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Trendpattern

Perfect Bearish Setup Trendline Breakout Alert!Hello Trader! 👋 Scenario 1: 📉 Picture this: You're analyzing a solid bearish trend on the M3 or H1 chart, and you've just spotted a trendline break with serious potential for a sell opportunity. 🔥 The momentum is strong, and everything aligns perfectly. 🚀 The market is pushing lower, and it looks like it’s ready to move further down. The entry signal is solid, confirming a valid opportunity to take a short position! 📉 Now, the exciting part—the target zone! 🎯 We’re eyeing a liquidity area around 3000, which is a key level where price could see some action. 🔄 But wait, there's more! Your secondary target level is around 2990, which could offer even more potential for profit as the market drives lower. 💰 Of course, always follow your risk management**—control your position size, set your stops wisely, and let the market do the work! 🛑⚖️ Trading is all about discipline , and with the right mindset, you'll maximize those winning moves. 🏆 Stay focused, keep an eye on the price action, and be ready to react! 💪 Let’s trade smart and make those profits! 😎💥
TVC:GOLD
by ANNA_EXPERT
EUR/GBP 4H | Sell Opportunity After Resistance Rejection The EUR/GBP pair has been in a downtrend, with lower highs and lower lows forming. Recently, price rejected a key resistance zone and is now continuing its bearish momentum. 🔎 Key Observations: ✅ Resistance Levels: 0.83598 - 0.83910 acted as a strong rejection zone. ✅ Sell Confirmation: Price has broken below minor support and is now moving downward. ✅ Bearish Expectation: The next major support target is 0.82618. 📌 Trading Plan: 🔻 Sell on pullbacks near resistance levels (0.83598 - 0.83676). 🔻 Target: 0.82618 as the next key support. 🔻 Stop-loss: Above 0.83827 to minimize risk. 🚨 Risk Management Tip: Always maintain a good risk-reward ratio and wait for confirmations. 💬 What’s your take on this setup? Are you looking to sell or waiting for a better entry?
Short
by PIPsOptimizer
BTC time cycle analysis for the next cycle topBTC time cycle analysis for the next cycle top 1. Blue line is the time period in which the previous cycle top breaks ( appox 1050 days ) 2. Red line is the time period in which btc make a new top after that breakout ( appox 350 days ) 3. White line is the time period of the cycle low to the top ( appox 1010 to 1060 days ) 4. Yellow line is the time period after the halving btc defines the top ( appox 525 days ) 5. Fib extension tool level 1.618 6. AB=CD pathern As we can see history repeats itself btc is following this time cycle analysis over the past cycles, So if the history repeats again we can expect the level of (110,000)
KRAKEN:BTCUSD
by TradewithJohnson
Bitcoin’s Battlefield: Support, Resistance and Trade SetupsBitcoin’s price has been showing signs of a sustained downtrend after forming a double top pattern. The recent action, combined with low volume and failure to breach key resistance zones, points to a likely retest of lower levels. Over the weekend, the price couldn’t break past the 85K resistance, and the low trading volume around this level suggests that buyer interest is waning. 6H TF Chart: Big Picture vs. Short-Term Action On a higher timeframe (6H), my indicator neatly outlines the bear market of 2022 and the bull market that started in early 2023—when the “cloud” turned green, signaling a shift in momentum. The cloud's lower boundary is currently at $73,364, which is key. Imo, holding above 70K is critical for keeping that bullish vibe alive. 