Microsoft - This might be the ultimate breakout!Microsoft - NASDAQ:MSFT - will break the all time high:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
If you wonder why Microsoft has been rallying +15% this month, market structure will give you an answer. In fact, the recent bullish break and retest was totally expected, and if we take into account the recent quite strong bullish behaviour, an all time high breakout will follow soon.
Levels to watch: $450
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
Trendlineanalysis
XAUUSD | 1H Chart Analysis | Uptrendurrently, Gold (XAUUSD) is showing bullish momentum after breaking previous market structure to the upside. Price has formed a clear Higher Low (HL) and Higher Highs (HH), indicating that short-term structure has shifted into an uptrend.
🔼 Key Technical Observations:
The previous LL (Lower Low) got broken, and price created a new HL, showing buyer pressure.
The bullish structure is supported by an ascending trendline.
Price is currently trading near PDH (Previous Day High) and approaching a key supply/resistance zone (highlighted in red).
RSI is still not in extreme zones but steadily climbing, showing strength in the current bullish move.
📊 Current Market Structure:
Shift from previous downtrend into short-term uptrend.
Formation of clear HL & HH.
Price respecting trendline support.
Clean bullish break of internal resistance levels.
📌 Potential Scenarios:
Scenario 1 (Bullish Continuation):
If price holds above the PDH and supply zone gets broken, we may see continuation toward TP1 and higher.
Scenario 2 (Rejection & Short-term Pullback):
If price faces strong rejection from the current supply zone, short-term retracement is possible toward the previous demand zones or trendline support.
Possible pullback zones: 3340 → 3320 → 3310 area.
✅ Bias: Short-Term Bullish
As long as price holds above the HL zone and trendline, bulls are in control. But keep an eye on price reaction around current supply zone for any signs of weakness or reversal.
Bitcoin - Here we have the all time high!Bitcoin - CRYPTO:BTCUSD - is just getting started:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
It was really just a matter of time until we see a new all time high on Bitcoin. Consindering that over the past two months alone, Bitcoin rose another +50%, this was a clear indication that bulls are taking over. But this all time high is clearly not the end of the bullrun.
Levels to watch: $300.000
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
Tesla - There's more after the +60% rally!Tesla - NASDAQ:TSLA - will blow even further:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
It is almost incredible to see such a large cap stock rally more than +60% in less than two months. But Tesla is clearly the exception and therefore we should expect the unexpected. What's quite likely is at least another rally of about 25% from here and a retest of the previous all time high.
Levels to watch: $250, $400
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
TSLA: Uptrend channel bounce, trading between 50 and 200-day SMAHey guys/gals!
So we all know that Tesla took a massive drop last week. It fell about 14%, and was down even 3% after hours at one point. I think we can all agree this crash wasn't technicals driven - it was clearly headline impacted. This was a clear black swan even t, and even in my case, nothing like this has ever happened to me as a trader. It was unforeseeable, forced me to hedge overnight and I'm still having nightmares (lol). Definitely one to remember as I don't think something like this would happen with any other stock. Tesla is truly unique in this sense.
But looking at the bigger picture, the bounce that we experienced on Friday must've been technicals driven, and psychologically influenced, as I am almost certain that the crash was a massive overreaction. People woke up the next day and thought this was severely discounted over a couple social media tweets (I won't go into the politics of things).
As you see on the chart, Tesla may in a new upward channel. At first I figured this may be a bear flag, however due to the upcoming catalyst like the Robotaxi launch - this would likely only be a bear flag if prices crashes below the lower support trend line.
As long as price is within the channel, I'd say things are holding up. We'd likely see a jump towards the upper side of the channel - however it's important to note that $300 and £360 are major resistance points. Robotaxi launch and any future tweets will definitely move price, and I think those will be a factor in determining whether price goes up or crashes below the trend line.
Another thing to point out is that price is currently trading between the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. The 50-day SMA is acting as vital support, whereas the 200-day SMA is the resistance. If there is a break above the 200-day SMA, price will likely go higher. The opposite may happen if price crashes below the 50-day SMA.
Either way, headlines and technicals mentioned above will continue to influence price.
Note: not financial advice.
Detailed analysis of the BTC/USD 4H chart🔍1. Chart Context
Interval: 4 hours (H4)
Current price: Around 104,950 – 105,400 USD
Range of recent candles: Strong rebound after a decline to around 101,000 USD.
Lower indicator: Stochastic RSI
📊2. Price Action Analysis
Market structure
Main trend (recent days): Downtrend – from the peaks of ~114,000 USD a clear sequence of lower highs and lower lows.
