AMD: Ready to Break Out – Confluence Supports and Bullish PatterI’ve already written a weekly analysis on NASDAQ:AMD , which you should read before this one, as it explains the broader technical and fundamental support in the bigger picture.
Looking at the 4-hour chart, we can see the more granular movement of the stock over the last few months. The fact that we held the trendline, which has been in place since 2023, is a good sign that overarching algorithms still have an interest in the stock. The trendline also corresponds to a so-called "confluence support," where multiple support levels overlap.
1. Trendline
Trendlines alone are not reliable price action structures, as they are often broken during consolidations without affecting the overall trend. However, since this trendline is older, has been tested multiple times, and now coincides with other support levels, it serves as one of several building blocks.
2. Fibonacci Retracement
We hit the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement (horizontal yellow line) exactly and bounced upward from there. The 61.8% Fib is always a good reversal point during pronounced consolidations, as we’ve seen here. AMD has been consolidating since March 2024, over nine months now.
3. Horizontal Support
In addition to the Fibonacci retracement, the price range between $117 and $121 was already a support area. This zone has been a support and resistance level since September 2021 and has consistently prompted strong price reactions.
4. Descending Wedge
The current leg down is forming a descending wedge, which breaks upward in more than two-thirds of cases, making it a bullish pattern. The target for a breakout is typically the highest point of the wedge, which currently means a target around $170. However, a conservative trader always plans more cautiously, so we’ve combined our target with the last gap close.
5. Gaps
While not a proper support level, the still-open daily gaps at $137 and $158 act as magnets for higher prices. These gaps lie along the path upward and make good spots to place take-profit levels.
Fundamental Reasons
AMD's Position: With the launch of the MI300 series, AMD has taken a significant step toward competing with NVIDIA in the AI GPU market. These chips are optimized for high-performance computing and generative AI.
Potential: In Q3 2024, AMD generated $1.5 billion in revenue from the data center segment, a 42% year-over-year growth. This growth is expected to accelerate further in 2025 due to AI applications.
Market share: AMD has consistently gained market share from Intel in the CPU market, especially in the server segment. According to Mercury Research, AMD’s server CPU market share rose from 23.4% in Q3 2023 to 26.5% in Q3 2024.
Forecast : With the planned launch of Zen 5 processors in H2 2025, AMD is expected to gain even more market share, driven by improved performance and energy efficiency.
EV Market: Additionally, the electric vehicle market, after weaker years in 2023 and 2024, is expected to regain momentum. This will significantly impact the semiconductor market as a whole.
Trendpattern
Bank Nifty Buy Swing SetupEntry Reason:
The primary reason for this trade is the respect of a key trendline observed on the higher time frame, indicating strong support at current levels. Additionally, based on internal market structure and my personal analysis, the price action suggests bullish momentum. The recent consolidation further strengthens the likelihood of an upside breakout.
Stop Loss:
A 500 to 1000 point stop loss has been placed to manage risk effectively. This level accounts for potential minor pullbacks without invalidating the overall bullish setup.
Target:
Given the trendline respect and market dynamics, a minimum upside of 1500 points is expected, offering an attractive risk-to-reward ratio of 2:1 or better.
Conclusion:
This trade is based on a combination of technical analysis (trendline respect) and personal observation of internal price action behavior. The setup offers a well-defined risk with significant upside potential.
BNB - USDT UPDATE on 4th January 2025...Slowly slowly.... If you are in the trade already than congrats ! If not yet... Be careful & don't rush... Sometimes is a much better to look for something else instead of taking "halfway "trade already...
Don't rush... You still got all year to trade! ;)
PS: printer friendly "KISS" chart... & BTW...leverage *10 on Binance recommended... ;)
ATOM - USDT UPDATE for 4th of January... $ ---- 100%+ already...ATOM - USDT UPDATE on the 4th of January... What happened in the last 4 days ???
Well, account "went" double & plenty of room to go further....
I do hope you are all in the profit already... if not... blame yourselves only ! ;)
PS: printer friendly "KISS" chart
Porsche is a hot topic for investors in 2025Porsche is a hot topic for investors in 2025, trading near historic lows. Barclays recently upgraded the stock to Overweight with a price target of €70, saying the current price could represent a good opportunity for long-term investors. Despite a 15% decline in the past month, earnings growth expectations for 2025 and 2026 remain above 10% per year, despite doubts about volume and margin targets.