1H TF Chart: Switching over to the 1H chart, the picture shows a bearish structure. The upper resistance around 95K (which aligns with the yearly open near $93,455.85) is proving a solid resistance. The anchored VWAP from the all-time high also sits right at this level, adding more weight to the resistance. Bulls need to clear this yearly open to signal a true recovery. Key Levels & Confluence Zones 1.) Upper Resistance – 93K to 95K: The 95K zone aligns closely with the yearly open ($93,455.85) and the anchored VWAP from the all-time high, both acting as resistance. Daily moving averages (62 EMA at ~$91,316 and 62 SMA at ~$94,900) provide further confluence. Additional resistance between 85K-86K. 2.) Critical Support – 73K to 70K Zone: The lower edge of the cloud on the 6H timeframe sits around 73K. The 0.382 Fibonacci retracement (from the low at $15,473.78 to the all-time high at $109,354) is at $73,492, while the 0.618 retracement (from $49,217 to the all-time high) is around $72,205. Moving Averages on Weekly Chart: The weekly 62 EMA ($72,919) and 62 SMA ($71,590) align well with this support region. Additional Support: A bullish monthly order block at $71,320 adds another layer of confluence. Psychological Importance: A hold above 70K is critical to maintaining bullish momentum. 3.) Monthly Open – $83,385.74: This level serves as a pivot: price is currently hovering below it. A reclaim by bulls would be a positive sign for higher price action, while a rejection reinforces the bearish setup. Trade Setups Long Trade Setup: Entry: Consider laddering in between 75K and 70K as the price retests support. Take Profit: Aim for the monthly open (~84K) initially, and if support holds and flips, a move toward 90K could be considered. Stop Loss: Set below 70K to protect against a further downturn. Short Trade Setup: Entry: A short setup can start at the monthly open, using a laddering approach between 84K and about 86.9K. Take Profit: Target the previous low or 74K. Stop Loss: Place just above 87K to keep risk in check. Thank you for taking the time to read through this technical analysis. I hope it provides valuable insights for your trading decisions. Happy trading!
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by SiDec
9
XAU/USD Daily Chart Analysis! Detailed ExplainationMarket Overview: Gold (XAU/USD) is currently trading around $2,910, showing a slight decline of -0.05% on the daily timeframe. The market has been in a strong uptrend, breaking previous structures and forming higher highs and higher lows. However, the current price action suggests a potential pullback before another bullish continuation. Key Technical Observations: 1. Resistance & Strong Resistance Zone ($2,950 - $3,000+) The price has reached a strong resistance zone near the $3,000 psychological level, where selling pressure is evident. A weak high has been marked, indicating that buyers may attempt to break this level, but sellers could push the price down before any significant breakout. If price successfully closes above this resistance, it could trigger further bullish momentum towards $3,100 or higher. 2. Support and Demand Zone ($2,750 - $2,800) The demand zone between $2,750 and $2,800 has historically acted as a strong support level. This zone aligns with previous price accumulation and a key structural support level. A pullback to this area could present buying opportunities, as institutional buyers may step in. 3. Market Structure and Breaks of Structure (BOS) & Change of Character (ChoCH) Multiple Change of Character (ChoCH) points have been noted, signaling shifts in momentum. The Break of Structure (BOS) suggests a continuation of the prevailing bullish trend, with minor corrections along the way. The most recent ChoCH indicates a potential short-term bearish retracement before a continuation to the upside. 4. Strong Low and Potential Support Levels ($2,500 - $2,600) The strong low is marked below $2,500, which acts as a long-term support zone. If the demand zone at $2,750 - $2,800 fails, the next major support area lies around $2,600. However, given the overall bullish trend, a drop to these levels would likely be short-lived unless macroeconomic factors shift significantly. Potential Price Scenarios: 🔵 Bullish Scenario (Primary Outlook) Price may retrace towards the $2,750 - $2,800 demand zone. If buyers defend this level, we can expect a bullish reversal towards $2,950 - $3,000 resistance. A strong breakout above $3,000 would likely trigger further upside momentum towards $3,100+. 