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Trend Line Break

🇪🇺 EURUSD 🇺🇸 - Attempting to change the uptrendThe market is forming a consolidation while waiting for news in the US, as it is impossible to know in advance what the data will show. Earlier the currency pair broke the support of the uptrend and apparently there is a chance to see a retest of the resistance before the price falls towards 1.075 Reasons for the fall: 1) Structure breakdown, price breaks support and forms consolidation 2) Market mood changes after an attempt to change the trend 3) The dollar is rising, against this background the euro may fall 4) Retest of resistance before falling
Short
by Gold-Tech
1
GOLD → How will the news affect the price?FOREXCOM:XAUUSD is updating a low of 2001.9 and forming a correction in a phase of waiting for news to be released at 13:30 GMT. At 13:30 Initial Jobless Claims will be published - analysts expect that the index may show worse data than in the previous period, and also, it is worth paying attention to Bostic's comments (FOMC), who will speak three times today: 12:30, 16:30, 17:05. The FOMC representatives have been making a lot of speeches this week. Technically, gold is forming a correction and consolidation in a low-volatility format, which may last until the news is released. It is impossible to determine the data in advance, but there are assumptions that the dollar index will continue its growth, in which case, gold may continue to fall after a retest of resistance. The moving averages indicate the continuation of the bearish trend. Resistance levels: 2013.7, 2016.8, 2025 Support levels: 2004.5, 1994.7, 1976.2 Technically, gold is in a downtrend and on the backdrop of the news may test resistance to capture liquidity before further declines TVC:DXY COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! Regards R. linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
5
💡 GOLD: Forecast January 17Gold tumbled on Tuesday, completely erasing last month's gains and inching closer than ever to the 50-day simple moving average, a key support indicator that sits slightly above the $2,010 area. The bulls must defend this technical zone; Failure to do so could trigger a move to $1,990, followed by $1,975. On the other hand, if the buyers return and create a bullish reversal, resistance will appear at $2,045-$2,050. Removing this cap decisively may be difficult, but a breakout could create the right conditions for a rally to $2,085, the late December peak.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Stone_Haven
EURUSD → Fundamentally, the dollar is strongerFX:EURUSD is declining and forming an attempt to break trend support. Fundamentally, the TVC:DXY is strengthening on the background of the Fed's position, which negatively affects the base currency - EUR. On the high timeframe we see that the dollar continues to strengthen after a long consolidation. The Fed is not going to give up and is trying to insure itself before a possible interest rate cut, which may come in spring-summer 2024. This scenario may strengthen the dollar to local highs, which will have a negative impact on the currency pair. EURUSD broke 1.088 testing the trend support, technically, the breakout has already occurred, the price may take a small correction and retest the support, after which it may head towards the lower boundary of the range - 1.0756. Consolidation of the price below the trend support will confirm the bearish position, which will be a favorable scenario for sellers. Support levels: 1.078, 1.0756 Resistance levels: 1.0888, 1.10 Fundamentally, the dollar is stronger than the euro, which will obviously have a negative impact on the currency pair. We expect confirmation of the scenario (consolidation below the support) for further opening of sales. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
1
NZDUSD → Consolidation after support breakoutOANDA:NZDUSD continues to consolidate in a narrow range as uncertain sentiment is also seen in the dollar index amid a challenging fundamental environment. The TVC:DXY has been consolidating below resistance for two and a half weeks, which in standard practice is a strong downside signal as resistance cannot be broken. NZDUSD pair broke uptrend support earlier and consolidation is forming in the selling zone between 0.6250 and 0.6208. But, it is important for us to wait for the confirmation of the sell signal, which will be the breakout of 0.6208 and the subsequent consolidation of the price below the level, which will open for us the target in the form of support at 0.6086. Moving averages also indicate consolidation, which may be followed by a distribution phase. Resistance levels: 0.6250, 0.6366 Support levels: 0.6208, 0.6180, 0.6086 There is a high probability that the currency pair on the background of the subsequent weakening of the dollar index can still break the support and head towards the target indicated by us. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
7
GBPCAD → Waiting for the price to start rising FX:GBPCAD is forming a bearish trend change attempt. The Canadian dollar index is declining, while the GBP index is in consolidation against the background of the uptrend. The growth of the currency pair may continue after retesting the support at 1.6977 and forming consolidation above this zone. What confuses us is the false breakdown of the 200-hour moving average, but what is interesting is that there is no strong fall. The market is in a correction phase and apparently the price is set to test the previously broken resistance (support at the moment). After consolidation, the market may move into the realization phase (distribution), where the price is capable of reaching 1.7275 in the medium term. Support levels: 1.6977, 1.6898 Resistance levels: 1.7050, 1.7132 I expect growth after the end of the correction phase. It is worth paying attention to the above support, because it is from this zone that the price can start the strengthening phase Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
7
💡 EURUSD: Forecast January 16EURUSD continues to fluctuate in a narrow range, not creating new notable signals. However, the fact that the price has accumulated for too long around the lower border of the rising channel combined with the previous strong falling wave shows that the risk of breakdown is increasing. Bulls need to keep SL below 1.09 for existing long positions, guarding against the possibility of a price decline. If this happens, the short-term target for bears is around 1.075.
