Forex Trade Planning: USD Dominance and Potential CorrectionToday's trade planning session highlighted the USD as the strongest currency on the daily Currency Strength Index (CSI), while the EUR emerged as the weakest.
General CSI Overview:
Buy pairs: USD, CHF, GBP, JPY, AUD
Sell pairs: CAD, NZD, EUR
In our H1 timeframe market analysis, we anticipate a deeper correction in existing trends. The wave structure for major pairs versus the USD has reached momentum high and momentum low 5. From this level, a correction of the trend is expected.
It is important to note that significant effort and time are required for a trend reversal. Nevertheless, there has been a notable decline, breaking key structures in USDJPY, which could indicate a more substantial downturn for the USD and potentially lead to a larger secondary trend.
Trade carefully and happy trading!
Trendreversal
Gold Long Term Analysis Nov 15I published some trend analysis using the adaptive trend finder 2 weeks ago. I wanted to revisit this given the eventful couple of weeks we've had.
The previous analysis highlighted an ultra-strong uptrend over the previous 20 weeks on the weekly chart. Prior to the election, the rally in gold the price showed little sign of slowing down. In the last two weeks we've seen a fall in the gold price of 1.9% and 4.5% (the largest drop since 2021). Apart from the obvious, there appears to be several factors leading to the drop.
Donal trump's emphatic win and a number of his stated policies that could see interest rates stay higher for longer (think tarrifs, tax cuts)
Economic data that came in inline with expectations
A rate cut that had already been fully priced in
Essentially, the gold price is being weighed down by expectations on policies that are potentially months aways and stronger than exepected economic data. Jerome Powell also indicated in his speech that the Fed sees the pace of rate cuts slowing down in the near future.
Whilst higher inflation is typically seen as a positive for the gold price (gold as an 'inflation hedge'). Higher inflation is accompanied by higher interest rates which act as a negative for the non-yielding asset.
Last week's close broke the established 20 week price trend there is, however, a longer term trend that can be observed over the last 60 weeks. Last week's closing price respects this trend. Whilst the expectation of a technical correction hadn't eventuated, we may find that this is the bottom of the dip as long as there is not further negative news for gold. Central Bank and ETF demand is still strong. A shift from gold to risk assets following the Trump election does remain a risk for the short-term gold price.
There are a couple of key resistance points to watch this week to understand whether this is the bottom of the dip. I'll explore this in another post.
EURUSD: Intraday Trend Reversal PatternFollowing the low established on Wednesday, 6th November 2024, we have observed a completed bullish wave structure. Subsequently, the price traded the low at 1.0682, forming a bearish completed wave pattern. Based on this price information, a bullish phase is anticipated in the next movement.
We are entering a buy position, anticipating increased buying momentum at 1.0682, which could propel the price past the nearest internal momentum high of 1.0727. If this trade materializes, 1.0824 will serve as our momentum high target.
Stop Loss: 1.0676
Happy Trading!
Meme Magic on BRETT: Don’t Miss This Bullish Trend!THIS IS A MUST BUY! 🚀 As most memes are currently flipping bullish, this one just fired a bullish signal right off the lows.
What’s to like? This is just the beginning of the weekly trend. Sure, it might seem a bit late, but if everything aligns, the swing is safe to take.
I can’t see a chart more bullish than this at weekly prices. Price targets are indicated by the boxes, so adjust your risk and go long now! 📈
Grab It Now, Cash In by November!💰📈
Gold reached all-time high and hit weekly targetHello traders,
As you can see gold reached all time high time record.And reached the weekly target as anticipated, so the analysis went to our favor and gave us a Great trade. After gold broke the fourr hour level, it Made a break and a retest and made a rebound on the one hour time frame at exactly 2673 The bullish momentum took place againand buyers.Took control of the market and pushed gold higher and higher until reached the weekly target.
After this long run making a tree leg extension as you can see on the chart, there is a high probability that the market will reverse.And we might see a huge sell off of gold in order to breathe until.Buyers and bullish momentum comes back again and takes the gold market higher again because this is very normal. After a long run being bulish or bearish.There should always be a big.Correction. Remember.After every long run there is a steep pullback and that's what we gonna see in the coming days. So guys.Be prepared for selling gold, but not this week, probably next week or the following week.
WBA Sing Trade UnderwayWBA seems to have completed the breakout of the Inverse HS bottoming and trend reversal pattern I discussed last week.
If entry point was at close yesterday, gains are 6+%
Take profits as you feel comfortable.
Ultimate target upon completion of pattern yields a price target of approx. 10.50.
If trend reversal is a long term chance of character move, reaching the 200DMA for a gain of 50-85% is not out of the question.
Taking half positions off the table is not a bad idea.
Please watch for details
Is Gold ready to retrace?Gold has experienced a significant appreciation of 48.18% since 6 October 2023. This remarkable increase can be attributed to rising global uncertainties, including the ongoing conflict in Ukraine, escalating tensions in the Middle East, and the impending US presidential elections.
