EUR/USD Bearish Setup Unfolding Below Key Resistance📊 Technical Analysis of EUR/USD (4H Chart)
🧭 Chart Overview:
Current Price: ~1.1350
Indicators Used:
EMA 50 (Red): ~1.1311 — acting as dynamic support.
EMA 200 (Blue): ~1.1114 — aligns closely with major support zone.
📌 Key Levels:
🔼 Main Resistance Zone: 1.1375 – 1.1400
Price has tested this zone multiple times, forming a potential double top pattern.
Strong bearish pressure observed each time price enters this area.
🔁 Minor Resistance (Retest Zone): ~1.1325 – 1.1345
Currently acting as a decision zone.
If price fails to hold above this level, it could turn into resistance on the next bearish leg.
🔽 Support Zone: 1.1100 – 1.1130
Converges with EMA 200 — making it a high-probability demand zone.
Potential target for the anticipated drop.
🧠 Price Action & Structure:
Market showed a strong bullish rally previously, breaking through resistance levels.
Now showing signs of exhaustion at the top.
Bearish scenario projected with a lower high forming below the main resistance, followed by a sell-off toward the support zone.
⚙️ Possible Scenarios:
Bearish Scenario (High Probability):
Price rejects the minor resistance → breaks below EMA 50 → continues lower to support.
Target: 1.1110 area.
Bullish Scenario (Low Probability):
Price reclaims and closes above 1.1375 with strong momentum.
Potential breakout and continuation toward 1.1450+.
🧩 Confluences Supporting Bearish Bias:
Lower high formation potential.
EMA 50 starting to flatten.
Failure to maintain momentum above main resistance.
Clean drop path toward 1.1110 if support breaks.
📉 Conclusion:
This setup favors short-term bearish movement, particularly if the price rejects around the 1.1345 level again. A breakdown below the minor resistance zone would likely trigger a sell-off toward the 1.1110 support, in line with the 200 EMA.
Trend Lines
XAU/USD Target Achieved – $3,500 Successfully Hit 🔥 XAU/USD Target Smashed – $3,500 HIT! 🎯💰
Gold has officially reached $3,500, perfectly hitting our projected buy target!
This move confirms the strength of the bullish momentum and technical breakout setup.
🔹 Entry: Above $3,430
🔹 Final Target: ✅ $3,500 – Hit
🔹 Result: High-conviction setup delivered with precision
🔹 Trend: Remains bullish, but profit-taking expected at round number resistance
👏 Massive congrats to all who followed the plan — another clean win on XAU/USD!
BTC/USD Eyes $109K After Bullish Breakout!!🧠 Chart Type and Indicators:
Chart Type: Candlestick
Indicators Used:
EMA 50 (red line): 85,335.18
EMA 200 (blue line): 85,657.29
🔍 Technical Pattern Analysis:
Pattern Identified: Ascending Triangle
The price has formed higher lows (ascending trendline support) while repeatedly testing a horizontal resistance zone (~$88,000), forming an ascending triangle.
This is typically a bullish continuation pattern when it occurs after an uptrend, though in this context, it's forming after a consolidation, giving more significance to the breakout.
🚀 Breakout Confirmation:
The price has broken above the horizontal resistance and is currently trading at $92,766.51.
Volume is not visible but should be increasing during a valid breakout.
Both EMAs have been decisively breached to the upside, signaling momentum shift in favor of bulls.
🧩 Key Levels:
Support Zone (Post-Breakout Retest): ~$88,000
Previously a resistance zone, now likely to act as support.
Immediate Resistance: ~$96,000
Historical resistance zone shown on the chart with a horizontal black line.
Extended Target (measured move): ~$109,420
Based on the height of the triangle projected from the breakout point.
📈 Price Action Forecast:
Two possible scenarios (depicted with arrows on the chart):
Bullish Continuation:
A retest of the $88,000 zone followed by continuation to $96,000, then $109,420.
Short-Term Pullback:
Price may dip to retest the breakout zone (~$88,000), consolidate, then rally higher.
✅ Bullish Signals Summary:
Breakout from a bullish ascending triangle.
EMAs crossed and price holding above them.
Clear higher highs and higher lows formation.
