XAUUSD Poised for a Massive Breakout: Are You Ready?Chart 1: 4-Hour Timeframe
Trend Analysis:
The chart shows a clear upward trend, forming higher highs and higher lows.
A wedge pattern is visible with converging trend lines indicating a potential breakout scenario.
Key Levels:
Support: Around 2348.248 (4hr LQZ).
Resistance: Approximately 2412.240.
Major Resistance: The upper trendline around 2480.
Recent Price Action:
The price has recently tested the lower trendline support and is currently retracing upwards.
A lower high (LH) has formed around 2480, suggesting a potential reversal or consolidation phase.
Potential Scenarios:
Bullish: If the price breaks above the 2412 resistance, it may retest the upper trendline around 2480.
Bearish: A break below the 4hr LQZ at 2348.248 could signal further downside towards the daily LQZ at 2267.320.
Chart 2: 1-Hour Timeframe
Trend Analysis:
A shorter-term view confirming the upward trend with higher highs and higher lows.
The formation of a wedge pattern indicates consolidation within a narrowing price range.
Key Levels:
Support: Around 2348.248 (4hr LQZ).
Resistance: Approximately 2412.240, coinciding with the previous chart.
Recent Price Action:
Price recently bounced off the 4hr LQZ support level and is now hovering near the 2412 resistance.
The lower high (LH) indicates sellers are stepping in around the 2412 level.
Potential Scenarios:
Bullish: Breaking and closing above 2412 could lead to further upside towards 2480.
Bearish: Rejection at 2412 and a break below recent lows could target the 4hr LQZ support at 2348.248.
Chart 3: 15-Minute Timeframe
Trend Analysis:
Short-term consolidation observed within a wedge pattern.
Recent price action indicates potential for a breakout or breakdown from this pattern.
Key Levels:
Support: Around 2348.248 (4hr LQZ).
Resistance: Approximately 2412.240.
Recent Price Action:
Price is consolidating just below the 2412 resistance level, forming a wedge pattern.
The 15-minute timeframe shows the price struggling to break above 2412.
Potential Scenarios:
Bullish: A breakout above the wedge and 2412 resistance could lead to a quick move towards 2480.
Bearish: A breakdown from the wedge could revisit the 4hr LQZ support at 2348.248.
Conclusion
The overall trend across multiple timeframes remains bullish with key resistance at 2412 and significant support at 2348.248. A break above 2412 could signal further upside towards 2480, while a failure to break and sustain above this level may lead to consolidation or a pullback to the 4hr LQZ support. Monitoring price action around these key levels will provide insights into the next directional move.
Trendtrading
Gold at Crossroads: Breakout or Breakdown? Dont Miss It!Technical Breakdown for XAUUSD
Impulsive Move and Correction:
The price made an impulsive move upwards, indicating strong bullish momentum initially.
After reaching the peak, the price began to form a correction pattern, which typically suggests that the trend might continue in the same direction after the correction is complete.
Descending Channel:
Within the correction, a descending channel formed. This pattern often indicates that once the correction is over, the price may break out in the direction of the original move (downwards in this case).
Liquidity Zones (LQZ):
1HR LQZ / Reversal: The current price is around the 1-hour Liquidity Zone, a critical area where buyers or sellers are likely to step in, potentially causing a reversal or significant price movement.
4HR LQZ: A longer-term liquidity zone that acts as a strong support level, where price may react and change direction.
Daily LQZ: Another significant support level on a daily timeframe that can influence long-term price movements.
Key Observations:
Lower High (LH): The chart shows a lower high, suggesting a potential bearish trend continuation.
Correction Pattern: The price forming a correction pattern within the descending channel indicates that traders should watch for a potential breakout, likely to continue the downtrend.
Trading Insights:
Trend Continuation:
The correction pattern within the descending channel suggests a possible continuation of the downtrend. Traders might look for breakout signals below the channel to confirm this move.
Reversal Potential:
If the price holds at the 1HR LQZ or breaks above the descending channel, it could signal a bullish reversal, providing an opportunity for upward trades.
Key Levels to Monitor:
1HR LQZ: Watch for price reactions around this level for potential short-term trading opportunities.
