BITCOIN Trending Higher - Will Buyers Push Toward $104,550?COINBASE:BTCUSD has broken above a key resistance zone and is now pulling back for a potential retest. This area previously acted as resistance and may now serve as support, aligning with a potential bullish continuation.
If buyers confirm support at this level, the price is likely to move upward toward the $104,550 level, which serves as a logical target for this setup. Conversely, a failure to hold support could signal a potential bearish shift.
Traders should monitor for bullish confirmation signals, such as bullish engulfing candles, strong wicks rejecting the support zone, or increased buying volume, before considering long positions.
Let me know your thoughts or any additional insights you might have!
Trendtrading
Gold Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring XAUUSD for a buying opportunity around 3300 zone, Gold was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 3300 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Looking to short CL to continue lowerCL is making a corrective move higher before moving down to the ultimate target of last Daily structure leg down. It retraced to Daily bearish Fair Value Gaps (internal range liquidity zones) which should act as resistance. 15M bearish structure is in Extreme premium.
I'm looking for CL to break down bullish corrective structure on 5M chart and start a final move down.
CONFUSION SETS IN.....Hello! You are looking at a 6 hour chart, here.
Starting out, we can see the 100 day moving average starting to ascend above the 14 day moving average, which indicates bearish momentum is building!
On the other hand, we can also see what appears to be a bullish pennant forming, which indicates bullish momentum to the upside.
As a disclaimer, I have not taken into account volume or any oscillators, but it appears this pair will be bullish for the short term, but bearish in the long term.
Depending on whether you are a long term or short term trader, I personally like what I am seeing from this 6 hour chart! Let me know if this was helpful for you! I love to read comments. Thank you for reading. Trade wisely.
Candlestick Patterns + Trend and Momentum: A Perfect CombinationCandlestick patterns provide valuable insights into price action, showing potential reversals, continuations, or market indecision. However, to significantly improve their effectiveness, combining candlestick analysis with trend and momentum indicators is essential. Here’s how you can use these combinations to trade with more confidence and accuracy.
1. Why Candlestick Patterns Matter
Candlestick patterns visually represent traders’ psychology through price movements, including four key prices: Open, Close, High, and Low. Some of the most common and useful patterns include:
Doji: Indicates market indecision and potential reversals.
Hammer & Hanging Man: Signals possible trend reversals at support or resistance.
Engulfing Pattern: Often marks the beginning of a significant reversal.
Morning/Evening Star: Combination patterns that strongly suggest a trend reversal.
2. Adding Trend and Momentum Indicators
Candlestick patterns alone might lead to false signals or confusion. By pairing them with other technical tools, such as moving averages, RSI (Relative Strength Index), or MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence), you gain crucial context to confirm the reliability of the patterns.
Here’s how:
Trend Alignment:
Using moving averages, such as the 20 or 50-period EMA, helps confirm whether a bullish candlestick pattern appears in an uptrend (strengthening the signal) or countertrend (potentially weaker signal).
Momentum Confirmation:
Oscillators like the RSI or MACD can confirm the underlying momentum behind a candlestick pattern. For instance, a bullish engulfing pattern becomes more reliable if it coincides with RSI moving upward from oversold territory or MACD showing a bullish crossover.
Volume Analysis:
Higher volume on the candle that forms the pattern typically confirms increased market interest and strengthens the validity of the signal.
3. Practical Example: Bullish Engulfing + RSI
Imagine you spot a bullish engulfing pattern forming at a clear support level after a downtrend:
Step 1: Identify the Pattern: Confirm the bullish engulfing visually.
Step 2: Check RSI: Ensure RSI is below 30 or rising, signaling oversold conditions and potential bullish momentum.
4. Why This Approach Works
Enhanced Accuracy: Combining candlestick signals with trend and momentum indicators increases signal reliability.
Improved Risk Management: Clearer signals mean more confident entries and better-defined stop-loss levels.
Reduces False Signals: Multiple confirmations reduce the risk of false breakouts or reversals.
5. Final Tips
Always look for multiple confirmations (trend, momentum, volume) before making trade decisions based solely on candlestick patterns.
Be patient—waiting for full confirmation can help avoid premature trades.
