Gold prices dropped sharply with tonight's newsInvestors will focus on updated economic projections from the central bank, which are expected to show fewer rate cuts than policymakers previously anticipated. Markets now see only one rate reduction from the Fed this year in light of stronger-Gold prices eased toward $2,310 an ounce on Wednesday, hovering close to one-month lows as caution prevailed ahead of key US inflation data and the latest Federal Reserve interest rate decision. Investors will focus on updated economic projections from the central bank, which are expected to show fewer rate cuts than policymakers previously anticipated. Markets now see only one rate reduction from the Fed this year in light of stronger-than-expected payrolls data last Friday. Additionally, China’s central bank, the biggest official sector buyer of gold, paused its purchases in May after 18 consecutive months of buying spree. Elsewhere, gold miner Polymetal International announced this week that it plans to double output by 2029 through acquisitions in Central Asia.
🔴SELL GOLD: 2325- 2323, SL: 2329
(Resistance H4 + VCM EMA 89 zone H1)
🔴SELL GOLD: 2338 - 2340, SL: 2344
🟢BUY GOLD: 2270 - 2268, SL: 2264
⛔️Breakout:
📈 Breakout on: 2325
📉 Breakout below: 2304 - 2300 - 2391
🔼Support: 2286 - 2274 - 2268
🔽Resistance: 2325 - 2338
Investors will focus on updated economic projections from the central bank, which are expected to show fewer rate cuts than policymakers previously anticipated. Markets now see only one rate reduction from the Fed this year in light of stronger-Gold prices eased toward $2,310 an ounce on Wednesday, hovering close to one-month lows as caution prevailed ahead of key US inflation data and the latest Federal Reserve interest rate decision. Investors will focus on updated economic projections from the central bank, which are expected to show fewer rate cuts than policymakers previously anticipated. Markets now see only one rate reduction from the Fed this year in light of stronger-than-expected payrolls data last Friday. Additionally, China’s central bank, the biggest official sector buyer of gold, paused its purchases in May after 18 consecutive months of buying spree. Elsewhere, gold miner Polymetal International announced this week that it plans to double output by 2029 through acquisitions in Central Asia.
🔝🔝 Deekop's research and comments XAUUSD PLAN DAY TODAY June 12
🔴SELL GOLD: 2325- 2323, SL: 2329
(Resistance H4 + VCM EMA 89 zone H1)
🔴SELL GOLD: 2338 - 2340, SL: 2344
🟢BUY GOLD: 2270 - 2268, SL: 2264
⛔️Breakout:
📈 Breakout on: 2325
📉 Breakout below: 2304 - 2300 - 2391
🔼Support: 2286 - 2274 - 2268
🔽Resistance: 2325 - 2338
GOOD LUCK EVERYONE👍
Trend Line Break
Bitcoin looks good for a 20% upmove from current levelsKUCOIN:BTCUSDT has been hovering around and below 70k+ levels for few months now and looks prime to make an upmove after breaking this zone.
If we draw a trendline using the highest close values then we have got a marginal close above the trendline this week and today, #BTC is again trying to push past it. If it manages to convincingly breakout above this trendline, we might see a 20% upmove from current levels.
Keep an eye!
BITCOIN WILL FALLlast night the BTC broke the area of validation.Breaking such a strong trend line indicates that the marker will be fallen to a nother demand.so we will able to buy at around first demand around area 67000 then we have to see the reaction around that area .If its a corrective one we will sell again in premium, if it rejects hard, we will buy btc at cheap price.that is the BTC plan
GOLD → Price range. Test of resistance before the news FX:XAUUSD is testing trend resistance. The struggle continues, but on the background of strong dollar the price can test the minimum or even update it. The news is coming and the market may go flat.
GOLD is testing the strong resistance area 2304 as well as the pullback level 2314.7, forming a new key resistance within the correction. The technical and fundamental background for gold is negative, in the mid-term we should expect a fall, but tomorrow we are waiting for news such as: CPI, FOMC and FED meeting, where obviously the overall inflation situation and the US interest rate will be discussed.
If we pay attention to D1, we can see that the dollar continues to grow in an uptrend, at tomorrow's speeches, the regulators may continue to support the dollar, which may have a negative impact on gold, which by then may test the liquidity area 2304-2314-2325 before a further possible fall.
Support levels: 2300, 2291, 2267
Resistance levels: 2304, 2314, 2325
Today the market may trade within the range of 2291 - 2325, the prospective direction can be discussed tomorrow (before the news), but within the intra-day I would expect a retest of resistance and a possible decline to support.
Regards R. Linda!
