US30 / Consolidation Zone with a Bearish BiasUS30 Technical Analysis
The price has a consolidate between 42130 and 41970
Bearish Scenario: Breaking 41970 by closing 1h or 4h candle under it, will be a bearish trend to get 41740 and then 41560
Bullish scenario: any breaking above 42130 will support the bullish trend to get 42290 and 42450
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 42130
Resistance Levels: 42290, 42450, 42590
Support Levels: 41970, 41750, 41560
Trend Outlook:
- Bearish by stability below 41970
- Bullish by stability above 42130
- Consolidation 41970 and 42130
Trend Lines
USNAS100 / Bearish Pressure with Potential Retest OpportunitiesTechnically:
The price has dropped precisely as anticipated. It is now expected to reach 20008, with a stabilization below the 20008 level likely extending the decline toward 19740.
Bearish Scenario: While trading below 20130, the price may attempt to reach 20008 and 19860. A break below 19740 would pave the way for further declines toward 19520.
Bullish Scenario: Stabilization above 20130 would open the path to 20240. Further strength above this level could create a bullish zone targeting 20420.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 20130
Resistance Levels: 20240, 20330, 20420
Support Levels: 19990, 19860, 19740
Trend outlook:
- Bullish above 20130
- Bearish below 20020
previous idea:
Promising signs of DXY going into bearish phaseit is clear on the chart that DXY is not respecting the trendline and if it breaks its recent trendline it will make it obvious for its bearish trend moreover as it is breaking drawn trendlines it is also rejecting its HLs which gives more probability of its bearish trend
EURUSD Down Trend ContinuationEURUSD has opened with an upward gap and is moving toward a significant resistance zone within a larger bearish trend. If the market meets resistance here and rejects both the resistance zone and the upper border of the descending channel, it may indicate an impending bearish reversal. Historically, this level has acted as a strong resistance, with price bouncing off it multiple times, which reinforces the likelihood of another rejection.
There is potential for a push above last week’s high as an initial move to gather liquidity, followed by a bearish reversal aiming to fill the recent gap. If this scenario unfolds, the target would be the support zone around 1.08510, aligning with the gap-filling objective and providing a solid level for further downside momentum
BTCUSDT Up trend continuationBTCUSDT has shown signs of potential consolidation after a strong retest of the all-time high (ATH), evidenced by a long-tailed bar on the weekly timeframe, which suggests buyer hesitation at elevated levels. Although BTC has broken above key highs from September, August, and July on the monthly chart—generally a bullish indicator—a deeper pullback to the 66,000 support level (September high) could occur. This retest would serve to validate 66,000 as a solid support and provide a potential entry for buyers, likely reinforcing bullish sentiment for a continued upward move. Should BTC find support here, the next target would be the resistance zone around 72,700
Bitcoin - How will Bitcoin react to the results of the election?Bitcoin is located between the EMA50 and EMA200 in the 4H timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. Risk on sentiment in the US stock market or investing in Bitcoin ETF funds will lead to its continued upward movement. We will look for Bitcoin resale positions within the specified supply zone.
Capital withdrawals from Bitcoin ETFs or risk OFF sentiment in the US stock market will pave the way for Bitcoin to decline. Bitcoin buying positions can be looked for in the two specified demand zones.
It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important
New surveys by “ABC News/Ipsos” indicate a close race between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump as the 2024 U.S. election approaches. These surveys reveal that 74% of voters are dissatisfied with the state of the country and also discontent with the current presidential candidates. Harris is slightly ahead with 49% support compared to Trump’s 46%. In the final days, Harris’s campaign has been more active in connecting with voters, gaining more support among Latinos, African Americans, and young women, whereas Trump holds greater support among white men and those without a college degree.
Donald Trump, the Republican candidate, has not only positioned himself as a pro-crypto figure but his tariff-raising policies could lead to inflation and increased geopolitical tensions. Trump, who previously opposed cryptocurrencies, has shifted to strong support for the industry this year. Decrypt previously reported that Trump aims to have all Bitcoin mining conducted in the U.S. and has launched a decentralized finance (DeFi) project running on Ethereum, with plans to issue his own stablecoin.
