GOLD → Pressure from the bears. Why are we falling?FX:XAUUSD does not react to strong support levels. The bulls, despite the positive background for them, could not keep the defense above the key structure. Weak structure on the D1 timeframe.
A complex structure is forming on the D1 indicating that the uptrend support is under pressure. That is, if this area is broken, there could be momentum in the market through capitulation. Fundamentally, the market is not reacting to the escalated situation in the middle east and eastern Europe, accepting what is happening at the moment. China has promised increased financial support for the economy and this could attract new capital into the gold market.
Markets are likely to trade cautiously as they prepare for a series of labor market data from the US later this week.
Resistance levels: 2637, 2648, 2664
Support levels: 2615, 2606, 2600
Technically, the price is inside the local ascending channel, but in the selling zone. Due to bearish pressure, the price may head down and test the 2600 area. But where to go from here? The reaction to the 2600 area after the retest will tell us.
Regards R. Linda!
Trend Line Break
USDJPY → Consolidation before continuing growthFX:USDJPY is consolidating after strong growth. A promising dollar and weak japanese central bank policy form a medium-term bullish potential in the currency pair
The currency pair returns almost all of the strong fall associated with last year's course of rate cuts in the U.S., rate hikes in Japan and interventions that were actively conducted by the Central Bank of Japan. What was the outcome of all the actions? It was all in vain. The price turned around and almost approached 162.0.
At the moment the emphasis is on consolidation, which has been forming for several weeks. We have clear boundaries, trend and strong levels to use in our trading.
Resistance levels: 158.1
Support levels: 156.74, 155.88
The trigger for me is the resistance at 158.1. A breakout and price consolidation above this level will be a confirmation that we are ready to move further towards ATH. I do not exclude the fact that now the price may not be let in and the currency pair will form a correction to the consolidation support before further growth
Regards R. Linda!
#SEI Ascending Triangle Breakout (High Risky Setup)#SEIUSDT is forming an ascending triangle pattern, a bullish continuation pattern. Enter long at the breakout above resistance, with a stop loss below the recent swing low. Set a take profit based on a favorable risk reward ratio. Monitor volume and practice proper risk management.
EURUSD → The bears are stepping up the pressureFX:EURUSD continues to form a downtrend. The price updates the local minimum, reaching the target indicated last year :). What's next?
Fundamentally, the situation is weak due to Trump's policy towards the euro zone. The strong dollar also increases the bearish pressure on the market.
Technically, the priority figure is the downtrend and the previously broken consolidation boundary - 1.033.
It is this zone that the price is currently aiming for as a zone of interest.
Resistance levels: 1.033, 1.0448
Support levels: 1.022
Both technically and fundamentally the situation is weak, therefore, the emphasis on strong resistance levels from which the fall may resume.
Regards R. Linda!
Porsche is a hot topic for investors in 2025Porsche is a hot topic for investors in 2025, trading near historic lows. Barclays recently upgraded the stock to Overweight with a price target of €70, saying the current price could represent a good opportunity for long-term investors. Despite a 15% decline in the past month, earnings growth expectations for 2025 and 2026 remain above 10% per year, despite doubts about volume and margin targets.
TRADINGVIEW
INVESTING.COM
Key risks include the company’s reliance on the U.S. and Chinese markets, as well as the impact of tariffs. However, the positive outlook for electric vehicles and Porsche’s luxury segment is keeping the stock attractive.
Xrp - The First Of Two Massive Breakouts!Xrp ( BITSTAMP:XRPUSD ) is still creating bullish structure:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Despite the overall crypto market weakness Xrp is still holding and even rejecting the lower support trendline of the symmetrical triangle pattern. Xrp also created another short term triangle within the long term triangle, so two major breakouts might happen pretty soon.
Levels to watch: $0.6, $1.0
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
GOLD → A chance for growth or a trap?FX:XAUUSD continues to give hope to the bulls, trading inside a local rising channel resembling a flag on the background of a local bearish trend.
Further upside for the gold price may remain limited as the US dollar remains underpinned by the Fed's hawkishness.
