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Trend Line Break

GBPUSD → Waiting for a decline to 1.2300FX:GBPUSD may continue its medium-term decline based on the fundamental background. Traders are waiting for Powell's comments on interest rates. The market is on hold and is set for a negative scenario. Globally, the currency pair is in a stupor and is in a sideways movement without any clear prospects, trading in a global range between 1.28 - 1.22. On H4 a resistance retest is forming, there are no prerequisites for resistance breakout. Against the backdrop of the strengthening of the dollar index, the pound sterling is losing ground and declining. This decline may continue towards the lower boundary of the trend. Resistance levels: 1.252, 1.257 Support levels: 1.2422, 1.2300 Technically, we have a bearish trend and weak fundamental background for the currency pair, which generally determines the medium-term prospects for us. We are waiting for a decline to 1.2300 Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
3
Bitcoin (BTC) Price Analysis: Preparing for the Bearish AbyssIn this technical forecast, we delve into the darker recesses of Bitcoin's potential price journey. We observe a concerning configuration on the BTCUSD chart where the currency is currently grappling with critical support levels. Current Dynamics: The price has recently retracted from a peak, teasing the possibility of a significant downtrend. A descending channel formation can be seen, indicating a tightening bearish grip on the market momentum. Worst Case Trajectory: Should the price break below the sturdy support zone, indicated by the green rectangle, we may see an accelerated drop. The price could tumble toward the lower boundary of the channel, a line that has historically acted as a gravitational pull during bearish trends. Key Levels to Watch: Immediate support resides within the green rectangle zone. If this fails, the descent could be sharp and unforgiving. Further support is hypothesized by the extended yellow trend lines, outlining a worst case range that could spell distress for bulls. Projected Pathways: The worst case scenario envisions a stark descent, followed by a period of consolidation below the current support. A relief rally might attempt to reclaim lost ground, but the overarching trajectory remains bleak in this hypothesis. Conclusion: While we must tread with caution, preparing for a bearish eventuality is prudent. Investors and traders should brace for volatility and consider the historical behavior of the market during similar patterns. Vigilance is key as we watch for potential support breaches that could confirm this grim forecast.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PShort
by Oak_the_trader
2
Where does the Bitcoin downtrend continue to?Hello dear friends, I hope you're doing well. Before delving into Solana and Bitcoin analysis, let me reiterate two important points for newcomers and myself: 1. If you haven't profited from market dips or experienced severe liquidation, take a few days off from the market. 2. Avoid entering the market for revenge, as emotional decisions could lead to further losses. As you can see, Bitcoin experienced an 18% drop from the $73,600 ceiling and reached a support level of $60,000. The question arises: Is the $60,000 range an attractive zone for market makers or major players? My answer is a resounding no, for several reasons. As I've mentioned before, the $60,000 range serves more as a psychological barrier than a significant support level. Market makers reinforce this range so you can comfortably take long positions at $20k, $40k, or $80k without worry, or even go full margin long. In my opinion, the $60,000 range is the biggest bull trap that market makers have set for us. Within less than a week before the halving, the $60,000 range has been strongly supported, but 8 to 10 days later, CZ's criminal sentencing area awaits us. Considering the current dominance of Tether and the breakdown of the rising wedge bearish pattern, we could look to open short positions in the $64,500 to 68,000$ range. The likelihood of this scenario playing out is very high. ------------- Here are the potential scenarios for Tether's dominance: 1. A move of 4.7%, breaking the resistance at 5% and reaching the 5.85 range, which is the channel's midpoint. 2. A correction to the 4.5 to 4.36% range to complete the upward pullback, followed by a move towards the 5.85 range, which is the channel's midpoint. Therefore, we conclude that Tether's dominance is very bullish. It's likely that the $60,000 support range will be broken, and the price will drop to $45,000 (the 5.85 USDT.D range). ------------- The Elliott Wave count I conducted in the previous analysis on the RSI indicator is nearing completion. Wave A has been completed. ------------- I'd be happy to share your opinion with me. Your likes, follows, and comments give me energy.
