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Trend Line Break

GOLD → Profit taking led to the rally. But it's not all bad... GOLD after the retest of 2430 fell under the selloff, there is no pressure on the price of metal, but the reason may be profit taking amid the selloff in stocks and in anticipation of economic data from the United States. Traders are waiting for US GDP and Initial Jobless CLaims, which will be released at 12:30 GMT. The data may have a medium-term impact on the market, but the whole focus is on PCE, which will be released on Friday. Investors expect the Fed to deliver its long-awaited rate cut in September. In a low interest rate environment, gold's appeal increases. If the data on Friday shows that inflation is slowing down, it will be a good sign for gold. Technically, a correction is forming, with emphasis on 2370, or 2350. Strong support areas that can keep the market from falling. Resistance levels: 2377, 2392 Support levels: 2370, 2355, 2350 The price stops in the zone of 2370-2377 in general it can give some prerequisites for a rebound. If gold can consolidate above 2377, the price may move into the recovery phase, if not, traders may test the liquidity in 2355-2350 before further growth. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★GOLD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
8
NVDA April 26, 2024: An Attempt to Resume the UptrendOn April 26, 2024, The weekly chart of NASDAQ:NDX shows a weekly recovery from the MA-30 week. NASDAQ:NDX closed near the weekly high which is encouraging. The current close is right near the resistance 17,780 which was broken during the week April 15-19. Looking closer at the daily chart we can see that the resistance is at the same level with both MA-20, MA-50, therefore this is a key level challenging the market next week. I started to buy a pilot position in NASDAQ:NVDA around the close of April 26. Reasons: Crossed up MA-20 Crossed up MA-50 Crossed up the small trendline (yellow line on the chart) This happened before the NASDAQ:NDX did so as described above.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by longsonvn
Gold Just Left me behind... AGAIN! Here's How you can Avoid This1. Daily Trendline Description: The yellow trendline running across the chart represents the overall upward trend on the daily timeframe. It shows that despite the recent fluctuations, the long-term trend has been bullish. Significance: This trendline serves as a dynamic support level. Traders often look for price action around this trendline to gauge the strength of the ongoing trend. A break below this trendline could signal a potential reversal or a stronger bearish movement. 2. Ascending Channel Larger Ascending Channel: Description: This channel is characterized by two parallel lines (yellow) sloping upwards. The price has been moving within this channel for a considerable period. Significance: The upper boundary acts as resistance, while the lower boundary serves as support. The price breaking below the lower boundary can indicate the end of the bullish trend and the beginning of a bearish trend. Smaller Ascending Channel: Description: A smaller channel within the larger context, indicating a shorter-term upward movement. Significance: The break below this smaller channel, as shown on the chart, signifies a potential reversal or correction within the larger trend. 3. Support/Resistance Description: Horizontal lines marked as support and resistance represent key price levels where the price has historically faced buying or selling pressure. Significance: These levels are crucial for identifying potential entry and exit points. The support level acts as a floor where buying interest is strong enough to prevent the price from falling further. Conversely, the resistance level acts as a ceiling where selling interest prevents the price from rising further. 4. Higher High (HH) and Lower High (LH) HH (Higher High): Description: A peak higher than the previous peak, indicating the continuation of an uptrend. Significance: The formation of a higher high typically signals bullish momentum. However, in this case, the subsequent failure to maintain this level and the formation of a lower high (LH) suggests weakening bullish strength. LH (Lower High): Description: A peak lower than the previous peak, indicating potential trend reversal. Significance: The lower high after a higher high is a bearish signal, suggesting that buyers are losing control and sellers are gaining strength. 5. 15M/5M Bear Flag Entry Description: A bear flag pattern on the 15-minute and 5-minute timeframes is highlighted. This pattern consists of a sharp decline followed by a short consolidation in the form of an upward-sloping channel (flag). Significance: The bear flag is a continuation pattern, indicating that after a brief consolidation, the price is likely to continue its downward movement. The breakout from this flag pattern provides a potential entry point for short positions. 