4HR and Daily LQZ: These levels are crucial for identifying long-term support and resistance, offering potential entry and exit points based on how the price interacts with them.
Summary
Understanding impulsive moves, correction patterns, and liquidity zones can significantly enhance your trading strategy. By observing how price reacts at these key levels and patterns, you can make more informed trading decisions. Watch for breakout signals from the correction pattern and monitor the liquidity zones for significant price reactions to identify potential trading opportunities.
NZDUSD - Selloff Acceleration on Neckline BreakThis week's open will be interesting. It'll largely be dependent on the resumption of strength of the US dollar.
The anticipated strengthening of the US dollar is supported over on this NZDUSD pair. Looking at the daily timeframe, the New Zealand dollar has shown a weakening in strength throughout the months of June and early July.
My proposed trade entry and exit targets are based on the 5-period daily ATR of 42.
Take profit: 100 pips (2x~)
Stop loss: 40 pips (1x~)
USDJPY Opportunities for Both Bears and BullsHere’s an exciting update on USDJPY, which has something for both short-sellers and those looking to buy. Let’s dive in!
Current Overview:
- 4-Hourly Chart:
- There’s a sell zone, but the overall movement of USDJPY is on a bullish ride. :chart_with_upwards_trend:
Shorting Opportunity:
- Key Level: 157.69
- What to Do: If you’re looking to short, watch for a Magic Candle Confirmation within the sell zone (red box). The ideal entry would be at 157.69.
Buying Opportunity:
- Key Pattern: Potential Head and Shoulders Formation
- Key Level: 157.69
- What to Do: Like me, if you’re waiting to buy, this is the level to watch. Wait for a Magic Candle Confirmation at 157.69 to enter a long position, betting on a Potential Head and Shoulders Formation.
Final Thoughts:
Whether you’re looking to short or buy, the key is patience and waiting for confirmation. Trading is all about making informed decisions and managing risk effectively.
What’s your plan for USDJPY? Are you in the short camp or the long camp? Share your thoughts and strategies below!
Happy trading, everyone!
GBPUSD Breakout and Bullish Shark Pattern!I hope you’re all doing well and staying sharp in the markets. I wanted to share an interesting setup I’ve been eyeing on GBPUSD that could be a great opportunity for both new and experienced traders alike.
What’s Happening?
- Weekly Chart:
- GBPUSD has finally broken out from its sideways consolidation, which is super exciting! This breakout could mean we’re in for some upward action.
The Plan:
On the 1-hourly chart, I’ve spotted a Bullish Shark Pattern. This pattern is a fantastic tool for identifying potential buying opportunities.
- Key Level: 1.2873
- What to Do: I’m waiting for a “Magic Candle Confirmation” at this level. This confirmation will give me the green light to enter a long position.
Why This Setup is Cool:
- Breakout: The breakout on the weekly chart signals a possible trend change, which is a big deal!
- Bullish Shark Pattern: This pattern helps us pinpoint a precise entry, making our trading plan more reliable.
How to Trade It:
1. Wait for Confirmation: Don’t rush! Wait for the Magic Candle to form at 1.2873.
2. Set Your Stop-Loss: Place it just below the pattern completion level to manage risk.
Final Thoughts:
Trading can be tricky, but by using patterns and waiting for confirmations, we can make more informed decisions. Keep learning and stay patient. Good things come to those who wait (and plan well)!
What do you think about this setup? Do you have any insights or questions? Drop a comment below and let’s discuss!
Happy trading, everyone! 🚀
Long Opportunities on EURUSDIf you are looking to long EURUSD just like me, the 4-hourly chart presents a promising Bullish Shark buying opportunity. Here's how we can approach it:
Bullish Shark Pattern:
- Pattern Completion Level: 1.0820
- Strategy: Wait for a Magic Candle Confirmation at 1.0820 before entering a long position.
- Stop-Loss: Place a stop-loss just below the pattern completion level.
Support and Resistance Level:
- Support Level: 1.0864
- Strategy: Look for a buying opportunity at this support level.
- Stop-Loss: Place a stop-loss just below the support.
- Target: Target 1 at Previous High.
Key Points:
- Bullish Shark Pattern: Provides a technical setup for a long position with a specific entry and confirmation point.