Momentum suggesting further upside.
🧨 Risks to Watch:
False Breakout Risk: If the price fails to hold above $88,000 and falls back into the triangle range.
Macro Factors: Bitcoin remains sensitive to macroeconomic news and regulations that could disrupt technical setups.
Can the 3370 support level turn the tide?The Asian session low of 3413 rebounded to 3500 under pressure, and then fell back to 3370 in the evening, with a single-day fluctuation of more than 100 points. Since the 14-day bull market started at 2959 on April 7, the gold price has soared 500 points, and the short-term overbought has triggered technical correction pressure. The current market presents a strong pattern of "buying on every correction", and even if there is a long upper shadow, the bullish sentiment still dominates the market.
From a technical perspective, the support near 3370 is crucial. If it holds, the bullish trend will continue; otherwise, a break may trigger a deeper adjustment. Although there is short-term profit-taking pressure, the overall market is bullish. It is recommended to pay attention to the key support level of 3370 and be alert to low-long opportunities in repeated fluctuations.
Gold intraday high V reversal looks to continueToday's market analysis and interpretation:
First, the gold daily level: After closing with a full increase of 100 US dollars yesterday, it continued to rise by nearly 90 US dollars today. The daily line may not feel the acceleration, but from the weekly line, the trend of continuous large positives for nearly three weeks and an increase of more than 500 US dollars, it seems to be accelerating to the top; although the overall bullish trend this year will not be affected at all, in the short term, some bulls may flee due to the accelerated pull, that is, profit-taking, which is often more likely to happen; In addition, yesterday's research report focused on interpreting the trend of 2956 to 3500. It is very likely to cycle the previous wave of 2832 to 3167. The maximum retracement of 618 division position just confirms the previous top and bottom support of 3167. In addition, from the wave shape, if 2832-3167 belongs to the first wave, 3167 to 2956 belongs to the second wave, and the third wave is calculated by 1.618 times the first wave, it is exactly 3498, which is today's intraday high of 3500. Then the fourth correction wave may be brewing in the follow-up, which is generally the third wave 382 or 50 division, and it generally will not fall below the first wave high of 3167. Therefore, in the next few days, if 3500 cannot be broken through again, the correction will focus on the 382 division support 3292 and the 50 division support 3228. The limit is that it is unlikely to fall too far from 3167, and then Waiting for the opportunity of band bullishness, each squat adjustment is to further continue the bullish trend;
Second, gold 4-hour level: the current MA5-day moving average support is barely holding up temporarily, and the top is a bearish pattern of "evening star" with a large Yin wrapped in Yang. It needs to be combined with the subsequent K-line pattern. If there are continuous Yins and large Yins continue to appear, then this cycle will begin to be under pressure, and the MA10-day support of 3428 and the middle track of 3378-72 will be gradually tested below;
Third, gold hourly level: Asian session continues to rise sharply, but the European session suppresses the 3500 line and falls back, temporarily supporting the middle track. The inability of the European session to attack increases the risk of further downward adjustment tonight; once the middle track is effectively lost, it will continue to fall. Finally, tonight, we can gradually see the 66-day moving average, which is also the lower track of the white channel in the figure, about 3380; The short-term resistance is the 10-day moving average and the white channel counter-pressure point, concentrated at 3470-3480, which happens to be the 618 division point of the European session's decline and rebound; therefore, pay attention to 3470-3480 tonight. If it cannot withstand the pressure, it will continue to decline and gradually look at 3428 and 3411. The strong support is in the range of 3380-3370 tonight. If it stabilizes here, it will rebound to confirm the middle track, and the ups and downs will be huge.
USDCHF Daily, H4,H1 Forecasts, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeaMidterm forecast:
0.84000 is a major resistance, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be downtrend.
OANDA:USDCHF
Technical analysis:
A trough is formed in daily chart at 0.80385 on 04/21/2025, so more gains to resistance(s) 0.83314 and maximum to Major Resistance (0.84000) is expected.
Take Profits:
0.83314
0.84000
0.85430
0.86286
0.87550
0.89147
0.90367
0.92218
0.94400
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Now, it's your turn!
Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast.
