Get started

Trend Line Break

EURUSD → How will NFP affect the pair? Down to 1.0600?FX:EURUSD is facing strong support at 1.0600. A rebound and counter-trend correction within the downtrend is forming. Traders are waiting for Friday's NFP Globally, the currency pair is in a bear market phase. There is a strong struggle for the 1.0700 area, especially ahead of Non Farm Payrolls, which may determine the medium-term outlook. Traders expect the NFP to be lowered to 238K, compared to the previous 303K. On the background of high news volatility, the price may test the liquidity zones above the price before continuing to fall, as the general background for the currency pair is still negative. Resistance levels: 1.07365, 1.0800, 1.08643 Support levels: 1.0703, 1.0606 Based on the general data there is a probability to see a positive NFP for the dollar, which in general will continue to have a negative impact on the currency pair. But the problem with economic news is still that it is high uncertainty. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
3
Trading strategy today, wait to buy goldWorld gold prices went down when some US Federal Reserve (FED) officials said that inflation in the US remained high and interest rates could remain the same for a longer period of time. Responding to this information, the USD-Index increased 0.26% to 105.42 points. Accordingly, the USD increased in value compared to many other foreign currencies. Gold price today is in a disadvantageous position. Meanwhile, analysts say that US bond interest rates remaining at high levels have become attractive to investors. Since then, many people have limited capital into the gold market. Today's world gold price is forced to weaken.
TVC:GOLDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Gold continues trend down, selling now waiting for entry to buyWorld gold prices turned down with spot gold down 9.1 USD to 2,313.9 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,322.4 USD/ounce, down 8.8 USD compared to yesterday morning. World gold decreased slightly as investors focused more on the prospect of interest rate cuts from the US Federal Reserve (Fed). According to CME's FedWatch tool, futures traders believe there is about a two-in-three chance that the US Central Bank will cut interest rates in September. Although prices are pressured by the outlook for interest rates, StoneX analyst Rhona O'Connell sees tailwinds for gold, especially regarding geopolitical risks and potential tensions. hidden in the banking system, strong enough to support this precious metal. In mid-April, world gold prices touched a record high of $2,431.29 an ounce as they were boosted by strong demand from Chinese central banks and retail investors amid tensions. Geopolitics is on the rise. Recently released data shows that the Central Bank of China recorded the 18th consecutive month of additions despite high gold prices.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
💡 GOLD: Narrow the marginThe price retested the 2280 resistance level again in the last session but could not break this resistance level. The price is currently being compressed at the end of the triangle pattern. Please pay close attention to the next price behavior. . We temporarily divide into two cases: Firstly, if the price breaks below 2280, the price may follow the previously formed double top reversal pattern, towards the 2200 mark, at which point you can consider adding short positions outside of existing sell order; Second, if the price breaks above the triangle pattern, which confirms the possibility of returning to the uptrend, we need to close existing short positions, paying attention to the 2360 level, buyers can return to the market. market if this resistance level is broken.
TVC:GOLD
by Stone_Haven
Entry to sell Gold today, risk of big decreaseAnalysts said that although gold recorded its second consecutive week of decline after a 5-week recovery streak, in general, investor sentiment still remains optimistic about the precious metal. According to analysts' opinions, the US Federal Reserve (Fed) is clearly expressing its view that it will no longer be tough in monetary policy from now until the end of 2024. Specifically, in a recent press conference Recently, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell made it clear that the US Central Bank has no intention of raising interest rates. In addition to monetary policy factors, experts also believe that the demand to buy gold from central banks is also one of the decisive factors pushing gold prices to a new record high. World Gold Council (WGC) global research director Juan Carlos Artigas said that gold has proven to be the most diverse financial instrument, which is why central banks continue to hold gold.