- Support and Resistance: Offers a simpler approach for traders looking for straightforward support and resistance trades.
- Risk Management: Ensure proper stop-loss placement to manage risk effectively.
- Confirmation: Always wait for the Magic Candle Confirmation before entering trades based on the Bullish Shark pattern.
These setups provide clear entry and exit points for long positions on EURUSD.
What’s your take on these strategies? Do you have other approaches that work for you?
Share your thoughts and strategies below!
Nvidia - Still waiting for a correction!NASDAQ:NVDA is clearly overextended but still not bearish at all on the smaller timeframes.
If you watched my previous analysis on Nvidia, you know that I have been bearish for quite some time and totally wrong so far. But there was never ever any single sign of weakness so I did not take any trade betting on price to go down. Nvidia is still retesting resistance, it is still somewhat overextended and I still do expect a visible rejection away towards the downside.
Levels to watch: $140
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
Gold Set to Plunge? Key Reversal Point Signals Major Downtrend!4-Hour Chart Analysis
Trend Identification:
Higher Highs (HH): The chart shows a consistent formation of higher highs (HH) which indicates an overall uptrend.
Higher Lows (HL): The chart also demonstrates higher lows (HL), further confirming the uptrend.
Key Levels:
Resistance Levels:
Around 2,480 and above are marked by HH.
Support Levels:
2,429.42 (1HR LQZ / Reversal Point)
2,391.39 (4HR LQZ / TP 1)
2,349.05 (TP 2)
2,288.09 (TP 3)
2,265.37 (TP 4)
Price Action:
Triangle Pattern: A triangle pattern formed in June indicating consolidation before a breakout.
Current Movement: The price has moved up to a higher high but is currently in a retracement phase, testing the 1HR LQZ / Reversal Point around 2,429.42.
Projection:
Potential Reversal: If the price holds above the 1HR LQZ / Reversal Point, it may indicate a reversal back towards the higher levels around 2,480.
Support Tests: Failure to hold may lead to testing lower support levels at 2,391.39 (4HR LQZ / TP 1) and potentially further down to TP 2, TP 3, and TP 4.
1-Hour Chart Analysis
Detailed View:
Provides a closer look at the recent price movements.
Confirms the higher highs observed in the 4-hour chart.
Key Observations:
Recent High: The price recently reached a new high around 2,480 before retracing.
Immediate Support: The price is testing the 1HR LQZ / Reversal Point around 2,429.42, aligning with the 4-hour chart observations.
Trading Opportunities:
Long Position: If the price shows strong bullish signals and holds above the 1HR LQZ / Reversal Point.
Short Position: If the price breaks below the 1HR LQZ / Reversal Point, with targets at lower support levels identified in the 4-hour chart.
Summary
The charts indicate an overall uptrend with recent higher highs and higher lows.
Current price action is in a retracement phase, testing key support levels.
Monitoring the 1HR LQZ / Reversal Point will be crucial for determining the next move, whether it will resume the uptrend or test further support levels.
Gold's Next Big Move: Is This the Reversal Point?4-Hour Chart Analysis
Trend Identification:
Higher Highs (HH): The chart shows a consistent formation of higher highs (HH) which indicates an overall uptrend.
Higher Lows (HL): The chart also demonstrates higher lows (HL), further confirming the uptrend.
Key Levels:
Resistance Levels:
Around 2,480 and above are marked by HH.
Support Levels:
2,429.42 (1HR LQZ / Reversal Point)
2,391.39 (4HR LQZ / TP 1)
2,349.05 (TP 2)
2,288.09 (TP 3)
2,265.37 (TP 4)
Price Action:
Triangle Pattern: A triangle pattern formed in June indicating consolidation before a breakout.
Current Movement: The price has moved up to a higher high but is currently in a retracement phase, testing the 1HR LQZ / Reversal Point around 2,429.42.
Projection:
Potential Reversal: If the price holds above the 1HR LQZ / Reversal Point, it may indicate a reversal back towards the higher levels around 2,480.
Support Tests: Failure to hold may lead to testing lower support levels at 2,391.39 (4HR LQZ / TP 1) and potentially further down to TP 2, TP 3, and TP 4.