Have a successful week,
ForecastCity Support Team
Gold: Bearish, may fall below 3300📊 Yesterday, gold resumed its bullish move after a minor pullback, breaking through the 3400 level and reaching around 3440 during today’s early session, before starting to retrace.
📉 In the chart I shared yesterday, the black line represents the key bull-bear boundary. The current price has already broken below this level, and if it fails to reclaim it, the trend may shift toward bearish in the short term.
📌 Key support levels to watch:
First support: 3383
Next support: 3350
If selling intensifies, there’s a real chance price may break below 3300
Gold - Just Half Way To The Target!Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) still has a lot more upside potential:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Over the past couple of months, we saw an almost incredible breakout rally of about +75% on Gold. However, looking at technicals, there is a quite high chance that Gold will actually rally even more and retest the next upper resistance trendline, which would mean another pump of about +75%.
Levels to watch: $4.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
NIFTY facing rejection!?As we can see NIFTY is showing signs of rejection from our zone despite being strong forming a doji kinda candlestick. Now following the global cues, we can expect NIFTY to open stronger but hitting the even strong supply zone after filling the gap which can lead to further fall after strong opening so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching.
EURJPY is in the Sell Trend after testing Lower HighHello Traders
In This Chart EURJPY HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today CADJPY analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (EURJPY market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on EURJPY Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
The Natural gas will make a dip once againNATURAL GAS H1 Analysis 📊
First of all , lets take about the gap
war , This gap is due to war and as you know market will refill it sooner or later , thats the main reason of the selling
Yes, no doubt , the market can go up for some sl hunting thats why the red zone is little wider
The ultimate trend is sell due to no investors in gas because all the investors are busy in the BITCOIN AND GOLD. so it will come back at its lowest support sooner or later
Follow the money management strictly and this is just the prediction.
The GBPCAD is Unstoppable due to Strong Up TrendGBPCAD H4 Analysis 📈
NZD AND AUD are linked with each other not directly but indirectly.
That's why if AUD weak then NZD is also weak and now as you can see these 4 pairs are going up without any retracement.
The pair is moving in a similar way like GBPAUD.
The red zone is a support zone a and last the the market was pumped from the same zone.
If The markets holds on the red zone or holds above the red zone , it will be a confirmation of buy .
If the markets breaks the red zone in the downside direction then but setup is no more valid.
The pair is looking to retest its higher resistance points according to the Weekly time frame.
Crude Oil Breaks Out — Is $65.5 the Next Wall?Price started its bullish move in the first week of April, and since then, it’s been making higher lows. Today’s candle broke cleanly above a key trendline, and price is now heading toward the $65.5 resistance, which could act as a critical decision zone.
Key Levels:
- Support: Around $63.2
- Resistance: $65.5 (next major wall)
- Setup: Trendline Breakout
What I’m Watching:
When price gets to 65.5, I’ll be looking for:
- A strong breakout (maybe even retest + continuation) to hold my buy
- Or a clear rejection to scale out or re-evaluate
I’m staying patient. I’ve picked my setup and I’m sticking to it — no jumping around. Let’s see how this plays out.
Cheers!
pClem Trades
Dollar Tree | DLTR | Long at $67.00Dollar Tree NASDAQ:DLTR has taken a massive hit to its stock price as low-income spenders are cutting back (recession red flag, anyone?). It recently touched my selected "crash" simple moving average area (white lines on the chart) and may take many years before true recovery occurs. However, the Director recently bought $150k+ in shares after this recent drop, showing confidence in the company as a whole. I don't think we'll see all-time highs again for some time, but I believe at $67.00 there is a longer-term opportunity into 2026 and beyond. This does not mean I feel the bottom has occurred yet. I wouldn't be surprised if it hits around the $50.00 mark with more bad economic news. No one truly knows. But, I personally choose to position build over time while using charts and fundamental information. At $67.00, NASDAQ:DLTR is in a personal buy zone. If it drops further and fundamentals don't nosedive, more shares will likely be added.
