GBPJPY Strong Reversal & GBPUSD UpdateThe Japanese Yen(D) is going through the B to C leg of its correction, which we saw in the yen pairs in the last 24 hours. The GBP/JPY is our pick for a long trade because it has a more technical-bullish outlook than most other yen pairs.
More info in the video.
GBP/USD
The cable broke higher yesterday above 1.2634 , the limit for any downtrend continuation. The violation of this point invalidated the expected downtrend continuation trade.
We must wait for the price to conclude the current rally before we can act on a new position in the cable.
Trendpattern
possible Head & shoulder patternthere is a possibility that nifty smallcap 250 can for a head and shoulder pattern here, which can bring it down by total of 11%, and 7.7% after the formation gets completed. It is very likely that the market will not complete this pattern, but just for awareness and availability of different perspective I wanted to post about it.
also, please do not take any decisions too quickly based on this as patterns are for very short term but in the long term I'm still very bullish on the midcap and smallcap index.
General trading strategy today, which areas should Sell and Buy?Gold prices in Asia increased in the afternoon trading session on May 14, as the market is awaiting important inflation reports expected to be released this week, for more clues about the speed and scale of interest cuts. interest rate of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) this year.
Spot gold price increased 0.2% to 2,338.78 USD/ounce, while gold futures price increased 0.1% to 2,344.70 USD/ounce.
The US producer price index (PPI) is expected to be announced at 6:30 p.m. Vietnam time, followed by the consumer price index (CPI) on May 15. According to a Reuters poll, CPI figures are forecast to show core inflation rising 0.3% in April from the previous month, down from 0.4% in March, pulling down the inflation rate. annual inflation down to 3.6%.
If gold can hold above the level of 2,320-2,330 USD/ounce, it is a positive sign, meaning gold is gaining momentum in the short term. And with the push from weaker CPI figures (if any), he thinks gold is likely to rise to all-time highs in the short term.
The weak jobs report and lower-than-expected US non-farm payrolls reported in April released last week have increased expectations about the possibility of the Fed cutting interest rates this year. According to a majority of economists polled by Reuters news agency, the Fed is expected to cut interest rates twice this year, starting in September.
Downtrend resumes - GBP/USDI have done plenty of analysis on the GBPUSD in the past few weeks and nothing has changed in our outlook.
The wave of disbelief has matured and we are now selling the cable.
The risk is 1.2636 about 60 pips from where we are right now.
For those who like confirmation, a break below 1.2568 is your first confirmation that more sellers have joined the party.
A positive view - Let's Bear up Let's go back in while, price seems to be rejecting at resistance level back in 2018.
we see a huge fall after 2018 falling as far as 79%, price is rejected at support which was formed back in 2014-2015.
Moral of the story : we check history to forecast present!!
Some Ethics :
1. resistance breakout after long span of time (3 years)
2. target identified as the previous range between S\R levels
3. 346-357 was the resistance range since 2018 may act as strong support in upcoming event
4. I used super-trend to check if price continuation persist on same level
Marking multiple levels based on previous rejection and price retest
1. 628.05 - 659.90 as resistance range
2. 515.85 - 551 as support range
3. recent rejection from 446, price hits target of 515 which was it's previous support (acting resistance level)
4. With the rejection on resistance we also see a shooting star formation of approx. 4% with which we consider a fall with size of candle.
5. But, in last session we saw a momentum, price peaked up but did not resist at resistance and fell by 4.7%
If we consider previous S\R levels on basis of fall and rise, we can assume that it may fall by more 3-4% and we may see short covering at this level @ 483 and may see upper levels of 515 to 551.
Personal views only, please do your own research ->
Let's see if movement goes along
XAUUSD: $2330 area to be filled around! OANDA:XAUUSD
Our last idea on gold turned out to be 700+ pips opportunity, here we have seen some bearish movement that has started happening. There are some areas that needs to be filled around $2330 area which remain a vital key level for buyers. Please use accurate risk management and do your own research.
Comparing two companies - price action James Hardie vs Boral Limited ASX:BLD
- Price action side by side
- Key levels of Boral
- Keep track of sector and companies
- Trend first and later study fundamental ( for me😉)
Waiting for your comments to learn and share more ....
disc: Not invested , don't know about future
no recommendation only education and entertainment
GBP/USD - Downtrend Resumes below 1.2466The 15-minute timeframe is now a downtrend, we saw a completed wave structure yesterday. The pullback to that move is valid and we expect a follow-through. Having said that, the 1Hr timeframe is still not 100% Bearish, we need to see a break below 1.2466 before we can safely say the H1 is now bearish.
The alternative Scenario is this; If the price should fail to break below 1.2466, and it proceeds to break above the (c) high 1.2506, we will reverse the position and buy immediately.
