Art of Trading - Trendlines 101First of all, I would like express my gratitude to all the followers and the support I have recently received from the community!
This one is for everyone who has recently started with TradingView or are existing users but are very new to the art of trading.
Today we'll be looking at "Trendlines" with a certain example that might leverage the importance of these lines.
Before we get started, I want to mention a couple of qualities that are very essential for trading,
-Patience
-Resilience
lack thereof which, the markets would definitely and repeatedly teach you!
So, what is a trendline? Any two closes connected by a straight line can be called a trendline. Usually used in higher TF's (timeframes)but can also be used on smaller TFs.
What is it's purpose? Once a certain trend has been established in a given TF and such line has been drawn, these can be used to identify supports or resistance where a probable bounce and continuation of the trend could occur.
If the market is trending upwards, a line connecting the lows of two candles, usually the first breakout candle and the lowest pullback candle, can be established as a support trendline (see illustration).
The same applies for a market that is trending downwards which will give us a resistance trendline.
Trendlines in my opinion will always be respected by a market, and also act as, for the lack of a better word, magnets, pulling the asset towards it. So when an asset is hovering around a support trendline, chances are that the asset is pulled towards it. If the trend is strong enough the asset bounces, it not it breaks through. Once broken through support becomes resistance and vice versa.
There will be of course instances when the asset breaks through a trendline but still closes above the trendline, faking participants out of the market, usually referred to as shaking out weak hands. But that's a topic for a different time.
Now that you are aware what Trendlines are, what can you infer from the illustration above? Leave a comment!
If you like this sort of posts, hit boost, so I can prepare more such content. I'm also only human, and still learning, and if you think the information I provide is erroneous, please let me so I can correct and learn together with you! Learning never stops! See you in the next one, peace!
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Trendlineanalysis
AltCoin - Bullish potentialThis is not financial advice. It is crucial to conduct your own research and due diligence before making any investment decisions."
There is a higher probability for the AltCoin market to rise rather than fall. Currently, it is facing a resistance level, which, while not major, is significant due to the presence of a trendline. This trendline indicates potential market behavior and suggests a likely direction for future movements.
EUR/GBP Struggling to Find Grip at Support
The EUR/GBP cross recently shook hands with support made up of Fibonacci ratios between £0.8408 and £0.8434 (consisting of 78.6% and 88.6% retracement ratios and a 1.618% projection ratio). While buyers have attempted to make a stand from the aforementioned area, the trend has largely favoured bears since November’s top (2023) at £0.8766. A clear descending resistance also warrants attention overhead that may discourage buying, extended from November’s peak.
Given the current structure/trend, traders (and investors) may watch the descending resistance – as well as resistance marked above at £0.8500 – for selling opportunities over the coming weeks.
XAUUSD New York Next ReverseOk, I m done for today, but if you want to watch this, NY buys could be still open. H4 is still bullish.
Wait for momentum, wait for lower low: Entry. Keep an Eye on RSI M30 downwards. The higher TF is controlling.
Theoretically you can follow these trendlines, until they leave the honoring zone ( in this downtrend the one above)
A Trading Plan Is Important For Success - Here Is MineIn this video we take a look at a trend continuation trading strategy. I explain my approach to trading how I identify a trend and what I look for for high probability trade opportunities. As always the information is for educational purposes only and not to be construed as financial advice.
Nasdaq - Soon heading to $30.000?Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at the Nasdaq .
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Explanation of my video analysis:
For more than a decade, the Nasdaq index has been trading in a rising channel formation with the last retest of the support trendline being back in the end of 2022. At the moment, Nasdaq is retesting the upper resistance trendline and if we actually see a breakout over the next 2 months, we might see a similar rally of +50% compared to the one which we saw back in 2020.
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
GOLD IS READY TO INCREASE IN PRICEGold prices fell near $2,300 per ounce on Tuesday, hovering at one-month lows, as investors wait for US inflation data and the Federal Reserve's policy announcement later in the week. Traders will closely monitor for cues on when the Fed might begin reducing rates, in light of a stronger-than-expected payroll report last Friday.
🔴SELL GOLD: 2320 - 2322, SL: 2327
🔴SELL GOLD: 2338 - 2340, SL: 2344
🟢BUY GOLD: 2270 - 2268, SL: 2264
🔝Technical analysis:
Gold experienced a sharp fall after being affected by two important news about China stopping buying gold in May and Nonfarm being very good for USD.
Today Gold is staying in the price range of 2320$ -2280$. Waiting for the scalp is the breakout strategy here
⛔️Breakout:
📈 Breakout on: 2309 - 2320 - 2329
📉 Breakout below: 2286 - 2280
🔼Support: 2286 - 2280 - 2274 - 2268 - 2259
🔽Resistance: 2308 - 2320 - 2329 - 2338
GOOD LUCK EVERYONE👍
Gold - Another 15% rally from here!Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at Gold .