6. Target Profit Levels (TP 1 and Daily LQZ/TP 2) TP 1 (2,347.560): Description: The first target profit level is set at 2,347.560. Significance: This level is likely determined based on historical support levels or a measured move from the recent price action. Traders might look to take partial profits or exit their positions at this level. Daily LQZ/TP 2 (2,265.195): Description: The second target profit level is set at 2,265.195, which aligns with the daily liquidity zone. Significance: This is a more ambitious target, potentially indicating a stronger bearish move. The liquidity zone suggests an area with significant trading volume, which could act as a magnet for the price. Conclusion The chart presents a comprehensive analysis of the XAUUSD (Gold Spot) with multiple technical indicators suggesting a potential bearish outlook. The breakdown from the ascending channels, the formation of a lower high, and the bear flag pattern all point towards a continuation of the downward trend. The identified support and resistance levels, along with the target profit zones, provide clear benchmarks for managing trades.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Adlercon333
GOLD → False breakdown before the bullrun... ↑ FX:XAUUSD reacts perfectly to the 2390-2400 area, forming a false breakdown with subsequent growth to 2420, but I am now confused by the extremely low volatility.... The calm before the storm.... Gold is bullish on D1, while the dollar index is showing signs that the price may continue its decline in the medium term. Today at 13:45 GMT it is worth paying attention to the S&P PMI at 13:45 GMT and Hew Home Sales at 14:00. The data may revitalize the market, but we need to look at the actual numbers. Technically, gold has a bullish market on H1, but right now I am extremely confused by the very low volatility, which often leads to momentum to one side or the other. Based on the overall situation there is a chance to see a continuation of growth if the bulls hold their defenses above 2400-2405. Resistance levels: 2420, 2430, 2450 Support levels: 2405, 2400, 2392 The price is gradually updating the highs, forming clear support zones. A possible retest of the liquidity area before the subsequent bullrun to 2430-2450. It is not excluded that the price can break the structure and give a strong impulse down to 2370, but at the moment of market analysis there are no preconditions for it Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★GOLD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
19
EURUSD → Change of mood after a false breakout. $ is rising FX:EURUSD on D1 is trading in a strong and neutral sideways movement. SMAs just lay on the horizontal plane, but on H4-H1 a change of market character is forming on the background of growth of the dollar index Overall, the global neutral trend allows trading without much emphasis on the trend as there is none. The price is moving between the range boundaries, which simplifies the technical analysis. On H4 the market is changing its mood on the background of the dollar index growth, which in general can lead to the retest of the support zones and the liquidity located behind them. At the moment the focus is on the lower boundary of the range 1.08-1.082. A retest is possible in the near term, and the liquidity behind the zone could influence a bullish correction before a subsequent drop. Resistance levels: 1.085 Support levels: 1.0816, 1.08, 1.078 S&P PMI and New Home Sales are published today, it is worth paying attention to the news, as positive news for the US may strengthen the fall of the currency pair, while unpredictable news may affect the market in the opposite way Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:EURUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
4
GBPUSD → False breakdown led to the beginning of correctionFX:GBPUSD forms a false breakdown of resistance, which leads to a change in the nature of market movement. At this time, the dollar temporarily changes course and moves to the correction phase. GBPUSD is globally bullish. After breaking through resistance on D1, the price moves into the correction phase, which was generally logical to expect. Ahead is the key area on H4 - 1.29 from which a rebound is possible. A reversal pattern is forming locally, but the probability of a trend change is low. In the medium term I expect a correction to 0.5-0.7 fibo with further reversal, but the long-term outlook is bullish. The reason for this movement is the unstable fundamental environment due to the presidential race in the U.S. as well as the politically dependent opinion of the Fed, as well as the forex market movements are beginning to be influenced by Trump's speeches.... Resistance levels: 1.2978 Support levels: 1.290, 1.286, 1.284 Technically, we should wait for a bounce from 1.29 by 10-20% from the current movement with the aim to continue the correction towards the mentioned support zone. Thursday's news supported the dollar, today the general fundamental background remains (no news). Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ GBPUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
5