by Sadegh_Sh
10
GOLD → Correction continues, possible target 2250FX:XAUUSD continues to decline within the framework of corrective movement. Sellers are providing strong resistance and at the moment are not ready to let the price go above the key zones. GOLD → The bulls continue to fight back. Consolidation Earlier gold showed signs of strengthening, which in general the market evaluated positively and was ready to wait for the achievement of high targets, but as I said earlier it is not worth waiting for growth now. The market is interested in reaching the lower liquidity zones as well as in liquidation of traders in order to balance the market. On the background of consolidating dollar the price of gold is decreasing. The market is waiting for Powell's speech, who will give comments on interest rates. Traders lay in the situation the fact that Powell may give a tough comment on the current situation and leave the rate at the same level. Support levels: 2305, 2267 Resistance levels: 2328, 2344 Technically the correction continues. This correction is formed on the basis of both fundamental and technical reasons. This week is quite busy and it is worth paying attention to the news, which can determine the medium-term perspective. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
5
NZDUSD → Correction to MA-200. The fall may continue FX:NZDUSD bounces and strengthens towards MA-200 and resistance of the current trend on H1 against the backdrop of the dollar index correction. On D1 the medium-term outlook is clear. There are no prerequisites for the change of the global trend and most likely the fall after the resistance retest may continue. The dollar also at the moment does not give signs of reversal and fall, respectively, the bearish medium-term outlook for the currency pair NZDUSD is still relevant. Resistance levels: MA-200, Channel Resistance, 0.6000. Support levels: 0.5940, 0.5875 The global trend coincides with the local trend and has a bearish direction. On H1 a correction is forming, which may be over soon, after which we should wait for a decline to 0.5875. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
2
GOLD → The bulls continue to fight back. Consolidation FX:XAUUSD is in consolidation after the beginning of correction on the background of profit-taking and also strong sell-offs. Technically, the price does not show hints to leave the descending channel in one direction or another, but there are preconditions that indicate that the gold may strengthen to the resistance of the correction channel before further falling. The fall may resume amid the beginning of the strengthening of the dollar index. Within the range and channel, it is worth using the range trading strategy and false breakout or bounce principles. Resistance levels: 2344, 2365 Support levels: 2328, 2305 The bulls are resisting within the correction, this may strengthen the price to 2350-2360, but in general the correction and price decline may continue as the market is still in a huge imbalance and the price still has not reached the key liquidity areas. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
11
USDJPY - The FB didn't work. The price is ready to rise USDJPY is forming a move of the potential from resistance to support relative to 150.884. Which indicates the presence of a strong bull market. Earlier, the market formed a false breakdown in the moment of harsh statements of Japanese regulators. But, traders are still selling JPY on the background of strong dollar. Scenario: breakout of the resistance area 151.5 - 151.9, which will form an impulse with further growth. Target 152.5, 153, 155
Long
by AndeWave
1
GOLD → Correction before the news. A range is forming FX:XAUUSD on the background of dollar correction is strengthening to the resistance of the bearish channel, which was formed on the background of sell-offs. Ahead of strong news, on the background of which the price may reach the liquidity zone before further decline. On the high timeframe, a false breakdown of support is formed, liquidity gathering and after consolidation the price is heading towards the liquidity above. In general, the correction phase is not over yet. A sideways range may form within the price movement, but there is a high probability that the price on the background of CPI news will reach the channel resistance and form a bounce down. The global trend is bullish, the local trend is bearish. Fundamental background is neutral (for the moment). Resistance levels: 2344, 2359, 2365 Support levels: 2328, 2305 Buyers and sellers are dividing the price field between them. As gold stops and stabilizes, the price starts to pay attention to the dollar and the news. CPI is ahead which could increase volatility. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
12
GBPUSD → Global bearish trend resistance retest FX:GBPUSD is forming a counter-trend correction phase, pound sterling strengthens amid weakening dollar index. On D1, the price is approaching a strong resistance and liquidity area, which has multiple confirmations, indicating that this area is important for traders. The correction may be over in the area of the nearest strong level and there is a high probability that the bearish trend in GBPUSD may continue. Resistance levels: 1.2518, 1.2570 Support levels: 1.2422, 1.2300 On the global chart earlier the currency pair broke the bullish trend structure, on D1 the trend is still bearish and the price is heading towards the channel resistance, from which the decline may resume. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
3
GOLD → Bulls and bears still can't split the 2300 areaFX:XAUUSD is forming a sideways range and continues to test a strong resistance area. Bulls and bears continue to fight and still cannot share a strong area. Possible shake-up. Gold is in the active phase of the correction, which started as early as last Friday and we were ready for it. The price is already down 5.7% from the high and most likely this is not the limit. A descending price channel starts to appear on H1, which generally determines the medium-term outlook for us. Below the zone of 2330 a range is formed with the purpose of accumulation of potential. At the same time the price is testing resistance and there may be a shakeout or price entry into deeper liquidity areas with the purpose of further decline. Resistance levels: 2330, 2355, 2365 Support levels: 2305, 2290, 2267 The liquidity area on the resistance side may be tested with the aim of further decline, as the market is currently in a downward correction phase. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