Recent hours: Dynamic decline, followed by a quick, strong rebound from around 101,000 USD to ~105,000 USD.
Key technical levels
✅Resistance:
~105,500–106,000 USD – local peak of the last rebound wave and earlier lows from the end of May.
~108,000 USD – next key level, with a bigger upward movement.
Support:
~102,000–101,000 USD – bottom of the last movement, quick demand reaction, so-called “stop run” or false breakout.
~99,000 USD – psychological zone and important level in case of further declines.
📊3. Indicators
Stochastic RSI (bottom of the chart)
Currently: Stochastic RSI strongly overbought (above 80 points), both lines (blue and orange) are at the top and slightly curling.
Conclusion: Possible short-term correction/slowdown in growth. Overbought Stochastic RSI often precedes pullbacks, especially when testing important resistances.
🧠4. Possible scenarios
Bulls – Upside scenario:
If BTC breaks above $105,500 with momentum, a move to $106,000–108,000 is possible (another resistance and short squeeze).
The key will be the closing of the 4h candle above $105,500.
Bears – Downside scenario:
If the price does not break $105,500, profit taking and a pullback to $103,000–102,000 are possible.
Strong defense of the $101,000–102,000 level by the bulls – if it is broken again, it threatens to deepen the declines even to $99,000.
📊5. Additional Notes
Reduced Volatility: After such a strong bounce, there is often a period of “calmness” and consolidation.
Potential Traps: False breakouts for 4h and sudden changes in direction (characteristic of the crypto market).
📌6. Warning Signals
Stochastic RSI overbought – suggests to be cautious with long positions “on the top” without additional confirmation.
Lack of continuation after a strong bounce – if the price does not “reach” higher in the next candles, the risk of a correction increases.
🧠Summary:
Currently: BTC/USD in a short-term bounce phase after a strong decline. The price is approaching a significant resistance (~105,500 USD). Stochastic RSI shows overbought – possible correction or sideways movement.
Direction for the next few hours: Reactions at USD 105,500 (resistance) and ~USD 102,000 (support) will be key.
ZYDUS LIFESCIENCES AT BEST SUPPORT !!This is the 4 hour Chart of ZYDUSLIFE.
Zydus Lifesciences at good support zone near ₹920–₹930 range.
Zyduslife is moving in a Higher High and Higher Low (HH-HL) formation.
Stock has formed a broadening pattern within the channel.
If this level is sustain, we may see higher prices in ZYDUSLIFE.
THANK YOU !!
Ethereum - The most important analysis for 2025!Ethereum - CRYPTO:ETHUSD - is clearly shifting bullish:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
After four years of trading, Ethereum is now sitting at the exact same level compared to mid 2021. However, Ethereum has been creating a significant triangle pattern and with the recent bullish price action, a breakout becomes more and more likely. Then, the sky is the limit.
Levels to watch: $4.000
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
MCLOUD📊 Stock Analysis: MCLOUD
The stock has been consolidating within a ascending triangle pattern and is nearing a critical Buy Above level at ₹80 , signaling a potential breakout. The target is set at ₹179, offering a potential gain of 123.75%. Key insights:
Trend: A breakout above the wedge could indicate renewed bullish momentum.
Support Levels: Strong support around ₹75 , making this a low-risk entry point.
Volume Buzz: The recent increase in volume shows rising investor interest.
🔔 Keep an eye on this setup! Always analyze your risk tolerance before making any decisions.
📢 Disclaimer: This post is for educational purposes and not financial advice. Conduct your research or consult a financial advisor before investing.
What are your thoughts? Share them below! 📝
#StockTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #BreakoutTrading #MCLOUD
Xrp - New all time highs will come next!Xrp - CRYPTO:XRPUSD - is preparing for new all time highs:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
Xrp has clearly been trading sideways for the past 8 years. Meanwhile, market structure is respected perfectly and it seems to be just a matter of time until Xrp will create new all time highs. With the recent bullish break and retest, this scenario becomes even more likely.
Levels to watch: $3.0
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
$AMD $120 retest then $130 push through. R/R looks incredible..Hello, NASDAQ:AMD Advanced Micro Devices, INC looks TASTY. I'm almost salivating. NASDAQ:NVDA may take a backseat and NASDAQ:AMD could start seeing monster upside. Something in my gut is telling me this name wants to GO. I'm looking at $120c for 6/20 and $130c for 6/20. This thing can launch.. it's hanging on an upside trendline, it may break but this $110 area may represent local support. Earnings report were good and after an abysmal 2024 after having highs and totally wiping them out hitting lows of $80, I think this could be the time for NASDAQ:AMD longs. It has taken the 20 day EMA/SMA over and now could curl to the 200 day EMA/SMA. 200 SMA is $126. This seems like a really good setup especially R/R here. Very cheap calls for a name that can see a 10-15% week.