GOLD → False break of bullish range support ↑FX:XAUUSD is forming a false breakdown of the previously mentioned range - 2390 - 2400. The return to the buying zone is forming, buyers can push the price to 2450 A reversal swing pattern is forming in relation to the support, which is evidence of buyers' strength. The fundamental background is still unstable, there are many nuances from the Fed and the US presidential race, the geopolitical background in the Middle East and Eastern Europe is relatively stable. Today there is no news and in general we can bet on the work of technical analysis. Technically, if the bulls hold the defense above 2400-2405, then in the medium term we should expect an upward movement towards local liquidity zones as well as towards the upper boundary of the range. Resistance levels: 2405, 2412, 2420 Support levels: 2400, 2392 The market confirms the presence of the range, it is not excluded that the price may go down, but at the moment the situation looks like the bulls are actively defending the lower boundary of the range, which determines the short-term and medium-term prospects.... Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ GOLD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
11
ETHEREUM → 4K Target. Waiting for SEC with ETH-ETF ↑BINANCE:ETHUSDT is ending the sell-off phase. Buyers have held a strong support area, forming an intermediate bottom. The liquidity capture led to a rebound, which can move into the phase of the uptrend continuation. Fundamentally, the main focus is on ETH-ETFs. Earlier traders were positive about the initial rumors of approval, now the important milestone is the admission of ETFs to trading, judging by the feedback and SEC sentiment, this could happen very soon (within 1-2 weeks) Technically, strong buyers appear in the 2800-2900 zone (judging by candlestick patterns and volume growth), restraining the market from falling and gaining momentum with the purpose of further strengthening (local price movement has a consolidation character). The trigger area for buyers is 3200. Accordingly, further final consolidation of the price above MA-200 and breakout of 3200 may become the reason for strengthening, the target of which may be 4000-4800. Resistance levels: 3200, 3357 Support levels: MA-200, 2868 Fundamentally, the situation is positive, traders are waiting for the news from SEC. Technically, on local timeframes there are prerequisites for a bullish mood, on D1 a rebound from strong support is forming. Accordingly, the overall tandem is signaling a possible further rise to 4K. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ♦︎ ETHEREUM ♦︎ ;) Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
36
GOLD → Retest of the liquidity area in front of the bullrun ↑ FX:XAUUSD in the correction phase. The market is testing the support and liquidity zone within the counter-trend correction. The dollar may continue its downward phase, which would be a bullish leverage for the gold market In the week ahead it is worth paying attention to the S&P PMI to be released on Wednesday, GDP and Initial Jobless Claims on Thursday and PCE on Friday. Trump, as the presidential race progresses, has a growing chance of winning. If that happens, gold and cryptocurrencies will benefit on that backdrop. There is not much news today, so gold may test the liquidity area hiding behind 2390-2400. It is also worth paying attention to the new range of 2492 - 2390. Accordingly, if the bulls hold the defense above the lower boundary of this range, we will get a new trading plane. Resistance levels: 2411, 2420, 2430 Support levels: 2392, 2386 When trading gold, I recommend to always pay attention to the behavior of the dollar index, as it plays the main role in the market. Accordingly, if the dollar will begin to decline to the support with the purpose of breakthrough, in this case we should expect further growth in the gold market Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ GOLD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
22
GBPUSD → The correction is coming to an end. Next is 1.310? FX:GBPUSD is in a correction phase testing the liquidity area as well as a strong support level from D1. The correction is news related, but something happened over the weekend that could put selling pressure on the dollar. Technically GBPUSD is bullish, as evidenced by the update of the highs and the counter-trend correction to the liquidity area. Yesterday, Biden announced that he was withdrawing from the presidential race, fielding Kamala Harris in his place. Trump's odds are rising in this case, and he has previously hinted that he wants a weaker dollar. Against this background, the DXY may continue its bearish course, which may generally favor the forex market. Technically, 1.28940 is worth paying attention to. A false breakdown could trigger further growth. But, if the bulls will not let the price to this zone, it will be enough to wait for the price to consolidate above 1.294. Resistance levels: 1.294, 1.297 Support levels: 1.2894, 1.286 Technically the market is bullish, fundamentally everything is good. Most likely, interested buyers are still in the market, so the pressure for further growth may continue Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ GBPUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