New Highs and Market Indicators
From a technical standpoint, gold is currently trading at historic highs, placing it in uncharted territory with no established resistance levels on the daily chart. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicated a reading of 77.26 on 26 September, suggesting that gold may be in an overbought condition. Generally, RSI readings above 70 signal potential exhaustion of buying momentum.
The price has also been trading above the 200-period Average for 254 candles, which tends to show a potentially ageing upward trend on the daily chart. The longer the price remains on the same side of a Moving Average, the more prone it is to a retraction.
So, considering these elements:
1. High appreciation of more than 48% in Gold prices over the past 12 months,
2. Recent RSI reading at 77.26, indicating overbought conditions
3. Potentially ageing uptrend, with 254 candles above the SMA200,
Given these factors, there is a possibility that gold may experience a slightly stronger pullback if it manages to break below the uptrend line drawn on the chart between 5 August and 10 October. Such a movement could lead to a decline toward the 2480.00 level within a few days.
The Influence of Political Uncertainty
On the other hand, gold is often viewed as a safe haven during uncertain times. As recent US election polls indicate a technical tie between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, it is plausible that a more definitive movement in gold prices may not occur until after the election results are announced.
Navigating the Gold Market
In conclusion, while the current indicators suggest a potential for price retraction, gold's status as a haven and the upcoming political landscape may heavily influence future price actions. Traders should remain vigilant and consider these elements in their market strategies.
Disclaimer:
74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK.
Bandhan Bank - Magic Waiting to Happen !!Magic Waiting to Happen: Bandhan Bank's Weekly Chart Overview
- The downtrend line since 2020 has been a key resistance level.
- ₹250 and ₹200 have served as a consolidating range's upper and lower boundaries.
- You can now access our structured charts for all Nifty 500 companies . Check the signature column below for more info.
- Recent base formation suggests accumulation, supported by a surge in volume.
- The stock has gained momentum following the RBI's nod for a change in MD, CEO.
Bandhan Bank is currently coiling up for what looks like a significant breakout. With the downtrend line as the final hurdle and volume picking up, the chart suggests that magic is waiting to happen. A break above the resistance zones could trigger a bullish trend reversal, so it's worth keeping a close watch on this stock in the coming weeks.
DISCLAIMER: The information provided here is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Stock market investments carry risk, and you should consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any trading decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Swing Trade Opportunity - LONG WBAWBA has broken a long term downtrend line, creating a potential inverse HS in the process.
This company is due for a bounce at the very least.
Best case for longs is a longer term bottom and reversal being put in that can take us to the 200DMA or above.
See video for details
Intel - Back To A Bullish Market!Intel ( NASDAQ:INTC ) perfectly rejected a major previous support:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After being cut in half multiple times over the past couple of months, Intel finally managed to reverse at a strong previous support level. However market structure is still clearly not bullish and Intel has to break above the next resistance to start creating a new overall uptrend.
Levels to watch: $26, $20
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
SOL - Are these moves big enough CRYPTOCAP:SOL is facing some market indecision and is at a fib retracement level of the 382 after hitting the .618
As often seen in the market price retracts in search of liquidity and confirmation of support.
we have a long legged Doji candlestick on the Weekly close that is showing market indecision and could indicate an end to the downward momentum. We need to confirm this before we can be sure of this reversal and are watching for support to be found on the 382.
Barring support being found we will see price go lower into the accumulation price area and we must confirm the trend reversal before entering a trade.
If we can setup the trade and catch the reversal we could see anywhere from 20% to 40% returns on a day position and may want to look towards entering into a 30 day long at this point as well for even larger possible returns as SOL could be in the 170 area in a month if we break out of the overall larger downtrend
FACT0RN A Trend Reversal in Play After Strong Breakout Above 12$In March 2024, following its listing on MEXC, FACT0RN Fact experienced a significant price surge, skyrocketing from $4.77 to $110. After this explosive move, the token underwent a sharp correction, pulling back to $6.25.
However, a recent interest rate cut by 0.50 points in the U.S. triggered renewed market optimism. FACT0RN capitalized on this sentiment, climbing back above $12, breaching the key resistance level of $11.82. Both daily and weekly candles have closed above this critical level, confirming a trend reversal and hinting at further bullish momentum.
Key Statistics:
Total Supply: 681,298 Fact0rn
Current Market Cap: $8,215,091
What is FACT0RN?
FACT0RN is a unique Proof-of-Work (PoW) cryptocurrency that leverages integer factorization as the core of its mining competition. Unlike traditional mining methods, Fact miners are rewarded for advancing mathematical research, specifically by improving integer factorization algorithms. These efforts contribute to the real-world goal of phasing out outdated cryptographic techniques.
This innovative approach is what makes Fact a project with both immediate and long-term potential. Short-term traders benefit from its volatility, while long-term holders stand to gain from FACT0RN's growing reputation in both the crypto and academic fields.
#BTC: IS THE DOWNTREND ENDS HERE??Hey everyone!
