💡 XAUUSD: The upward momentum continuesWorld gold broke the resistance level of 2,050 USD/ounce thanks to expectations of loosening monetary policy by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) after somewhat weak US economic reports were published.
Although prices have recovered, many analysts are concerned that gold may encounter difficulties. After each time the precious metal breaks the resistance level, the market quickly receives a sell-off trigger for profit-taking by investors. Profit-taking could push prices back into the range that has been in place for some time now.
Gold Price Forecast:
Last week, 14 analysts participated in Kitco News's gold survey. The surprising thing is that no one predicts gold prices will decrease in the near future. The survey showed that 79% of analysts believe that gold prices will increase in the near future, while the remaining 21% think that gold prices will move sideways.
Meanwhile, 175 votes in Kitco's online survey. 77 retail investors (44%) expect gold to increase in the near future. Another 43 people (25%) predict the price will decrease, while the remaining 55 people (31%) think the gold price will go sideways.
Trend Line Break
GOLD → Re-test 2085. The distribution is not yet finalized FX:XAUUSD is testing the maximum. After a long consolidation, a distribution phase is formed, which leads to a false breakdown of the intermediate resistance level. What should we wait for next, decline or growth?
The distribution phase is clearly demonstrated on the background of volume growth. The price is testing the intermediate level of 2084.5 and forms a false breakdown. The value of the level is big enough, but not enough to turn the market. The 2084 area continues to hold the price, but based on the data on the H1 chart we can assume that gold will test this resistance with the aim of breaking through it, as the distribution phase is not over yet.
If the compression to the upper boundary of the consolidation on H1 continues, namely to Friday's high, a breakout and further growth to the next intermediate targets may happen with a high probability.
Support levels: 2079,5, 2069.9, 2065
Resistance levels: 2088.4, 2100
The growth is not over, as the realization of the accumulated potential inside the consolidation is not exhausted yet. There is a possibility of correction, but at the break of 2079.5. But still, I stick to the break of resistance and further growth
TVC:GOLD COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! TVC:DXY
Regards R. Linda!
💡 GOLD: Forecast March 4Gold had an extremely strong price increase in the last session of the week. Buy signals were activated after the price broke the important confluence level of 2050, this break marked the end of the previous downtrend. Now that the initial target of the long position has been approached (around 2080), you should consider reducing risk by moving the SL and/or exiting the order partially. The 2080 area has been an extremely strong resistance level in the past, so it cannot be ruled out that sellers will return here and create downward corrections before the uptrend continues. If you don't have any buying position yet, you should wait for the opportunity after the corrections and avoid chasing prices at this time.
💡 XAUUSD: Expected to reach a shocking peak in the near futureCentral bank gold purchases have “surged to record levels” in recent years, as regulators seek to diversify reserves and reduce credit risk.
China and Russia are leading gold purchases, while India, Türkiye and Brazil are also increasing bullion imports in large quantities.
Citi Bank experts said: “The most likely path to $3,000/ounce of gold is the rapid acceleration of an existing but slowly developing trend - de-dollarization of banks. central banks in emerging markets, thereby leading to a crisis of confidence in the US dollar.
Shiba Inu Technical Analysis: Consolidation or Breakout?Current Situation:
Shiba Inu has entered an accumulation zone, indicating a period of consolidation where buyers and sellers are reaching an equilibrium.
Despite facing resistance just above this zone, Shiba has managed to regain some of its strength.
The price is currently hovering around its 10-day moving average, a key technical indicator.
Potential Moves:
Breaking above the Trendline (TT Line): This could lead to a downward channel breakout, potentially lowering the price range. ⬇️
Breaking above the MACD Signal Line (Green Line): This could signal a bullish breakout, leading to a potential price increase. ⬆️
Breaking below the RSI Support Line (Blue Line): This could indicate a loss of momentum, potentially leading to a price decline. ⬇️
Additional Observations:
Rising Trading Volume: The recent increase in trading volume suggests heightened volatility in the near future.
Potential for Uptrend: Based on the rising volume, there's a chance for Shiba to climb toward the next weekly resistance level if it moves.
Overall:
From a technical analysis standpoint, Shiba Inu is currently in a consolidation phase. The direction of the price will depend on whether it breaks above or below key technical levels like the TT Line, MACD Signal Line, and RSI Support Line. The increased trading volume suggests a potential for significant price movement in the coming days.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Please conduct your own due diligence before making any investment decisions
USOIL, LongPrice has been growing in an ascending channel since price hit low @ $67.68 on December 13th, 2023. Fundamentals reported two weeks ago revealed that the Iraq refinery has been re-opened since its closure more than 10 years ago and that meant more supplies which fell the oil price from $78.69 to $75.73
The following week was met with USOIL demand where buyers picked the price from the $75.73 all the way up to $80.3 by the end of last week's market closing.