🔴 Bearish Scenario (Alternative Outlook) If sellers take control and push price below the $2,750 support, further downside could follow. In this case, the next major support levels would be $2,600 - $2,650, where buyers may re-enter. A breakdown below $2,500 would signal a shift in long-term market structure, invalidating the bullish trend. Trading Plan & Strategy: ✅ For Long Entries: Look for bullish price action (e.g., pin bars, bullish engulfing candles) in the $2,750 - $2,800 demand zone. Target $2,950 - $3,000 as the first take-profit level. If price breaks above $3,000, hold positions for a move towards $3,100 or higher. ❌ For Short Entries: If price struggles to break above $3,000, short positions can be considered with stop losses above resistance. Targets for short trades: $2,800 (first TP), $2,650 (second TP). Final Thoughts About Trend: Gold remains in a strong bullish trend, but a short-term retracement could be expected before the next rally. Traders should focus on key levels like $2,750 - $2,800 support and $3,000 resistance to confirm the next move. Watch for confirmation signals before entering trades. 📊🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
GBP/USD - Institutional Backed Long Setup📌 Trade Execution & Technicals Pair: GBP/USD Timeframe: 15M Trade Type: Long Position Entry: 1.2816 – Price rejected key Fibonacci retracement level (0.62 Fib) after a liquidity sweep Stop Loss: Below 1.2800 Take Profit Levels: TP1: 1.2862 (-0.27 Fib extension) ✅ Target TP2: 1.2883 (-0.62 Fib extension) ✅ Target Technical Confluence: Fibonacci Retracement Levels: Price bounced off the 0.62 retracement (1.2816) Market Structure: Higher low formation confirmed bullish continuation Institutional Liquidity Grab: Price swept sell-side liquidity before reversing bullish 📊 Trade Outcome ✅ High-Probability Long Setup Both TP1 & TP2 levels hit with strong bullish momentum Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR) > 1:3 Price action confirmed bullish institutional positioning 🌍 High-Impact News That Influenced GBP/USD UK S&P Global Services PMI (Actual: 51.0 vs Forecast: 51.1) – Slightly weaker, but still expansionary US ADP National Employment (77K vs Forecast: 140K) – Weaker than expected, USD pressured BoE Treasury Select Hearing (Hawkish Bias) – Supporting GBP strength US ISM Manufacturing Prices & Business Activity Upcoming – Expected to increase USD volatility 💡 News Summary: Weaker-than-expected US jobs data pressured the USD, providing momentum for GBP/USD upside GBP remained resilient despite mixed PMI data, benefiting from USD weakness 📈 Volatility & Liquidity Insights 🔍 Prime Market Terminal Key Data: GBP/USD Average True Range (ATR): 1-week ATR: 0.81% 1-month ATR: 0.86% Institutional Liquidity Insights: High liquidity buildup in the 1.2800-1.2820 range, acting as support Strong order flow pushing GBP/USD higher post-US employment data release 🏦 Institutional Positioning & Market Flow 📊 Commitment of Traders (COT) Data & Smart Money Insights: Dealer Positioning: GBP Net Positioning: +56,707 contracts (Bullish institutional sentiment) USD Net Positioning: -11,542 contracts (Bearish outlook on USD) Open Interest & Retail Sentiment: Retail Short Bias: 72% Short, 28% Long – Potential short squeeze Smart Money Accumulation Zone: 1.2800-1.2820 📌 Conclusion 🔹 Why This Trade Worked: ✔ Liquidity Grab Below 1.2816 Before Reversal ✔ Institutional Positioning Confirmed Bullish Momentum ✔ Weaker US Jobs Data Weighed on USD, Pushing GBP/USD Higher 🚀 Next Steps: Monitoring 1.2860 for continuation towards 1.2900 key level Watching upcoming US ISM data for potential volatility spike 🔥 What’s your outlook on GBP/USD? Comment your thoughts below!
Long
by LDForex_
EURGBP at major support zone: Bullish Rebound ExpectedOANDA:EURGBP is approaching a significant support zone, highlighted by previous price reactions and strong buying interest. This area has historically acted as a key demand zone, increasing the likelihood of a bounce if buyers step in. The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms support within this zone, we could see a bullish reversal. A successful rebound could push the pair toward the 0.83350 level, a logical target based on past price behavior and structural confluence. Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management. Best of luck!