This begs the question: what will happen to rates? Hold or rise?
It is worth understanding that the rise in inflation expectations against the backdrop of Trump's protectionist policy requires an increase in interest rates.
In addition, statistically, the dollar enjoys interest towards the end of the year, and because of the Christmas holidays
Technically, I am still skeptical about a possible strong growth, as the fundamental background is weak. Technically, the price may bounce from any nearby strong level.
Resistance levels: 2633, 2650
Support levels: sma, 2606
We may not expect strong moves at the end of the year, the market is already celebrating the end of 2024. But the probability is there. Emphasis on the nearest strong levels from which the fall may resume
Regards R. Linda!
Happy Holidays to all and a productive new year 2025!
USDJPY → Consolidation in the buying zone FX:USDJPY continues its bullish rally on the background of growing dollar. The fundamental background is on the side of the dollar, which is generally a negative factor for the yen.
Technically, the price is still inside the uptrend. Moreover, the currency pair is breaking the flat resistance and after the correction and false breakout, it is consolidating above 156.75.
If the bulls hold the defense above this level, the currency pair will head towards 160-162 in the medium term. The technical and fundamental background is on the side of the buyer.
Resistance levels: 157.76, 160
Support levels: 155.88, 154.5
Price consolidation above 156.76 and further breakdown of the local maximum will provoke active purchases, which may lead the price to the targets indicated on the chart.
Regards R. Linda!
Happy Holidays and a productive 2025!
GOLD → A reversal pattern for a further fallFX:XAUUSD is consolidating below the key point - 2620. Against the backdrop of a strong and growing dollar, gold has a chance to test local lows
Gold price gains are likely to remain subdued as the US dollar continues to be supported by the hawkishness of the Federal Reserve at its December meeting. Trump's protectionist policies are fueling inflation expectations, setting the stage for higher interest rates.
In addition, amid Christmas holidays and reduced trading volumes, market participants are inclined to maintain positions in the US currency.
Thus, gold is still seen as an attractive instrument to sell in case of attempts of its recovery, except for cases of sudden geopolitical aggravations, for example, in the regions of the Middle East or Eastern Europe.
Resistance levels: 2620 - 2622, 2633
Support levels: 2606, 2590
Emphasis on 2622. If the bears keep the price below this zone, it is worth looking at local support levels, as a breakdown of these levels will only strengthen the fall to 2600-2560.
Regards R. Linda!
BITCOIN → High risk. Falling towards 70K or rising towards 100K?BINANCE:BTCUSD is forming a correction phase after Powell's speech last week. If the price goes beyond the accumulation boundaries, there will be a risk for a strong fall as the price is approaching the panic zone...
Bitcoin is still in high demand, but private traders are going into a phase of profit taking after negative news, while institutional traders are taking advantage of the moment and buying the asset at a cheap price. But it doesn't mean anything.
Fundamentally, Trump gives a big chance to the cryptocurrency market, but after winning the presidential election the excitement starts to fade and then the risk of revaluation increases. If the market does not get what it was promised, a deep correction may occur. Also, the Fed played a negative role last week: slowing down the rate cuts and negative tone about the strategic reserve and reluctance to have BTC on their balance sheet.
Technically, despite the breakout of the ascending channel support, the price is still inside the 99K - 86K consolidation
Resistance levels: 99300, 103600
Support levels: 91780, 86700, 82700
The price is approaching the support. If the market keeps the price in this zone, bitcoin will have a chance to recover to 100K. But, if the fight for 86-84K zone starts, then everything will depend on the general market background, a negative background can provoke a breakdown of strong support and the price will fall into the void zone...
Regards R. Linda!
Rejections at Key Levels: What USDT.D Means for AltcoinsUSDT.D is showing strong bearish momentum, rejecting multiple times from the descending trendline and resistance near 4.45%. A continuation downward toward the 4.00%-3.85% support zone is likely.
This drop could fuel bullish momentum in altcoins as funds flow back into the market. Watch closely!
