TONUSDT → Bulls dressing up as bears... ↓BINANCE:TONUSDT can't get out of the downtrend, facing a rather strong seller (or lack of buyers, amid fundamental problems). The coin is setting itself up for a further decline....
The trend change started to show back in July, with strong momentum being generated amid strong outflows due to the market crash following bitcoin manipulation. In Agusta, the coin faced another problem - Pavel Durov's court case, which had an extremely negative impact on the system.
At the moment, buyers are turning around and have no fundamental and technical strength against the bear. The price is forming a pre-breakdown base relative to the key support at 5.16. A break of this area will open the way to 4.5.
Resistance levels: 5.38, 5.44
Support levels: 5.16, 4.7, 4.5
Buyers are trying to hold 5.16, but the pressure of bears, increasing on the background of bitcoin correction, is increasing, the sellers' strength is growing, which provokes the first to leave the game, close or turn around. In the short term, I expect a breakdown of support and decline
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:TONUSDT ;)
Regards R. Linda!
Trend Line Break
PEPE Prepares for Parabolic Growth: Bullish Momentum Building PEPE’s price action is following a classic Elliott Wave structure, with Wave 1 now complete, followed by an ABC correction, which also appears to have finished. This signals that we’re now entering Wave 3 of a larger degree trend (marked yellow), with Waves 1 and 2 behind us.
Zooming in, the Roman numeral wave count (white) shows the completion of Wave 1 of 3 of the higher degree trend, with i (green) forming the current wave. Once i completes, we can expect a brief ABC correction, followed by parabolic growth in Wave 3.
It’s exciting to see a meme coin like PEPE following such a strong bullish trajectory. The overall outlook is highly promising, and this setup could lead to significant upside potential!
GOLD → Consolidation below the SMA. What was the impact of NFP?FX:XAUUSD is consolidating below previously crossed SMA50 & 200 after Friday's shakeout. A surprising NPF shook up the market. The dollar is rallying while gold is drawing downside resistance....
The main reason for a possible decline in gold prices is the weakening expectations of a 0.5% Fed interest rate cut in November. A very strong NFP report all but eliminated the likelihood of a Fed rate cut in November. The reading beat market expectations of 140K by a wide margin. Nevertheless, the price of gold managed to resist a corrective decline thanks to the ongoing geopolitical risks associated with the escalating conflict in the Middle East. Traders are now looking forward to the upcoming Fed speech.
Gold is technically in the sideways range of 2685 - 2623. There is no actual direction, so you can trade between buy and sell levels....
Resistance levels: SMA, 2661, 2673
Support levels: 2639, 2631, 2623
Bears are likely to exert maximum strength in the resistance zone, the market may react by declining to the liquidity zones. There is a high enough probability of formation of a false breakout of resistance before further decline
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BITCOIN → The flirtation with MA-200 ended in failure. To 52K?BINANCE:BTCUSD failed in its attempt to break the daily MA-200 and 64-65K resistance. A retest of the previously broken range boundary and strong liquidity zone amid a global descending channel is forming. The crowd was in the majority, but...
On W1 the promising direction of the current trend is clearly visible. The price tested the upper boundary of the channel, but the bears pushed us down rather aggressively, making us realize that there is nothing to do in the zone above 65K yet.
One of the reasons for the btc drop we caught earlier: 94% of all BTC holders are now in profit. Dealers noted high activity in buying call options on BTC with a strike of $75000. There were also high sales of puts.
Trick question: How to make money if the crowd is buying?
Resistance levels: 62745, 64955
Support levels: 60K, 59250, 57700
A correction after the impulse is forming and the price may test the imbalance and liquidation zone. Having broken 62342 area earlier, we entered the panic zone, where sellers managed to grab a piece before further failure at 60K. Before the further fall, the price may go after these lucky sellers before the asset goes after the buyers on the background of the general trend. This would be considered a retest after breaking the structure. I do not see any reasons for growth beyond 64-65K at the moment, I am interested in the zone of 60K, 57K, 55K, 52K.
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Regards R. Linda!
EURUSD → The triple top is in the 1.1200 zone. Falling?FX:EURUSD is facing strong resistance forming a reversal pattern relative to the 1.1200 sideways range boundary. The bulls are not yet able to continue the trend. The dollar is bouncing....
On the back of unpredictable economic data confirming the problems in the US economy (manufacturing, banking sector), the markets are rebounding. DXY strengthens after the market held 100.0 support.
