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💡 XAUUSD: Unpredictable fluctuationsInternational gold prices remained stable, hovering above $2,000 per ounce, as they did not experience an increase. This stability is attributed to the impact of a report revealing that the number of US workers applying for unemployment benefits last week was lower than anticipated. This development serves as evidence that the US economy is in a recovery phase, with inflation being effectively managed. Consequently, the US Federal Reserve (Fed) has opted to postpone any interest rate cuts. This decision has caused gold to lose its competitive edge when compared to alternative investment avenues. According to the CME Fedwatch tool, the likelihood of a 25 percentage point rate cut in March decreased from 69.6% to 63.6%. Gold expert Jim Wyckoff from Kitco commented that gold is unlikely to experience an uptick by the week's end, given the ongoing recovery of the US dollar and the increase in US Government bond yields observed in the previous week. Tim Waterer, a market analyst at KCM Trade, pointed out that the stability of the US dollar and bond yields is exerting pressure on the gold market.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Stone_Haven
GOLD → Why could the metal's price rise continue? FOREXCOM:XAUUSD closes the trading week above the opening, which is quite a positive sign, as the market has obvious reasons for the rally, which can continue up to 2150. We are living in a time of a 30 year record number of armed conflicts with over 180 clashes. This is all affecting the market, including gold. A recent reason for gold's rally was the military operation against the Houthis in Yemen by the U.S. and the Great Britain for the freedom of the sea route. As part of the rally, the price is overcoming bearish resistance and forming further preconditions for a possible rise. There is not much fundamentally significant news in the coming week, the world is focused on the war in the Middle East, which is still ongoing and the new armed conflict in Southwest Asia. This is pre-determining the medium-term outlook for gold. The dollar has been receiving bullish news for the last two weeks, but continues to consolidate without any bullish reaction under the resistance level of 102.6. The market is probably waiting for downside signals. Gold on the other hand breaks trend resistance, which temporarily detaches the correlation between the assets, hence the format of technical and fundamental analysis changes a bit. The coming week may see a retest of local support before a further retest. Now all eyes are focused on the resistance of the global range 2050-2070 and it is likely that in the medium term gold may break this level and start to form a new global range. TVC:DXY COMEX:GC1! Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
12
BTCUSD → A "sell the news" scenario? What happened?BINANCE:BTCUSD tested a new high of 49K amid increased volatility due to positive news for the asset. But, as we can see, what many did not expect was a strong sell-off. I have been talking about sell-offs from the 48250 level for a while now, since mid-November 2023, the moment BTC entered a new range. The 48250 area is a strong resistance with a huge pool of liquidity and it is quite logical to see a false breakdown followed by sell-offs. In addition, strong bullish news related to SEC approval of applications for spot BTC-ETF forms the opposite direction to the expected price movement: At the moment, the "Sell The News" scenario is developing - this maneuver includes a possible price correction of 10-20-30%. It is logical that the price cannot grow all the time and the asset pricing includes corrections to maintain adequate liquidity in the market. At the moment the price is testing the nearest strong support 41639 and forms the third retest ( false breakdown ) of the support. In the TA format, the price can form a rebound, which we see. At the moment we should pay attention to the level of 42850 from which growth or a small rebound may follow and then fall to 40659 - this is a strong level, which is a risk zone and liquidity pool. A false breakdown may be formed before further growth. Support levels: 42850, 41639, 40659 Resistance levels: 44490, 45500, 47280, 48250 Regarding technical nuances ( resistance, false breakout ) a correction is forming. The price may test one of the mentioned support and liquidity zones to free the market from unwanted participants. Fundamentally, BTC is strong enough to continue its growth both in the medium and long term. Regards R. Linda!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by RLinda
31
GOLD → It's a stalemate. The market can grow FOREXCOM:XAUUSD reaches our target, but after a false breakdown of support 2016, the market quickly buys back all the fall. Now the price is heading towards a strong resistance The most interesting thing is that three times in a row the US market received fundamentally bullish news. The TVC:DXY has been in the same place for 10 days now and cannot pass through resistance, which speaks volumes about the state of the index and the mood of the market. The market is overheated and in all likelihood the index is preparing for a decline. Gold is not so eager to react to bearish news and at any opportunity the market tries to buy back the fall. At the moment the price of gold is heading to the resistance of the ascending channel, from here two scenarios can develop: 1) False breakout may lead to a pullback, within which the price may break through 2031.8. Consolidation below this level will continue the correction phase and within the descending channel the price may head towards 2016 2) False breakout will form a small correction to 2030-2031. But, the fundamental background will play its role and the price will start forging resistance retests for a breakout. Breakout of downside resistance and 2038.9 level is a signal and price consolidation above these areas will be confirmation Support levels: 2031.8, 2025 Resistance levels: MA-200, 2038.9 I think that the chance is higher towards the resistance breakout than towards further decline. We follow the price reaction beyond the mentioned zone and wait for confirmation of one or another scenario to open trades Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