What do i expect this week??
I expect the USOIL price to retest the support and liquidity zone at $78.24 and with this holding, price could drive up to $81.95 that is if the support holds.
My Support is $78.240 and target is $81.95
Science of Trading ApproachToday, I'm excited to share a detailed approach for trading GBPUSD. If you're considering a short position, here's a comprehensive strategy:
1. 1-Hourly Chart: Shark Patterns at 1.2676
- Wait for Shark Patterns to complete at 1.2676 on the 1-hourly chart.
- Look for a trading combo within the chart when the market retests the Trendline Break (red line).
- Ensure the market doesn't violate the trendline during this process.
2. 4-Hourly Chart: Bearish Gartley Pattern at 1.2725
- The ideal scenario is for the Bearish Gartley Pattern to complete at 1.2725 on the 4-hourly chart.
- Aim for completion before Monday, March 4, 2024, by 5 pm. Patterns completing after this time are considered disqualified.
This Science of Trading approach allows for a meticulous analysis and synchronization of different patterns across multiple timeframes. It provides a well-defined strategy for traders looking to short GBPUSD.
Feel free to share your thoughts and insights. Are you considering a similar approach or have different plans for GBPUSD?
For a visual representation, please refer to the chart link in the TradingView post.
Week Of 2/25/2024 Gold Performance Never have i ever though id trade Gold so here we are! After analyzing the previous week for Gold, Gold was still in a strong bullish market. With this information, heading into the first day of the week, would be the beginning of a good one!
Gold formed a new higher high indicating a continuation of a strong bullish market, then later retracing to form a higher low, prompting new supply and demand zones. With this retracement, gold formed a descending wedge pattern which is a bullish pattern that is used to catch the trend break of a retracement during a bullish trend. To continue, because the market is bullish, we are only looking to enter in a buy after the trendline break of the descending pattern, and this will be the first round of profits for the week for a profit of 1.5% at a total of 53.7 pips! After the trade, price failed to break past the previous high and retraced back to the higher low. As price failed to break the previous higher low, we can confidently predict, price is in a range market, and because the overall trend is bullish, we can throw another trendline and the starting point of the current retracement, and wait for price to break that trendline to ride it up to our target percentage. Furthermore, this would be our second round of profits for 1.5% at a total of 57.2 pips! Now with a net profit of 3%, coming into Thursday, price broke the supply zone and formed a higher high! After that, price started to retrace a bit and once it formed a second point of data, we are able to throw in another trendline which ended up breaking early morning for our third round of profits at 1.5% for a total of 109.8 pips!
All in all, we ended the week with 4.5% gain on the account and no losses! Consistency is the key to trading. even though the travel of price was different with each trade especially on friday, your target should always be 1.5-2% of your total account size. your lot size will vary depending on the setup and how far your target loss is. You do not have to take the full move of a break. You only need a piece of it!
GOLD → Retest of 2050. Can the price go even higher?FX:XAUUSD is breaking through strong resistance and testing the 2050 area, favorably influenced by the fundamental background from Thursday. The market is trying to move into a bullish phase, but globally the price is held back by a huge sideways flat.
Idea from 29.02: GOLD → Consolidation is narrowing. The calm before the storm
On H4 we see the price trying to form a consolidation above the previously broken trend lines of resistance. Support at 2041 is now playing an important role. Since the opening of the session on Friday, gold tested this area with a false breakdown, after which a bullish impulse was formed and XAU is already testing the resistance 2048.
Img: Current situation: resistance breakout on H4
A break of this area will confirm the price going beyond the correction, which may help the upside to 2057-2060. But, a correction from 2048 is possible before a further rise to the above targets, and we should also pay attention to today's news. It is necessary to watch the price reaction to this zone.
Resistance Levels: 2047.8 - 2049, 2057
Support levels: 2044, 2041
I expect the growth to continue, because both technically and fundamentally, the market is pointing to it now. But, there may be a fall in the price if the structure of 2044-2041 is broken. In this case, the price may head towards the channel support
TVC:DXY TVC:GOLD COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
Regards R. Linda!