19
ZENUSDT → Bullish potential in the red market. Break of 10.0 ↑BINANCE:ZENUSDT demonstrates a rally and a retest of the range resistance in the form of a false breakdown, only that does not lead to a fall. The price is forming a pre-breakdown consolidation. With the breakout of 10.0, the growth may continue On H4, a reversal pattern is forming within the framework of which, while the cryptocurrency market was falling, zen was testing resistance. A false breakout and liquidity capture is formed. This maneuver does not lead to a fall, and the market goes into a state of consolidation, the nature of which resembles a pre-breakdown. There are no fundamentals, the market follows the flagships, which fall because of some problems. Bitcoin is dragging everyone down due to the sale of a large number of coins by Germany, and the debt repayment by Mt.Gox exchange, which has destabilized the situation in general. Resistance levels: 9.79-10.0 Support levels: 9.35, 8.8, 8.14 In this case, it is acceptable to use a breakout strategy against resistance at 9.79-9.87. But, if the structure will be broken, the price, in order to increase the volume before the growth may head towards the support. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
8
Unlocking XAUUSD Secrets: Prepare for Gold's Next Big Move!Technical Breakdown of XAUUSD Correctively Reached HTF Structure: The price has reached a higher time frame (HTF) structure through a corrective movement. This structure serves as a significant resistance level observed on higher time frames. Impulsively Got Here: Following the corrective phase, the price made an impulsive move upward, indicating strong buying momentum at that point. Forming Correction: After the impulsive move, the price is forming a correction pattern, typically signaling a potential continuation of the previous trend. This pattern is evident as a descending channel or flag formation. Support and Resistance Levels: Resistance at 2,412.678: A significant resistance level that the price tested but did not break through decisively. Support at 1HR LQZ (2,391.555): A key support level on the 1-hour chart where the price found temporary stability. Support at 4HR LQZ (2,348.039): A more substantial support level on the 4-hour chart, providing a strong base for potential reversals. Descending Channel Formation: The price is currently trading within a descending channel. This pattern often suggests a continuation of the prevailing trend upon a breakout. Key Level Highlight: Break Back Above Lower High (LH): The chart notes that a break back above the identified lower high (LH) would indicate a further pullback. This level is crucial as it may signal a change in short-term momentum. Potential Scenarios: Bullish Scenario: Breakout Above Descending Channel and LH Level: If the price breaks out above the descending channel and the LH level, it may indicate a further pullback and continuation of the upward trend. The price is likely to test the resistance zone near 2,412.678 and could move higher if it breaks through this zone. Bearish Scenario: Failure to Break Above LH Level: If the price fails to break above the LH level and descends further, it may indicate a continuation of the bearish trend. The price could test the 1HR LQZ support level first and potentially move down to the 4HR LQZ support level if bearish momentum continues. Consolidation and Patterns: The chart suggests that the price is currently consolidating within a tight range, indicating indecision. This could lead to a significant move upon breakout from this consolidation pattern. Conclusion: Monitoring the breakout direction from the current descending channel and the reaction to the LH level will provide valuable insights for potential trading opportunities. Key levels to watch include the 2,412.678 resistance zone and the 1HR and 4HR LQZ support levels. A breakout above the descending channel would favor a bullish scenario, while a failure to break above the LH level could suggest continued bearish pressure.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Adlercon333
Make it or break it moment for $SWith the spectacular fall of NASDAQ:CRWD last week I expect to be a decisive week for SentinelOne. Scenario nr 1 Break out of the correction or for Bill O'Neill followers break out of the base. Supporting evidence: 1. Fundamental. Better than expected earnings The biggest competitor is having a terrible day 2. Rising MACD histogram on the weekly 3. MACD lines almost crossing 4. Force Index getting positive 5. Getting The Positive Direction Line above the Negative Directional Line will mean that the bullish traders dominate the market. Scenario nr 2 Break out is not ready yet and we go back in the correction range evidenced on my graph by the parallel channel Why? Waiting for earnings confirmation? Force Index above 0 is minor at this point a follow-up week will break the trend. The stock needs to deal with the overhang supply. First hurdle, people who bought around the $22 price.