Regularly backtest and practice recognizing these combined signals to strengthen your trading strategy.
EURJPY strong bearish expectations
OANDA:EURJPY strong bullish expectations i am have, but things will not go like expected..
Currently price in DESCENDING CHANNEL, in moment we are have break of same, but price is make revers in zone and pushing now bearish.
Here now exepcting fall till trend line.
SUP zone: 163.000
RES ozne: 159.500, 158.500
Nasdaq - Printing The Obvious Bottom!Nasdaq ( TVC:NDQ ) already finished the correction:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After we witnessed a minor "crash" of about -25% over the past couple of weeks, the bottom might be in on the Nasdaq. We simply saw another very bullish all time high break and retest and depite the possibility of a second retest, I am (still) extremely bullish at these levels.
Levels to watch: $17.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
How To Customize The 1 Minute Scalping IndicatorThis tutorial explains each setting of the 1 Minute Scalping Indicator in detail so you understand exactly how to adjust your settings to get the results you would like from the indicator.
Here is a list of the details we discuss:
How to fix loading errors
Tooltips that explain each setting for your reference
Trade modes and how they are affected by other settings
Average candle size rejection parameters
Higher timeframe candle filters, settings and levels
External indicator trend filtering capabilities and how to set them up correctly
Stoploss and take profit calculations and settings you can adjust
Signal arrow customization options
Candle coloring adjustments
Visual/styling options
Make sure to watch the whole video so you fully understand how each setting affects the indicator for best results.
How To Filter Signals On The 1 Minute Scalping IndicatorThis tutorial shows you how to use external indicators to filter out signals on the 1 Minute Scalping Indicator so that you only get signals that are in the direction of the trend.
Step By Step Process:
1. Pick an external indicator that provides an output value of 1 for bullish, -1 for bearish or 0 for neutral and add it to your chart. We have multiple indicators that can do this, but you can also customize your own indicators to provide this value and use that to filter out signals.
2. Set your desired trend parameters on your external indicator and make sure that indicator is on the same chart as the 1 Minute Scalping Indicator.
3. Go to the indicator settings for the 1 Minute Scalping Indicator and turn on one of the 3 available External Indicator Filters. Then from the dropdown menu, select the external indicator you want to use and make sure to choose the output value that gives the 1, -1 or 0 output for trends. Our indicators will have an output titled "Trend Direction To Send To External Indicators" to make that value easy to find in the dropdown menus.
That's it! Let the 1 Minute Scalping Indicator reload with the external indicator trend values and it will only show buy signals during bullish trends, only show sell signals during bearish trends or no signals during neutral markets. Make sure to back test your setup until you find the best external indicators and settings to use that work best for your trading style and then apply that setup to any chart you would like.
Here is the code you can use to add a trend value to your own custom indicators and send it to the 1 Minute Scalping Indicator:
trendDirection = 0
if close > ema1
trendDirection := 1
else if close < ema1
trendDirection := -1
else
trendDirection := 0
plot(trendDirection, title="Trend Direction To Send To External Indicators", color=#00000000, display=display.data_window)
Change the (close > ema1) and (close < ema1) to use your own variables from within your script.
GBPAUD bearish view for new week
OANDA:GBPAUD from first analysis from 26.Mart we are folow situation, i am make updates, we are not have bearish trend confirmation, price is make new bullish push on start of April.
Currently from start of last week price is start showing bearish signs. We have now 4h rectangle pattern visible, from here in new week expecting still bearish continuation.
SUP zone: 2.12000
RES zone: 2.04000, 2.00500
Bitcoin AnalysisBitcoin is currently moving within a defined price channel, and at the moment, it is trading near the top (resistance) of the channel.
This area often acts as a supply zone, where sellers tend to step in. Therefore, it may be a good opportunity to consider a short position, especially if it's supported by confirmation signals like divergence, reversal candlestick patterns, or other technical resistances.
As always, don’t forget to apply proper risk management, set your Take Profit levels, and consider Risk-Free strategies in case the market turns unexpectedly — especially in the high-volatility crypto environment.
