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RSI: A simple method to trade trends and rangesI write this tiny article to share the basics or my use of ths RSI indicator, coupled to supports and resistances levels, as well as trend lines (or any indicator you want to use as SUP/RES (moving averages, vwap ...)) This use implies a bit of practice in spotting divergences, but let's be honest, many of them appear on previous supports or resistances, just look at these levels and you can be sure you'll find them if a reversal is about to occur.) The second specificity is the use of a moving average applied to the RSI (in my exmaple, a 50 periods EMA) I developped my own RSI+MovingAverage script, but I'm sure you can find similar scripts that have already been shared within the community, thats why I don't publish it for now. Anyway, feel free to ask if you're interested in my script, it's obviously free. Lets consider two different contexts: Trends (Bullish/Bearish) Ranges In trends , there are two things to take into consideration. Let's explain what we need to work on a bullish trend: - If the price is on an interesting level (moving average, trend line, support), you can try to long upon the RSI crosses its moving average, indicating the potential end of the current retracement (even better if a bullish divergence appears close to this price) - If the price gets close to a resistance, and moreover if a bearish divergence appears on the RSI, you can consider it as a good exit price, or wait for the next retracement in order to pyramide your trade (depending on your approach). In a bearish trend, you obviously need to do the exact opposite, wait for retracements (flags or other), and find bearish divergences OR sell when the RSI is clearly crossing down its moving average. Of course you can wait for the RSI crossing above/under its moving average to get another confirmation that the movement is starting. You can see a few examples on the following screen In ranges , it's even simpler. Once you found your support and resistance levels (it can be old levels that have already generated good reactions) all you need is to spot bearish divergences on the resistance, and bullish divergence on the support. I personally like to cut at least a part of my position when we reach 50% of the range, which can be often considered as a support/resistance. It's totally up to you to exit on this point or not, depending on your preferences (simple scalping, anticipations of a range breakout to make a new trend, lower timeframe trend following, etc...) Range example: Additional notes When you trade a divergence, try to always open your position when the RSI rebounds on the divergence line, and not after, remember that opportunities are everywhere, don't mind if you missed the last one, don't enter too late in a movement. Even if a range is a global horizontal movement, it's still composed of alternations of bullish and bearish movements between the same supports and resistances, therefore, you're of course able to trade it as trends on lower timeframes Don't forget to look at candles, which can also give you strong signals on important levels, on current or lower/higher timeframes. The price is always the key Of course, think about the DOW theory.
Education
by noop-noop
2
BTC BULLS ARE NOT DEAD YET BUT THEY WLL GET A BIGGER REJECTION The entire Crypto market crashed today and Bitcoin Dump to 10k to hit my Nov prediction support of 42k to 38k support. This is a video update of that BTC dump prediction and here is why a bounce is likely before more dump. A full technical analysis review on today's BTC price dump with Bitcoin Gorilla. In my last video analysis on 15 Nov 2021, I talked about two important support 42k to 38k and 32k to 28k range. the first support got hit this morning and is currently bouncing but there will be a retest of this support range before buyers can confidently bounce good but I don't expect a new ATH at this point instead a stronger rejection is likely.
by MachiavelliTrader
GoPro - Grab yourself a HERO10 with the PROFITSI read a post on tradingview talking about gopro awhile back, and I read a lot of good things. So much so, that I bought two gopro's for myself. The software was a little buggy, and the camera would overheat sometimes, but wow, it took some incredible shots. The motion stabilization technology they have makes for some insane shots. I've been watching this stock for awhile and I think it's gearing up for another run-up. I've marked some key prices to watch for, but I really think we'll see this stock around $17 in Feb/March. I couldn't figure out how to explain what I was seeing in words, so I drew it out on the chart. Anyone else seeing this possible run-up for gopro?? I think I'm getting ready to grab some options.
NASDAQ:GPROLong
by nicktussing77
2
CHFJPY ARE WE TRAPPED Observation ; from what we see the price is biased on sells on the 4 HR time frame . this is clear as we are biased on our sells Observation 2 ; we clearly can see the price action is reacting on the dynamic resistance zone . this is also a good sign that we are still biased on our sells as we see large amounts of wick around that zone . consequently as a trading rule always look on the left as we use that data to help us solidify our point of trade entries . 3rd observation we do notice that it was a previous resistance zone .On the bottom side we do notice the presence of triple bottom along our support zone . currently it is clear that our price action is trapped . What next ? Our best move is to wait the price to show signs of breaking out of this particular zone so that we have a concise biasness on the direction . but here is the catch we will keep the 4HRS timeframe to watch the close of the candles with an aim of catching one that closes out of this zone . the we can go to the lower time frames for a clear entry .
by DIGITALASSETSINC
$NFLX Trend and Fibonacci Extension $NFLX has been trading in this range on the 4 hour chart for over a month. OBV looks good and MACD looks like its about to turn bullish. the 5 and 9 mas seem to be holding it up as well. If it can break my fib level at 661.91 tomorrow, I believe it can get to or near the next level at 673.11. If it can break my fib level, I will take a high risk daytrade on the $665 calls expiration 11/12. This could also be a good opportunity to take a longer position if the market is bullish.