NYSE:S
by WavesInvesting
GOLD → False breakdown. Will we return to the bullish trend?FX:XAUUSD is entering the correction phase after a false breakdown of trend resistance and the previous ATH. The fundamental background is changed by Thursday's news that supported the dollar. Overall, the environment on D1 is still bullish. If the price finds a strong support in the near future, for example 2390-2400, this area may get the status of an intermediate bottom, thus forming a new trading range. There is no news today, thus the fundamental background remains the same. Trading has been complicated lately by the presidential race in the USA. The statements of Powell, politically dependent Fed, Trump can be perceived by traders quite strongly. But the medium-term outlook is determined by the fact that politicians are generally set to lower the dollar, which is generally favorable for gold, which may soon return to the bullish trend phase (locally) Resistance levels: 2420, 2429, 2450 Support levels: trend, 2402, 2900 Technically, the price may continue the correction to trend support, but due to the pool of liquidity in the area where the price may land within the correction, gold may get a reaction in the form of a bounce to the nearest resistance Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ GOLD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
25
BBUSDT → The key value of the zone is 0.480BINANCE:BBUSDT does not fall after the false breakdown, but goes into the phase of consolidation. Buyers are resisting. Retest of the key resistance may lead to a breakout and rally. Fundamentally active recovery is connected with bitcoin rally. The flagship is pulling the cryptocurrency market with it. Technically, the situation is developing in a bullish scenario. It is worth paying attention to the resistance at 0.48. On D1-H4, the market confirms the bullish market structure and is currently in the correction phase. If buyers continue market consolidation near the resistance and gradually start pushing towards 0.48 resistance, then in this case we should expect a breakdown, price consolidation above the level with further growth towards the mentioned targets. Resistance levels: 0.48, 0.575 Support levels: 0.45, 0.463 It is not excluded that sellers may hold the resistance, in this case the price may go down to 0.7-0.79 fibo before further growth. But, the focus at the moment is on the resistance 0.48, once it is broken, despite the specific scenario, only then the coin will start an active growth phase. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BounceBit / Tether ;) Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
3
BITCOIN → Fear in the crowd is a bullish sign ↑ Flag and SFPBINANCE:BTCUSD is experiencing times of high fear and negative sentiment among the crowd. From a psychological point of view, this could end in a bullish momentum. But there is always a but! For now, big buyers are actively holding back a possible fall amid transfers of the previously hacked crypto exchange Mt.Gox to its debtors and BTC sell-offs by German authorities: Germany will get rid of all its BTC in two days. (at the current pace of sales). Yesterday, 16,038 BTC were transferred from the country's government wallet to various crypto exchanges and market makers. Since June 19, 26,071 BTC have been sold. There are only 23,788 BTC left on the wallet In April, the average cost of BTC mining among the largest public miners was $53,000, technically, the level of average cost of BTC mining plays the role of an intermediate bottom. Judging by the growth of volumes and price entry into the area of the lower boundary of the "flag" pattern, buyers appear on the market and at the moment stop the price fall, forming a sideways range of 58500-53500. Accordingly, a breakdown of one of the boundaries may trigger an impulse to one side or the other, based on the technical nuances there is a probability that there will be an attempt to break the resistance. Resistance levels: 58500, 64000 Support levels: 53500, 53000 Fundamentally, the environment is difficult due to Germany and Mt.Gox, but investors are waiting for the approval of ETH-ETF, which may bring back the bullish mood to the market (indirect impact on BTC). Technically, the emphasis is on the range. A break of 58500 will give bullish momentum, a break of 53500 may allow the price to decline to the 50500-51000 risk zone Regards R. Linda!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by RLinda
23
GOLD → Consolidation before rising to 2500...FX:XAUUSD after breaking through trend resistance is forming a consolidation, just like the dollar. Sellers start selling on indicators and MM may set a trap before further growth. Technically and fundamentally gold has a favorable environment. The price is in the buying zone and in the ATH zone. There is a lot of support (obstacles) from below, and there is emptiness from above and nothing prevents to go up. There is consolidation on H1 and all technical conditions are favorable for the continuation of growth. BUT! There is an interesting pattern forming on H1-M30, which can give a small correction as a trap for sellers before further growth. Now a lot of selling is forming on indicators (overbought, rsi, macd and so on), accordingly, MM may show a reversal. The whole emphasis is on 2461, If the price fixes below, the gold may be driven to the liquidity zone: 2450, 2440, 2430 before further growth. Resistance levels: 2475, 2484 Support levels: 2461, 2450 If the price consolidates below 2461, a retest of the support is possible before further growth. If a rebound is formed, consolidation above 2467-2475, we should wait for a retest of resistance with a breakout attempt. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ GOLD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
39