TRADINGVIEW
INVESTING.COM
Key risks include the company’s reliance on the U.S. and Chinese markets, as well as the impact of tariffs. However, the positive outlook for electric vehicles and Porsche’s luxury segment is keeping the stock attractive.
German Index (DE40) – Daily and Lower Time Frame AnalysisGerman Index (DE40) – Daily and Lower Time Frame Analysis
Overview:
As we have been covering the German Index (DE40) over the past several days, we are finally observing a shift in momentum. On the daily time frame, the overall momentum has turned bearish, and the price is clearly moving downward.
Key Observations:
Bearish Momentum:
The price is trending lower, signaling a potential continuation to the downside.
Lower Time Frame Confirmation:
Drop down to the 15-minute or 20-minute time frame for a more refined view.
Look for a break of structure and a clear change of character (CHoCH).
Observe if the price is forming lower lows and lower highs, indicating bearish structure.
Entry Considerations:
If the conditions align on the lower time frames, you can look for a short entry.
We are anticipating the price to head towards the key level of 19,675, which is a significant support zone.
Important Notes:
Do Not Follow Blindly: This analysis is for informational purposes only; always use your own strategies and confirm your setups.
Protect Your Capital: Keeping your capital intact is far more important than chasing profits.
Trade Smart, Trade Reactive: React to the price action rather than predicting future moves.
Hellena | GOLD (4H): Long to resistance area of 2717.733.Colleagues, the previous forecast is still active, but I decided to make a new one to show in more detail what exactly is going on.
I believe that the price is in a five-wave upward movement and now we are expecting a lower and middle-order wave “3”.
Therefore, I believe that the upward movement will continue and the price will reach the level of 2717.733.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
PROVEN STRATEGY FOR PROFITSThe Truth About the Holy Grail Market Strategy
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Unfortunately, this is also why strategies claiming "100% accuracy" get so much attention. They feed into our hope of finding that mythical Holy Grail. People flock to these posts, hitting like, commenting, and even buying courses—all based on a fantasy. And the creators? They profit off this hope, knowing full well that no strategy is foolproof.
The reality is, trading isn’t about being right. It’s about being consistent. The pros aren’t chasing Holy Grails—they’re managing risk, mastering probabilities, and playing the long game.
If you’re stuck in the trap of searching for perfection, stop and ask yourself: Am I being sold a dream instead of learning the skills that matter?
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FOLLOW ME FOR MORE SUCH CONTENT AHEAD
Till then,
HAPPY TRADING :)
Hellena | GOLD (4H): Long to resistance area of 2717.733.Colleagues, the previous forecast is still active, but I decided to make a new one to show in more detail what exactly is going on.
I believe that the price is in a five-wave upward movement and now we are expecting a lower and middle-order wave “3”.
Therefore, I believe that the upward movement will continue and the price will reach the level of 2717.733.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Which elevator are we taking? ARB finally broke above 1$. With ETH breaking out of the short-term downtrend channel (check my previous post) this ETH-based layer 2 can see some strong gains as long as ETH keeps on moving up. Stronger resistance possible at around 1.4, which would already be a strong move up. If that doesn't stop the price then 2$ and 100% profits may be in sight sooner rather than later!
How to Trend Trade & Why I Avoid Trading Fridays & Mondays 👀👉 In this video, I take you through a detailed breakdown of my trend continuation strategy with the EURJPY. 🔍 We’ll explore key concepts like trend analysis, price action, and market structure, and I’ll share a simple yet highly effective method for identifying the best trade entry points. ✅ I’ll also explain why I choose to avoid trading on Mondays and Fridays and how this approach helps refine my trading discipline. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This video is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. ⚠️
ANALUSIS PRICE TREND Analyze price trends🌐
➡️Gold is likely to grow to the 2662 - 2664 area and then there will be a sudden collapse to get all the Buy liquidity, but first you need to wait for a confirmation signal through the 2652 area if gold reaches the threshold and firmly breaks this area. There will be a possibility that gold will touch 2662 tomorrow
AUDJPY: Bearish Wave Poised for Targets around 98.77Hello Traders,
Trust trading has been awesome.
Find below my analysis of AUDJPY currency pair.
Current Price: 99.738
The pair shows bearish sentiment across the H4, H1, and M30 timeframes, with a downward trend firmly established (as price keeps making lower highs and lower lows). Momentum indicators suggest strong bearish pressure; however, the price is currently consolidating within a narrow range, limiting immediate directional movement.
Bias: Bearish, as long as the price remains below the key resistance level at 99.997, and we see a breakout of the consolidation range (Squeeze).