NZDUSD → The bearish trend continues to accompany the price OANDA:NZDUSD is trading inside the descending price channel. A new downward movement is formed on the background of the growing dollar index, the pair is testing the support, the breakthrough of which can give a strong impulse.
A descending triangle is forming on W1, which indicates the weakness of the New Zealand dollar. The price cannot break through the trend resistance, and another dxy reversal for growth indicates that nzd will continue to weaken.
On n4 we are interested in the level of 0.60862, relative to which a pre-breakout consolidation is formed, which can move the market into the phase of distribution. Breakout of 0.60862 and price consolidation below the level will be a confirmation that the pair is ready to continue falling to the mentioned targets.
Resistance levels: 0.611, MA-200
Support levels: 0.60862, 0.600
I expect a breakthrough of the specified trigger zone with a subsequent fall towards the specified targets.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Consolidation is narrowing. The calm before the storm FX:XAUUSD is holding strong, yesterday's economic news also supported the price. The price of metal forms numerous retests of resistance, as well as forms a pre-breakdown consolidation.
The complexity of the situation is that we have a very narrow range and within this range the market maker will gain liquidity by any means, but sometimes there are prerequisites that do not guarantee, but hint at a possible movement in one direction or another. Numerous retests of resistance and absence of fall after false breakdown of resistance with the subsequent return to the test and formation of pre-breakdown consolidation tell us that the market is ready for growth. But! Today is the news! Be careful!
A break of resistance and the level of 2037.1 will form a phase of realization, in this case the price can realize the impulse to 2044-2048. But, if the price falls and breaks 2031, the overall structure will be broken.
Resistance levels: 2037.1, trend resistance
Support levels: 2034, 2031
Strong consolidation is forming on H4. Breakout of one of the boundaries will form a strong impulse. Now there are prerequisites for the breakout of resistance, it will happen only if there is a signal for the breakout and further confirmation. We continue to wait
TVC:DXY TVC:GOLD COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
Regards R. Linda!
🇪🇺 EURUSD 🇺🇸 - Trend continuation pattern. GrowthThe currency pair broke the resistance of the descending channel a few weeks ago, but after the breakout a consolidation is formed, which in this context can be perceived as a trend continuation pattern. In our case, a trend change is forming, which means we should wait for the continuation of the upward movement. Against the background of a possible fall of the dollar index, the chances of the idea are quite high.
Reasons for further growth:
1) Breakdown of the descending channel
2) Failure of local structure and consolidation formation
3) There is no fall after the break of the channel resistance
4) Consolidation may turn into distribution after false break of support
USDCHF → Breakout of bullish pattern resistanceFX:USDCHF has been in consolidation phase for a long time on the background of a bullish trend, which is formed in the wake of strengthening of the dollar index. There are preconditions that the growth may continue.
Today traders are expecting the US GDP, which will be released at 13:30 GMT. In general, expectations are negative, analysts expect GDP to decline by 1.6%, based on the overall environment, this data has a chance, but still, there is a chance that GDP will be slightly higher than expected. The dollar index forms a rebound from trend support, USDCHF reacts to this and breaks the resistance of the bullish pattern: descending wedge. Consolidation of the price above 0.8807 will form the potential for further growth. In this case, the medium-term target will be 0.900 - 0.904.
Resistance levels: 0.8807
Support levels: 0.8742, 0.8684
Against the background of the dollar growth there is technically a high probability of growth of the currency pair, but today it is worth paying attention to the news. GDP above 3.3% will positively affect the growth of the currency pair, and the data below expectations will weaken the price.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → The price is coming down again. New targets?FOREXCOM:XAUUSD does not reach the resistance zone. Another strong seller appears on the market. The market pressure is formed and the price of XAU forms a set-up that predicts further decline to the range support.
Today at 13:30 the US GDP will be published. Analysts expect GDP to decrease by 1.6%. But based on the general data there is a possibility that the data may be slightly higher than expected, if this happens, it is a positive scenario for the dollar, which will negatively affect the price of gold.
Technically, on H1 there is a strong density of resistance and the price breaks the support of the local ascending channel, which plunges the market into a negative phase. Before the news a correction to resistance may follow before further decline. At the moment the target may be the area of 2015 - 2008.
Resistance levels: 2031, 2034
Support levels: 2025.8, 2015, 2008
Gold is trading inside the range, the liquidity area on the resistance side has been tested, but the sellers are very aggressive on the background of the growing dollar. The gold price is heading towards the support and there is a high enough chance to see a retest of the lower levels.
CAPITALCOM:DXY TVC:GOLD COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
Regards R. Linda!
