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Trend Line Break

GOLD → Global trend is neutral, local trend is downward FOREXCOM:XAUUSD continues to stand still, as does the dollar. The market is uncertain due to many different nuances, mainly fundamental and political factors. On D1 we can see that gold does not have any definite trend at the moment, on H1 there is a downward range, but it plays a mediocre role. Since for now gold is in the range of 2052 (2035) - on top and 2018(2009) - on the bottom , in our case it is better to look for strong support or resistance levels to trade the strategy inside the range. There are no prerequisites for a breakout of the boundaries at the moment, so with a high degree of probability the market will continue to forge price movement within these boundaries. In the medium term, the further direction will be determined only by the breakthrough of one of the range boundaries, because now it is impossible to say clearly, as a symmetrical triangle is forming globally. Yes, there are prerequisites for both further growth and decline, but we need to wait for actual indications. Resistance levels: 2035, 2050 Support levels: 2025, 2020, 2018 The moving averages indicate sideways movement, which is what we see. An intra-range trading strategy (from strong levels or range boundaries) is recommended. The global trend is neutral and the local trend is downward. TVC:DXY COMEX:GC1! CAPITALCOM:GOLD COMEX_MINI:MGC1! Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
9
NZDUSD → Another retest of support could yield a breakout OANDA:NZDUSD is testing strong support at 0.6086, but the market is not forming a logical bounce or reversal. The price continues to test the support, which reminds us of the "Flag" pattern, the essence of which is the continuation of the movement. On the daily timeframe I marked the key level 0.61038. A false breakout is formed and there is no logical reaction relative to the level (no growth after a false breakout). Buying power is weakening on the back of the rising dollar. Strong bears are forming a pre-breakdown consolidation relative to the 0.6100 level. The dollar index is strengthening as regulators are further delaying a possible rate cut, which could technically strengthen the index, and that would negatively impact the forex . The moving averages, reversal pattern, retest and pre-breakout consolidation of 0.6100 - 0.6086 suggests a possible breakout of support and a decline in price towards 0.61000. Resistance levels: 0.6134, 0.6208 Support levels: 0.6100, 0.6084 I expect that on the background of pre-breakdown consolidation another support retest will be formed, which may break this line and the market will start to form a bearish impulse. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
10
💡 EURUSD: Forecast January 22ANALYSIS TODAY: After consecutive bullish reversal signals including the spinning top and pin bar pattern, the price has recovered slightly in the past session, however it has not yet broken the short-term downtrend line and has not created a new high, so The situation has not yet changed significantly. You continue to be wary of the possibility of a bullish reversal. If you still have a short position, you need to maintain the SL above 1.09. Indicator is used: - Chandelier Exit - EMA - MACD
Long
by Stone_Haven
GOLD → Retests of global support. Where can it lead to?OANDA:XAUUSD opens lower on Monday and is testing 2025 for a breakout. Technically, gold is weaker than the dollar as regulators continue to support the index. Fundamentally, the gold market is only watching the dollar's behavior. The dollar index is consolidating after a micro rally, but both technically and fundamentally the index may strengthen. The market sentiment is changing: traders are now betting that the Fed will not start cutting rates until May, while earlier it was March. Gold is in a key consolidation range: 2052 - 2018 (the boundaries are marked on the D1 chart). Anything can happen in relation to the boundaries (false breakout, rebound), as the market is trying to gather the necessary amount of liquidity by any means. But, if you look closely, you can see that the price is forming a retest of the ascending support line. The chances of the support being broken continue to rise. The trigger zone is below 2018. A break of this support and the formation of consolidation below this level could finally turn the market around and direct the accumulated potential towards a bearish distribution. But! Since gold is currently in a range, we have a resistance level, a break of which could give the market an opportunity for growth: this is the 2025-2030 area. Resistance levels: 2025, 2030, 2035, 2050 Support levels: 2018.5, 2016, 2004 Technically, a bearish trend is forming, on d1 price continues to test support for a breakout on the back of a strengthening dollar. I think such preconditions may hint at a possible fall TVC:DXY CAPITALCOM:GOLD COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
11
EURJPY: Harmonic Bat and Rising Wedge Unveil Insights...SELL?Greetings, fellow traders! In the context of EURJPY, a discernible pattern is emerging as the price unfolds within the confines of a rising wedge. Notably, this pattern is converging towards a prospective supply zone, coinciding with the culmination of a harmonic bat pattern as it reaches its D leg. Anticipation of a market shift towards selling becomes more apparent in light of this convergence. The confluence of factors, including the potential completion of the harmonic bat pattern and the formation of the rising wedge, adds weight to the expectation of a downturn. The significance of this scenario is further underscored by the likelihood of a breach in the supporting trend of the wedge. Closely monitor this juncture, as it presents an opportune moment for strategic decision-making. Exercise due diligence and consider leveraging this insightful confluence for informed trading decisions in the evolving EURJPY market. Happy trading!
