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Trend Line Break

💡 DXY: Forecast Next week💲DXY: Last week, DXY had a surge after the FOMC meeting and reached its highest level of the week around 104.2. Regarding technical analysis, we can see that DXY has broken through the Downtrend line and the key level 103.5 - 103.7. With this development as well as the strong increase in the last 2 days of the week, I will appreciate the upward trend for DXY for the new trading week. The target area for DXY will be the next key level area 104.5 - 104.7. You can wait for DXY to back test the trendline and key level around 103.7 and create a reversal signal to continue buying positions.
TVC:DXYLong
by Stone_Haven
GOLD → Retest of liquidity area before further growth FX:XAUUSD corrects after testing $2222. News on Thursday shook the market after Powell's dovish statement on Wednesday, which spurred a false breakdown and a 2.5% fall Yesterday the market met a bullish wave of news for the US market: Initial Jobless Claims down, PMI up, overall this is a locally positive scenario, but today at 13:30 Powell speaks, who can probably remind some of the things he said on Wednesday. Technically, gold is forming a retest of the 2166 support, which prepares us for a continuation of the decline that could happen before the news to test the strong liquidity area. But, Powell's speech may refresh traders' memory again. In this case, the market may resume the growth phase again, as the general fundamental background for gold is favorable for further growth. Resistance levels: 2172, 2183 Support levels: 2166, 2152, 2144 Now on H1-H4 a range is forming and price is heading towards support - a classic trading strategy inside a range is to trade from its boundaries. Pay attention to today's speech of the Fed Head. His words can both cheer you up and shock you ;) CAPITALCOM:DXY CAPITALCOM:GOLD COMEX:GC1! Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
12
💡 XAUUSD: Increased sharply after FOMCGold price increased sharply in the past session, breaking the accumulation zone and confirming the triangle pattern and the continuation of the uptrend. Despite not being able to create an ATH in the previous session, the bulls did it this morning, the price briefly broke the 2200 level and then encountered selling pressure again. However, it is likely that the price will still go up as the buyers are still showing complete control, trend followers can look for buying opportunities. The next target for the bulls will be 2050. These price zones are unexplored price zones, so you need to pay attention to round number milestones as important resistance zones.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Stone_Haven
Gold plummeted after a record riseWorld gold prices decreased slightly with spot gold down 5.1 USD to 2,181 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,183.9 USD/ounce, down 5.6 USD compared to yesterday morning. Although almost unchanged compared to yesterday morning, the price of the yellow metal has dropped sharply during the day. On March 21 (US time), gold continuously conquered record highs thanks to the dovish speech of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) at the latest policy meeting. The precious metal hit an all-time high of $2,222.39 per ounce as the Fed signaled it would continue to cut interest rates three times in 2024 despite rising inflation. Despite rising inflation, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell still said that the US Central Bank has the ability to reduce interest rates by three-quarters of a percentage point by the end of 2024. However, the Fed's decision will depend on data. The economy is here. The Fed's stance pushed the dollar to its lowest level in a week, while also causing US 10-year Treasury yields to fall. Meanwhile, gold prices continuously increased. Witnessing strong buying force after the meeting, Reuters technical analyst Wang Tao optimistically predicted that spot gold could retest the resistance level at 2,222 USD/ounce. If this threshold is broken, this precious metal can conquer levels in the range of 2,228 - 2,234 USD/ounce.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
GOLD → New Horizons. Price opens a new rangeFX:XAUUSD is getting a good medium-term signal on Powell's words yesterday. Metal is trampling its way into new horizons and probing new highs. Today the market is waiting for Initial Jobless Claims and PMI. M1 timeframe is pointing us to the approximate medium term potential which is capped at $2380-2400, price has entered a new bullish range. Yesterday's news from Powell gives the market the realization that the overall situation is improving and the time when the dollar will start to slacken on the back of rate cuts is getting closer. On the background of the news, investors continue to buy gold even more, as well as central banks of many leading countries of the world, which only favorably influences the price. Resistance levels: 2212, 2222 Support levels: 2200, 2195, 2175 Technically, the gold may test the support before rising further. The trend is strongly bullish. The liquidity area at 2195 plays an important role at the moment on the background of today's news, which is published at 12:30 GMT TVC:DXY COMEX:GC1! CAPITALCOM:GOLD Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
31
💡 XAUUSD: Strong pressure from USDIt is almost certain that the Fed will not reduce interest rates during the ongoing meeting. However, investors wait for statements from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell to find clues about US monetary policy. Currently, the spot gold price is still above the threshold of 2,150 USD/ounce. This was the resistance level during the strongest price increase in December 2023. However, precious metals were affected by information about home construction activities in the US skyrocketing 10.7% in February. This is a signal that the US economy is quite stable and the Fed may further delay the decision to cut interest rates. The USD hanging at a high level will negatively affect gold.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Stone_Haven
💡 GBPUSD: Forecast March 18GBPUSD had its second consecutive down day after Friday, but the downward pressure weakened because Friday's D1 bar had a narrower range than the previous down D1 bar. The price inched down from the lower boundary of the Inside bar pattern, and if the bottom of this pattern is successfully broken, it is likely that GBPUSD D1 will decline further. A small accumulation price range is forming at the lower border of the H1 GBPUSD price range. This type of accumulation around support can lead to a breakdown of the support. Today's GBPUSD H1 trend continues to lean towards selling, following the downward price trend in D1.