Long
by Stone_Haven
💡 XAUUSD: Reversal signalGold price suddenly dropped sharply in the last session when sellers returned around the 2060 resistance zone. Currently, the price has been forced to fall below the 2040 conversion price zone and is testing the previously broken down channel. Observing on the daily frame, we also see a very noticeable bearish engulfing pattern that has just appeared. The situation has changed, these price behaviors show that the buyers no longer control the market and the possibility that the price will decrease in the short term, you should temporarily suspend the buying strategy. Pay attention to the 2020 zone, if it is completely broken, the target that the bears aim for could be 1980.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Stone_Haven
💡 XAUUSD: Accumulation price compression phaseD1 gold increased yesterday, but the price bar created had a very narrow amplitude and was inside the previous price bar, creating a price action combo of inside bar + Narrow range bar, showing the cumulative price compression period. The gold D1 chart structure is still moving sideways. H1 gold, after breaking out of the upper border of the lower price frame, is slowing down and cannot continue its upward trend because it has not yet created a higher price peak. Today the expectation is to continue waiting to buy H1 gold from the support zone below. If the price falls deeper, you can switch to waiting to sell gold because it is a sign of weakness.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Stone_Haven
GOLD → Correction to previously broken trend resistance FOREXCOM:XAUUSD is declining. Bulls failed to hold the 2050 area, but most likely there is a reason for that: the liquidity zone is near the previously broken resistance, and the geopolitical situation is complicated by additional Fed comments. The dollar index consolidated below 102.6 for a long time and it was logical to realize that the market was unable to go up, until the Fed commented again: "rates should be kept at a high level for some time, it is premature to talk about the beginning of the Fed's rate cut in March". This is logical against the backdrop of the red sea crisis, which is also very much affecting inflation in the world. BUT. It should be understood that this conflict directly affects the pricing of gold. High probability of appreciation of the asset. Technically, gold is declining towards the previously broken trend resistance. The market may be interested in support at 2038.9 - 2032. A false breakdown could form a liquidity grab and a bullish momentum. Resistance levels: 2050, 2064 Support levels: 0.382 fibo, 0.5 fibo (2038.9), 0.618 fibo The growth of gold, as a security asset amid the crisis, may continue after the market retests the previously broken trend resistance COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! TVC:DXY Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
8
ETH → Strong both fundamentally and technically BINANCE:ETHUSD reacted more violently than BTC to the long-awaited btc-etf news. But why? The price tested the high at 2717 and formed a false breakout, leading to a correction amid bitcoin's decline. ETH technically looks stronger than BINANCE:BTCUSD . We can judge from the chart and strong bullish momentum and not a big pullback. The reason for this is the expectation of bids for the spot ETH-ETF. The chances that these applications will be approved by the SEC have increased after their extreme positive decision towards the flagship cryptocurrency market. Technically, ETH is forming a false breakout of 2650 resistance and forming a correction. Since the price is trading within the ascending price channel, the target in our case could be the support area: 0.5 fibo (2447 level), or even 0.618 fibo (2383 area). The moving averages on W1 indicate a strong accumulation that may move into the distribution phase. Resistance levels: 2650, 2540, 2586 Support levels: 0.382 fibo, 0.5 fibo, 0.618 fibo Fundamentally and technically, ETH looks good to continue to grow in the medium term, which may start after the retest of the support area Regards R. Linda!
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by RLinda
6
🥇 GOLD - Correction phase to the area of structure breakage Gold continues its correction. Statistically, in 92% of cases, the price always returns to a previously broken level to retest it before continuing to move in one direction or the other. In our case, this is the downtrend area that was previously broken Reasons for growth: 1) The Jan. 12 momentum broke the downtrend structure 2) Correction is being formed to retest support 3) Price is correcting to the previously formed CHoCH 4) 2036 - possible false breakout and growth
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Gold-Tech
1
💡 EURUSD: Forecast January 15EURUSD still cannot escape the narrow range around the edge of the rising price channel. The bullish structure still exists and we still have long positions targeting around 1.1200. However, it should be noted that accumulation around the lower border of the price channel for too long is an unfavorable signal for sellers, especially when there has previously been a strong downward wave. You can hold the position but need to set SL below the 1.0900 zone to prevent the price from reversing and falling.