WSL.
Taming the Trend: Mastering the Williams Alligator IndicatorEver wondered how to spot when the market is sleeping or ready to roar? At Xuantify , we use the Williams Alligator Indicator to decode market behavior with precision. Whether you're trading crypto, forex, stocks, or indices — this tool adapts across all markets. Let's take a closer look using BINANCE:BTCUSDT
🧠 How We Use It at Xuantify
We treat the Alligator as a trend confirmation and timing tool . We don’t just look for crossovers — we analyze the distance , angle , and alignment of the lines to gauge market momentum and trend maturity. It’s especially powerful when combined with volume and volatility filters.
⭐ Key Features
Three Smoothed Moving Averages
Jaw (Blue) : 13-period, shifted 8 bars forward
Teeth (Red) : 8-period, shifted 5 bars forward
Lips (Green) : 5-period, shifted 3 bars forward
Visual Trend Clarity :
The spacing and direction of the lines reveal trend strength and direction
Built-in Delay :
Forward shifting helps anticipate rather than react
💡 Benefits Compared to Other Indicators
Trend Clarity
Alligator : Strong — bold trend visualization
Moving Averages : Moderate — can lag or overlap
MACD : Good — clear histogram and signal line
Noise Filtering
Alligator : Excellent — smooths out market noise
Moving Averages : Low — sensitive to short-term fluctuations
MACD : Good — filters minor moves
Early Signals
Alligator : Moderate — waits for confirmation
Moving Averages : Fast — quick crossovers
MACD : Fast — early divergence signals
Visual Simplicity
Alligator : Clear — easy to interpret trend phases
Moving Averages : Cluttered — multiple lines can overlap
MACD : Complex — requires interpretation of histogram + lines
⚙️ Settings That Matter
For shorter timeframes : Reduce periods (e.g., 8-5-3) for faster signals
For longer timeframes : Stick with defaults or increase smoothing for clarity
Shift values : Keep them forward-shifted to maintain predictive edge
📊 Enhancing Signal Accuracy
Wait for clear separation between the lines
Confirm with volume spikes or breakouts
Use price action (e.g., higher highs/lows) as confirmation
🧩 Best Combinations with This Indicator
Fractals : For entry/exit signals
ATR : For dynamic stop-loss placement
RSI or Stochastic : To avoid overbought/oversold traps
Volume Profile : To validate breakout zones
⚠️ What to Watch Out For
Flat Alligator = No Trade Zone : Avoid trading when lines are tangled
Lag in Fast Markets : In high-volatility assets, the Alligator may react late
Over-reliance : Always combine with other tools for confirmation
🚀 Final Thoughts
The Williams Alligator isn’t just an indicator — it’s a market behavior model . At Xuantify, we use it to stay aligned with the market’s rhythm, avoid chop, and ride trends with confidence.
🔔 Follow us for more educational insights and strategy breakdowns!
BTCUSD Price action analysis on HTFHi, I’m from Phoenix FX, and today I’ll be sharing my perspective on Bitcoin (BTC) price action based on the higher timeframes.
I’ll also give you my outlook on potential trade setups for today and tomorrow. Please remember that this is not financial advice—use this information as a guide only. If you find it helpful, don’t forget to like and share it with your like-minded communities.
Higher Timeframe Analysis
In my view, BTC tends to follow clear bullish and bearish cycle zones. Typically, we see a pump to new all-time highs (ATH), followed by the formation of resistance and a retracement down to a key support level. Our trading approach focuses on identifying those critical support and resistance levels, with some interim trades based on shorter-term analysis—occasionally even counter-trend, depending on the day’s market bias.
Over the past eight years, BTC has respected a major trend resistance line. The most recent ATH, around $112K, reconfirmed the relevance of this trendline. This makes it a valuable tool for projecting future ATH levels.
Looking ahead, I expect a move towards the $115K level in the coming weeks. This would likely act as a point of resistance, at which stage we might see a reversal and a drop back down to a key support zone.
Trade Setup
The chart I'm referencing highlights what I would consider the first premium buy zone, identified using a 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG).
The 50% level of this zone sits at $99,450. If this zone fails to hold, we may drop further to the secondary premium buy zone, which aligns with our higher timeframe (HTF) trend support and a weekly FVG. The 50% level of this deeper zone is around $89,150.