5
EURJPY → Buyer strength will lead to a continuation of the trendFX:EURJPY is in an uptrend phase. Regarding what is happening on the chart, we can assume that the bullish trend will continue in the medium term. The market is redeeming the strong drop that happened at the end of 2023 on the fundamental background in a few months. The Japanese Yen is weakening strongly on the back of weak regulation by the Central Bank of Japan. There is a high probability that the mentioned resistance will be broken in order to further strengthen the trend. Resistance levels: 164.9, 165.4 Support levels: MA-50, 163.9 The ascending triangle demonstrates the buying power in the market, the fundamental background confirms it. A break of the triangle resistance will be a trigger to buy. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
8
CADJPY → Pending a breakout of resistance. Target 114? OANDA:CADJPY on the background of global weakening of the yen forms a pre-breakdown setup against 112.26. The currency pair is preparing to strengthen. On D1 the general trend is obvious. Buyers are not going to give up and continue to press the strong limit resistance at 112.26, formed by sellers. The trend is bullish and it may continue. Fundamentally, the Japanese Yen has no positive prospects at the moment. There is a clear potential for further trend continuation on the chart due to price compression to the resistance and formation of pre-breakdown consolidation. Resistance levels: 112.26 Support levels: MA-50, 111.0 Technically as on H1, H4 and D1 everything is roughly clear. We have a high chance that the market will try to continue breaking the resistance with the purpose of its breakout. Consolidation of the price above the resistance will be a good starting point to 114.0. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
3
GOLD → Sales may continue. Target 2150?FX:XAUUSD is moving out of the sideways range downward. The price is testing 2328 within the framework of correction on the background of news. Earlier, the structure of the bull market was broken, which in general can determine the medium-term potential. “GOLD → Bears win. Downward counter-trend correction ↓” The price is testing 2328, which is actively defended by sellers on the background of correction and sell-off wave. Yesterday the price of metal gained a little strength on the background of PMI, but the reaction may be already exhausted, it can be seen on the set-up relative to 2328. The technical downward movement may continue, as the nearest potential target on D1 may be the 2150-2175 area. Resistance levels: 2328, 2333 Support levels: 2316, 2305, 2267 The fall may continue. I pointed out the reasons for the fall yesterday and it is related to either stopping the rally or profit taking at 2400. The bullish structure is under threat, there is a strong sell-off in the market. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
5
BITCOIN → Continued consolidation before a strong move BINANCE:BTCUSD is testing 71572 and forming a false breakout, I have emphasized our attention to liquidity above this level in a separate idea. Trading inside the range after capturing liquidity continues and the market appears to be preparing for a halving. (April 6 idea: BITCOIN → Trading inside a sideways flat. ↑ 75K or ↓ 60K?) The false break of resistance and 8.5% retracement indicates that the coin is not ready to go up yet, but at the same time it is not ready to go down, as indicated by the MA-50 retest and the candlestick pattern, which can be interpreted as the activity of strong buyers protecting the market from falling. On W1 we see a strong growth, which gradually turns into consolidation and does not give any correction or technical pullbacks - this indicates the strength of the market, the bulls are watching the price and continue to stand in their bullish stand in order to throw the price even higher. Resistance levels: 71572, 73679 Support levels: 0.236 fibo, 64545, 61447 After the resistance retest, the market may be interested in the lower zones from the liquidity point of view. Bulls are actively defending them and holding the price, but before halving the price may try to drive it lower in order to liquidate traders and accumulate potential before further strong price movement CME:BTC1! BINANCE:BTCUSDT CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 Regards R. Linda!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by RLinda
41
USDCHF → Breakthrough readiness. Target 0.925 ↑FX:USDCHF looks stronger than the dollar. The Swiss franc is weakening strongly due to fundametal reasons. The bullish trend may continue with a break of 0.9142 On D1 earlier we saw a trend change, after which the market went into a consolidation phase and reached 0.9147. The market resistance continues to hold the price, but against the background of compression and gradual approach of the price on the background of volume growth, the sellers have less and less chances to hold the resistance zone. A break of the mentioned line will activate the realization and distribution phase, which will give us a bullish momentum. Resistance levels: 0.9142, 0.9147 Support levels: 0.9089, 0.9020 Technically, a compression to resistance in the format of an ascending triangle is being formed. Impulse activation zone - resistance breakout. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
2
USDJPY → A strong buyer is willing to go higherFX:USDJPY does not pay attention to the behavior of the American dollar. The focus is on the Japanese yen. The currency is in a strong sell-off and continues to get cheaper, while a beautiful set-up is forming on the chart. Rising triangle in the global perspective and in the short term: on D1, on H4 and on H1. A beautiful situation, when the chart lives its own life and practically does not react to the behavior of the US dollar, which starts the correction from a strong resistance. The trigger level for the Japanese Yen is 151.94, the break of this resistance will cause the formation of a strong bullish impulse. The structure will break when the support at 151.15 is broken, but not about that for now. Resistance levels: 151.78, 151.94 Support levels: 151.15, 150.8 Technically and fundamentally, the Japanese Yen is weakening and will continue to weaken despite the change of actions of the central bank of Japan. The currency pair may renew the high in the medium term. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
61