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Trend Line Break

Causes of Gold's rise and its down cycleWorld gold prices increased in the context of a British cargo ship being attacked in Yemeni waters. Since then, financial investors are concerned about escalating geopolitical tensions, which has prompted them to put capital into gold to preserve capital. On the other hand, the market expects gold trading to be vibrant when the top consumer country, China, resumes commercial activities after the Lunar New Year holiday. Meanwhile, the USD is affected by growing speculation that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will keep interest rates high for longer. Therefore, gold's upside potential could be created from a decline in USD prices, if Fed officials are soft in cutting interest rates.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Gold trend today, main selling trendWorld gold prices stabilized, with spot gold down 1 USD to 2,023 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,035 USD/ounce, down 0.9 USD compared to yesterday morning. Despite being pressured by the minutes of the first policy meeting of the US Federal Reserve (Fed), gold continues to consolidate above 2,000 USD/ounce. In the newly released minutes, the Fed signaled that its monetary policy had peaked, but was not in a hurry to reduce interest rates. Fed officials noted that inflationary pressures eased and economic activity remained strong. According to the minutes, the committee wants more evidence to show that inflation continues to fall to the target level of 2% before making a decision to loosen monetary policy. Kitco.com senior market analyst Jim Wyckoff said the minutes did not provide any additional information on monetary policy following hotter-than-expected inflation data released last week. He said that, although a bit hawkish, the minutes contained no surprises. Recent hotter inflation reports have made the market more certain that the Fed will delay lowering interest rates until the second half of the year. Independent metals analyst Tai Wong in New York predicts that gold will likely continue to move sideways in the short term and the information the market is waiting for will be the personal consumption expenditure (PCE) report released. announcement next week, followed by payrolls and Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's testimony in Congress in early March. Although the gold market is struggling as expectations for interest rate cuts continue to be pushed back, according to WisdomTree market strategist Nitesh Shah, the longer the central bank delays, the risk of mistakes happening. The bigger the policy, the more this will ultimately benefit precious metals. This expert predicts that gold prices will reach 2,210 USD/ounce in the fourth quarter of this year, a new all-time high.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
The Dawn of a New Bull Season: BNB's Breakout Towards the FibonaThe Dawn of a New Bull Season: BNB's Breakout Towards the Fibonacci Golden Zone In the ever-evolving landscape of digital currencies, BNB is currently at the forefront of an anticipated market trend, hinting at the beginning of a new bull season. This potential shift comes after a period where BNB, unlike its rivals BTC and ETH, which have successfully surpassed their Fibonacci Golden Zones, struggled to establish a solid foundation for a bull run. However, the tide seems to be turning for BNB, especially with its valuation against Bitcoin showcasing a significant breakout from its previous downward resistance. BINANCE:BNBUSDT Couldn't Hold Its Support while BTC and ETH did Hold Navigating Through the Bear Season BNB's path through its bear season has been markedly different from that of BTC and ETH. While these cryptocurrencies have managed to breach and advance beyond their Fibonacci Golden Zones, BNB has grappled with establishing a consistent bull season support line. This struggle has been a point of contention for BNB, underlining the significance of its recent move towards the Fibonacci Golden Zone. BITSTAMP:BTCUSD Broke Its Fibonacci Golden Zone BINANCE:ETHUSD Broke Its Fibonacci Golden Zone A Shift in Market Dynamics The landscape is now changing for BNB. Its recent breakout against Bitcoin's valuation marks a pivotal development, suggesting a robust shift in market dynamics. This breakout from the downward resistance is critical, as it not only signifies a reversal in trend but also sets the stage for BNB to retest its broken trend line. This retest is crucial, as it could potentially catapult BNB into a significant upward trajectory. BINANCE:BNBBTC Bear Channel Broken The Importance of the Fibonacci Golden Zone The Fibonacci Golden Zone plays a vital role in this narrative, serving as a key indicator for potential market reversals. For BNB, approaching this zone is more than a mere technical milestone; it represents a potential turning point that could reaffirm investor confidence and signify the start of a bullish market phase. Catalysts Behind BNB's Anticipated Breakout The BNB Chain is setting ambitious goals for 2024 to foster mass adoption across decentralized finance (DeFi), gaming, artificial intelligence (AI), and other decentralized applications (DApps). They aim to enhance performance, introduce "opBNB Connect" for scalability, and focus on applications with the potential for high daily active users. This initiative includes plans to increase the number of active validators from 40 to 100, merge the Beacon Chain for improved blockchain efficiency, and speed up decentralization. The introduction of the "One BNB" concept aims to unify the layer-1 