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Trend Line Break

Japanese Yen Weakens Against USD, USD/JPY Continues to RiseThe Japanese Yen (JPY) weakened against the USD during the Asian trading session after the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) meeting minutes revealed a divide over the timing of interest rate hikes. Domestic political concerns and fears of potential protectionist trade measures from Donald Trump further weakened the JPY. Meanwhile, expectations that Trump's policies will drive inflation and limit the Federal Reserve's ability to ease further have supported the USD, helping the USD/JPY pair rise. Looking at the technical chart, the USD/JPY pair is also in an uptrend, trading around 153.33, up by 0.5%. Support at 152.23 is helping to strengthen the upward momentum, with resistance at 154.66. If the 152.23 support level holds, the USD/JPY pair could continue rising towards higher levels in the short term. However, investors should closely monitor technical signals and upcoming macroeconomic data to adjust their trading strategy accordingly.
by Alisa_Rokosz
CADJPY at strong resistance in the Daily chartHistorical context: +60% up since 2020 The CAD/JPY pair has demonstrated a remarkable upward trajectory since March 2020, recording an impressive increase of over 60%. This surge can be partly attributed to Japan's prolonged monetary policy, which maintained negative interest rates while many other countries raised their rates to combat inflation following the pandemic. Recently, the Bank of Japan signalled a significant shift in its monetary policy, indicating its intention to begin raising interest rates. This development has provided a boost to the Japanese Yen. The current pullback represents the sharpest decline observed since the onset of the uptrend in 2020, potentially signalling a change in market direction. This analysis will delve into the recent price action, loss of key support levels, and critical areas to monitor. Technical Perspective: Key Indicators Break Below the 200-Period Moving Average The recent breach below the 200-period moving average signifies a weakening uptrend. This movement suggests a potential reversal in the prevailing direction, accompanied by increasing selling pressure. The 200-period moving average is often regarded as a critical threshold separating bull markets from bear markets, making a drop below this level particularly significant. Accelerating Downward Movement The decline observed between 10 July and 5 August marks the steepest drop in CAD/JPY since 2020. Most notably, this downturn has effectively engulfed all gains made by CAD/JPY over the previous 12 months. The acceleration of this downward movement underscores significant selling interest in the pair. Fibonacci Analysis and Price Structure Following the breakout of the SMA200 on the daily chart, the price has retraced to the 50% Fibonacci level of the recent downtrend. The 50% level is often viewed as a critical area of interest that can present opportunities aligned with the primary trend. The confluence of the 50% level with the 200-period moving average marks a pivotal point for sellers at this juncture. Possible Sell Scenario Given the breach of the 200-period moving average and the prevailing price structure indicating a potential reversal, a selling opportunity may arise if the pair continues to exhibit weakness. A sell signal could be triggered if the price breaks below the uptrend line on the daily chart (highlighted in black). Initial targets for this sell-off could include the 23.6% Fibonacci level at 105.7, with an extended target around the 103.00 region. A stop loss should be established if the price demonstrates a clear breakout above the range defined by the 50% Fibonacci level and the SMA200 on the daily chart, situated around 111.20. The CAD/JPY pair is beginning to exhibit signs of exhaustion following a prolonged uptrend. The breach below the 200-period moving average and the testing of Fibonacci levels suggest a potential period of correction or reversal ahead. Close monitoring of price action around the 108.229 and 110.258 levels will be crucial in validating any potential short entries. Disclaimer: 74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK.
Short
by Marketscom
BITCOIN TREND PIVOT With all the geo-political noise it's easy to get caught up in the low timeframe madness. Zooming out and looking at the High timeframe structure, things get a little simpler... For me, BTC has been in two different smaller phases within a larger bullflag pattern. Phase one is the bearish part of the bullflag where price prints lower highs and lower lows , this lasted for 150 days with a pivot once price wicked into the bullish OB @ $50K. From that pivot point the second phase started and it's where we are now. Once we got our first higher low the new bullish trend began, higher lows and higher highs followed and continues on until now. Now the interesting part is how BTC has broken out of the bigger bullflag pattern and that's shown by the X's and ^'s on the chart. In recent days BTC has broken out of the bigger bullflag pattern as shown by the tick where price rejected off the '21 ATH and retested what was formerly trend resistance and now support after a successful bullish reaction off that level for the first time in 8 months. Price is now at the highs with the US election around the corner and %16B FTX repayments on the way , can BTC go one step further and make a new ATH? Time will tell but for now the structure is the most important thing. Higher highs and higher lows, that's it.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by ProR35
Ultra Bullish On Crypto - Especially BTCOver the last ewek we've seen signals jive in such a way that leans towards the most almighty bullish sentiment. Not only have ween seen an all time high on BTC, we've seen the upper trend line breached that we've been waiting for so long for. Equally, the cup and handle looks very much in play with a target in high excess of $250k. At this time, I'm super bullish on BTC and will be buying up all the dips from here on in until we get the terminal end of wave 5 of 5, which is months away. So, enjoy the up and down, know that up is the direction we're going in and goggle up all the dips like a raging Miss Pacman!