TVC:GOLDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
There is a risk of decline, entry sell Gold todayWorld gold prices increased with spot gold increasing by 20.3 USD to 2,323 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,332.8 USD/ounce, up 24.2 USD compared to yesterday morning. The gold market entered the new trading week with solid gains, boosted by the weakening of the USD. The US Dollar Index fell to its lowest level in about a month as a recently released report showed that the US job market is weakening, which has increased expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will interest rate cuts this year. ActivTrades senior analyst Ricardo Evangelista said that the number of jobs created last month was much less than experts forecast, combined with slowing wage growth, which will cause the Fed to consider easing. monetary policy this year. According to the FedWatch tool, after the report, the market increased the likelihood that the Fed will conduct the first interest rate cut in September to 71%. Evangelista said that investors will wait for statements from some Fed officials this week to get more clues about the monetary policy trajectory of the US Central Bank. This expert also said that tensions in the Middle East will be a factor supporting gold this week.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
GOLD → End of correction? Up to 2380?FX:XAUUSD is strengthening after Friday's shakeout due to NFP, amid the dollar's decline. Possible retest of the liquidity area, with the aim of changing the trend. On H4 the price breaks the resistance of the wedge, formed within the corrective wave. The bulls are trying to hold above 2300, since the opening of the session the price strengthens to 2320 and makes an attempt to break the figure, which in general may mean the end of the correction. The price consolidation above 2328 will be a confirmation of the bulls' intention. In the near future the market may move to the phase of realization of the accumulated potential. Resistance levels: 2328, 2352 Support levels: 2295, 2277 Technically and fundamentally there are many preconditions for possible growth. The main task is to wait for a retest of the resistance at 2328 and further market reaction. A false breakdown and a small correction before further growth may follow Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
7
GBPUSD → Attempting a trend change. Up to 1.2700?FX:GBPUSD , influenced by a positive fundamental backdrop and the dollar's decline since the opening of the session on Monday, is strengthening above previously broken trend resistance. GBPUSD is strengthening, the currency pair is in a bearish trend reversal phase. The market and traders are readjusting after the negative NFP for the dollar released last Friday. The currency pair is testing the local high and on the pullback is consolidating above the bearish trend resistance. Confirmation of the trend change will be the consolidation of the price above 1.2634. Resistance levels: 1.2668, 1.2570 Support levels: 1.2487, 1.2422 Most likely the market will make an attempt to change the trend, at the moment the realization phase is being formed. We are waiting for confirmation of the trend change with the purpose of further strengthening. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
4
GOLD → Correction may continue ↓ before further growth ↑FX:XAUUSD continues to form the phase of correction. The price stops in the zone of 0.236 fibo, but the candlestick setup on D1 is forming multidigit. The struggle between buyers and sellers for 2285 continues. Last week was fundamentally rich, but the market reaction is weak, sellers are actively selling out any buying activity. A pre-breakdown setup is forming around 2285, and if it is not broken, the correction will extend to 2222 (2195). The signal to the continuation of the fall will be the fixing of the price below 2285. But, with active participation of buyers, which may be caused by fundamental and geopolitical reasons, the market may break the structure: Break of resistance and price consolidation above 2320-2325. This will mean the end of correction with further continuation of growth and formation of the fifth wave, the target of which could be the area of 2450-2550. Resistance levels: 2320 - 2325, 2350. Support levels: 2305, 2295, 2285 The global trend is bullish, the local trend is bearish (correction). Take this into account when trading! It is necessary to wait for price confirmation, which will mean either the continuation of the correction or its end. Only then you can take some measures to open orders in one or the other direction TVC:DXY MCX:GOLD1! COMEX:GC1! CAPITALCOM:GOLD Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
9
Current Gold trading trend,sell first and wait for the buy priceLast week, the world gold price in the first session of the week traded at 2,335 USD/ounce. In the following sessions, gold prices could not maintain the mark above 2,340 USD and began to decline, reaching the lowest level of the week below 2,283 USD. World gold price increased again above 2,325 USD/ounce after the Federal Reserve (Fed) announced information on the roadmap to adjust interest rates. However, gold prices could not maintain their upward momentum and weakened at the end of the week. Gold price on Kitco closed the trading week at 2,301 USD/ounce. June gold futures price closed at 2,309.70 USD/ounce, down about 1% compared to last Friday. Kitco News's latest weekly gold survey shows that experts are less positive about gold's prospects in the short term. Most retail traders believe that gold prices will decrease or move sideways. According to a Wall Street survey, 40% believe that gold prices will continue to move sideways, 33% predict a decrease. This week, the market is interested in notable economic information such as the US 10-year bond auction, preliminary consumer sentiment report from the University of Michigan,...