Short
by Koolermactrez
💡 EURUSD: Analysis January 19Indicator is used: - Chandelier Exit - EMA - MACD Re-tested the 1.09 conversion resistance zone in the last session, but the selling force returned and prevented the price from rising above this level. However, observing on a daily basis we see a spindle - credit model. Potential reversal signal. Therefore, you need to be wary of the possibility of a price reversal to the upside. You can hold short positions according to the previous breakdown signal but the SL needs to be placed above the 1.09 resistance level.
Short
by Stone_Haven
💡 XAUUSD: Analysis January 19Gold D1 increased yesterday, but created a price bar within the previous price bar to form an inside bar model, showing a state of cumulative price compression. The support confluence area around the round number 2,000 continues to be the area that pushes the price upward. D1 gold is in a sideways state. There is an uptrend in gold price in H1, but this is only considered a correction, not a reversal because it has not broken the most recent price peak. Therefore, the main trend of H1 gold today is to wait to sell at the above resistance. If the price breaks above this resistance, it will reverse to increase, then you can wait to buy again.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Stone_Haven
Trading strategy at the beginning of the week, entry sellGold prices reversed and decreased because investors continued to take profits, as the market was preparing to receive new economic information, as well as preparing for the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to enter its first monthly meeting. 2024. Experts predict that the US economy is about to release its 2023 report, with good growth expected and stable employment. When economic growth is good, stocks increase positively. The USD also increased. Investors in the world market previously gathered gold, but they returned to take profits to buy stocks as soon as possible. Therefore, gold as a capital reserve will decrease in price deeply in the future. On Tuesday, the dollar strengthened and put pressure on gold as US Federal Reserve (Fed) Governor Christopher Waller made "hawkish" comments about cutting interest rates this year. According to Mr. Waller, the US is still far from the 2% inflation target, so the central bank should not rush to cut interest rates until it is clear that lower inflation will be maintained. Previously, many Fed officials, including Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester, told Bloomberg TV that it was too early to loosen monetary policy in March. Comments from Fed officials showed that The Fed believes that interest rate cuts will come much later, most likely at the end of the second quarter of this year. The report released Wednesday showed that retail sales in December increased 0.6% from the previous month. This strengthens the Fed's determination not to cut interest rates prematurely. However, gold reversed course Thursday as market attention turned to concerns about escalating geopolitical tensions. Safe haven demand has reduced pressure on interest rate expectations and helped gold increase slightly.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
GOLD → Counter-trend correction and a target of 2050FOREXCOM:XAUUSD looks quite strong and on the background of growing dollar index does not give up its positions much. Consolidation in the range of 2069.8 - 2029.6 continues. The dollar index feels overheated but still supported by the US FED & FOMC. Regulators are carefully trying to control the situation and stop any possibility of early interest rate cuts. As we can see, the dollar price is actively reacting to such comments. The index is squeezed between MA200 and MA50 and, in all likelihood, from the support may continue to rise in January-February to the trend resistance, which will have a corresponding effect on the forex market and gold. Gold is trading within the descending price channel and on the background of unstable geopolitical situation, the price is trading calmly inside the range. The logical price reaction to a false break of trend support is a technical reversal is formed and we see a counter-trend correction to resistance. On D1 gold is forming a strong resistance zone formed by several highs ( 2150, 2085, 2070, 2063 ), on the global timeframe, technically and fundamentally the asset looks promising. The current geopolitical situation is affecting the gold price to the upside, but the market is correlated with the dollar index and as long as the latter is strengthening, gold will still react to it. Gold may continue to rise at the beginning of the week for several reasons: - the attacks on Yemen and the response to US vessels continued over the weekend - dollar index closed Friday's session in the correction phase - On the hourly timeframe, gold ended Friday's session with the end of the correction in the 2025 area. The price has consolidated above the psychologically and technically important level, respectively, it will favorably affect the price growth. TVC:DXY COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by RLinda