Short
by Stone_Haven
GOLD → Waiting for the news. What are the odds of a fall ↓ ?FX:XAUUSD is trading under resistance pressure. The market is still forming a downward correction channel after a strong rally. Ahead of important news that will determine the medium-term outlook. The price is testing the correction resistance, but at the same time sellers are still holding the market back. Buyers do not let the price go beyond 2145-2150, thus a bearish pattern like a descending triangle is formed on the chart. The market still has a chance to break the support and this set-up has a high probability. The news is coming and everyone is waiting for what Powell has to say about the rate and inflation. His words may determine the medium-term outlook for the market. Resistance levels: 2160, 2163 Support levels: 2152, 2144, 2125 I am still inclined to believe that we have a fall ahead of us (globally - false breakdown of 2145-2150). Before that, on the background of news, the price may retest the resistance. The main prospective target is the price decline on the background of strengthening of the dollar index. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
22
EURUSD → Bullish trend structure breakdown FX:EURUSD is breaking the structure of the ascending channel and the market is trying to change the trend on the background of the strengthening dollar index. The market is waiting for news from FOMC & FED today. Globally, we have a neutral range in the format of a symmetrical triangle, with strong resistance at 1.095 - 1.10 inside, which restrains the price from further growth on the back of a strong dollar. It is obvious that at the moment, technically, the pair is preparing for a decline to 1.0795 - 1.070. Consolidation below 1.08597 will serve as a signal for further decline. Today at 18:00 FOMC & FED members and head will speak, where inflation and interest rate in the USA will be discussed. The slightest hint of a more hawkish view on the siutation amid high inflation could strengthen the dollar. In such a case the Euro will continue to fall Resistance levels: 1.08697. 1.08975 Support levels: 1.07958,1.0703 The news will determine the medium-term outlook for us. Most likely, the data may be negative for the currency pair, because against the background of high inflation regulators will continue to support the dollar. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
5
💡 XAUUSD: Next developmentsBar D1 was a bullish pinbar model yesterday, showing that buying pressure pushed up from below for D1 gold, promptly preventing a breakdown from the Inside bar model, which could cause D1 gold to fall further. Because the Inside bar has not broken yet, the cumulative price compression state is still happening for D1 gold. The main chart structure of gold D1 is bullish. H1 gold yesterday broke the bottom during the Asian session but rebounded afterward, creating a false break below, showing that there is buying pressure below. But the chart structure with gradually lower price peaks shows that there is still pressure to sell above, so today's H1 gold trend continues to be waiting to sell at the above resistance. If there is a breakout - from this resistance, H1 gold will establish an uptrend, providing the basis for the idea of ​​buying later.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Stone_Haven
Continue sideways waiting for the day to breakWorld gold prices fluctuated little as investors waited for the US Federal Reserve's (FED) policy meeting on March 20 (US time). The meeting is expected to provide more clues about the timing of interest rate cuts this year. Currently, the market is almost certain that the FED will keep interest rates unchanged at this meeting. What investors are waiting for are updated economic forecasts and interest rates from policymakers. Chief market analyst Tim Waterer of KCM Trade commented that if the FED focuses on the recently announced US consumer price index (CPI) and producer price index (PPI) and the strength of the market, labor, hopes of loosening monetary policy will be extinguished. In that case, gold could lose that support and fall even deeper. Currently, according to the CME FedWatch tool, traders are currently pricing in about a 51% chance that the Fed will cut interest rates in June, down from 56% on March 18. In addition to the FED, policy meetings of central banks in Japan, England, Australia, Norway, Switzerland, Mexico, Brazil and Indonesia also attracted investors' attention.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
GOLD → Correction + bearish set-up. What to expect from XAU?FX:XAUUSD is being held very tightly within the downward correction channel. The fundamental background on the market is weak, at this time the dollar is growing, which in general negatively affects the price of metal. Set-up on H4 shows us a strong resistance on the market. In general, this is due to the negative fundamental factor because of the economic news, which generally supports the dollar index. There is a pattern forming on the chart that could break the support formed in December 2023 (2145-2150) In this case a false breakout could occur. Statistically, the strongest moves occur after a false breakout. A breakout and consolidation below 2145-2150 may initiate a strong decline to the liquidity areas indicated on the chart. Resistance levels: 2156, SMA Support levels: 2144, 2125, 2100, 2075 I expect a retest of 2145-2150 with a bounce. If the price quickly returns to this support, the chances of a breakout will then increase. Fundamentally and technically, the gold market is showing weakness, so we should expect a negative scenario at the moment TVC:GOLD COMEX:GC1! MCX:GOLD1! TVC:DXY Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