1-Hour Chart Analysis
Detailed View:
Provides a closer look at the recent price movements.
Confirms the higher highs observed in the 4-hour chart.
Key Observations:
Recent High: The price recently reached a new high around 2,480 before retracing.
Immediate Support: The price is testing the 1HR LQZ / Reversal Point around 2,429.42, aligning with the 4-hour chart observations.
Trading Opportunities:
Long Position: If the price shows strong bullish signals and holds above the 1HR LQZ / Reversal Point.
Short Position: If the price breaks below the 1HR LQZ / Reversal Point, with targets at lower support levels identified in the 4-hour chart.
Summary
The charts indicate an overall uptrend with recent higher highs and higher lows.
Current price action is in a retracement phase, testing key support levels.
Monitoring the 1HR LQZ / Reversal Point will be crucial for determining the next move, whether it will resume the uptrend or test further support levels.
If you need further analysis or specific trade recommendations, feel free to ask!
Dows Up!! A 3 Step System - The Rocket Booster Strategy-In this video i talk to you about the rocket booster strategy which has 3 steps:
Step#1 -50 Day Moving Average
Step#2 - 200 Day Moving Average
Step #3 - The Gap Up Trend
Watch this video to learn more.
Disclaimer:Trading is risky you will lose money wether you like it or not please learn risk managment and profit taking strategies.
Gold Trading Alert: Major Move on XAUUSD – Don't Miss Out!Key Levels and Patterns:
Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL):
The chart shows a series of higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL), indicating an overall uptrend. This pattern suggests that the bullish momentum is still in play.
Ascending Channel:
There is a well-defined ascending channel where the price has been moving upwards within parallel trendlines. This channel can act as a guide for potential support and resistance levels.
Reversal Points (LQZ):
1-Hour LQZ / Reversal Point: Located at 2,429.190. This level is a potential area where price may reverse or find support.
4-Hour LQZ / Reversal Point: Located at 2,391.394. This level also serves as a significant support zone.
Take Profit (TP) Levels:
TP 1: 2,319.385
TP 2: 2,288.085
TP 3: 2,265.369
Recent Price Action:
The price recently reached a higher high at around 2,458.755 and then pulled back slightly, indicating a potential short-term correction within the overall uptrend.
The ascending channel suggests that if the price remains above the lower boundary of the channel, the uptrend is likely to continue.
If the price breaks below the 1-hour LQZ / Reversal Point at 2,429.190, it could test the 4-hour LQZ / Reversal Point at 2,391.394. A further breakdown below this level might lead to the next support at TP 1.
Analysis Summary:
Bullish Scenario: The price could bounce from the current levels or the lower boundary of the ascending channel, aiming for new highs. Traders might look for buying opportunities near the support levels of the channel and reversal points.
Bearish Scenario: If the price breaks below the identified reversal points and the ascending channel, it might signal a deeper correction, potentially heading towards the TP levels for possible buying opportunities at lower prices.
Unlock the Secrets of Gold Trading: Pericles' Ancient WisdomIn this video, we explore the profound perspectives on fear from historical figures like Pericles and modern thinkers like Ryan Holiday. Pericles, the esteemed Athenian statesman, saw fear as a natural emotion that should not paralyze us. He believed in confronting fear with courage, rational thought, and strategic planning, using it as a tool for effective decision-making.
Ryan Holiday, drawing on Stoic philosophy in his works, echoes these sentiments with stories of historical figures who turned fear into fuel for success. He recounts how John D. Rockefeller faced market crashes with calm calculation and how Theodore Roosevelt overcame health challenges by embracing adversity.
Both Pericles and Holiday teach us that fear, when managed correctly, can become a powerful ally. By acknowledging fear, confronting it with rationality and courage, and using it to sharpen our focus and strategy, we can transform challenges into opportunities for growth and success. This approach is especially relevant in the realm of trading, where mastering fear can lead to better decision-making and greater resilience.
Key Levels and Patterns:
Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL):
The chart shows a series of higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL), indicating an overall uptrend. This pattern suggests that the bullish momentum is still in play.
Ascending Channel:
There is a well-defined ascending channel where the price has been moving upwards within parallel trendlines. This channel can act as a guide for potential support and resistance levels.