Target #1 = $81.00
Target #2 = $88.00
Target #3 = $94.00
Place long orders after the adjustment is over!After gold accelerated its rise in the Asian session, it fell back in the European session and temporarily entered an adjustment cycle, accumulating strength to provide power for the next round of launch. The short-term support in the US session is 3430 and 3412. In terms of operation, go long according to the strength of the decline. There is still no guess on the top, and gradually look to 3480 and 3500! Short-term volatility has increased, and the notice has been issued before the market!
Operation suggestion: Gold is long near 3410-15, and look at 3445 and 3455!
Gold's retracement is an opportunity to go longStay long and don't relax. Continue to buy gold when it falls back!
The gold market has fluctuated violently recently, with a rise of $100 and a fall of $90, which has brought great obstacles to our trading. Long and short positions with bad entry positions will be washed out, so we need to wait patiently for opportunities in operation. The strong market remains unchanged. Continue to buy when it falls back. Find the watershed position to participate in the transaction. It is better to miss it than to be too aggressive. In the Asian session, I will share with you the support of the 3405/3410 watershed of gold. I will rely on this position to buy when it falls back. Gold hit a high of 3499 during the day, which is one step away from 3500. The European and American sessions fell back by $90, which just happened to fall back to the watershed position shared with you in the Asian session. The long orders have also been realized at the target position. Friends who have participated should pay attention to protecting profits, and friends who are short should wait patiently for opportunities and not be too aggressive!
XAU/USD: Trend Remains Strong as Price Holds Above Key SupportThe XAU/USD market continues its impressive rally, recently reaching a new all-time high at 3500 before pulling back toward support and the previous day's high. The price action completed an ABC structure prior to this retracement.
Currently, the market may be forming a triangle or flag pattern, similar to past consolidation setups. As long as the price remains above the upward trendline and the critical 3400 support level, the probability of a trend continuation remains high. A retest of the ATH level followed by a move higher is likely, with the next target at the resistance zone around 3520
The latest operation layout of gold,long is still the main trendGold once touched the 3,500 mark today, setting a record high, with an intraday increase of more than 2%. Today, gold once started to rise from the early trading low near 3413, reaching the highest level near the 3500 mark. But then the trend suddenly changed, and the European and American markets have been in a correction and retracement. So far, gold has hit a low near 3410, and is currently correcting to maintain a correction near 3430.
From the trend of 3285 to 3500, we can see that 3420-18 is exactly the 61.8% support position of the Fibonacci dividing line.
The upper area near 3450 is currently the moving average suppression position, and there may be a correction here. If gold cannot close above 3450 tonight, then it is estimated that there is a possibility of a fall later. However, once it continues to stand firm at 3450 tonight, it will continue to test 3500 or even a new high. Therefore, for subsequent operations, I suggest that we can rely on 3430-20 to enter the market and do long, and the target is 3450-60.
If you agree with this point of view, or you have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD CAPITALCOM:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD
The Big (BTC) Short*please note that this chart has been "flipped" so is upside down.
It's difficult to ignore the number of indicators and chart patterns that are signalling a move up for Bitcoin:
- Bullish div in daily RSI
- Oversold daily RSI
- Breakout of downtrend (both RSI and chart pattern)
- Near-touch of the previous ATH
Etc
HOWEVER this idea is a "what-if-everyones-wrong" hedge. We've already seen a break in the uptrend that was in play since Oct 23 so it is feasible that if we break through again we could see a significant move down to the sound of -30% which would re-test the 618 fib and is a liquidity-rich Zone.
Entry @ 94K (which ironically is also the 618 measuring from ATH to the local trough @ 74.5K) which coincides with the random "pump" we saw on Sunday 2nd March. I think the crypto God's are telling us something with this particular price point/wick.
Estimated flight time is roughly 2 months (back end of June).
Macro $BTC Trend - Weekly IH&SZoomed out view of BITSTAMP:BTCUSD on weekly view. Macro inverted head and shoulders with a falling wedge. Chart also has previous trend channels.
On a macro basis, I think this is bullish. My guess is that we might get rejected by the 8 week VWAP and retest the prior trend line at ~$88k.
However... I could also see this getting momentum and breaking out of the falling wedge. I tend to err on the side of caution here and with an election about to happen, I don't plan on scaling back in until ~February.
Keeping a close eye on this one. If it does breakout of the wedge to the upside, it should be a very quick move to the $130k+ range.