5
BITCOIN → Why might the price drop to 34K before halving?BINANCE:BTCUSD has been rising for 124 days without any meaningful correction since September. Within a strongly bullish distribution, the price tested the strongest liquidity zone of 48K and made a false breakout, which is a strong sign for the start of a correction. Technically, BTC is in a stalemate situation, between two channels, more precisely in the range between 43K and 40K. The consolidation may last an indefinite amount of time, as fundamentally bitcoin is quite strong, and all the selling that is taking place is related to ETFs. The next halving is expected on April 7, 2024 . Statistically, the market goes into a significant correction phase before this phenomenon and there is a logic in this - to form more favorable positions before the strong rally that everyone is waiting for. At the moment, technically, the price is restrained by the resistance 43118 and the price has chances to rise, but for that the market will have to overcome this resistance and hold the level. From below we have the support at 40181, which is a risk and panic zone. When the price approaches this area, many buyers and sellers have adrenaline levels, as some are eager to open trades and others are afraid of reaching the stop-loss. Within the current situation, we have two scenarios: 1) Shortsqueeze in the format of a false breakout relative to 0.382 fibo, rise, breakout of 43118, consolidation above the level and subsequent rise to 50K, but at the moment, for the reasons I stated above, this scenario doesn't have much of a chance 2) Breakout of 0.382 fibo, the market gets rid of unnecessary passengers (knock out stoplosses), then - the key fibo area in the medium term - 0.618 fibo. Test of the area may occur in February - March and become a strong support before further growth after halving. Support levels: 40181 Resistance levels: 43118 Fundamentally the flagman is doing quite well, but technically there are reasons why the market should lower the price before the growth Regards R. Linda!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by RLinda
54
GOLD → Trading within the descending channel GOLD confirms the lower boundary of the channel, forms a false breakdown of 2010 and reverses to form a counter-trend correction. Gold manages to grow on the background of the growing dollar index. Today there is no news that can somehow change the direction. Technically, gold, within the descending range, is heading towards the resistance area of 2042-2048. On the background of the correction, the price is breaking through MA-50 and the strong level of 2025. Ahead is MA-200 and no less important resistance zone 2035 from which a correction may follow with the aim of retesting 2025. Thus, within the range we should focus our attention on the area: 2035, MA-200. Breakout of this zone and price consolidation above it will form a potential for further growth to the previously mentioned target: liquidity and resistance zone 2042-2048. But if the bears sell the price, forcing a breakout of 2025 and consolidation below the level, then in this case, against the background of a rising dollar, gold may head towards the support area of 2004. Support levels: 2025, 2029 Resistance levels: MA-200, 2035 As part of the intra-range trading strategy, the price may reach the trend resistance and test 2048. But, still we have a strong dollar and strong sellers in the market. If the price goes back to 2025, we should be ready for further selling COMEX:GC1! TVC:DXY COMEX_MINI:MGC1! Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by RLinda
24
AUDUSD → Change of mood and retest of a strong level FX:AUDUSD broke the uptrend earlier and is testing the strong historical level of 0.65800. Against the backdrop of a rising TVC:DXY , the Aussie could lose ground and head towards downside targets. The dollar is strengthening and may show growth for the second week in a row thanks to the signs of stability of the American economy and cautious comments of central bankers' representatives on rate cuts, the index is seeing a clear recovery phase, which negatively affects the currency pair. Technically, AUDUSD breaks the level of 0.65800 and tests it as resistance. There are 2 scenarios that can develop in relation to the level: the first one includes the continuation of the correction if the price breaks 0.65800 and consolidates above it. The target will be the resistance at 0.6666. And the second scenario is the bears' task to hold this level against the background of changing market sentiment. From 0.65800 a decline to 0.6523 is possible with the subsequent breakout and fall to 0.6352. Moving averages show a downward signal. Resistance levels: 0.65800 Support levels: 0.6523 The trend is changing, bears are more serious, which may affect the pair's pricing. With greater probability I am waiting for the realization of the second scenario. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
13
