GBPUSD - Structure TradeIn about 11mins, I'll make a decision should I short GBPUSD again? Well, what would make me enter my trade?
Only 2 conditions I'm looking at,
1. The candle cannot break and close above 1.4172, not even 1pip.
2. A long shadow candle with the long wick above the candle body. Let's see how it rolls out.
Trendreversal
VIX - TREND REVERSAL IN PROGRESS !M1 : In an ongoing bearish downtrend channel.
Watch clouds resistance (31.20) & 23.6 % Fib ret(31.90) as pivot levels
on this long term time frame
W1 : Below the clouds and currently attempting to recover above
the Mid Bollinger Band with TS, slightly above it
A weekly closing level above those 2 levels, above mentioned, would be a first warning confirmation
of the trend reversal in progress.
D1 : Failure a couple days ago to confirm the clouds upside breakout triggered a
selling pressure which pushed down the VIX towards, both the bottom zone of the clouds
support and the Mid Bollinger Band which for the time being rejected the breakout attempt.
Watch the clouds as a good leading indicator.
H4 : Above the clouds which rejected twice a downside breakout attempt (potential double bottom,
trigger level @ 21.60. Target : 24.50, which would be above the cluster of MBB and KS and which would
open the door for higher level towards the former high @ 28.90 (intermediate targets @ 25.00 (61.8% fib ret ahead
of 26.70)
H1 : Entering within the clouds resistance area. Currently in a sideways channel . Watch breakout on one or on the other side.
M30 : Above the clouds
M15 : In a uptrend price action, above the clouds
M5 : Former clouds breakout, triggered a natural pullback towards the clouds which hold and triggered an ongoing upside move
CONCLUSION :
A SUSTAINABLE RECOVERY ABOVE THE 25.00 AREA ON A DAILY BASIS WOULD BE SEEN AS A VERY POSITIVE SIGNAL FOR FURTHER UPSIDE
AND ON THE DOWNSIDE A FAILURE TO STAY AND HOLD SUSTAINABLY ABOVE THE MID BOLLINGER BAND (@ 19.20) WOULD BE SEEN AS A
NEGATIVE SIGNAL CALLING FOR LOWER LEVELS
BTC - MULTI TIME FRAMES - AT A GLANCEM1 : Ongoing trend reversal in progress
W1 : Currently, below the Mid Bollinger Band
D1 : Below the clouds. Recovery attempt. Pivot level @ 45000 (D1 closing basis)
H4 : Potential double bottom in progress ! Trigger @ 45'850
H1 : Above cluster. Double bottom trigger level (45'850), also coincides with H1 clouds resistance area
M30 : Attempting to breakout the clouds resistance
M15 : Above the clouds. In a slightly uptrend channel and above cluster
M5 : In a sideways channel , watch the cluster ahead of clouds zone (45000-44000), as support
levels.
CONCLUSION :
ON A DAILY BASIS, A CLOSING LEVEL ABOVE 45'000 WOULD NEUTRALISE TEMPORARY THE ONGOING DOWNSIDE RISK
STILL IN PLACE,CALLING FOR LOWER LEVELS TOWARDS A RETEST OF FORMER LOW @ 42'100 AHEAD OF 34'372 AS A
FURTHER TARGET.
Have a nice trading day
All the best
Take care
And, please, if you find my work valuable for you, do not forget to like it and add me in your following list for those who did not do yet :-)
Thanks.
Ironman8848
AUDUSD risingAt the beginning of last week we saw a decline in AUDUSD.
It seems to be over, as we have a break above the trendline and previous peaks.
The downward trend of H1 ended with an inverted head and shoulders.
We now expect an upward movement to start, with the first resistance being 0.7811.
The ultimate goal is to reach 0.7887
Breakout and reversal on USDCADThis is the hourly chart on USDCAD.
Here we can see that price broke outside of this H1 trend and if it goes above 1,2137 we will have a reversal.
This will confirm an upside direction and market reaching 1,2240.
At the same time we have a reversal candle on a Daily chart which also confirms this direction.