GBPUSD → Negative fundamental backdrop could break the trend FX:GBPUSD is bumping into a strong limit resistance zone lined up by sellers. As the fundamental background changes, the bears are strengthening their positions. An impulsive downward movement is forming in the market
The opening session is formed with a gap on D1, in general this is rare in the forex market, but indicates potential. We are interested in the level of 1.271. A break of this area will be a trigger for a fall, because, in general, the short and medium-term outlook based on the fundamental background is predetermined.
Most likely, the first test of the support area will be followed by a bounce, but a retest of the support will strengthen the chances of a breakout and further decline to our target.
Resistance levels: 1.28
Support levels: 1.271, trend support
In the long term, we are waiting for a test of support and market reaction to the mentioned area. The local trend may be broken. Consolidation of the price in the selling zone will be the confirmation.
Regards R. Linda!
POLYXUSDT | Testing the New Trading SystemMarket Context
Exciting times as we put our new trading system to the test with POLYXUSDT!
Strategy: Buy the Dip
We spotted a trendline break on the 5M chart and used adjusted Fibonacci levels to set up our limit orders. Here's the plan:
LIMIT Order 1: 0.5169 | TP: 0.5415
LIMIT Order 2: 0.5080 | TP: 0.5163
LIMIT Order 3: 0.5000 | TP: 0.5078
Results
We hit LIMIT #3 and secured a solid 2.53% gain! 🎉
This system is showing promise—let’s see how it continues to perform. Stay tuned for more updates and trades!
XAUUSD / GOLD www.tradingview.com
GOLD is challenging a robust resistance area at 2304, as well as a pullback level at 2314.7, establishing a new key resistance within the correction phase. Both technical and fundamental indicators for gold are negative; thus, a medium-term decline is anticipated. However, tomorrow's announcements, including CPI, FOMC, and the FED meeting, will likely address the overall inflation scenario and U.S. interest rates.
Support levels: 2300, 2291, 2267
Resistance levels: 2304, 2314, 2325
Today, the market may fluctuate within the 2291 - 2325 range. The prospective direction will be clearer tomorrow (before the news), but intraday, a retest of resistance followed by a potential retreat to support levels is expected.
GOLD IS READY TO INCREASE IN PRICEGold prices fell near $2,300 per ounce on Tuesday, hovering at one-month lows, as investors wait for US inflation data and the Federal Reserve's policy announcement later in the week. Traders will closely monitor for cues on when the Fed might begin reducing rates, in light of a stronger-than-expected payroll report last Friday.
🔴SELL GOLD: 2320 - 2322, SL: 2327
🔴SELL GOLD: 2338 - 2340, SL: 2344
🟢BUY GOLD: 2270 - 2268, SL: 2264
🔝Technical analysis:
Gold experienced a sharp fall after being affected by two important news about China stopping buying gold in May and Nonfarm being very good for USD.
Today Gold is staying in the price range of 2320$ -2280$. Waiting for the scalp is the breakout strategy here
⛔️Breakout:
📈 Breakout on: 2309 - 2320 - 2329
📉 Breakout below: 2286 - 2280
🔼Support: 2286 - 2280 - 2274 - 2268 - 2259
🔽Resistance: 2308 - 2320 - 2329 - 2338
GOOD LUCK EVERYONE👍
GOLD → Causes of the fall. Can gold fall even lower? 2265?FX:XAUUSD is making a new low and there are a number of reasons for that. The price after Friday's sell-offs is returning in the bearish trend boundaries, which determines the medium-term prospects for us
On D1, price is still in a global sideways range and support (global liquidity zone) is still untested. So why did gold fall? The market was negatively affected by the strengthening of the dollar, due to the positive NonFarm Payrolls for the US market, which generally forms a medium-term mood for the markets. Traders also moved to the bearish train on the background of news related to the suspension of global gold purchases by the Central Bank of China.
Technically, the continuation of the downtrend on H1 is most likely. On D1, a takeover is forming and Friday's close is practically at the minimum values (The movement, theoretically, is not over yet), but before that the market may test the lower boundary of the consolidation (the nearest resistance).
Resistance levels: 2315, 2325
Support levels: 2291, 2267
I expect local strengthening before the subsequent fall. Traders may try to buy back some of the decline (liquidity gathering) before further testing support with a view to breakout.
Regards R. Linda!
NOT → "DUMP" and 0.015 or false breakdown and 0.04?BINANCE:NOTUSDT looks strong both fundamentally and technically, but the hourly timeframe is forming the preconditions for a “Dump” of the coin before a possible further rise.