EURUSD reverses course amid sentiment changes. Price forms a triple top reversal pattern and faces a strong sell-off, within which breaks trend support. In the short-term, we may catch a correction to the imbalance zone (with the aim of retesting the previously broken channel boundary), after which the decline may continue to 1.100, 1.095, 1.089.
Resistance levels: 1.11, 1.1125, 1.115
Support levels: 1.107, 1.104, 1.100
ADP NonFarm ahead and before the news, the market may quiet down and form a correction. In case of EURUSD, the zone of interest is 1.11 - 1.113. The fall may resume from these zones....
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Regards R. Linda!
EURCHF strong bullish expectations for next periods
EURCHF price break trend line. Currently here strong bullish expectations still for next periods. EUR still keeping power after ECB from last week, for those which dont know (ECB rate cut is start being effective from this week).
Technical side on EUR still bullish.
TP: 0.95600 (90)
TP2: 0.96100 (140)
SL: 0.93850
GOLD → Bulls are trying to hold their defenses above the SMAFX:XAUUSD is forming a sideways range, within which it strengthens to 2673 with subsequent retracement and retest of SMA 200 & 50. Buyers are trying to hold their defenses above this area with the aim of further growth....
The complicated situation in the Middle East continues to escalate, which keeps the gold price from falling amid the rising dollar. Any de-escalation of the conflict (Israel's inaction on Iran's measures) could increase selling pressure...
Nevertheless, the US employment change data from ADP as well as the Fed's speech will be the next important events for the US dollar and the gold price. Any hints of interest rate cuts will be viewed favorably...
Technically, emphasis on 2665 resistance - if the bulls can consolidate above this zone, gold could go for a retest of ATH.
Also - emphasis on 2643. A break of the support will reinforce selling. This could take the price to 2625-2600.
Resistance levels: 2665, 2673, 2685
Support levels: 2643, 2625, 2515
Bullish trend. Gold is not going to update the lows. The bulls are trying to consolidate above the SMA. Signs that the price is ready to grow. BUT, it is possible that unpredictable signs may appear in the market, which may lead to profit-taking and correction.
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Regards R. Linda!
Nasdaq - Another +50% From Here!Nasdaq ( TVC:NDQ ) just broke out of a major channel:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
It really seems like the Nasdaq is about to repeat the breakout behaviour of 2020. However, last month the Nasdaq showed some significant signs of weakness and vulnerability. The next couple of months will be very decisive, but the past of least resistance still seems towards the upside.
Levels to watch: $20.000, $25.000, $16.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
GOLD → Is it time for a correction? Retest of 2650 supportFX:XAUUSD is cooling down. Earlier the price updated local highs. Now the metal is testing 2650 as a support level. At the moment, the price is entering the panic zone, which may provoke profit-taking before Powell's speech.
Technically the market is bullish, but after the formation of ATH 2685 the price is not ready to test and update these highs. The influence of the interest rate cut has cooled down and traders are starting to focus on the incoming actual data. But we should not forget about the situation in the Middle East. Chicago PMI and Powell's speech at 17:55 are ahead. Everything depends on his comments and the tone he will give to the markets.
Based on the overall technical situation and technical overheating of the syuatation, we can assume that the price may extend the range and test the support at 2634-2623-2613 before the market returns to recovery.
Resistance levels: 2660, 2675
Support levels: 2634, 2623
I am waiting for a correction with a possible retest of the key support zones. Most likely we should count on the confirmation of the range boundaries and the formation of a flat between 2600(2615) - 2685
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Regards R. Linda!
USDJPY → No upside potential. Prepare to fall!FX:USDJPY is facing a sell-off at the end of last week, which proves that the currency pair is not ready to go up. The dollar still continues to prepare for a breakout of 100.0.
The currency pair is not able to approach the local highs, however, after the reduction of interest rates in the U.S. Japan refrained from any economic decisions regarding this issue. The pressure on the dollar has a corresponding effect on the currency pair. At the moment the price is facing a strong support at 141.74, from which a small correction to the liquidity or imbalance zone may follow, but with a high probability (technical and fundamental nuances) we may see a continuation of the fall.
Resistance levels: 143.25, 144.0, 145.18
Support levels: 141.74, 139.5
In the short term, I expect a slight pullback followed by a continuation of the fall, breakdown of the key support and price decline to 139.5-138
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Regards R. Linda!