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by JamesLegends
1
How Do You Build A Position With Pyramiding?As a trader, it’s a general rule of thumb that we should always be looking to maximise potential returns (per unit of risk) with each transaction. We should always be looking to squeeze as much out of the market as we can. There are times when this can occur by simply letting the trade run its course. However, sometimes market conditions align perfectly for savvy traders to “press the trade” or Pyramiding into the trade. Don’t press your luck; press the trade instead! Attempting multiple entries in the direction of a trend is one strategy savvy traders use in an attempt to maximise return (otherwise known as Pyramiding). The problem with this tactic is that while it may increase the potential reward, having a larger position in the market also opens you up to more risk. As a trader, you need to find the perfect balance of pressing the trade while not pressing your luck. There are a few ways to achieve this: If the market is moving at a snail’s pace, and not much movement has been made from the initial entry, any additional entry should be minor. If, however, a decent distance has been travelled, a trailing stop will secure more profit, and any additional entry can be larger. In essence, any additional position sizes are partly dependent on the distance between the initial entry position to stop loss. Ensure you have a strong driver that pushes prices along. Simply pressing trades at random is not good risk management. Reduce risk on entry by only adding additional positions when the stop loss on the first position can be trailed. Pick your battles carefully when Pyramiding You may find that as time wears on, you’re left with a large portion (>2% of total equity) in a single trade. The tactic of adding exposure will generally make for a “short” pyramid, which typically won’t grow over 2.5% of overall equity. This Pyramiding tactic ensures you’re exposed to additional upside while minimising downside to a level with which you’re comfortable. Here are a few things to be wary of: Keep an eye out for drivers that influence market psychology: This is when momentum and volatility will be high, allowing you to pyramid into a move more easily. For the technical traders, you may prefer to avoid day-to-day shifts by taking in a broader market view. Diversify: as with any investment, don’t place all your eggs in one basket. Diversification is key to keeping overall risk low. Have strict risk limits in place: With 2.5% in one pyramid, another 2.5% in another – next thing you know, your overall portfolio heat is close to 10%. That’s a high amount of risk to carry around with you. Consider minimising position sizes of certain trades to reduce overall risk. Consistency is key with position sizes: If your initial entry is $100k and your second is $300k, you’re off to a lousy start in building your pyramid. Final Thoughts on Pyramiding Remember always to start small and slowly. There’s no need to rush in. Experiment with pyramiding until you’re comfortable with your approach. Always remember the two key elements to consider: Resist the temptation to take profit early when the opportunity arises. Sometimes it’s best to sit on an existing trade. Be wary of adding to your trade at “worse” levels. Trends will always end at a certain point, so you don’t want to be pyramiding into an extended, ongoing trend. Look for new trends to pyramid in, which will reduce your overall risk.
TVC:GOLDEducation
by BlackBull_Markets
2
My 8OC trend indicator on MSFT dailyFor many years traders have had a love-hate relationship with closing based moving averages. Such crossovers tend to be extremely inaccurate, frequently getting whipsawed and achieving low profits. This approach tends to be more stable particularly in longer time frames. Of course it also requires a stop, profit target, and profit maximizing strategy. If this interests you please let me know and I'll provide more granularity and detail RBT
NASDAQ:MSFT
by rulesbasedtrader
1
Chart of the Day: Percentage of Stocks Above the 50-Day AverageThe pressure on the market is mostly down. The number of stocks above the 50-day Average is moving downwards and that shows weakness. At the same time, it can act as a contrarian indicator. Do you think the market will go further downwards before it finds a bottom? I appreciate if you write in the comments all your questions and instruments which you would like to see analyzed. Thanks for pushing the like button, write your comment, and share with your friends. I would like to thank in you for all your support. P.S. It's important that you make your own analysis and trade within your risk parameters.
INDEX:MMFI
by Stefan_Gauci
S&P Likely Road ForwardNothing to write, the price was wedging and broke lower, no surprise. Hopefully it corrects more now and we can kill some of the excesses in price and washout the speculation now and not later from higher cliffs. Likely Mid to high 4200's, a bit less likely is close to 4000 and even less likely but still possible and my favorite scenario is 3700 - 3900. Before ultimately bottoming to start the next extended cycle higher into 5000's+ over the next 3 - 5 years. Likely to end year close to 4500 or 4600. Look for a slow and steady decrease in the standard deviation day to day in prices. High vol days should be behind us for a while beginning fairly soon or possibly this may already be under way.
SP:SPX
by SeanBronato