GOLD → Price returns to the descending range OANDA:XAUUSD is declining and testing local lows. The market has stopped paying attention to the conflict in the red sea, which is surprising, and focuses its attention on the comments of the Fed representatives, who are quite a lot of speakers and will speak this week. Of the news today, Core Retail Sales at 31:30 gmt is worth waiting for. Analysts expect unchanged data, but Bowman (FOMC) will speak at 14:00 and Williams (FOMC) will speak at 20:00, most likely to comment on the situation around inflation and further interest rate situation. Overall, the regulator is not ready to give up yet and may continue to keep the dollar strong. As for gold, the price is still in a neutral consolidation phase. A breakout of one of the boundaries may determine the outlook and it could be a support breakout. In general, gold is returning to the descending range and testing support levels for the possibility of further decline. Most likely, bears will try to hold their zone, in this case gold may test 2013 within the bearish trend in the nearest future. And in the medium term, target 1994, where there is a huge pool of liquidity. Resistance levels: 2024, 2030 Support levels: 2017, 2013, 2010 As the time horizons are determined both technically and fundamentally, gold may test local lows on the back of a rising dollar COMEX:GC1! TVC:DXY Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by RLinda
21
GBPJPY → False breakdown on the background of distribution OANDA:GBPJPY is in the distribution phase after breaking the ascending triangle structure. Against the background of the November 2023 retest, there are not many chances to break 188.3 from the first time. The pound sterling both technically and fundamentally looks stronger than the Japanese yen. On the senior timeframe we see the formation of a sideways movement, which tells us about the neutrality of forces between buyers and sellers. In this case, it is acceptable to use a range trading strategy (trading from the range boundaries). After breaking through the ascending triangle structure an impulse (distribution) is formed, the price has not yet tested the resistance of 188.3, which plays an important role. There is a high chance that the market will show a false breakout and a small correction. The key point of the correction is a test of the rising support line. If the line is broken, the price may head towards the mentioned target. Resistance levels: 188.3, 188.66 Support levels: 185.9, 184.3 The most likely scenario is a false breakout followed by a correction to one of the above support lines, as the market currently has no potential for a resistance breakout. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
11
💡 EURUSD: Analysis January 17EURUSD has fallen to the support zone around 1.0850. If the price forms and gives us a signal to buy up in this zone, we can consider trading. If you trade this frame, please note that you can wait for the price to break the most recent peak of the H4 frame and then look for a buyback price according to the previous price increase, so you will have a much higher probability of winning. . In general, with this currency pair, please pay attention to the current support price area around 1.0850. If there is a signal of a price decrease, you can consider trading. Also note that we have a small resistance level around the round number 1.0900. If you are trading in the low frame and see the price approaching this area and forming a nice bearish signal, you can consider it. Can you please sell soup from this area?
Long
by Stone_Haven
Gold suddenly reversed growth again, an opportunity to sell GOLDWorld gold prices reversed and increased sharply with spot gold increasing by 27.1 USD to 2,022.4 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,025.1 USD/ounce, up 18.6 USD compared to yesterday morning. Developments in the Middle East boosted safe-haven demand for gold on Thursday (US time), helping gold escape its previous five-week low under pressure from changes in interest expectations. productivity after economic report was stronger than expected. According to senior market strategist Daniel Pavilonis of RJO Futures, amid much uncertainty, gold prices will be kept above $2,000/ounce. On January 17, the US Government returned the Houthis in Yemen to the list of terrorist groups as they continued to conduct attacks on commercial and military vessels. In addition to the instability factor, speculation surrounding the timing of interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) is also affecting the direction of gold. Currently, investors are still waiting for further information to learn more about the Fed's future interest rate direction. Currently, most opinions believe that interest rates will be cut if published data shows that inflation "cools down" significantly. Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said Thursday that he supports cutting interest rates sooner if there is "compelling" evidence that inflation is falling more sharply than expected. In a recent statement, he said that inflation could be "volatile" if policymakers cut interest rates too soon.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster