EURUSD – Follow-Up UpdateEURUSD traded above the 1.1573 level on Thursday, marking a second break to the upside following the earlier trend-changing pattern — a potential sign of bullish continuation.
However, on the 1H/M15 chart, we've observed a minor ABC corrective decline (pullback). We’re now watching for a break below 1.1511, which could signal the start of a short-term bearish move.
🎯 Short-Term Target:
The next key level is 1.1214, a weekly structural support zone and the low of the previous trend-changing pattern.
📌 Key Zones to Watch:
Bearish confirmation: Break below 1.1511
Medium-term target: 1.1214
Stay alert to price action around these levels.
Trade safe, and have a blessed weekend.
Trendpattern
Gold ShortThis week's focus is on Gold going short (despite it being bullish Globally). Fundamental pressure + technicals point towards it going further down. We might see gold touching 3300-3303 zone, a short bounce back from here to the 3325 zone, before it delves deep down towards the important zone at 3275. All zones confluence with fibonacci as well as shown.
Once this correction is completed, it can resume its global bull run.
Important levels to watch out for
Support: 3300-3303, 3275
Resistance: 3325, 3342-45
Happy trading!
$AMD $120 retest then $130 push through. R/R looks incredible..Hello, NASDAQ:AMD Advanced Micro Devices, INC looks TASTY. I'm almost salivating. NASDAQ:NVDA may take a backseat and NASDAQ:AMD could start seeing monster upside. Something in my gut is telling me this name wants to GO. I'm looking at $120c for 6/20 and $130c for 6/20. This thing can launch.. it's hanging on an upside trendline, it may break but this $110 area may represent local support. Earnings report were good and after an abysmal 2024 after having highs and totally wiping them out hitting lows of $80, I think this could be the time for NASDAQ:AMD longs. It has taken the 20 day EMA/SMA over and now could curl to the 200 day EMA/SMA. 200 SMA is $126. This seems like a really good setup especially R/R here. Very cheap calls for a name that can see a 10-15% week.
WSL.
XAUUSD Bearish Breakdown| Trend Reversal Bearish Setup Price has broken below the rising channel, showing early signs of a potential bearish reversal.
Key Resistance: 3364
Current Price: 3334
Support Levels to Watch:
3282 (first support)
3250 (major target)
If price fails to reclaim the channel and retests 3364 without strength, we could see a deeper drop below 3282. A bounce from 3282 might offer short-term buy setups, but momentum favors bears for now.
Trade Plan:
Short below 3325 with SL above 3364
Target: 3282, extended to 3250
Let me know your thoughts! Are you bullish or bearish here?
#technicalanalysis #priceaction #tradingview #USD #bearishsetup
EURCHF both scenarios possibles
OANDA:EURCHF UPDATE from first analysis (attached) we are have upside - downside moves, new trend line is created, sup zone is created (violet line) and we can see also long zone.
If we see break of 0.94000 we will be higly possible in bullish move, break of sup zone (violet line) we will can see bearish move.
Currently still giving higher chances for bearish trend, but lets see some stronger moves.
SUP zone: 0.93850
RES zone: 0.92750, 0.92550
Midhani Ready for Blast!Midhani is in a strong uptrend on the daily time frame, consistently forming higher highs and higher lows. On the lower time frame, the stock had cooled off but has now resumed its upward move, breaking out of a falling trendline on strong volumes. The current setup offers a risk of around 6 per cent, with potential upside targets of 12–15 per cent.
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis – Short-Term OutlookCurrent Price Range: 3340 – 3350 USD
Trend Bias: Strong Bullish
Time Frame Focus: Intraday to Short-Term (H1/H4)
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Price Structure & Trend
Gold is currently consolidating within a narrow range of 3340 to 3350, forming a bullish continuation pattern (likely a flag or a pennant). The current consolidation is occurring after a strong bullish impulse, which signals a potential for trend continuation to the upside.
This behavior is consistent with accumulation before breakout, often seen in trending markets. The presence of higher highs and higher lows on the H1 and H4 charts supports the bullish bias.
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Key Levels
Zone Level Significance
Support 3335 Pullback zone / Potential entry area
Minor Support 3320 Stop loss zone / Break of structure risk
Resistance 1 3365 Initial profit target / minor resistance
Resistance 2 3375 Midway resistance / partial exit level
Major Resistance 3380–3400 Final target zone / Strong supply area
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Entry & Setup
Entry Zone: 3335–3355 (ideal is a retest of 3335 with confirmation candle)
Entry Type: Long (Buy) on support retest + bullish candle confirmation (pin bar, engulfing, etc.)
Stop Loss: Below 3320 (tight risk, below structure support)
Take Profits:
TP1: 3365
TP2: 3375
TP3: 3400 (final target)
Risk:Reward Ratio (Approximate):
From entry at 3335: R:R = 1:2.5 to 1:3.5 depending on target
From entry at 3350: R:R = 1:1.5 to 1:2.5
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Technical Indicators
RSI: Likely in the 55–65 zone on H1/H4, indicating strength but not yet overbought.
MACD: Histogram positive, signal line above zero, supporting bullish momentum.
Volume: Look for rising volume on bullish candles and low volume on pullbacks.
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Chart Patterns & Observations
Bullish Flag / Pennant: Suggests a continuation of the prior bullish move.
No bearish divergence observed (if indicators used).
Trendline support: Can draw ascending trendline connecting recent swing lows.
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Conclusion & Strategy
Gold remains in a bullish phase with clear consolidation before potential breakout. Best opportunity is a buy on dip, ideally on a clean retest of 3335–3340 support zone with proper confirmation.
If gold breaks above 3355–3360 with momentum, aggressive traders may consider a breakout entry with reduced risk and tighter stops below 3340.
Avoid entries below 3320 as this would invalidate the bullish structure and may indicate a shift in trend.
Equity Research Flash – Hexaware Technologies Ltd.CMP: ₹722.35 | Bullish Momentum Post Trend Reversal
HEXT shows a bullish breakout from a falling trendline, with RSI near 60 and strong volume uptick. The price reclaimed the 0.5 Fibonacci level, eyeing next targets at ₹749.85 (0.618) and ₹793.35 (0.786). Fundamentally strong with robust revenue growth, improving ROCE (26.4%), and low debt. A move above ₹750 could trigger further upside. Accumulate on dips with SL at ₹688.
Recommendation: Positive | Buy on Dips Near ₹700
For Education Purpose only
GOLD trending higher: Can buyers push towards 3,350$?Right now OANDA:XAUUSD is a classic case of a market trading within an ascending channel, with price action consistently respecting both its upper and lower borders.
The price has broken above a clear resistance zone and may pull back for a retest. This area also happens to coincide with the golden pocket of the recent swing and so it deserves special attention. If it holds as support, then that would be a confirmation of the bullish structure with the most likely possibility of a move towards 3,350, the middle side of the channel.
As long as the price stays above this support zone, the validity of the bullish setup is still there. If it does not, the short-term bullish outlook would therefore be interrupted and might be followed by further downside pullback.
Be sure to use proper risk management always.
Pimp Your Indicators – A Smoothed Take on RSIYou don’t need to reinvent the wheel to find new and effective trading tools. Often, enhancing classic indicators with a few thoughtful modifications can yield surprisingly powerful results. Here’s a simple yet effective way to upgrade the RSI and turn it into a more actionable entry signal.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a widely used oscillator that ranges from 0 to 100, providing a measure of upside momentum within a given timeframe. For example, an RSI reading of 60 implies a 60% upside dominance based on recent price action. Traditionally, traders interpret levels above 70 as overbought and below 30 as oversold. However, RSI on its own isn’t reliable as a standalone entry trigger. An overbought reading doesn’t necessarily mean the market is losing strength—it simply indicates recent data reflects a strong upward move.
Smoothed RSI Approaches
To extract more useful signals, we can enhance the RSI in a couple of simple but effective ways:
1. RSI vs. RSIMA (RSI Moving Average):
One approach is to smooth the RSI itself by calculating a moving average of the RSI (call it RSIMA), and then observe the difference between the RSI and its moving average. A positive difference suggests bullish momentum; a negative one, bearish. This approach reduces some noise but can still result in a choppy indicator, as seen in the subplot of the reference chart.
2. RSI on Smoothed Price (RSI5M):
A more refined method involves smoothing the price before calculating RSI. Specifically, apply a 5-period EMA (Exponential Moving Average) to the price series, then compute the RSI on this smoothed series—let’s call it RSI5M. The key insight is to then analyze the difference between RSI5M and the standard RSI. This difference creates a smoother, more robust signal that better captures market bias.
Why It Works
In uptrends, the EMA(5) smooths out short-term fluctuations and highlights the prevailing trend more clearly than raw price data. As a result, RSI5M tends to rise faster and higher than the standard RSI. The difference between the two becomes positive in uptrends and negative in downtrends, making it a useful gauge of directional momentum. This effect is illustrated in the lower subplot of the reference chart, where the smoothed signal offers a clearer view of market regimes.
Ready-to-Use Script
If you're not into coding, you can explore the public script of the Parsifal.RSI.Trend indicator on TradingView. It implements a slightly refined version of this smoothed RSI differential and provides a clean visual cue for trend bias.
Massive Move Incoming? CCL PRODUCTS LTD Price Prediction!Trade Recommendation
Buy Strategy
Entry Point: ₹850-860 (after confirmation of breakout above the Strong High)
Target Price: ₹928 (next resistance level)
Stop Loss: ₹800 (below nearest support zone)
Sell Strategy
Entry Point: Below ₹850 (if rejection happens near the Strong High)
Target Price: ₹700 (next support zone)
Stop Loss: ₹900 (above resistance level)
Technical Observations
Resistance Zones: ₹900
Support Zones: ₹700
RSI: Check for overbought or oversold levels to confirm entry
GBP/USD | Wave 5 Loading?Hey traders 👋,
We're setting up for what could be a textbook Wave (5) breakout on the 4H GBP/USD chart. After a clean corrective pullback to the golden zone (0.618–0.705), bulls are stepping back in. Here’s the technical story:
⚙️ Technical Breakdown:
✅ Elliott Wave Structure:
Wave (4) seems complete following a controlled retracement. If this count holds, Wave (5) should extend us toward 1.34400+ and possibly 1.36300, aligning with fib extensions and previous impulse behavior.
📏 Fib Retracement:
Wave (4) respected the 0.618–0.705 zone perfectly (1.32235–1.32047), a classic launchpad in bullish cycles. Buyers showed strong interest here—textbook bounce material.
📊 EMA Stack (20, 100, 200):
Price is holding above the 100 and 200 EMAs, with the 20 EMA curling upward. If we get a clean cross and hold, that’s further confirmation of bullish continuation.
📉 RSI:
Sitting around 53, giving us enough room to run without immediate overbought pressure. RSI holding above 50 typically aligns with bullish continuation patterns.
🚨 Levels to Watch:
🔑 Entry zone: 1.32200–1.32400 (golden pocket pullback)
🎯 Target zone: 1.34400 ➜ 1.36300 (Fib + Wave 5)
❌ Invalidation: Clean break below 1.31770
🧠 Final Thoughts:
Structure is clean. Momentum is building. Fundamentals aside, this chart is screaming setup potential.
📢 What’s your take on this setup?
Drop your thoughts 👇 and don’t forget to like if you’re bullish too 🟢
@WrightWayInvestments
@WrightWayInvestments
@WrightWayInvestments
UPDATE XAUUSD 30mOANDA:XAUUSD Good Afternoon trader, Update XAUUSD 30m 19/05/2025
If the market is not strong enough, the pattern may find another support level in the demand zone (3195–3207). However, our analysis still supports a bullish trend based on the 4-hour timeframe.
Stay keep your money with your trade strategy and risk reward plan. Thankyou
Disclaimer ON!
GBPUSD - Liquidity Grab & BoS Signals Bearish ReversalSmart Money Concepts (SMC) Analysis
1. Liquidity Sweep & Break of Structure (BOS):
Price consolidates above a trendline with multiple rejections (blue lines).
A liquidity grab occurs below this trendline – classic inducement setup.
After the grab, a bearish BOS (break of structure) is confirmed with a strong candle closing below the trendline and recent lows.
2. Order Block:
Price retested a 4H bearish order block (grey shaded zone) before rejection. This OB aligns with the last bullish candle before the drop.