TVC:GOLDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Gold is likely to increase again, today's trading trendWorld gold prices tend to increase with spot gold increasing by 1.5 USD compared to last week's closing level to 2,302.7 USD/ounce. Experts assess that the gold market has just had an interesting week when it received a lot of information that affects the direction of this precious metal. Gold started a series of declines and reached the lowest mark below 2,283 USD/ounce at noon on May 1 (US time) from 2,335 USD/ounce at the beginning of the week. However, this precious metal regained momentum when the US Federal Reserve (Fed) announced to keep interest rates unchanged and increased again above 2,325 USD/ounce. However, this precious metal was unable to maintain its recovery momentum and returned to test the level of 2,290 USD/ounce. Although gold recorded its second consecutive week of decline after a 5-week recovery streak, experts still maintain optimism for this precious metal. Many opinions say that the US Central Bank has taken a not dovish stance on future monetary policy, but is certainly not "hawkish". At the press conference after the policy meeting in the middle of this week, Fed Chairman Powell made it clear that the Fed has no intention of raising interest rates. “I think it is unlikely that interest rates will increase. I would say that is unlikely to happen,” Mr. Powell said. Experts also say that the factors that pushed gold prices to record highs despite the Fed's stance still remain, including demand from central banks.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Gold has dropped dramatically,what is the opportunity to buy nowGold prices fell sharply in today's trading session, slipping from the $2,300/ounce level on concerns about higher, longer-term US interest rates ahead of this week's US Federal Reserve (FED) meeting. . Weakening safe haven demand is also exerting pressure, especially as recent reports suggest ceasefire talks have resumed between Israel and Hamas. This makes gold even more vulnerable to interest rate risks. But despite recent declines, gold prices still traded up more than 4% in April, extending the impressive gains seen in March. The focus is now on the Fed meeting this weekend, where the central bank is expected to keep interest rates steady. But Fed Chairman Jerome Powell is expected to take a more hawkish stance on interest rates, especially after a series of hot inflation indicators. Signs of persistent inflation suggest traders have largely underestimated expectations for a near-term rate cut by the Fed. The central bank is currently only expected to cut interest rates in September or the fourth quarter, if at all this year. Higher interest rates for longer periods bode poorly for gold because they increase the opportunity cost of investing in the yellow metal. The strength of the dollar, thanks to the outlook for stable exchange rates, is also putting pressure on broader metals markets. Other precious metals also decreased in price today, accordingly, platinum futures prices decreased 0.1% to 959.05 USD/ounce, while silver futures prices decreased 1.8% to 27,168 USD. /ounce.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
GOLD → Consolidation ahead of NFP. Rise to 2328 or fall to 2250?FX:XAUUSD decreases volatility, smoothly moving into a consolidation phase before the publication of NFP. The market structure is bearish and the overall fundamentals are negative. What should we wait for? Today is quite a busy news day, but all attention is focused on NFP. The gold market is locally bearish and set for further decline. Breakout of 2295 and price consolidation below this area will form a bearish potential. But on the news background anything can happen, like a shakeout to 2328 before a further fall to 2250, or an attempt to break the trend resistance.... Resistance levels: 2305, 2328, 2346 Support levels: 2295, 2280, 2267 Technically and fundamentally the market is weak and ready to conquer the lower liquidity zones, but there is news ahead. It is impossible to determine the movement in advance, but based on the general data, there is a probability to see the continuation of the decline. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
3
GOLD → The bears are selling off all the growth. 2250 ahead?FX:XAUUSD is forming a range of 2328 - 2295. The market sold off all the excitement formed on the background of Powell's comments yesterday. A bearish market structure is forming on D1. The area of 2328 is keeping the price down and plays the role of a strong key resistance. The bears (sellers) are quite strong and continue to gain momentum. The price is testing the range support. There is a possibility of support breakout with the subsequent decline, but for this there should be either technical or fundamental reasons. There may be a pullback before the news. Ahead of Initial Jobless Claims, traders are waiting for a negative scenario against the dollar, if the data is below 212K, the gold may continue its decline, if the IJC is above 212K, the gold will head towards 2328. Resistance levels: 2305, 2328 Support levels: 2295, 2280, 2267 The market is bearish, the correction is ongoing and gaining momentum. The market maker aims to go down to liquidity zones. But ahead of Initial Jobless Claims and tomorrow NonFarm Payrolls. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
2