BNB Smart Chain (BSC), opBNB, and Greenfield, facilitating a seamless tech stack for applications to transition to fully on-chain Web3 frameworks. Additionally, BNB Chain will enhance its middleware infrastructure and launch BNB Greenfield 2.0 to improve storage performance and support AI, on-chain gaming, and decentralized social platforms​​. The Road Ahead As BNB moves closer to its Fibonacci Golden Zone and retests its broken trend line against Bitcoin, the anticipation within the crypto community intensifies. A successful retest and potential upward movement could not only validate BNB's market potential but also signal the start of a significant bull run. However, given the volatile nature of the crypto market, caution and thorough analysis remain paramount. BNB's journey towards the Fibonacci Golden Zone, coupled with its breakout against Bitcoin, marks a potential watershed moment for the cryptocurrency. This movement could redefine BNB's market position relative to BTC and ETH, heralding a new era of growth and market dominance. This discussion is speculative and intended for educational purposes, providing a hypothetical overview of BNB's market potential. It is not financial advice, and individuals should conduct their research and consult with financial advisors before making investment decisions. BINANCE:BNBBTC BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P BINANCE:BNBBTC
Long
by FikratTrades
💡 Advanced Technical Analysis: NRFBUSDT Action 💹📊📈 Get ready to capitalize on a major growth opportunity with NRFBUSDT action. My in-depth analysis, based on Fibonacci principles, reveals key levels indicating significant upside potential. 🔍 Fibonacci Levels: My Fibonacci study points to critical levels, with crucial buying zones between 0.0006676 and0.0009923. These levels, marked in orange and red, represent potential reversal points based on historical price dynamics. + ≈ 520 % 📊 Technical Analysis: Technical indicators confirm the strength of this analysis, with emerging bullish reversal signals. Support and resistance levels all support the prospect of imminent upward movement. 🔒 Risk Management: While the profit opportunity is enticing, prudent risk management is essential. Establish appropriate stop-loss levels and diversify your portfolio to mitigate potential risks associated with any operation. 📈 Future Outlook: With market fundamentals at play and current trends, NRFBUSDT action presents short-term growth potential. By keeping a keen eye on market developments and adjusting your positions accordingly, you could maximize your returns. 🔍 Conclusion: NRFBUSDT action offers an intriguing investment opportunity, supported by robust technical analysis on a trendline with stabilization and promising signals
Long
by ATheDay
1
GOLD → Growth towards the liquidity area. False breakdown?OANDA:XAUUSD on high timeframes continues to form a sideways movement, but at the same time is in the selling zone. The market is still under pressure from the negative fundamental background. There is almost no news today, US Leading Index is published at 15:00 GMT and in general, analysts expect bearish data for the dollar. Gold is in panic zone on H1. The price is trying to go outside the descending channel while the US market is resting. Technically, the MarketMaker has an interest to rise to the area of 2029, as there is a rather large pool of liquidity hiding there. On the background of a possible strong distribution may form a retest of resistance in the format of a false breakdown, which would mark a further decline from 2029 to 2020-2016. BUT, consolidation above 2029 will give confirmation of local trend change within the global flat. Resistance levels: 2023, 2029, 2037 Support levels: 2020, 2016, 2010 A rise towards 2029 may soon follow, a quick move up will allow to reach the liquidity area. But because of this distribution we have a high chance to see a false breakdown of 2029 with further decline to support TVC:DXY TVC:GOLD COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
5
Capitalizing on a Downward Trend: Using this indicatorDescription: In this comprehensive analysis, I'll walk you through my thought process and strategy for identifying a potentially lucrative short-selling opportunity on the NQ ticker, leveraging the insightful "Custom EMA with Color Fill" indicator by Pablo The Transparent Trader. This indicator has been specifically designed to cater to the needs of swing traders, providing a clear visual representation of market trends and momentum through a color-coded Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and a distinctive color fill between the EMA line and the current price. The Hypothesis: My strategy hinges on a simple yet powerful observation: if the current 2-day candle on the NQ ticker closes below the trendline and beneath the EMA—specifically within the red background of the indicator—it signals a strong bearish momentum. This scenario suggests that it may be an opportune time to consider a short position (you could consider using inverse ETFs instead of shorting). Entry Strategy: Upon the 2-day candle's closure below the critical levels mentioned, I plan to enter a short position. This decision is backed by the indicator's visualization, where a red EMA line and a red fill between the price and EMA indicate a downward trend, suggesting that the market might continue to move lower. Risk Management: To safeguard the trade against unexpected market reversals, I will set my stop loss just above the most recent high. This placement ensures that my trade is protected from significant losses should the market direction change unexpectedly. Profit Taking: In