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Trend Line Break

What affects the direction of gold?World gold prices tend to decrease with spot gold down 2.4 USD compared to last week's closing level to 2,388.8 USD/ounce. The world gold market last week fluctuated according to a familiar pattern. Gold prices continuously touched new highs thanks to being boosted by shelter demand due to fears of escalating tensions, but then retreated and entered a consolidation phase. Kitco News' latest weekly gold survey shows that both Wall Street experts and retail investors continue to believe in the precious metal's strength, with 71% of Wall Street experts and 64% of general investors. Retail participants participating in the survey forecast that gold prices will increase this week. According to SIA Wealth Management market strategist Colin Cieszynski, risks remain significant and could trigger market rallies. Sharing the same opinion, senior commodities broker Daniel Pavilonis of RJO Futures also said that geopolitical conflicts will continue to push gold prices up even if there is no immediate escalation. Market analyst Everett Millman of Gainesville Coins said that developments in the Middle East are still the main factor affecting the direction of gold this week when there is not much economic data published. Expert Millman believes that, before the June monetary policy meeting of the US Federal Reserve (Fed), the market will put aside anything related to interest rate expectations until the situation is resolved. in the Middle East is really calming down.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
1
WKHS a risky penny EV StockWorkhorse could start working again as the 50 minute chart is showing a suggestion of a reversal after a long trend down. Price has passed over the longest moving average which is a SMA20. The EMA cloud ( 100, 200, 300) is starting to turn up and price has crossed over it. All in all, there are some golden crosses here. Blue buying volume spikes are seen on the relative volume indicator and they are about six times the running mean. In a bit of divergence the price volume trend has oscillated up. Overall, this is a penny stock with a price under $ 1.00 It appears to be starting a trend up. I will zoom into a lower time frame and find a optimal entry. I amy get call options as well. The risk in the trade should be limited by a stop loss wide enough to allow for a true range or even twice that. My target is about 1.15 the price level at the time of the last good earnings report. This is about 300% upside. It will probably never get there but hay you never know. Stranger things have happened.
NASDAQ:WKHSLong
by AwesomeAvani
8
VEDANTA cmp 257, target of 300 ++ in 10-15 trading sessionsVedanta Ltd is a diversified natural resource group engaged in exploring, extracting and processing minerals and oil & gas. The group engages in the exploration, production and sale of zinc, lead, silver, copper, aluminium, iron ore and oil & gas. It has presence across India, South Africa, Namibia, Ireland, Liberia & UAE. Its other businesses includes commercial power generation, steel manufacturing & port operations in India and manufacturing of glass substrate in South Korea and Taiwan. Vedanta is the market leader in production of Nickel in India. Below are the revenue-mix details of various businesses: 1. Zinc, Lead & Silver (25% of revenues) It runs its Indian Zinc operations through its subsidiary, Hindustan Zinc Ltd (HZL) in which it owns ~65% stake. HZL is the largest primary zinc producer in India, with an expected 80% market share in 2022.One of the most notable achievements has been the successful commissioning of a 3000 KLD Zero Liquid discharge (RO-ZLD) plant at the Zinc Smelter Debari 2. Oil & Gas (9% of revenues) The Co. is India’s largest private sector crude oil producer. It accounts for ~25% of the total crude oil production of India. 3. Aluminium Business (39% of revenues) Vedanta has the largest aluminium installed capacity in India at 2.3 mtpa. It has a 47% market share in India among primary aluminium producers. Mines - Via BALCO, the company has 2 bauxite mines with capacity of ~2 MnTPA of bauxite and a coal mine to capacity of 1 MnTPA. 4. Power Segment (4% of revenues) Its flagship power project Talwandi Sabo Power Ltd (TSPL) is located in Punjab. The company has 25 years of long-term power purchase agreement with Punjab State Electricity board 5. Iron Ore Segment (5% of revenues) Vedanta is one of the largest merchant iron-ore miners in India. 6. Copper Business (12% of revenues) This includes refinery and rod plant Silvassa consisting of a 133,000 MT of blister/secondary material processing plant, a 216,000 tpa copper refinery plant and a copper rod mill with an installed capacity of 258,000 tpa. Its international copper operations include a copper mine in Tasmania, Australia which remains under care and maintenance. It is evaluating various operations to restart mining operations. 