On the other hand, MicroStrategy, led by Michael Saylor, announced plans to raise $42 billion over the next three years to buy more Bitcoin. The company’s “21/21 Plan” aims to gather $21 billion through equity and $21 billion through debt. The company has stated that this additional capital will be used to acquire more Bitcoin as a treasury asset.
Their latest purchase in mid-September added 7,420 Bitcoin valued at $458.2 million, bringing their total holdings to 252,220 Bitcoin.
Performance of ETFs with the highest trading volume on Friday:
Total: - GETTEX:55M
BlackRock: $0M
Fidelity: - GETTEX:26M
Grayscale: -$5M
Bitcoin mining revenue and profit fell for the fourth consecutive month in October. JPMorgan reported that the average weekly hashrate of the Bitcoin network reached a record high. The bank estimated that Bitcoin miners earned an average of $41,800 per exahash per second, a 1% decrease from September. Additionally, daily gross profit reached a new low. Bitcoin mining difficulty hit an all-time high in October; however, transaction fees significantly increased, reaching 60% of the block reward by the end of the month. The monthly hashrate for the Bitcoin network increased to 702 EH/s in October, 9% higher than the previous month.
The latest update of the crypto market’s Fear and Greed Index shows that it remains in the greed zone, although it dropped by 4 points compared to the previous day.
NASDAQ - Nasdaq will lose the 20,000?!The index is located between EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. If the range of 20,000 is broken, we can witness the continuation of the decline
If the index rises towards the two specified supply zones, you can look for Nasdaq sell positions up to the bottom of the ascending channel
The U.S. jobs report for October indicated that only 12,000 new jobs were added to the labor market, significantly below expectations. This drop was primarily due to strikes, particularly at Boeing, and the impacts of recent storms. In October 2024, 512,000 workers were unable to work due to hurricanes Helen and Milton, much higher than the historical average of 47,000. These conditions led to a slowdown in job growth for October. The unemployment rate remained at 4.1%, but revised data from previous months show a decline in job growth.
Goldman Sachs analysts predict that the U.S. stock market will grow by the end of the year, driven by various factors. The end of October marks reduced sales by investment and pension funds, which could support stock price growth. This outlook contrasts with the consensus on Wall Street, which expects stock prices to decline after the presidential election. However, Goldman Sachs believes that stock market growth will continue under current conditions.
A survey by the Conference Board shows that 51.4% of American consumers expect stock prices to rise over the next 12 months. This represents the highest optimism level recorded since the survey began in 1987, although experts remain skeptical.
Warren Buffett continued selling a significant portion of his Apple shares in the third quarter of 2024, selling nearly a quarter of his holdings. This move reduced Berkshire Hathaway’s stake in Apple to 300 million shares, representing a 67.2% decrease from the end of the third quarter last year. Despite these sales, Berkshire Hathaway’s cash reserves have reached $325.2 billion. Buffett indicated that some sales might be due to tax reasons, but the volume of sales suggests other factors may also be at play. Interestingly, Berkshire did not purchase any stocks during this period.
Next week’s U.S. election will be in the spotlight, with market participants in a state of uncertainty as it is unclear whether conclusive results will be announced immediately after polls close on Tuesday night. Meanwhile, central banks will also be in focus; the Reserve Bank of Australia will announce its monetary policy on Tuesday, followed by the Bank of England and the Federal Reserve on Thursday.
Additionally, markets await the release of the U.S. ISM Services PMI on Tuesday, weekly jobless claims data on Thursday, and the preliminary University of Michigan consumer sentiment index on Friday. These data points could significantly influence market direction during this crucial week.
Nick Timiraos, an economic analyst from The Wall Street Journal, believes the U.S. jobs report will not significantly alter expectations for a 0.25% rate cut by the Federal Reserve.