A potential long entry at $92,550, with a stop loss around $88,000, offers an excellent risk-to-reward (RR) ratio, targeting a move up to the $115K level.
Intraday Outlook
For today, I see bearish price action, with potential rejection around the $104,300–$105,000 range. Go short around the $104,750 to $105,000 zone
This could lead to a move down toward the lower key zones highlighted in the HTF analysis.
I recommend taking partial profits (TP) at every $1,000 increment and setting your stop loss to breakeven (BE) after hitting the first target.
Final Thoughts
Price action analysis is always subjective, so I’d love to hear your thoughts and ideas in the comments—each one, teach one.
Thanks for giving me some of your time.
From the Phoenix FX team, have a great weekend!
EURUSD Structural Analysis | Curve Breakout to Key Reversal Zone🔍 Structure Analysis:
The EURUSD pair has been exhibiting classic smart money behavior following a reaccumulation phase beneath a curved resistance structure. This curve acted as a dynamic liquidity ceiling, engineered to trap breakout traders during early sessions and encourage early shorts — only to be invalidated later by institutional momentum.
What we now see is a clean structural breakout, a shift in market sentiment, and a precision drive toward premium liquidity zones, where we expect reactions from institutional orders or profit-taking.
📐 Technical Breakdown:
🔹 1. Curved Resistance Breakout (Trend Manipulation Layer)
The curve represents a multi-touch descending resistance line that was gradually compressing price.
Multiple rejections created a false sense of bearish continuation, but in reality, smart money was accumulating positions under the curve.
The final breakout was impulsive and occurred on elevated volume, breaking both the curve and a short-term bearish structure.
🔹 2. Bullish Market Structure Confirmation
Higher highs and higher lows are now clearly established.
After the curve break, the price pulled back slightly, respecting the new trendline support — a sign of retest behavior and continuation.
The previous internal structure break was confirmed after a key swing high was violated, flipping the order flow to bullish.
🔹 3. SR Interchange + QFL Demand Zone
The 1.11800–1.12200 zone held firm during the retracement, previously acting as a strong resistance and now a support flip.
This zone coincides with a QFL-style accumulation base — a concept based on sudden dips into support where big orders are filled before sharp reversals.
Wick rejections and candle closes show strong interest by buyers.
🔹 4. Trendline & Structure Alignment
A clean ascending trendline is acting as dynamic support.
Each touch on the trendline has been followed by bullish expansion — another indication of institutional order flow support.
This trendline also aligns with internal FVGs (Fair Value Gaps), offering more confluence.
🔹 5. Liquidity Magnet: Next Major Zone
The next key area is marked around 1.15500–1.15750, which is a previous structural high, order block, and likely liquidity pool for pending sell-side orders.
This area is expected to act as a magnet, pulling price toward it before a potential reversal or redistribution phase begins.
📊 Trade Management Plan:
Parameter Details
Bias Bullish (Short-Term to Mid-Term)
Entry Zones Retest of trendline or minor FVGs
TP1 1.14500 (interim supply)
TP2 (Main) 1.15500–1.15750 (major liquidity zone)
SL Below 1.11800 (invalidates bullish idea)
RR Target 1:2.5 to 1:3 depending on entry precision
🧠 Concepts Applied:
Smart Money Concepts (SMC)
Break of Structure (BOS) & Change of Character (CHOCH)
Curve Manipulation / Compression
SR Flip (Support-Resistance Interchange)
QFL (Quasimodo Failure Level)
Trendline + FVG Confluence
Liquidity Pool Targeting
Volume Expansion Breakout Confirmation
🛎️ Watchlist Notes & Trade Expectations:
Expect short-term pullbacks into the 1.13000–1.13200 zone for liquidity re-tests.
Watch for reaction or sweep near 1.15500 — this is where short-term sellers may enter, and institutions may offload.
If price holds above the trendline and consolidates near the high, a continuation leg to even higher targets (1.16500) is possible — depending on macro conditions.
✅ Conclusion:
This EURUSD setup is a high-probability opportunity shaped by smart money behavior and deep structural context. The combination of the curve breakout, trendline strength, and liquidity targeting provides a clear roadmap for execution and management.
Use this analysis as a framework — always confirm with price action and risk management aligned with your personal strategy.
Nvidia - The bullish consolidation flag!Nvidia - NASDAQ:NVDA - is still quite bullish:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
After Nvidia retested a major horizontal support just last month, we witnessed an extremely strong bullish reversal candle which resulted in a strong +50% rally. Considering the bullish flag consolidation, a breakout is much more likely, but not in the immediate future.
Levels to watch: $150
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)