14
AUDUSD → The Bears continue to dominate. Waiting for the fall FX:AUDUSD continues to form a downtrend in the medium term. There is no way the Australian dollar can change the trend against the backdrop of a consistently strong US dollar. Global and local trends coincide and have a downward trend. The dollar index continues to trade on the wave of positive economic news. Most likely in the future the currency pair will continue its decline. On H4 we are interested in the level of 0.6535. Consolidation of the price below this zone will form the potential for further decline. Medium-term targets in this case will be 0.6443 and 0.6352. Resistance levels: 0.6535 Support levels: 0.6443 The bearish trend formation is likely to continue. The dollar is strong and is not going to give up its positions, which generally has a negative impact on the currency pair. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
1
GBPJPY → The bullish trend may continue for a long time. Why?OANDA:GBPJPY has been forming a bullish trend for 4 years. This trend may continue its growth as the national currency of Japan is not going to strengthen. On W1 we see a clear trend within the global range. The target in the medium and long term could be 195.844. On H1 there is a beautiful price channel and flat. Within the flat price is trading between levels, earlier there was formed a capture of liquidity from the support at 188.83 (false breakout), which in this case formed a sufficient potential for further growth, as the key liquidity, which is now interested in the market, is located above 191.33. Resistance levels: 190.08, 191.33 Support levels: 188.83, 187.96 In the near future we expect a breakthrough of resistance at 190.08 with further consolidation of the price above this area, which will form the potential for growth to the target Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
7
EURUSD → Weak fundamental background and trend change FX:EURUSD is testing the local channel support. The probability of a breakout attempt is quite high, as the currency pair is trading on a negative fundamental background. The dollar is strengthening after a wave of positive news, at the same time EURUSD is hitting a strong resistance at 1.0949 on D1. A bearish candlestick is being formed with the session closing at the low point. Based on the candlestick pattern on Thursday, we can assume that the negative fundamental background is favorable for further decline, and the market is not finished moving yet. Consolidation below 1.08975 and breakout of 1.0880 will form a potential for further fall. The zones of 1.07958 and 1.0724 could become a target Support levels: 1.0880 Resistance levels: 1.08975 I expect a retest of resistance followed by a breakout of support. The market is trying to change the local trend and with a high probability it can do it Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
5
BITCOIN → Trap. Retest. Breakout. Correction. Halving.BINANCE:BTCUSD breaks through the 69K mark, grows by 8% and hits a strong resistance zone. There is a high probability of forming a false breakdown before further correction, as there are reasons to weaken the price a bit before further growth. The flagship of the cryptocurrency market updates the high at 73794. Technically, 69K is starting to sell off strongly and the bars on H1-H4 make many nervous, but the market maker comes into play at the moment when the market becomes unbalanced towards selling. On H1-H4 you can see the decline start to redeem itself and price compresses to 69K and then forms a breakout. At this point, all sellers are trapped and liquidated. The price reaches a new ATH and hits the limit-resistance set up in the market to hold the price, as the bull run cannot continue all the time, the market needs a rest, the whales need to open positions at more favorable prices than 74K, and halving the decline is another reason for the asset to drop in value. It is worth paying attention to the support zones mentioned. The 68500-69K level will hold the price for a long time as it is a very strong zone, but based on the set-up and pattern, there is a high probability to see a breakout and decline. The 60K zone is ideal for a test as it is a strong intermediate bottom, but we should also pay attention to the 63750 intermediate target. Below 60K the market will not let the price go, as a breakout of this area will start a strong liquidation and decline, and it will be very difficult to hold it. In the zone of 60K there is a huge pool of liquidity, which can be interesting for the market and accumulation of potential before further growth. In general, now the market will move in the range, inside the range the correction will develop. Trading will take place between the levels. Expected range: 69-70K (from above) and 60K from below. Resistance levels: 69K, 71K, 72400, 73700. Support levels: 65600, fibo 0.382 Based on the current market structure and price behavior, we have a high probability of catching a correction in the market. Everyone needs to rest and whales need to buy at more reasonable prices. CME:BTC1! BINANCE:BTCUSDT COINBASE:BTCUSD CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 Regards, R. Linda!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by RLinda
105