Crucial Zone Ahead: Will TAO Confirm a Bullish Reversal? TAO/USDT Daily Chart Analysis
Trend Line Breakout:
The chart shows a successful breakout above a long-term descending trend line, indicating a potential shift in momentum from bearish to bullish.
Fakeout Rejection:
A previous attempt to break above the trend line resulted in a fakeout and strong rejection, but this recent move looks more decisive.
Key Resistance Cleared:
The price has clearly broken above a key resistance level, suggesting renewed buying pressure. However, confirmation is still needed.
Current Price Action:
Price is now hovering above the trend line and testing the local resistance zone.
Watch for a breakout confirmation and retest of the marked zone (approx. $265–$275) to validate further upside movement.
Next Targets:
If the breakout holds, potential upside targets could be the previous high resistance zones between $305–$335.
📌 Strategy Tip:
Wait for a daily candle close above the marked zone for confirmation. If it fails, we could see a pullback into the local support range near $270–$290
EURJPY still bullish for expect
OANDA:EURJPY strong bullish push we are have on start of month, thoughts are strong bullish volume is gathered and the we can see still here bullish trend.
Currently price is in ASCENDING CHANNEL, expecting to see break of same and new bullish push.
SUP zone: 158.500
RES zone: 164.500
Dovish ECB Meets Technical Confluence – EUR/USD at Make-or-BreakEUR/USD has been respecting a clear bearish trend structure, consistently forming lower highs and lower lows across the lower timeframes. The pair is currently in a corrective phase, retracing toward the 1.13600 zone, a critical area where the descending trendline, horizontal resistance, and prior support converge. This level could serve as a strong turning point.
Fundamentally, the euro remains under pressure as markets anticipate a dovish stance from the ECB amid subdued inflation and softening economic data. Meanwhile we should be very cautious about the dollar with the very mixed war tariffs.
A rejection at this level with confirming bearish price action could open the door for a fresh leg lower in line with the prevailing trend. I’m closely monitoring candlestick behavior and momentum signals around 1.13600 for a potential short setup.
Mastering Volatile Markets: Why the Trend is Your Best Friend█ Mastering Volatile Markets Part 4: Why the Trend is Your Best Friend
In Part 1 , we covered reducing position size.
In Part 2 , we explored liquidity and execution strategies.
In Part 3 , we discussed the power of patience over FOMO.
Now,we're diving into one of the most important principles of all — especially in volatile, fast-moving markets: Follow the Trend. Trust the Trend. Trade With the Trend.
In wild markets like these, everything changes quickly. Indicators print overbought or oversold conditions well before the market even thinks about reversing.
Divergences can keep stacking up while the price continues trending for another 300, 500, or even 1000 points. Why? Volatility + Liquidity conditions = Extended trending behavior.
When liquidity is thin, and volatility is high, strong trends tend to last longer than usual:
Breakouts run further.
Breakdowns fall deeper.
And counter-trend trades? They're often a fast ticket to losses.
█ What Pro Traders Know Better Than Anyone:
In volatile markets, trend-following isn't optional — it's survival.
But wait, it is obvious that trends aren't perfect straight lines. So how can one even realistically “follow” a trend, especially in volatile markets.
Well, the key is to expect the unexpected. Experienced traders trade logically, we expect pullbacks, fakeouts, stop hunts, snapbacks and/or channel breaks. In fact, we prepare for them.
It is detrimental to assume the trend is over just because of these moves. Most of these are liquidity traps, not real reversals.
█ Here's What Pro Traders Do Differently:
⚪ They Identify the Core Trend Direction
Pro traders use price structure, trendlines, moving averages, VWAP , or higher timeframe levels to identify the trend direction. Once identified, every trade respects the trend.
Let me explain with an example.
→ Uptrend Identification:
Say you notice that the price of Gold (XAUUSD) has been consistently making higher highs and higher lows. What should you do?
You use the 100-period moving average (MA) and see that price is staying above it, indicating an uptrend. You wait for price to pull back to the MA, giving you a low-risk entry to join the uptrend rather than chasing the trend.
→ Downtrend Identification:
In a downtrend, USD/JPY keeps making lower highs and lower lows. You observe the 100-period moving average pointing down. This is your cue to look for short entries , avoiding countertrend buys that could trap you.