Long
by cryptechcapital
1
Gold : BUYGold bullish trading is a compelling option for investors and traders who aim to capitalize on the rising value of gold in global markets. Often considered a "safe haven" asset, gold tends to attract significant attention during times of economic uncertainty, inflation, and market volatility. A bullish approach to gold trading generally involves betting on its price increase through a variety of strategies, from spot trading and futures to gold ETFs and mining stocks. One of the primary appeals of a bullish gold strategy is its potential to hedge against inflation. As fiat currencies lose purchasing power, gold's intrinsic value often holds steady or rises, making it an ideal asset to protect wealth. Furthermore, global demand for gold remains robust, with central banks, jewelers, and technology sectors consistently creating a strong foundation for its long-term appreciation. In terms of trading, bullish positions in gold can be profitable, especially when paired with technical analysis and macroeconomic indicators. Many traders look for signs of economic instability, like geopolitical tensions or declining interest rates, as signals to enter bullish gold trades. In such conditions, spot prices often surge, rewarding those with bullish positions. However, gold trading also requires caution, as the market can experience pullbacks due to profit-taking or shifts in monetary policy. Moreover, gold’s movements can sometimes be sluggish compared to other assets, so timing is essential to maximize gains. Risk management strategies, such as stop-loss orders, are essential in volatile markets to safeguard profits. Overall, gold bullish trading is a reliable way to diversify a portfolio and hedge against economic downturns. With the right market insights and risk management, traders can benefit from this timeless asset’s long-standing value and stability.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by Kishorekesh
SWEAT/USDT THE GOLDEN RETURNSWEATUSDT is exhibiting an intriguing volume trend that suggests potential for a break in the upcoming time frames. This coin is showing a distinctive increase in volume, signaling possible heightened market interest. Given the current trend, there's a strong possibility that SWEATUSDT could target a return to $0.025, with potential upward momentum toward $0,0094 - $0.012 followed by $0,017. Keep an eye on this one—its volume movement could pave the way for notable price action in the near term. As always this is crypto market with no guarantees. If the trend is able to get new confirmations will be able to follow it with updates. - Trade only when there is confirmations and depending on your plan only. ( if this coin shows the effect we expect then it can take days follow) follow this update for daily adds.
Long
by SatochiTrader
1
GBPUSD → Negative fundamental background. Going to 1.2500FX:GBPUSD is reversing after a retest of strong resistance with no opportunity to enter the liquidity zone. The negative fundamental background is confirmed. The dollar is flying upwards. News channels and not only already declare about the victory of Trump, whose policy is directed towards the strengthening of the dollar. Markets are starting to react accordingly. As for GBPUSD, in the last article I focused your attention on 1.2813 and 1.305: If after a pullback to the resistance the price starts to retest the support, the chances of a breakdown and further decline will increase. The fundamental background, formed at the moment, is favorable for the fall of the currency pair. Resistance levels: 1.294, 1.30, 1.3044 Support levels: 1.2813, 1.2672, 1.25 The technical and fundamental background are going in the same direction. Emphasis on the key support. A slight pullback is possible before further breakout. Also continue to follow the news! Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:GBPUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
11
APEUSDT → Is the dump still in progress? Emphasis on resistanceBINANCE:APEUSDT in the dump phase updates lows. Consolidation and a slight pullback is forming before important news from the US. There is a storm ahead! The coin pump is most likely a manipulation of fundamental facts related to the launch of Level 3 blockchain. But based on the overall situation, traders do not believe in further growth ... Technically, the coin is in the channel 0.963 (deeper 1.032) -0.900, accordingly, at the time of writing, prices are diving after bitcoin as markets are betting on Trump's victory, which puts a favorable wind on this market. But the outcome could be 50/50 as the politicians in the race go toe-to-toe... I emphasize the range boundaries to form a short and medium term strategy for APE. Resistance levels: 0.963, 1.032 Support levels: 0.900, 0.875 Technically, the primary target is resistance. Further we should consider a false breakdown with a possible decline to support, which may lead to a breakout and further decline to the zone of interest 0.733 - 0.695 Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:APEUSDT ;) Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
7
GBPUSD → The bearish nature of the market is confirmed. News?FX:GBPUSD behavior on H4-H1 confirms the fact of a characteristic bear market. The price is updating the local minimum and testing a strong liquidity zone before strong news NFP, Unemployment Rate, ISM PMI are published today. The range of expected data is quite wide. Analysts are expecting an aggressive decline in NFP to 106K from the previous 254K. Do you feel the manipulation before the Fed rate meeting, as well as before the U.S. presidential election? It is difficult to prematurely assess the fundamental environment due to the challenging economic environment. Theoretically, the dollar may continue to feel the support in the market, while GBPUSD is sliding downwards on the background of the UK policy. Technically, the price is testing a strong support zone and a counter-trend correction is forming after capturing some liquidity. Emphasis on 1.300 - 1.305 Resistance levels: 1.298, 1.300, 1.305, 1.310 Support levels: 1.284, 1.281 The news can have quite a wide impact on the market and it all depends on the actual data. I expect to see a continuation of the fall from 1.298-1.30-1.305 as a priority. But! Unpredictable data can turn the situation around. If the currency breaks 1.305 and consolidates above this area, the trend may stagger... Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:GBPUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