On a Monthly chart you can see that price is currently bouncing of a serious support.
VIX - D1 - SOMETHING IS COOKING...AGAIN...M1 : Still in a broad bear trend channel, below the clouds
W1 : Same than M1, but some potential recovery signal in progress
D1 : In an uptrend channel, still below the clouds, yesterday's price action triggered
a long white candle (which is usually a bullish signal) but needs to be confirmed of course.
Looking ahead in case of a trend continuation on the upside, next significant resistance level
is @ 22.50 ahead of 24.30.
A sustainable move above 24.30 would be seen as a very bullish signal as at the same time
that would confirm also a breakout of the clouds in this time frame. Wait for D1 closing level.
H4 : Former downtrend line resistance broken, above the clouds.
H1 : Inside of the clouds, attempting to exit the clouds on the upside
M30 : Top of the clouds broken
M15 : Same picture than M30
M5 : Above the clouds
CONCLUSION :
TREND REVERSAL IN PROGRESS, WATCH CAREFULLY PRICE ACTION IN STARTING FROM M5 TOWARDS D1, W1 AND M1
Good luck
Have a nice trading day
All the best
Take care
And last but not least if you find my work valuable for your trading strategy, please do not forget to like it and add Ironman8848 for those who did not do yet :-)
Thanks a lot in advance
Best
Ironman8848
ETH - AT A GLANCE - TRADING IN THE ZONE...M1 : ATH so far @ 4208...
W1 : Weekly pivot level @ 3436
D1 : Yesterday's price action triggered a doji pattern = uncertainty & indecision
First significant support @ 3674 ahead of more important @ 3344
H4 : Mid Bollinger in progress to be broken (wait for next H4 closing for validation or invalidation !)
H1: Ongoing bearish trend still inside the clouds which has already briefly been broken a couple of hours ago.
Looks like a retest of the former low @ 3650 should be seen soon.
M30 : Pullback failure to recover above the clouds triggered another selling wave pressure which pushed
ETH below the clouds again
M15 : Same than M30, watch now the clouds as first resistance area in this time frame
M5 : Same than M15, watch the clouds
CONCLUSION :
SWITCH FROM A BULLISH TREND TO A BEARISH ONE ! I warned you May 9th, to ; "Not to be too greedy" :-)
Watch carefully ongoing price action to detect early signal of potential bullish divergences and
do not forget watch the clouds and MBB as leading indicators...
All the best and take care
Have a nice trading day
BTC - AT A GLANCE - TRADING IN THE ZONE...M1 : Trend reversal in progress. Pivot level in this time frame @ 52'021
W1 : Roughly in the middle of an ongoing uptrend channel. Watch MBB as
first significant support level
D1 : Failure to recover above the clouds and above the psychological level
of 60'000 (59603 high !) has been confirmed by two black candles which are followed today
by another black candle in progress.Watch bottom of the clouds as a pivot point. Wait for D1 closing.
H4 : Last closing period inside the clouds but ongoing period is showing a potential
breakout of this important support.
First support is @ 53500 (Former low) then 53303 ahead of 51816; below psychological support
level @ 50'000 ahead of 49'700 (78.6% Fib ret)
H1 : Below the clouds and below MBB (low so far being 53'500) likely to be tested soon)
M30 : Same than H1, watch MBB which is now the first resistance level to break in order to
neutralise the ongoing bearish pressure
M15 : Watch the clouds resistance around the 56'000 area.
M5 : Same than M15 first significant resistance to break is the clouds resistance zone 55600-56000
CONCLUSION :
A sustainable recovery above 56'000 would temporary neutralise the ongoing selling pressure, calling for
lower levels
Breakout and reversal on GBPNZDIn April we saw a clear downtrend on GBPNZD.
The pair couldn't make another lower low and it broke out.
This gives us a trend reversal opportunities.
Today is a very important day for the GBP due to BOE interest rate decision as well as the elections in Scotland.
That means we will see big moves!
If you don't want to take on any risk, then wait for a higher high!