Since the opening (not counting the listing day), the coin has strengthened quite strongly without much pullbacks, which has created a rather large imbalance. In addition, there is a clear “Dump” scenario, where first the coin was pumped up to 450% and now it can be dumped in order to collect liquidity at the expense of traders who caught up with the outgoing train.
At the moment all the attention is on the area of 0.02-0.0199. There are two possible scenarios regarding the level and everything depends on the market reaction and traders' behavior. Either it will be a breakout and liquidation, or a false breakdown with the subsequent continuation of growth to the liquidity zones.
Support levels: 0.0199, 0.185
Resistance levels: 0.023, 0.0253
Volumes, investments are growing, but the coin cannot grow all the time. The market needs energy and whales may eat some buyers in order to form long positions at more favorable prices. We are watching the specified zone of 0.0199.
Regards R. Linda!
CRVUSDT | Small Move Higher on the Horizon?Market Context
We’ve got an intriguing setup on CRVUSDT! A bullish engulfing candle on the 1H chart, coupled with a trendline break, could be signaling a move higher today.
Strategy
While the market might be quiet today, this calm could allow smaller tokens like CRVUSDT to make some interesting moves. This setup suggests we could see a nice pop!
Let’s keep an eye on this—small tokens often bring big surprises!
Today's trading trends, selling strategiesThe employment and economic data released by the US last week showed both positive and negative trends. However, the fairly positive job market has caused the market to predict that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will not cut interest rates before November this year, instead of September as previously forecast.
Experts say that world gold prices in the next few days will adjust within a narrow range to wait for information from the Fed meeting taking place on June 11-12. Surely the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged this meeting. However, the market will look for information about the health of the US economy and the direction of inflation.
Some financial institutions believe that the Fed cutting interest rates may consider the deflation situation of the world's No. 1 economy, when it twice reported the country's gross domestic product growth in the first quarter. a sharp decrease compared to the fourth quarter of 2023.
Experts recommend that investors should patiently wait for information from the Fed meeting. Because gold prices will be strongly affected when the Fed releases positive information from the US economy.
Gold fell deeply at the end of the week, the downtrend continuedWorld gold prices tend to recover with spot gold increasing by 2.3 USD compared to last week's closing level to 2,294.9 USD/ounce.
The gold market this week is forecast to have many fluctuations and the direction of this precious metal depends heavily on the consumer price index (CPI) report and the interest rate decision of the US Federal Reserve (Fed). ) and a speech from the head of the world's most powerful central bank.
Last week, the market witnessed a strong sell-off when receiving two unfavorable information. Gold lost up to 80 USD during the day, recording the strongest intraday decline in 4 years. Specifically, the price reversed when the latest report showed that the People's Bank of China did not add gold last month, cutting off this central bank's 18-month gold buying streak. The report raises concerns that gold demand will slow down in the near future.
While the market is gradually stabilizing, expectations that the Fed will raise interest rates in September are gradually fading after the US Department of Labor's employment report dealt another strong blow to the market.
The Fed started the fight against inflation from March 2022 with interest rate increases. In this way, the US Central Bank wants to slow down economic growth and reduce inflationary pressure, with the goal of bringing inflation down to 2%. Recent inflation reports show that inflation is currently at 2.7%.
AUDUSD Analysis: Shorting Opportunities Amid RetracementFor those eyeing AUDUSD, here's my take:
While some might be tempted to buy, anticipating a retracement (UP) due to the recent price action, I'm not focused on buying opportunities. Instead, I have more strategic shorting setups in mind.
4-Hourly Chart:
- Resistance Levels : Waiting for a retest at 0.6638 or a retest of the channel for shorting opportunities.
1-Hourly Chart:
- Resistance Levels : 0.6595, 0.6613, and 0.6636.
- Preferred Entry : 0.6636 is my ideal shorting price, as it aligns with the key resistance level .
What's your trade plan for AUDUSD? Comment down below and share your insights!
Happy trading!
USDJPY Analysis: Opportunities for Shorting EnthusiastsUSDJPY is still pretty bullish, but for those looking to short, here's what I'm watching:
Daily Chart:
- Signal : Retest of the broken trendline
- Entry : Wait for MCC
1-Hourly Chart :
- Bearish Deep Gartley Pattern at 157.33
- Conservative Entry : Wait for MCC, preferably a retest on the PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone) with RSI Divergence
What's your trade plan for USDJPY? Comment down below and share your thoughts!
Happy trading!
FILUSDT → Waiting for the Rally. Potential target 11.8BINANCE:FILUSDT may move from the consolidation phase to the realization phase. The coin has 70% potential, which in general may give a chance to renew ATH. The bullish trend may get its continuation.