BTC Lucky Number 7 !!! Get Ready for the Bull RUN!! But first...Lucky Number 7 !!!!!! Get Ready for the Bull-RUN!!! But first...
First of all, I want to clarify that all the checkmarks checked off are the predictions we have been making over all these months. Each checkmark is confirmation that the price behavior followed the analysis we conducted.
In this case, the breakout of point #7 was fulfilled, and this is the breakout I had been waiting for around July-August (point #3). But before we proceed, I want to clarify that for me, a valid breakout means the candle and wick are completely outside the resistance line! So, indeed, for me, this is a legitimate breakout.
BUT BEFORE THIS HAPPENS, WE HAVE TO SEE A SUPER IMPORTANT MOVE!!!!!
Within the N3 pattern, whenever there is a breakout, it is always followed by a new high, and then the price makes its natural pullback. We will look for the price to touch the new support level, rebound, and aim for a new high.
This is my N3 pattern, which I always look for after confirming a breakout.
So, let’s wait a few days to allow Bitcoin to rise as much as it needs to, make its natural pullback, and then buckle up because we’re about to see a strong bullish run.
Thanks for supporting my analysis.
Good luck!
-mike
CAD | CHF - Possible corrective phaseCAD | CHF primarily bullish for a while on HTF, although there is a potential FLIP control of SELLERS. On the other hand, if the price fails to stay above 0.62000, sellers may regain control, bringing the pair back down towards crucial support levels at 0.614000 and 0.61000. A breakdown below these levels would negate the optimistic prognosis for the future.
NOTE:
- this is just solely based on my knowledge and Technical Analysis.
NZDUSD → Resistance Retest. Fed meeting ahead... FX:NZDUSD is set to go higher. The price is breaking the local resistance within the uptrend. There is an important event ahead, which can affect the price quite strongly...
On D1 the market is hinting at bullish prospects, a retest of the global resistance is forming, which divides the market into 2 parts...
Traders are waiting for the FOMC and FED meeting at 18:00, where officials will decide on the interest rate cut. The main question is 0.5% or 0.25%. The first will be a strong bullish signal for the currencies, the dollar will accelerate its downward movement on this background. The second value may slightly disappoint traders and the market reaction will be ambiguous. In any case, the general course of rate cuts sets the main tone in the market, it remains to wait only for specific numbers.
Support levels: 0.61528, 0.61244
Resistance levels: 0.62095, 0.62544
Technically, the bullish trend continues, as hinted by the local situation on the chart. Traders believe in the favorable background. I believe that the Fed's decision will strengthen the general market trends and in this case the currency pair will head towards the upper boundary of the channel....
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Regards R. Linda!
GBPJPY → A sideways range is forming. Emphasis on resistance...FX:GBPJPY is strengthening after forging a double bottom at 184.0. It is also favored by the JPY correction on the back of the dollar correction after the unpredictable reaction to the US interest rate cuts...
The currency pair may continue its decline from the resistance zone 192-193.5. This is facilitated by a number of nuances: Japan still holds the course for further strengthening of interest rates in order to save the value of the national currency. The dollar may continue its fall after traders come to their senses after the US interest rate cuts....
Overall, this tandem can have a strong impact on the JPY strength and on the currency pair as a whole, allows to form a medium-long term strategy on the currency pair.
Technically, I am waiting for a false breakdown or bounce from the mentioned resistance zone with the subsequent decline to the liquidity zone....
Resistance levels: 191.4, 193.48, 193.97
Support levels: 190.5, 186.7
BUT! If the bulls manage to consolidate above 193.97, then an upward impulse may be formed, because at the moment the environment (technical and fundamental background) is still tense...
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Regards R. Linda!
EURUSD → Bounce from 1.1200 before further growthFX:EURUSD has been rallying since the beginning of the Asian session and is reaching the key resistance at 1.1200. The psychological level has quite a strong weight on the market and it will be difficult to break this area from the first time....
A rebound is forming on H4-H1. On D1, a rather wide range of 1.120 - 1.105 is forming in the market but after the price exits the descending wedge, which is a rather promising bullish premise. Due to the strong distribution to 1.1200 the market has no potential to break through this zone, accordingly, in the short (mid) term I expect a pullback or consolidation in the range 1.12 - 1.114 ( 1.111) and the subsequent retest of the upper boundary of the range with the aim of breaking through and further growth to 1.127 - 1.135.
Resistance levels: 1.120
Support levels: 1.114, 1.111
There is a huge pool of liquidity above 1.12, which will not allow buyers to overcome this obstacle so easily. We are waiting for a correction and a further breakdown, which will be followed by growth.