terms of profitability, I aim for a 2 to 1 ratio between my risk and reward. This means that for every unit of risk I take, I expect to gain twice as much in return. This risk-to-reward ratio is not only a testament to the strategy's potential profitability but also underscores the importance of disciplined risk management. Indicator Insights: - Configurable EMA: The ability to adjust the EMA length allows for flexibility in analyzing different time frames, making this indicator suitable for various trading strategies. - Visual Trend Indicators: The color-coded EMA line, alongside the color fill, offers immediate insights into the market's direction. A red EMA and fill signify a downtrend, guiding traders towards short-selling opportunities. - Trend Strength and Entry Points: The distance and the color fill between the price and the EMA provide valuable information on the trend's strength and potential entry points. A wider gap suggests a strong trend, while a narrowing gap could indicate a trend reversal. In conclusion, the "Custom EMA with Color Fill" indicator is not just a tool for visualizing market trends; it's a comprehensive strategy guide for swing traders looking to capitalize on short-term market movements. By following the outlined strategy, traders can make informed decisions, backed by a clear understanding of market dynamics and a disciplined approach to risk management. Whether you're a seasoned trader or new to the scene, this analysis should provide you with a solid foundation for navigating the NQ ticker's volatile waters.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by Pablo_The_Transparent_Trader
World gold price continues to decline sharply, long-term sellingWorld gold prices increased with spot gold increasing by 2.1 USD to 2,017.4 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,029.4 USD/ounce, up 5.3 USD compared to yesterday morning. Gold continues to recover from last week's sell-off after testing support at $2,000 an ounce. Although gold is starting the trading week with modest gains, some analysts say it will remain stuck in a range with support at $2,000 an ounce and resistance around $2,050. ounce. Last week, both consumer and producer prices rose more than expected, putting pressure on gold. The published report shows that the threat of inflation is still persistent. Although gold is stuck, some analysts still emphasize the importance of this precious metal. According to market analyst James Hyerczyk of Fxempire.com, precious metals are still an important safe haven asset when developments in the Middle East are increasing geopolitical instability. He attributed gold's recent recovery to a weakening dollar and fears of rising tensions in the Middle East, which have helped boost gold's status as a haven asset. Safety is preferred. Some other opinions believe that the possibility that the US Federal Reserve will loosen policy this year is also a supporting factor for gold and this precious metal to break out when the first round of policy easing takes place. .
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
GOLD → Retest of downtrend resistance. Low volatility on Monday FOREXCOM:XAUUSD is redeeming part of the fall that occurred on Tuesday. The price is testing trend resistance amid the correction, but the negative fundamental background is still in place. There is no news today, as the USA is celebrating the President's Day. Technically, buying back positions is not an uncommon maneuver from a market maker who has the task to get back some liquidity from speculators who had time to open trades in the right direction. Also, the area of 2029 is an attractive zone and we have a high enough chance to retest this resistance. But, after breaking through the channel resistance, there is no upward impulse, which would indicate a change of trend. XAU is currently in a narrow consolidation and may soon test the 2016 support and the previously broken channel boundary. If a false break of trend resistance is formed, a sell-off phase towards 2000-1998 will begin. Resistance levels: 2020.9, 2023, 2029.4 Support levels: 2016, 2015, 2011 The price is in the 2020.9 - 2016 consolidation. A break of one of the boundaries will give temporary potential. If resistance is overcome, price will head towards 2029.4 before falling further. But, a breakout of 2016-2015 will form a phase of decline to the mentioned targets on the chart TVC:DXY COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
10
GOLD → Correction against the background of a bearish trend FOREXCOM:XAUUSD on Thursday is buying back some of the decline after bouncing off support. The market is under selling pressure and strong ETF selloffs are contributing to the downtrend. Price is testing strong resistance that was broken on inflation related news. But the fall is being redeemed on the back of lower than expected Initial Jobless Claims, the dollar index seems to be forming a small rebound on the strengthening. Technically, as gold is forming a correction to resistance, this key resistance could be 2004, 2009. A false breakdown and retest of this area could form the potential for further declines, as the generally negative fundamental background for gold remains. Resistance levels: 2004, 2009 Support levels: 2000, 1998, 1990, 1986 On the background of correction, the price may test the resistance before further decline, as it is the decline that should be considered at the moment on the background of the downtrend TVC:DXY TVC:GOLD COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
8