On D1 a break through the resistance of consolidation is formed. Bulls are starting to realize their scenario. The focus is on 6.808. The break of the resistance and price fixation above this area may provoke a large volume of purchases, which will only strengthen the rally. At the same time, bitcoin is saving up to continue its growth on the background of increasing interest in the cryptocurrency market. If bitcoin starts to kick off, it could generally favor the coin, which already (locally) looks stronger)
Resistance levels: 6.808, 8.120
Support levels: 5.666, trend support
I expect a retest of 6.808 followed by a breakout, which will only strengthen buying. If this scenario is followed, we can reach interesting targets, such as 9.34 - 11.8.
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin Poised for Surge Towards $85,000?Bitcoin (BTC) bulls are back in the driving seat, predicting a potential surge towards $85,000 in the coming months. This bullish forecast comes amidst heightened anticipation surrounding key U.S. economic data that could significantly influence investor sentiment towards the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy trajectory.
Technical analysts are pointing to a trendline formed by connecting several price points on Bitcoin's chart, suggesting a potential trajectory towards the coveted $85,000 mark. This technical analysis hinges on the assumption that the price will continue to follow the established trendline.
Factors Fueling Bitcoin's Optimism
Several factors are contributing to the renewed optimism surrounding Bitcoin:
• Potential Fed Rate Cuts: The upcoming release of key U.S. economic data, such as inflation figures and employment numbers, is keenly awaited by investors. If this data indicates a softening of the U.S. economy, it could bolster expectations of a rate cut by the Fed. A dovish pivot by the Fed, potentially lowering interest rates, is generally considered positive for riskier assets like Bitcoin, as it increases liquidity in the market.
• Institutional Adoption: The continual rise in institutional adoption of Bitcoin is another tailwind for the cryptocurrency. Major financial institutions are increasingly offering Bitcoin-related products and services to their clients, signifying growing acceptance and legitimacy within the traditional financial landscape. This broader institutional participation lends further credence to Bitcoin as a viable asset class.
• Scarcity: With a capped supply of 21 million Bitcoins, scarcity is a fundamental property baked into Bitcoin's design. This inherent scarcity, coupled with rising demand, could theoretically drive up the price of Bitcoin in the long term.
• Store of Value Narrative: Bitcoin proponents tout the cryptocurrency as a digital store of value, similar to gold. In times of economic uncertainty or inflation, investors often seek refuge in assets perceived as hedges against inflation. Bitcoin's limited supply and decentralized nature position it as a potential candidate for this role.
Technical Analysis: A Bullish Case
Technical analysts utilize price charts and mathematical indicators to predict future price movements. In the case of Bitcoin, some analysts are pointing towards a trendline established by connecting several significant price points on the chart. This trendline suggests a potential bullish trajectory for Bitcoin, with a target price of $85,000.
It's important to remember that technical analysis is not an infallible science. Past performance does not necessarily indicate future results, and unexpected market events can disrupt even the most meticulously drawn trendlines.
Challenges and Considerations
While the outlook for Bitcoin appears promising, there are still challenges to consider:
• Regulation: Regulatory uncertainty surrounding cryptocurrency continues to be a hurdle for wider adoption. Governments around the world are still grappling with how to regulate this nascent asset class. Stringent regulations could dampen investor enthusiasm.
• Volatility: Bitcoin is notorious for its price volatility. This volatility can deter risk-averse investors.
• Environmental Concerns: The energy consumption associated with Bitcoin mining has drawn criticism. If sustainable solutions aren't implemented, this could continue to be a black mark against Bitcoin.
Conclusion
Bitcoin's potential surge towards $85,000 hinges on a confluence of factors, including the upcoming U.S. economic data, continued institutional adoption, and Bitcoin's inherent properties as a scarce, digital store of value. Technical analysis also suggests a bullish trend. However, investors should be aware of the challenges posed by regulation, volatility, and environmental concerns.
GOLD → Price dump before NFP. Will we go to 2400?FX:XAUUSD is manipulatively declining and catching buyers by surprise (liquidation) before the news. Price may start a strengthening phase from strong support (2330-2325) on the back of weak dollar
Traders are waiting for NFP to be released at 12:30 GMT. Yesterday, the market received 229K on Initial Jobless Claims, which generally gives hints of a possible scenario. The dollar index may continue to lose ground amid the general environment, markets are slowly but already starting to prepare for Fed policy easing.