7. Other Businesses (6% of revenues) The Co. is also engaged in the business of steel manufacturing and port operations in India and manufacturing of glass substrate in South Korea and Taiwan. Upcoming Growth & Projects: Vedanta has a strong pipeline of growth projects and is incorporating future enabling businesses in its portfolio. In the Oil & Gas segment, the Co. intends to undertake new growth capex projects worth $687mn. In the Aluminium segment, it intends to incur a $1.4 bn growth capex over 2 years. This includes aluminium capacity expansion to 3 MTPA by Q3 FY24, Alumina capacity expansion to 6 MTPA by FY24 & 100% operationalization of 3 coal mines in a phased manner by Q3 FY24. The company is focused on community development and achieving a greener business model. Vedanta achieved a 5-point improvement in the S&P Global Corporate Sustainability Assessment Index. Current Performance and News: Vedanta reported strong financial results for Q2 FY '24, with highest ever second quarter consolidated revenue, EBITDA, and PAT. Operational performance was strong across all businesses, with healthy production and cost control. The aluminium sector delivered one of its best quarters in terms of production and operational efficiency. Hindustan Zinc remained in the first decile of the cost curve globally, with further cost reductions. The oil and gas business delivered stable production and reduced operating expenses through optimization. The iron ore business saw higher sales and margin expansion. The company received a favourable arbitration award in its oil and gas business, resulting in a positive impact on revenue and EBITDA. The INR4,600 crores gained from the arbitration award will be realized in cash over the next few quarters. Vedanta Limited has upcoming debt maturities of around $1 billion in the next two quarters, but the company feels comfortable in managing refinancing or repayment. Vedanta Limited's Board has approved the proposal to demerge the business into six independent listed entities. Key Ratios: Market Cap - ₹ 95,606 Cr ROCE - 21.2 % ROE - 20.4 % Dividend Yield - 39.2 % Debt to equity - 2.38 Stock P/E - 19.3 Industry PE - 17.5 Conclusion: Technically, the strong price pattern at the bottom and then there is a trendline and price pattern breakout with huge volumes and there is change in price structure from lower highs lower lows to higher highs and higher lows. This itself gives strong conviction to buy at current levels and add more on dips if it comes. Vedanta is the market leader in the commodities segment and looking at the current market scenarios where metal, oil & gas and power sector are doing well due to various macro-environment factors and the company's improvement in profit and profit margins, various growth prospects, debt repayment being taken cared of and demerger benefits, the stock at current market price of 257 is a strong value buy for a minimum target of 300 in 10-15 trading sessions, which gives return of 16% in just 2 weeks .
NSE:VEDLLong
by PrashantDahale
1
GOLD → Range 2365-2400. Will the price continue to grow? FX:XAUUSD is trying to consolidate above 2365. This area is an intermediate bottom and plays an important role for the bulls in the medium term. The range of 2365-2400 is being formed. Idea of Apr. 16: GOLD → There's no limit to the bulls' activity. Support retest In general, everything is the same, but after a strong rally, the price makes a small stop and starts to enter liquidity zones more often, which has not happened for 2-3 weeks. Apparently, the energy is exhausted and the market maker starts to collect liquidity from the market with the help of traps. Gold is still trading above key support levels and looks strong enough to test or even renew the global high Resistance levels: 2395, 2400, 2430 Support levels: 2365, MA-200, trend support The price is testing MA-200 and forming a false breakdown of 2365. The market reduces volatility and goes into the waiting phase before the news, the growth may continue either after the support retest or at the breakout of 2380. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
7
GBPUSD → Weak pound sterling will test new lows FX:GBPUSD is going to leave the sideways range with the negative fundamental background. On D1 the price is breaking the trend line, and at the same time the dollar is conquering new highs. The pair is declining amid the strengthening of the dollar index, which is connected with the news on inflation. The medium-term outlook is defined and thus gives us an indication of a possible decline. At the moment the key area is the zone of 1.2518. A breakout and consolidation of the price below this zone will be a confirmation of the bears' intention to go even lower. The pound is weak and may update the lows. Resistance levels: 1.25697 Support levels: 1.2518, 1.24489 Technically, amid the strong dollar, the pound is testing new lows and is preparing to go even lower. I do not think that the bulls at 1.2518 will hold the price for a long time. We are waiting for a breakout and further decline. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
2
MSFT’s Momentum Weakening: Where’re the defending levels? Trend - On the weekly chart: Still within the large uptrend channel since January 2023. - On the daily chart: The minor uptrend channel since October 2023 was broken with moderate volume. - Although the long-term uptrend remains intact, the short-term momentum may be pausing. 