Long
by Stone_Haven
Sell ​​strategy, after retesting resistance will increase againGold prices rose at the start of the week, the metal's appeal fueled by safe-haven demand due to tensions in the Middle East, while markets bet the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates soon. than expected. The war between Israel and Hamas has passed the 100-day mark as Israel continues its fierce offensive, while the Houthi militia's threat to respond to US airstrikes in Yemen raises risks. Gold tends to perform well during times of economic uncertainty, with its reliability able to help offset the risks of more volatile assets in conditions such as geopolitical instability. “Spot gold is also rising as the market clings to hopes that the Fed will cut key interest rates as early as March,” said Han Tan, chief market analyst at Exinity Group. Gold's chances of reaching a new record high will remain open as long as the Fed can act in line with market expectations
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by NicoTradingMaster
💡 XAUUSD: Predict the next actionAs feared, gold prices increased sharply in the last session of the week, confirming the creation of a bottom at the support area around the 2020 level with a double-bottom model and the breaking of the short-term falling channel. This price behavior shows the possibility that the price may return to an upward trend. The short-term target will be around the old peak around the 2080 resistance level. Those who catch a short-term reversal can consider buying.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Stone_Haven
Gold will have a decline and then increase againWorld gold prices increased slightly with spot gold increasing by 6.6 USD to 2,055.3 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,059 USD/ounce, up 7.4 USD compared to yesterday morning. The world's yellow metal posted modest gains in the first trading session of the week as it continued to be boosted by safe-haven demand due to concerns about tensions in the Middle East and renewed expectations for the Federal Reserve to The US (Fed) will cut interest rates sooner than expected. The report released late last week showed that US producer prices fell unexpectedly in December. The data has traders betting that the Fed will cut 166 basis points this year instead previously priced 150 basis points. Although gold prices are rising, some analysts say the precious metal needs a new catalyst or at least clearer clues about the Fed's monetary policy direction to break out of its current range. in. According to Trade Nation senior market analyst David Morrison, although gold continues to hold its position, more effort is needed to attract new investors to the market.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
GOLD → The price will continue to rise provided...FOREXCOM:XAUUSD formed a rally at the end of last week and broke the resistance of the downtrend. The reason is another armed crisis, but in Southwest Asia. On Monday, the market opened the session with price strengthening and retesting 2058. The mood of the market is such that the price growth may continue in the medium term. There is no sense to pay attention to the dollar now, temporarily the correlation in the pair is decreasing and fundamentally gold looks quite a strong asset. Today the volatility may be lower than the daily average due to the fact that it is a holiday weekend in the USA. Technically, as the market is testing the level of 2050, the price consolidation above this area will form a bullish potential, which in the medium term can push the price to 2070, 2100, 2150. It is also worth paying attention to the moving averages. Support levels: 2050, MA50+MA200, 2039 Resistance levels: 2058, 2064, 2070 The market is testing the support, against which gold can strengthen on the background of favorable fundamental background for the asset TVC:DXY COMEX:GC1! Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
28
💡 GBPUSD: Waiting for new signalAlthough down, last Friday's D1 GBPUSD bar has the form of a bullish pinbar pattern, showing buying pressure from below. Right in front is also a bullish pinbar. Although it is moving sideways and accumulating in the inside bar model, GBPUSD D1 is putting pressure on the upper border, easily leading to a break to the upside. The accumulation structure with upward sloping price bottoms and sideways price peaks creates upward price pressure for GBPUSD H1, which is the reason for continuing to choose buying ideas for GBPUSD today.
Long
by Stone_Haven
#Bitcoin bearish breakout of very important trendline We can clearly see in this chart that the price has reached the upper boundary of a bullish channel, where it would encounter selling pressure. As a result of this selling pressure, the price on Friday, January 12th, formed a bearish impulsive candle. Following this candle, it managed to break below the short-term bullish trendline that the price had respected in the last few months. The bearish breakout of this trendline is a second signal, after the rejection from the bullish channel, that we might see further bearish movement in Bitcoin. If you've found this analysis helpful, please take a moment to like, comment, or share your thoughts with me.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by mohemati