Long
by TrendDiva
3
USDJPY - at potential Buy SetupOANDA:USDJPY is nearing a significant support area that has reversed bearish trends into bullish momentum. This support level aligns with prior price reactions and represents a strong foundation for potential upward moves. If buyers confirm their presence with bullish price action, such as long lower wicks or bullish engulfing candles, I expect the price to go toward 151,100. Also, a break below this support could signal further bearish continuation. Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management!
Long
by TrendDiva
14
To fade or not to trade? (Example: EUR/USD)There is a correction taking place in the US dollar uptrend. Do we trade against the prevailing trend, or sit on our hands and do nothing? To fade or not to trade, that is the question. On a surface level, the current environment is a trading range - following a long downtrend. When a strong major trend has been in place for around 3 months - sometimes sooner - sometimes later (we have observed 3 months as a good benchmark) something has to change - either there is a significant correction or the trend reverses. The challenge lies in distinguishing between the two. Reacting too early risks fighting momentum, while reacting too late means missing an opportunity. After years of trading, I’ve realised the goal is not to guess – but to follow a structured trading system that tilts the odds in our favor. The system doesn’t work every time of course but it gives you a way to approach the market. Let me outline now - a system using Fractals & the 30-Week Moving Average to help you decide which way to trade the market 1. Identify the Primary Trend Use the 30-week moving average (30 WMA) as the trend filter. Uptrend: Price is consistently above the 30 WMA, and the slope is rising. Downtrend: Price is consistently below the 30 WMA, and the slope is falling. A strong trend remains in place as long as price respects the 30 WMA. A violation suggests a shift is possible. 2. Look for Fractal Confirmation of a Shift In an uptrend, a higher low followed by a higher high confirms continuation. In a downtrend, a lower high followed by a lower low confirms continuation. * The key fractal to watch for a potential bottom after a downtrend – is the first higher low after a downtrend correction that made a higher high (potential bottom) * The key fractal to watch for a potential top after an uptrend – is the first lower high after an uptrend correction that made a lower low (potential reversal) So, how about what’s happening now? The weekly chart shows a base has formed at 1.02 in EUR/USD. Price closed last week right at support-turned-resistance around 1.05. A ‘higher high’ was formed followed by a ‘higher low’ as demonstrated by the green and red fractals accordingly. However, the price remains below the 30-week moving average. We can see the setup better on the daily chart as a shallow downtrend line. The pattern beneath the trendline is a messy inverse head and shoulders. As such, should the trendline break to the upside it is a bullish signal. And if the trendline holds, it signals the trend is still just consolidating before a continuation lower. We think there’s a good chance this trendline breaks given the alignment of the weekly fractals. So fade the downtrend or ignore the move upwards? To answer that it helps to think about the next step. If the price does break higher, how high is it likely to go? There is resistance at 1.06 from the late November and December peaks. Then the 50% Fibonacci retracement and the 30-week moving average come in around 1.07. The reason fading a trend has a lower probability of success vs trading with the trend is because there is so much nearby resistance (in the case of trading a bottom). You can absolutely fade this trend but our experience tells us the price often fails at a nearby resistance level, capping the risk:reward potential on long positions- and simultaneously offering a nice opportunity for short positions. But - as always - that’s just how the team and I are seeing things, what do you think? Share your ideas with us - OR - send us a request! Drop us a comment! cheers! Jasper
by jasperlawler
9