Targets
First Target: 98.770
Second Target: 98.108
Ultimate Target: 97.816
This bearish outlook is further supported by Elliott Wave analysis, with the potential for a downward move fulfilling the Wave 5 projection of the current impulsive wave, provided the price stays below 100.048.
short xauusd with chatgpt1. Trend Analysis
Multi-Timeframe Observations:
Short Timeframes (M5, M15): Bearish signals indicate short-term selling pressure.
Mid/High Timeframes (H1, H4): Bullish momentum is still active, suggesting the possibility of a pullback to resume upward trends.
Daily Timeframe: Bearish signals show the overall long-term trend may be turning downwards, requiring caution with long positions.
2. Key Levels Identification
Support Levels:
$2,685: Immediate minor support zone visible on the chart.
$2,680: Strong institutional demand zone aligning with previous swing lows.
Resistance Levels:
$2,700–$2,710: Strong rejection zone recently tested, with selling pressure evident.
3. Liquidity Zones and FU Candles
Liquidity:
A liquidity cluster exists below $2,685, likely targeting retail stop-loss orders.
FU Candles:
On lower timeframes, bearish FU candles near $2,700 signal potential exhaustion of buyers in this region.
Updated Entry, Stop-Loss (SL), and Take-Profit (TP) Strategy
Scenario: Given the short-term bearish signals, a short position is recommended until clear bullish confirmation appears.
Entry:
Short near $2,693, following rejection from the resistance zone.
Stop-Loss (SL):
Place SL at $2,702, slightly above recent swing highs and the upper resistance zone.
Take-Profit (TP):
First TP at $2,685, targeting minor support.
Second TP at $2,680, aligning with the institutional demand zone.
Risk-Reward Ratio:
1:2, with ~9 pips of risk (SL: $2,702) and ~18 pips of reward (TP1: $2,685).
Additional Considerations
Confirmation for Entry: Wait for bearish candlestick patterns (e.g., engulfing candles or a breakdown below $2,690) before entering.
Market Context: Monitor gold-related news or events that may influence price momentum
CADCHF after long time, changes here expected
CADCHF what's next, we can see SYMMETRICAL TRIANGLE pattern (and possible fake break of same), +price is on trend line. From fundamentals we are have BOC ~two weeks ago and NONFARM from last friday here expecting is have impact.
Currently CHF with many showing weakness, here expecting to see long bullish push
SUP zone: 0.61950
RES zone: 0.63000, 0.63400
FTMUSDT - Inverse Head & Shoulders - A Prime Long Opportunity?1.) Quick Overview
On the FTM/USDT 4-hour chart, an inverse Head & Shoulders pattern is shaping up, often hinting at a bullish reversal. If the pattern completes, this could offer an excellent long setup. The key level to watch is around the mOpen at $0.6555, where the price is expected to dip and complete the “right shoulder,” potentially setting the stage for a strong bounce.
2.) Deep Dive: Chart Analysis
Inverse Head & Shoulders Pattern:
- Left Shoulder: Formed near $0.6342.
- Head: A deeper low at $0.4744, marking the low point of the pattern.
- Right Shoulder (In Progress): Expected to complete around mOpen at $0.6555. If the price touches down here and holds, it could serve as an ideal long entry point.
Fibonacci Retracement:
- The 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level aligns near $0.6555, supporting the right shoulder as a potential bounce zone.
Key Levels to Watch:
- mOpen at $0.6555: This is our primary entry level, where the right shoulder could find support.
- VAL (Volume Area Low) at $0.6324: Another important support zone where the anchored VWAP also aligns, reinforcing this area as a significant base. If the price dips below mOpen, the VAL may act as a secondary support level.
- VAH (Volume Area High) at $0.7262: Our initial target if the inverse Head & Shoulders completes, with potential for further gains.
Volume Profile:
- Increased volume near the head formation suggests accumulation, supporting a bullish scenario if the right shoulder completes as expected.
3.) Trade Setup
- Entry: Look for a long entry around $0.6555.
- Stop Loss: Place the stop loss just below $0.58 to manage risk if the pattern fails.
- Target: Initial target at $0.7262 with room for more upside if the breakout continues.
- Risk-to-Reward: Favorable setup with solid support and a high-probability bounce area.
4.) Final Thoughts
- With the combination of the inverse Head & Shoulders, support at mOpen, Fibonacci, and anchored VWAP at the VAL, this FTM/USDT setup looks promising for a long position. Watch for confirmation around $0.6555 to see if the right shoulder completes.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes and should not be taken as financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk carefully!