But if you're looking for a greater risk to reward ratio, then make sure to check out this opportunity.
AUDUSD Ready to Complete a Major Head and Shoulders Pattern The AUDUSD pair looks poised to complete a major Head and Shoulders, which is a type of pattern that is typically taken to signify probable bearish reversals in the wake of the May meeting of RBA's Governing Board.
The AUDUSD has been developing the aforementioned Head and Shoulders pattern for quite some time now, and the pair is now seemingly finally ready with the establishment of the Right Shoulder. This signifies a likely breakdown below the neckline of the pattern.
Interestingly enough, the latter coincides with the 38.2 per cent Fibonacci retracement level at 0.76201, a breakdown below which would make it even more decisive.
Accordingly, the temporary consolidation of the price action below the 23.6 per cent Fibonacci at 0.77690, which roughly outlines the upper boundary of the Right Shoulder, represents a strong indication that the direction of the price is indeed ready to reverse.
First, the price would have to penetrate below the 50-day MA (in green) and the 100-day MA (in blue) before it gets ready to test the 38.2 per cent Fibonacci. Afterwards, the new downtrend would be ready to attempt diving towards the next psychological target - the 61.8 per cent Fibonacci at 0.73794.
The market has been range-trading since the 26th of February, as illustrated by the ADX indicator, which confirms that the preceding uptrend is now completed. Given the rising selling pressure depicted on the Stochastic RSI, a breakdown below the H&S now seems even more likely.
Apple, Trend reversal confirmed. Its time to SAVE PROFITS !Trend reversal eventually happened.
A trade below 131.30 which was the last low confirmed the trend reversal in Apple. I warned in my publication on 9 Apr titled " Apple to resume bearish trend" that apple will face problems with 0.618 and 0.786 Fibo Retracemnet resistances and now it came true.
Although that wave count may need some updates , Apple's last high(137.07) at least remains for several days.
Also note the nice divergence at the top between price and stochastic indicator which is a strong warning for a strong decline.
My recommendation:
If you still doubt about apple's trend reversal , use Multi Unit Trade Strategy and save some profits. you will not regret.
Good luck !
BTC - H1 - BEARISH DIVERGENCE ON RSI !H1 : Last long white candle triggered a RSI BEARISH DIVERGENCE
on a "overbought" zone !
Watch upcoming price action very carefully and first support to look
at is the ongoing short term uptrend support line , currently @ 57'500, which
also coincides with the Tenkan-Sen !
A failure to hold above this area would open for the following targets :
S1 : 57'092
S2 : 56'500 (VERY IMPORTANT)
S3 : 55'464
S4 : 54'735
and the clouds support area.
On the upside, a recovery above the former high @ 58'549 would put the focus on the
psychological level of 60'000 ahead of 61'066 (78.6% Fib ret)
M15 : On this very short term picture, the situation is pretty clear, a failure to hold
above the CLUSTER (Tenkan-Sen, Mid Bollinger Band and Kijun-Sen) would confirm a top in place
calling for lower levels.
Please note that the short term uptrend support line coincides with the top of the clouds support
in this time frame.
Clouds a day, clouds always :-)
Have a nice trading day
All the best and take care
Kind regards
Ironman8848
US GOV BONDS 10 YR YIELD - M1/W1/D1 - POINTING TO THE SOUTHM1 : After having nearly reached the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the 3.25% to 0.3620 %
move, high being 1.7740 % !, the ongoing current monthly price action is showing a potential
trend reversal in progress, which could trigger, tomorrow, on a monthly closing level, a "DARK CLOUD
COVER" (Wait for confirmation)
W1 : Double top price action in progress with its trigger level @ 1.5890 which has already be broken
several times so far but not confirmed yet !
A breakout confirmation of that level (1.5890 %), on a weekly closing level, would give a technical target of 1.4040 %.
Important to note that the level of D1 Mid Bollinger Band i@ 1.3490 % and a move below that level
would be the second validation signal of this double top formation.