Right now we are bearish and we sell or do nothing.
Triangle Pattern formed & Breakout, Next Kill 2 to 3 zerosIn SHIB/USTD, Triangle Pattern formed and Breakout. I have attached 3 images, before Breakout the Triangle Pattern and during the Breakout Triangle Pattern. Now SHIB in retracement phase, after completing the retracement, SHIB will continue its Up Trend and reach the "Previous High". Then SHIB will likely remove 2 to 3 Zeros. I have been continuously following SHIB for the last 3 years.
Wave structure Multi timeframe analysis - CAD/JPY & GBP/USDCAD/JPY
The outlook of the CADJPY is very bearish, based on the Multi-timeframe waves structure count we should be expecting more downside in the pair. The bearish wave structure (4) on the H4 timeframe is not complete yet, we have seen a bearish 0, 1, 2, and 3 wave structures on the M15 timeframe. Having seen the 3 waves, we now have a more than 70% probability that the trend will complete the cycle which means we will see the momentum low 5.
GBP/USD
We have seen two trend-changing patterns in the GBP/USD. On Friday we have also seen a strong rejection from the high and this move down has created a potential 3rd structural failure, this means the current secondary trend is about to change to the downside.
Our short will be valid when the price trades below 1.2538; this will be a final confirmation of the trend change
BTC - Potential new ATH by the end of this monthWe're currently in a downtrend, with Lower Lows and Lower Highs; however, it seems to be looking slightly bullish right now. Lots of different data showing the price will likely increase to ~70k within the next few weeks.
There is a lot of resistance within the yellow zone highlighted here. The price will likely face rejection within this zone and if we're lucky will correct back to ~62k support at the lowest. From there there is a better chance of the 70k movement occurring.
The price is currently very undervalued, but also volume is quite low. This is likely due to the fact many have bought and are still holding, and new investors are waiting to see what will happen.
If the price however drops below 56.6k on the rejection, we may see extended bearish price movement to the 48-52k region, but likewise this should just be temporary; but it will postpone the 70k+ push by likely a few weeks.
If the trend however is bullish, this could result in a new ATH by the end of this month. A new ATH by the end of this month would put the price of BTC back on track with its trajectory to reach 198k by end of June 2025.
Tata Consumer Product-Intraday for 02.05.2024
1. Price is at strong support level at Day TF
15 Min TF
1. After a big fall, Price is consolidation in sideways at strong support and resistance level.
2. M Pattern has formed and expected to big breakdown if support level breaks.
3. 200 & 50 EMA has reacted at resistance indicating bearish.
4. Chances of forming bearish flag pattern
Risky Buy: Above 1100(Target 8 points)
Strong Sell: Below 1181(Target 20 Points)
Get confirmation from any of the leading indicators before entering trade
Kindy comment below in case of any clarification required. Please follow for more ideas
TATA COMMUNICATIONS - A swing trade opportunity of 25%Trend - up in all higher time frames.
Weekly RSI - Took support at 62 and moving up.
Stock has given a bullish penant breakout after consolidating for 5 months - Sep - 2023 to Feb 2024
Retest of the breakout has happened.
Now weekly and daily price actions shows the upward momentum.
Entry - One may wait for daily previous supply levels - 2015 to be hit and take an entry as per reversal in lower time frame. Purely based on risk management - SL %
1827 - would act as a strong support. 7.5% from current levels.
Insights into Market Analysis: SPDR XLK Sector trend analysisThe upward trend of XLK experienced a halt in mid-April, marked by a price breakout below the swing low at $197.3. By retracing the price action from January 2022 to October 13, 2022, a potential pattern emerges, suggesting the formation of a 'Head & Shoulders' reversal pattern.
XLK had been on an upward trajectory from October 2022 until April 2024, largely driven by the robust performance of the tech sector. However, with the application of sector rotation principles, it appears that XLK is exhibiting signs of technical weakness. Currently, other sectors such as XLE and XLU are demonstrating stronger performance compared to the overall market.
Lynas Rare Earths (ASX:LYC) - Cautiously Optimistic
The Heikin Ashi candlestick pattern suggests a recent trend reversal to the upside, as indicated by a series of green (upward) candles.
The chart displays a consolidation pattern within a falling wedge, which has been broken to the upside, hinting at a potential bullish reversal.
Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) show the price is currently above the 20, 50, and 100-day EMAs, a bullish signal.
A significant increase in volume accompanies the breakout, reinforcing the strength of the current upward move.
The current price is near the upper bound of the falling wedge pattern ($6.60 - $6.50c), which could act as resistance and limit further upward movement.
Prices holding above key EMAs, which may now act as support levels with current established support level at ~$6.02c