Naukri: Breakout from Key Trend Line - Short Opportunity?Hello Traders,
Critical Zone Breakout from Supply Zone Indicates Potential Downside Momentum,
We have A Supply Zone, And We Breaked a Trend Line So, There is A Potential Move Downside.
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Trend Line Break
💡 USDJPY: Forecast March 19USDJPY fluctuated insignificantly in the past session, still slowing down before the resistance area of 149.5. This may change today with the BoJ's new policy decision. You should patiently stay outside and observe, in case new notable bearish signals appear, especially on the daily frame. You may consider selling. This selling strategy only changes when the price breaks the 151 resistance and creates a higher peak.
GOLD → The correction continues. Test of strong support FX:XAUUSD continues to form correction. Price has been breaking through support since the open and is testing the key liquidity area formed on Dec. 4 $2,145 - $2,150
Overall, the price is not ready to go above the made high. Yes, there was an earlier breakout of the resistance level from December 2023, but there seems to be pressure from the resistance side of the market, this could be due to a strong seller or still no buyer. The candlestick setup indicates that the market is getting ready to go back beyond 2145-2150 and head towards lower zones like 2125, 2100, 2075.
On H1, a bounce is forming within the descending channel, the price may test the moving average zone or even the resistance zone of the channel before resuming the decline.
Resistance levels: 2156, 2162, 2172
Support levels: 2144, 2125
I expect a retest of resistance or moving averages after which the correction will resume. But the breakthrough of 2145-2150 may turn into a change of the local trend
TVC:DXY TVC:GOLD COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
Regards R. Linda!
💡 EURUSD: Forecast March 19After a brief recovery to the neckline of the double top model, selling pressure became stronger again, creating new bearish signals. These new signals are strengthening the possibility of EURUSD falling, you continue to hold existing short positions, the short-term target is around the support threshold of 1.08.
💡 XAUUSD: The pace dropped sharplyGold had its second consecutive decline after Friday. Friday's down D1 bar created a bearish pinbar pattern, with a long upper shadow and a close near the bottom, showing selling pressure pushing down from above. Deeper price compression took place when Friday's D1 bar fell inside the previous D1 bar, also inside the overall Inside bar model to create a double Inside bar model, and then had the narrowest amplitude in 04 The nearest D1 bar to create the Inside bar model, thereby forming the price action combo is Inside bar + Narrow Range bar. With such price behavior, D1 gold may experience strong price fluctuations in the near future. Because the uptrend is the dominant trend in D1, D1 gold can wait for a deep price pullback to buy.
The chart structure in the form of a descending triangle - is maintaining for H1 gold, with price peaks gradually lowering and price bottoms moving sideways, reflecting selling pressure from above. The scenario for H1 gold today is to either wait for the price to rebound to the upper resistance level to sell, or wait for the price to break the bottom and then retest to sell.
Gold rebounds slightly, still bearishGold rebounded from a slight decline during the day, and it can still be shorted after the rebound. Although the K-line of gold currently maintains a high level of shock in the daily trend, the price is showing signs of gradually moving out of the high-level shock range. The K-line has gradually begun to come under pressure from the short-term moving average. In the short-term trend, the technical form has begun to gradually weaken. signs. The 4-hour trend fell below the early linkage support and then a slight rebound just completed the technical form repair. At present, the short-term moving average continues to diverge downward, and the weak trend in the short-term trend has not changed for the time being.
I currently tend to short gold after a rebound.The current short-term resistance of gold has moved down to the 2165-2160 area.
To get back to Gold, we need a decline, entry sell todayGold futures price for delivery in April 2024 on the Comex New York floor decreased by 6 USD, equivalent to a decrease of 0.28%, to 2,161.5 USD/ounce.
Information from central banks will take center stage this week, with interest rate decisions due from the Bank of Japan and Reserve Bank of Australia on Monday, the US Federal Reserve on Wednesday, Bank of England and Swiss National Bank on Thursday.
Markets will also pay attention to housing starts and building permits in the United States on Tuesday, as well as weekly jobless claims, the Philly Fed manufacturing survey, Flash PMI and existing home sales on Thursday.
Given the pace of the breakout and the slowdown at $2200, it looks like gold needs a pullback, and with the Fed on Wednesday, it's reasonable to see some profit-taking beforehand. There are probably a lot of investors who have put in money late and want to take some profits now that the breakout has started to falter, especially with a major mover on the horizon.