USDJPY - Demand Ready for Lift-Off (Technical Analysis)As it stands we're currently holding short positions on USDJPY since last week. The current short term still suggests that this pair is bearish - We have seen lower lows and institutional manipulation to the upside as well, so we will continue holding our shorts until we see a reversal on the lower time frames. Previous Analysis: We traded down to the Daily demand levels (which price has now reached). The current price cycle indicates it's still distributing but now is the time to watch for potential bullish reversals - more-so when we combine this with our DXY analysis as well as current Geopolitical moves, we could definitely see a bullish surge in the next few days. Trading Considerations: All signs point to a pending bullish reversal, don't engage without considering the LTF trend, we would ideally like to see it reverse first. Trade what you see, not what you think you might. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. OANDA:USDJPY TVC:DXY
Long
by Apexfx_Alpha
2
SHORT #GRIFFAINUSDT expecting further downside📉 SHORT BYBIT:GRIFFAINUSDT.P from $0.12810 🛡 Stop loss $0.13193 ⏱ Timeframe: 1H ✅ Overview: ➡️ BYBIT:GRIFFAINUSDT.P is showing weakness after reaching a local high, rejecting from a resistance zone. ➡️ POC (Point of Control) at 0.13193 acts as a key volume area with significant trading activity. ➡️ Price action suggests seller dominance, indicating a potential continuation of the downtrend. ➡️ If the 0.12810 support level breaks, expect an increase in bearish momentum. ⚡ Plan: ➡️ Short entry upon confirmation of a breakdown below 0.12810. ➡️ Increased selling volume will confirm the continuation of the bearish trend. ➡️ Holding the position with dynamic monitoring until the first Take Profit level. 🎯 TP Targets: 💎 TP 1: 0.11741 – first target based on the nearest support level. 📢 BYBIT:GRIFFAINUSDT.P is showing bearish signs, but volume and pullback dynamics should be monitored. 📢 A break below 0.12810 could trigger a deeper decline. 📢 If buyers show strength, watch 0.13193 as a possible reversal point. 🚀 BYBIT:GRIFFAINUSDT.P maintains bearish momentum — expecting further downside!
Short
by MoriartyTrading
2
#BILLYUSDT expecting further decline!📉 SHORT BYBIT:BILLYUSDT.P from $0.00367 🛡 Stop Loss: $0.00390 ⏱ 1H Timeframe 📍 Overview: ➡️ BYBIT:BILLYUSDT.P continues to trend downward, forming new local lows. After retesting the $0.00387 zone, the price failed to hold and dropped again, confirming seller dominance. ➡️ POC (Point of Control) at $0.00475 shows the highest liquidity area, positioned above the current price. This confirms a bearish market sentiment, as major trading activity is still concentrated at higher levels. ➡️ A breakdown of support at $0.00367 strengthens the downtrend, opening the way toward $0.00336, where buyers previously showed interest. ➡️ If the price holds below $0.00367 , further downside movement is likely, with increasing sell pressure. ⚡ Plan: ➡️ Enter short after confirming a breakdown below $0.00367 , signaling further downside. ➡️ Risk management through Stop-Loss at $0.00390 , placed above the nearest resistance zone. ➡️ Primary downside target – $0.00336, where buyers may step in. 🎯 TP Targets: 💎 TP 1: $0.00336 🚀 BYBIT:BILLYUSDT.P remains weak — expecting further decline! 📢 BYBIT:BILLYUSDT.P remains in a strong downtrend with no signs of buyer recovery. If the $0.00367 level is broken with increasing volume, the decline may accelerate. 📢It's crucial to watch the reaction at $0.00336—if significant buying interest appears, a short-term bounce is possible. 📢However, in the long term, there are no clear reversal signals yet, and long positions should be approached with caution.
BShort
by MoriartyTrading
GENERAL ELECTRIC Soars Higher – Bullish Continuation to 211.50NYSE:GE is trading within a strong uptrend supported by a rising trendline. The consistent higher highs and higher lows confirm the bullish structure, signaling that buyers remain in control. The price has recently bounced off the trendline, showing that it continues to act as a reliable dynamic support. This suggests a potential continuation of the uptrend. If buyers maintain control, the stock could rally toward the 211.50 target level, which aligns with recent highs and a measured move projection. What’s your take on this setup? Do you see further upside potential, or are you anticipating a shift in momentum? Let me know your thoughts below!
NYSE:GELong
by DanieIM