U-oyela Ongahluziwe Nenkunzi.Considering the current countries in conflict - FX:USOIL is in the middle of it. This will lead in a high demand but low supply of the commodity resulting in a soaring bullish move, fundamentally. Technically, the commodity has created a LL in the current year, tapping lows last touched since 2021 and has further recovered from last years close of 71.899.
FX:USOIL reaching highs of $110.00 is therefore likely.
***The best way to take advantage of this commodity or any other is to cherry pick stocks that are sensitive to it e.g. JSE:SOL is sensitive to FX:USOIL .***
Trend Lines
Bitcoin Holds $100k as Risk Assets Shrug Off Mideast TensionsWeakness in risk assets has been relatively contained so far on Monday in Asia, despite the escalation in geopolitical tensions in the Middle East over the weekend—including in bitcoin.
Yes, it’s down, but not by any margin that sets this open apart from the usual. And having bounced after a brief dip below the psychologically important $100,000 level—which also doubles as wedge support—it’s generated a potential long setup if risk appetite improves.
Longs could be considered above $100k with a stop beneath today’s low to protect against a reversal. Targets include $102,500, $106,500 or even $109,000, depending on your preferred risk-reward.
While momentum signals are neutral to mildly bearish, the price action so far has been constructive for the setup.
Good luck!
DS
Gold Eyes $3486 as Middle East Tensions Spark Flight to SafetyGOLD | Set to Surge Amid Escalating Geopolitical Tensions
Gold prices are poised for a sharp rally as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East intensify, following reports of a U.S. airstrike on Iranian nuclear facilities. This has triggered a strong flight-to-safety response, pushing investors toward safe-haven assets.
Analysts now forecast a broader upside range, with gold potentially trading between $3,500 and $3,700, driven by both geopolitical instability and persistent inflation concerns.
Technical Outlook:
Gold is expected to open with a bullish gap, with an initial move toward the key resistance at 3404. A confirmed 1H/4H close above this level would open the path toward 3448, and ultimately 3486, as long as geopolitical risk remains elevated.
However, any signs of de-escalation or negotiations from Iran could halt the bullish momentum and trigger a reversal toward 3340.
Key Levels:
• Pivot Zone: 3365, 3379
• Resistance: 3404, 3448, 3486
• Support: 3348, 3339, 3281
USDJPY H4 AnalysisUSDJPY Showing a Bearish Flag. If it breaks this zone above, Most probably can fly up to 148.668 and higher to 150.538. If no, Can rally between 143.981 or even lower to 142.410. Trading Analysis from 23-06-25 to 27-06-25. Take your risk under control and wait for market to break support or resistance on smaller time frame. Best of luck everyone and happy trading.🤗
AUDUSD H4 AnalysisAUDUSD Showing a Bearish Flag. If it breaks this zone above, Most probably can fly up to 0.65018 and higher to 0.65379. If no, Can rally between 0.64068 or even lower to 0.63878. Trading Analysis from 23-06-25 to 27-06-25. Take your risk under control and wait for market to break support or resistance on smaller time frame. Best of luck everyone and happy trading.🤗
USDCHF H4 AnalysisUSDCHF Showing a Bearish Flag. If it breaks this zone above, Most probably can fly up to 0.82512 and higher to 0.83491. If no, Can rally between 0.80552 or even lower. Trading Analysis from 23-06-25 to 27-06-25. Take your risk under control and wait for market to break support or resistance on smaller time frame. Best of luck everyone and happy trading.🤗
USDCAD H4 AnalysisUSDCAD Showing a Bearish Flag. If it breaks this zone above, Most probably can fly up to 1.37836 and higher to 1.38654. If no, Can rally between 1.36359, 1.35415 or even lower. Trading Analysis from 23-06-25 to 27-06-25. Take your risk under control and wait for market to break support or resistance on smaller time frame. Best of luck everyone and happy trading.🤗
EURUSD H4 AnalysisEURUSD Showing a bullish Flag. If it breaks this zone above, Most probably can fly up to 1.15818 and higher to 1.16322. If no, Can rally between 1.14320, 1.13067 or even lower. Trading Analysis from 23-06-25 to 27-06-25. Take your risk under control and wait for market to break support or resistance on smaller time frame. Best of luck everyone and happy trading.🤗
USTECH H4 AnalysisUSTECH Showing a bullish Flag. If it breaks this zone above, Most probably can fly up to 22,106.35 and higher TO 23,200. If no, Can rally between 20,800, 20,400 or even lower. Trading Analysis from 23-06-25 to 27-06-25. Take your risk under control and wait for market to break support or resistance on smaller time frame. Best of luck everyone and happy trading.🤗
XTIUSD H4 AnalysisXTIUSD Showing a bearish Flag. If it breaks this zone above, Most probably can fly upto 81.00 and higher. If no, Can rally between 72, 68 or even 66. Trading Analysis from 23-06-25 to 27-06-25. Take your risk under control and wait for market to break support or resistance on smaller time frame. Best of luck everyone and happy trading.🤗
US30 H4 AnalysisUS30 Showing a bullish Flag to 42,762. If it breaks this zone, Most probably can fly upto 44,000 and higher. Trading Analysis from 23-06-25 to 27-06-25. Take your risk under control and wait for market to break support or resistance on smaller time frame. Best of luck everyone and happy trading.🤗
#ETHUSDT: Currently On The Way Towards Filling The FVG?ETCUSDT is currently experiencing a significant correction as the price approaches a pivotal juncture where a substantial bullish price reversal is anticipated, potentially propelling it to new all-time highs or even surpassing them. It is imperative to exercise meticulous risk management and conduct your own thorough analysis before engaging in any cryptocurrency trading or investment activities.