GOLD → Setting and background foreshadowing the decline FX:XAUUSD is updating the global maximum. The distribution stops. The market goes into correction state. But, what is also interesting, a setup is forming on the chart, foreshadowing a support breakout.
Let's briefly discuss the current situation in gold, without a long rant. The upcoming week is full of news. FED & FOMC meetings and Powell's speech are the ones to pay attention to, as inflation, interest rate and other nuances that determine the medium-term outlook may be discussed.
Technically, gold is entering a correction phase. If we take a closer look at H1, we can see a descending triangle pattern. The character of the pattern is "support breakout, reversal and decline". This pattern can be interpreted as the presence of a strong seller or the absence of a buyer.
Resistance levels: 2160, 2166, 2173
Support levels: 2155, 2147, 2100
The market is waiting for a correction, which is evidenced by the fundamental background, technical analysis and candlestick patterns. There is a high probability that the support may be broken with the subsequent correction towards the mentioned liquidity areas
CAPITALCOM:DXY MCX:GOLD1! COMEX:GC1! TVC:GOLD
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin to 60k - Clarification on the Last PostApologies for the multiple posts on the same topic readers. One of my followers kindly pointed out that we had already hit 64.8k and I realized that I had not proof-read my work before sending out. The title of the last post was supposed to say that Bitcoin was headed to 60k not 64.8k. I have corrected this where I can but unfortunately, am not able to correct this on TV.
So, since we’ve hit 64.8k already, the projected price trajectory that I meant to describe can be seen in the chart above. Essentially, it is this: we bounce to 69k and create a new lower high, then we drop back down to 64.8k and break it, dropping further to our multi-year support at around 60k. It is at this point the market will have a decision to make. Do we drop further and retest 48k or do we bounce and head towards that 80k target overhead? As long as we remain on the top side of that multi-year support/resistance trendline, my bet is that we’ll hit 80k next. Hope this clarification makes more sense.
Best,
Stew
RARE INCREASE TREND WITH BREAK POSSIBLITYWe will follow Rare for the next 48H to see if it's able to break to the next target.
Also if it will have a small correction first will be a great trend.. for reentry.
$0,43 is an important trend level that could get tested soon.
There is a high chance this coin can show a new volume.
$SPY 3/15/24 Continued Bearish MACD divergence continuing to play out with a breakdown of wedge trend line. We saw the 508 target get hit today and still face layers of resistance overhead (512ish-515ish-518ATH) ....AND there is a gap still to be filled below (501ish-497ish). If we're going to make another respectable run at ATH then we need to fill the gap and let this MACD divergence play out. If you push up now, you still face the bearish MACD divergence on the daily (and longer hourly charts) with an unfilled gap below 500. We know SPY loves whole numbers and we've seen how it's reacted and responded to the 500 price level in the past. I expect it to have the same magnetism now as it did before.
As always, assume nothing and remove your bias. Let the chart lead the way.
For now, this is what I'm seeing.
GOLD → Retest of resistance before further decline FX:XAUUSD continues to trade within the counter-trend correction channel. Another resistance retest is being formed, and the market is under pressure from the resistance.
Gold has a neutral-negative fundamental background due to a wave of positive news in the US market. The dollar is strengthening a bit, which generally forms a resistance pressure on the gold. At the same time GOLD-ETF sell-offs continue. Technically, on H1 the price is testing the resistance of the descending channel, the fundamental background is negative and most likely, the decline may continue from the upper boundary of the channel. The market maker may form a false breakdown of resistance before further decline.
Resistance levels: 2175
Support levels: 2144, 2125
There are no reasons for growth continuation. Funamental and technical factors indicate a high probability of further decline. There is no news today, the market should be more or less calm.
COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! NCDEX:GOLD TVC:DXY
Regards R. Linda!
Gold continues to go down, entry sell todayWorld gold prices decreased slightly with spot gold down 12.1 USD to 2,161.4 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,166.5 USD/ounce, down 14.3 USD compared to yesterday morning.
World yellow metal prices reversed and decreased slightly in the trading session on March 14 (US time) when the market received more inflation data that was not as expected. The latest report showed that inflation in the US increased slightly higher than expected, helping the US Dollar Index recover and US Treasury bond yields increase.