7
NZDUSD → Speculators waiting for news.... FX:NZDUSD is moving into consolidation after a strong and progressive fall amid a halt in the dollar index. Markets are waiting for news related to the US presidential election.... The currency pair amid strong bullish DXY is not practicing attempts to update local highs with the aim of changing the trend to a bullish one. Buyers are not ready yet, and are waiting for November 5... If Trump is elected, the dollar, supported by a pro-inflationary president, may continue to recover, which, accordingly, will manifest itself in the form of negative dynamics in the currency pair. But, most likely, with the election of a politician from the Democratic Party, the regulators are likely to continue to hold the dovish rate, in which case the NZDUSD will have a chance to change the trend. Resistance levels: 0.6031, 0.6066 Support levels: 0.5953, 0.5915 Technically, bears continue to hold the dominant position. The area 0.5915, 0.585 is a zone of interest in terms of liquidity formation, thus, there is a high probability of reaching these areas... Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
1
Take A Guess What Happens Next....Almost every time Bitcoin breaks its HTF trendline, a solid move in the opposite direction occurs. Let's be cautious and use proper risk management to minimize losses and maximize gains. Maybe the 7th trendline break will be different..... Calculate Your Risk/Reward so you don't lose more than 1% of your account per trade. Every day the charts provide new information. You have to adjust or get REKT. Love it or hate it, hit that thumbs up and share your thoughts below! This is not financial advice. This is for educational purposes only.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Navitility
GOLD → Background Change. Is it time for a correction?FX:XAUUSD is facing profit-taking and a strong correction after Thursday's news. From ATH, the metal is down 2% for the day. Today is an equally busy news day! The stock and futures market declined quite a bit in yesterday's session. Most likely a reaction to rising inflation..... The data was quite unexpected. The election race is on the agenda. The main question is the pace of easing under this or that president.... At the moment the focus is on the NFP report, which will be released later Friday. It is expected that the economy added 109K new jobs in October and the unemployment rate is expected to remain unchanged at 4.1%. Technically, gold is coming back under the strong 2760 level, this was confirmed by a retest early in the European session. The market may be interested in the imbalance zone and the approximate area of 0.5-0.7 fibo... Resistance levels: 2758, 2771, 2789 Support levels: 2745, 2738, 2728 The fundamental background is changing and it is reflected in gold. The outflow of investments may continue. If the negative background intensifies, gold may fall lower after resistance retest, e.g. to 2724-2713. But, unpredictable data will renew interest in the metal, which may return to the range of 2760 - 2790 Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
11
GBPUSD → Confirmation of a trend change. The Bear ZoneFX:GBPUSD confirms the bearish market structure. The fundamnetal factor is favorable for further decline. Since the opening of the session, the price has been testing the previously broken boundary. The market is not ready to resist the sellers yet On the background of difficult situation in the west, the course of interest rate cuts in the UK, a pool of sell orders is forming in the zone 1.315 - 1.300. Buyers are turning around. On Monday, in the Asian session, the retest of the previously broken trend support ended with a downward impulse, which confirms the bearish mood in the market. GBPUSD confirms the price exit from the channel. It is possible that another retest is possible, as the dollar is forming a short-term correction, but it does not change the general essence of it Resistance levels: 1.3044, 1.3068 Support levels: 1.300, 1.2975, 1.2938 The trigger for the continuation of the fall will be the breakdown of 1.3000 and further consolidation of the price below this zone. Additional scenario: retest of 1.3063 - 1.3075 before further fall Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:GBPUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
3
$SPY tough spot right now, but there's still a glimmer of hope!On the daily chart, there are three bearish signals without even considering indicators: 1. Price is below the EMAs. 2. With a gap down. 3. From a coil spring. On the weekly chart, the trend remains intact. However, if we drop below the fast EMA, a significant test will be the slow EMA. The key level to watch is the low of the daily channel line at $554, which aligns with the weekly slow EMA at approximately $551. For me, that represents the definitive line in the sand for SPY.
AMEX:SPY
by WavesInvesting
EURJPY → Buyer pressure is mounting. Pre-breakout consolidationFX:EURJPY is forming quite an interesting situation on the background of inaction of the Japanese Central Bank (weakening of JPY exchange rate) as well as strengthening of EUR. The currency pair has been in the realization phase for more than a week. Based on the general assumptions, we can assume that this is not the end and the growth may continue. An ascending triangle is being formed on H1 (pre-breakout consolidation) against the resistance at 166.065. Accordingly, this level is a trigger. Within the general technical and fundamental environment, we can conclude that the currency pair is preparing for the continuation of growth. If the bulls are able to overcome 166.06 and keep the defense above this zone, we should expect the continuation of the growth in the short and medium term. Resistance levels: 166.06, 166 Support levels: 165.68, 165.14, 164.95 The trend is bullish, buyers are actively defending the trend support. All market pressure is focused on the resistance. A break of the level may provoke a strong upward impulse Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:EURJPY ;) Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
4