Reversal Points (LQZ):
1-Hour LQZ / Reversal Point: Located at 2,429.190. This level is a potential area where price may reverse or find support.
4-Hour LQZ / Reversal Point: Located at 2,391.394. This level also serves as a significant support zone.
Take Profit (TP) Levels:
TP 1: 2,319.385
TP 2: 2,288.085
TP 3: 2,265.369
Recent Price Action:
The price recently reached a higher high at around 2,458.755 and then pulled back slightly, indicating a potential short-term correction within the overall uptrend.
The ascending channel suggests that if the price remains above the lower boundary of the channel, the uptrend is likely to continue.
If the price breaks below the 1-hour LQZ / Reversal Point at 2,429.190, it could test the 4-hour LQZ / Reversal Point at 2,391.394. A further breakdown below this level might lead to the next support at TP 1.
Analysis Summary:
Bullish Scenario: The price could bounce from the current levels or the lower boundary of the ascending channel, aiming for new highs. Traders might look for buying opportunities near the support levels of the channel and reversal points.
Bearish Scenario: If the price breaks below the identified reversal points and the ascending channel, it might signal a deeper correction, potentially heading towards the TP levels for possible buying opportunities at lower prices.
By applying Pericles' wisdom of confronting fear with rationality and Ryan Holiday's insights on turning fear into strategic advantage, traders can approach these levels with a clear, disciplined mindset, making informed decisions even in volatile market conditions.
USD/JPY - Expect Buyers above 156.78The Primary trend in the Dollar-Yen 4hrs timeframe is still Bullish, we can see a completed Bullish wave structure. If we apply the trending market truth it says the trend will not change easily. Also, a reversal is not a trend change.
What we can see is normal behaviour in a trending market, the price has become too high at the Momentum high (5), the buyers took profit and we saw a strong decline.
The play is to buy if the price trades above 156.78, this is the price point that confirms the last Bullish run.
The Minimum Target is 159.02.
Stop Loss is 156.05
Gold Price Set to Explode? Must-See Analysis Inside! [Update]Trade Update: XAUUSD Analysis
Date: July 17, 2024
In our previous post and video, we discussed how to approach XAUUSD given the current market conditions. Let's dive into the latest developments and analyze the chart for further insights.
Key Observations:
Break Above HTF Trendline:
We observed a significant break above the Higher Time Frame (HTF) trendline. This move indicates a strong bullish momentum, suggesting that buyers are in control.
After the breakout, the price pushed back into the structure, which is a common retracement behavior. This retracement offers a potential entry point for those looking to capitalize on the upward momentum.
Support Zone Tested on LTF:
The price action tested a support zone on the Lower Time Frame (LTF). This support zone held well, providing a solid foundation for the next leg up.
This test reinforces the strength of the support level and can be seen as a bullish signal.
Current Market Conditions:
Currently, XAUUSD is displaying a textbook play back into an area where we might see signs of either reversal or continuation.
Traders should watch for key signals at this level to determine the next move. A strong bullish reaction could indicate continuation, while a bearish signal might suggest a potential reversal.
Liquidity Zones and Reversal Points:
The chart highlights two significant liquidity zones (LQZ) and potential reversal points:
1HR LQZ/Reversal at 2429.940
4HR LQZ/Reversal at 2391.394
These zones are critical levels to monitor as they can provide valuable insights into market sentiment and potential turning points.
Conclusion:
As the price approaches these key levels, traders should remain vigilant for confirmation signals.
If the price respects the support zone and breaks higher, it could provide a good opportunity for a long position.
Conversely, if the price shows signs of weakness, it might be prudent to consider short positions or wait for further confirmation before making a move.
Stay Updated:
We will continue to monitor the price action closely and provide updates as the situation evolves.
XAUUSD - Gold prices have peaked and have not stopped
Gold rose above $2,470 per ounce on Wednesday, reaching a new record high, driven by increased optimism that the Federal Reserve will lower rates as early as September. Fed Chair Jerome Powell noted on Monday that June's lower-than-expected inflation boosted confidence in meeting the price growth target and added that the central bank will not wait for inflation to hit 2% before starting rate cuts. This was echoed by Fed Governor Adriana Kugler, who expressed cautious optimism on Tuesday that inflation is moving towards the target rate
🕯Technically: Currently, where gold's new peak is, we can only guess with round barriers, Sell rhythm should adjust vol appropriately.