⚪ They ONLY Look for Entries at Key Trend Channel Levels
Professional traders don’t chase the price or try to catch every move. Instead, they patiently wait for price to return to key areas within a well-defined trend channel , either the upper boundary (in a downtrend) or the lower boundary (in an uptrend).
→ In an uptrend:
Pro traders draw a trend channel based on the price move. When price pulls back to the lower boundary of the channel (often aligning with demand zones), they start looking for long entries, aiming to trade with the trend and target a new high.
→ In a downtrend:
The same logic applies, but in reverse. Price pulls back to the upper boundary of the channel (supply area), offering a clean short opportunity to continue with the trend and target a new low.
But here’s what separates pros from amateurs:
→ They expect fakeouts, spikes , and temporary breaks beyond the trend channel — especially in volatile conditions.
→ They don’t panic when the price briefly moves outside the channel. Instead, they wait for confirmation signals (like a rejection candle, break of structure, or momentum shift) before entering.
→ This gives them both a logical entry point and a favorable risk-reward setup — aligning with the larger trend direction while staying protected if the trend fails.
⚪ They Treat Countertrend Moves as Opportunities to Enter WITH the Trend
When a countertrend move happens, pro traders see it as an opportunity to enter with the prevailing trend, rather than trying to catch a reversal.
→ Counter-Trend Move in an Uptrend:
Let's say S&P 500 is in a strong uptrend, and it experiences a sharp pullback of 5%.
While many retail traders panic and try to short the market, pro traders see this as a buying opportunity at a lower price, anticipating the trend will continue after the correction.
→ Counter-Trend Move in a Downtrend:
For Gold (XAU/USD) , if the price falls sharply from $1,900 to $1,850 and then retraces back to $1,875 (a previous support-turned-resistance level), pros see this as an opportunity to sell into the trend rather than buying into what could be a false recovery.
⚪ They Accept That Trends Can Look "Overbought" or "Oversold" for a Long Time
In volatile, trending conditions, RSI can stay above 70 for hours or even days, and divergences can build for a long time without price reacting.
→ RSI Above 70 in an Uptrend:
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) rallies from $40,000 to $60,000. Despite RSI being above 70 for a few days, pro traders don't fight the trend because momentum is strong. Instead, they look for a pullback to the 100-period MA for a safer entry.
→ Divergence in Downtrend:
The EUR/USD shows a bearish trend , but the RSI starts to build a divergence as the price keeps making lower lows. Pro traders ignore the divergence because the trend is still strong. They wait for a clear break of the trendline or confirmation that price has reversed before considering a long trade.
█ Summary of Part 4 — Trend is Your Best Friend
You can't control how far a trend will run…but you can control whether you're with or fighting against it.
And trust me, fighting a strong trend in a volatile market is a battle retail traders rarely win.
Here’s what you should take away from this article:
Volatile markets = Extended trends
Indicators can lie — trend structure tells the truth
Fakeouts & pullbacks are normal
Don't fight the trend — trade with it
Use counter-moves to enter the trend
Patience & trend-following = Survival + Profit
█ What We Covered:
Part 1: Reduce Position Size
Part 2: Liquidity Makes or Breaks Your Trades
Part 3: Patience Over FOMO
Part 4: Trend is Your Best Friend
That's it! You've now completed the Mastering Volatile Markets series.
Stay calm, adapt quickly, and trade smarter — that's how you survive (and thrive) in volatile markets.
-----------------
Disclaimer
The content provided in my scripts, indicators, ideas, algorithms, and systems is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
Ethereum - The Perfect Crypto Trade!Ethereum ( CRYPTO:ETHUSD ) is retesting massive support:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
For the past four years, Ethereum has overall been trading sideways with significant swings towards the upside and downside. As we are speaking, Ethereum is retesting a significant confluence of support and if the bullrun actually continues, Ethereum will rally parabolically.
Levels to watch: $2.000, $4.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Comprehensive Research - McDonald’s Stock Set to SoarQuick read:
McDonald's stock is poised for a bullish move, with Wave 3 likely starting and strong support near 290.50–295.00. Traders should long on dips within this range, for next resistance levels, 326.00 and 348.00 with a invalidation below 276.00. This setup offers a solid risk-to-reward in a long-term uptrend. Alternative safe entry is possible after the break of corrective channel breakout of wave (2).