100% Symmetrical Projection: Uptrend “N” Patterns - There are two price projection models, both leading to the same ultimate target price of $457. The large purple N, starting from January 2023. The small orange N, starting from October 2023. - Symmetry break : If the price drops below the prior low at $400, the symmetry (the pullback) is violated. Following that, with increased uncertainties, anticipating the price action will become challenging. - If the momentum is strong, we could expect a clear price movement toward the target price once it surpasses the symmetrical retracement box at $421. However, the price is currently hovering around $421, indicating weakening momentum. N Pattern’s Target Price & Fibonacci Price Cluster - Both N patterns are an A+ setup . Retrace 0.382 of the prior swing and then continue to rise. - The level of 1.618 Fibonacci projection of the prior swing is the N’s target price. - The level of 2.618 Fibonacci extension of the retracement is the N’s target price. - The price treats the key Fibonacci levels as significant support and resistance levels along the way up. Conclusion - Currently, the momentum is weakening, though not yet exhausted. - Once the price breaks below $400, the short-term momentum will be exhausted, potentially leading to a trend reversal. - In the long term, for MSFT to sustain the uptrend, the price should remain within the large uptrend channel and above the price level of $367. **Not Financial Advice** The information contained in this article is not intended as, and should not be understood as financial advice. You should take independent financial advice from a professional who is aware of the facts and circumstances of your individual situation.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by stock_adelie
GOLD → There's no limit to the bulls' activity. Support retest FX:XAUUSD is trading exclusively in a bull market. Quick and temporary reactions to the news are quickly exhausted and buyers regain the upper hand on the metal's price. Yesterday the price made another retest of the support at 2330, which has the status of an intermediate bottom. This area held the price and after that the market returned to its true direction. On the background of activity of dynamic buyers the price tests 2390 and forms correction to the support. From 2365 the continuation of growth within the uptrend is also expected. Today from the news only the speech of the head of the Fed at 17:15 GMT. Support levels: 2365, 2330 Resistance levels: 2390, 2400 Technically, a retest of the support is forming on the background of the uptrend. The 2365 area plays an important role, as the market earlier emphasized the presence of this area. A false breakdown before further growth is possible. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
10
EURUSD → CPI ahead. What should we prepare for?FX:EURUSD is testing 1.0864 for a breakout. The price is heading towards downtrend resistance. Unpredictable CPI ahead, but technically the currency pair could bounce back down. All eyes are on the consumer price index today. Traders expect a strong decline in the CPI from 0.4% to 0.3%, which generally indicates the state of inflation and is a strong lever for the Fed when making interest rate decisions. Dollar index continue to decline amid news expectations, which makes the euro strengthen towards resistance. There is a high probability to see neutral-positive CPI data, which may support the trend of the currency pair. Resistance levels: 1.08643, channel resistance, 1.09374 Support levels: 1.08027, 1.07365 Technically, on the background of the news, the price may test the resistance of the downtrend and after capturing liquidity to continue the decline to the targets indicated on the chart. Regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
2
GOLD → The price is not falling on the US news. Target 2450?FX:XAUUSD is showing strength as a hedge asset. The price continues to indicate to us that it intends to go even higher. The market is cleaned up after the shakeout and the big player continues to play his game. (Idea from Apr.16: GOLD → There's no limit to the bulls' activity. Support retest) Bulls form another intermediate bottom at 2365, building a limit support area. The price bounces and strengthens almost to 2400. Gold shows itself as a safe asset and finds interest from investors. On H1, the price breaks local resistance and heads towards 2400. At the moment, the market's target is to break 2400 and reach the liquidity area of 2431. Resistance levels: 2431, 2400 Support levels: 2371, MA-50, 2365 Technically, this is a strong bull market. It is worth looking for strong support areas to buy or strong resistance areas to trade on a breakout. Potential target is 2400, 2430, 2450. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
13
GOLD → A retest of bullish trend support. What to expect? FX:XAUUSD reaches the 2400 mark on Friday before facing a profit-taking. There is a possibility that traders closed positions before the strong news that occurred from Saturday to Sunday. There is no correlation with the dollar now, which makes it easier for technical analysis. In fact, we have a strong bullish trend and strong support in the form of the 2325-2330 zone and an ascending channel line. From Saturday to Sunday there was the development of another geopolitical problem in the Middle East and it is related to the armed crisis between Iran and Israel, which in general can only affect the appreciation of the metal. Resistance levels: 2365, 2375 Support levels: 2335, 2330, 2325 In general, we should consider a retest of the trend support or 2330 and look at the price reaction to these levels. Most likely, the trend may continue. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
6