Accordingly, the producer price index (PPI) increased by 0.6% in February, double the forecast increase of 0.3% over the previous month and the increase of 0.3% in the January report. Previous Meanwhile, in the middle of this week, another report showed that the consumer price index (CPI) increased by 3.2% over the same period last year, higher than experts' forecast of an increase of 3.1%. The core CPI in February increased by 3.8% compared to the expected increase of 3.7%. CPI and PPI data both increased stronger than forecast, fading the prospect that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will soon cut interest rates.
Technically, April gold futures speculators have a solid overall near-term technical advantage. A four-week steep uptrend is underway on the daily bar chart. The bulls' next upside price objective is to produce a close above solid resistance at $2,203 an ounce. Bears' next near-term price objective is to push futures prices below solid technical support at $2,100 an ounce.
GOLD → Rally halted, price preparing for correction FX:XAUUSD is in the correction phase. A range between 2195 and 2145 is forming. On the local timeframe, the expected correction range is formed, and at this time the price is testing the psychological resistance level.
The growth of gold stops. The price does not reach 2200. Obchms are declining, price is forming a consolidation or even a trading range. On H1 the price broke the support of the local ascending channel, which may start the correction to 2144. Another retest of the resistance zone or a false breakdown before further decline is possible. Below 2144 there is a liquidity area formed, which is of interest to the market and the price may test this area in the near future. Today at 12:30 GMT we are waiting for news that may give us a medium-term potential.
Resistance levels: 2175, 2185, 2195.
Support levels: 2157, 2144
Before the news, the price may test the resistance, but it would be logical to see further correction at these liquidity areas
TVC:DXY TVC:GOLD NCDEX:GOLD COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
Regards R. Linda!
💡 XAUUSD: Back to rising momentumGold prices today on the international market increased in the context of investors hoping that the US Federal Reserve (FED) will cut interest rates in June 2024, despite rising inflation in the US. From there, they reduce their need to hold USD, causing this currency to depreciate, benefiting gold prices.
Analysts say that if the US cuts interest rates, gold prices will skyrocket. If the FED does not cut interest rates, the market will have concerns about rising inflation, which could push up gold prices.
Meanwhile, escalating geopolitical tensions due to the Russia-Ukraine military conflict has maintained the need for safe haven capital in gold. Gold price has conditions to increase.
#GAS/USDT SPOT LONG ENTRY#GAS/USDT SPOT LONG ENTRY🍀
Leverage: 1x
Entries: $8.124
Take profit 1: $9.206
Take profit 2: $13.578
Take profit 3: $22.643
Stop Loss: $5.075
NOTE: This is just my prediction. Be sure to use STOPLOSS and remember that I am not a financial adviser. your money, your risk!
Thanks
The sroced.
NIFTY DAILY - 13/3/2024Nifty open with gap up opening and bulls didn’t survive in the market and bear took control and made days low that is 21905 level.
Nifty has broken the trend line support and formed a red big candle with upper and lower shadow.
MACD is giving Crossdown.
90% of the candle is below the 9 days Exponential Moving Average line.
Index has broken the support level which was 22272 so, further support will be 21791 level with resistance of 22115 level.
Today’s Advance Decline ratio of NIFTY50
Advance - 6
Decline - 43
FII Sell – 4595.06 crore
DII Buy +9093.72 crore
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GOLD → Liquidation of sellers could trigger a fall. Target 2100?FX:XAUUSD stops after a strong rally. A new ATH = 2195 is formed, after which the market starts the correction phase. The support 2175 is broken and the price tests 2150. There is a probability of continuation of decrease but after resistance retest.
The fundamental background has been maintained since Tuesday. Yesterday we got CPI positive for the dollar, which temporarily strengthens the index and negatively affects the gold. After the 2175 breakout, the market gives us a move of almost 240 pips. Fundamentally, there is no important news today, so the market is influenced by yesterday's data.
On H1, consolidation is forming below 2161. Buyers are trying to buy back the fall, but sellers do not let prices go above 2165. In this case, the most likely scenario may be a shakeout (false breakdown of 2165) and liquidation of sellers before a further decline to 2144 - 2100.
Resistance levels: 2165, 2175
Support levels: 2144, 2125, 2100
The correction phase is most likely not over yet. The price may test the resistance before a further decline with a negative fundamental background
TVC:DXY COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! NCDEX:GOLD
Regards R. Linda!