Elliott Wave Forecast:
TF - Daily
The chart suggests that McDonald’s stock is in the middle of a larger upward move known as Wave C, which comes after completing a complex correction. Wave C is expected to unfold in five smaller waves, a pattern that usually points to a strong uptrend. It appears the correction is behind us, and a fresh bullish phase is underway.
Starting from the low at 276.53 , marked as Wave B, the price climbed to 326.32 , forming Wave one. After that, the stock pulled back to 290.50 , forming Wave two. This pullback followed a typical ABC pattern within a corrective channel, which often signals the end of a downturn and the beginning of an upward move.
Now, Wave three seems to be starting, and this is usually the strongest part of Wave C. The price is expected to move above 335 , take a small pause for Wave four, and then rise again to complete Wave five somewhere around 345 to 350 dollars. This positive outlook remains intact as long as the price stays above 290.50 . With the breakout from the corrective channel, the setup looks strong and clear for buyers.
Fibonacci levels:
Fibonacci Extension Targets:
1.000 extension: 326
1.618 extension: 348
Correction Retracement Levels:
Wave 2 retracement: 78.6%
A = C in A-B-C correction: 289.21
Price Action & shifting of value:
TF: Weekly
McDonald’s stock has been steadily climbing inside a rising channel since late 2020, showing a clear long term uptrend. The price has respected both the top and bottom edges of this channel very well, and interestingly, the middle line has acted like a pivot, providing support or resistance multiple times over the years.
Recently, the stock made a higher low at 276.53 and bounced back strongly, keeping the bullish structure intact. It then pulled back to 290.50 , right around the middle line of the channel, and held above an upward sloping trendline. This kind of price action shows strength and suggests buyers are stepping in.
The sharp move from 276.53 up to current levels looks like a strong bullish leg, possibly driven by accumulation. If the stock can break above its recent high of 326.32 , it could head toward the upper end of the channel. As long as the price stays above 290.50 and especially above 276.53 dollars, the bulls remain in control. Even if the price dips a bit, the long term trend stays positive unless the lower boundary of the channel breaks down.
I will update more Information here.
NZDUSD bullish starting?
OANDA:NZDUSD from start of February sentiment is bullish.
In week before we are have strong events like RBA, TRUMP SPEAK, NONFARM.., we all are expect NZD and AUD domination but at end in zone we are see changes and strong fall.
After all of this now from here expecting new bullish starting.
SUP zone: 0.55200
RES zone: 0.57400, 0.58200
BTC at a Critical Inflection Point – Bulls vs. BearsBitcoin is currently trading around $77,644, sitting right between two major trendlines:
🟢 Long-Term Bullish Support – This green ascending trendline has held since late 2023, providing key support throughout BTC’s macro uptrend.
🔴 Medium-Term Bearish Resistance – The red descending trendline has capped price since the 2025 highs, forming a clear structure of lower highs.
We're now at a pivotal confluence zone where these two trendlines intersect. Price recently bounced off the green support, but it's struggling to decisively break above the red resistance.
🔍 Key Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Breakout:
A strong daily close above the red trendline could confirm bullish continuation.
Targets: $84K, GETTEX:92K , and potentially ATH breakout above $100K.
❌ Bearish Rejection:
Rejection at resistance may lead to a retest of the green trendline (~$74K).
A breakdown from there opens the door to GETTEX:64K –$60K, or even deeper pullbacks.
XAUUSD Analysis: Will It Soar or Dip? Esential Levels to Monitor🚨 Attention Traders! 🚨
XAUUSD is making waves and breaking through key levels! 🔥 The price is currently battling between 2977 and 2987 — will we see a breakout soon?
Bearish Alert: A dip below this range could lead us to targets like 2960 and 2955. ⚠️
Bullish Opportunity: A move above 2987 could trigger buying opportunities, with targets around 3004 and 3030. 🚀
💬 Let’s Talk Strategy! What’s your take on this? Share your insights as we ride this golden wave together and unlock new opportunities! 💰