USDCHF 1D HOW TO TRADE BREAKOUTS - HOW TO SURVIVE HEAD FAKESBreakouts are found using Trendlines - Horizontal Sup/Res Ranges - Channels.
Finding the opportunity to see the 2nd or 3rd breakout increases breakout success.
Use a tighter stop loss on a 15m chart helps reduce risk.
If caught in a head fake - with a lighter stop loss - watch for another breakout setup.
Hold for a longer intraday or daily trend move.
Trendlinetrading
Trendline TradeWe have new trendline bounce which means we can continue
back up to the monthly SR level at 0.91362 to see if we can pass it.
The other possibility is this is just a pullback move for the short
and we will continue further south to the 0.89873 zone after
a break and retest of the trendline.
BULL TPS:
• 0.90697
• 0.90955
• 0.91256
New Tps will be posted when it breaks and retests SR zone.
BEAR TPS:
• 0.89956
• 0.89801
• 0.89477
New Tps will be posted when it breaks and restest area of 0.89372
USDCHF Short : Daily Timeframe AnalysisLooking for shorts from that zone:
- Strong rejection off the daily trendline for continued buys
- Completion of a shark pattern on the daily as well
- Looking to take shorts off the 61.8 of C to D
- Aligns with a strong level of resistance
- Continuation of bearish trend
- Might see the reversal occur Friday when Powell speaks
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Weekly chart shows they have dialed it in for years
Most of weekly volume spikes are on bullish weeks
People are interested in this chart - volume is going up - volatility is going up
There is a continuous increase in the trend line angle
Anytime your trend line does a dramatic increase like this is called a bump and run.
The bump and run trend line is usually considered bearish but there are strong bullish signs still
Drilling down to 1D chart , notice hugh gap down on May 3rd
Gap down on positive earnings news
Drove down to 15m chart to find where volume spike came from
First few 15m candles drove price back up so gap spike from 1D came from positive moves
Most of the traders want this pair long
When most traders want price to go long you are probably in for a pullback
Price has been pushing up for some time so expecting some consolidation
Watch for an ascending triangle to develop
Sell when you see pullback on reduced volume and volatility
Buy at trend line bounce
If pullback did not come with reduced volume/volatility then enter with smaller size.
Use ATR to determine SL (1.5xATR)and TP (1xATR). When in profit take some off and move SL to break even.
EURCAD Strong Diagonal Resistance and a Possible Double TopEURCAD is rejected from level 3 TD trend line which is serious resistance 3 X L3 TD points along on the same line.
It seems like double topping at the resistance but in case of it break out of the resistance I would expect to hit at least the #1 target. Still be aware of the possible double top. Next week will give me a better opinion on this.