Trump’s “ambiguous” statement, where will oil prices go?
💡Message Strategy
Trump's remarks are repeated, and the geopolitical premium still limits the downward space of oil prices
Trump said that the United States "may or may not" join Israel's actions against Iran. Analysts pointed out that if the United States is officially involved in the conflict, oil prices may rise by $5; if peace talks are launched, they may fall by the same amount.
The geopolitical focus is still on the Strait of Hormuz
Iran produces 3.3 million barrels of oil per day, but more importantly, about 19 million barrels of crude oil are transported through the Strait of Hormuz. The escalation of the conflict may threaten the safety of the waterway.
The Fed's policy turn to dovish failed to effectively support oil prices
Although the Fed hinted that it may cut interest rates twice this year, Chairman Powell emphasized that the decision still depends on inflation data, and Trump's upcoming new round of import tariffs may push up prices and limit the boost in oil demand brought about by loose policies.
📊Technical aspects
From the daily chart level, crude oil prices in the medium term broke through the upper resistance of the range and tested a new high of 75.50. The moving average system is in a bullish arrangement, and the medium-term objective trend is in the direction.
The current trend is in the upward rhythm of the main trend. The MACD indicator fast and slow lines overlap with the bullish column above the zero axis, indicating that the bullish momentum is currently full, and it is expected that the medium-term trend is expected to usher in a wave of rising rhythm.
💰Strategy Package
Long Position:73.00-73.50,SL:72.50
The first target is around 75.50
The second target is around 76.50
If the situation in the Middle East escalates, the room for crude oil to rise will be enlarged
$BTC Lost $100K Support – Retesting From Below Bitcoin broke CRYPTOCAP:BTC Lost $100K Support – Retesting From Below
Bitcoin broke the key $100K support and dropped to $98,200, but has now bounced slightly and is trading near $100,800. However, the situation remains bearish.
🔸 Key Support Zone at 99,763 – 103,112 (Broken & Retesting):
This zone is now being tested from below. If BTC fails to reclaim it, downside pressure continues.
🔸 Upside Target: 110,324 (Invalidated)
Only a strong move back above $103K can revive bullish momentum.
🔸 Risk Level at 100K:
If today’s daily candle closes below $100K, expect more downside — next major target is around $92,000.
🔸 Outlook:
BTC is in a bearish retest phase.
If $100K holds as resistance → expect further dump to $92K.
If reclaimed with strength → structure may stabilize.
Shorts still in profit — manage wisely.
Stay alert. Global tension keeps markets highly reactive. Keep risk tight and follow the trend.