Appreciate a like and follow if this analysis helps!
Welcome to this BTC update. BTC is trading inside a broadening wedge pattern in the daily time frame and currently hovering near the lower trendline of the wedge.
Every time the price tested the lower trendline, it formed a new lower low but, the first time, it made a Lower high, hinting at a possible shift in momentum. This could signal the end of the downtrend and the beginning of a new uptrend.
A potential bullish outcome includes a new all-time high by the end of the year.
Invalidation: Daily close below the previous lower low.
What are your thoughts on BTC's current price action? Share your analysis in the comments!
GOLD BULLISH OUTLOOK The technical indicators suggest a strong buy signal, reflecting bullish sentiment. This is supported by moving averages, which also point towards buying opportunities.
Despite some fluctuations, with the day's range between $2,472.02 and $2,500.20, gold is showing resilience around the $2,496 level. The market is currently responding to economic data and broader market sentiment, which could keep gold prices buoyant in the short term.
Gold is likely to maintain its upward momentum today, potentially testing higher resistance levels. However, watch for any sudden changes due to economic news or shifts in market sentiment.
Oil slips again and Geopolitical tensions rise In my last post about Oil, I said that "Oil has a good possibility to get back to the range of 83.50 and 84.50", but also "Oil had broken 3 LH's that were created between July 22nd, 2024 and August 1st, 2024". I also mentioned that "we can see a pullback in the ranges of 78.84 and 77.12". In my outlook at the top of the week, I said that I was on the buyer's side until price showed otherwise. Now, price is showing signs of not continuing buys but settling into seller's territory.
In this latest out look, I'm going to give you my insight on where the market can possibly go going into next week. Around early 6AM, price broke the HL from last Friday that shot Oil up all the way to the 77.89 area on this past Monday. On Tuesday, price created the "M" formation signaling that sellers were now starting to step in that sent the market selling for the rest of the week. On today Friday, August 16th, Price hit a demand area that sent price shooting past the HL that i stated early in my typing. This could potentially mean that we are now in seller's territory for a minute depending on how the markets may move going into next week. We did leave a gap above after yesterday's sell movement that can send price back that way from Monday going into Tuesday depending on market conditions. I believe if price goes back that way it can be just to create a LH, IF price doesn't make buying structure. Right now my current outlook is bias until the market finds its footing from Monday-Tuesday.
Amid Oil selling from the technical side, Oil is facing rocky streets from fear of the United States economy as investors are getting ready to brace for interest rate cuts and other things going on in different countries. From Fed Powell, to Iran retaliation, and to China's weak economy, Oil is in some unpredictable territory especially with a lot of geopolitical tensions rising. Next week news combined with technicals will give a greater outlook on Oil.
BTC at Risk - Death Cross Signals Potential Drop!Welcome to another analysis, where I dive into the latest developments with BTC and explore the potential paths ahead.
I'm becoming increasingly bearish on BTC following the confirmation of a "Death Cross," where the 20- and 50-day moving averages have crossed below the 200-day moving average. This pattern is often seen as a strong indicator of a bearish reversal and the start of a new downward trend.
Historically, when we experienced a "Death Cross" in January 2022, BTC dropped from $50,000 to $15,000 per coin. While there have been instances where BTC recovered after a Death Cross, given the current pattern of lower highs and lower lows, coupled with the ongoing uncertainty and volatility in the stock market, I believe the bearish scenario is the most likely outcome.
Although I'm long-term bullish on BTC, it might be time for the cryptocurrency to take a breather, potentially allowing altcoins to take the spotlight!
Be sure to follow for more updates like this! I also post daily on X: @PuppyNakamoto.
Thanks for reading, and good luck with your trading!
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Be careful with BTC here..Even tho BTC is up 10% today I would'nt get my hopes all the way up just yet.
Something interesting is happening here.. History shows: every time 20 & 50MA line crossed the 200MA line to the downside in the past, BTC went into a full on bear market.
20 & 50 MA is still just above 200MA, but a cross to the downside could give confirmation we need for a bearish trend.
A good short opportunity in my opinion is therefore a trade with entry at the 200 day mooving average. Stop loss can be placed above 20 & 50 MA or above the decending channel top if you want to give the market more room..
It's a trade worth taking even tho we could break the ressistance and go into price discovery aswell.
A short term target would be a test of the support we had at 56 500 and a intra- day target would be at the low end of the channel at about 50-52k.
Make sure to follow me on X for more weekly updates: @PuppyNakamoto
Our wolf pack are hunting for profits, one block at a time..🐺
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USDCAD - Sell Stop on Break of Previous Higher LowTrade Analysis
Currently, there is a bearish divergence and 4-hour resistance indicating a potential trend reversal to bearish. Confirmation of this reversal will be evident if the price breaks the previous HL. As it breaks the HL, it will also break the support levels. Consequently, this support will turn into resistance and will be used as the SL.
Trade Plan
Entry: 1.37012
Stop Loss (SL): 1.37095
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 1.36929
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 1.36846