13
💡 XAUUSD: Deep reduction abilityThe market recently received information that the World Bank (WB) has forecast that the global economic outlook may still be weak, but with Latin America increasing compared to 2023. Specifically, the World Bank has forecast that Latin America's gross domestic product (GDP) in 2024 will increase slightly compared to the 2.2% recorded last year, and is expected to increase to 2.5% this year. 2025. Goldman Sachs Bank (USA) forecasts that the global economy will grow by 2.6% next year, higher than the 2.1% estimate of economists in a Bloomberg survey. The US is also expected to grow by 2.1%, higher than other developed countries. Experts say that when inflation is lower or equal to forecasts, gold prices will fall further. Because major economies like the US and Latin America continue to recover well, central banks will reduce pressure on interest rates. When interest rates remain high, it will also make gold - an asset that shelters cash flow - less attractive
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Stone_Haven
Doge Coin(DOGE): Breakdown After Breakdown?After an amazing liquidity movement to lower zones that DOGE coin has (which we also caught in our previous TAs), Price is getting ready for another movement to lower zones, it seems. With market uncertainty, DOGE is struggling to maintain upper zones after that liquidation movement. We are keeping an eye on a potential breakdown here, which would also mean we will be going for lower zones here with DOGE coin! Swallow Team
Short
by SwallowPremium
GOLD → How might today's news affect gold?FOREXCOM:XAUUSD is trading in a range, as evidenced not only by trading between levels, but also between moving averages. The reason for this is the controversial fundamental environment. The market is reacting weakly to bullish news for the dollar because fundamentally it is already overheated. Speculators react very strongly to negative news than positive news and in the current environment this is worth considering. Important news is being published today. In general, analysts are expecting bullish CPI data and bearish Initial Jobless Claims data. Bad data for the $ will push gold up, to the point where the price could change its local trend. But good news for the $ may continue to form an actual range for gold 2015 - 2050. It is worth paying attention to the strong resistance on the dollar 102.6, technically, the index is ready to go down and very strongly (This should have a positive impact on the price of gold), but I wonder what will show today the funamental market. Support levels: 2030, 2020, 2015 Resistance levels: 2039, 2049 On the news, the price may test strong zones. At the moment, there is no clear understanding of the strength of the news we will receive, but according to a number of assumptions we have a chance to strengthen the price of gold TVC:DXY COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
20
BTCUSD → Fundamental and technical analysis in the same rut Bitcoin BINANCE:BTCUSD continues to consolidate within an ascending triangle. Recently, the market was spooked by strong sell-offs, but, technically and fundamentally, nothing terrible happened. On the chart we see several important nuances: long shadows, ascending triangle, false breakdowns of local support zones, false breakdown of resistance, which is another trap from the market maker. The market continues to prepare for further growth. Trigger zone, which can provoke a volume surge and strong impulse - 44350 - 44500. False breakdown of resistance and further sell-off at 4500$ is related to rumors: BTC's fall came amid the publication of an analytical report by Matrixport, in which the authors wrote that the SEC will reject applications to launch spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) for bitcoin on a number of grounds. The sharp drop in the price of the first cryptocurrency triggered a massive liquidation of traders' margin positions on crypto exchanges. Still. As much as analysts, small and large traders would not want it, but the cryptocurrency market pays huge attention to the fundamental component, and only then to technical analysis. Everyone is now in the moment waiting for a decision from the SEC and in all likelihood they will approve applications for a spot BTC-ETF. The initial market reaction is predictable, but time will tell how this situation will play out in the medium and long term. Support levels: 42K, 41640, 40660 Resistance levels: 44350, 44500 Consolidation continues. In this case, the nature of consolidation is related to the fundamental component. The recent hype, crypto-spring and active consolidation is connected with the theme of BTC-ETF, though this theme has bored everyone lately, but the market is waiting for it. As the prerequisites are inclined to the breakout of limit resistance and growth, we join it. The nearest target is 48K Regards R. Linda!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by RLinda