Should the price indeed undergo a major correction, it is likely to decline to our second designated area, where it is anticipated to fill the liquidity gap and subsequently reverse course, continuing its trajectory towards our established targets.
Please consider this analysis as a secondary influence only, or even solely for educational purposes. It is crucial to conduct your own independent analysis and risk management prior to engaging in any cryptocurrency trading or investment endeavours, as they inherently carry substantial financial risks.
We extend our best wishes and encourage you to trade safely and responsibly.
Should you wish to demonstrate your support, you are welcome to express your appreciation through likes, comments, or sharing this information.
Thank you for your consideration.
Have a pleasant weekend.
Team Setupsfx_
GBPJPY is in the Down Trend From Resistance LevelHello Traders
In This Chart GBPJPY HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today GBPJPY analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GBPJPY market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GBPJPY Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
How Markets Behave During War: Lessons from the Gulf War (90–91)🧠 Overview
As global tensions escalate and risk sentiment deteriorates, it’s worth revisiting how major asset classes behaved during past war scenarios. The Gulf War (July 1990 – March 1991) offers a clean case study with distinct phases of market psychology.
📊 What This Chart Shows
A synchronized visual comparison of:
Gold – Classic safe haven behavior
S&P 500 – Risk asset sentiment
DXY – USD demand during crisis
🧭 Phases Identified
Phase 1 – Shock
📈 Gold spikes | 📉 Stocks crash | 📉 USD weakens
→ Panic phase as markets price in uncertainty
Phase 2 – Consolidation
Market stalls, both risk and safe haven flows stabilize.
Phase 3 – Gradual Risk-On
Equities begin recovering as risk appetite cautiously returns.
Phase 4 – Shake-Off & Parabolic Rally
Gold rolls over, stocks go parabolic, and DXY forms a double bottom.
🔍 Key Insights
🟡 Gold surged +17% in 43 days, then faded
🔴 SPX dropped -17%, then reversed with a +26% rally
🟣 DXY fell -9%, but rebounded sharply later
⏱️ Timing matters: Safe havens perform early — but are not eternal shelters.
💡 Why It Matters Today
If current geopolitical risks evolve into a Gulf War-type scenario, we might observe:
🟡 A first wave into Gold or USD
🔁 A rotation back into risk assets as clarity improves
📈 Opportunities for reversals in oversold names
This chart is not a forecast — it’s a framework. Patterns may not repeat, but they often rhyme.
✍️ Ongoing Series
This is part of a multi-part series exploring how markets react to war and crisis. Future posts will include:
Iraq War
Russia-Ukraine 2022
9/11 aftermath
COVID-19 as a “war-like” shock
📌 Follow for the next studies.
🧷 Chart: Gold, SPX & DXY during the Gulf War
🔖 Annotated and structured by @fredcast80
Gold is in the bullish direction after correcting the supportHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
GOLD (XAUUSD): Bullish Confirmation SignalI observe two solid bullish signals on 📈GOLD following a pullback to a recently violated key horizontal support.
The price has risen, breaking through both the neckline of a double bottom pattern and the resistance line of a falling wedge pattern.
We can expect a bullish trend towards a new higher high.
BTC/USD - The Bitcoin Cycle TopBTC has recently broken below a key uptrend line that had been guiding price for some time. I’m watching for a potential backtest of that broken trendline, a rather classic move that could set the stage for a final upwards squeeze, possibly printing a quick higher high to trap late longs.
I’m watching the circled area closely as a potential exhaustion zone. Key levels and price action around the trendline will be critical, breaking of upwards trendlines after backtesting may mark the beginning of the larger unwind.
We could see multiple backtests of the broken trendline over time, with the trendline now likely acting as resistance.