EURJPY → A break of resistance will lead to a rise to 164.0FX:EURJPY is realizing the potential of rebound from support and forms a retest of resistance. At the moment consolidation is forming above the level, which increases chances for further growth. Globally, the currency pair continues to form a strong bullish trend, having left the previously formed ascending channel, which is currently a strong support area. The price is retesting the resistance at 161.87, after a small correction the chances of breaking through the level are increasing. The weakness of the Japanese Yen is quite clearly shown on the quotations. The price consolidation above 161.4 will allow to overcome 161.870 and continue the growth towards the range resistance - 163.6 and 164.2. Resistance levels: 161.87 Support levels: 161.4, 160.9 The currency pair continues to strengthen, buyers are quite active. Consolidation above 161.4, breakout of 161.87 and consolidation above this area will form a local bottom for continuation of growth. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
4
GOLD - Formation of a bearish channel. Bounce before the fall FOREXCOM:XAUUSD is moving into a consolidation phase after a phase of strong sell-offs. The probable reason could be the news that the market is waiting for. What can happen in the market? The general fundamental background for gold is negative, therefore, it is worth considering further prospects downward. Technically, a descending channel is beginning to form on the chart, but the price is already forming a rebound from the trend support, confirming the presence of the channel boundary. As the news is ahead, before the fundamental data update, the gold market may test one of the key resistances to capture liquidity. Such target may be MA-50, 1998, or the boundary of the range 2000-2004. And the target on the background of the bearish trend may be the area of 1980 - 1976. Support levels: 1990 Resistance levels: MA-50, 1998, 2000, 2004 Traders are waiting for the news, analysts are generally expecting bearish numbers, but something tells us that the current US policy will not allow strong bearish data. Technically the trend is bearish and after the rally, the price may test the sellers' liquidity zones before falling further TVC:GOLD COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! TVC:DXY Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
10
XAUUSD LONG AND SHORT Hi Friends I'm back with another analysis, To begin with gold is in a downtrend and there are multiple supply levels which the immediate one is a 5 min supply level around 2025-2026. then above it we have 2027 level which this morning market reacted to. Currently market is above the demand level of 19 and has reacted to it multiple times already. incase market continues downward other levels do exist for a long trade. In case we go up supply levels are also drawn. * As always add your intuition and logic into this analysis and trade cautiously *Be honorable
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AliHassanzadeh
GOLD → News takes price out of uptrend and consolidationFOREXCOM:XAUUSD is leaving the range. It happened. Tuesday's news defines the medium-term outlook for the market and, amid selling pressure, the price reaches targets below 2000. Today we have no news, the fundamental background remains the same - negative for gold. The chart above clearly shows that the price is coming out of the consolidation phase and the uptrend. The strong support area is broken, and the closing of the daily candle on Tuesday defines the local boundary at 1990, if it is broken, the decline will continue. Actual targets at the moment are 1980 - 1976. A strong enough liquidity zone that beckons this wave of momentum. After the inflation report, the dollar continues to rise, and the markets are now betting that the Fed will not cut rates before June, which is a negative leverage for the forex, including the XAU. Resistance levels: 1993, 1997, 2000, 2004 Support levels: 1990, 1980, 1976 1990 plays a key role. There may be a correction or multiple retests before the breakout. But a pre-breakout consolidation or consolidation below 1990 may start further sell-offs towards 1980 TVC:DXY TVC:GOLD COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
11
GBPUSD → Weak pound on negative fundamental backdrop FX:GBPUSD is finally coming out of a long consolidation. Tuesday's news determines the medium-term prospects for the market, and most likely the decline will continue. The target at the moment is 1.25000 - liquidity area and also an important psychological level. The bullish correction is coming to an end and the price is back in the bearish phase. After the inflation report, the markets are now betting that the Fed may start the interest rate cut phase in the summer. The forex market is plunging into the red corridor on the back of a rising TVC:DXY . The currency pair will technically reach 1.2500 in the near term and a correction may follow after a false breakdown. Resistance levels: 1.2615, 1.2650 Support levels: 1.2520, 1.2500 A break of consolidation support opens a bearish trend. Negative fundamental background will favor it. The nearest target is 1.25, further correction may follow before the subsequent fall to 1.2380. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
4
ENJ after the pullback can continue the uptrend ENJ after the pullback can continue the uptrend. It might get rejected from 0.3200 and continue to go up. 🔵Entry Zone 0.3086 - 0.3201 🔴SL 0.2902 🟢TP1 0.3455 🟢TP2 0.3709 🟢TP3 0.3975 Risk Warning Trading Forex, CFDs, Crypto, Futures, and Stocks involve a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results. If you liked our ideas, please support us with your likes 👍 and comments.
Long
by JosephMcKenzie