NZDUSD → Bears prospects. Continued decline from resistance FX:NZDUSD reaches the previously outlined target. The trend remains and has a bearish direction, the structure of which is preserved and the direction of price movement can be continued. A retest of 0.5940 is formed on the background of yesterday's news and a slight weakening of the dollar index. The currency pair is strengthening within the downtrend, correction is being formed. Consolidation of the price below 0.5940 may form a potential reversal point with a further target of 0.585 or 0.58. But, there is a probability that on the background of increased volatility the price may reach the trend resistance. But, the prospects are the same. Resistance levels: 0.5940, 0.5983, 0.6000 Support levels: 0.5874, 0.585, 0.580 Technically and fundamentally we have a bearish outlook. The currency pair may continue its decline, but before that the market may test the resistance Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
1
GBPUSD → Waiting for a decline to 1.2300FX:GBPUSD may continue its medium-term decline based on the fundamental background. Traders are waiting for Powell's comments on interest rates. The market is on hold and is set for a negative scenario. Globally, the currency pair is in a stupor and is in a sideways movement without any clear prospects, trading in a global range between 1.28 - 1.22. On H4 a resistance retest is forming, there are no prerequisites for resistance breakout. Against the backdrop of the strengthening of the dollar index, the pound sterling is losing ground and declining. This decline may continue towards the lower boundary of the trend. Resistance levels: 1.252, 1.257 Support levels: 1.2422, 1.2300 Technically, we have a bearish trend and weak fundamental background for the currency pair, which generally determines the medium-term prospects for us. We are waiting for a decline to 1.2300 Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
3
Bitcoin (BTC) Price Analysis: Preparing for the Bearish AbyssIn this technical forecast, we delve into the darker recesses of Bitcoin's potential price journey. We observe a concerning configuration on the BTCUSD chart where the currency is currently grappling with critical support levels. Current Dynamics: The price has recently retracted from a peak, teasing the possibility of a significant downtrend. A descending channel formation can be seen, indicating a tightening bearish grip on the market momentum. Worst Case Trajectory: Should the price break below the sturdy support zone, indicated by the green rectangle, we may see an accelerated drop. The price could tumble toward the lower boundary of the channel, a line that has historically acted as a gravitational pull during bearish trends. Key Levels to Watch: Immediate support resides within the green rectangle zone. If this fails, the descent could be sharp and unforgiving. Further support is hypothesized by the extended yellow trend lines, outlining a worst case range that could spell distress for bulls. Projected Pathways: The worst case scenario envisions a stark descent, followed by a period of consolidation below the current support. A relief rally might attempt to reclaim lost ground, but the overarching trajectory remains bleak in this hypothesis. Conclusion: While we must tread with caution, preparing for a bearish eventuality is prudent. Investors and traders should brace for volatility and consider the historical behavior of the market during similar patterns. Vigilance is key as we watch for potential support breaches that could confirm this grim forecast.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PShort
by Oak_the_trader
2
Where does the Bitcoin downtrend continue to?Hello dear friends, I hope you're doing well. Before delving into Solana and Bitcoin analysis, let me reiterate two important points for newcomers and myself: 1. If you haven't profited from market dips or experienced severe liquidation, take a few days off from the market. 2. Avoid entering the market for revenge, as emotional decisions could lead to further losses. As you can see, Bitcoin experienced an 18% drop from the $73,600 ceiling and reached a support level of $60,000. The question arises: Is the $60,000 range an attractive zone for market makers or major players? My answer is a resounding no, for several reasons. As I've mentioned before, the $60,000 range serves more as a psychological barrier than a significant support level. Market makers reinforce this range so you can comfortably take long positions at $20k, $40k, or $80k without worry, or even go full margin long. In my opinion, the $60,000 range is the biggest bull trap that market makers have set for us. Within less than a week before the halving, the $60,000 range has been strongly supported, but 8 to 10 days later, CZ's criminal sentencing area awaits us. Considering the current dominance of Tether and the breakdown of the rising wedge bearish pattern, we could look to open short positions in the $64,500 to 68,000$ range. The likelihood of this scenario playing out is very high. ------------- Here are the potential scenarios for Tether's dominance: 1. A move of 4.7%, breaking the resistance at 5% and reaching the 5.85 range, which is the channel's midpoint. 2. A correction to the 4.5 to 4.36% range to complete the upward pullback, followed by a move towards the 5.85 range, which is the channel's midpoint. Therefore, we conclude that Tether's dominance is very bullish. It's likely that the $60,000 support range will be broken, and the price will drop to $45,000 (the 5.85 USDT.D range). ------------- The Elliott Wave count I conducted in the previous analysis on the RSI indicator is nearing completion. Wave A has been completed. ------------- I'd be happy to share your opinion with me. Your likes, follows, and comments give me energy.
by Sadegh_Sh
10