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Explanation of my video analysis:
For about four years, Gold has over and over again been retesting the psychological $2.000 resistance level. It was actually just a matter of time, until we see the breakout which happened exactly three months ago. So far Gold is looking very bullish and there is absolutely no reason why this strength should turn around in the near future.
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
GBP/USD: 350 Pips Sell from Third Trend Line BounceGBP/USD is in the midst of a compelling sell-off following its third bounce off a critical descending trend line on the daily chart, reinforcing a strong bearish trend purely through price action. The pair has started its descent from the 1.2850 area and is expected to plummet 350 pips, targeting the 1.2500 level. This classic technical setup underscores the power of trend line resistance in dictating market direction. Jump into this move to capitalize on the ongoing momentum, aiming for significant gains as the price heads towards the key support zone!
DJ30 New Key Levels Trend AnalysisWhen you look at the daily range on DJ30 you can see that those zones ( horizontal blue) do not offer clean entries, because they are being honored.
But we get a clear direction and momentum and even though there is no clear RSI value, instead we have much volatility and a diagonal trendline being supported various times. The less distant it bounces from the trendline, the weaker it gets.
Pay attention to the new trendline that has been created. It might not be very accurate yet, because we have little data. But this is how it could possibly look like if this continues to drop...
strong trend in goldgold price dumped in big way on strong nfp number
but price mostly came down before news
but still you can't ignore 4% ur after long time
you have declining trend line tested 5 time while rising rsi
price have not even tested 2300 psychology level but sentiment are bad for gold right white first cut shift post election
overall white trend line is your big dynamic support level
UPl | Wyckoff Events & Phases Explained Wyckoff developed a price action market theory which is still a leading principle in today's trading practice.
The Wyckoff method states that the price cycle of a traded instrument consists of 4 stages – Accumulation, Markup, Distribution, and MarkDown.
👉TEXTBOOK EXAMPLE Accumulation Schematic: Wyckoff Events and Phases👈
Price Action Analysis
And this is the accumulation stage -
1) PS— Preliminary Support, where substantial buying begins to provide pronounced support after a continued down-move.
- Volume increases and price spread widens, signaling that the down-move may be approaching its end.
2) SC—Selling Climax, the point at which widening spread and selling pressure usually in high point and heavy or panicky selling by the public is being absorbed by larger professional interests at or near a bottom.
- Often price will close well off the low in an SC, reflecting the buying by these large interests.
3) AR—Automatic Rally, which occurs because intense selling pressure has greatly decline.
- A wave of buying easily pushes prices up.
- The high of this rally will help define the upper boundary of an accumulation.
4) ST—Secondary Test, in which price revisits the area of the SC to test the supply/demand.
- If a bottom is to be confirmed, volume and price spread should be decline as the market approaches support in the area of the SC.
- It is common to have multiple STs after an SC.
5) SOS—Sign Of Strength, a price advance on increasing spread and relatively higher volume.
6) LPS—Last Point Of Support, the low point of a reaction or pullback after an SOS.
7) BU/LPS- Backing up to an LPS means a pullback to support that was formerly resistant, on diminished spread and volume.
All the phases of accumulation stage-
Phase A:
Phase A marks the stopping of the prior downtrend.
-- Up to this point, supply has been dominant.
-- The approaching cutback of supply is evidenced in preliminary support (PS) and a selling climax (SC).
-- A successful secondary test (ST) in the area of the SC will show less selling than previously and a narrowing of spread and decreased volume, generally stopping at or above the same price level as the SC.
-- If the ST goes lower than that of the SC, one can anticipate either new lows or prolonged consolidation.
-- Horizontal lines may be drawn to help focus attention on market behavior, as seen in the two Accumulation Schematics above.
Phase B:
-- Phase B serves the function of “building a cause” for a new uptrend
-- In Phase B, institutions and large professional interests are accumulating relatively low-priced inventory in anticipation of the next markup.
--There are usually multiple STs during Phase B'
-- Institutional buying and selling impart the characteristic up-and-down price action of the trading range.
--Early on in Phase B, the price swings tend to be wide and accompanied by high volume.
Phase C:
-- It is in Phase C that the stock price goes through a final test of the remaining supply.
-- this marks the beginning of a new uptrend, trapping the late sellers (bears).
-- It indicates that the stock is likely to be ready to move up, so this is a good time to initiate at least a partial long position.
-- The appearance of an SOS shortly after a spring or shakeout validates the analysis.