There is no important news today, take advantage of RSI, trendline and Breakout to trade when the gold price exceeds the threshold.
Pay attention to important resistance zones. Limit SELL signals to 247x
aSELL Zone: 2,500
🟢BUY GOLD: 2451 - 2449, SL: 2445
🟢BUY GOLD: 2442 - 2440, SL: 2436
🗣️Breakout: 2465 - 2480
🔼Support: 2465 - 2455 - 2450 - 2442 - 2426 - 2418
🔽Resistance: 2500 - 2515
GOOD LUCK EVERYONE👍
DXY at Critical Support! Massive Move Ahead! Technical Analysis Overview of DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) on 4-Hour Time Frame:
Crucial Structure Point:
The DXY is currently at a significant structural level, which could determine its next major move.
Key Levels:
Weekly LQZ: 108.007
Daily LQZ: 106.524
Daily LQZ: 101.908
Missed LQZ: 100.552
Current Price Action:
The price is hovering around 104.283, a critical support zone. The market's reaction at this level will likely dictate the next direction.
Potential Scenarios:
Yellow Path (Primary Bias): Indicates a potential bearish scenario where the price might break below the current support level and head towards the Daily LQZ at 101.908 or even the Missed LQZ at 100.552. This path suggests a significant downward movement.
Green Path: Represents a bullish scenario where the price could bounce off the current support and rise towards the Daily LQZ at 106.524 or even the Weekly LQZ at 108.007. This path suggests a recovery and continuation of the upward trend.
Orange Path: Another bearish possibility where the price might initially fake out upwards but eventually break downwards, aligning with the yellow path.
Market Sentiment:
The annotations indicate that while the yellow path is favored, it is essential to remain adaptable as "anything can happen" in the market. This emphasizes the importance of not reacting impulsively but rather anticipating and preparing for different scenarios.
Summary:
Current Trend: The DXY is at a critical juncture, and its next move could be pivotal.
Bearish Bias: The yellow path suggests a potential for further downside, targeting lower key levels.
Bullish Recovery: The green path offers a possible recovery scenario, aiming for higher resistance levels.
Strategy: Traders should monitor the price action closely around the current support level at 104.283. Look for confirmation before entering trades, and be prepared for both bullish and bearish outcomes.
Gold at Record Highs! Breakout or Imminent Reversal?4-Hour Time Frame Analysis:
Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL): The chart displays a clear upward trend with higher highs and higher lows. This indicates a bullish market structure.
Ascending Channel: The price is moving within an ascending channel, showing a steady increase in value.
Key Levels:
1-Hour LQZ / Reversal: 2429.940
4-Hour LQZ / Reversal Point: 2391.394
Potential Take Profit (TP) Levels:
TP 1: 2319.385
TP 2: 2288.085
TP 3: 2267.832
Current Price Action: The price has reached the upper boundary of the ascending channel, suggesting a potential reversal or breakout. Traders should watch for confirmation before taking action.
1-Hour Time Frame Analysis:
Higher High (HH): Similar to the 4-hour chart, the 1-hour chart also shows a higher high, indicating a bullish trend continuation.
Ascending Channel: The price is respecting the ascending channel, reinforcing the bullish sentiment.
Key Levels:
1-Hour LQZ / Reversal: 2429.940
4-Hour LQZ / Reversal Point: 2391.394
Current Price Action: The price is at the top of the ascending channel. Traders should look for signs of a reversal or a breakout above this level to gauge further price movements.
15-Minute Time Frame Analysis:
Ascending Channel: The 15-minute chart shows a detailed view of the ascending channel with the price closely following this structure.
Key Levels:
1-Hour LQZ / Reversal: 2429.940
4-Hour LQZ / Reversal Point: 2391.394
Current Price Action: The price is currently at the top of the channel, suggesting a potential short-term reversal or continuation depending on the breakout direction.
Summary:
Bullish Trend: All three time frames show a clear bullish trend with higher highs and higher lows.
Ascending Channel: The price is moving within an ascending channel on all time frames, which supports the bullish outlook.
