On-Balance Volume | How to Anticipate Trend Reverse?Hello, dear subscribers!
Today we have a very useful information about the potential trend reverse anticipation and trend's strength measurement. On-balance volume (OBV) is one of the most powerful indicator for these purposes. The rising OBV means that the bulls control the market, falling OBV means the bearish pressure, OBV on the sideways means the equal strength of the bulls and bears.
Here are 9 combinations of the price action and the OBV which can help you to forecast the future trend.
1.Price Uptrend + OBV Uptrend
It means that the uptrend is strong and confirmed by the volume. There is a high probability of the uptrend continuation.
2.Price Uptrend + OBV Sideways
The uptrend is not so strong as in the previous point, but bears are not so strong to reverse it.
3.Price Uptrend + OBV Downtrend
There is a sign of the potential reverse to the downtrend, be careful.
4.Price Downtrend + OBV Uptrend
There is a sign of the potential price trend reverse from downtrend to uptrend.
5.Price Downtrend + OBV Sideways
Here is the sign of weakness of the uptrend, but the bulls still have not enough power to reverse the trend.
6.Price Downtrend + OBV Downtrend
It means that the downtrend is strong and there is no potential reverse anticipated.
7.Price Sideways + OBV Uptrend
Bulls accumulates the power to reverse the sideways to the uptrend. This is the bullish sign.
8.Price Sideways + OBV Sideways
This is indefinite situation. Trade execution is not recommended.
9.Price Sideways + OBV Downtrend
Here is the sign of the potential downtrend beginning.
DISCLAMER: Information is provided only for educational purposes. Do your own study before taking any actions or decisions.
Trendreverse
Short term reversal - RSI bearish divergence and top of the bandThe title says it all. Looking for a short term reversal here, based on being oversold with divergence as well as at the top of the bolinger band.
Divergence could be more pronounced and still has the risk of being early but looks like a decent setup.
Agrello: Potential Buy Trading (DLT)
RISK: Very High
Agrello is a plug-in platform with an Agrello interface that allows users to create and manage agreements based on smart contracts that are legally binding, like traditional contracts.
Exchanges:Binance, Mercatox, HitBTC, YoBit
Volume : 24h Binance:DLT/BTC $6,769,194
ICO Info:
ICO Start :14 Jul 2017
ICO End :14 Aug 2017
$30,100,000
OF
$43,240,000 (70%)
ICO Token Price: 1 DLT = 0.43 USD (0.00010000 BTC)
KYC No
Registration Country : Estonia
Source: ICORATING,ICODROPS
Disclaimer:
Always do your own research !
We are not registered or licensed to provide investing advice or anything of an advisory or consultancy nature.
Historical Average Bear Market Studies.. Applied To Bitcoin.Quite a few things going on within this chart, but what I'm trying to convey is actually very simple.
The chart is based off a few key models which have been used with tremendous accuracy for over a century.
Model 1) Bear markets will usually last about 18 months in duration.
Model 2) Bear markets will usually last about 1/3 as long as the previous bull.
Model 3) Average Model 1 and Model 2.
Blue Vertical Line: 18 Month Marker
.. Based on the historical average duration of bear markets.
Red Vertical Line: Bull Run Divided By 3
.. Based on the notion that a bear market will typically last
about 1/3 as long as the previous bull market. Historically
this is very accurate.
Yellow Vertical Line: Average of Both Bear Market Studies
.. Averaging both studies gives us a mean and a "prime"
timing window to hunt investment grade opportunities.
Purple Vertical Rectangle: The Window To Focus In On
... If you're long term bullish on this asset.
Key points here:
1) We've already retraced well beyond 78.6% of the entire range from bottom to top (from $109 to $19,800) - What I would consider Investment Grade location.
2) If history tends to repeat itself or rhyme... we're in the sweet spot in terms of TIMING a purchase, being right in between both of our historically accurate bear market studies.
3) Comparing this pice action to the 2015 bear market, we're actually in about the exact same location as we were in 2015 when the market bottomed. Right in between 78.6 retracement and 88.6% retracement . Anecdotal evidence we may be bottoming now.
4) "Buy When It Snows, Sell When It Goes" - Old adage in the stock market which has merit. Should you base your investment decisions based entirely off a saying on wall street? Absolutely not. But here we are coming out of the winter and in to crypto's favorite time of the year. Seasonality wise, we consistently see the market lift in the spring and in to the summer.
5) Internally - **NOT shown on this chart for the sake of keeping it clean and readable.
*Volume breakout shown on OBV.
*Looong double momentum divergence confirmed, shown in the MACD.
*Embedded momentum oscilator trying to break out of oversold. I use a modified W%R, but something more common like RSI or stochastics would give you the same reading.
*Overall the Weekly internals look massively bullish. Just keep in mind this is a WEEKLY chart. Each candle takes a week to print. So this DOES NOT MEAN that you can expect upward movement from this point forward. In many cases after the Weekly charts start showing buy signals, it can easily take a month before any significant price movement occurs. So be weary of the timeframe I'm referring to.
6) Final confirmation for me is a weekly close above $4040.99. At this point I'm not "betting the farm," but I will be exchanging a considerable amount of USD holdings back in to Bitcoin.