Can gold maintain its high price?World gold prices tend to decrease with spot gold down 3.2 USD compared to last week's closing level to 2,340.7 USD/ounce. The world gold market has just had an exciting week when records were continuously "broken". In particular, on Friday, gold prices fluctuated up to 98 USD. This price increase is second only to the price increase in December last year that pushed gold prices above 2,150 USD/ounce in a short time. After December's rally, many analysts expect prices to test support around $1,950 an ounce as the precious metal remains weighed down by interest rate expectations. In fact, many investors missed the first breakthrough increase in March while waiting for a larger correction. Previous predictions of a correction made Friday's price action interesting. Analysts have noted that investors who missed out on the March rally will be eager to jump in on the dip. However, a problem that investors are facing is determining the entry point. Recently, this precious metal has continuously ignored traditional "headwinds" to enter new record areas. While gold maintains its upward momentum, there are multiple support levels to watch. Some experts note that investors should watch for the initial support level at 2,350 USD/ounce, then 2,285 USD/ounce. Experts still believe that gold's upward momentum has just begun. Although high inflation may force the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to maintain positive monetary policy longer than expected, gold still demonstrated its resilience by ending the week at a record price. The other continent is 2,360.2 USD/ounce.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
GOLD → Testing 2400. Can the rally continue? FX:XAUUSD reaches our goal of 2400. The psychological level is tested, but 2400 does not mean expensive. The growth may continue as the potential and interest is still huge. From 2400 a correction to the nearest area of liquidity can be formed. The market needs to rest and accumulate a bit before breaking through 2400 to continue further upside as fundamentally, economically and geopolitically nothing has changed. High interest, inflation problems continue to warm the price to further strengthening. Before the growth the price may correct to 2383, 2375 or 2365, or consolidation between these levels, after which the price may return to retest 2400. Resistance levels: 2400, 2425 Support levels: 2383, 2375 Technically, we should wait for the continuation of growth after a small pullback. At the moment there are no reasons for a reversal or a strong fall. The fundamental background and general potential remains the same TVC:DXY COMEX_MINI:MGC1! COMEX:GC1! Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
7
GOLD → How will CPI affect gold? Growth, slowdown or correction?FX:XAUUSD continues to grow. Since the opening of the session the price has been testing 2350 but has not been able to update the maximum yet, having formed a correction to MA-50. CPI is ahead and the market stops and goes into a waiting mode. There is a huge imbalance in the market. The news can provoke strong sell-offs, provided that the price breaks through at least one zone of liquidity, for example 2338-2328, then the activation of orders will provoke a strong impulse to these areas. But, the news may also provoke the continuation of growth to 2400. Fundamentally, traders are waiting for the CPI to drop to 0.3% and this is a rather sharp decline amid the speeches of the Fed representatives. Technically, gold is still strongly bullish and continues to attract interest. Resistance levels: 2354, 2375, 2400 Support levels: 2328.4, 2303.7 Today all the attention is not on the technical component of the market, but on the fundamental one. Gold may react either by continuing its strong growth or by temporarily slowing down and going into a state of consolidation. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSD
by RLinda
13
GOLD → The target is the same. Waiting for a breakoutFX:XAUUSD continues to grow. Yesterday there was an emphasis on the liquidity area located near the previously broken channel boundary and the level of 2328. A false breakdown resumed the rise and today the price reached 2354. Since the opening of the session, the price is heading again and testing the new global high formed on Monday. Based on the fundamental reasons and technical component at the moment the growth will continue. It is worth emphasizing on 2354. The break of this level will form the continuation of growth to 2375 and further to 2400. Resistance levels: 2354. Support levels: 2328.4, 2342 Technically, a small correction or a pre-breakout flat may follow from 2354 before the subsequent growth towards 2400. Gold is rising purely as a Haj asset that finds its use in times of crisis. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
16
AUDUSD → Test resistance for an upward breakout FX:AUDUSD forms a retest of the descending channel resistance, but there is no fall. Against the background of the dollar correction, the currency pair may move into the realization phase after the channel breakout. Moving averages, trend resistance and pre-breakout consolidation, with strong support zones, to which a large buyer does not let the price go. An interesting setup in the current conditions may form an attempt to change the trend. The key area is 0.6585. Consolidation of the price above this boundary may allow to overcome the obstacle and finally let the price strengthen to 0.66676, or to 0.67287. Resistance levels: 0.6585, 0.6620 Support levels: 0.6551, 0.6504 Technically, there is a strong accumulation and prerequisites for a breakout. The resistance breakout will confirm the activation of the realization phase, which will give us a good bullish momentum. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
3