Key Reversal Zones: Pay attention to the 1-hour and 4-hour LQZ / Reversal points at 2429.940 and 2391.394 respectively.
Potential Reversal: The price is currently at the upper boundary of the ascending channel on all time frames. This indicates a potential reversal if the price fails to break out. Traders should wait for confirmation before entering trades..
Gold Breaks 4HR Liquidity Zone: Reversal or Continuation?We provided a really clear outlook on XAU/USD yesterday evening at the start of Asia Session to look for a move to the top side or a possible start to reversal depending on reaction to the support zone being offered.
Today we have a BEAUTIFUL 4HR LQZ being shown in this chart that we are currently participating inside of. Will price reverse after hitting our TP or Do we continue to follow the trend that is being given.
CORE LESSON:
When gold is in areas of unknown price that you have never traded before the TREND is your friend. You can find yourself wanting the market to do something because it fits your BIAS and plan better but the market is the wild west and it doesn't have to do anything you want. You anticipate and don't get caught on the side of just reacting to price.
Yesterday evening at the start of the Asia Session, we provided a crystal-clear outlook on XAU/USD. We were looking for a move to the upside or the potential beginning of a reversal, depending on the reaction to the support zone.
Today, we are witnessing a BEAUTIFUL 4HR LQZ on this chart, and we are currently trading within it. The big question now is: will the price reverse after hitting our TP, or will it continue to follow the existing trend?
CORE LESSON:
When gold trades in uncharted territory, the trend is your friend. It's easy to develop a bias and want the market to fit your plan, but remember, the market is like the wild west—it doesn’t have to do what you want. Stay ahead by anticipating market moves and avoid getting caught reacting to price action.
ADDITIONAL INSIGHTS:
Understanding market psychology is crucial in these scenarios. Traders often get trapped in emotional decisions, influenced by fear and greed. Maintain discipline and stick to your trading plan. Watch for key levels and patterns that can indicate potential reversals or continuations.
Utilize proper risk management strategies to protect your capital. Setting stop-loss orders and taking profits at predefined levels can help mitigate risks and secure gains. Always be prepared for multiple scenarios and adjust your strategies accordingly.
Remember, successful trading is about adapting to market conditions and making informed decisions based on thorough analysis. Stay patient, stay focused, and keep learning from each trade to improve your skills and outcomes.
Unlock the Secrets: Is GOLD the Ultimate Trade Today?Unlock the Secrets: Is GOLD the Ultimate Trade Today?
In this episode, I dive into the current conditions of the gold market, providing a comprehensive breakdown on how to form an objective opinion. Drawing inspiration from "Market Wizards" and "Trading in the Zone," I share insights from legendary traders who emphasize the importance of patience and discipline in trading.
Learn essential lessons on patience, understanding that you don't need to force trades or impose your personal bias on the market. Discover why it's perfectly fine to skip trades daily or even weekly if the market doesn't align with your setup. Mark Douglas, in "Trading in the Zone," highlights the significance of a trader's mindset and how maintaining an objective perspective is crucial for consistent success.
I also share valuable advice on productive activities to engage in while waiting for the right trade opportunities. Just as the great traders in "Market Wizards" stress, sometimes the best trade is no trade at all. Use this time to refine your strategies, study market patterns, and enhance your trading skills.
Remember, running in place won't get you anywhere—focus on strategic moves to elevate your trading game. By incorporating these principles and understanding the psychological aspects of trading, you'll be better equipped to navigate the complexities of the gold market.
Master Gold Trading in High-Volatility Zones! Unlock Risk Manag.In this video, I delve into the crucial aspects of Risk Management and share my insights on interpreting the market when it is in critical zones, just like the one displayed on our current XAUUSD chart. Here's what you can expect:
Risk Management Techniques
Learn the strategies I employ to manage risk effectively, ensuring that my trades are protected against sudden market moves. I will cover:
Setting appropriate stop-loss levels below key support zones like the 15M LQZ.
Calculating position sizes based on account equity to maintain a disciplined approach.
The importance of risk-reward ratios in ensuring long-term profitability.