VERY STRONG SUPPORT ZONE BELOW BEING THE CLOUDS AREA !!!
D1 : Despite the yesterday's breakout attempt, the ongoing downtrend (in yield) price action is still, for the time being, intact, calling
if 1.5890 is broken,for the target above mentioned of 1.4040 %.
ALSO VERY IMPORTANT TO NOTE THAT THE LEVEL OF THE DOUBLE TOP TARGET AT 1.4040 % COINCIDES WITH THE D1 BOTTOM CLOUDS SUPPORT
LEVEL !!!
On the upside, the ongoing downtrend resistance line should be seen as the first important level to break and this on a D1 closing basis !
In case of a confirmation of this breakout, we may see a retest of former high 1.70-1.77 which should, if seen provide, again, good selling (yield) opportunities.
Watch intraday shorter time frames, (H4,H1 and M15) to get intermediate signal (s), such as divergence (s) which would allow you to adapt your trading plan
in acting accordingly.
Have a nice trading day.
All the best, take care.
And last but not least, if you find my technical analysis valuable for your trading, please do not forget to like it and if not done yet add me on your following list.
Ironman8848 :-)
BTC - H1/M15 - TRADING IN THE ZONE - WATCH THE CLOUDS !H1 : Closing price of the last H1 candle was below the Mid Bollinger Band and outside of the
Former ongoing uptrend channel.
Watch pullback which will validate if it failed to reenter in the former uptrend channel or invalidate in case of a return in this uptrend channel.
A confirmation of this breakout (expected) would put the focus on the 54’567 level and then
Towards the clouds support level, ranging from between the 23.6 % and the 50% Fib ret, respectively 53’730 and 51’400)
A successful pullback will support the former ongoing bullish price action within the former uptrend channel opening the door for higher levels.
M15 : Currently clouds support zone breakout in progress !!!
A failure to stay and hold above the clouds would open the door for targets mentioned in H1
Ironman8848
USDJPY breakoutPrice broke out of the H1 downtrend on USDJPY!
Last week we saw market reaching the 107,45 and it then quickly rose back up.
This week the upside move continues and now we have a higher low and a higher high.
This kind of price action alongside the downtrend breakout gives us a signal that we should see an upside continuation.
We could expect price reaching next levels of resistance at:
108,72
109,39
Price is also at a Daily support which is an extra confirmation!
BTCUSDT | 4H Time Frame | 27 April 21Hi dear followers,
After downtrend we saw from Bitcoin, Important descending trend-line Which was a hinder of trend reversal was broke.
Now this is my analyze on BTC, Hope to be useful. Thanks for your attention and don't forget to Like Analysis.
ATCRYPTO ANALYTICAL TEAM
HBB **HIGH ALERT** LOW FLOAT - POSSIBLE FULL TREND REVERSALAll,
We could have a full trend reversal for many reasons.
EPS growth
Quarterly profit margin Q/Q increase
Outstanding shares: 13.7M
Float Shares: 5.24M
Institutional Shares: 51%
Insider Shares: 36%
3/24/25 "law firm investigates", but in reality what stock doesn't have these. Doesn't seem serious price definitely does not reflect it being serious.
Wyckoff Accumulation also appearing in price action now As shared earlier, the RSI(!) showed a Wyckoff Accumulation pattern.
After recent price action, it seems that also the PA is following along.
Major FA-events occured lately, and a good subscription could force a "buy the rumor, sell the news event", driving prices back down to the huge volume-defined base - holding this area, would strongly increase the theory of the bottom being in, after a semi-long period of accumulation.
Sentiment is slowly turning positive, many are still doubtful, so a surge before the subscription period ends, could cause some Fomo-buys, who will soon after provide liquidity as they panic sell (unknowingly) at a possible Wyckoff Test area after a Spring.
Still very new into Wyckoff, so take all this with a grain of salt.
SCETH Atlantis discovered reversal of trend going UP!I call this atlantis its the opposite of a UFO when a body of candles is left with gaps on the left and right the result is a reverse in trend.
SCETH going up.
by iCantw84it