NFP is expected to be 183K vs. previous 175K, but the focus is on the actual data. If those are below the expected 183K, the dollar will break key support and fall under a wave of sell-offs, which would be a favorable scenario for gold. But, the problem with news is its unpredictability. Data above 185K may strengthen the dollar (But not for long).
Resistance levels: 2354, 2374
Support levels: 2328
There is liquidation and strong selling by buyers, but it happens before the news ( there are interesting thoughts, but... ). Below 2328 the price may not be allowed (from a technical point of view) and it would be logical to expect a false breakdown or a rebound from the liquidity block to which the price has approached.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → ECB rate and NFP in the US. What to expect?FX:XAUUSD is supposedly ending the correction wave on the background of fundamentally weaker dollar. ECB rate and US news (Initial Jobless Claims & NonFarm Payrolls) ahead
The European Central Bank is expected to cut interest rates for the first time since March 2016 at the end of its June policy meeting later today.
Meanwhile, markets now have a better chance of an imminent Fed rate cut amid signs of a slowing US economy. Ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, continue to act as a safe-haven price for gold. Also, everyone is interested in the NFP (as one of the first signs of the Fed's readiness to loosen the policy), which will be published on Friday.
Technically, gold is forming a false break of MA-50 on D1, and breaking trend resistance on H1. All eyes are on the near-term support at 2354-2350
Resistance levels: 2374, 2405
Support levels: 2354, 2350. 2328
Possible support retest (false breakdown or intermediate struggle), which may lead to strengthening of the price. On the background of news, volatility may increase.
Regards R. Linda!
Today's trading strategy, increasing trendAbout 6 o'clock on June 7, today's gold price of the world traded at 2,376 USD/ounce, an increase of 21 USD from the same price as the previous day was 2,355 USD/ounce.
World gold price fluctuated in the context of the European Central Bank (ECB) for the first time since 2019, down 0.25 points of interest rate.
This move makes the market raise expectations that the United States will continue the ECB to loosen monetary policy, in the direction of reducing interest rates in the near future. At that time, the dollar will drop compared to many other foreign currencies. World gold price can increase further in the future.
So at this time, investors increased their purchasing power. Today's gold price increases tens of dollars/ounce is understandable.
Gold constantly increases when the trend is brokenThe world gold price continued to increase with spot gold increased by 20.4 USD to 2,376 USD/ounce. Future gold traded at 2,395.1 USD/ounce, up 19.6 USD compared to the dawn.
The price of gold continues to increase and reach the highest level in 2 weeks when the US bond yield falls after the latest labor report. The published data shows that the "cooling down" of the US labor market has strengthened the possibility that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates in September. Currently, investors are still hot. Waiting for non -agricultural payroll data of the US to be more sure about this expectation.
The number of important non -agricultural jobs is forecast to increase by 178,000 compared to the April report with an increase of 175,000 jobs. Reporting the private sector in May of ADP published in the middle of this week has shown that the US labor market is gradually cooling down.
According to the market analyst Carlo Alberto de Casa of Kinesis Money, precious metals are supported by the expectation of the recession of the world's leading economy and the peaceful US Bank in the next few months. .
XAU/USD Swing TrendXAU/USD Swing Trend
- Primary : Down Trend
- Secondary : Down Trend
- Minor : Down Trend
I think now It may be at the end of leg C of 4. and Finished 13 day of Down Trend Already.
However, Trade with the trend, when my Minor Trend looked up, I then waited for the price to adjust down to the EMA line and to the +1 SD line as well.
Therefore, the Buy Position has been opened. The target is to make a profit in the area of 2400, which is the Supply Zone. And place SL when the price breaks the POC of Volume below.
Gold trading strategy today, continuing the upward momentumWorld gold prices increased sharply with spot gold increasing by 29.3 USD to 2,355.6 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at $2,375.20 an ounce, up $27.80 from the bright spot.
World gold prices edged higher midweek, supported by a weakening USD and falling Treasury yields after the latest data showed the labor market cooling.
According to ADP's report, private companies created an additional 152,000 jobs in May, much lower than the number recorded last month and experts' forecasts. This is the lowest monthly number unchanged since the bad month.
RJO Futures senior market strategist Bob Haberkorn said the weak labor numbers act as a catalyst that could force the Federal Reserve to cut back before the end of the year. This has increased the appeal of gold. Lower performance reduces the opportunity cost of holding gold.
According to the CME FedWatch tool, traders saw a roughly 67% chance that the Fed will deliver monetary policy in September, up from less than 50% last week.
Analysts say that important upcoming US economic reports, including data on the health of the service sector and non-farm payrolls reports, are likely to influence the direction of printed gold prices. short.