Market Perception in Key Zones
I explain my approach to analyzing the market when it is within significant liquidity zones (LQZ), as seen in the chart. This includes:
Understanding price behavior around Daily LQZ (2,450.370), 4hr LQZ (2,447.909), 1hr TP/LQZ (2,419.054), and 15M LQZ (2,399.472).
How these zones influence my trading decisions and help identify potential entry and exit points.
Time Frame for Trade Execution
Discover the time frames I focus on when executing trades in these volatile zones. I discuss:
Benefits and drawbacks of different time frames.
Why certain time frames, such as 15-minute, 1-hour, and 4-hour charts, are more suitable for analyzing price action and making informed trade decisions in the current market context.
Trading Sessions Participation
Gain insights into which trading sessions I actively participate in and why. Understanding the dynamics of different sessions (Asian, London, and New York) can significantly impact your trading strategy and execution. I will share:
My preferences and how each session's characteristics influence market volatility and trading opportunities.
The best times to trade gold (XAUUSD) based on historical volatility patterns.
Chart Analysis Overview
We analyze the current XAUUSD chart showing an ascending channel, highlighting key support and resistance levels. Key technical points include:
Support Levels: Near the bottom of the ascending channel and around 2,399.472 (15M LQZ).
Resistance Levels: Near the top of the ascending channel and around 2,450.370 (Daily LQZ).
Price Action: Higher highs and higher lows within the ascending channel, indicating a bullish trend. A noticeable spike breaking through the channel suggests strong buying interest at lower
levels.
Potential Trade Setup
Long Position: Consider entering near the lower boundary of the ascending channel or the 15M LQZ support level, targeting the 1hr TP/LQZ or the Daily LQZ.
Stop Loss: Place below the 15M LQZ to manage risk.
Key Takeaways
Master the art of risk management to safeguard your trades.
Learn to perceive and analyze the market effectively within key liquidity zones.
Understand the importance of selecting the right time frame for trade execution.
Know which trading sessions offer the best opportunities and align them with your trading strategy.
DXY on the Brink! Key Levels and Patterns You Can't Miss Trading Idea Breakdown for USD Index (DXY)
Chart Overview:
Time Frame: 4-hour and 1-hour charts
Instrument: U.S. Dollar Index (DXY)
Key Levels and Zones:
Daily High:
Level: 112.304
Significance: Significant resistance level from previous price action peaks.
Weekly LQZ (Liquidity Zone):
Level: 108.007
Significance: Key zone where price has shown notable liquidity and potential for major reversals or continuations.
Daily LQZ:
Level: 106.524
Significance: Important daily liquidity zone that influences short to medium-term price action.
4-hour LQZ:
Level: 103.894
Significance: Critical level for intraday trading, often indicating significant support or resistance.
Daily LQZ (Lower Zone):
Level: 101.908
Significance: Lower daily liquidity zone that could act as a strong support if the price dips.
Missed LQZ:
Level: 100.552
Significance: A previous liquidity zone that was not retested, potentially a strong support area.
Missed LQZ (Lower Zone):
Level: 99.561
Significance: Another potential support level if the price continues to decline.
Technical Patterns:
Descending Triangle:
Visible on the 4-hour chart, the descending triangle pattern indicates a potential bearish continuation if the price breaks below the lower trendline.
Ascending Triangle:
Observed in the price action within the upward sloping trendlines, suggesting potential bullish movement if the price breaks above the upper boundary.
Flag Pattern:
Noted in both the charts, flag patterns typically indicate a consolidation phase before a continuation of the prevailing trend.
Price Action Insights:
Current Price: 104.084 (at the time of the screenshot)
The price is hovering near the 4-hour LQZ, indicating a critical decision point for either a bounce or a further decline.
Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario: If the price holds the 4-hour LQZ and breaks above the recent consolidation, we could see a move towards the daily LQZ at 106.524 and potentially higher towards the weekly LQZ at 108.007.
Bearish Scenario: If the price fails to hold the 4-hour LQZ and breaks below, we might see a decline towards the daily LQZ at 101.908 and possibly further towards the missed LQZ at 100.552.
Market Sentiment:
The charts suggest a balanced sentiment with key liquidity zones serving as potential pivot points for future price action. Traders should watch these levels closely for signs of strength or weakness to determine the next significant move.