JPMorgan analysts suggest that if Trump wins the election, more expansionary fiscal policies will be implemented, which could increase the budget deficit and inflation. As a result, the Fed may pause rate cuts. Conversely, if Kamala Harris wins, the economy is expected to continue its slow and steady path, and the Fed would likely proceed with a rate cut in November; however, with a Trump victory, this cut may be halted in December.
Gold - Looking to Sell after breaking 2726 (support level)Gold appears to be approaching a critical support level around 2726. The current market structure suggests a bearish sentiment, as the price is testing this support multiple times, increasing the likelihood of a breakdown.
📈⚡ Trade Setup
Sell Limit 👇
Entry Price: 2725.45
Stop Loss (SL): 2754.43
Take Profit (TP): 2655.92
Analysis
The chart indicates a simple structure-breakout strategy, suggesting that we wait for a confirmed move below 2726 before entering the sell position. The support level at 2726 is crucial; if broken, it may lead to further downward momentum. A sell entry at 2725.45 is positioned just below this level to capture the downward continuation.
The Stop Loss at 2754.43 is set above recent highs, offering protection against potential retracements. The Take Profit at 2655.92 is a level where price may find new support or consolidation, ensuring a good risk-to-reward ratio.
Summary : Monitor for a decisive break below 2726 before entering the sell position.
AUDCAD in support area. Are we ready for reverse?Hi traders, AUDCAD is in support from its temporal bearish movement.
Although the primary trend is bearish, we might see reverse movement from AUDCAD.
In small timeframe, we already see AO indicator in positive area and we might see reverse in short term.
Good luck!
PIXELUSDT 70UP PROFIT TRADE.This analysis is based on a Fibonacci support level and a Fair Value Gap (FVG) bounce. After a trendline break, price action found support within the FVG, suggesting a potential reversal. The target could be set up to align with the anticipated bearish retracement and resistance levels
EURUSD InsightHello, subscribers! Great to see you all here. Please share your personal opinions in the comments, and don’t forget to like and subscribe.
Key Points
- U.S. employment data shock: Nonfarm payrolls increased by only 12,000 in October.
- The weak U.S. employment data is attributed to the effects of a hurricane and the Boeing strike.
- The market anticipates it will be challenging for the Fed to avoid a 25 basis point rate cut in the November FOMC meeting.
- Germany’s October CPI rose 2.0% year-on-year, rebounding after three months.
- The Eurozone’s October CPI also increased by 2.0% year-on-year, exceeding the forecast of 1.9%.
- The U.S. September Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index rose 2.7% year-on-year, surpassing the forecast of 2.6%.
Major Economic Indicators
- November 5: Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision, U.S. presidential election
- November 7: Bank of England rate decision
- November 8: FOMC meeting results
EUR/USD Trend Analysis
The Euro appears to have successfully rebounded from the lower support level. This upward trend is expected to reach the 1.10000 line. In the long term, a rise to the trend high of 1.14000 is anticipated; however, resistance at the 1.10000 line may lead to a short-term pullback.
If, contrary to expectations, a stronger downward move occurs and breaks below 1.07500, the price may fall to the 1.04500 line, in which case a new strategy will be quickly established.
Take A Guess What Happens Next....Almost every time Bitcoin breaks its HTF trendline, a solid move in the opposite direction occurs. Let's be cautious and use proper risk management to minimize losses and maximize gains.
Maybe the 7th trendline break will be different.....
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Gold Long Term AnalysisSo I thought I'd post some thoughts for the first time on TradingView. As we've all heard a million times; 'the trend is your friend.' Given the price movement in Gold in the last week, I thought I'd zoom out on the weekly chart for Gold to see where last week's results sit with the longer-term trend.
I've been using the adaptive trend finder from Julian_Eche, I like this tool because it provides some empirical rigour around identifying the trend along with some statistical testing to determine the strength.