When will the growth of Bitcoin end?Now the issue of time is more important than the price, we have less than 2 months from the halving and the price of Bitcoin is 60 thousand dollars. This strange bull run that eats all the resistances one after another looks like a bull trap before hawing.
Now we are witnessing a strong FOMO wave (in the 4-hour time frame, the important resistance of 53,000 to 54,000 is broken and the chart does not pull back, then Bitcoin grows by 11%), this is a sign of the swallowing of newcomers to the market.
The most important thing to think about is this
Is 60,000 bitcoins suitable for buying by big capitalists (other than micro strategy)? How about 50 thousand?
If your answer is yes, then you don't respect the risk to reward, as a result, this market loves your excitement and will drown you soon.
For some time now, the intense greed of the buyers has paid off (thank God). I am not talking about taking a short position in Bolran, saving profit and enjoying the correction of the market.
In terms of time analysis, we are witnessing the last bullish day of bitcoin and we are approaching the correction phase on the general bullish wave.
In addition, TOTAL3 (the value of altcoins without Ethereum) has also reached a critical level, we probably have 1 blood month.
XRPUSDT|Strong support area and potential growthHello guys, I hope you are doing well
We see the Ripple chart in the daily time frame.
Important supply and demand areas are drawn on the chart
Currently, we had a reaction from the demand area, candlestick patterns are observed, the trend line has been broken upwards in smaller timeframes.
A suitable position for Ripple price growth from this area can be at least up to the area (0.60-0.63).
I will mention additional points in the next updates.
GOLD → Retest of liquidity area before further decline FOREXCOM:XAUUSD is forging a local trend after a small correction on Monday. At the moment, as the prices are trading inside the flat, the target is the area of 2044-2048, from which a decline may follow.
On D1 we see two key figures, which play an important role at the moment - resistance 2048 and the descending price channel, which characterizes the whole market at the moment. The price has been heading towards the target 2044-2048 since the opening of the session on Tuesday and with a high probability, within the descending price channel, a retest of the resistance may follow and a false breakout may be formed. Against the background of this movement we have no clear preconditions for resistance breakout, therefore, against the background of flat and descending channel I am waiting for the realization of the scenario "false breakout of resistance with the subsequent price decline to support"
Resistance levels: 2044, 2048
Support levels: channel support, 2025
The global role is played by the flat. Within the flat a bearish channel is formed on D1. That is, based on this set-up we can assume that we have a neutral-negative mood. Consequently, after retesting the liquidity area, the price may form a correction to the support
TVC:GOLD COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! TVC:DXY
Regards R. Linda!
Gold continues to adjust slightly, today's trading trendWorld gold prices stabilized with spot gold down 0.7 USD to 2,029.5 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,039 USD/ounce, down 0.5 USD compared to yesterday morning.
World gold continues to test resistance below 2,050 USD/ounce and is having difficulty attracting new upward price momentum even when published data is not as expected.
In particular, the expectations index decreased to 79.8 from 81.5. “An expectation index below 80 typically signals an impending recession,” the report said.
Currently, the market is waiting for the personal consumption expenditure index (PCE) report to be announced tomorrow (February 29). This inflation report is expected to give the market more clues about the timing of the first interest rate cut by the US Federal Reserve (Fed). Some experts predict core PCE (which strips out volatile food and energy costs) will rise more sharply than expected. If so, this will certainly be a "hot" topic that will be discussed at the next monetary policy meeting in March.
Last week, many Fed officials made it clear that the Fed does not intend to cut interest rates too soon and this view may be reinforced if the February 29 PCE report has hotter results than expected.
GBPUSD → What can pre-breakdown consolidation lead to?FX:GBPUSD on the background of the bullish trend is forming a correction, which is within the descending channel. We have prerequisites that indicate the soon end of the set-up and the continuation of growth.
Last week the price tested the resistance of the channel with a false breakdown, but it did not happen what everyone was waiting for. There is no fall and the price continues to consolidate and approach the resistance, which only increases the chances for the end of the correction and the exit of the price from the consolidation with the subsequent continuation of growth to 1.2827 or even to 1.30.
The pound, on the background of the polytka, is holding strong enough, consolidation in the near future can move into the realization phase and show us the distribution.
Resistance levels: 1.26836
Support levels: 1.2506, 1.26124
Waiting for the next resistance retest, which may give us an opportunity to work out the strategy "resistance breakout", with the subsequent renewal of highs and price growth.
Regards R. Linda!