46
APTUSDT → Potential for further growthBINANCE:APTUSDT forms support 8.08 and pre-breakdown consolidation, within which it breaks the trend resistance. After breaking the resistance, the market forms a local high of 11.1 after which it tests the previously broken trend resistance and the support of 8.08. The market is trying to change the trend and it is logical on the growth of the total market capitalization. Technically, the coin has a good enough potential to catch up with other coins in growth. It is worth paying attention to the zone of 9.220 - 8.08. The bulls are trying to hold this area, increasing their volume. It is worth waiting for the price to consolidate above this area to confirm the bullish potential. The moving averages are supporting the market, and the false break of MA-50 gives a good signal. Resistance levels: 10.9, 12.67 Support levels: 9.22, 8.08 It is worth considering the potential for buying at the moment. A price consolidation above 9.22 will give a good place to open a trade. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
2
Ethereum|The BULLISH trend continues until the price of 2800Hello friends, I hope you have made a lot of profit this week. Let's go to Ethereum to have an overview of it. At the moment, Ethereum is involved with a daily resistance zone as well as a 4H resistance zone. This supply area has been tested several times, now the debate is whether the buyers are winning the game or the sellers. If this area is broken upwards, we will enter buy positions on the pullback to this area. If it falls from here, we will enter buying positions in the demand areas that I specified in the chart. My possible target price is 2800, but never enter the position without confirmation, don't forget the SELL limit.
Long
by Golden_Star1994
3
GOLD → Bounce to 2050, or consolidation 2030-2040FOREXCOM:XAUUSD is trading within a descending channel, from support the price is heading towards resistance, while the dollar continues to consolidate in anticipation of tomorrow's news. Gold price after another false breakdown of support and retest of the liquidity zone forimizes the rally and tests 2040. Most likely the target for the market is embedded higher, around 2048-2050 Pay attention to the dollar. The price is in consolidation for 6 days near the level of 102.6. Important news is published tomorrow, the market is probably waiting for bad news for the dollar, as the bears are forming a strong resistance zone. Gold may enter the risk zone (resistance area) before the news, but if the price does not pass the 2040 area, the price will form a consolidation until tomorrow waiting for the fundamentals. Support levels: 2030, 2023 Resistance levels: 2039, 2049 The price is strengthening towards the resistance, the target for the market is the area of 2050. But if the price does not pass through 2040, the market will start to form consolidation 2040-2030 TVC:DXY COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
25
🇬🇧 GBPAUD 🇦🇺 - Rising or falling? A breakthrough will determGBPAUD is forging a consolidation as market participants try to decide on the potential. The level of 1.9015 is an important zone for the participants. Overcoming the boundary of the consolidation range will form an entry point for price movement in one or another direction Consolidation can lead to both ups and downs: 1) The market is testing a strong resistance level at 1.90150. 2) Consolidation is formed directly at the level of 1.90150. 3) Range boundaries are formed, the break of which will determine the further direction 4) Break of the support at 1.8939 - decline 5) Break of resistance 1.903 - growth
by Gold-Tech
1
Stand still and wait for news, CPI news trading strategy todayWorld gold prices were relatively stable with spot gold down 5.3 USD to 2,023.5 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,029.3 USD/ounce, down 3.7 USD compared to yesterday morning. World gold decreased slightly in the mid-week trading session as investors were waiting for US inflation data to gain more clarity on the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) interest rate roadmap this year. RJO Futures senior market strategist Bob Haberkorn said lower-than-expected inflation data would give the Fed more reason to cut interest rates this year, which would push gold prices higher. US consumer price index data will be released on Thursday. According to a Reuters poll, economists predicted annual inflation would come in at 3.2% in December, but said core inflation could fall to 3.8%, the lowest since December. mid-2021. A report from the New York Fed revealed that consumers expect inflation to decline, while Fed Governor Michelle Bowman said on Monday that the US Central Bank's monetary policy appeared to be "adequate". limit".
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
💡 GBPUSD: Pressure from sellersGBPUSD continued to recover in the past session after buyers successfully defended the support level of 1.26. Although it is still not possible to break the resistance at 1.28 and create a new peak to confirm the continuation of the uptrend. However, recent price behavior shows that buyers are gradually regaining control of the situation, expecting prices to continue to rise. It is possible to continue holding existing long positions, the SL is still set below 1.26 while the target remains 1.30.
Short
by Stone_Haven