Phase D:
--During Phase D, the price will move at least to the top
--LPSs in this phase are generally excellent places to initiate or add to profitable long positions.
Phase E:
--large operators can occur at any point in Phase E.
--These are sometimes called “stepping stones” on the way to even higher price targets.
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Revive Traders
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Amazon - Two trading setups!Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at Amazon.
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Explanation of my video analysis:
In 2020 Amazon stock created massive resistance roughly at the $180 level and started a major correction away from the resistance in 2022. As we are speaking Amazon stock is once again retesting this major resistance level and is therefore at a quite decisive inflection point. Either we will see a breakout or another rejection after which we could then see the overall continuation towards the upside.
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Dow Jones - All time high and 20% rally?Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at the Dow Jones .
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Explanation of my video analysis:
For more than a decade, the Dow Jones has been trading in a rising channel formation. We had the first retest of support and resistance back in 2011 and ever since this was a massively profitable channel pattern. With the recent breakout above the $35.000 resistance level, the Dow Jones clearly looks like the next target is once again the upper resistance of the channel.
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
SWING TUTORIAL - EMAMILTDThe stock had found a Resistance zone @ 602 during Aug 2021 and had started a Lower Low Pattern ever since.
Eventually finding its Support Zone @ 360 during Mar 2023 after 1 Year and 7 Months.
At this point notice that the Lower Low Pattern in the Price Action, however MACD slightly started showing a Higher Low formation. Hence the Convergence Divergence indicating a good move upward and also the 1st confirmation upward.
Finally in July the stock showed its 2nd confirmation once it successfully exited the Lower Low Pattern Trendline with a massive huge green candle.
Thus giving us our 1st Entry point at this stage which took the stock as close to the previous Resistance zone @ 602 and a safe exit as High as 31% for the Trade as well.
Another cool thing to note here is the Stock also retested the same breakout zone and the MACD as well was making a new Crossover, thus indicating another fresh Entry into the stock.
This trade had eventually broken the 4 Year Resistance zone @ 602 with a large volume and taking the stock as High as 67% in returns as of today.
What do you think about this Tutorial? Give your comments in the Comments Section below:
EURNZD 450 pips projectionLooking at the Daily timeframe, we can see that price is in a big Triangle pattern and it's about to test the Bullish trend line. Upon touching the trend line, wait for a clean Bullish Daily candle to close for confirmation, then swing all the way up to the top of the triangle. Let me know what u think in the comment section.
GAIL An extremely bullish Reversal, Poised to break it's ATHThe stock is in continuous uptrend , with no evidence of sellers in major time frames.
The stock has reversed from 38.2% retracement in weekly.
I am looking to enter this counter at cmp with 184.20 as SL and minimum 15% ROI - 224 and then trail further.
EurUsd - Lower, 1.000 pips lowerHello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at EurUsd .
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Explanation of my video analysis:
EurUsd has been trading in a descending channel formation for a very long period of time. At the moment EurUsd is once again retesting the upper resistance in confluence with a horizontal structure so there is simply a higher chance that we will see a continuation lower from here. This means that as stock traders - especially from Europe - we can continue to trade our U.S. stock position without worries.
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Cable moving into Daily trendline resistance near 1.28Cable has seen some nice recovery at the end of 2023; move is looking impulsive so more gains can be seen after the corrective retracement which has unfolded down from March highs. So far, price came down with three waves but pair is making a nice turn-up in last few weeks, out of a downward channel, thus it appears that pair is back in bullish mode. In fact, UK CPI figures reported last week indicated a cooling of inflation, but not as much as expected, so potential June cuts are most likely off the table. Looking at the 4h time frame, we see nice five subwaves up as expected which look like a wave 3, therefore we can expect much higher targets after a next pullback while market trades above 1.2570 invalidation level. However, there can be some resistance in the short-term, near the daily trendline that comes in around 1.28.
Support on dips is at 1.2650.
Semiconductor Bull Run: Is it OVER?AMD is experiencing a breakout from the falling wedge pattern, which is a bullish signal. Currently, the stock is above its immediate support zone and ended the last trading session with a bullish harami candle.
Although sell pressure seems unlikely given the current levels, keep an eye on the medium-term support zone to reassess your trading strategy if needed.
These levels are suitable for options trading and could result in excellent swing trades based on liquidity analysis.
The price target is between $185 and $190, with the potential to reach $200 if the bullish momentum continues.
Let's monitor how this develops.
$PFE on the moveVery clear picture on NYSE:PFE on a weekly timeframe
If it stays above the centre line, the trend is up and I have an initial target of around $35
If takes out the protective stock we have a continuation of the downtrend and this was just a minor upward correction.
Risk/Reward ratio 2.90
What's your take on NYSE:PFE from here?
Up or Down