Google - Catch The 2025 Bullrun Now!Google ( NASDAQ:GOOGL ) is preparing for a strong year 2025:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
So many confluences on Google are pointing to a strong year of 2025. First of all we have the resistance trendline breakout which we saw a couple of months ago and bears were also not able to significantly push price lower after we saw the retest of resistance. This is soo bullish.
Levels to watch: $220
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
GOLD → Correction before further declineFX:XAUUSD is testing the zones of interest within the counter-trend correction after it managed to break a rather strong level earlier. The fundamental background is not very good, there is bearish pressure on the market.
The negative impact on gold is built around the hawkish stance of the Fed (inflation, Trump's future policy and the economic data of the last two weeks). The cycle of interest rate cuts may slow to 2 rate cuts for 2025.
Friday's correction is mainly due to PCE data, but I don't think it will change the global picture.
Towards the end of the year, it is logical to reduce liquidity in the markets, which could increase mispriced volatility in the market. Be careful!
The gold market is still supported by the conflict in the Middle East and Eastern Europe.
Technically, price is forming a flag after a strong decline. At the moment the price is inside the pattern and for trading it is worth paying attention to the boundaries of the local channel.
Resistance levels: 2620, 2631, 2640
Support levels: 2606, 2560
Emphasis on 2620. If the bears break the level and keep the defense below the level, it can generally increase the pressure, which will provoke the price drop.
But I do not rule out an attempt to break the channel resistance and retest 2640-2650 before a further fall.
Regards R. Linda!
GBP/USD at a Critical Support Level: What comes next?The GBP/USD pair has fallen more than 7% since September 26, 2024, largely in response to the strengthening of the USD following Donald Trump's recent victory in the US presidential election. However, it appears that GBP/USD has found significant support on the daily chart, forming a double bottom pattern in the 1.2500 region. This level has been an important reference point throughout 2023 and is poised to act as support once again.
Confluence of Factors
Several elements suggest a potential upward movement in GBP/USD:
7% Decline Without Significant Retracement: The pair has seen a substantial decline since September without any meaningful pullbacks.
Key Support Region: The price has touched an important support level on the daily chart.
Double Bottom Formation: The emergence of a double bottom pattern on the daily chart adds further support to the bullish hypothesis.
Considering these points, a long setup could be contemplated if the candle on the daily chart for December 23 closes above the high of the preceding candle. This would create a bullish Engulfing Pattern, which is often viewed as an ignition signal and a buying opportunity.
Potential Targets for a Long Trade
1.2800: This target is a previous resistance point that previously hindered further price increases. It also represents a round number, offering approximately 180 pips from the entry point.
1.3000: Another significant resistance level and round number, approximately 380 pips from the entry point.
Stop Loss
A suitable stop loss could be placed slightly below support on the daily chart at around 1.2470, providing a distance of approximately 150 pips from the entry point.
Alternative Scenario
Should GBP/USD break below the support level on the daily chart, the next downward movement could see it fall to the 1.2330 level, where it may find another area of support.
Impact of Economic Data: UK GDP and US Consumer Confidence
The upcoming release of UK GDP data should be closely monitored, as it is a critical indicator of the health of the UK economy. If the reading comes in lower than expected, the market may speculate that the Bank of England (BoE) could be forced to cut interest rates to stimulate growth, potentially leading to a depreciation of the Pound.
Meanwhile, US Consumer Confidence data is likely to affect market volatility as household consumption accounts for approximately two-thirds of GDP. A reading that exceeds expectations could indicate strong consumer confidence in the economic outlook, which might lead to inflationary pressures and prompt the Federal Reserve (Fed) to consider raising interest rates, thereby strengthening the USD.
As the GBP/USD pair approaches a crucial support level, the technical indicators suggest a potential for upward movement. However, traders should remain vigilant of the upcoming economic data releases and consider how they might influence market dynamics. Combining technical analysis with fundamental insights will enhance the likelihood of making well-informed trading decisions during this pivotal moment.
Disclaimer
74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. Consider whether you understand how CFDs work and if you can afford the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investment values may fluctuate, and you may not recover your initial investment. This content is not intended for residents of the UK.