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Regards R. Linda!
DOGE → Another manipulation or growth? What to expect next?BINANCE:DOGEUSDT in the distribution phase is aiming for a strong resistance at 0.11546. The global and local trend is bearish and there are no hints of breaking it yet. A contrend rally is forming....
On H4, the sideways range plays a relevant role. The last time we tested 0.11546 at the moment of its formation - exactly 1 month ago. There is no potential for breaking the level and further growth on the background of such a strong movement. The most probable scenario in this case is a rebound or a false breakdown, which may lead to a correction.
BUT! The structure may be broken if there is no pullback or the coin will start to form consolidation near 0.11546 with further signs of resistance retest and readiness to go higher....
Resistance levels: 0.11546
Support levels: 0.11099, 0.107, 0.103
DOGE does not enjoy any strong interest from traders due to the high level of manipulation by big players. At the moment, on the background of the global bearish trend it is worth looking for strong resistance levels with the purpose of catching bounces
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Regards R. Linda!
BITCOIN → There's a conglomeration of resistances ahead: 65-69KBINANCE:BTCUSD is forming a bull run amid a 0.5% cut in US interest rates, but investors' fervor may be cooled quickly enough by new economic news. The situation is not as simple as it seems....
It's also the most likely scenario
We need to be careful as the price is approaching a conglomeration of strong resistances. Pressure could come from both the 65K area, which is still untested, and the area above - 68K - 69K. Let me remind you that globally bitcoin is in a descending channel. Globally ( D1-W1 ) the asset looks good for continued growth, but locally ( D1-H4-H1 ) I don't see any signs that the market is ready to overcome the resistance zone above.
Trades may get nervous ahead of next week's new news: SP PMI, DGP, DGO and Fed chief's speech. If the indicators become sharply unpredictable, all the speculators' bullish fervor may cool down very quickly and in that case we may meet the correction phase amid profit taking....
Resistance levels: 64K, 65K, 68K, 69K
Support levels: 62750, 61300, 59400, 57730
Now, above 62750 a consolidation is forming. If the price does head towards 64-65K, we should keep an eye on the global resistance. But, if bears sell the price down and bitcoin consolidates below 62750, then an impulse to the nearest liquidity zones may be formed.
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Regards R. Linda!
EURUSD → Resistance Retest. A rebound or a breakthrough? FX:EURUSD is testing the resistance of the local correction, and instead of the expected rebound, I am waiting for an attempt of a breakout with the aim of further growth to 1.12757 on the background of the expected fall of the dollar....
There is important news ahead that traders have been waiting for months. A rate cut. And the question is no longer “when?”, but “by how much?”. 25 basis points or 50 ... But before that traders will have to endure Retail Sales, CPI, FOMC, which may also have an impact on both the market and the Fed.
Technically, the focus is on the resistance of the range, 1.112. The market is likely to fight for this zone, a correction is possible, but a gradual retracement and retest will increase the chances of a breakout. If the bulls hold 1.112, it will open the way towards ATH!
Resistance levels: 1.112, 1.12
Support levels: 1.1099, 1.1072
Globally the trend is bullish, on D1 the price is coming out of the correction phase and continues the upward movement. The news may have a big impact on the market, which will shape both medium and long term prospects... Targets are indicated on the chart
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Regards R. Linda!
USDCHF → Dollar rebound changes the local situationFX:USDCHF after a shakeout returns to range resistance amid the current downtrend. The dollar index is rising and many don't realize what's going on....
DXY failed to overcome the critical and psychological level of 100.0. The yield on 10-year US government bonds did not fall after the rate cut, but even rose to 3.74% from 3.6%. Strange divergence between currency market expectations of rate cuts and debt market expectations of rising yields. The expectations of traders/investors on the background of interest rate cuts did not come true and in the future we should expect a deeper rebound of the dollar considering the fact that GDP data and Powell's speech are ahead.
The currency pair is currently forming a local resistance at 0.8517, the breakdown of this zone will give an impulse to the trend resistance, which will determine the further situation. Either the rebound or the price will go higher, to deeper zones of interest.
Resistance levels: 0.8517, 0.856, 0.8616
Support levels: 0.843, 0.837
The trend can be considered broken and confirmed bullish after the price fixation above 0.875, currently bearish. It is worth forming your strategy on this fact
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:USDCHF ;)
Regards R. Linda!