Note: I’m publishing this idea simply to have a timestamped record. This post is my way of putting a clear marker in the sand. I’m not looking to debate or go deeper into the reasoning, and I generally won’t be responding to comments.
With the United States joining the war, can gold return to 3,500
💡Message Strategy
The United States has already participated in the war. On Saturday, the United States announced that it had carried out a devastating strike on Iran's nuclear facilities. Iran's nuclear facilities no longer exist, and emphasized that Iran must accept peace unconditionally.
After the strike, Iranian officials said that the US military bases and personnel in the Middle East will become legal total targets, and the United States and Israel will be severely retaliated.
After striking Iranian targets again, it was stated that Iran must accept peace talks and cannot retaliate. Obviously, the United States does not want to fall into the quagmire of the Middle East war, and Iran is unlikely to stop.
As a result, a new Middle East war has been formed, and the United States will be involved in this war anyway.
Once the war escalates, the capital market will dislike the huge waves again. Gold will enter the second half of the bull market.
After hitting the high of 3,500 in April, it has not been able to break through so far, but it has continued to fluctuate around the highs and has not fallen. A new support platform has been consolidated.
Gold will inevitably open higher next week, but whether it can continue to rise after opening higher depends on whether Iran launches a strong counterattack. If the counterattack is not strong enough or the losses caused are limited, the short-term increase in gold will still be limited, and it is more likely to be a volatile upward trend.
📊Technical aspects
From the 4-hour analysis chart, the support below is around 3340-45, and the resistance above is around 3380-85, which is also near the 5-day moving average of the daily line and the middle track of the 4-hour Bollinger band. Breaking through here will ease the short-term downward pressure, and we can continue to pay attention to the high point of Thursday near 3390 US dollars;
For the support below gold, we can pay attention to the intraday low of 3340 US dollars, and then pay attention to the weekly MA10 moving average of 3315 US dollars. The 5-day moving average has a trend of forming a dead cross, the MACD indicator has begun to form a dead cross, and the KDJ and RSI indicators have a dead cross upward. The short-term technical aspect shows that the gold price has a further upward trend.
💰Strategy Package
Long Position:3355-3365,SL:3345,
Short-term goals: 3380-3390
BTC/USDT Technical Analysis, 2025-06-20 19:45 UTCBTC/USDT Technical Analysis, 2025-06-20 19:45 UTC
💡 Trade Setup Summary
Pattern Detected: Bullish Hammer at local bottom
Confirmed by bullish candle close above pattern high
Volume Confirmation:
Volume Flow Analysis → Increasing OBV
Current Volume = 5.17, which although lower than the short-term mean, is paired with a positive trend
Order Book & Whale Confirmation:
Whale Bids > 2 BTC detected: 1 order, 3.54 BTC
Order Book Imbalance: 36.84% favoring buyers
Technical Indicators :
✅ Oversold region confirmed (likely RSI < 30, inferred by engine)
✅ Bullish pattern with volume trend confirmation
✅ Order book imbalance > 2%
✅ Whale bid presence
✅ Market pressure shows buyer dominance
✅ OBV increasing
Entry Price: 103146.58
Target (TP): 105646.58
Stop Loss (SL): 102146.58
Risk:Reward Ratio: ~2.5:1
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) – Bearish Continuation After Failed Support !Bitcoin attempted to hold the $101,409 support level but failed to sustain above it. The breakdown confirms weakness, and the chart now suggests a continuation of the downtrend if bulls don’t reclaim lost ground quickly.
Technical Breakdown:
Failed Bounce: BTC briefly bounced near $101.4K but got rejected and closed back below the zone.
Bearish Structure: Price continues forming lower highs and lower lows — a clear downtrend.
RSI at 30.34: Close to oversold but still room to fall, which means downside isn’t exhausted yet.
Market Sentiment: Weak hands are exiting, and support zones are getting tested faster than they’re defended.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance:
$101,409 – Immediate level, now flipped to resistance
$103,573 – Strong barrier if bulls attempt recovery
$105,807 – Major horizontal resistance and lower high zone
Support:
$97,340 – Next major support zone (possible short-term bounce)
$93,343 – Key level if $97.3K fails to hold
$92,200 – Final support before panic could set in
Trade Idea – Bearish Bias:
Short on Retest Zone: $101.4K – $102K
Stoploss: Above $103.6K
Take-Profit Targets:
TP1: $97,300
TP2: $93,300
TP3: Optional – trail lower if breakdown continues
What Bulls Need to Do:
Reclaim $101.4K fast with a strong close above it on the 4H chart
Otherwise, sellers remain in control
This is not financial advice. Always do your own research (DYOR) and manage your risk accordingly.