Whilst gold has been in an uptrend since ~Sept '23 we can see that the current trend was established in over the last 20 weeks with a pearson R squared of over 0.98 suggesting that the weekly close is adhering very closely to this established price channel. Last week's close appears to have been a result of some mixed economic news and profit taking however, the trend is still being respected. Given the mixed news from employment data and the PMI figures last week following higher than expected inflation data it appears that the Fed is still likely to cut 25pbs at the end of the week. The US presedential election result also looks to remain tight and it may take days for the result to be known adding uncertainty for markets. Gold ETFs have also seen substantial inflows this year as investors pour into the safe-haven asset which have supported the price.
I believe that all this supports higher prices on the precious metal in the short to medium term and the intra-week movements seem to have respected established channel so far.
EURUSDThe EURUSD has the potential for a bearish swing on the fundamental side, as the euro is not doing well!
The forthcoming US elections on Tuesday 5 November 2024 could help the euro fall ...
On my chart I have identified two zones, my black line which would give me a bearish candle and my trendline if the price is brought to break it could make the price fall below a return to 1.06000.
November will trigger a price expansion, but it remains to be seen in which direction!
Bitcoin Roadmap==>Short term!!!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) touched the 🎯 Targets 🎯 as I expected in the previous post ✅.
Bitcoin started to rise well from the Support zone($67,620-$67,000) and the Support line again ( the start was accompanied by good momentum ).
Regarding Elliott's wave theory , wave 5 seems to be completed .
I expect Bitcoin to rise to at least the Support zone after breaking the Resistance lines .
⚠️Note: The American elections and the tension between Iran and Israel can easily change the scenarios of Bitcoin: if the tension between Iran and Israel increases, we can see the fall of Bitcoin, and if Donald Trump does not succeed in the US presidential election, we can see the fall of Bitcoin. And vice versa.⚠️
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰.
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XAUUSD 3/11/24We have a short bias on gold this week, mainly to establish a better price level in case the market decides to move higher again, based on the daily timeframe gap. This is the first bearish gap in over a month, which indicates a strong chance for a possible sell-off.
We’ve marked the lows, and currently, there are no unmitigated areas of demand. Given our bearish bias, this is expected, as previous areas of demand or support are likely to be broken, allowing the price to reach a more favorable level for future buying opportunities. There’s also an area of supply marked above, which could push the price lower. However, we're primarily looking for a short-term sell-off, with a longer-term expectation of reaching all-time highs again, driven by strong fundamentals supporting gold.
This pullback is likely a temporary correction in the overall uptrend. Since we haven’t seen a pullback in a while, a correction is ultimately inevitable. Where it will end and turn bullish again is uncertain.
This week, our focus is on the liquidity levels marked for potential reactions. Trade based on current price action and follow your plan. Stick to your strategy, manage your risk, and consider the supply area as a possible point for selling into the lows.
Follow your plan and stick to your risk.
ICPUSDT TRADING IDEAHappy Sunday!
It's time to trade the ICP/USDT combination. The chart depicts a stunning trading opportunity, as the price movement has already broken down from the corner of the triangle pattern. Additionally, Fibonacci retracement predicts the potential price movement between three levels based on recent highs and lows.
Trading based on the philosophy that history repeats, along with the use of key numbers, can help project price behavior. So, watch out and enjoy the ICP/USDT trade setup.
EURUSD 3/11/24This week, our bias on the Euro has shifted from short to long. This change is based on observing a shift in the higher time frame structure, as institutions appear to be showing interest in buying. Whether this move will be short-term or long-term remains to be seen. We’ll watch the price action in the first sessions of the week to get a clearer idea.
Please note, this analysis follows the same principles and bias approach as always. Currently, there are no unmitigated demand areas on the 4-hour chart, and only a short-term supply area has formed. The area of demand we’ve highlighted is present only on the 1-hour chart, making it more of a smaller time frame reference than a higher one. We’ve marked key liquidity levels, which will serve as our reference points for potential upward movement this week.
If the price interacts with the 1-hour demand area, we’ll aim for the high at the top of the current range. While I’m ultimately looking for a longer-term upward move, a pullback beforehand is possible.
Stick to your plan and manage your risk.
Gold Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
Risk Disclaimer:
Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in this analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)