Rejection from the OB confirms institutional interest (SMC).
3. Imbalance / Fair Value Gap (FVG):
The drop left a minor imbalance zone, suggesting possible continuation down to fill the inefficiency.
Price Action Analysis:
1. Trendline Break:
Ascending trendline has been broken with strong bearish momentum.
Indicates a shift from higher lows to lower lows → possible trend reversal.
2. Supply Zone Respect:
The price failed to make a new high and was firmly rejected at resistance.
Double top or lower high formation adds bearish confluence.
3. Target & Risk-Reward:
The trade setup indicates a short entry just below trendline break.
Target around 1.29393, likely based on previous demand zone or liquidity pocket.
Stop above 1.33664, likely above the OB or structural high.
Solid RRR (>3:1) visible.
Confluences Supporting Bearish Bias:
Break of internal structure (Price Action)
Liquidity sweep below trendline (SMC)
Bearish Order Block rejection (SMC)
Strong bearish engulfing candle
Favourable RR trade plan
Conclusion:
This is a high-probability bearish setup combining a trendline liquidity sweep (inducement), break of structure, order block rejection, and efficient risk-reward positioning. The price is expected to target 1.29393, aligning with a previous demand or liquidity zone.
Thanks for your time..
Weak Low in Trading RangeVery weak low in this range shown at the horizontal ray. I expect this to be taken out at some point to "grab" liquidity. Fairly large HVN also though which could suggest a bounce as buyers defend.
When this range breaks I am unsure if it will break up or down. EUR/USD trading fairly high and dollar sentiment seems to be picking up a little, so I think it will break low, however the technical outlook says it will break up.
As mentioned previously, on the daily/weekly chart we have one half of a very clean head and shoulders and the exact mirror image on the DXY chart. So lets see.
EURCHF new bearish push expecting
OANDA:EURCHF FALLING WEDGE we are have, in moment its be breaked, price is also be and on trend line with FW, i am expect price will continue pushing, but looks like we will have break of trend line and bounce on sup zone 0.93950
SUP zone: 0.94000
RES zone: 0.92450, 0.92000
Equity Research Update – Paras Defence and Space Technologies CMP: ₹1,143 | Upside Potential: High
Paras Defence has broken out of a strong resistance zone (~₹1,120–₹1,160), confirmed by significant volume and bullish momentum. The RSI shows strength above 70, indicating buyer dominance. Historical resistance, marked by previous rejections, may now act as strong support. If sustained, this breakout could lead to a fresh uptrend. Investors may consider accumulating on dips with a medium-term target of ₹1,300–₹1,350, keeping a stop-loss below ₹1,080.
Recommendation: BUY on Breakout Confirmation
For Education Purpose only
A Long-term Bullish Trend ?With an upcoming Earnings report we can observe rather uncertain future behavior.
But since the trend has been bearish for a longer period of time and the price is "nearly" at the same position which was achieved for the first time in early April in 2019, we can, mostly based only on the technical analysis and Earnings report, determine quite confidently that the price is ready to rise.
Important data:
EPS Estimate: -$3.12
Revenue Estimate: $106 million to $166.7 million
Notable developments:
Cost-cutting initiative = Targeting $1.1B in reductions by 2027
By the end of 2024 $9.5 billion allocated in investments
USDT.DSecond Point:
The USDT Dominance on the daily timeframe is showing the exact opposite behavior of Bitcoin. It has reached a supportive trendline which, for the past 3 months, has led to a reversal every time the index has touched it — pushing the market one level lower. And now, we're back at that critical zone again.
Will things be different this time?
This current touch appears to be a wave F, and perhaps we could even consider a potential wave G, which would imply one final leg up for USDT Dominance. However, there’s no certainty. There’s also the possibility that the trendline breaks, tether gets deployed, and the market becomes just a little — just a little — more pleasant.
We're literally on the edge right now, and this is where market pumps and dumps tend to occur — right in these key zones.
When will the situation become clear?
We have an important time zone coming up, and it’s likely that within the next couple of days, market makers will show their hand.
What do you think will happen?
Trendline breaks → Market pump
Trendline holds → Market dump ❤️